Commission of Inquiry Into Higher Education Report
Commission of Inquiry Into Higher Education Report
Commission of Inquiry Into Higher Education Report
1 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 9
1.1 The start of the #Feesmustfall protest: the demands and the outcome
............................................................................................................ 9
1.2 The students demands .................................................................... 16
1.3 The consequences of the protest and determined increases ........... 20
1
6.2 The Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, Act 108 of 1996 . 110
6.3 Expression of the Constitution in government and ANC policy ...... 116
6.4 ANC policy decisions, 2007 to 2012 ............................................... 119
6.5 Fee-free Working Group ................................................................. 122
8 Steps taken to Realise the Right to Accessible / Free Higher Education 134
2
11.18 Student success ............................................................................. 241
11.19 Collection of loans .......................................................................... 242
11.20 Loans and black tax ........................................................................ 244
11.21 Conclusion ...................................................................................... 245
16 State Subsidy in Line with Consumer Price Index (CPI) v the Higher
Education Price Index (HEPI) ...................................................................... 262
3
23 Student Housing ........................................................................................... 299
25 Libraries......................................................................................................... 319
4
30.4 Other interventions ......................................................................... 358
5
32.6 Government Employees Pension Fund .......................................... 417
32.6.1 Limitations on the use of unclaimed funds........................ 419
32.6.2 Funds under management................................................ 421
32.7 Unemployment Insurance Fund ..................................................... 422
32.7.1 UIFs financial position ...................................................... 424
32.7.2 UIFs investment portfolio ................................................. 425
32.7.3 UIFs investment in education........................................... 427
32.7.4 Constraints to using UIF funds ......................................... 427
32.8 The Skills Development Levy ......................................................... 431
32.8.1 Financial position .............................................................. 434
32.9 The National Skills Fund ................................................................. 435
32.9.1 Funding of the No Fee Increase ....................................... 436
32.10 Increased taxation .......................................................................... 438
32.10.1 Proposed increase in direct taxes..................................... 439
32.10.2 Increasing indirect tax ....................................................... 441
32.11 Social impact bonds ....................................................................... 442
32.12 BBBEE ............................................................................................ 443
32.13 Thuto ke Lesedi .............................................................................. 444
32.14 Corruption and other inefficiencies ................................................. 447
6
34.4.7 The full costing of the ISFAP model and the assumptions /
modelling undertaken ....................................................... 486
34.5 Fee-free for all ................................................................................ 494
34.6 Graduate tax ................................................................................... 502
34.7 Income-contingent loans ................................................................ 508
36 Selection of a Model That Best Answers the Test of Feasibility .............. 526
37 Recommendations........................................................................................ 540
Annexure A : Reconciling Efficiency, Access, Fairness and Equality: The case for
income-contingent student loans with universal eligibility...................... 562
7
Annexure D : Brief from the Commission to the Actuarial Society of South Africa
and Report titled Cost of Different Scenarios for the Funding of Higher
Education and Training ............................................................................... 691
8
1 INTRODUCTION1
protests across the country. What distinguished the 2015 protests from
those experienced periodically over the decade before, was that the hub
and other related issues were the cause of frequent, but uncoordinated
protest.
and the focal point was the prominent statue of Cecil John Rhodes on
institution, and one of their focal points was the language issue. The
1
There are many accounts of the student protests of 2015-16. In this chapter we provide one
version with no pretensions to meticulous accuracy.
2
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/mar/16/the-real-meaning-of-rhodes-must-fall.
9
movement consisted predominantly of black students and academics
3
https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2015-04-28-op-ed-open-stellenbosch-tackling-
language-and-exclusion-at-stellenbosch-university/#.WRLj4E2wfIU.
4
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016.
10
focus by various new student movements, e.g. Rhodes must fall, Open
Stellenbosch.
the start of the 2016 academic year. This meeting took place a week
University of the Witwatersrand under the banner Wits Fees Must Fall.
the early hours of the morning was small, but later as they marched
their ranks. At the height, about 5 000 joined the protest. Shaeera Kalla
(2015 Wits SRC President) explained that they were upset after losing
the vote on student fees at the Wits council meeting, and rejected the
reasons provided for the agreed increase. However, the protests only
At the summit, it became clear that the climate was ripe for protest when
the University of the Witwatersrand (Wits) announced a fee increase of
10.5%, coinciding with the first day of the Summit. The #FeesMustFall
campaign took the country by storm, spreading first to other more
5
Malcom Ray, Free Fall. Why South African universities are in a race against time (Bookstrom:
2016), pp.362-4.
11
privileged institutions (University of Cape Town, Stellenbosch University,
Rhodes University) and then on to other institutions across the country.
Following the protests over the fee increases announced at Wits, the
Minister attempted to broker a solution between universities (represented
by the executive committees of Universities South Africa (USAf) and the
University Chairs of Council Forum (UCCF), students (represented by the
South African Union of Students (SAUS)), and Staff Unions. At the
meeting, it was agreed that fees should increase by no more than 6%;
this was seen as a reasonable compromise and stakeholders were
requested to go back and negotiate at the institutional level to find a
solution within that framework.
Town, with protests bringing together demands for free education and the
higher education. Police, armed with stun grenades and tear gas,
gathered to try and block students from accessing the area. Students and
workers managed to reach the Parliament precinct, with calls for Fees
6
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016.
12
should be debated. Students managed to enter Parliaments grounds and
police responded with stun grenades and tear gas. After Nenes speech,
Nzimande tried to address the angry crowd, but was faced with calls for
injury to others. This only led to further protests at campuses across the
country.7
7
Ray, Free Fall, pp. 368-71; http://ewn.co.za/2015/10/23/Countdown-to-Union-Buildings-march.
13
- That the President should consider setting up a Presidential
Commission to look into the whole issue of effectively funding higher
education.
Students agreed to the terms. The President then gave the Minister of
Higher Education and Training, and the Minister of Science and
Technology an opportunity to comment. Minister Nzimande accepted the
decision. Minister Pandor raised a major concern over how this would be
funded. The Deputy Chair of USAf (Professor Derek Swartz) indicated
that in line with previous discussions with the Minister of Higher
Education and Training, universities who had good balance sheets would
assist with raising the funds required, and that government would not be
expected to cover all the costs themselves.8
9. On the same day, two days after the protests in Parliament and one day
Union Buildings. Students came from across Gauteng, and were joined
tried to push through the barricades. Police responded with tear gas and
rubber bullets. Fires were started and a battle between police and
students ensued, with a police van being overturned and students being
8
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016.
9
http://ewn.co.za/2015/10/23/Countdown-to-Union-Buildings-march;
http://citizen.co.za/news/news-national/833006/wits-and-uj-students-head-to-union-buildings-
for-march/; https://mg.co.za/article/2015-10-23-sas-students-take-on-union-buildings;
https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2015-10-25-well-always-have-paris-south-africas-may-
68-moment#.WRLfnk2wfIU.
14
10. In his testimony to the Commission, Minister Nzimande said that the zero
percent increase was not a Government decision, but that it was rather
the universities that put forward the proposal and that the collective
11. The Minister added further that the Presidential Task Team, which was
due to report at the end of November 2015, was asked to quantify the
cost of the zero per cent increase. The Task Team found that the cost for
2016 was R2.330 billion. Furthermore, the shortfall for unfunded and
12. The start of the 2016 academic year witnessed renewed protest.
Demands escalated beyond the call for free education and came to
transformation came to the fore again, and protests about the language
students had different priorities and aims. Protests led to violence and
10
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016.
11
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
15
the destruction of property on some campuses, and the estimated cost
R500 million.12
13. Calm was restored until 19 September 2016, when Minister Nzimande,
councils, but would not exceed 8%. He also provided for a 0% increase
for all those from families with a household income of less than R600 000
the University of Venda explained that they had decided not to affiliate to
SAUS for 2016 as they would rather engage with university management
12
Ibid.
13
https://mg.co.za/article/2016-09-19-blade-nzimande-says-fees-can-go-up-but-not-beyond-8;
http://www.enca.com/south-africa/catch-it-live-minister-nzimande-announces-higher-education-
fees-adjustments.
16
than strike, and they felt that their circumstances differed from the
clarify their view on the demand for free education.15 They explained that
they believe that free education will help to achieve social justice and
transformation. They argued that charging fees is against the spirit of the
Freedom Charter of 1955, and that the vast majority of South Africans
support the demand for free education and identify with the aspirations
and that a phased model is most likely required. Free education for the
16. Regarding the missing middle, SAUS explained that these are not
middle-class students, but rather working-class students who are too rich
for NSFAS, and too poor to pay fees: too poor to be rich, and too rich to
14
University of Venda presentation to the Commission, 24 August 2016.
15
SAUS submission and presentation to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
17
17. SAUS explained further that the fight is not just for free education, but for
18. SAUS was of the opinion that institutions have allowed education and
they can AFFORD, not the education that they deserve. It has become
a marketable service which the student pays for, rather than an academic
credits at a certain cost, rather than on teaching and learning. SAUS also
criticised the TVET system as students cannot find work after completing
commodification of education.
19. In summary, SAUS explained that the demand is for the decolonisation
with free quality education for the missing middle and the poor.16
16
Ibid.
18
20. The South African Students Congress (SASCO) also made a submission
17
and presentation to the Commission. SASCO commented that
reversed some of the tactical victories we have made in the post 1994
period. They also referred to the Freedom Charter and to the missing-
middle, explaining that capable students from working class and lower
ability to pay.
21. SASCO articulated the demand for free education to include tuition,
resources and travel that are the full cost of study fees. It referred to the
NSFAS review, which stated that Free university education for the poor
youth who are not in education, employment or training, and reducing the
17
SASCO submission and presentation to the Commission, 22 August 2016.
19
well-being, as well as economic development of nations. It provides for
funding.18
INCREASES
23. The #FeesMustFall protests and the subsequent decisions about funding
have had a major impact on the post-school education sector. The effects
have varied across the system, but have been felt by all. One of the
18
Ibid.
20
24. The financial impact of the protests was profound. For students, it meant
no fee increase for 2016 and either a reduced or no fee increase for 2017,
25. For the government, R16.2 billion was reprioritised into university
baseline funding and NSFAS from across government for the MTEF (to
fund unfunded poor students through NSFAS and the effect of the 0%
fee increase in 2016 and its carry through effect over 3 years).19 The
NSFAS allocation for historic debt was R2.543bn; and additional funding
funding allocation of R9.2bn for NSFAS over the MTEF period.20 This will
be an ongoing cost into the foreseeable future. The cost of the 2017
government funding of zero percent for all those from households with an
75% of students will need to be covered.21 While funding for NSFAS has
26. For the universities, it meant increased financial strain. Many institutions
19
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
20
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 15 November 2016.
21
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016.
21
meaning that subsidy increases were too low. For instance, Rhodes
budget deficit as a result of the zero percent increase, which would have
University, declared that they will not contribute to the effect of the zero
Rand-to-Rand basis together with the DHET to absorb the effects of the
loss of R15.6 million after the DHET subsidy for the loss. The 2016 zero
percent increase will impact on these institutions for many years to come,
debt was a problem for their sustainability, and that in the wake of the
protests, fewer students were paying their fees.25 High levels of debt are
also indicative of the fact that many students couldnt afford these fees.
22
Rhodes University presentation to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
23
For example: Walter Sisulu University presentation and submission to the Commission, 1
September 2016; North-West University presentation to the Commission, 12 August; Tshwane
University of Technology presentation to the Commission, 21 October 2016; Nelson Mandela
Metropolitan University presentation and submission to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
24
Correspondence with DHET, 11 May 2017.
25
For example: Walter Sisulu University presentation and submission to the Commission, 1
September 2016; Rhodes University presentation to the Commission, 2 September 2016;
North-West University presentation to the Commission, 12 August; Tshwane University of
Technology presentation to the Commission, 21 October 2016; Nelson Mandela Metropolitan
University presentation and submission to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
22
NMMU indicated that another challenge for 2016 was debt relief to
27. USAf, in their submission to the Commission stated that At the same
time, South Africas higher education system faces some of the most
always been assumed that its primary roles are to address the national
social justice agenda, on the one hand, and to contribute to the creation
of high-level human resources and knowledge for the economy and for
between R5 000 and R10 000 per month. NMMU indicated that this was
26
Universities South Africa submission to the Commission.
27
Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University presentation and submission to the Commission, 2
September 2016.
23
hoped that there would be efficiency gains in terms of productivity and
reducing profiteering; and that some institutions didnt foresee any cost
increases.28
until April 2016) were estimated at between R500 and R600 million.29
30. There was also a cost to the academic project as class time was lost and
considerable concern about how this would impact on final year students
and the knock-on effect for hospitals and health care institutions awaiting
31. For the TVET sector, there was a perceived negative overall impact. The
28
Universities South Africa presentation to the Commission, 20 October 2016.
29
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016; https://businesstech.co.za/news/government/138169/damage-to-sa-universities-hits-r600-
million-and-counting/.
30
https://mg.co.za/article/2016-09-07-ukzns-src-condemns-burning-of-law-library-at-howard-
college.
24
the TVET sector experienced budget cuts as a result of the protests; this
bursary allocations were reduced. This problem also related to the fact
indicated that they strongly believe that the call for free education should
viable.31 Furthermore, they explained that their view is that it would not
be correct to sacrifice the poor masses of our people in the TVET sector
decisions taken and policies drawn may have implications for the
by the DHET, and will be discussed in more detail later. The Council
indicated that the sector was not compensated, like the university sector,
for the no-fee increase in 2016. They were also excluded from the R2.6
billion for student debt relief, despite the fact that the sector writes off
large sums in bad debt annually. Due to underfunding; bad debt; and no
31
SAFETSA presentation to the Commission, 29 September 2016.
32
Ibid.
25
compensation for no-fee increases, the TVET sector is under severe
financial pressure. 33
33. The Commission of Enquiry into Higher Education and Training was
of reference:
And whereas the President agreed that the government would lead a
process that will look at broader issues affecting the funding of higher
education, cognisant of other endeavours in this regard;
The Commission shall enquire into, make findings, report on and make
recommendations on the following:
33
TVET Governors' presentation to the Commission, 30 August 2016.
26
1.1 the Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, all relevant higher
and basic education legislation, all findings and recommendations of the
various presidential and ministerial task teams as well as all relevant
educational policies, reports and guidelines;
1.3 the institutional independence and autonomy which should occur vis-
-vis the financial funding model.
34. The initial proclamation required the commission to complete its work
within a period of eight months and to submit its final report to the
the commission the working period was extended by the President until
30 June 2017 with the report due within two months of completion of the
work.
35. The delay in the commencement of work led to the request for the
for only in May 2016 and the Commissioners met with the evidence
leaders on 19 May 2016 for the first time. In this context, it should be
borne in mind that neither the Commissioners nor the evidence leaders
27
education or its funding. The field to be investigated required in-depth
of higher education by and within the private sector. It also included the
understanding of its challenges and the reasons for its successes and
aspects of the provision of higher education and its funding, the product
invaluable.
28
36.3. Advocate Matsileng Lekoane; and
(Adv. Zulu left the Commission early. In May 2017, he was cruelly killed
in a criminal attack.) Our thanks go to all the evidence leaders for their
due to all the support staff and particularly to the Secretary of the
following purposes:
37.1. Educating the commission into all matters that would bear on
37.2. Producing views (in writing and by evidence) from the widest
38. Initially about 180 written representations were received. These were
29
Commissioners were at all times interested in innovative proposals that
39. The programme of work drawn up for the commission (in the form of
Commission;
training;
30
39.8. The feasibility of providing fee-free higher education and
40. Application of the programme gave rise to certain clear advantages and
witnesses and investigators and even departmental task teams could not
These are only referred to in this report where the commission regards
expansion.
31
3 HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING: PURPOSE, POLICY AND
42. The expression higher education and training" is not one that occurs in
43. In different times and places, the purpose of higher education and its
34
Throughout this report the expression higher education will be used in a sense inclusive of
technical training unless the context otherwise indicates.
32
governments position on the purpose of higher education, and an
argued that The roles of higher education are numerous and varied.
resources and knowledge for the economy and for the national social-
Higher Education must reach far beyond the creation of skilled human
resources for the economy and will include the promotion of socially
45. The Council on Higher Education (CHE) explained that: The first
views higher education as both a private good and a public good, and not
and how it is funded. The basic questions to ask are who should benefit
35
University of Mpumalanga, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 22 August 2016.
33
from higher education, and who should fund it? These have become
benefits that it brings. These are thus profoundly moral questions, and
the answers depend on our vision for the future and what we want to
46. The White Paper (1997) began by considering the important question of
all existing practices, institutions and values are viewed anew and
rethought in terms of their fitness for the new era and goes on to say that
Higher education plays a central role in the social, cultural and economic
respond to new realities and opportunities. It must lay the foundations for
mobilise the creative and intellectual energies of all the people towards
36
CHE, Presentation to the Commission, 22 August 2016.
34
a transformed society, both in economic and philosophical terms. This is
the purposes in more detail, namely to meet the learning needs and
and teaching. The Commission aligns itself with this summary of the
technical training.
35
47. In the next section the White Paper highlights that if higher education is
inequities, imbalances and distortions that derive from its past and
society committed to equity, justice and a better life for all. (1.6) As such,
48. The NDP, in its chapter on education, starts by clearly identifying the
recognising that the benefits of education are both to the individual and
society as a whole.37
37
NDP, p.296
36
49. In referring to universities, the NDP recognises that they contribute to the
higher education, the NDP notes that higher education is the major driver
to state that Universities are key to developing a nation. They play three
main functions in society: Firstly, they educate and train people with high-
level skills for the employment needs of the public and private sectors.
and they critique information and find new local and global applications
for existing knowledge. South Africa needs knowledge that equips people
highly skilled individuals are key to the economy, higher education also
38
NDP, p.316
39
NDP, p.317
40
NDP, p.318.
37
the university was referred to in a number of presentations; and it is key
(PSET) (2013)
50. Similarly, the PSET White Paper (WP) highlights the role of further and
the expansion of the economy, and who can find employment. This is the
development has been prioritised, and the role of education and training
The National Development Plan (NDP), the New Growth Path and other
this goal will enable the expansion of the key economic focus areas and
equip young people to obtain work.42 It goes further to explain that this
41
USAf, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 29 August 2016; NMMU, Submission
and presentation to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
42
PSET WP, p.2
38
esteem, and the ability of citizens to be actively engaged and
empowered. This White Paper reasserts these basic values that have
valid in 2017.
51. With regard to transforming South African society, the PSET WP notes
will allow more rapid economic, social and cultural development for
without it economic growth is not possible and society will not fulfil its
52. Higher education policy making has also focused on the issue of who
43
PSET WP, p.3.
44
PSET WP, p.5.
39
Higher Education (NCHE), appointed by then-President Nelson Mandela,
private benefit. It considered the fact that, on the one hand, higher
based on the understanding that the main benefit derived from such
both the student concerned and the public. It found that to establish a
contributions.
45
NCHE, p.220.
40
53. This view was re-iterated in the 1997 Education White Paper, which
explained the need to expand the system, and the costs associated with
this, but also noted high levels of government expenditure on the sector.46
equitably.47 The White Paper also discussed the need for a national
financial aid scheme for poor students and the possibility of a graduate
work scheme. The Higher Education Act, 101 of 1997 (as amended)
students who are not citizens or permanent residents of the Republic and
students who are .48 These policy decisions forged the course of the
54. It appears that in the various debates and discussion around the purpose
46
Education White Paper 3: A Programme for the Transformation of Higher Education (1997)
chapter 4.
47
Ibid., 4.7.
48
HE Act, 40(1).
41
3.6 PUBLIC OR PRIVATE BENEFIT
55. As can be seen above, one of the prominent indicators in deciding who
benefit. The funding positions in policy articulate a dual public and private
benefit, and for this reason argue for a cost-sharing model. During the
Commission, the issue of public and private benefit, and how this should
private sector, thus arguing that the private sector contribution to the
private benefit to higher education but rejected the notion that it should
benefit. For instance, SAUS, SASCO and the Students for Law and
Social Justice, all argued in favour of free higher education, but referred
educated people are having more chances of getting jobs and thereby
access the system, get education and look after their families. They also
42
would need social support from the government; and went further to
argue that free education would lead to a reduction in crime as they were
convinced that most of the people who commit crime are either drop-
people will access it easily and thereby get separated away [sic] of crime.
SAUS also commented on the private sector benefit, arguing that Human
Resource capital for the private sector will be intensified. We know that
the private sector that will gain the much-needed human resource [sic].
49
also claimed that the Higher education summit hosted by DHET in 2015,
49
SAUS, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
43
responsibility of providing higher education lies with the
state/government.50
58. In explaining the need for higher education to be accessible, the Students
for Law and Social Justice, explained that education has the ability to
alter the lived realities of the historically oppressed, as well as open the
focused on the public benefit and the need for more public funding to
NDP saying that The single most important investment a country can
creating societies that are better able to respond to the challenges of the
50
SASCO, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 22 August.
51
Legal Resources Commission: Students for Law and Social Justice, Submission and
presentation to the Commission, 12 August 2016.
44
that any cost of investment in PSET must also be compared to the
and the critical need to invest in research and teaching staff, especially
60. The DHET referred directly to the public and private benefits of higher
is the reason for the cost-sharing model adopted in the 1997 White
Paper, with the caveat that lack of finances should not prohibit students
on the public and private benefits of higher education. However, the CHE
also stressed that while equitable and increased access are important for
52
Professor M.W. Makgoba, Presentation to the Commission, 3 October 2016.
53
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
45
not be done at the expense of quality education. The CHE explained that
of public investment and public benefit. For this reason, state subsidy of
South Africa. This contrasts with the UK, for example, where it has been
reported that a quarter of all graduates are low earners 10 years after
year-olds participate; the fact that graduates do get better jobs accounts
in part for the huge demand in South Africa for wider access to university,
yet the UK instance indicates that widening participation may reduce the
that are not shared by those not receiving higher education. This was
disappointed graduates.
62. The CHE explained that what is needed is a higher education system to
46
student funding, but which is funded fairly in the context of the spectrum
63. The majority of the universities focused on the dual public/ private
generally agreed that more state funding was needed to support the basic
affordable.
addressing the social justice agenda of one of the most unequal societies
personal gain.
65. Mr. Bikwani, speaking on behalf of the University Council Chairs Forum
54
USAf, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 29 August 2016.
47
mentioning both public and private benefits. He referred to their critical
the youth. He focused on the need to deliver world class and quality
education to build the requisite skills profile that would ensure the
that the benefits of a vibrant and thriving higher education system are
added that Graduates are not only more likely to obtain employment, but
48
healthier individuals, and are less likely to engage in criminal activity, and
sector is, thus, essential to the creation of a thriving civil society. The
that funding higher education is not just a burden that the public purse
must bear, but that Government, universities, the Private Sector and
funds to all universities57. This is despite the fact that the private sector
55
In this sense, we need a system for funding higher education that treats the private and public
benefits not as opposing ideas but as complementary in the social justice project of the country.
56
Wits University, Submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
57
Our emphasis.
49
as a whole, is a beneficiary of graduates produced from South African
universities.58
67. The University of Pretoria argued that a cost-sharing model is best based
on the understanding that higher education has both public and private
benefits. Public benefits include social capital (better health, lower crime
graduates earn more than average incomes, even if they were poor as
income. Thus, they argued that the charging students fees is therefore
a rational element in the financing of HE, provided that, on the one hand,
these fees are adjusted by subsidies to account for public benefits, and
financial aid. 59
68. The University of Zululand also supported shared costs, with more focus
58
Wits University, Submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
59
University Pretoria, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 11 August 2016.
50
good that has significant positive externalities to society, hence all
social investment bond issues to meet the bulk of the financial needs of
tertiary education system they ought to pay for their education once they
fees scenario, where those who have benefited from higher education,
and can afford to pay when they are earning, should contribute, together
69. The University of Kwa-Zulu Natal argued three basic principles. The first
higher paid graduates; and lower costs for social grants and other
support. They explained that Public funding has declined, and this has
fees and student debt; and problems retaining critical academic staff. The
second principle is that the individual should pay for the private benefit or
51
better social protection in terms of benefits and pensions, and less
relates to access and affordability, and the need for a financial support
mechanism.60
70. The Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University also referred to the National
highlighting the public good. It explained that Recent reports of the World
Bank (2009; 2010) have similarly highlighted the critical role of higher
transport and many other hidden costs highlighting the need for
71. The University went on to consider the public and private benefits of
60
UKZN, Submission to the Commission, 29 August 2016.
61
NMMU, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
52
especially in Africa, there are considerable benefits to higher education.
that the region with the highest private returns on higher education is
Sub-Saharan Africa, and that South Africa specifically has the highest
education coupled with high levels of inequality mean that free higher
education will proportionally benefit the privileged more than the poor
that free higher education in highly unequal societies mainly benefits the
already-privileged (new political and business elite), who have the social,
ensure equity. Thus, the NMMU called for increased state funding in line
53
expanded loan option, with the possibility of private sector investment in
NSFAS.62
priority and all resources necessary should be channeled such that there
that the percentage of the GDP going towards further and higher
73. The CHET argued that there are a number of public and private benefits
South Africa are higher than in many other countries double that of
62
NMMU, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
63
TVET Governors Council, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 30 August 2016.
54
Mexico and Brazil; four times that of Norway. In countries with a high Gini
coefficient, like South Africa, free education tends to benefit the rich more
74. The National Tertiary Education Union (NTEU) argued that we have to
value, if not the highest. The NTEU accepted both public and private
for-all, but for all it should be cheaper and the alternatives must be made
even easier to access, such as TVETs for those who cannot access
considered.65
64
CHET, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 11 August 2016.
65
NTEU, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 1 September 2016.
55
advancement, status, income, future opportunity or simply, self-
estate) which can be exercised within or without the country that provides
investment, this is very much related to the degree in which the student
achieves his personal fulfilment. The less successful the student the
smaller is likely to be the return from taxes and indirect economic benefits
to the state. Benefits of higher education are shared between public and
beneficiaries from higher education production beyond the state and the
Yet the role of business in providing the cost of higher education has, in
deducted from salaries and wages. It is clear that the distinction between
public and private benefit from higher education is often blurred and
66
Unless it is argued that the State alone has a constitutional obligation to provide funding for
further education, a view to which this Commission does not subscribe.
56
varies from case to case and that such provision should be shared
between the state, the former student and the private sector.
OF THE COMMISSION
76. The terms of reference of the Commission refer to higher education and
post-school sector in its entirety. The DHET takes responsibility for four
(SETAs).
77. Community Education and Training Colleges (CET) are a relatively new
type of institution being established to assist youths and adults who never
to attain skills or re-skilling. The colleges are being built off the base of
general education and training for adults. There is very limited provision
There is very limited funding available for growth; little infrastructure and
57
Team is currently working on developing a funding model for the CET
enrol one million people by 2030. The colleges could also provide for a
additional funding for the CET sector is clear, the training offered at
As such, the Commission is of the view that CET does not fall under
the same way as no-fee schools are funded, as they are providing basic
education in poor areas. The needs of the CET should be taken into
fundamental/ basic right that must be provided to all who need it; while
67
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016 & 4 October 2016.
68
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on community colleges & funding requirements, 26
October 2016.
58
must be made progressively available and accessible to those who merit
that everyone has the right to adult basic education, while the provision
discrimination.69
79. The SETAs are not institutions of learning. They are bodies focused on
skills needed in that specific area, and to support education and training
but in general they have not reached their goals of providing good
are also concerns about poor governance.70 Given their nature, these
69
Minister of Higher Education and Training, Presentation to the Commission, 13 October 2016.
70
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 4 October 2016.
59
in funding and training however, remains of great importance in the
through TVET colleges, with funding from the SETAs. SETAs receive
money from the National Skills Fund (NSF), which consists of funding
expanded or better utilised to fund higher education and training, but this
levels of education divided into three bands. The first band is considered
81. TVETs (discussed in more detail below) straddle the line between basic
and 12 (up to NQF level 4). Other courses, such as the National
60
therefore, be funded according to different norms. In dealing with the
82. University (also discussed below) offerings can begin at NQF level 5 (with
83. Having confined the terms of the Commission to TVET colleges and
education within the funding for the education sector as a whole. It should
(ECD) and Basic Education (BE) should provide for all youth (compulsory
into the Further Education and Training band of schooling, and an even
under one million students, continue to university study (this is called the
61
participation rate). 71 Furthermore, the representivity of those attending
from deciles 1-5, about 90% do not qualify for university. The majority of
those who qualify and attend university come from middle class or
affluent families.72
education. Studies have shown that what happens to a child in the first
reference not only to formal education, but also to health and nutrition. In
before the age of 5 (Grade R), with support up to this age divided between
challenge for many South Africans. While no-fee schools can offer free
Grade R, poor people living in areas with schools in quintile 4 and 5 are
left to find their own solutions. 73 Research has shown that children
clear that all children should be able to benefit from education in these
71
CHE (2017), VitalStats. Public higher education 2015.
72
UP, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 11 August 2016.
73
DBE, presentation to the Commission, 23 September 2016.
62
early years if we are going to solve the challenges we find in our
education system.
86. The Commission heard much testimony on the fact that Basic Education
receives the bulk of funding, but that there is, none the less, an
higher education. It is clear from studies (such as TIMS), that our Basic
The number of learners who dropout before they finish Grade 9 (which is
the end of compulsory schooling), and even more before they reach
74
DBE, presentation to the Commission, 23 September 2016.
63
funds, substantial funding has been provided through NSFAS. The
Minister explained that since its inception NSFAS has supported 2.6
88. Part of the outcome of the 2009 democratic elections saw the
Consequently, the mandate of the new DHET included the TVET and
Paper, which captured the expanded sector and the desired integration
between sub-sectors. This shift in policy had funding implications for the
PSET sector, and at the time of publishing the White Paper, there was
75
Minister of Higher Education and Training, Presentation to the Commission, 13 October 2016.
64
declining in real terms, thereby deepening the funding crisis and leading
taking into account the entire education context when considering the
expand, improve the quality of and adequately fund TVET colleges and
learning for University students, TVET students and CET students; and
the system to provide sufficient spaces for study, but also to ensure that
This chapter will briefly consider the mandate of the Commission in terms
of higher education and training; the current PSET context and how it
has been shaped by the past and how it can be developed; and the
various costs facing the TVET and university sector in order to ensure
76
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
65
3.9 THE PSET SYSTEM
The shape of the PSET system in South Africa, 2010 and 2014,
77
APPETD reproduced this slide in their presentation to the Commission, 22 September 2016,
title added by author, no source provided by APPETD.
66
3.10 THE PSET SECTOR
90. The post-school education sector, like all other parts of South African
specific foci and for designated races. For instance, within the college
was only a focus at the white universities, and even within these to a
91. The college sector has not developed along as clear a path as the
has shifted over time, and attempts to ensure sufficient artisans and
78
The section on the college sector is based on a workshop given to the Commission by Volker
Wedekind on 28 July 2016. Additions are made (and footnoted) from various presentations to
the Commission.
67
continue to this day. Unfortunately, most people still see college as a less
one of the reasons why South Africa has too few people with vocational
changed into Universities of Technology, and there has been a shift away
92. Aside from the image problem that they face, the colleges have also
made that have not always had the desired outcome. For instance, the
68
institutions, while others are progressing well.79 The lack of security and
2013, meaning that the funding for and standards of different public
colleges was very different.81 Furthermore, some colleges (to this day)
93. Added to this, interpretations of what vocational training is, have changed
intermittently over this period. At one time, there were Further Education
and Training Colleges (FET), and now they are Technical and Vocational
(TVET) Colleges. Some offered Adult education, but now this is being
with more than twenty specialisations in the NCV alone. They offer pre-
79
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 04 October 2016.
80
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 04 October 2016.
81
False Bay College, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 25 October 2016.
69
service and in-service training. This means they straddle the line between
were being phased out, and were then brought back at the behest of
and courses, meaning that there are challenges with curriculum design,
94. One of the big challenges facing these colleges continues to be their
95. Despite these challenges affecting the basis of the college sector, there
is still a push to grow the sector to meet the needs of the economy and
the demand for further education. The number of students in the TVET
sector more than doubled, from 345 000 students (headcount enrolment)
82
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 04 October 2016.
83
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 04 October 2016.
84
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 04 October 2016.
70
in 2010 to 709 535 in 2015. However, in terms of the fully costed funding
are planned - one is complete; two are underway and another nine are
out for tender (although a lack of funding remains a concern for full
many students enrolled in the college are following the NCV, despite
96. The TVET sector is facing severe financial pressure, which impacts on
the quality and innovation of the sector, and on the student experience.
97. False Bay College explained the funding situation from the Colleges
85
DHET, Presentation and testimony to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
86
DHET, Presentation and testimony to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
87
DHET, Presentation to the Commission, 04 October 2016.
88
False Bay College, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 25 October 2016.
71
into 3 categories, namely, Ministerial Programmes, Occupational
programmes and the current policy is that the DHET funding provides for
80% of the programme costs and the student is responsible for paying
the remaining 20% in the form of tuition fees. NSFAS bursaries are
available for needy students who are not in a position to pay the 20%
class fees. The reality however, is that in 2015 there were 664,748
2016 and indications are that it will remain unchanged in 2017. The
College explained further that both NSFAS and DHET allocations are
The College had a shortfall of R19 million in 2016.89 The DHET explained
that Colleges are expected to recover fees from students that do not
89
Presentation and submission by False Bay College, 25 October 2016
72
qualify for NSFAS bursaries; however, due to the no fee increase in
skills programmes. These programmes are not funded by the DHET but
are offered at a cost to the client. Colleges work together with SETAs and
the National Skills Fund (NSF) to fund these programmes and provide a
are subsidised by the DHET through the partnering university and the
101. The situation is made worse by fear that the university crisis is diverting
universities. 93
position. Since 2013 the college has submitted a negative budget to their
Council each year, although it has each time managed to meet its
90
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
91
False Bay College, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 25 October 2016.
92
Presentation and submission by False Bay College, 25 October 2016
93
False Bay College, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 25 October 2016.
73
project funding. 94 The College carries 73 staff members who are not
funded through the annual DHET allocation; and this prohibits the college
from making critical appointments on all post levels, affecting the quality
increase enrolments from the DHET, despite the fact that there is no
additional funding.95
103. The South African College Principals Organisation (SACPO) agreed with
the Colleges general assessment, explaining that while the DHET uses
the 80:20 ratio for funding, the allocation has been reduced to 62% or
less and bursaries have also been cut. Furthermore, DHET keeps a
portion of this money (63%) for salaries, without considering the different
104. The TVET Governors Council went even further, expressing their opinion
Colleges, the supposed skills machinery for the country.97 This had led
reached almost R4.7 billion, and TVET Colleges were excluded when
universities were compensated for the no-fee increase; and when relief
94
Tshwane South College, Presentation to the Commission, 25 October 2016.
95
Tshwane South College, Presentation to the Commission, 25 October 2016
96
South African College Principals Organisation (SACPO), Presentation to the Commission, 24
October 2016
97
TVET Governors Council, Presentation & Submission to the Commission, 30 August 2016.
74
was provided for historic debt. TVETs annually write off bad debts,
leading to even more chronic financial strain. The Council explained that
they are expected to increase the size of the sector, without the proper
support, despite the fact that the sector provides for the poorer student
105. The DHET agreed that there is a crisis of underfunding in the TVETs
sector. They explained that in terms of the fully costed funding norms, the
were funded at 53% rather than 80% as per policy (where the remaining
funded at 81%, but since then this has declined to 68% in 2014/15; 60%
major crisis.100
106. The DHET also discussed the underlying principles of fair funding for
TVETs. This is not currently the situation as the level of funding is not the
same across all provinces. For instance, in the Eastern Cape TVET
98
TVET Governors Council, Presentation & Submission to the Commission, 30 August 2016.
99
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
100
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Funding of TVET & CET Colleges, 24 October
2016.
75
students are funded at R26 857 per FTE (full-time equivalent) learner,
a single national system from the old provincial system. Fair funding
would include equal rand values per weighted FTEs; an allowance for
whether colleges are urban or rural, small or large; and allocations based
certification rates. Low throughput rates can also result in small class
sizes at higher levels, which increases the cost per student for offering
greater focus on the cost per graduate, rather than on the more basic
measure of cost per enrolment. Even though targets in this sector are
101
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Funding of TVET & CET Colleges, 24 October
2016.
76
there is no benefit to society or the economy. The Committee also
107. The DHET added that NSFAS bursaries (amounting to R2.3 billion in
2015) have been allocated to poor students to fund tuition fees (229 000
is available, and about 50% of students dont pay fees, there simply is
102
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Funding of TVET & CET Colleges, 24 October
2016.
103
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
104
Minister of Higher Education and Training, Presentation to the Commission, 13 October
2016.
105
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
106
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
77
3.13 THE UNIVERSITY SECTOR
traditional universities still exist, and while racial barriers have been
landscape. In some instances, this process has been effective, but not
all institutions were merged, and not all mergers were successful. The
2014, and one merger was undone to create two universities, leaving the
109. The historical disadvantages tend to still impact on the current trajectory
78
(HBIs) or historically-white (HWIs) and the nomenclature is used to
choice, so they can select students with higher matric averages, who are
more likely to succeed. They can also offer better support (academic and
110. Nonetheless, as mentioned earlier in this report, it was at these HWIs that
number of these HWIs are currently under severe financial strain. This
has resulted in, for instance, cuts to support staff and library collections.
the fact that while the number of students enrolled in the sector has
79
doubled from 495 356 in 1994 to 983 698 in 2013, there has not been a
the Review of the Funding of Universities (2013) found that Meeting the
(in real terms) has been declining over the years. Between 2000 and
2010, state funding per full-time equivalent (FTE) enrolled student fell by
size and shape of the sector varies in different countries (for instance,
107
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities (2013), p.7.
80
colleges and universities indicated severe financial strain, not only on the
112. The cost of an education goes beyond what is often considered. 108
met. Due to this not being the primary focus of this report, these will only
sectors, must also take these into account if the quality of education
not drop out before they have completed their studies. This requires a
is funded from the operating budget and the increasing investment has
108
Universities were unable to explain clearly why an LLB degree for example would cost more
at one institution than another. This question may need to be addressed in finding a solution to
fee regulation.
81
strategic research areas. It added that although UJ had modest
maintenance.109
(2016), which found that six universities had operating deficits in their
2014 council controlled funds (NWU, RU, UKZN, UNISA, CUT, MUT);
nine universities had council controlled personnel costs above the DHET
UCT (65%) , WSU (71%), DUT (71%), MUT (65%), VUT (70%)); and that
student debt before provision for doubtful debt was R5.451billion or 28%
which stands at CPI plus 2%. 111 An expert analysis of the funding
framework and the challenges was further provided by Prof Rolf Stumpf,
109
UJ, Presentation & Submission to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
110
CHET, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 11 August 2016.
111
USAF, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 29 August 2016; UNISA Bureau of
Market Research (2014), Research and development of a higher education price index for
South Africa (Commissioned by HESA).
112
Rolf Stumpf, Presentation to the Commission, 18 October 2016.
82
goes to salaries (in the case of the University of Johannesburg, 61%).113
Salaries are one of the items that tend to increase beyond CPI, and in
second main reason for higher inflation is the proportion of goods bought
and the deprecation in the value of the Rand.114 Another major cost driver
inflation level rate, is the cost of utilities (water, electricity) and these,
together with costs for cleaning and security, account for 10% of the UJ
services and concomitant staff costs will exacerbate the situation at many
115. Teaching and academic staff: 116 While the cost of staff salaries is
education, this is one of the factors leading to the high rate of inflation in
the sector. Lecturing staff (both at college and university level) need
113
UJ, Presentation & Submission to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
114
CHE (2016) South African higher education reviewed. Two decades of democracy, p. 214.
115
UJ, Presentation & Submission to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
116
This section is partly based on the presentation by USAF to the Commission, 20 October
2016; but also on broader reading, including CHE (2016) South African higher education
reviewed.
83
Academics need to have undergone many years of study (undergraduate
National Development Plan has set targets for the number of academics
with a doctorate by 2030, although this is not the only measure of quality,
116. Aside from the necessary qualifications and research ability, teaching
shortage of black female academics, and most Professors are white men.
117. The staffing challenge is exacerbated by the fast expansion of the sector
over the past twenty years, meaning that more staff are needed. USAf
has calculated that the sector will require the recruitment of 3 683
84
additional academics into newly created posts by 2019, adding an
average of 737 per year. This excludes those needed to replace staff who
retire or resign from existing posts. Add to this the general problem of the
staff increase. Unfortunately, the last twenty years have not witnessed an
overall student: staff ratio has increased from 20:1 in the early 2000s to
27:1.117 The system has been employing about 233 (fulltime equivalent)
2012.
118. On the other hand, the National Tertiary Education Union raised the issue
119. There has been much written on the state of the academic profession
117
CHET, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 11 August 2016.
118
NTEU, Submission of May 2016.
85
contract rather than permanently. South African universities are similarly
affected.
120. In South Africa, an additional staffing cost which needs to be taken into
account, is the cost of insourcing. This was one of the demands of the
between R0.5 and 2 billion per annum. This will also see an increase in
the salaries and benefits for insourced staff. Some universities have
indicated that they expect no additional costs, which has yet to be seen.
121. Research:119 The cost of research is not always taken into account when
function of the university. Research is not only important for the country
119
This section is partly based on the presentations and submissions to the Commission by the
National Research Foundation (NRF), 5 September 2016 and by Loyiso G. Nongxa, 19 October
2016, but also on broader reading, including CHE (2016) South African higher education
reviewed.
86
laboratories, expensive equipment, IT facilities and expensive software
licences, and libraries with access to journals. The needs differ by field.
hospitals and related facilities are required. All of these are run at a high
bring in an income, but the experience has been that enthusiasm for new
developments decreases quite quickly, and that funds often end up being
only for specific projects and the blue skies research of an institution
costs. For instance, students need access to the library and to relevant
costs is even less clear. The NRF indicated that Any policy, planning or
87
postgraduate studies (number and value of bursaries and
scholarships).120
122. Student support services: 121 Support services have become more
extensive and more important in recent years, not only in South Africa,
such services depends on the extent and uptake of the services. The
and lowering dropout levels. There has been extensive research both
intervention to ensure that students are studying in the field most suited
to them (academically and personally) as this will make them more likely
they need when they start in higher education, and throughout their
Such support includes assistance with the application process and other
necessary and available; and medical care and counselling if and when
120
NRF, Presentation to the Commission, 5 September 2016.
121
This section is partly based on the presentations to the Commission by Emeritus Professor
Ian Scott, 19 October and 9 November 2016 (based and updated on a proposal produced by a
CHE task team of senior academics submitted to the Minister of HET in December 2014) and by
the DHET, 24 March 2017. Also on broader reading, including CHE (2016) South African higher
education reviewed; CHE (2013), A proposal for undergraduate curriculum reform in South
Africa: The case for a flexible curriculum structure.
88
needed. Some universities have introduced specific programmes for first
robot system) which help identify when and where there is a problem;
89
Accumulative throughput comparison of 2008, 2009 and 2010
124. Based on such cohort throughput studies, the South African university
succeeding. This is financial burden for the state, the university and the
122
CHE (2017), VitalStats. Public higher education 2015.
90
Rate of 20% in 2013.123 This participation is racially skewed. About 12%
However, this is not the case and performance has stayed stubbornly
poor over time with overall throughput rates as shown in the table above,
education.
125. Scott suggested that one of the reasons for the demand for Decolonising
123
Ian Scott, Presentation to the Commission, 19 October 2016.
91
articulation gap between school and university. He discussed under-
preparedness and how the gap could be closed from either side, but that
indicated that the cost of expanding to 4-years would be less than the
the assumption that any additional students given access would be less
able to succeed without support than the current, top achieving, intake.
interventions are bearing fruit, and that there are clear improvements in
Scott, is not the route favoured by the DHET at this time. The Minister
explained that the DHET has provided significant funding for foundation
92
development grant at universities with the aim to improve the success
rates of all students and therefore ensure access with success. 124
128. While there are a number of different views on this issue, and various
great concern to Treasury. 125 The issue of the best way to improve
success. Increased access without success is not in line with the spirt of
124
Minister of Higher Education and Training, Presentation to the Commission, 13 October
2016.
125
National Treasury, Presentation to the Commission, 7 October 2016.
93
consideration will be directed to the important issue of student support in
above, the size of the higher education sector has increased significantly
over the past two decades both at colleges and universities. With
lecture halls, library space, laboratories and rooms for practical work, or
return. The 2002 university funding formula did not make an allocation
and those without reserves could not expand. Lack of maintenance has
term maintenance. In 2006/07 the DHET realised that the sector was
and as a result, the government invested more than R13 billion from
2007/6 to 2014/15 over 3 funding cycles. 126 The first cycle ran from
126
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Infrastructure initiatives and related costs, 20
October 2016.
94
cycle, 2010/11 to 2011/12, consisted of funding to the value of R3.3
billion (R6 billion from the state and R2.5 billion in university co-funding).
The priorities changed for this cycle to include the backlog at historically-
capacity and African languages. Money was also made available for
student housing (R1.69 billion and university co- funding of R670 million)
billion (85%) of this allocation, and the other campuses R247.3 million
(15%).
130. From 2015/16 the DHET changed the process for allocating the grants
institutions have developed campus master plans and have carried out
housing, and R350 million to priority commitments from the third cycle. It
is envisaged that the 2016/17 to 2018/19 cycle will make R7.5 billion
95
available, with about half going to student housing and the other half to
infrastructure needs.127
131. In 2010 the DHET identified the need for new universities to be created
to meet the capacity demands in the sector. A feasibility study and 10-
year spatial development plan were completed with an initial grant of R50
grants were put aside for the two new universities (Sol Plaatje University
(124 at SPU and 240 at UMP, mainly in refurbished facilities) and the
plan is to grow over the next 10 to 15 years to 7 500 students at SPU and
18 000 at UMP.128
and safety standards. Official university residences were too few to meet
the student demand with 107 598 beds for the approximate 535 000
127
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Infrastructure initiatives and related costs, 20
October 2016.
128
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Infrastructure initiatives and related costs, 20
October 2016.
129
Report on the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Provision of Student Housing at
South African universities (2011); Iain LAnge, Submissions and presentation to the
Commission, 26 January 2017.
96
students in contact institutions at that time (20% in residences). The
problem of housing was worst at HDIs. Dr. LAnge explained some of the
financial aid, given the array of support measures in place, but that it can
between students from different races and social classes, and notably
development (i.e. to cater for between 50% and 80% of the student
130
DHET, Presentation to the Commission on Infrastructure initiatives and related costs, 20
October 2016.
97
134. Language: 131 The issue of the language of our institutions of higher
Summit noted that the increasing levels of frustration due to the slow
language into their administrative culture, but this does not tend to carry
and while some have selected to drop the language entirely, and had to
language was one of the matters raised during the protests of 2016, and
it is clear that it remains an emotive issue. The view held by the protestors
is that it is expensive, favours one race group over others, and leads to
131
Marlene Verhoef, Presentation to the Commission, 20 October 2016.
98
developed and produced in these languages, and duplicate classes need
135. Transformation: South African society cannot shy away from the need
reported later in the year. 132 Broadly, it found that that discrimination,
132
Report of the Ministerial Committee on Transformation and Social Cohesion and the
Elimination of Discrimination in Public Higher Education Institutions (2008).
99
funding for NSFAS; and the implementation of language policies that
Commission, and highlighted the costs associated with it. 133 They
students to ensure they are not just provided physical access to the
136. Section 29(3) of the Constitution recognises the place of private tertiary
education. It provides:
(3) Everyone has the right to establish and maintain at their own
expense, independent educational institutions that-
133
RU, VC presentation to the Commission, 2 September 2016.
100
(4) Subsection (3) does not preclude state subsidies for independent
educational institutions.
137. While the State has a programme for providing subsidies to independent
education assumes a far more important role than is presently the case
training.
138. The purpose of this discussion is not to consider the challenges and
134
Minister of Higher Education and Training, Presentation to the Commission, 13 October
2016.
101
139. APPETD described the private further and higher education sector,
pointing out that the sector is regulated through the Higher Education Act,
argued for support from the Treasury for these institutions. They
They then referred to some other countries where the state provides
in the NDP, and how private institutions could assist with human
the poor, both in relation to TVETs and universities. In the light of this,
135
APPETD, Presentation to the Commission, 22 September 2016.
102
they argued for financial support to be available to students attending
these institutions.136
141. PHEIG, on the other hand, focused on the crisis in the public higher
that any state funding should be directed in any way to the private sector.
We fully support the current structure in that the private sector should be
towards the private sector. So, our interests are fundamentally different
on this matter.
142. PHEIG noted the current situation where, as a result of not being able to
afford fees, higher education [is] inaccessible for many students. They
need to address this situation, pointing out that fee increases meant
fewer students who can afford public higher education and fewer
students who existing state support systems can support. If that is taken
with the reported low repayment rate on the NSFAS system, the net
costs which have not been offset by subsidy increases or fee increases.
136
Richfield Graduate Institute of Technology, Presentation to the Commission, 30 August
2016.
103
Finally, the problem of low throughput and graduation rates was referred
to, pointing out that more graduates graduating sooner may result in an
increase in the repayment of NSFAS funds and therefore more funds for
143. While the private higher education sector in South Africa is relatively
the lack of capacity in the public sector, the more so if student numbers
noted that the model proposed by the Commission is one that seeks to
equal as possible.
3.16 CONCLUSION
144. The discussion above highlights the many funding pressures facing the
PSET sector, and most specifically the TVET colleges and universities.
137
PHEIG, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 22 September 2016.
104
efficiency changes, many require additional funding. The purpose of this
and the entire range of needs of each sub-sector within the education
higher education to one section of the entire PSET system. That said, the
145. The expression fee-free may bear a seemingly obvious meaning on its
face. In practice, the position is otherwise. First, the evidence before the
commission has been virtually unanimous that although the fee element
cost of such education or training for the student, it is, on its own, of little
full cost of study. Thus, it has been emphasised (and persuasively so)
that tuition is for the great majority of the student body (and also for the
urged that one of the contributors to the high dropout and failure rate in
105
while underplaying the full cost of study. The truth of this assertion is not
measurable but the Commission has been persuaded of its likelihood and
the consequent need to take the full cost of study into account in any
training system.
commission to higher education which carries no tuition fee at all for the
student during the period of his or her studies and at any time
also the diverging views expressed in evidence before us that the real
of their studies. This does not exclude the obligation to pay the whole
or part of such tuition fees at a later date when the former student, now
able to pay. We have therefore understood the concept in this sense, i.e.
duration of study.
106
5 FEASIBLE
sense that that we have interpreted this concept. Thus, many presenters
must, in the end, stand or fall by the degree of its practical application.
138
It must fairly be noted that the Commissioners (all legally trained) were not in agreement with
the advice of the evidence leaders (also legally trained) in all respects.
107
149. One of the key foci of the Commissions work has been to better
understand the reasons for the demand for free education; the
Freedom Charter does not form part of South African law and, while not
The aim of education shall be to teach the youth to love their people and
their culture, to honour human brotherhood, liberty and peace;
Education shall be free, compulsory, universal and equal for all children;
108
Teachers shall have all the rights of other citizens;
150. The document refers to free, compulsory basic education for all children.
which are awarded based on merit. The Charter does not explain merit
our understanding in the association is that they are also saying that
Those merits are [the] means test [to see whether you] are from a poor
139
SAFETSA, Testimony to the Commission, 29 September 2016.
109
151. The Commissioners are satisfied that the Freedom Charter did not
OF 1996
152. The Commissioners hold differing views as to the scope of the states
according to the capacity of the state. We shall begin by setting out the
153. While the Freedom Charter was a document often referred to, it is the
110
(2) Everyone has the right to receive education in the official language or
languages of their choice in public educational institutions where that
education is reasonably practicable. In order to ensure the effective
access to, and implementation of, this right, the state must consider all
reasonable educational alternatives, including single medium institutions,
taking into account:
(a) equity;
154. The key point is that everyone has a right to both basic and adult basic
education, the state must take reasonable measures [in order to make
it] progressively available and accessible. There is, therefore, not a right
education and adult basic education is not limited in the same way. As
and training.
140
Nor is s29(1)(b) reasonably capable of an interpretation that includes such a right (to the
extent that s233 of the Constitution may be invoked in interpreting the first-mentioned section).
111
including adult education, is a fundamental/basic right that must be
provided to all who need it; while further education, which can be
(CET) gives effect to section 29(1)(a), namely that everyone has the right
discrimination.141
156. The Students for Law and Social Justice (SLSJ) explained that There
are three key features of section 29(1)(b) that must be noted: 1. The right
the right to further education, the state is enjoined to take measures that
141
Minister of Higher Education and Trainings Input for Presidential Commission, 13 October
2016.
112
are reasonable. 3. The right to further education must be made
justification, in and of itself, that can be relied on by the state for non-
the state and all relevant stakeholders, including the institutions, involved
Development Plan (NDP) and the subsequent PSET White Paper (WP),
set high targets for growth in the higher education and training sector.
The White Paper, taking its lead from the NDP, targets student enrolment
continues a trajectory of high levels of growth in the sector over the past
two decades.
142
SLSJ, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 12 August 2016.
113
previously, per capita funding to both TVETs and universities has not
the targets were not costed prior to the publication of either the NDP or
the PSET WP. As a result, when bids were put to Treasury to fund this
the first step.143 This costing report indicates that, in order to fund all
2014. 144 The costing report indicates that while enrolments are
expenditure (in real terms) needed to achieve the aims of the White
by 2030, if the policy targets are met. 145 The report goes on to
from R8.7 billion (2014) to R292.2 billion (or R112.4 billion in 2014
143
National Treasury, Testimony to the Commission, 7 October 2016.
144
Volume 5: Consolidated Report on the Costing and Financing of the White Paper on Post-
School Education and Training, p. I.
145
Ibid.
114
(2014) to R334.3 billion in 2030 (or R129.8 billion in 2014 prices). The
inaccessible. This is the key concern for the Commission. Added to this,
high failure and dropout levels across the system, indicate a systemic
articulation gap. This concern was discussed in more detail earlier in this
160. There was also some debate in the Commission regarding the
this, it is important to consider the primary focus of the right. From the
146
Ibid., p. I - II.
115
above discussion, and the DHETs interpretation, the primary focus is on
not refer to free education, and does not indicate the progressive
realisation of free education. The focus is not on the policy used (such as
the preferred financial aid intervention) to ensure the right, but on the right
away from free education could be introduced should these meet the
backgrounds.
POLICY
161. For the past twenty years, the Constitutional requirements have found
basis of financial need. More recently, there have been nuanced changes
to the policy position, moving towards a call for free education for the
poor. These are expressed in the PSET White Paper (2013), the task
116
team report on free education for the poor and various ANC manifestos
has entailed, and how the call for free education is defined. These
162. The government and DHET are not unaware of the challenges posed by
fee increases. In the 2013 PSET WP, the general policy position of a
shared cost-model was retained, although the focus had now shifted to a
allowance, but who couldnt afford university costs. The White Paper
funds available for student loans and bursaries.147 The Policy explained
further that, since 2011, poor students in TVET colleges have not had to
147
WP 2013, 7-8
148
WP, 2013, 8
117
resources available to this group. The option of capping fees was
raised.149
163. Despite recognising the problem with the fee model, the White Paper
funding environment. Fees have risen substantially over the past two
section notes the 2012 report on fee-free education for the poor
policy in that free education for the poor, fee regulation, and funding for
the missing-middle are all proposed concurrently. Despite this, the model
of loans is also clearly retained, with the White Paper explaining that
149
WP, 2013, 8
150
WP, 2013, 37
151
WP, 2013, 37
118
The principle of cost recovery of loans from students who have
resolutions and policy decisions in the interim years.153 At the ANCs 52nd
statement in 2011, where he noted that: With effect from this year, 2011,
study and who qualify for funding from the National Student Financial Aid
Scheme, will receive a loan equivalent to the full cost of study, which is
the full fee and the necessary living expenses. If these students graduate
at the end of the year, the loan for the final year will be converted to a full
bursary. They will not have to repay the amount. This model will be
phased in over the next few years to include students in earlier years of
and Training Colleges who qualify for financial aid will be exempted
152
WP, 2013, 37
153
Ms Naledi Pandor presented to the Commission on 27 March 2017 on behalf of the ANC
Health, Education, and Science and Technology sub-committee.
154
Ibid.
119
completely from paying fees.155 The Minister HET, Dr. Blade Nzimande,
poor (discussed below). This report of the working group was submitted
to the June 2012 ANC Policy Conference, which determined that a policy
for free higher education to all undergraduate level students from poor
the ANC noted that significant steps had been taken towards developing
a policy on free higher education for students from poor and working-
ensue. 157 It was resolved that the policy would be completed and
adopted before the end of 2013. At the same conference, it was noted
noted that students from poor families should not pay up-front fees; that
class families should also be subsidised; that full cost of study should be
155
Ibid.
156
Report of the Working Group on Fee Free University Education for the Poor in South Africa,
2012.
157
http://www.anc.org.za/docs/res/2013/resolutions53r.pdf. Accessed 20 April 2017.
120
covered; and that The upfront fees that are provided and enable fee-
free university education for the poor and subsidised fees for the
166. Before moving on, it is important to analyse these resolutions. The ANC
called for free education, and supported the free education report
However, the ANC also noted the high cost of university education and
the need for an expanded system. It went further to explain free education
as a deferred payment system, where loans are repaid after study, but
with a bursary for successful poor students (neither term being defined).
This is, in effect, what NSFAS was already doing after the Presidents
resolution are, therefore: full cost of study loans; loans for the missing
158
Ibid.
121
6.5 FEE-FREE WORKING GROUP
167. In 2012 the Minister of HET appointed a working group to consider the
feasibility of making university education fee-free for the poor. This was
168. In the report, the definition of undergraduate study included all 3- and 4-
year degrees and diplomas; fees were taken to mean full-cost of study;
and the poor were defined as those earning less than the lowest SARS
tax bracket (R54 200 in 2010). In its analysis, the working group
sharing in the face of the increasing cost of higher education; the need
current NSFAS ICL. Various problems with the NSFAS system are
122
repay loans over a period of 15 years, dependent on whether they ever
grant for poor students, which is the gap between their full-cost of study
and the repayable loan thus providing free education where a loan is
not repayable. They recommended full-cost loans for students from poor
income households; and no loans for those from affluent households. The
lending; retaining the current NSFAS system for those students already
169. In considering South African policy, ANC resolutions and the inputs of
principles overlap throughout. The first, is the need for a transformed and
leaders, understand the Constitution to mean that the state must provide
123
the public institutions, teaching staff and all ancillary measures necessary
being a fact-based value question upon which the state exercises a wide
nothing about the cost of or payment of tuition fees and there is in our
barred to those who cannot afford it. It is then the duty of the state to
ensure that such bar is removed. Fee-free education may then become
removal of the bar may however take various forms, for example, the
124
7 INTERNATIONAL OBLIGATIONS
stating that: the government of the Republic of South Africa will give
provide as follows
Article 13(1) The states parties to the present covenant recognise the
right of everyone to education. They agree that education shall be
directed to the full development of the human personality and the sense
of its dignity, and shall strengthen the respect for human rights and
fundamental freedoms. They further agree that education shall enable all
persons to participate effectively in a free society promote understanding,
tolerance and friendship among all nations and all racial ethnic or
159
Section 39 of the Constitution provides:
(1) When interpreting the Bill of Rights, a court, tribunal or forum -
(a) must promote the values that underlie an open and democratic society
based on human dignity, equality and freedom;
(b) must consider international law;
(c) may consider foreign law.
160
Ratification, of itself, is insufficient to render the Covenant domestic law in South Africa.
There has been no enactment into law by national legislation, nor does the Covenant contain a
self-executing provision (s231(4) of the Constitution).
125
religious groups and further the activities of the United Nations for the
maintenance of peace.
(2) The State parties to the present covenant recognise that with a view
to achieving the full realisation of this right:
(3) The States parties to the present covenant undertake to have respect
for the liberty of parents and, when applicable, legal guardians to choose
for their childrens schools, other than those established by the public
authorities, which conform to such minimum educational standards as
may be laid down or approved by the state and to ensure the religious
and moral education of their children in conformity with their own
convictions.
(4) No part of this article shall be construed as to interfere with the liberty
of individuals and bodies to establish and direct educational institutions,
126
subject always to the observance of the principles set forth in paragraph
1of this article and to the requirement that the education given in such
institutions shall conform to such minimum standards as may be laid
down by the state.
Article 14 Each State party to the present covenant which, at the time of
becoming a party has not been able to secure in its metropolitan territory
or other territories under its jurisdiction compulsory primary education,
free of charge, undertakes within two years, to work out and adopt a
detailed plan of action for the progressive implementation, within a
reasonable number of years, to be fixed in the plan, of the principle of
compulsory education free of charge for all.
172. Testimony referring to the Covenant161 was provided by Oxfam and the
while the State always needs to contend with competing obligations, like
the right to access water and food and education, these are all subject to
the same Bill of Rights and Constitution. However, in the South African
case, [we need] to deal with the legacy of apartheid [and] the divided past
fees themselves, if we were not to intervene at that level it will mean the
161
The Commission has not treated this evidence as interpretative of South Africas obligations
(any more than it has done so in referring to policy statements) but rather as providing social
commentary on the obligations as the presenters perceived them.
127
would also help with the situation of poverty, alongside the question of
unemployment, and the question of very very low wages for the majority
level there are interventions like fee-free schools, but that at tertiary levels
the fees are much higher. In light of this, Oxfam gave its support to fee-
173. Oxfam contended that in terms of the Convention, South Africa has to
put in place all technical and economic apparatus towards the full
so. They argued that NSFAS does not comply with this particular article
realization of this right over time [and because] the language that is
used in the current policies seem to suggest that the objective of the state
in South Africa is not full realization of the right rather The means test
discriminate based [on] those who are said to have the means to fund
full realisation of the right and then putting in place reasonable measures
128
towards the attainment of the right, and then they will have to diagnose
174. The SLSJ explained that: Importantly, the language defines the right
broadly, setting a framework of ideals for states to fully realise over time
measurable steps to reach the next goal in fully realising the right to
towards the full realisation of the right to education as laid out by the
and higher education for all. What can be interpreted from this SLSJ
explanation, is that the free basic education is the first priority. The SLSJ
did not refer to the declaration South Africa added regarding free basic
175. The SLSJ explained further that General Comment No. 13 on the right
While the precise and appropriate application of the terms will depend
upon the conditions prevailing in a particular State party, education in all
its forms and at all levels shall exhibit the following interrelated and
essential features:
129
(a) Availability - functioning educational institutions and programmes
have to be available in sufficient quantity within the jurisdiction of the
State party. What they require to function depends upon numerous
factors, including the developmental context within which they operate;
for example, all institutions and programmes are likely to require buildings
or other protection from the elements, sanitation facilities for both sexes,
safe drinking water, trained teachers receiving domestically competitive
salaries, teaching materials, and so on; while some will also require
facilities such as a library, computer facilities and information technology;
130
article 13(1) and such minimum educational standards as may be
approved by the State (see article 13(3) and (4));
176. The SLSJ indicated that, section 29(1)(b) of the Constitution makes
when considering the availability and accessibility of the right. This has
177. It is instructive to glance at other countries who are party to the Covenant.
For example, the UK ratified the Convention in 1976. Since then, the UK
has moved from a free higher education system, towards one where
university fees are charged and students are offered income contingent
higher education. There are a number of other countries that have ratified
the Covenant, but who are considering moving away from free education
131
necessarily relevant to the constitutional position of South Africa. They
are merely indicative of a recognition that the covenant does not set free
178. The Chairman of the Commission162 is of the view that the ratification of
higher education.
179. It appears to the Chairman that with regard to the terms of article 13(2)(c),
(i.e. the capacity of the signatory state): the means to achieve that end
162
The view of Commissioners Ally and Khumalo differs slightly and is expressed in paragraph
183.
132
education. This is simply a restatement of the progressive role of free
higher education as set out in article 13(2) but drawing attention to its
180. The view of the Chairman therefore is that the Convention is consistent
with the Constitution of the Republic and does not extend the obligation
181. When South Africa added its declaration to its signature it expressly
163
The expansion of the clear meaning of s29(1)(b) to create wider rights than are provided in
the section would require an amendment as contemplated in s74(2) of the Constitution. No such
amendment has been effected. Even a reasonable interpretation of s29(1)(b) does not include
an obligation to provide higher education at no cost to the beneficiary. Such an addition must
necessarily be burdensome to the State. Section 233 of the Constitution is not of application.
133
and does not extend the obligation of the state to the provision of fee-free
182. In keeping with the economic and social demands of the country this
repayment of the whole or part of the amount spent on the student, after
183. Commissioners Ally and Khumalo agree that s29(1)(b) of the Constitution
does not create a right to free further education, but merely a right to
limited only by its progressive realisation within the capacity of the state.
HIGHER EDUCATION
134
and fulfill the right to higher education and to ensure that it is made
following measures:
1994;
184.4. since inception NSFAS has supported 2.6 million students (1.5
success;
135
184.6. has implemented the Staffing South Africas Universities
and
contact institutions.
185. The Minister did however point out that the transformation of the sector
issue before us. Depending on the correct view of the legal obligation of
136
187. If free higher education is not a right, questions of regression and
188. According to the terms of reference of the Fees Commission, the main
particular for the higher education sector. The Commission took a broad
and those against the introduction of free education for all (or some) in
189. The parameters of free education were also a point of discussion, but
there was general agreement from all parties that whatever form financial
aid should take in South Africa, funding should cover the full cost of study.
164
See the judgements of the Constitutional Court in the following cases: Governing Body of the
Juma Musjid Primary School and Others v Essay NO and Others 2011 (8) BCLR 761 (CC) at
para 58; Minister of health and Others v Treatment Action Campaign and Others 2002 (5) SA
72 (CC) at para 46; Maphango and Others v Aengus Lifestyle Properties (Pty) Ltd 2012 (3) SA
531 (CC) at para 32; Sarrahwitz v Maritz NO 2015 (4) SA 491 (CC) at paras 45-6
137
Full cost of study means that funding should take into consideration not
only tuition fees, but also the cost of accommodation, transport, learning
materials, food and other living expenses. Some also called for funding
towards basic access to health care. While there were some different
agreed that, given the levels of poverty in South Africa, providing for
tuition fees only is not a viable solution. It was noted that full cost of study
is not generally the focus in other countries, and in fee-free systems, only
support free full cost of study, and others supported free tuition with loans
190. Most participants in the Commission gave some indication of what they
Commission. Many of the viewpoints were offered in the first set of the
Commission, which did not have a specific topic for consideration, but
165
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
138
institutions; and finally, civil society and research groups and individual
participants.
191. There were certain overlapping viewpoints which most, if not all,
participants agreed on. First, the issue of a decline (per capita) in state
funding was highlighted as a major problem, which has left not only
in other countries to highlight the need for greater state funding. Second,
there was general agreement that NSFAS is underfunded, and that this
has led to some of the problems experienced by students. There was not
separate section of this report, and not as part of the testimony on free
was agreed that students should not be excluded from higher education
for financial reasons. The form and extent of support was the topic of
much debate in the context of the economic climate and the competing
139
9.2 GOVERNMENT AND STATUTORY BODIES TESTIMONIES
192. The first perspective on free higher education to be considered is the one
bodies working in the higher education sector. The DHET explained that
need for growth in other parts of the education system, and therefore
193. The DHET explained their view in reference to the general state of
However, they also described the state of university funding in the context
of the demand for free education. They explained that block grant
and 2015/16 in nominal terms, but that due to the eroding effect of
inflation, this was only a 29.8% increase in real terms, not taking into
there was actually a decrease in the per capita full-time equivalent (FTE)
166
DHET Presentation, 04 October 2016
140
student allocation of -3.4% over these eleven years. The DHET explained
income. The net result is that university fees have become increasingly
this, the DHET proposed that block grant funding to universities should
increase to a level of 50% of the cost to run an institution; but that fees
194. The DHET also explained that, in its view, NSFAS is already
interest free loan. Interest is only charged one year after he or she has
167
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
141
and remain poor, they never pay back their loan and in effect receive
their entire university education free (paid for by the state). The
study). This would require an additional R29 billion over the 2016/17 to
universities (family income below R120 000 per annum). However, more
195. Similarly, the Minister of HET in his testimony explained that the
poor) are effectively funded for their studies. He explained that DHET has
cover students at full cost of study, but that these have not been
that in response to the demand for fee-free higher education and training,
the government has made significant new funding available. Free TVET
168
DHET, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
142
college education for poor students has been introduced, but there are
insufficient funds to support all students who require full cost of study
working class or middle class, are able to access loans and bursaries so
that they are able to access higher education TVET and are not expected
to pay fees (FCS) at point of entry. The loan portion of the financial aid
and that the Ministerial Review of the NSFAS (2010) proposed that full
Minister explained that NSFAS provides eligible students with the means
student begins to work and earns at least R30 000 or more per year. Up
having their total loan for the final year converted into a 100 % bursary if
169
Minister HET, 13 October 2016.
143
196. The National Treasury focused their attention on the financial situation of
revenue, while spending on social support has increased. This had led to
an increasing debt burden, leaving the state with a debt to GDP ratio of
a period of consolidating the budget. They indicated that aside from the
earmarked taxes (like the NSF). In 2014/15, 71% of the PSET budget
while an additional R13.8 billion was collected through the national skills
levy. NSFAS for universities has increased from R510 million in 2000 to
almost R7 billion 2014/15. NSFAS for TVETs has increased from R300
that should the position be taken to fund free education, money would
170
have to be cut from other social priorities. National Treasury
the allocation, with the PSET allocation among the top five together with
170
National Treasury, 12 August 2016.
144
the relationship between taxation and economic growth is complex, and
and the need for state subsidisation. However, it pointed to the growing
number of poor students, and the limited tax base. Other funding
a whole. The CHE discussed some funding options, together with their
loan, which could lead to a high debt burden. Third, the capping of fees,
lower fees. Finally, a sliding scale of fees, which would require a broad
enough tax base to raise sufficient funds, and would not be feasible in
198. The NRF began by discussing the public and private benefits of higher
the knowledge economy. The NRF explained that The funding of Higher
171
National Treasury, 07 October 2016.
172
Council on Higher Education, 22 August.
145
There is need to provide adequate funding for postgraduate students,
in the same way as NSFAS is an agency of the DHET. The NRF funds
10% of all postgraduate students in the country while NSFAS funds 25%
basis. The NRF discussed the pressure that their funding is under,
especially as fees increase above inflation and the NDP has set targets
NRF funded students, which is above the set benchmark. The NRF
146
climate in South Africa. For this reason, the NRF would support an
education study. Regarding the university crisis, they suggested that their
pro-poor policy with regards to free schools has been a success; and
with various priorities struggling for better funding. Lack of funding to fund
new initiatives was highlighted more than once. Among these priorities is
173
National Research Foundation Presentation & Submission, 05 September 2016.
174
DBE Presentation, 23 September 2016.
147
mentioned. Despite this, there is a clear recognition of the need for better
It was agreed that no poor student should be denied access based on his
or her financial situation. Further important points were the need for
increasing student debts which in our struggle we call it the black debt.
support to all the deserving poor families with an income below R130,
0.75% of GDP to 2.5 % of GDP [which] will relieve the burden on students
to fund their own education. This will go a long way in assisting in our call
175
SAUS, 10 August 2016.
148
202. In light of this dire situation, SAUS gave its support to a free education
model. They argued that charging fees is against the spirit of the
Freedom Charter of 1955, and that free education would lead to various
scheme. They explained that the missing middle are not middle-class
students, these are students from the working class who are too rich for
NSFAS, and too poor to pay fees: too poor to be rich, and too rich to be
poor. They are the children of teachers, of police men, of civil servants
and others. SAUS believe that the problem began with the
that they can AFFORD, not the education that they deserve... The focus
developing but on ensuring that we pay the institution for the service
possible initiatives: (1) Cutting the government wage bill, as one third of
R26 billion. (2) Introduction of an education tax of 3%, to raise over R30
176
SAUS, 10 August 2016.
149
billion from all the tax payers. (3) As a developing country, South Africa
1990s and the international solidarity helped them to fund part of the free
education bill. The country will create a model that developed [countries]
can be able to release funding and assist in funding free education. (4)
suggested that sport is not a high priority. (5) Access private sector
funding For example if all companies listed at the JSE can contribute 4%
of the required funding for free education, only 25 companies can pay the
full amount towards free education (6) By dealing with corruption and
minister goes out of the country and spent R300 000 just for one holiday,
such money would have funded three students to receive free education.
(7) Private individuals and the general public wishing to contribute to free
204. The Students for Law and Social Justice stressed the importance of
alter the lived realities of the historically oppressed, as well as open the
177
SAUS, 10 August 2016
150
subservience and poverty. Their submission focused on the
considered access more broadly than only financial access. The SLSJ
205. Regarding free higher education, SLSJ believed that the immediate
realisation of fee-free further education for all would serve to benefit the
need are assisted at the justifiable expense of those wholly able to pay,
redress the injustices of the past. This proposal would see greater
178
Students for Law and Social Justice, 12 August 2016.
151
those wholly able to pay. The sliding element of this proposal is realised
resources.179
206. The SLSJ also indicated that an alternative to the sliding-scale model of
students are in need of credit facilities, but fail to meet the surety
the student making use thereof and would, due to its income contingency,
prevents a situation where students are forced to pay more than they can
Freedom Charter and Constitution, and gave their support to the 2012
179
Students for Law and Social Justice, 12 August 2016.
180
Students for Law and Social Justice, 12 August 2016.
152
education. Academically capable students from working class and lower
resources and travel that are the full cost of study fees. They also
for the Poor in South Africa (2012), which indicated that Free university
address some of the legacies of the past and deepen the scope and
208. SASCO explained their opinion further: Free, accessible and relevant
market. Fees are used purely as a way of creating a sticker price for a
into consumers and force universities into competition. SASCO called for
181
SASCO 22 August.
153
a funding system that provides universities with financial security and
209. Regarding the funding of free education, SASCO accepted that it might
be implemented in phases, for the poor, and missing middle, and later for
this did not need to be only in the form of additional taxes, but that
even a modest 1% increase [in the] skills levy, channeled into higher
education could take a huge burden off of government and, ultimately the
share towards generating the skilled workforce that they tap in to, rather
than continuing to free ride. SASCO also called for central control of all
182
SASCO 22 August.
183
SASCO 22 August.
154
210. Finally, SASCO called for application fees to be abolished and for no
not be whether the country can afford the cost of free quality education,
the question we ought to ask, is whether can the country afford having
explaining that the SRC was busy dealing with the problem of poor
students without NSFAS funding, and that this reemphasize the urgency
in relation to the need for free, compulsory, quality education. The current
poor. It doesnt even fund half of the students that, based on their
because of they are saying that there is shortage of money. The SRC
that too much money is lost through corrupt practices. The SRC clarified
that they only support free education for the poor. They argued that too
problems with NSFAS, focusing on the fact that there was not sufficient
money for all qualifying students, and that the missing-middle also
184
SASCO 22 August.
155
needed assistance. They added that S-Bux (the NSFAS student card)
limits where they can shop; the means test is very problematic; and there
did argue that Im saying maybe there should be a level at which, [sic]
once your tax contribution and theres a certain level in which you earn,
you are then asked to pay a particular portion. I dont particularly believe
that we should just give NSFAS money for free, because when you look
against the stream in the sense that if the natural evolution of your life is
that youre from a shack and you are destined to become a domestic
immediately you earn R37 000. Now, these are realities [sic] what NSFAS
can do, so we must not close that gap, we must allow that gap for people
212. The UWC students also made a submission. They indicated that higher
The students criticised the continued policy focus on free education for
the poor, not allowing scope for wider consideration of free education and
in the context of no clear definition of the poor. The students added that
185
UKZN SRC, 29 August 2016.
156
translated into success. This leaves students with large debts which they
tracking system for re-payment of NSFAS loans, and called for no interest
on loans. Finally, the SRC concluded that free education could be funded
rebates.186
186
UWC SRC Submission.
157
have largely been negated by fee increases, and that adequate levels of
NSFAS funding are vital to ensure that no student is excluded from higher
financial position of the HDIs, where most students rely on NSFAS. They
existing budget, free higher education for the poor with support for the
support to poor students and the missing middle can be provided for;
students should not receive financial support for fees. They explained
that NSFAS could still be used as the body to manage this support, but
that more funding should be directed towards the entity. They argued that
158
supported proportionate to their family incomes; and that academically
214. SAFETSA is the student body for the TVET sector, and provided the
While care is needed to search for ways of finding those that are deemed
students in the TVET sector tend to represent the poorest segment of the
our people in the TVET sector to protect the yet to be found middle. They
reminded the Commission that while the fees protests had originated in
the university sector, any decisions made could also impact on the
TVETs. They added that NSFAS provides TVET students with bursaries
enrolment and because TVETs attract the poorest students. Despite the
215. Regarding free education, SAFETSA discussed some of the pros and
pitfalls of such a system, but argued in general for free education for the
187
DASO Presentation, 23 September 2016.
188
SAFETSA Presentations & Submission, 29 September & 22 November 2016.
159
poor. They explained that, in their interpretation, free fees appears as a
and accessible in line with the Constitution. They added that At stake on
society despite their creed and economic status. In this light free-fee can
education. Education is not a place for making money, but provides [a]
context to build a country. They explained further that there are critics
who have raised concerns about monetary value, but that the other view
of sympathisers who place the people at the centre then end with
structure that could best serve them. SAFETSA also pointed to a South
African Institute for Race Relations (SAIRR) study which noted that only
South Africa makes undergraduate and all college studies to be free for
all those who cannot afford to pay; that government and business
commit to [a] mechanism that would raise necessary revenue; and that
those that have been helped should contribute to their alma mater once
216. The Young Communist League of South Africa (YCLSA) was clear in
their support for free education, although they did accept that there would
189
SAFETSA Presentation & Submission, 29 September 2016.
160
need to be steps in the interim until it could be attained. The YCLSA
education and introduce control over fees in the meantime. The demand
for free education can only fail if it is reduced to cancellation of fees alone,
the curriculum and its content is a necessary pillar for the demand for free
and a grant be introduced for students. We call for more state funding for
higher education to complement the loss of revenue from tuition fees and
whole and not a family. The YCLSA drew a distinction between free and
the content of education, transformation and fees while the loosely coined
word of fee-free is used to divert attention away from all issues of the
161
quality compulsory transformed education and not on fee-free
education.190
217. In addition, YCLSA noted the need to address the existing difference
indicated the need for increased access, but acknowledged that many
universities are at full capacity and new universities have been opened.
YCL noted that Lack of free quality education is amongst the major social
and transform ivory towers into peoples centres for peoples education.
remains the biggest challenge and that we need to develop systems and
opportunities that allow the poorest of the poor to attain education without
the burden of the cost. In this regard, YCLSA also called for government
218. Regarding NSFAS and loans, YCLSA noted that NSFAS has led to many
black graduates being in debt after completing school. The students fall
190
YCLSA Presentation & Submission, 29 September 2016.
191
YCLSA Presentation & Submission, 29 September 2016.
162
rate. In addition, NSFAS does not cover all the costs and needs of poor
and working-class students. In the short term, the YCLSA called for
students be allowed to pay as and when they can pay during the
219. In summary, all students highlighted the problems with the current
system, and with NSFAS being insufficient. While most student groups
gave their support to free education in some format, the majority also
recognised that in the short term this could only be provided to the poor.
Definitions of the poor were not provided. Some students called for free
when a certain income level has been reached so that other needy
192
YCLSA Presentation & Submission, 29 September 2016.
163
9.4 HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS
9.4.1 UNIVERSITIES
220. Universities South Africa (USAf) referred to the growth in the higher
USAf did not give its support to free education, which in its opinion would
benefit the wealthy. It recommended one of two models. The first model,
students in the missing middle; with other students paying upfront fees.
planning. This model could lead to high student debt. The second model
The problems with this system are that the tax burden increases;
emigrating students would not pay; and its success is dependent on the
164
to encourage individual and corporate donations to higher education;
business contributions through a levy or tax; and the use of skills levies
graduate study) and warned that this should be borne in mind in any
future model.193
even those who could afford to pay were fully funded. This led to various
income. There was general agreement regarding the need for South
GDP. The University argued that the public and private benefits of a
thriving education system are clear, especially given the need for
transformation in South Africa. For this reason, Wits argued for the
case of Wits, funding has decreased over the past five years.194
193
USAF Presentation & Submission, 29 August 2016.
194
Wits University, 10 August 2016.
165
222. Regarding individual contributions, it was agreed that those who can
University also pointed out that according to Stiglitz: Student debt is not
country. People will not start new businesses, invest in capital equipment,
223. The University of Pretoria started by pointing to both the public and
investment which led to higher than expected tuition fee increases. The
all deserving poor students was recognised as one of the major problems
leading to the current funding crisis. The University described the tuition
poor households would not remain poor after they graduated and that,
from a life-cycle perspective, the problem is not one of poverty, but the
195
Wits University, 10 August 2016.
166
mismatch between the timing of expenditure and income. This mismatch
that, on the one hand, these fees are adjusted by subsidies to account
students from well-off families pay the full fee rate. The University
explained that such a model would require that all students are means
tested. The University was not in favour of a regulated set fee model, as
subsidy from the government. This has affected the institution negatively
as they cater for poor students, and as a result student debt (and debt
written off) has been increasing, especially since the protests in 2015.
196
University Pretoria 11 August 2016.
167
TUT does not provide full-cost of study allocations to students, and has
rather developed its own model to cater for more students. TUT
targets set in the 2013 White Paper on PSET education, unless the
focus on the college sector to turn around the skills pyramid. TUT did not
give its support to free education for all, as this is unaffordable, but
suggest that students who can afford fees continue to pay upfront, and
that other students pay after they have studied either through community
225. The University of Mpumalanga argued that the provision of high quality
private benefits, and the need for a cost-sharing model. They explained
that the key questions that must be answered are the proportions of the
private and public contributions and when and how these funds are
that some can afford upfront fees, and others require assistance.
197
TUT, 22 August 2016.
168
government funding not keeping pace with inflation and growing
enrolment. The UMP supported a loan and bursary system, where loans
are repaid through the tax system over a number of years, with no interest
benefits.198
226. Like many of the other universities, the University of Limpopo (UL) began
growing student debt; and the public and private benefits of higher
education. The UL explained that even with fees levied, the higher
funding; that business and civil society contributions should expand; and
that expansion targets for the university and TVET sectors should be
legacy.199
227. The University of Venda referred to the rising costs facing institutions,
198
University of Mpumalanga, 22 August 2016.
199
University of Limpopo Presentation & Submission, 24 August 2016.
169
an 8% increase was needed by the institution to remain sustainable.
funds according to the needs of their students; and SARS should assist
equity and equality. They indicated that the decline in public funding was
education was not the solution as this would benefit the rich. They
study only, with a means test linked to SARS and social security data.
200
University of Venda Presentation, 24 August 2016.
201
UKZN Submission, 29 August 2016.
170
recognised high private returns and limited resources. As a result, they
did not give their support to a total fee-free education [system] for all
fee-free undergraduate higher education for the poor and indigent based
missing middle. The DUT supported full cost of study allocations, and
230. The University of Zululand (UZ) argued that the central problem is the
inability of students to pay upfront fees. The University argued that due
bond [solution should be found] to meet the bulk of the financial needs of
tertiary institutions and Since students are the major beneficiaries of the
tertiary education system they ought to pay for their education once they
202
DUT Presentation & Submission, 30 August 2016.
203
University of Zululand Presentation & Submission, 30 August 2016.
171
231. Based, on this, UZ proposed a loan repayment system or taxation
mechanism after the student enters the job market on the basis that it
end once the loan is paid off, while a graduate tax would be ongoing. UZ
proposed that such loans be available to students from poor and middle-
income families, and that the size of the loan would be on a sliding scale
preferences, i.e. lower fees for courses and programmes that are in high
a lack of money was affecting the quality of the education the institution
funding formula and the recent funding review. They also indicated that
204
University of Zululand Presentation & Submission, 30 August 2016.
172
years. As a result of the decline in funding the institutions have been
increasing fees to match the requisite need for quality higher education.
For HDIs, whose majority of students come from poor families, this has
led to high demands for the National Student Financial Aid Scheme
NSFAS funding has led to increased student debt. The UFH went into
233. UFH indicated that, in their view, Fees should be a component of higher
education funding but the poor should access higher education without
having to pay at the point of service. The students supported by the state
should pay back after qualifying, either in kind or in cash. Public service
234. The Walter Sisulu University (WSU) focused on their financial position.
They indicated that 90% of their students applied for NSFAS, and about
73% qualified. The rest of the students were part of the missing middle
and cannot afford fees. As such, the university is very reliant on state
dire financial situation. It can hardly cover the costs of basic educational
services, and has no money for maintenance or for improving the student
205
UFH Presentation, 01 September 2016.
206
UFH Presentation, 01 September 2016.
173
accommodation situation. WSU suggested a differentiated fee system,
235. The NMMU discussed the public and private benefits of higher education
in some detail, and indicated that the transformation of the sector carries
additional costs to cater to the needs of students from working class and
students from poor backgrounds will remain marginalised and set up for
in R1.7 billion, instead of just R2.48 million [and] NSFAS would have
defining and including the missing middle, where NMMU has their own
R300 000. NMMU concluded that for them, the question is: Who must
pay and when?. Their argument was that Firstly, government needs to
prioritise the funding of higher education in line with the policy intentions
of the National Development Plan. Secondly, since there are public and
private benefits to higher education, both the state and students need to
contribute to the cost of higher education on condition that those who are
207
WSU Presentation & Submission, 01 September 2016.
174
unable to pay are supported adequately through a strengthened NSFAS
with loan options for the middle-class. Furthermore, the role of the private
236. Similarly, Rhodes University (RU) began by discussing the public and
already skewed by the uneven school system. While the rich can afford
fees, the upper-middle can access bank loans and the poor can access
NSFAS, the majority of South Africans sit between these categories and
are denied access to higher education by the crushing fees. The RU also
position, and why relying on third stream income is not a viable option,
partly due to the impact this would have on quality. Rhodes University
They explained how the real concern about NSFAS is that it is only
potential students who have perhaps got a better chance of success are
supplement NSFAS, but access remains limited given the high cost of
208
NMMU, 02 September 2016.
175
loans. RU went on to support some aspects of the proposed new NSFAS
237. Finally, RU agreed with Nico Cloete of CHET, indicating that it needs to
to all, it will be a regressive subsidy of the upper middle class and the rich
by the rest of the population. It added that While the idea of free higher
policy.210
209
RU Presentation, VC Presentation & Submission, 2 September 2016.
210
RU Presentation, VC Presentation & Submission, 2 September 2016.
176
and that residence fees charged are not at a level where institutions could
students.211
239. UJ recommended that the cost-sharing model between the state and the
240. The University of the Western Cape (UWC) began their presentation by
this call, which resulted in severe financial pressure, students who could
not afford to pay their debt, and eventually by 1998 the University was
UWC warned that we should learn lessons from the past. Only after an
211
UJ Presentation & Submission, 02 September 2016
212
UJ Presentation & Submission, 02 September 2016.
177
injection of money from the state, was UWC able to recover. Since then,
large percentage of UWC students rely on NSFAS, and over the last
government subsidies have not kept pace with growth. In conclusion, the
University indicated that they support free education for the poor and
along the current trajectory, there will be financial loss in real terms. If
funded at the correct level, free education for the poor could result in
better support for the HDIs due to better cash flow and lower levels of
student debt.213
underfunding of the sector over close to two decades has given rise to a
despite this not being the most politically favourable policy, as this was
the best way to ensure not only the financial health and sustainability of
213
UWC Presentation, 05 September 2016.
178
supplement this funding. The University went on to discuss the current
percentage of GDP. Having highlighted the need for more funding and a
class that can afford university education and a large component of lower
middle class and poor students who cannot pay their way. We realise that
student fees are a major concern for many of our students and their
the missing-middle who do not qualify for NSFAS and described their
bursary system, funded out of the fees of those students who can afford
that Studies have also shown that in the developing world fee-free higher
education has tended to benefit the upper middle class and very affluent
sectors of the population rather than the poor. They added that, given
the public and private benefits, they support a cost-sharing model, but
214
Stellenbosch University Presentation & Submission, 06 September 2016.
179
tuition fees based on household income, but we do support the provision
provided.215
243. The University of Cape Town (UCT) referred to the success of higher
education in South Africa over the last twenty years, but highlighted
increases to student fees. The University explained that the ideal position
would be if South Africa was a rich country with little inequality and if it
income; in the next 30 years, higher education will not be the highest
priority such that it commands the resources from public funding needed
went on to discuss funding streams, public and private benefits, and the
need for increased government subsidy. They explained that Tax based
public funding should benefit all, and not just a small proportion of the
215
Stellenbosch University Presentation & Submission, 06 September 2016.
180
percent of households, and even though this should increase to about
25% over the next 20 years, this is still a small minority of the population.
fact that they have been to better schools and come from family
also become even more privileged relative to the rest of the population
chose to use the public schooling and health systems. Thus, everyone is
paying tax (e.g. through VAT, duties, and for many, income tax) while
244. UCT discussed different options to support students in financial need, but
pointed out that poverty is a continuum, and having cut off points could
therefore affect some negatively. As such, UCT suggested that two levels
of fees could be unfair to those near the cut-off; and sliding scale fees
tuition fee with bursary and loan support on a sliding scale for those in
need. UCT discussed the benefits of loans (and good and bad loans),
banks becoming involved, but also the possibility of the poor being over-
indebted.217
216
UCT Presentation & Submission, 06 September 2016.
217
UCT Presentation & Submission, 06 September 2016.
181
245. Like other universities, the UFS started by focusing on government
universities within the entire PSET sector. The University suggested that
its support to free education for the poor, and discussed their bursaries
0% fee increase was not possible, and would impact severely as many
246. UNISA discussed the financial position of the University and higher
teaching and learning is not inexpensive and therefore does not meet the
218
UFS Submission, 22 September 2016.
182
students who are poor and who qualify for access to higher education
institutions. In the current context, free education for all would benefit the
wealthy who can afford fees; would remove the current cross-
subsidisation of the poor by the rich through fees and of certain fields by
submission with a discussion of the role of the university and the public
not only between students. The CPUT suggested that any funding
changes need to take into account the different needs of universities and
went on to consider free education, and noted that The risks associated
with a free-fee structure are considered high. While the model is followed
that not paying for a service has a psychological impact on society with
respect to the value of the service provided, which in turn affects the
219
UNISA Presentation & Submission, 22 September 2016.
183
controlled loan or graduate tax system would need to ensure that fee
very different fee structures. CPUT argued that these perpetuate the
industry and the higher education sector should be explored further with
cater mainly for the financially impoverished and who have a very low fee
220
CPUT, Presentation & Submission, 23 September 2016.
184
irresponsible by CPUT to suggest that a fee-free scenario for higher
should pay fees. Those who cannot should then be subsidised by the
directly to the sector and not only through current tax but perhaps an
249. The Central University of Technology (CUT) focused on the size and
shape of the institution, and their financial challenges. They noted that
fees have become an increasingly important part of the budget, but that
other funding, but that NSFAS does not cover all students or all costs. In
conclusion, CUT gave their view that fees cannot be taken out of the
221
CPUT, Presentation & Submission, 23 September 2016.
185
helping needy students who should not be exonerated from paying back.
222
250. In brief, all the universities highlighted the financial pressure on the
sector, and explained that a decline in funding per capita had impacted
the public and private benefit of higher education, which justifies private
institutions. All institutions called for some support for poor students
systems were also raised. HDIs highlighted the additional problems they
face as the majority of their students are poor and rely on NSFAS. HWI
institutions referred to the bursaries they offer poor students and cross-
was placed on whether international students should pay their full fees,
or whether some form of subsidy will be paid to cover their cost of study
9.4.2 TVETS
222
CUT Presentation, 23 September 2016.
186
preferential treatment. They discussed the cost-sharing model of post-
school education, but that within this government subsidy was declining,
that, given skills shortages and the need for transformation, South Africa
capital gains tax (5%) and PAYE (0.5%). In addition, it called for the skills
252. The TVET Governors also indicated that NSFAS capacity should be
systems to ensure more available funds for redistribution, and that the
funding and distribution model by NSFAS for the universities, TVETs and
253. The Buffalo City TVET College explained that, in their view, no South
African learner, who meets the minimum entry requirements for a chosen
reasons. The TVET management felt that that those who can afford fees
should pay, while the college SRC was of the view that higher education
223
TVET Presentation & Submission, 30 August 2016.
224
TVET Presentation & Submission, 30 August 2016.
187
should be free for all regardless of the financial status of students. The
to begin when the graduate starts earning. This would assist in the
to emigrate within a period of five years need to pay back the value of
learner will be responsible to pay back the costs. However, they also
254. The College of Cape Town discussed the benefits of expanding the TVET
system, and called for government funding for all TVET programmes and
students. They recommended that the poor be given bursaries for tuition
and living expenses, and that the missing middle be given loans, while
those who can afford to pay should continue to do so. In conclusion, the
college reported that their SRC had indicated that if the government is
serious about expanding the TVET colleges sector, then it should review
225
Buffalo City TVET College, 02 September 2016.
188
the allocation to TVETs, review which programmes qualify for student
financial support; and expand the group with access to financial aid.226
255. False Bay College explained the system of funding for different TVET
However, the College does not support a fully free system, but rather
would be between poor (family income below R175 000 pa), missing-
middle (family income between R175 000 and R300 000) and wealthier
students (called category 3 with income above R300 000 pa). Category
students should qualify for a NSFAS bursary for tuition and training
material and a loan for other expenses. Category 3 students could apply
for a loan for tuition only, but only if their family income is below R500 000
pa. The College concluded that the university fee crisis is diverting all
There is a real fear that funding that would have been committed to
university crisis.227
226
College of Cape Town Presentation, 06 September 2016.
227
False Bay College Presentation, 06 September 2016.
189
256. In summary, TVET providers focused on the levels of poverty in the
sector and the need for financial support for students as a result. While a
free-for-all system was supported by some and not by others, the need
for more funding if enrolment is to expand (as per policy) was highlighted
by all. It should further be noted that a significant number of the fifty public
257. APPETD highlighted the role that private institutions play in providing
bank loans, but that not all students are approved as they dont have the
higher education for all, as this would mainly benefit the rich and the
middle class, but that they would support free higher education for the
poor. They recommended that NSFAS support for the poor continue, but
a voucher system for priority skills areas, which could also be used in the
190
private sector. In conclusion, they recommended that private providers
258. The PHEIG outlined the current funding crisis in the public higher
who could not afford fees and were not able to access NSFAS funding.
PHEIG argued that those who can afford to pay should pay, and that
students by the wealthier ones and the reality is that it is morally and
already having more access to fee paying students. The PHEIG also did
ceiling be lifted, and increased in line with CPIX; that NSFAS manage
repayment more tightly, possibly with SARS; possible gap funding for the
residential accommodation and meals and meal support for students who
228
APPETD Presentation, 22 September 2016.
191
are receiving fee assistance so that basic needs for food and shelter are
met for all registered students. Finally, the PHEIG noted that many in the
missing middle access bank loans, and that a bank tax could be
introduced in this regard; and that a graduate tax should be handled with
care as many in the missing middle and just above, incur significant debt
would not be a fair solution if free education would only apply to studying
private education, and indicated that Free public education and cost-
competition.230
260. The Richfield Graduate Institute, a private institution, argued for funding
they fill the gap in terms of access, and students should be able to select
have access to higher education funding, which they can use where they
229
PHEIG Presentation & Submission, 22 September 2016.
230
Centre for Creative Education, 5 September 2016.
192
prefer. This could also reduce the cost of expanding the public higher
education sector.231
INDIVIDUALS
261. The CHET, after referring to both public and private benefits, explained
that in countries with high Gini coefficients (like South Africa) free HET
privileges the already privileged, and as such CHET does not support
free university education for everybody. The CHET Director, Mr. Cloete,
went on to discuss how the current crisis was brought about through a
the size of the system, government subsidy, and tuition fees. He referred
loans and possible loan for the missing-middle; the introduction of greater
231
Richfield Graduate Institute, 30 August 2016.
193
differentiation models; introducing social impact bonds; or a graduate tax
model.232
262. The National Tertiary Education Union (NTEU) highlighted the public
benefit of education, but did not give its support to a free-for-all system.
accessible, and suggested that ways should be found to reduce the cost
263. Mr. Lukhona Mnguni, a PhD student at UKZN presenting in his personal
and training is attainable. He suggested that this should start with the
most needy students, and explained how this term was difficult to define.
232
CHET, 11 August 2016.
233
NTEU Presentation, 01 September 2016.
194
institutions, students living conditions and the working conditions of
a need for increased participation and thus propose a funding model that
participation.234
264. Mr. Mnguni discussed the current ways of defining the poor, but argued
University fees and related costs. Due to the difficulty in determining the
fees and related costs; many others are financially excluded. However,
unused money could be sourced from the National Skills Fund (NSF);
1.5% of GDP; that 10% of the budget for all mega infrastructure projects
234
Mr Lukhona Mnguni Presentation & Submission, 29 August 2016.
195
Corporate Social Investment (CSI) budgets of companies with an annual
the Skills Development Levy should be increased by 1%; and a five year-
off tax proposed by the Truth and Reconciliation Commission and must
corrupt transactions.235
265. Mr. Nzuza also made a submission to the Commission, in his personal
bursaries, and if they cannot access these, they are excluded. He argued
that continued fees will lead to greater disparity between individuals, and
will limit economic growth. He also argued that this went against our
all poor students and increasing tuition fees, which together impact on
achieving equality. Mr. Nzuza suggested that, in the first instance, only
235
Mr Lukhona Mnguni Presentation & Submission, 29 August 2016.
196
the very poor should receive free education, while those who can afford
continue to pay.236
266. Mr. Clive Honman, a training and development manager presenting in his
college first. Here they could become better prepared for university, and
this would cover the first year of the curriculum and reduce the time spent
university education in skills shortage areas, or other areas in line with its
development plan. Students who benefit from the above pay back via an
education tax which only kicks in when the individual earns over a specific
threshold and for a defined time period thus re-filling the coffers for future
267. A parent, Ms. Ntabeni, gave testimony regarding her situation. She is a
teacher, and as such her son did not qualify for NSFAS, so she needed
to pay fees. She indicated that she has insufficient money, and has
borrowed money, used her investments and still owes the university. She
indicated that she does not support free education, as this is not
236
Mr S.G Nzuza Presentation, 29 August 2016.
237
Mr C Honman Presentation & Submission, 30 August 2016.
197
reviewed to include those with a higher household income, and civil
after graduation or getting work. She said that black tax was not a reason
not to pay, as this was something most people had to assist with, and
that if somebody was supported, they should pay back. Free education
268. Equal Education began by referring to the still unequal school and
between historically white and black institutions have not been overcome,
and that participation by different race groups is not yet equal. As such,
fees are low for some sectors of the population (sometimes lower than
school fees), for others, even the low fees of the HDIs are unaffordable,
and NSFAS cannot provide for all who need support. EE went on to
this is lower than international averages. They argued that free education
238
Ms Ntabeni, 1 September 2016.
198
defence bill, cutting the state wages bill, and using the money allocated
programmes that provide the proper tools and resources for students who
better understood.239
second series of protests highlighted the depth of the problem, and how
government was not taking it seriously. They also explained that when
government funding declines, HWIs can increase fees and find third
stream funding, but HBIs have few choices. Additional funding for these
job and pull their families out of poverty. The burden of debt is too much
239
Equal Education, Presentation and submission to the Commission, 5 September 2016.
199
to carry. NSFAS should rather be a grant for the poor which is those
coming from no-fee schools. This should cover TVETs as well. EE also
called for businesses to contribute towards the grant scheme, with any
270. The Someleze Give Us Strength Women & Girl Education Rights
have compassion for the problems the students are facing, a sustainable
solution needs to be found that wont affect the quality and availability of
access to poor students but also show the student the value of the
investment, and ensure that they take responsibility for their studies.
giving his own perspective as a student leader who had just completed
his studies at UCT, and was involved in the #Rhodes Must Fall, and later
the #Fees Must Fall Movements. While he couldnt make his presentation
240
Equal Education, Presentation to the Commission, 15 March 2017.
241
Someleze Presentation, 05 September 2016.
200
due to disruptions to the work of the Commission, his submission was
that too often, the solution is sought within the realm of economics rather
than that of sociology or politics. For whatever reason, when one speaks
economics of the problem. He asked that rather than consider the best
economic solution, look for a solution that makes the most humane
avoided was taking away money from other social priorities; excluding
not going to try and answer the question of feasibility, he was of the view
young people dont have these skills, but universities can provide them.
Its the logic that drives the provision of free basic education in South
Africa. So why endanger their ability to access the skills made available
by these institutions?.242
272. Dr. Cosser is employed by the HSRC, but he presented in his personal
242
Mr Chikane Presentation, 06 September 2016.
201
education sector as a whole, and the need for funding at the lower levels
according to decile. This would still lead to a shortfall in fees, but would
273. A group of academics, with Professor Vally presenting, gave their support
to free education for all. 244 They explained that we are faced with a
employment and opportunity, but which has not funded Higher Education
243
Dr MC Cosser, 10 November 2016.
244
Mondli Hlatshwayo (University of Johannesburg), Rasigan Maharajh (Tshwane University of
Technology), Zolisa Marawu (Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University), Enver Motala
(University of Fort Hare), Leigh-Ann Naidoo (University of the Witwatersrand), and Salim Vally
(University of Johannesburg), 08 November 2016.
202
a commodity [as this would] perpetuate inequalities and divisions,
274. Regarding funding for higher education, Vally argued that the costs of
education are not easily reconcilable with narrow economic goals alone
the idea of responsible public service and citizen work by the recipients
of its benefits. Vally argued that a system that does not differentiate
between rich and poor students would assist in building social cohesion.
is made free, [but that] the spirit of such a policy must also have as its
that the state should fund all study fees for all students, and that other
245
Mondli Hlatshwayo (University of Johannesburg), Rasigan Maharajh (Tshwane University of
Technology), Zolisa Marawu(Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University), Enver Motala (University
of Fort Hare), Leigh-Ann Naidoo (University of the Witwatersrand), and Salim Vally (University
of Johannesburg), 08 November 2016.
203
costs could be covered for those in need by NSFAS and the Skills Levy.
Free education could be funded through freezing tax brackets rather than
275. Oxfam argued for free education based on the Constitution and the
that the means test was faulty in that it was applied to the parent, not the
student. Therefore, they argued that transfers from the wealth and
incomes of working age individuals are the most effective and efficient
of an education tax for all earning over a certain amount, to spread the
burden on fees across society. They suggested a system where the debt
would be rolled over from one generation to the next, but that this
generation would need to bear the initial cost. This could be done through
skills development levy (to 3%); increasing corporate tax (to 30%);
246
Mondli Hlatshwayo (University of Johannesburg), Rasigan Maharajh (Tshwane University of
Technology), Zolisa Marawu (Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University), Enver Motala
(University of Fort Hare), Leigh-Ann Naidoo (University of the Witwatersrand), and Salim Vally
(University of Johannesburg), 08 November 2016.
204
marginal tax rate by 2%, and all other bands by a corresponding amount
public service. 247 In their second presentation, Oxfam highlighted that the
highlighted the full cost of study, and discussed different deciles in South
education. They concluded that the issue is financing (not funding) higher
276. Mr. Xhanti Payi in his presentation highlighted the need for government
there are many myths in the discussion about higher education funding,
consistently above revenue, and the effect this would have on South
Africa in the future. He pointed out that about 50% of the governments
277. As would be expected, the views of civil society groups, researchers and
various individuals differ substantially. There are some who support free
education for all, others for the poor, and others who agree with deferred
247
Oxfam, 9 November 2016.
248
Oxfam, 16 March, 2017.
249
Mr Xhanti Payi, 20 February 2017.
205
payment. The issue of whether free higher education for all would benefit
the rich was raised by more than one presenter. There was no agreement
by many.
278. This comprehensive report, the product of several years in the making,
that lessened its effect or the force of its conclusions. We cite here those
seem to be incontrovertible.
250
Research Report pages (i)-(iii). Some of the detail has previously been referred to in
paragraph 158 above.
206
The White Paper for PSET seeks to increase enrolment to 5.1 million
by 2030 within universities, TVET and community colleges while at the
same time improving the quality of education and training programs.
This project models the cost of implementing the White Paper and the
funding available under three cost scenarios: Status quo (where all inputs
remain unchanged but enrolments expand to meet the policy targets), full
policy (where the enrolments increased rapidly and the quality of
education and training programs is improved substantially), mixed
scenario (which assumes moderate growth in enrolments with some
improvement in quality).
Under the full policy scenario, about R655 billion will be needed for the
public PSET system in 2030 (or R253.1 billion in real 2014 prices)
compared to a total expenditure of R64 billion on public PSET in 2014.
207
enrolments in PSET by 2030 whereas the proportion of university
enrolments will decline from 50% in 2014 to 31% in 2030.
208
the introduction of bridging course and/or timeextended
programs
The rapid expansion in visits by the White Paper cannot happen without
additional investment in infrastructure. Under the full policy scenario,
another R771.5 will be needed for infrastructure investment in the PSET
system between 2014 and 2030.
This report sheds light on the amount of resources needed to meet the
policy targets set out in the White Paper. The large estimated funding
shortfalls will pose a major challenge for government, and require some
hard decisions from policymakers. The options available to policymakers
are to:
209
timeframe for achieving the targets), changing the mode of
delivery and decreasing spending per capita.
279. The NSFAS succeeded the Tertiary Education Fund of South Africa
university students. 251 TEFSA was taken over by the state in 1999
251
TEFSA was set up in 1991 as an NGO funded through private funding, mainly donations
from international donors, to provide financial aid to university students in the form of loans
and bursaries. See transcript of the hearing held of 14 November 2016, p4 last paragraph
p5.
252
56 of 1999. See transitional arrangements set out in section 28.
210
280. The NSFAS scheme is established as a public entity under section 3 of
students who meet the criteria for admission to a further education and
281. Its broader objects are set out in the preamble as being to
equal access;
and
282. Its functions are set out at section 4, and include to:
253
Section 2(1).
254
Section 2(2).
211
282.2. develop criteria and conditions for the granting of loans and
284. The balance of NSFAS funds are from universities, private donors and
285. Each benefactor prescribes rules and conditions to the funds allocated to
NSFAS.
255
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, slide (unnumbered)
256
The Fundza Lushaka grant for teacher training.
257
E.g. funds early childhood development programmes.
212
286. The NSFAS has made significant strides since its inception to meet its
funding.258
enrolments.259
11.2 RULES
288. The DHET establishes the rules applicable to NSFAS funds allocated by
parliament.260
258 th
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, 35 page.
259
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p25, fourth
paragraph.
260
Handbook
261
NSFAS presentation dated 24 August 2016, slides 5 & 6; presentation dated 14 November
th
2016, 29 page (slides unnumbered)
213
289.1. eligible students, being those with a mix of both academic
290. NSFAS funds the full cost of study (i.e. covering tuition fees,
study;
290.2. the obligation to repay the loans arises only after the
per annum;265
262
Transcript of the hearing dated 16 November 2016, p46.
263
Transcript of the hearing dated 24 August 2016, p105 L5 11.
264
NSFAS presentation; Transcript of the hearing held on 24 August 2016, p94 L8 10. [poor
transcription]
265
NSFAS presentation; Transcript of the hearing held on 24 August 2016, p94 L20 21.
214
290.3. NSFAS converts up to 40% of the loan to a bursary on
290.4. should a student pass all the modules registered for in the final
grant;267
290.5. the loan is interest free during the course of study, plus one
repo rate.268
291. According to NSFAS, almost 70 per cent of NSFAS funding is in the form
266
NSFAS presentation; Transcript of the hearing held on 24 August 2016, p108 L16 18.
267
NSFAS presentation; Transcript of the hearing held on 24 August 2016, p108 L19 23.
268
NSFAS presentation; Transcript of the hearing held on 24 August 2016, p108 L4 10;
transcript of the hearing held on 16 November 2016, p12.
269
NSFAS presentation dated 14 August 2016, slide 6; presentation dated 14 November
th
2016, 30 page first bullet point; transcript of the hearing held on 16 November 2016, p12 -
13.
215
292.1. as a tool to identify which of the students applying for a NSFAS
293. In rejecting the proposition that the NSFAS means test excludes students
falling within the missing middle category, NSFAS submitted that this
exclusion is the function of limited available resources with the result that
study.272
294. While in terms of its rules, NSFAS ought to fund the full costs of study, in
294.1. NSFAS loans are capped. 273 As at 2016, the NSFAS cap
270
NSFAS submission dated 30 June 2016, p19 para 2.26.
271
NSFAS submission dated 30 June 2016, p20 para 2.27.
272
NSFAS submission dated 30 June 2016, p20 para 2.28.
273
NSFAS submission dated 30 June 2016, p13 para 2.9.
274 th
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, 29 page. The cap has increased R20 000
to R67 200 between 20032015, representing an annual average growth above CPI of 11
per cent.
216
294.2. some universities have adopted the practice referred to as
topslicing.
295. The cap on NSFAS loans has resulted primarily in the underfunding of
student debt.
296. That is because different universities have responded to the NSFAS cap,
studying; or alternatively;
11.6 TOPSLICING
217
numbers of qualifying students. Consequently, these universities opt to
with the result that while all students receive some funding, they receive
298. It follows, therefore, that the combination of top-slicing the NSFAS award,
FCS for a specific qualification, serves only to dilute the already limited
300. Some institutions, rather than top-slice, thus leaving future debt for
301. We deal with the issue of student historic debt later herein. Before doing
275
NSFAS presentation dated 14 August 2016, slide 7.
276
NSFAS presentation dated 14 August 2016, slide 7.
218
301.1. the first relates to concerns raised regarding the
sources.
302. All stakeholders accept that the current NSFAS model (and specifically
the means test employed) is out-dated and requires urgent review. This
is all the more urgent so as to enable students who belong to the missing
303. Accordingly, we do not intend rehashing the evidence which deals with
219
11.8 THE NSFAS STUDENT CENTRED MODEL
institutions are set out in section 20(2) of the NSFAS Act and involve the
the NSFAS;
304.3. to grant loans and bursaries, if the criteria are met, after
institution; and
277
Transcript of the hearing held on 14 November 2016, p13.
278
NSFAS, Transcript of hearing held on 24 August 2016, p91 L12 p94 L18; transcript of the
th
hearing held on 14 November 2016, p13; presentation dated 14 November 2016, 30
page, fourth bullet point.
220
304.5. to enter into a written agreement with a borrower or bursar in
305. The institution must also apprise the NSFAS on the progress made by a
student.280
between NSFAS and university financial aid offices on one hand and
NSFAS and students on the other; there have also been disputes on
allocations for tuition and other costs (accommodation, food etc.). All of
279
Section 2(3).
280
Transcript of hearing held on 24 August 2016, p93 L1 11.
221
308. In 2014, NSFAS introduced the student-centred model. 281 The model
primarily shifts the administrative functions of the award away from the
respects:282
registration;283
308.5. returning students are not required to apply again, but are
281 th
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, 16 page; transcript of the hearing held on
14 November 2016, p12, second last line p13 first line.
282 st rd
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, 31 33 page; transcript of the hearing
held on 14 November 2016.
283
Successful recipients must register at the relevant university before they can access the
st th
NSFAS loan. See NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, 31 34 page.
284
On award, the student signs an online Loan Agreement.
222
309. The model was developed further in 2016 to give effect to the finding by
the means test and the way it was being applied by institutions was
that it excluded prospective students from families that earn above the
R122 000 per annum qualification threshold, but who still cannot afford
311. The 2009 Report of the Ministerial Committee on the Review of the
285
2009 Report; NSFAS transcript of hearing held on 14 November 2016, p13.
286
page xv, para 2.2.5.
287
pages xxi - xxii, para 3.1.2.
223
311.3. students from the poorest municipalities.
312. The 2013 Report of the Working Group on Free University Education for
312.1. household income below the lowest SARS tax threshold; and
families;
313.3. students from rural areas and from poor urban areas with
288
p6 second last paragraph.
289
p31, middle of the page.
224
314. Accordingly, under the student-centred model, and in response to the
316. NSFAS funding at TVET colleges relates to the 20% of the total
programme cost payable in students fees and only for students enrolled
college students must fund their studies by other means, failing which,
317. Rules relating to NSFAS funding in TVET colleges are similar to those
universities:
290
NSFAS submission p21 para 2.32 p24 para 2.39.
291 rd
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, 33 page.
292
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016.
225
317.1. qualifying TVET students are those that meet the criteria for
318. Unlike the case with universities students, NSFAS funding at TVET
colleges takes the form of full bursaries and not loans. As such, those
behalf of the DBE. Those funds, under the Fundza Lushaka bursary
293
National Norms and Standards for Funding Technical and Vocational
Education and Training Colleges, 15 May 2015; DHET presentation dated
24 October 2016; slide 18.
294
NSFAS covers accommodation or travel costs for students who live 10 kilometres from the
institution they attend.
295
DHET submission dated June 2016, p32.
226
scheme, are meant to provide financial aid exclusively to students
pursuing a teaching degree, and the award takes the form of a bursary.296
320. Criticism of the NSFAS system is not new. In 2009 Minister Nzimande
challenges and made proposals for improving the scheme. Similarly, the
Report of the Working Group on Fee Free University Education for the
college. Many of these individuals would not have had the opportunity of
further study without such a financial aid scheme. NSFAS numbers also
indicated the impact the scheme has had on transforming the student
296
DHET transcript of the hearing held on 12 August 2016, p83 L17 84 L6.
227
321. While it is not necessary to consider the Report of the Ministerial
occasions, despite budget increases, the growth in funds has not kept
need to triple its budget to meet even current demand.297 The Committee
and NEETs, and suggested that the new policy framework for higher
education and further education and training envisages taking the next
ratio of the 760 000 students in higher education and the 223 000
(470 000) who are enrolled at further education and training (FET)
colleges.298
322. In highlighting the strengths of NSFAS, the Committee noted that NSFAS
the means test has helped to ensure that the most needy are supported;
institutions are assisted with a 20% upfront fee payment; and The
297
Report of the Ministerial Committee on the Review of the National Student Financial Aid
Scheme (2010), p. x.
298
Ibid.
228
loans, coupled with the income contingent nature of the loans, offers
fact that funding falls far short of demand.300 The Committee found that
NSFAS had less than half of what it needed to properly fund all qualifying
students. It also found that this shortcoming led to most of the other
of the means test; and the exclusion of the missing middle. The
Committee also found that the scheme was not equipped to act as a
bursary manager; that there was dissatisfaction with the way NSFAS was
299
Ibid., xiii.
300
Ibid.
301
Ibid., p. xiii xix.
229
324. In their recommendations, the Committee suggested three components
loans for the children of public sector employees (earning less than R300
000 per annum) and for students from lower middle-income families.302
The Committee noted that free higher education for the poor and working
constraints may dictate that full subsidisation of poor and working class
students may not be possible in the immediate and short term but
model could be adopted with a loan/ bursary mix in the interim. 303
repayment directly through the tax system; a simpler means test; bonded
students. The committee did not support funding linked to priority fields
302
Ibid., p. xxi.
303
Ibid., p. xxiv.
304
Ibid., xxvii.
230
acknowledgement that NSFAS cannot re-claim 100% of disbursements
due to the loan/ bursary mix and the low interest rate charged.
326. Similarly, the Report of the Working Group on Fee Free University
Education for the Poor in South Africa (2012) noted the escalating
costs of higher education and the need for interventions to ensure access
for academically deserving students who cannot afford it. The working
of the NSFAS review Committee, the ANC resolutions, the NDP and the
they suggested a loan bursary mix for students from poor and missing-
contingent basis for 15 years. Only if and when a graduate (or a dropout)
305
Report of the Working Group on Fee Free University Education for the Poor in South Africa
(2012), p. xii-xiii.
231
11.12 TESTIMONY BY NSFAS
327. The Commission heard from NSFAS regarding their mission, vision,
strategic plans and similar developments. As these are all in the public
million. By 2003, when the first task team was appointed to assess the
such as that for TVETs, Fundza Lushaka bursaries and for Social Work
(funded by DSD). At this point, the allocation totaled R1.76 billion and
125 897 students were supported in that year. In 2014, 414 802 students
were funded (at both universities and TVETs) with R8.96 billion in
funding. The average loan was R21 906, and in this year the student
years, as has the number of students funded each year. Despite this, as
indicated that in 2016 they would fund more than 405 000 students with
232
students in both TVETs and universities.306 Some of the achievements
and that the total university population had been transformed from 5%
NSFAS students.307
328. The NSFAS also explained the differences between the old model of
students apply directly to NSFAS, and not the FAO). It hoped that some
(including applying once for all years of study, and knowing the outcome
We have been advised that the experience of the 2017 registrations has
shown that it did not go as smoothly as hoped, but this advice requires
confirmation.
329. NSFAS also explained the eligibility criteria, the means test and the
both financial need and academic merit, but does not fund short courses,
306
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 14 November 2016.
307
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 14 November 2016.
308
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 14 November 2016.
233
in receipt of other bursaries or loans covering the full cost of study. For
the purpose of application (and means test), applicants must submit proof
sibling at another tertiary institution. The online system waives the need
for a means test for those receiving a social grant or from a quintile 1 or
2 school. For this purpose, NSFAS checks with the systems of Umalusi
and SASSA.309
330. NSFAS also explained that interest on loans is charged at 80% of the
repo rate, and is not charged during the period of study or for 12 months
the end of the academic year, and 100% of the final year can be
discussed the problems with recouping loans. They explained that the
student will start paying once they earn above thirty thousand rand per
NSFAS when they are no longer employed. So they get employed the
first month; they start paying; for unforeseen reason they lose
charged at this level of income, SARS cannot assist in this regard and
309
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 15 November 2016.
310
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 15 November 2016.
234
students are expected to inform NSFAS. The sliding scale of deduction
based on your salary is 3-8 %. NSFAS explained that for the scheme to
331. The funding of those with historical debt was discussed. It should be
universities, arising from the pressure of high demand for financial aid by
with outstanding debt from 2013 to 2015 to the DHET. This was a total of
71 753 students owing R2.543 billion. This money was made available
through NSFAS after the re-allocations were done within the government
students. In many cases the issues overlapped, and for this reason this
section will focus on the challenges with NSFAS, rather than on the
311
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 16 November 2016.
312
NSFAS presentation to the Commission, 15 November 2016.
235
remembered that NSFAS has introduced changes over the years to
333. Concerns about the way that NSFAS functions originated from a number
NSFAS easily, about the slow outcome of applications for funding, about
being declined for a loan without being given a reason, and about
receiving money late into the year. Students also commented on the need
and insecurity every year. This is made worse when students need to sit
about unused money being returned to NSFAS at the end of the year,
this indicates the need for better communication with the student, it also
334. The timing of payments was also an issue raised, and many students
released their grant or loan. This leads to some students missing the start
orientation.
236
335. Students also raised the issue of NSFAS needing to be more proactive
in its communication with high school learners: many are not aware of
what needs to be done and do not meet time limits for applications.
of NSFAS students.
338. There was conflicting opinion regarding these support offices. Some
students complained that the staff at the offices were not willing to help,
that they were under-staffed and that there was corruption. Other
longer get the assistance of these offices and that it was now harder to
339. Students also complained about the long queues when applying, and the
many forms and agreements that need to be signed, often without clear
explanation.
237
340. There appears to be some tension between these offices and NSFAS,
especially in the new student centred model, with lack of clarity regarding
2010. After 2010, there has also been a rapid increase in applications
and protests, changes have been made to the bursary/loan mix, and a
often with short deadlines, high turnover at the NSFAS office, and
341. The means test is very unpopular with students. It was characterised as
requirements are personal, and that some students dont apply as they
cannot prove where their father is or that they are part of a family (as they
342. There were also various claims about fraud at this level, resulting in richer
313
Lerato Motaung, Testimony to the Fees Commission, 17 November 2016.
238
343. The means test is also a costly exercise, which is hard to implement fairly
in a country like South Africa where data and administrative ICT systems
lacking.
344. Suggestions were made to simplify the test and NSFAS commented on
346. First, students complained that the size of a loan was insufficient to cover
also complained about the S-Bux card, and the limit it places on where
and similar academic expanse: others complained that they have to buy
the side of the road. Still others referred to fraud with students buying
goods on their cards and re-selling to raise money for other items.
Institutions also mentioned problems with the S-Bux and late payments.
239
Students also highlighted the need for access to academic study material
Other universities rejected top-slicing, but then could only fund a smaller
348. Thirdly, is the situation of the missing-middle, that has been brewing
poor students, NSFAS has not been able to increase the limit imposed
R122 000 are funded. This means that a large group of students are
excluded from financial aid, but cannot access bank loans and other
funding due to a lack of capital and low salaries. The missing-middle have
students who later cannot pay their fees. This situation is unsustainable
240
for both students and universities. Ensuring access to funding for the
349. Finally, and linked to the above points, is concern about the total funding
receive NSFAS funding (even with the current low means test). This is a
350. The problems of student success were raised by all stakeholders. It was
not complete their studies. Students indicated the need for academic
support, but also argued that full funding would reduce financial strain
and allow students to focus on their studies. Some students asked for a
more efficient system was needed before more money could be allocated
noting that this situation has an adverse impact on the second eligibility
not the same as the situation reported by the NRF with regards to the
better. This may indicate the need for better monitoring of NSFAS
241
students, and stricter academic requirements for continued funding. This
noted that lack of success also means that students are less likely to earn
an income of the level required to repay their loan, and this impacts on
351. There is widespread criticism of the system in place to recover loans from
students who have graduated and are now working. The graph below
highlights the decline in recoveries after 2009, although there has been
place. It has been suggested that any loan system would need to work
314
CHE (2016) Kagisano 10: Student Funding, p.21.
242
352. Furthermore, research submitted to the Commission also highlighted
was allocated as a loan, in 2000 the bursary component was 25%, while
the National Credit Act required positive consent from debtors. These two
projected.
315
Ibid., pp. 39-114.
316
Ibid., p. 63.
243
11.20 LOANS AND BLACK TAX
353. Students complained about the burden placed on them with a loan
system. It was argued that black tax already places a greater burden on
maintain the same standard of living as their peers, with no loan and no
generational poverty.
354. A counter argument to this was the suggestion that it would be more
the population, than for it to fund free education for the few in the hope of
them alienating the poverty of their family. This would also be more
equitable. Related to this, is the argument that black tax affects the
majority of the working population of South Africa, and not only university
financial impact is more bearable than that on, for instance, a domestic
population.
244
11.21 CONCLUSION
355. While there has been much criticism of NSFAS, their achievement in
which the financial aid system could be made more efficient, more
remembered that two of the major criticisms of the current model are
the means test; and difficulty for first time users. Another issue which
challenges.
245
12 PRIORITISATION OF HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING
358. It will be recalled that one of the principal aims of the budget is to ensure
Commission.
359. Although the MTSF and NDP do not in their terms refer to higher
government.319
359.3. Mr. Michael Sachs from National Treasury also testified that
317
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016 slide 33.
318
Transcript of the hearing held on 3 October 2016, p21.
319
Minister of Higher Education and Training, transcript of hearing held on 13 October 2016,
p53 & 74 77; National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 7 October 2016 p35.
246
2016 recognising higher education and training as an apex
priority.320
the MTEF. The DHET by the manner in which it has dealt with
360. The evidence clearly points to higher education and training being an
apex priority322. but not the only one. To the extent that this is correct, the
question that arises is how the elevation of higher education and training
NSFAS.
320
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 7 October 2016, p36.
321
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 7 October 2016 p35.
321
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 3 March 2017, p43.
322
Understanding of students along these line, see Nelspruit transcript of 22 Aug p 45; 52.
247
13 THE BALANCING PROCESS
361. In his testimony, Mr. Gordhan, testified to the realities while drawing a
The essence of his testimony is that the budget plays a central role in
362. A large part of the testimony of the National Treasury emphasised that
where the revenue does not meet demand, the issue becomes one of
OUTLOOK
364. In its simplest form, the correlation between the three components is
323
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 3 March 2017, p34 37.
324
Presentation by Minister Pravin Gordhan dated 3 March 2017, slide 9.
248
365. The mainstay of that evidence is that the South African economy reached
its lowest growth level in 2016, at 0.9 per cent as a percentage of GDP
since 2000,325 having recorded its highest growth level of 5.6 per cent in
2007.326 The evidence indicates that the economy has been consistently
contracting since 2008 (registering a GDP growth level of 3.6 per cent),
366. The plain consequence of this downward trend is that there is less
or government debt over the current METF, 327 at the cost of desired
manifestations.329
325
When the economy recorded a percentage growth of 4.2 per cent.
326
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 9.
327
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 8.
328
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 11.
329
Such as personal income, corporate and wealth tax.
330
Above.
249
369. During his evidence, Mr. Michael Sachs 331 , testifying on behalf the
(GDP).332
369.2. The period between 2003 2008 saw improved growth in the
331
In his capacity as the Deputy Director General for the Budget Office.
332
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slides 4 and 6; transcript of hearing
held on 12 August 2016, p12 L5 6.
333
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p12 L20 25.
334
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slides 9; transcript of hearing held
on 12 August 2016, p17 L24.
335
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 4 & 6; transcript of hearing
held on 12 August 2016, p4 5; 12 L5 6.
250
369.4. Between 2002 to 2014/2015, this translated to an almost
increasing revenue.338
identifiable factors:
336
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 5; transcript of hearing held on
12 August 2016, p6 L3 18. These figures are based on the consolidated budget as
opposed to the main budget. Based on the main budget, social spending per capita
increased from about R11 000.00 in 2000 to about R20 000.00 in 2014/2015.
337
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 6; transcript of hearing held on
12 August 2016, p12 - 11 L23 p 13 L1.
338
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p13 L2 3.
339
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p10 L15 p 11 L 2.
251
the Department of Defence, which enabled government
grants.340
revenue/expenditure gap).343
340
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p11 L4 15.
341
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 6.
342
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slides 9; transcript of hearing held
on 12 August 2016, p18 L1 3.
343
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 6; transcript of hearing held on
12 August 2016, p13 L3 7.
344
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p31 L6 10.
252
to other sources of revenue, namely borrowing and increased
taxation.345
debt-to-GDP ratio over the MTEF. This entailed three main steps:346
370.3. reprioritisation.349
2015/2016.350
345
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p13 L7 14.
346
National Treasury, written submission dated 30 June 2016, p2.
347
By R10 billion in 2017.2018 and a further R15 billion in 2018/2019.
348
By raising an additional R18.1 billion in 2016/2017 and a further R15 billion in the balance
of the MTEF.
349
In the amount of R31.8 million over the 2017 MTEF.
350
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p13 L10 p 14 L1.
253
its income. Barring 2006/2007 and 2007/2008,351 South Africa
to 4 per cent.353
371.4. Although the economy has taken steps to recover from the
351
During which period there was sufficient revenue surplus which had to be spent. See
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 7; transcript of hearing held on
12 August 2016, p14 L9 14.
352
Indicative of a permanent state of economic stagnation/deficit and borrowing. See
transcript of the hearing held on 15 August 2016, p14 L14 p15 L8; p19 L1 9; p25 L12
20.
353
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 7; transcript of hearing held on
12 August 2016, p14 L9 p15 L8.
354
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 8; transcript of hearing held on
12 August 2016, p16 L14 24.
355
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p16 L18 19.
356
Above note 53.
357
Recovering in 2011 to the 2008 level at 3.6 per cent. See National Treasury presentation
dated 12 August 2016, slides 9; transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p18 L3 4.
254
an average rate of 2.1 per cent between 2010 2016 (from
NDP.
per cent.
358
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slides 9; transcript of hearing held
on 12 August 2016, p17 L25 p18 L5.
359
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slides 9; transcript of hearing held
on 12 August 2016, p18 L6 19.
360
National Treasury representation dated 15 August 2016, slide 10. The IMFs forecast is a
forecast for global growth. See transcript of 15 August 2016, p22 L7 9.
361
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 15 August 2016, p16 L 19 p17 L2;
p26 L5 10. A according to National Treasury, a countrys ability to contain debt is a factor
considered by lenders when deciding whether or not to advance loans. See transcript of
12 August 2016, p17 L3 8.
255
levels of spending can only be maintained if economic growth
per cent. 362 Given the projected growth of two per cent,
reveals that there is no extra money available to be used for PSET. Thus,
373. We turn at this point to interrogate how the national budget has
training.
375. It will be recalled that South Africa has adopted a three-stream model of
362
National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p26 L11 19.
256
have represented the largest single component of the total
financial situation.365
377. GDP represents the total income or value, in the case of South Africa,
the Rand value, of all goods and services produced in the country over a
363
DHET submission dated June 2016, p19.
364
DHET submission dated June 2016, p16.
365
DHET submission dated June 2016, p16.
257
the size of the economy and is one of the primary indicators to assess
translated into State budget), and other sources such as borrowing. That
380. There is little before the Commission to suggest that the budget amount
on the basis that the revenue for social spending represented by the
budget is appropriate.
381. In 2016/2017, the total State finance for universities was nearly 30% of
GDP.368
382. In what follows, we first deal with government funding of higher education
budget.
366
National Treasury, hearing held on 12 August 2016, p11 L22 25; Xhanti Payi, transcript
of the hearing held on 20 February 2017, p5 L16 24.
367
National Treasury presentation dated 7 October 2016, slide 4.
368
DHET: University State Budgets, March 2016, Table 1.2.
258
15 GOVERNMENT FUNDING ON HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING AS
A PERCENTAGE OF GDP
sector itself.371
per cent, while the transfer to TVET Colleges was 14 per cent, despite
targets.372
369
Vital Stats 2013, p91, figure 148. The figure shows that universities funding allocated to
universities as a percentage of GDP has been increasing since 2008/2009, falling slightly
in 2013/2014 to 0.75 per cent of GDP from 0.76 per cent in 2012/2013. Funding as a
percentage of State budget has also been increasing during the same period, decreasing
slightly in 2013/2014 to 2.49 per cent from 2.5 per cent in the previous financial year.
370
DHET submission dated June 2016, p16, figure 2; CHET presentation dated 11 August
2016, slide 4.
371
DHET notes that the current funding in the TVET sector is not only insufficient, but also
inequitable because State grants are based on historical provincial allocation. See DHET
presentation on the funding of TVET and CET Colleges dated 24 October 2016, slide 30.
372
DHET presentation on the funding of TVET and CET Colleges dated 24 October 2016,
slide 5.
259
386. Moreover, the estimated shortfall in budget allocations to TVET Colleges
the question of fee-free higher education and training, the post school
388. Evidence was presented which indicated that South Africas expenditure
what other countries spend on the sector. CHET demonstrated this point
by reference to OECD 2012 data which shows that South Africa was
spending 0.71 per cent of GDP on higher education and training. The
only other countries that spend less than 1 per cent of their GDP on
higher education and training were Chile and Brazil, both spending
around 0.9 per cent. The majority of other comparators contributed over
373
DHET presentation on the funding of TVET and CET Colleges dated 24 October 2016,
slides 7 and 31.
374
See also DHET presentation on the funding of TVET and CET Colleges dated 24 October
2016, slide 11 which indicates that of the total 85% government allocation to TVET
Colleges, DHET transfers 60%; while the balance is made up on NSFAS bursary funding
(20%), and that too is underfunded and 5% from the NRF for project funding.
375
CHET presentation dated 11 August 2016, slide 12.
260
of this comparison, other countries whose spending as a percentage of
GDP was less than South Africa. The United Kingdom is one such
relative to GDP per capita sits at 38.3 per cent, well above the world
average of 30.5 per cent. 376 Once again, Cuba is the higher at 63.0
spends about 1.5% of GDP on higher education and training, up from just
391. Of the 1.5% of GDP spent on higher education and training, just over
376
National Treasury, presentation dated 7 October 2016, slide 11.
377
Above.
378
National Treasury, presentation dated 3 March 2017, slide 19; presentation dated
7 October 2016 slide 10; Xhanti Payi, transcript of the hearing held on 20 February 2017,
p8 L6 p9 L18; p16 L7 20. See also DHET presentation on the funding of TVET and
CET Colleges dated 24 October 2016, slide 4 which indicates that the total expenditure on
the PSET sector for financial year 2414/2015 was at 1.7% of GDP.
379
National Treasury presentation dated 7 October 2016, slide 10.
261
392. There are two main factors which have attributed to the decline in the
state subsidy. The first relates to linking the subsidy to the consumer
price index. The second factor is that the subsidy has failed to keep pace
393. The evidence shows that HEPI is applicable to the sector and is on
average 2 per cent higher than the CPI.380 The result is the erosion of the
394. It has been noted that the current subsidy, including the NSFAS
applicable inflation in the sector is the HEPI, which was 9,2% (in 2014)
when CPI was 6%.381 On average, the HEPI is, at any given time, 2%
higher than CPI. This in itself makes inroads to the subsidy.382 It has thus
380
DHET submission dated June 2016, p17 18.
381
PBO presentation (undated), slide 25 which places HEPI at 9.8 per cent.
382
This phenomenon extends to the NSFAS allocation in that it widens the gap between FCS
and the NSFAS cap. See NSFAS presentation, Set 4, Day 3, dated 16 November 2016,
p18 19.
262
the institutions (e.g. from equipment to operational and fixed costs such
396. While enrolments have increased (as per enrolments plans determined
with the DHET), government allocations have not in turn swelled to meet
those numbers, resulting in lower funding per capita. The FFC notes that
the States current MTEF projections only provide for a standstill student
enrolment growth.383
397. Concerns were raised that the current amount allocated to higher
That is because the current 1.5 per cent of GDP allocated to higher
education and training includes 2016 bailout384, being the once-off R2,
383
FFC presentation dated 2 March 2017, slide 37.
384
CHET presentation dated 11 August 2016, slide 11 para 3.
263
543 billion injected by government in 2016 to address historic student
debt relief.385
398. Several stakeholders testified that in the light of what other countries
400. Mr. Xhanti Payi testified before the Commission in his capacity as an
401. His evidence is in line with that of National Treasury, indicating that South
402. It also pointedly highlights the fact that benchmarking what South Africa
385
DHET Universities Budgets March 2016, Table 2.13 para 1.
386
On 20 February 2017.
387
Xhanti Payi, transcript of hearing held on 20 February 2017, p6 L12 p7 L13; National
Treasury
264
of other listed countries, particularly the OECD countries, 388 is not
403. In general and in spite of the decline in GDP growth, government social
education.
388
The Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) is comprised of 35
countries and is established as a forum within which governments of member states
discuss and develop economic policies.
389
Xhanti Payi, transcript of hearing held on 20 February 2017, p8 L3 7; p9 L20 P10 L24.
390
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 4.
391
Xhanti Payi, transcript of hearing held on 20 February 2017, p7 L14 p19.
392
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2017, slide 16.
265
404. Historically, education as a whole accounted for the majority of
allocations from the State budget.393 The largest portion of the education
405. The 2016 budget was estimated at R1.3 trillion. This represents the
Post-school education and training was allocated 5.2 per cent of that
395
budget, amounting to an estimated R64.2 billion. The sector
406. The current budget allocation to the sector must be understood in its
historical context.
May 2009 and became operational in April 2010. It came about as a result
393
National Treasury presentation dated 7 October 2016, slide 5.
394
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2017, slide 16. As at 2017/2018, education
accounts for 21% of the budget. Basic education receives 16% of the budget, while 5% is
allocated to post-school higher education and training.
395
National Treasury presentation dated 7 October 2016, slide 4.; presentation dated 3 March
2017, slide 16.
396
2013-2016 & 2016-2019 per National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016,
slide 18.
397
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 18.
398
The Skills Development functions were simultaneously moved from the Department of
Labour to the newly formed Department of Higher Education and Training.
266
functions remained a provincial competence until they were moved in
408. The first budget allocation for the newly formed Department of Higher
Education and Training was for the financial year 2010/2011. According
baseline allocation from National Treasury.399 This has had the result that
409. It was only during the 2016 MTEF that the National Treasury adjusted the
to support the 2016 zero per cent fee increase at universities. The
majority of this additional amount, in the sum of about R16.2 billion, was
399
DHET submission dated June 2016, p10 para 4.1. according to the Department of Higher
Education and Training, since the 2012/2013 financial year, National Treasury adjusted its
original allocation to reflect the data inherited from the TVET and CET sectors in order to
ensure comparison between the years.
400
Excluding direct charges from the skills levy from the Sector Education and Training
Authorities (SETAs) and the National Skills Fund (NSF). See DHET submission dated June
2016, p10 para 4.1. 11 Table 1.
267
410. That being said, evidence presented by National Treasury shows that
allocations for the higher education and training sector have, at least over
the past 6 years, grown faster than budgets for other functions.401
411. Given the recent student demands, the question arises as to whether
pressure.
412. National Treasury indicated that in the context of the present fiscal
spending and debt, expenditure per capita has stabilised since the 2008
413. This suggests that any growth in the PSET allocation will probably be the
light of the evidence by the National Treasury to the effect that the
401
National Treasury presentations dated 7 October 2016 and 3 March 2017, slides 9 and 18
respectively.
402
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 4.
268
to public spending, South Africa would have to resort to borrowing in
average of 7.1 per cent on average over the medium term. Of this:404
annually; and
414.2. transfers to the NSFAS are set to increase at 16.1 per cent.
415. In total, the PSET allocation is set to grow to just over 1.6 per cent of
result of additional funds injected to address the zero per cent increase
in university fees for the 2016 academic year. In this regard, a total of
include 407
403
National Treasury presentation dated 12 August 2016, slide 12; transcript of the hearing
held on 12 August 2016, p26 L23 p28 L1.
404
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2016, slide 18.
405
Amounting to an annual growth rate of 9.2 per cent over the medium term. See National
Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2016, slide 19 20.
406
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2016, slide 20.
407
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2016, slide 20.
269
416.1. R5 billion provisional allocation in 2019/20;
students;
416.5. Government has allocated R4.2 billion over the medium term
established universities.409
417. The above shows that the NSFAS allocation started to increase prior to
that NSFAS more than tripled in funds per learner from 2005 to 2014.410
408
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2016, slide 20.
409
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2016, slide 21.
410
TIPS presentation dated March 2017, slide 21.
270
21 FUNDING OF INSTITUTIONS IN THE POST SCHOOL EDUCATION AND
21.1 INTRODUCTION
418. This Chapter deals with the funding of institutions in the Post School
419. This subject will be dealt with in the context of the income streams of
411
Structure of Oral Hearings, Pg. 3
271
21.2 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK412
421. The Higher Education Act (No. 101 of 1997)413 makes provision for the
knowledge;
422. The Higher Education Act further specifically addresses the funding of
higher education when it states that the Minister must, after consulting
the CHE and with the concurrence of the Minister of Finance, determine
the policy on the funding of public higher education, which must include
413
Chapter 5
272
appropriate measures for the redress of past inequalities, and publish
423. From broad policy perspective, the following documents also address the
2012d);
White Paper 3 and the National Plan in Higher Education, and whose
414
Section 39 (1)
273
424.2. increasing participation of disadvantaged students and of
women;
425. The current funding framework416 for Universities was introduced by the
426. The framework came into effect in the 2004/05 financial year and was
fully implemented in the 2007/08 financial year and replaced the SAPSE
415
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities, 2013,
Page 95
416
Funding of Public Higher Education, November 2003
417
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities, 2013,
Page 57
274
21.3 THE MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE FOR THE REVIEW OF THE FUNDING
OF UNIVERSITIES
427. The Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities,
universities.
275
428.4. Where growth is appropriate it should be aligned with
universities.
engagement.
276
428.11. Each university should develop and participate in research
universities.
277
education has been overcome). All of these involved increased and
ongoing funding.
teaching, research, and the new generation of academics. It laid out the
433. The Committee was opposed to fee-capping fearing that the quality of
funding function.]
278
435. The Committee appears to have focused almost entirely on public
(state) funding for universities and sought its remedies only in the
funding. Instead such funds as would have been expended for that
recommendations.
436. The income sources of public universities are divided into three
income.418
437. This stream consists of the total of block grants as well as earmarked
418
Rolf Stumpf Presentation
419
DHET Presentation, 4 October 2016, Pg. 8
279
438. Block grants are meant to cover expenses relating to the institutions day-
439. The block grant may be spent at the discretion of the council of each
institution and reporting on the use of the block grant is mainly through
440. The Higher Education Act gives the Minister the power to determine what
420
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities, 2013,
Page 58
421
This reporting must be done in terms of the Regulations for Reporting by
the Public Higher Education Institutions (Government Gazette No. 37726,
Notice 9 June 2014).
422
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities, 2013,
Page 58
280
441. The Minister of HET divides, on a three-year rolling basis, the higher
studies.
423
The teaching input grant uses a funding grid for the distribution of grants to
universities. The funding grid is based on the relative cost of offering
teaching and research supervision in various fields of study.
424
The category of doctoral graduates receives the highest funding weight, as
an incentive to produce much-needed graduates for research and
innovation as well as the next generation of academic staff.
281
institutional factor for disadvantage. The institutional factor for
442. Earmarked grants are funds that may only be used for specific purposes
sector in line with policy goals and priority areas, and broadly consist of,
443. The accountability for the use of earmarked funds is through the provision
summarised as follows:
425
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities, 2013,
Page 58
282
NSFAS is a statutory body that receives an annual allocation
international donors.
success at university.
283
programmes that enhance their ability to increase student
284
establishment of university infrastructure by means of
disadvantaged groups.
444. This is reference to student fees, which includes all tuition and residence
fees paid by (or on behalf of) students to the universities. NSFAS funding
445. The current approach to student fees is in terms of the cost sharing
systems income.
446. The reliance on fee income differs across the sector, as is affected by the
ability of the university to attract third stream funding and by the fees
saying that it was unaffordable and very expensive for individuals and
285
their families. The constitutional principle suggests that fees need to be
448. USAf shares this view and stated that the annual real increases in fees
are placing the possibility of higher education outside the means of the
needy students are not able to afford these rapidly increasing tuition
fees.427
449. USAf further submits that another reason for fees increasing at double
450. One of the central issues considered by the Commission was how
increases.
several universities.
426
DHET Presentation, 10 August 2016, Slide 29
427
Paper by the Funding Strategy Group on the Review of the Funding of,
Universities USAf Board of Directors Workshop July 2015, Pg. 3
286
452. From the responses to this questionnaire, it became clear that the main
factors affecting fees are the costs for salaries, services, academic and
technical material, and utilities. For most of these, the rate of increases
453. The cost base of universities has been increasing well in excess of CPI
due to various reasons, some of which universities have very little control
287
453.4.3. research and laboratory consumables;
454. In parallel with the expenditure base, it is also important to consider the
employees;
VAT Act;
428
Paper by the Funding Strategy Group on the Review of the Funding of,
Universities USAf Board of Directors Workshop July 2015, Pg. 3
288
455. The Commission has heard evidence that another consideration in
458. Comparing the BEd Foundation Phase programme at 2016 prices across
three institutions:
289
458.4. the first-year costs only R19 790 at UV, compared to R25 700
costs for the full three years, it costs R90 410 at UV; R73 810
459. The aforesaid indicates that comparing fees across institutions is not as
simple as it may initially appear; and high fee differentials may at times
460. Third stream income refers to university income from sources external to
460.4. contracts;
290
460.5. rendering of services;
460.7. donations.
461. Some analysis of third stream funding includes income from interest.429
INSTITUTIONS
429
Presidential Task Team on Short Term Student Challenges at Universities, Page 7
430
Presentation by Prof Stumpf, 18 October 2016, Page 13
431
Univen Presentation, 21 October, Slide 21
291
464. An illustration of this would be that in 2015, third stream income as a total
22.1 ANALYSIS
465. A funding formula provides financial stability in so far as its elements are
432
VitalStats 2015, pp. 95
292
the characteristics of a formula (and the terms are generally used
467. The funding framework therefore does not offer institutions the longer-
468. As stated above, the current funding framework was introduced in 2003
and came into effect in 2004/05 and was a response to the limitations of
It is under revision.
469. The key features of the current funding framework are as follows:
433
Report of the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Funding of Universities, 2013,
293
available by government, governments policy priorities and
performance.
471. There are some views that this formula should have been given more
472. USAf has indicated its concern in relation to the HDI grant in that it is
important that the HDI grant does not erode the already thin block grant
allocated to the sector, but that new money should rather be found to
finance the grant. At the current inadequate funding levels such a drastic
HDIs.
434
Paper by the Funding Strategy Group on the Review of the Funding of, Universities USAf
Board of Directors Workshop July 2015, pp. 8
294
473. The Commission has heard testimony from different institutions that the
current funding formula favours HAI in that they receive more due to their
cost of supporting and conducting research, and that the current funding
heavier teaching input grant, which can compromise quality and student
element. Discussions have suggested that the sector is not yet ready for
a more output focused formula, as this could negatively affect HDIs, and
475. Government steers the higher education system, mainly through three
instruments, as follows:
295
475.2. Quality assurance and the programme approval process. The
offering.
476. The annual Ministerial Statement by the Minister of Higher Education and
Education Act, 1997 (Act 101 of 1997 as amended) and the funding
296
framework for universities (Government Gazette, No 25824 of 9
December 2003).
include:
universities;
spending;
479. One outcome from the funding review process as set out in the Report of
2013, is a proposal that the Teaching Development Grant (TDG) and the
297
a University Development Grant (UDG) as a result of overlap between
480. The UDG, to be implemented in 2017/18, will take forward the purposes
of the TDG and RDG in a more streamlined and systematic fashion. The
481. A clear distinction will be drawn between core, recurrent activities and
developmental activities.
482. Importantly, the UDG is envisaged to become the main vehicle through
allocated for SSAUF activities. From early 2016, the Department will work
with the sector to develop policy guidelines for the management and
483. The grants for merger multi-campuses have been phased out and have
been absorbed into the block grant. The multi-campus grant was
purpose, which was to make up for the loss of some universities following
435
Ministerial Statement, June 2016, Page 3
298
the mergers. Detailed reasons about this decision were provided in the
been kept updated about the phasing out of this grant in the various
23 STUDENT HOUSING
23.1 INTRODUCTION
484. This Chapter will deal with Student Housing in the PSET sector. This
studies.
23.2.1 UNIVERSITIES
Universities, 2011.
485.1. The Report showed that in 2010, 20% or 107 598 students
299
only 5.3% of first year entrants were accommodated. A target
had been set that in 10 years (i.e. 2020/21) at least 30% of the
485.2. Bed shortage in 2010 was estimated at 195 815 and this was
campuses.
485.4. The estimates are based on the cost of R240 000 per bed. The
436
DHET Presentation, 20 October 2016
300
485.6. From 2006/07 to 2014/15, Government invested more than
student accommodation.
437
Impacts on suggestion that UIF help build residences.
301
485.12. In the current cycle 2016/17 to 2018/19, R7.5 billion is
485.16. Of the R25 billion, universities estimate the value of the current
438
DHET Presentation, 20 October 2016, Page 6.
302
Policy on the Minimum Norms and Standards for Student
23.2.2 TVETS
487. The Report on the Ministerial Committee for the Review of the Provision
488. The Commission has heard evidence to the effect that it may have been
likelihood is that the housing deficit in relation to TVETs is worse than the
489. The housing shortage in TVET institutions was confirmed by the Minister
when he stated that DHET carried out a survey of the 50 public TVET
Colleges in 2015. The survey showed that for the 710 000 college
439
26 January 2017 transcript, Page 6
303
490. TVET Colleges can provide accommodation for only 1.4% of students;
491. DHET estimates that there is a need for at least 100 000 student beds in
492. After analysing all the data available, the Ministerial Committee
concluded that none of the critical issues for the provision of student
492.1. Access/equity/redress:
440
http://www.lmip.org.za/sites/default/files/documentfiles/CollegeTimesVol46%20%282%29_0.p
df
441
Report on The Ministerial Committee for The Review of The Provision of
Student Housing at SA Universities, 2011. Pg. 129
304
492.2. Learning/success:
492.3. Inclusion/integration:
492.4. Quality/standards:
housing provision.
492.5. Governance/management:
305
tested on all campuses; in some instances, management
492.6. Cost/financing:
rates.
306
493.7. Residence infrastructure;
year.
standards.
496. Student Housing should be able to provide support to first year students,
307
497. Rhodes University has the highest throughput and success rate in South
our earlier in the Research Report on the Costing and Financing of the
and 2030 could amount to as much as R771.5 billion. But the problem is
broader than money can buy. We agree with the views of the CHE
residences". This view of the Commission holds good for TVET colleges.
500. SAFETSA gave evidence that as a result of late payments for allowances
such as accommodation and travel has complicated the day to day life of
students in the TVET space. Many are not able to attend classes
442
Presentation Dlange, January 2017, Pg. 17
308
regularly precisely because of late payments and many of our students
payments.443
And students are given up to a maximum of [R]20 970 per annum for
accommodation. And travel is [R] 7 864 and that accommodation amount
its inclusive of meals. Its not [enough] cause if you divide it for an
example that 20 000 its 20 970 divided by 10 months - it gives you an
amount of 2 point something per month. Those students that are situated
in fact campuses or colleges in rural communities, those students they
manage to afford but the predicament is within urban areas - where you
go to Buffalo City College in East London. Accommodation rates there, if
you are in need of a decent space not luxury but a decent space for a
student to be able to study, charges they vary from 3 000 to 4 000 to 5
000. So in a nut shell, that 20 something its not enough for students.444
443
Presentation, 22 November 2016, Pg 3
444
Transcript, 22 November 2016, Pg 12
309
503. In relation to the conditions of the available student accommodation for
If for an example you can visit some of our student residences not
college residences but these private accommodations. Students are
living in extreme conditions and we once asked some of our students to
say but why have you chosen this type of an arrangement in terms of
accommodation? And students will tell you that the financial assistance
that we are getting form our institutions is not sufficient to cover for proper
accommodation. But because our students they value education, they
have decided to live under those extreme conditions for as long as they
will acquire a qualification.
Some of our students they live around those areas and its not as if there
are no better accommodations or the private accommodations but
accommodations with proper facilities are expensive. So when Im
speaking on to the issue of extreme conditions, I speak of a very bad
environment for a student to live under or to live in - a one room you cook
here, you sleep here, you are 3 or 2 paying 1 200 to 1 500 each. Imagine
that environment where there are no proper facilities to allow students to
study.
310
If you dont have means to provide accommodation, then as much as we
are addressing the issue of teaching and learning in terms of funding
tuition, but also its a predicament for one not to have a safe space to live
while he/she is in that process of acquiring that skill.
445
Transcript, 22 November 2016
311
507. Once Ms. Mbolani eventually got accepted into the Hostel, she said the
Its not what I expected at all. Its not even in good condition to live in
because we live in a small room and there are two of us living in the room
and imagine we have to cook and to do everything in the room.
508. In addition to the aforesaid, various processes have taken place in order
312
508.4. A Department of Public Works and DHET task team has been
development.
by middle of 2018.
forward.
313
24 OUTSOURCING
510. It is the students view that these employees are being exploited by the
companies that employ them and are being denied benefits due to the
511. At present, the debate on insourcing does not appear to have been
students and workers for insources is being dealt with differently by the
institutions.
512. USAf appeared before the Commission and gave evidence to the effect
university payrolls.
513. The service work force remained overwhelmingly black, 98% of the total.
314
514. Should the universities concede to the demand for insourcing, an
insourced as follows:
515. The estimated costs of insourcing using R5 000 as a minimum wage over
the sector is estimated at around R400 to R450 million per annum. The
446
USAf presentation, 20 October 2016, Page 7
315
516.2. the supplementing of salaries and/or insourcing of labour
efficiency;
316
specialised functions such as legal; IT; internal audit function;
447
Presentation Loyiso Nongxa, 19 October 2016. Slide 43
448
Univen Presentation, 21 October 2016, Slide 29 and 30
449
Univen Presentation, 24 August 2016, Slide 16
450
NMMU Presentation, 21 October 2016, Slide 22
317
517.4. The University of Pretoria has disclosed its costs of Insourcing
higher learning.452
517.7. Prof M Jahed was of the view that, at the moment, the debate
learning.454
451
University of Pretoria presentation, 11 August, Slide 18
452
Sasco Submission, Page 3, 22 August
453
Walter Sisulu University Presentation, Slide 10
454
Set 8 Day 12 Transcript
318
518. From the above it is clear that there is no clear consensus in the sector
25 LIBRARIES
520. The Commission has heard in evidence that libraries are an increasing
submissions:
455
https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/national/education/2017-07-06-wits-cuts-operation-
budget-to-hire-more-workers/ Wits instituted wide-ranging cuts in its operational budget (8% for
professional and administrative units; 6% for facilities). The Wits SRC president claimed many
students did not have tutors because of the cuts and that cuts were simply being used to justify
opposition to #Feesmustfall.
456
Set 3
319
521.3. Library collections and budgets are declining in real terms
521.4. Currency depreciation in the past five years has had a serious
law, etc.;
522.4. the size of a library collection is no longer the key matter, since
320
522.5. there has been active engagement with academics to support
321
523. CHELSA went on to make the following recommendations :
Humanities.
and subjected to less and less funding for areas that cannot
be sustained by fundraising.
524. The rising cost of acquiring the resources necessary to support teaching
with double-digit inflation the norm in the online database industry. This
322
26 TVET COLLEGES
525. The Regulatory Framework for funding TVET Colleges is set out in the
526. The policy governs all funding and expenditure by the Department of
527. The policy emanates from section 23 of the Continuing Education and
Training (CET) Act 2006, which requires the Minister of Higher Education
public colleges.
528. The funding policy is intended to address the following challenges that
active youth and adults outside of the school system, who wish
457
Norms and Standard, Pg. 10
323
to improve their skills, gain access to better jobs or to progress
to higher education.
more students.
528.3. The NATED Report 191 and NC(V) policy are designed to
is outdated.
324
529. By international standards, the size of the Technical and Vocational
Education and Training (TVET) college sector is too small for the size
target for this sector, has a mere 2% enrolment rate in technical and
costs;
532. The intention is that the State should fund 80% of the needs of the system
325
student fees. However, as explained early the funding is stagnant at 54%
533. Currently students who are financially needy and academically capable
TVET students who qualify for NSFAS funding are already receiving free
higher education.458
534. The funding norms for TVET colleges cover three categories:
534.1. personnel;
535. Personnel costs are allocated at 63% of the 80% grant of DHET,
requirement that allocations not spent have the effect of reducing the
458
First DHET presentation
326
536. Other college funding needs such as new infrastructure or expansion
Treasury and the expansion of the new TVET campuses is being funded
538. The Commission has been informed that a Ministerial Committee on the
539. The Committee has been established and is yet to table its final report.
The Committee has been briefed to look into the following factors: -
framework(s)?
327
539.4. do we need funding legislation amendments? Can we expand
merged?459
TVET sector. This would accord with the advice of this Commission.
459
DHET Presentation, 24 October 2016
328
26.4 CHALLENGES IN THE TVET SECTOR
541. Evidence has been given at the Commission that while it is university
542. The system is currently skewed towards university education, and will not
self-correct.
544. Enrolments in TVETs have increased from 345 000 students (headcount
545. In terms of the fully costed funding norms, the number of headcount
enrolment.
546. Lack of funding has placed pressure on the personnel budgets of the
329
intended to cater for the college operations, students textbooks,
547. NSFAS bursaries (amounting to R2.3 billion in 2015) have been allocated
548. Colleges are expected to recover fees from students that do not qualify
for NSFAS bursaries; however due to the no fee increase decision for
551. A costing exercise has been performed to quantify the additional funds
that are required to achieve the White Paper and NDP targets for
the current funding (baseline) for the TVET college system for both the
330
80% programme funding by the state and the 20% funding to cover
student fees. The costing has been developed to cover the following two
scenarios:
551.1. funding of the system linked to the NDP and White Paper
552.3. coherence;
460
DHET Presentation, 10 August, Slide 38 -41
331
552.6. higher level opportunities and the need for stability (enrolment
national responsiveness);
332
553.10. adequate financial support for delivery of qualifications and
in 2015/16.
R39,925 per FTE for NC(V) and from R15,462 to R36,763 for NATED.462
461
DHET Presentation, 4 October, Pg. 9
462
DHET Presentation 24 October 2016
333
557. Actual spending per FTE doesnt differ substantially between different
lower funded ones. In practice, this means that practical courses are not
toolkits, etc. Substantially less than what was assumed in the funding
norms.
559. Given the low throughput rates, the cost per graduate is exceedingly
334
27 DECREASE IN SUBSIDIES AND INCREASE IN NSFAS ALLOCATION
Commission was the contention that the State subsidy to universities has
been declining over the past few years. This relates specifically to the
which decreased to 38.4 per cent in 2014 from 49 per cent in 2000.463
the block grant allocation and attributed it to the financial and operational
562. As regards the TVET colleges, the evidence clearly demonstrates the
herein, and that is that the evident trend of the declining subsidy in the
form of the block grant cannot be divorced from the states obligations
463
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016,
p16, Figure 2.
335
27.1 THE FACTUAL POSITION
564. The starting point in interrogating the question of the asserted decline in
565. The evidence shows that the State subsidy to universities has been
464
Increasing from R9 878 704 billion in 2004/2005 to R36 858 629 in
2016/2017. This excludes NSFAS funds recovered from previous
beneficiaries for FY 2004/2005 22011/2013 (recovered amounts
increased from 223 298 in 2004/2005 to R750 500 million in 2011/2012).
See also Vital Stats 2013 and 2014, p91, Figure 147 which data collectively
shows an increase from R15 119 788 000 in 2008/2009 to R28,069,986,000
in 2014/2015.
465
Department of Higher Education and Training: University State Budgets, Public Report,
March 2016, Section 2: Detailed State Budget According to Institutions from FY 2004/2005
2016/2017, Tables 2.1 2.13 respectively. See also USAf submission dated 30 June
2016, p4 which deals with the increase in the State subsidy between 2012/2013 and
2015/2016.
466
Growing from R12,246,779,950 to R15,276,588,896 between 2008/2009 to
2014/2015. See also Vital Stats 2013 and 2014, p91, Figure 147; [Using
04/05 as the base year]; National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on
7 October 2016, p23; Department of Higher Education and Training
submission dated June 2016, p16, 2nd paragraph. See also National
treasury presentation dated 3 March 2017, slide 18, which indicates that
subsidies to universities grow at 10.9 per cent each year.
336
27.1.2 THE BLOCK GRANT
566. The evidence shows that the block grant,467 utilising the national inflation
rate of CPI, grew both in nominal and real terms between 2004/2005
2015/2016.468
567. During this period, the block grant increased significantly in nominal
568. The crisp issue appears to be that in spite of the increasing state subsidy
allocation.470
569. Four principal factors emerge from the evidence which contribute to the
570. The first is inflation. The Department of Higher Education and Training
shows that the nominal growth in the block grant of 139.7 per cent was
467
Historically, the block grant has been the largest component of the subsidy, making up
70% of the government allocation to university vis a vis 30% of the earmarked grant
allocations.
468
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016,
p17, Table 2, Column 3 & 7.
469
Increasing from R8 568 million in 2004/05 to R20 538 million in 2015/16.
470 nd
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p16, 2
paragraph; National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 12 August 2016, p164 L4
p165 L15 20.
337
eroded by inflation (at CPI) to 29.8 per cent in real terms between
2004/05 2015/16.471
571. The evidence provided by USAf indicates that although the State
factors, namely:473
571.1. the top slicing of the total allocation for various kinds of
earmarked grants;474
and
471
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016,
p17, Table 2, Columns 3 & 7, and second bullet point.
472
USAf uses the years 2012/2013 to 2015/2016.
473
USAf submission dated 30 June 2016, p4.
474
Which has grown at about 10% annually. The earmarked allocations includes the NSFAS
allocation.
475
See also Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p17
last bullet point; National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p164 L10
11.
476
See also Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p18,
st
1 paragraph.
338
27.1.4 THE DISPARITY BETWEEN THE SUBSIDY (LESS NSFAS) AND
STUDENT GROWTH
572. The State subsidy, and the block grant in particular, is, in part, linked to
enrolments.477
student enrolled year on year since the 2005 National Plan for Higher
Education growth targets were fixed, and the recent planning phase for
both the NDP and 2013 White Paper has set the bar even higher as part
574. The subsidy has not kept up with the rising enrolments, which in fact has
and 2013.480
477
The block grant is made up of 4 components: the teaching input (based on enrolment), the
teaching output (based on graduations), the research output (based on approved
publications and the research masters and doctoral graduations) and institutional factors
(based on institutional size and proportion of historically disadvantaged students). See Vital
Stats, Public Higher Education 2014, Definitions page ii, and Department of Higher
Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p14 para 4.3.2.
478
Save for academic year 2014 when the headcount enrolments fell from 983 698 in 2013 to
969 154 in 2014. See Vital Stats, Public Higher Education 2013 and 2014, p3, Figure1.
See also Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p5,
nd
2 paragraph.
479
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p17, last bullet
point; National Treasury, transcript of hearing held on 12 August 2016, p164 L4 22.
480
National Treasury submission dated 30 June 2016, p3 para 5.
339
576. Currently, the 26 universities offer higher education to an estimated 970
000 students.481
579. The plain result of the disparity has been the increasing reliance by
580. The subsidy is incompatible with the Higher Education Price Inflation
(HEPI).
481 th
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p5, 4
paragraph; and presentation dated 10 August 2016, slides 7 and 8.
482
NDP p319, third bullet point; Department of Higher Education and Training presentation
dated 10 August 2016, slide 7.
483
Above. It is estimated that approximately 3 million youth between the ages of 16 to 24 are
not in education, employment or training, and would have to be accommodated in the
PSET system. See Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June
2016, p6 third paragraph.
484
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p16, second
paragraph.
485
From 24 per cent in 2000.
486
From 49 per cent in 2000.
340
581. According to the Department of Higher Education and Training, the day-
584. The evidence presented before the Commission shows that the subsidy
has at best been growing at CPI, and thus far below the inflation rate
487
These costs primarily include staff salaries; utilities; municipal rates and taxes and
electricity. See Department of Higher Education and Training presentation dated 10 August
nd
2016, slide 24, 2 bullet point, and 27 bullet points 1 & 2.
488
Department of Higher Education and Training: University State Budgets, Public Report,
March 2016, Section 2.2, General Notes.
489
Department of Higher Education and Training presentation dated 10 August 2016, slide 25,
st
1 bullet point.
490
See Department of Higher Education and Training presentation dated 10
August 2016, slide 27.
491
In 2014, personnel costs made up 53 per cent of expenditure. This amount
stood at 60 per cent in 2016. See Department of Higher Education and
Training presentation dated 10 August 2016, slide 7.
492
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p18.
341
585. This is corroborated by USAf, which submitted that for the period 2010/11
2012/13, the higher education price index (HEPI) was 1.7% above
CPI.493
586. Professor Rolf Stumpf gave expert evidence on public funding of Higher
approximately 1.4 per cent between CPI and HEPI in 2014. 494 This
587. The effect of the HEPI on the block grant allocation is an increase in real
terms of 5.6 per cent and a negative per capita growth in real terms of
21.4 per cent, from 139.7 per cent nominal growth experienced between
2004/05 2015/16.495
588. Having regard to the above, it is plain that the subsidy to universities has
not kept pace with inflation, be it CPI or HEPI. It has also been outpaced
496
by the increasing student enrolment numbers The apparent
493
USAf submission dated 30 June 2016, p3, second paragraph and p4 para (e).
494
Prof. Rolf Stumpf presentation dated, slide headed Higher Education Price Inflation (3);
transcript of the hearing held on 18 October 2016, p94, third paragraph.
495
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p18, Table 3;
presentation dated 10 August 2016, slide 24.
496
Department of Higher Education and Training submission dated June 2016, p17, Table 2,
and p18 Table 3.
342
grant and earmarked allocations, less NSFAS) as a proportion of total
university income.
student fees.
591. This is particularly having regard to the indiscriminate nature of the block
592. TIPS warned of the unintended consequences that may result from the
497
CHET presentation dated 11 August 2016, slide 17.
343
allocations, which is that it may incentivise universities to increase fees
593. The decline in the block grant must be viewed in the light of the policy
595. The underlying basis of this shift in funds from the block to the earmarked
reasonable measures.
596. The Minister of Higher Education and Training articulated the current
498
TIPS presentation dated March 2017, slide 21, transcript p27 L3 12.
499
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 7 October 2016, p8; TIPS presentation
dated March 2016, slide 17.
500
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 7 October 2016, p22.
501
Defined as students coming from households earning no more than R120 000.
344
government to be the primary vehicle through which that obligation would
be met.502
597. The National Treasury explained that the policy decision informs current
budget allocations.
598. It explained that the rationale for the policy decision is that university
subsidies are regressive to the extent that they also benefit the top
599. In addressing the effects of this policy decision on the block grant,
universities on student fees does not translate to the full burden being
passed on to households.505
600. That is because there has been a significant growth over the years in
502
DHET; Minister, See also National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 7 October
2016, p8.
503
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 3 March 2017, p68 L21 22.
504
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 7 October 2016, p54 L25 p56 L4.
505
National Treasury submission dated June 2016, p4 para 6.
506
National Treasury presentation dated 7 October 2016, slides 10 and 13; National Treasury,
transcript of the hearing held on 7 October 2016, p8; TIPS presentation dated March 2017,
slide 21.
345
601. NSFAS awards now accounts for 40 per cent of student fees.507 At the
gain access to fee-free education (the sector with the largest enrolments).
602. The evidence presented by CHET shows that while the student fee
period.508
that this increase does not offset the underfunding of the higher education
604. There has also been a notable shift in the ratio of allocations within
605. National Treasury estimates that about 50% of the NSFAS allocation is
507
National Treasury submission dated June 2016, p4 para 8.
508
CHET presentation (undated) titled Fees and Sustainable Development, slide 28, para 3.
See also National Treasury transcript 2 October 2016, p.22
509
Ibid. p.23
346
university students and Fundza Lushaka and other bursaries managed
606. NSFAS allocations are projected to increase at 16.1 per cent over the
607. In the view of the commission any perception that there has not been a
progressive allocation.
608. First, this assumes that the amount allocated in 2 000 (40 000 per FTE
been claims that even this was insufficient, and that underfunding starts
earlier. However, for the purpose of this argument, we will compare the
510
National Treasury, transcript of the hearing held on 7 October 2016, p8.
511
Between 2010/2011 and 2014/2015 from R300 million to R2 billion. See National Treasury
submission dated June 2016, p4 para 10; transcript of the hearing held on 7 October 2016,
p8.
512
Having said that, however, NSFAS receives additional allocations of R7.7 billion over the
MTEF period to assist unfunded NSFAS university students from the 2016 academic year
to continue with their studies. See National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2017,
slide 20.
513
National Treasury presentation dated 3 march 2017, slide 20.
514
National Treasury presentation dated 3 March 2017, slide 18.
347
609. Secondly, the argument of a stable FTE allocation when NSFAS is
added, only applies after 2010/11. The period before this is a period of
sustained underfunding (see Treasury slide 14). It is clear that from 2010
the subsidy per FTE, even including the NSFAS allocation, is below
a few years of funding at the same (in real terms) funding per FTE as in
2010.
610. Thirdly, the entire FTE calculation in real terms does not take into account
611. The calculation also ignores Rand depreciation, and added e-resource
612. In addition, the entire comparison of total state allocation per FTE, fails
613. The subsidy amount has declined, even when CPI is used (when NSFAS
is excluded).
614. By using FTE, the perception assumes that all else (except enrolment
348
615. First, the effect of the increase in Earmarked funds as a proportion of total
subsidy. Earmarking funds is to help ensure that the system grows in line
from the overall subsidy amount. Therefore, all these calculations include
they can use for day-to-day activities. Even though HDIs have benefited
from the grant, they have still been negatively affected in terms of block
617. Finally, this does not take into account the development of new
349
29 STUDENT SUCCESS
29.1 INTRODUCTION
618. The question of student success looms large in the whole debate about
the feasibility of providing fee-free higher education. The NDP notes that
rates. It states that: While enrolment and attainment gaps have narrowed
across different race groups, the quality of education for the vast majority
has remained poor at all levels. The higher education sector therefore
619. The NDP recognises that even if there were greater investment of funds
into higher education, this does not necessarily have any meaningful
impact because of high dropout rates and low throughput rates. It notes
515
p273
516
p282
350
620. Regarding the FET sector, the NDP notes that The college sector needs
to be expanded, but this must be preceded by clarity about its vision and
system is not effective. The NDP emphasised that this system is too
the quality and relevance of courses offered in the FET system need
urgent attention. It notes that simply growing the sector without focussing
621. The 2012 Green Paper on Post School Education and Training also
noted the risks associated with expanding the PSET system without
addressing low throughput and high drop-out rates. It notes the need to
states that the poor quality of education available to many black students
517
p50
518
p5
351
progress in creating sufficient skills and transforming the economy. The
There are problems with the quality and reputation of many post-school
institutions. If these problems are not addressed, options for improving
human capital will remain limited and this will adversely affect the
competitiveness of the countys economy, while increasing the premium
for skilled labour. One of the goals is therefore to improve the quality of
TVET colleges by ensuring that the number of qualified lecturers is
increased and administration is improved. To support the quality of
lecturing, 10 universities will offer TVET lecturing qualifications by 2017
(currently only one offers such qualifications), and 30% of TVET college
lecturers should have work-place exposure every year by 2019. For the
university sector, the focus is on increasing the number of lecturers with
PhDs while reducing the student dropout rate. An additional area of focus
is on producing the next generation of lecturers by increasing the pool of
post-graduate students and by increasing research output. The number
of entry level academic staff receiving teaching and research
development opportunities from the Teaching and Research
Development Grant will increase from 50 academics in 2012 to 400
academics by 2019. To transform the historical and social composition of
the academic work force, by 2019, the number of new black entrants will
have to increase by at least 100 per annum by 2019, The number of
postgraduate students awarded bursaries and fellowships by the
National Research Foundation will increase to 27 411 cumulatively over
the five-year period for masters students (3 704 in 2012), and 15 209
cumulatively over the five-year period for doctoral students (2 265 in
2012). Work placements will be increased by encouraging closer
relations between industry and institutions of learning.519
519
p23
352
30 THE WORKING GROUP ON THE FEASIBILITY OF PROVIDING FEE
623. The Report of the Working Group on the Feasibility of Providing Fee Free
Higher Education to the Poor noted that the academic factors limiting
624. The 2013 White Paper deals with the high levels of student dropout. The
main causes listed in the White Paper for the lack of student success
include:
520
Report of the working group on the feasibility of providing fee free higher education to the
poor; page viii
353
624.1. the weakness of much of the schooling system, especially
support;
625. There has been overwhelming evidence before this Commission of the
354
According to Professor Scott, the minimum requirements for an effective
inequalities; and
627. DHET provided evidence before the Commission on the steps it has
628.1. DHET has over the last few years increased its focus on
628.2. One of the structural things that has been done is the
355
Branch. This directorate has a specific focus on students and
staff success.
Development Grant 2018 2020 (UCDP). This states that, overall, the
increasing. However, drop-out rates and throughput rates still need much
race.521
the funding mechanism that the state uses to allocate funding to public
631. The UCDP will be introduced in 2018-2020 and will be aligned with the
521
p2
356
University Capacity Development Plan addressing the issues identified
632. There are questions raised as to whether or not the UCDP goes far
Prof Scott is of the view that the UCDP does not set out structural
curriculum reform that goes beyond the existing interventions. In his view
reform along the lines of the Flexible Curriculum proposal put forward by
633. Although the differences between the DHET and Prof Scott cannot be
to have received from the Department. It seems to us (to quote Prof Scot)
that the balance has not yet been achieved in the DHETs suite of
curriculum reform being necessary to meet the need of students who are
522
Referred to in Prof Scotts response to the testimony of DHET.
357
30.4 OTHER INTERVENTIONS
634. According to Prof Vally et al523, poor student success can be addressed
523
Submission to the Commission by Salim Vally, Mondli Hlatshwayo (University
of Johannesburg), Rasigan Maharajh (Tshwane University of Technology),
Zolisa Marawu (Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University), Enver Motala
(University of Fort Hare), Leigh-Ann Naidoo (University of the Witwatersrand)
and Salim Vally (University of Johannesburg). 26 May 2016.
358
31 ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ACCESSIBILITY
31.1 INTRODUCTION
635. The Green Paper for Post-School Education and Training (DHET 2012)
sets targets for the expansion of the university sector to reach 1.5 million
students by 2030.
636. In order to meet this challenge, the Report of Ministerial Committee for
the review of the Funding of Universities states that South Africa will need
to achieve the educational purpose using the most appropriate and cost-
637. This Chapter gives a broad overview of the options available within the
524
Report of Ministerial Committee for the review of the Funding of Universities, Pg. 228
359
31.2 DEFINITION OF OPEN LEARNING
638. The Education White Paper 1 (DoE 1995) defines open learning as an
experience;
525
DoE (1995), White Paper on Education & Training: Education and training in a democratic
South Africa. First steps to develop a new system.
360
638.8. the maintenance of rigorous quality assurance over the design
vehicles for open learning, none of them should be equated with open
of them. 526
training based on a set of open learning principles. When the term open
follows open learning principles, and is not specific to any particular mode
of delivery.527
642. DHET goes on to state that open learning should not be considered as
526
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 6
527
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 7
361
second-best option, but should be recognised as a principled approach
used. 528
643. Crucially, in developing countries like South Africa, open learning can
644. In its study of open learning, DHET has recognised certain international
trends. A proviso is given that these trends should be read against the
528
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 7
529
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 8 - 12
362
646. The trends are as follows :
647. Throughout the developing world populations are increasing, and globally
countries.
649. All of these factors tend to increase the social demand for qualification
over and above the demand pressures resulting from population growth
employment.
363
31.3.2 DEVELOPMENTS IN INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION
TECHNOLOGIES
650. The rapid pace of development in ICT opens up new ways to make
learning more flexible, accessible and in many cases, more effective and
more satisfying.
communication
364
31.3.5 BLENDED LEARNING530
face methods. Online education and ICTs are used together with contact
654. Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) provide access to a vast array
high dropout rates in such courses despite the participants being mainly
530
The integration of online with traditional face to face class activities in a planned,
pedagogically valuable manner.
365
31.3.8 CROSS-INSTITUTIONAL COLLABORATION
656. Networks of institutions are formed, sharing courses and freely offering
658. The advent of open learning with its emphasis on extending access, and
366
31.3.11 POPULARITY OF NON-FORMAL AND INFORMAL LEARNING
662. This section gives a brief synopsis of the current legislative and policy
663. The White Paper on Education and Training (1995), which laid the
foundation for the new Education and Training System in South Africa,
367
removing barriers to education for those who had been disadvantaged by
664. The White Paper for Post-School Education and Training (2014) supports
665. Section 38.1 of the Higher Education Act (Act No 101 of 1997) supports
universities. In alignment with the Act, the Policy for the Provision of
666. As in the White Paper for Post-School Education and Training (2014), the
531
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 12
532
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 12
533
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017, Pg. 13
368
recognises the impact of ICT on the provision of education in the higher
667. In the wider national policy context, the Council on Higher Education
668. In relation to TVETs, the Continuing Education and Training Act (Act No
and training by persons who have been marginalised in the past such as
669. The CET Act further commits to provide optimal opportunities for
369
670. The act furthermore emphasises the provision of opportunities for life-
long learning.
672. The Skills Development Act (Act No 97 of 1998) requires that learners
have access to high quality and appropriate education and training, and
674. The Act also provides clear directives to the Sector Education and
370
675. With the promulgation of the National Qualifications Framework Act (Act
on the NQF through the standard established processes. The QCs are
qualifications.
opportunities for those who experience barriers to learning and for young
barriers include:
reasonable proximity;
677.3. inability to take time off from work or family obligations for
structured learning;
371
677.4. discrimination on the basis of physical disability, gender, age,
studies; and
678. In line with the policy directives presented in the White Paper for
framework which sets out its strategic intent in steering the PSET system
open learning.
679. The scope of the policy is national and it is aimed at the entire PSET
534
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017
372
training (TVET) colleges and community education and training (CET)
Basic Education (DBE) and DHET, and Sector Education and Training
Authorities (SETAs).
681. A University sector seminar and two TVET college seminars were
31.5 IMPLEMENTATION
682. The DHET, in collaboration with other entities and organisations such as
SAQA, QCs and SAIVCET, will provide guidelines for, and engage with
535
Open Learning Policy Framework for Post-School Education and Training, 8
March 2017
373
processes that address national and student needs on the one hand, and
683. The guidelines, together with historical data on student success and
throughput rates, will influence decisions about the desirability and hence
of provision.
684. Public institutions PQMs. and enrolment plans must be approved by the
requirements of the relevant QC, and thereby take full responsibility for
374
32 FUNDING OF OPEN LEARNING
688. The implementation of the proposed policy framework will be part of the
689. The DHET will determine funding norms and provide guidelines for
funding open learning and will ensure that the funding of open learning,
690. Open learning initiatives driven by the DHET such as the NOLS will be
2025.
to ensure that open learning policies and practices gain a firm foothold in
a number of TVET and CET colleges and universities, that initially limited
innovation is maintained.
375
692.1. modify the relevant budgetary frameworks and funding norms
692.3. review the funding formula which assumes a neat and obvious
opportunities.
693. DHET accepts that although open learning and distance education
376
necessary ICT networks, software and other infrastructure, in
that:
377
695.5. technology can be used to implement standardised tests in
696. Mr. Ian McDonald made a proposal to the Commission relating to what
and degrees.
existing universities.
378
Anything, Anywhere, Anytime to bridge the digital divide and
696.4. This entity would result in youth job creation and economic
SMMEs.
over 100 000 new youth jobs, stimulate the economy and
697. In the view of the Commission, Mr. McDonalds proposal is ahead of its
697.1. the UNISA experience and results worldwide have shown very
379
697.2. the average South African student entering tertiary education
criminality;
proposal;
proposal is uncertain.
380
698. Questions were directed to DHET regarding the plausibility of these
PSET;
536
Transcript, 24-03-2017, Pg. 28
381
699.6. advocating and communicating open learning and building an
and
learning.
700. The current framework for funding higher education and training is based
education are shared equitably between the state; institutions and private
beneficiaries (students).
701. This approach is based on the premise that higher education yields both
private and public benefits,537 such that these benefits are reflected in the
537
White Paper 3 A Programme for Higher Education Transformation (1997), p51 para 4.39;
Ministerial Committee Report of Review of University Funding (2013), p121 122 para (c).
On the global private/public returns to higher education, see CHET presentation dated 11
August 2016, slides 18 19.
382
702. The state remains the largest funder of higher education and training. It
namely:
and
NSFAS scheme.538
703. A fundamental driver of the student demand for fee-free higher education
is the high fee increases, which have resulted in higher education costs
704. Although the demand originates from the university student population, it
is plain from the evidence that TVET college students face similar issues
evidence presented demonstrates plainly that the PSET sector has been
538
National Student Financial Aid Scheme Act 56 of 1999; Ministerial Committee Report of
Review of University Funding (2013), p380.
383
falls beyond the scope of this section, it must be noted here that the 2015
decision relating to the no university fee increase for the 2016 academic
in the sector.
705. Tuition fee income has been steadily increasing as a percentage of total
university income across all institutions since 2000. 539 The evidence
edging closer to the percentage received in the form of state subsidy. The
although the higher rate of inflation in the sector has also had an effect
on the increase.
per cent in 2013. During the same period, the proportion of income from
539
Student fees increased nationally from 24 per cent in 2000 to 33 per cent in 2014. See
DHET submission dated June 2016, p16.
540
National Treasury presentation, 12 August 2016, slide 13.
384
707. The reflected increase in student fees, as a percentage of total university
income, does not take into account the percentage paid by NASFAS. This
708. The import of this is that fewer students have been contributing to tuition
education.
INSTITUTIONS
709. It is significant to note also that although student fee contributions have
710. To demonstrate, the evidence shows that in 2014, the average student
fee contribution for traditional universities was 29.1 per cent (subsidy of
541
Ibid.
542
From R15.411 billion in 2012 to R19.589 billion in 2014, representing an average increase
of 9.03 per cent. See DHET submission dated June 2016, p20 second paragraph.
385
of 51.2 %). Comprehensive universities had the largest student fee
711. The evidence shows that the prevailing funding model translates
712.1. the average student fee increase across the university sector
the same period, at 9.5 per cent per annum.545 In 4 years, the
713. Over this same period, the percentage received in third stream income
third-stream income (2005 to 2009), which has since tapered off again.
543
DHET submission dated June 2016, p20.
544
CHET presentation dated 11 August 2016, slide 15.
545
Which is a 44 per cent increase in 4 years versus 42 per cent for all universities.
546
Versus an increase across all universities from about R19 000 in 2000 to about R25 000 in
2014.
386
to institution, depending on the institutions ability to attract additional
funding. In general, HDIs are less able to attract third stream income and
was also provided indicating that third stream income is not a stable
source of income, and that much of the funding is earmarked in line with
714. Other than NSFAS, students are funded through other sources which
include:
547
DHET submission p21.
387
715. In 2016, the University of Witwatersrand generated R1 023 479 billion
allocation, accounting for over 70% of the total available amounts in 2015
and 2016.549
716.1. NSFAS income accounts for the largest share of the amount
548
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 3; transcript of the hearing held on 24
November 2016, p30 L1 7.
549
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 4; transcript of the hearing held on 24
November 2016, p30 L8 13; last paragraph p31 first paragraph.
550
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 6.
551
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slides 3 & 6.
388
Wits Vision 2022, and with a view of meeting the NDP 2030
demonstrated how its student population has been funded over a 5-year
period.556
552
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 5.
553
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 7.
554
Presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 6. This is a significant increase from R61 080
million in 2012.
555
The student numbers increased from 485 in 2012. See presentation slide 8.
556
UJ presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 2; transcript of hearing held on 24
November 2016, p40.
557
UJ presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 3.
389
718.3. That left 5 per cent unfunded NSFAS qualifying students in
558
UJ presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 4.
559
Other awards are for sports achievement, staff concessions (which covers tuition fees of
staff members, their spouses and children).
560
See also UJ presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 5. Sources of external funds
include CSI, NRF, SETAs and other public entities, funding from provincial governments
and municipalities, and donations from individuals and Trusts.
390
719. The University of Fort Hare is classified as a HDI.561 Its evidence in the
720. For example, external donors funded 1 394 students in 2016, to the value
of R77 336 715 million,562 compared to the R189 303 million that was
the same year. It must be born in mind that the student population of UFH
721. Most of the students at Fort Hare are supported by NSFAS.563 NSFAS
allocated R864 050 562 million to Fort Hare to fund 9 059 students in
2016.564 The NSFAS allocation for Wits for the same year was almost
722. We note that these NSFAS allocations for both Fort Hare and Wits distort
the actual NSFAS allocation because they include the amounts allocated
561
Presentation dated 25 November 2016, slide 5.
562
Fort Hare presentation dated 25 November 2016, slides 5 & 8; Wits presentation dated 24
November 2016, slide 3.
563
Fort Hare presentation dated 25 November 2016, slide 7.
564
Fort Hare presentation slide 8.
565
Wits presentation slide 3 column 4.
566
Fort Hare presentation dated 25 November 2016, slides 13; transcript p4 fifth paragraph;
Wits presentation dated 24 November 2016, slide 3.
391
723. NSFAS funding also makes up the majority of student funding at the
Wits had R262 277 000 of internal funds for disbursement (a difference
724. As the evidence suggests, HDIs are less able to raise third stream
income with the result that they have limited funding from this income
725. The NRF is established under the National Research Foundation Act (the
NRF Act), 571 with the object of supporting and promoting research
567
UKZN submission dated 23 November 2016, para 5.
568
UKZN submission dated 23 November 2016, para 6.
569
Wits presentation slide 3. This amount comprises internal bursaries, internal bursaries
(faculty) and internal scholarships & Council funded scholarships.
570
Fort Hare transcript p3 4.
571
23 of 1998.
392
knowledge, innovation and development in all fields of science and
726. The NRF gives effect to its mandate by, inter alia, giving financial support
in all disciplines.573 The NRF also allocates grants for large infrastructure
purposes;575 and
572
Sections 3 & 4.
573
Section 4(2); NRF presentation slide 2.
574
This translates to at least 5000 doctoral graduates per year.
575
NDP p319.
393
729. The NRF currently funds 10 per cent of all postgraduate students in the
country.576
730. In 2015, the NRF funded a total of 12 719 postgraduate student bursaries
732. The total NRF income from these sources for 2015/2016 was
576
NRF presentation slide 3.
577
NRF presentation slide 3.
578
NRF presentation, slide 7.
394
32.2.7 INHERENT LIMITATIONS TO NRF FUNDS
733. The NRFs income is broadly divided into discretionary and committed
funds.579
of R4 163 million.
579
NRF presentation slide 10.
395
734.1. The NRF indicated that in order to scale up its research
2020.581
734.2. Since 2009, the NRF baseline allocation from the DST has
734.3. Furthermore, the allocation by the DST to the NRF has shown
580
NRF presentation slide 12.
581
NRF presentation slides 13 14.
582
NRF presentation slides 4 6.
583
NRF presentation, slide 6.
584
As appears from the two main cash injections to the baseline relate to the SKA project and
the SARChl project.
396
734.4. It is of great concern that since 2006/2007 up to 2015/16, NRF
735. Thus the NRF has few resources to provide funding to the current pool
32.2.8 EDULOAN/FUNDI
737.1. UIF;
737.2. PIC;
585
NRF presentation, slides 6 7.
586
FUNDI also extends loans and bursaries to private institutions, schools and
587
FUNDI presentation (undated) slide 2.
397
737.5. Mergence.
738. Its largest shareholder is the PIC, having a 40 per cent stake therein.588
32.2.9 LOANS
739. FUNDI offers loans primarily to civil guardians to defray their childrens
student fees. Loans can cover either tuition only, or can be for other costs
student.
742. Loan repayments are collected through salary deductions and by debit
which is estimated at 98% from salary deductions and 95% from debit
order payments.590
588
Other shareholders are the Open Learning Holdings (20.93%); Standard Bank (16.5%);
Kopane Investment (17.63%). Its management & staff hold the smallest share at 4.94%.
See FUNDI presentation.
589
FUNDI presentation, slide 5.
590
FUNDI presentation, slide 5.
398
743. Interests rates for FUNDI loans are high, ranging from 19% 30%,
744. FUNDI accepts that its loan funding scheme excludes students from the
poor and missing middle categories as they often cannot provide security
for the loan. To offset the risk attendant upon these classes of students,
745. The Commission is of the view that, should the recommendations made
accepted:
manageable terms.
591
FUNDI, transcript of the hearing held on 29 November 2016, p22 23.
592
Slide 6 and transcript.
399
32.2.10 FUNDI BURSARIES
746. FUNDI also manages funds for institutions and other private and public
747. Recipients of the funds can use the funds at the numerous FUNDI
affiliated merchants.596
748. The Banking Association of South Africa (BASA) appeared before the
749.1. the 5 largest banks control more than 90 per cent of total
593
Stakeholders include provincial governments and entities; universities, vendors and
corporates. See FUNDI presentation, slide 12.
594
FUNDI currently manages funds on behalf of 40 funders, including universities. See FUNDI
presentation, slide 8.
595
FUNDI presentation, slide 8.
596
FUNDI presentation, slide 9. These merchants include Shoprite/Checkers, 107 book
stores, 300 accommodation providers and 508 food merchants.
597
BASA represents 3 mutual banks, 15 local branches of foreign banks and 17 registered
banks. See BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slides 3 & 4.
598
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 5.
400
749.2. the 4 largest banks have student loan products;
749.3. the balance of the banks do not have student targeted loans,
education. 599 It would appear that the majority of the initiates are
751. BASA reports that most recently, banks have been involved in the
Ikusasa Student Financial Aid Programme and provided funding for the
752. With specific regard to the banks financing of students, the testimony of
599
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slides 9 11.
600
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 13.
601
BASA notes that banks spend roughly R500 million per annum on education.
401
32.2.12 BASA BURSARIES
753. Students applying for bursaries must meet the BASA criteria, which
include:
753.4. whether their qualification will yield critical skills for the sector.
754. The data presented by BASA shows that the number of students funded
5 000 per annum. The average bursary amount awarded between 2014
and 2015 is around R21 000. While it is up from about R14 000 in
2013,602 it is significant to note that it does not cover the average costs
of study of the cheapest university, and falls far below the NSFAS cap.
755. The banks contributed to the Ikusasa Student Financial Aid Programme
602
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 16.
402
32.2.13 BASA LOANS
756. The student loan products referred to above, include personal loans.603
757. While loan criteria and applicable terms and conditions of the loan differ
from one bank to another, BASA set out common considerations for
month);
603
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 13.
604
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slides 19 & 21.
403
758. BASA estimates that about R1 billion worth of students loans, including
students were funded through student loans provided by banks over 2013
2015. It indicates that when personal loans are factored in, the number
759. The terms and conditions of the loan, while differing between banks, are
course of study;
605
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 18.
606
Repayment can be deferred in certain limited circumstances. See BASA presentation
dated 8 February 2017, slide 21.
607
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 24.
404
759.3. students have up to 18 months for every year of study to repay
the loan.608
760. The interest rates levied on the loans range from prime to prime plus 6%.
761. The applicable interest rates are informed by various factors, including:
762. Banks apply default reducing measures ranging from soft collection
764. During this period, the parent, guardian or surety is liable to pay the
interest rate which runs throughout the subsistence of the loan. The
608
BASA presentation dated 8 February 2017, slide 21.
609
Some institutions offer between interest rates for each year completed.
405
parent, guardian or surety remains liable for the repayment of the loan
765. As is the case with FUNDI, the banks ability to extend more student loans
which in turn, turns on the income of the parent, guardian or surety of the
irrelevant.]
766. In this regard also, the recommendations in this Report in relation to ICLs
767. The nature of the student debt discussed here relates to both self-funded
students and those that receive NSFAS loans, with specific emphasis
768. The gross student debt of half of the total 26 universities as a percentage
of student fees is said to be above the sector average of 27.8 per cent.610
610
DHET submission dated June 2016, p22.
406
HDIs and universities of technology account for the largest portion of that
debt.
769. A PTT to assess the extent of historic debt was appointed in 2015. Its
amount of R9.2 billion has been added to the NSFAS allocation during
the October 2016 medium-term budget for student funding over the
MTEF period.611
770. The Department of Higher Education and Training costed the NSFAS
shortfall for the 2016 MTEF period, based on the NDP enrolment targets,
at R10 328 058.612 The NSFAS shortfall, should the current (2015/2016)
771. It is noted that this debt relief was exclusively for university students, thus
sector.
772. The Commission was favoured with various models to fund students in
higher education and training. These models range from greater levels of
611
NSFAS presentation dated 14 November 2016, slide 16.
612
Submission DTED June 2016, p32, Scenario 1.
613
Submission dated June 2016, p33, Scenario 2.
407
government contributions to reduced subsidies in favour of targeted
subsequent Chapter.
773. In this section, we look at the viability of the various proposed alternative
sources of funding higher education and training. The following are some
of these sources:
408
773.8. Thuto ke lesedi;
776. Section 4 of the PIC Act sets out the main object of the PIC, and that is
777. Section 5 confers upon the PIC broad powers. The PIC has all the powers
614
Transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p9 L19 20.
615
Section 3. The Minister of Finance represents the shareholder, the state.
616
37 of 2002.
409
778. In particular, the PIC invests monies received or held by, for or on behalf
779. In terms of section 10(2) of the PIC Act, the PIC, through its board,618
780. In its presentation before the Commission, the PIC broadly outlined its
781. It is appropriate at the outset to emphasise that the monies held by the
782. There are limitations imposed by the funders relating to the use of those
617
See preamble/introduction read together with sections 10 and 11, transcript of the hearing
held on 21 February 2017, p5 L20 25.
618
Under section 8, the board is responsible for the management of the business of the PIC.
619
PIC presentation made on 21 February 2017.
620
Transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p3 L22 p4 L7.
410
32.5.3 PIC FUNDING SOURCES
783. The PIC manages and invests funds of behalf of various public-sector
784. The largest contributor to the PIC is the GEPF, which has contributed an
621
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p5 L20 25.
622
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p5 L21 23.
623
Namely, listed and unlisted domestic investments; and offshore investments.
624
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p6 L1 9.
411
invested in that class; and the returns it expects from such
investments.625
785.2. The PIC has the discretion as to where to invest those funds,
asset class.627
625
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p6 L13 p8 L16.
626
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p9 L4 14.
627
The developmental investment class makes provision for the following sub-classes:
economic infrastructure; social infrastructure; sustainable investments and priority sectors.
See transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p17 L17 p18 L9. Higher
education and training is located within the social infrastructure sub component. See PIC
presentation, slide 4, column 2.
628
PIC presentation slide 4, slide 4 column 2.
629
PIC presentation slide 4.
412
788. Education falls under the development investment asset class. 630 The
789. Of its clients, only 3 have mandated the PIC to invest their assets in the
789.1. GEPF;
789.3. CC fund.
790. The PIC has a mandate from these clients to invest a collective 30
791. PICs investments take multiple forms. For example, it has the option of
630
PIC presentation slide 3, column 2; transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p18
L14 21.
631
PIC presentation slide 3, column 2.
632
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p18 L11 13.
633
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p18 L14 19.
634
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p18 L14 19.
635
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p19 L18 p20 L16.
413
792. The UIFs investments are informed by its Social Responsibility
which to invest which can yield the developmental impact sought by the
UIF. The PIC carries out the UIFs mandate by investing in skills
793. The PIC testified that, unlike the UIF, which is willing to trade-off a lower
794. The PIC invests broadly in education, from primary to higher education
636
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p21 L19 p22 L11.
637
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p18 L22 p19 L22.
638
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p22 L12 22.
639
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p22 L24 p23 L22; presentation
slide 5.
640
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p23 L10 p24 L5.
414
32.5.4 PIC INVESTMENT IN STUDENT ACCOMMODATION
795. The PIC is heavily invested in student accommodation. One of the major
investments was the purchase of South Point, 641 which was a private
the PIC had invested in 10 000 student beds, and it aims to increase that
797.1. The funders will include including itself, the DFIs (who will
641
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p27 L21 p28 L6; presentation
slide 9.
642
PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p23 L25 p25 L23.
643
PIC presentation slide 9.
644
PIC presentation slide 8; PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p24
p25.
415
797.3. the Department of Public works will purchase the property.
798. The PIC have made these investments with the view that the it will build,
own and operate the model. Government will, in the long term, be the
799. The PIC also contributes to student funding through its investments in
Eduloan (FUNDI).647
800. FUNDI loans have already been discussed in this Report, and the
801. The PIC is exploring an alternative student finance model which will make
645
PIC presentation slide 8; PIC, transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p24
p25 L23.
646
PIC presentation slide 10.
647
PIC presentation slide 13, second main bullet point; slide 17. An estimated R244,3 million
of government employee funds under PIC management are invested in Eduloan. Eduloan
has issued an estimated 47 533 loans as at 30 September 2016.
648
PIC presentation slide 13, fourth bullet point.
649
PIC presentation, slides 14 16.
416
802.1. creating a special purpose vehicle (SPV) financed by multiple
facility;
SPV;
803. If the proposals of the Commission are accepted the PICs proposed
650
1996.
417
the object of providing pensions and related benefits to members,
806.1. a benefit which has, within a period of 24 months from the date
an annuity.654
807. The GEPF reported a total sum of an estimated R450 million in unclaimed
651
Section 3; GEPF presentation slide 2.
652
Section 17(1).
653
2007 FSB Circular PF NO. 126, section 1; transcript of the hearing held on 21 February
2017, p60 L6 p64 L4.
654
The circular defines unpaid benefit at section 1 thereof; transcript p78 L13 p85 L16. The
remaining parts of the definition are not relevant to our consideration.
655
Such as disputed cases and those with incomplete documentation. This amounts to
R46 157 198.59. See Unclaimed benefits age analysis March 2016.
656
Interest amounts to R155 601 744.01. See Unclaimed benefits age analysis March
2016; 2007 FSB Circular PF NO. 126, section 1; transcript of the hearing held on 21
February 2017, p64 L12 L22.
657
See Notes to Unclaimed benefits age analysis March 2016.
418
in order to trace beneficiaries. Since November 2016, nearly 300 cases
809. The GEPF testified that the balance (R369 million) is in the early stages
810. These amounts make up the total estimated amount of R653 million
Statements.658
811. The GEPF, in its presentation before the Commission, highlighted the
658
GEPF presentation slide 7; Unclaimed benefits age analysis March 2016; transcript of
the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p68 L21 p70 L3.
419
or subjected to any form of execution under a judgment or order of a court
of law.
813. It indicated that the primary responsibility of all pension funds, including
circumstanced be used for any other purpose than to be paid out to the
rightful beneficiary.
814. It is only after the GEPF is satisfied that the beneficiaries will never be
traced that it may consider using the funds for other public interest related
815. The GEPF referred the Commission to FSB Circular PF NO. 126 of 1007
circular, pension funds are required to amend their rules to ensure that
unclaimed benefits remain in the fund until the beneficiary has been
traced.660
816. The rationale behind the circular is to protect the beneficiarys right to
659
See transcript p90 L24 p91 L14 for measures being taken to trace beneficiaries.
660
FSB Circular PF NO. 126 para 2.
661
Transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p67 L2 p68 L24.
420
817. Mr. Abel Sithole, principal officer of the GEPF, highlighted a further
the funds to change their respective rules for that purpose are required
818. The GEPF made a further significant point, namely that even if such
training, they we as a matter of fact finite. This assumes that they could
only make a limited contribution to the funding crisis in the PSET sector,
of funding.663
819. The GEPF has invested an estimated R1.7 trillion with the PIC.664 The
PIC, in turn, and as already indicated earlier, has invested the GEPF
662
2007 FSB Circular PF NO. 126, section 1; transcript of the hearing held on 21 February
2017, p60 L6 p64 L4; p69 L14 17; p85 L21 p88 L3.
663
See note prepared by Mr Abel Sithole dated 12 February 2017, para 7.
664
Transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p74 L25 p75 L6.
421
seek to strike a balance between market related returns and
the Unemployment Insurance Fund Act (UIF Act),666 as a fund into which
unemployment.667
821. The UIF seeks to align its service delivery outcomes and strategic goals
665
Transcript of the hearing held on 21 February 2017, p75 L7 p77 L18.
666
63 of 2001, as recently amended by the Unemployment Insurance Amendment Act 10 of
2016.
667
Section 2; UIF presentation slide 3; and slide 9 VISION.
668
UIF presentation slide 8.
669
UIF presentation slide 8.
422
822.2. contributing to various schemes designed to alleviate the
Contributions Act;
824. The UIF must be used, among other uses, for payment of benefits under
825. The Unemployment Contributions Act (UIC Act) provides for the payment
of contributions for the benefit of the UIF and prescribes the applicable
672
collections procedures. Currently, the Act empowers the
670
Section 4(2).
671
Section 5; UIF presentation slide 5.
672
4 of 2002; UIF presentation slide 6.
423
Commissioner of the South Africa Revenue Service (SARS) to collect
826. The UIFs funds are managed by the PIC amounting to net assets of
827. In terms of its Annual Financial Statement for 2016, the UIF has
10 per cent.
829. The evidence presented by the UIF shows that for 2016, it expended over
673
UIF presentation slide 4.
674
Presentation slide 4.
675
UIF presentation slide 16.
424
(excludes payments towards unemployment alleviation
schemes).
831. The UIF invests its accumulated surplus. As at 31 March 2016, it had the
676
UIF presentation slide 17; & slide 33.
677
UIF presentation slide 19.
425
831.1. bonds, which are long term investments, accounting for 62
832. It will be recalled that education falls under the development asset class
of the PIC. This means that the UIF contributes 2 per cent to the PIC
833. Its liquidity depends on the duration of the investment, i.e. whether it is a
long-term, non-current assets, 679 which account for 63 per cent of the
678
Bonds comprise capital market instruments. UIF bonds are split as follows: 79% in
government bonds; 18% in other bonds and 3% in parastatal bonds (41% with Eskom). In
total, they account for R74 495 790 000. UIF presentation slide 20.
679
More than 12 months.
426
investment portfolio.680 Current assets make up the balance.681 The total
presentation.682
834. Education in general makes up 18 per cent (R1 812 000 of a total of R9
the UIF invests in the various developmental instruments, while the rest
835. Much like the GEPF, the UIF pointed to certain legislative constraints
relating to the use of UIF benefits for purposes other than paying out
beneficiaries:684
835.1. in the first instance, the legislative scheme reserves the use of
of unemployment;
680
Reflected as R76 420 399 000.
681
Less than 12 months.
682
UIF presentation slide 19.
683
UIF presentation slide 22.
684
UIF presentation slides 27 30.
427
835.2. the Funds outstanding benefits provision increased to R4.4
835.4. the Funds surplus funds are invested in the PIC. 686 An
investment instruments.687
836. Irrespective of these constraints, the UIF sees scope for using its funds
836.1. using 5 per cent of its total Portfolio, which is allocated to its
project and building costs, and the PSET institutions will rent
685
UIF presentation slide 28.
686
UIF presentation slide 29.
687
UIF presentation slide 30.
688
UIF presentation slide 32 (last slide).
428
836.2. the PSET will issue a private bond, which will be bought by the
UIF via the JSE. The UIF will trade off return of investment on
837. When the CEO of the UIF testified before the Commission, it became
apparent that the Fund had for many years operated as a moneylender,
the fund controlled such large resources that it had very little idea of how
best to spend them. The CEO explained that all this had changed since
and the new proposals. 689 A very different picture emerged from that
billion after ten years with a solvency ratio of 945%; if all the additional
proposed benefits are introduced and implemented, the surplus after the
689
A copy of the actuarial report is annexed to this Report.
690
Attached to this Report as annexure "C" is a copy of the report: Unemployment Insurance
Fund: Assessment of the Financial Impact of the Amendment Bill of 2015, QED Actuaries and
Consultants (Pty) Ltd 31 March 2016. The copy of the report presented to the Commission was
marked as draft.
429
same period will be R124.8 billion with a solvency ratio of 380% (the
838. The Commission requested the Fund to provide, through its actuaries, a
supplementary report explaining the effect on the Fund of the transfer out
no meaningful response has been received other than that the Fund
This Report cannot await the Funds response. It seems clear from the
actuarial report that the utilisation of R50 billion for the benefit of
430
32.8 THE SKILLS DEVELOPMENT LEVY
increase in the skills levy, which revenue will be used to fund higher
841. When considering how the youth (aged 14 to 34) are engaged, it emerges
learning; and 31% are employed. Of the remaining youth, 29% are
842. The largest growth in the PSET sector is anticipated in the TVET and
843. The SETAs and NSF play a critical role in linking the PSET institutions of
844. The skills development system comprises the SETAs, the NSF and the
691
See proposal of Professor P Hirschohn dated 10 November 2016 who proposes an
increase in the skills levy incrementally from 1% to 3% over 4 years.
692
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slides 6 & 8.
693
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 10.
431
2009 with a view of creating articulation between the world of work and
that of education.694
845. The Skills Development Act was adopted in order to facilitate the
Skills Development Act for this purpose.695 In particular, the SETAs, NSF
and NSA are the primary vehicles chosen to pursue that objective.
846. The SETAs are established under section 9 of the Skills Development
Act.698
internships.699
694
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slides 17 & 18.
695
Section 2.
696
97 of 1998.
697
Down from 25 and then 23 in 2005.
698
97 of 1998.
699
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slides 26 28.
432
849. Despite the recognition of the importance of TVET colleges, CET
colleges and workplace-based learning, the majority of the funding for the
SETAs and the NSF receive 26 per cent of the total PSET allocation.700
850. The SETAs and NSF are funded through a compulsory skills
employers must budget for an amount equal to the levies payable for the
851. Once the levy is received by the DHET from SARS, the DHET will allocate
852. We are satisfied by the Treasury response that an increase in the Skills
Development Levy (to fund education) presents a real threat to the cost
may bring. For this reason, we have not recommended its utilisation as a
long-term solution.
700
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 11.
701
The levy is collected on a monthly basis by SARS and distributed to the SETAs and the
NSF.
433
32.8.1 FINANCIAL POSITION
853. The skills development levy has grown significantly since its introduction.
854. The evidence presented by the DHET shows that as the levy and
855. The majority of the expenditure has been for administration and in
relation to the mandatory and discretionary grants. 705 The bulk of the
856. The data presented by the DHET shows an improvement over the last 5
702
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 41.
703
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 44.
704
Expenditure increased from 8% in 2013/14 to 26% in 2014/15. See DHET presentation
dated 10 February 2017, slide 46.
705
See DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 47 for the programmes on which
the grants were expended.
706
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 48.
707
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slides 49 50.
708
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 75.
434
Job placements for persons that underwent apprenticeships also
857. While the SETAs have recorded reserves as at 31March 2016 nearing
R10.5 billion, over R9 billion of this sum is already committed. This leaves
858. The object of the National Skills Fund (NSF) is to fund programmes
line with national priorities. The NDP identifies the NSF as a key vehicle
NDP requires that the NSF and the SETAs use their discretionary grants
institutions.
859. The evidence presented by the DHET indicates that since 2013/14, the
709
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 77.
710
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 53.
711
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 84.
712
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 82.
713
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slides 85 & 88.
435
receipt of funds from the SETAs uncommitted funds, amounting to R364
million.714
860. The additional injection of funds especially over 2014/15 2015/16 from
861. The NSF funded the shortfall (of R300 000 000) of the total amount
(R2 330 312 000) resulting from the no fee increase decision for the 2016
academic year.716
862. The NSF has committed to fund the no fee increase for the 2017
863. The effect on the NSF reserves of R10 609 401 billion is an over-
714
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 86 87.
715
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 88.
716
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 126.
717
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 127.
718
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 128 129.
436
864. This means that the NSF has no further revenue to fund additional skills
development initiatives.
865. The DHET drew the Commissions attention to the Ministerial Task Team
are that:719
867. The National Treasury confirms that there is no legal basis to use the
funds from the skills levy, the UIF or unclaimed pension funds. It indicated
719
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slides 61 63.
720
DHET presentation dated 10 February 2017, slide 63.
437
that using this money constitute an expropriation, in violation of section
25 of the Constitution.
the funds are not held by the state,721 but are rather under the control of
722
the private sector as an investment made by the member.
sufficient for the purposes of funding higher education and training given
that in the event of a valid claim being received in respect of any such
869. The fee-free higher education and training model proposed by students
721
Response dated 25 April 2017; p13 para 10.
722
Response dated 25 April 2017; p15 para 9.
723
Response dated 25 April 2017; p13 para 10.
438
870. Although the National Treasury had advised on its general view on this
871. We deal hereunder mainly with the responses from the National Treasury
to the proposals.
872. We deal herein with 3 categories of direct tax, namely personal income
873. On the proposal for PIT imposed on high income earners (top 10% of
873.1. this tax bracket has been under pressure as a result of the
all marginal tax brackets (save the lowest). PIT was again
439
taxed at 45% (from 40%) The new tax bracket will add an
programmes.
874. On raising the corporate tax rate (CIT) by 2% from 28% to 30%, National
874.1. an increase in the CIT is not the only way to increase revenue.
440
874.2. the likely behavioural response to an increase in the CIT is to
875. National Treasury also notes that South Africas CIT rate is already high,
being at 3 per cent higher than the OECD rate and 8 per cent higher than
impact of VAT. That found that increases in the current VAT rate would
724
These measures include reducing tax incentives and introducing measures to curb
avoidance.
441
inequality. The Committee recommended that any further increases in
programmes.
879. The evidence presented before the Commission relating to Social Impact
881. Regarding ICLs, while the National Treasury points to the ISFAP model
although it cannot comment on that proposal at this time, the ICL model
442
proposed by Professor Fioramonti, which is appears to be a variation of
32.12 BBBEE
further source from which to fund higher education and training. 725 It
883. The MTT report indicates that the Commissioner of BBBEE in the
725
MTT Report p13; ISFAP presentation dated May 2017, slide 7.
726
MTT Report p13.
727
MTT Report p56.
443
885. The Commission supports the use of BBBEE contributions in line
886. The next proposal is for the establishment of a central fund, the Lesedi
participation.728
887. The model anticipates that funding would be rolled out in a phased
728
Mr Khaya Sithole withdrew his initial model (Lesedi 1) in the favour of the one under
discussion. Transcript of the hearing held on 9 March 2017, page unnumbered.
729
Lesedi Fund presentation (undated) slide 2.
730
Lesedi Fund presentation slide 37.
731
Lesedi Fund presentation slide 8 9.
444
billion to the current third stream university income of R8
billion.
890. The proposed Lesedi Fund would be capitalised by existing funds of the
NSFAS (R12 billion) and the skills levy (R15 billion). Thereafter, it would
levy.
891. The fund raised would be consolidated into the newly created Lesedi
Fund which, under the auspices of the DHET, would distribute the funds
as follows:732
891.1. Class 1 & 2 students at full costs of study. These are students
732
Lesedi Fund presentation slide 8.
445
891.2. Class 3 & 4 students, being those with a family income
students.
893. This model is similar to the ISFAP. It does however extend the grant
ISFAP, meaning that more students will receive grants. In other words, it
widens the scope of the poor. Whilst ISFAP places the expected family
income at less than R75 000, the Lesedi model places the figure at R300
000 or less.
894. The other key difference to ISFAP is that it does not have a loan
component, which means that students who do not qualify for a full grant
would have to pay for themselves without the support of a loan. For that
having more than one child who want to enter the sector.
446
32.14 CORRUPTION AND OTHER INEFFICIENCIES
896. The former Minister of Finance indicated that recovered monies would
training.733 In fact, most of these funds have already been allocated, and
897. The Democratic Alliance Student Organisation expressed the view that
education for the poor with support for the missing middle was feasible.734
898. We agree with the view that curbing such wastage and corruption would
indeed create a larger public purse from which allocations to all social
supported.
733
Transcript of the hearing held on 3 March 2017, p62 L19 - p66 L7.
734
Presentation undated slide 12; transcript of the hearing held on 23 September 2016 p160
162.
447
33 FEE REGULATION
33.1 INTRODUCTION
899. This Chapter deals with the regulation of fees in the PSET sector.
900. Fee regulation is not presently being implemented in the South African
sharing model for the funding of public higher education institutions would
902. The PTT recommended that student fees needed to be kept affordable
year.735
903. The Minister met with USAf and the CHE in January 2016. At the
meeting, it was agreed that the CHE was best placed, as an independent
735
Presentation Minister Nzimande, PG 30
448
body that had the statutory remit to advise the Minister on higher
904. In early March 2016, after agreement with USAf, the Minister requested
905. The Commission was alive to this process during its span.
State, or some other agency of the State, to place limitations on the fees
charged.
907. There are different methods adopted in different jurisdictions for the
regulating of fees.
908. Governments can either set fees at particular levels to be applied across
736
Presentation Minister Nzimande, PG 31
737
Presentation Minister Nzimande, PG 31
449
study, or allow universities to set their own fees in relation to their costs,
910. As stated above, the Report of the PTT recommended that a regulatory
911. Subsequent to the recommendations of the PTT and in March 2016, the
Minister requested that the CHE provide advice on a framework for the
738
Phase 2 advice to the Minister, Page 28
739
Letter to Minister Nzimande from CHE, 10 April 2017
450
33.3.2 THE WORK OF THE COUNCIL ON HIGHER EDUCATION
912. In doing its work, the Council on Higher Education (CHE) was mindful of
being:
912.2. the Ministerial Task Team on financial aid reform and the
913. The CHE concluded that to have suggested a framework for the future
regulation of fees at the time would likely have led to the charge that the
914. The CHE therefore divided its task into two phases:740
914.1. the First Phase, which would look only at the implications of
740
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 9
451
available in time for institutions to make budgetary plans for
914.2. the Second Phase, which would explore fee regulatory models
915. The CHE completed Phase 1 of its work and presented its advice to the
916. The advice together with consultations with various stakeholders within
increases in 2017.741
917. The advice on Phase 2 was provided to the Minister by the CHE on 10
741
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 10
452
Fees in Higher Education. This advice was furnished to the Commission
918. The Phase 2 advice was developed by taking a broader and longer-term
approach than the first, and the Task Team arrived at recommendations
of effecting regulation.
919. In its deliberations, the CHE considered the following models and their
various implications:
919.1. capped tuition fees 742 which entails the government, or the
government;
742
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 29
743
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 30
453
means that if the share of revenue from tuition fees is below
tuition fee models apply where students pay the same annual
tuition fees across the system. There are two main types:
of study.
contexts, namely :
744
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 29
745
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 31
746
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 33
454
919.4.1. within a context of state controlled tuition fees with the
financial aid.
920. In considering the applicability of fee regulation models, the CHE found
921. Models range from those that rely on market forces to regulate fees, to
objectives.747
922. The CHE further found that as a highly unequal society, South Africa
747
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 34
455
imperative of transformation, which is underpinned by equity and social
justice considerations.
communities;
universities.
924. The CHE then examined the various models for regulating tuition fees
and their applicability to the South African context and made the following
recommendations:
education;748
748
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 46
456
924.2. alternatively, instead of creating a new structure to regulate
and fee increases, and give the Minister the power to control
925. The CHE further recommended that the proposed framework must be
457
socially just higher education system and be guided by a number of
study;
925.3. credibility;
926. The CHE found that none of the frameworks that were considered fully
comply with the principles set out above. A decision was made that
disadvantage;
749
Phase 2 Advice to the Minister, Pg 2
458
926.2. The frameworks that are studied are based on homogenous
systems;
process;
fee-regulation.
would perform better with the state in a supervisory rather than controlling
929. By the time of the 1997 White Paper, the implementation process was
750
Presentation, Professor du Toit, 17 October 2016
459
steering with the corollary of less consultation; by 2001 with the
publication of the NPHE the trend was definitely in the opposite direction.
the system.751
funds.
931. There are also differing views regarding fee regulation, both for and
to a zero per cent increase (although the proposal was made by USAf)
751
Presentation, Professor du Toit, 17 October 2016
460
as a takeover of the role and responsibility of higher education institutions
934. The Minister of Higher Education and Training had frequently made
autonomy.
935. Evidence before the Commission suggested that the capping of fee
936. It was further suggested that institutions should take cognisance of the
political phase that South Africa finds itself in and the limitations of the
461
of oversight by Government which could have implications for institutional
strategic choices.
the University simply for the reason that they were in control of the
subsidy allocation.
939. A possible zero fee sector would impact enormously on the admission
for admission and therefore students from quintile one and two schools
who achieved grades that other students could not compete with would
is already the case. Many students qualify for HE study but cannot get
admission criteria which take account of more than just the mark, so as
backgrounds.
940. It was proposed that going forward, the university would need to identify
462
941. Another viewpoint is that the capping of fees will affect institutional
rely to a greater extent on fee income will suffer, research missions will
942. In relation to TVET colleges, the view of the TVET Governors Council
943. DHET presently determines tuition fees, accommodation fees and any
by employees.753
944. The TVETGC further indicated that it believes that the TVET sector and
TVET colleges can thrive and respond to the needs of the country if the
752
(HESA, 2008).
753
Presentation, TVET Governors Council, 24 October 2016
463
34 STUDENT FUNDING SYSTEMS
briefly, together with their pros and cons in the South African context.
costs after the initial setup, and could be accredited to ensure quality. He
also suggested that data charges for the site be eliminated, and that
754
Mr I MacDonald, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 29 September 2016; Mr
N. Mahlangu, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 10 August 2016.
464
947. Ms. Glennie from SAIDE also gave a presentation to the Commission on
blended options. However, she also warned of the need for careful
experienced with these courses, with very low completion rates, despite
the fact that the target market was generally well-educated. She
costs, but highlighted the need to take our context into careful
948. In brief, while an online model was considered by the Commission, it was
determined that such a model could not provide the whole solution to the
755
Ms J Glennie, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 27 October 2016.
465
universities is required. Nonetheless, the development of blended and
ascertain how the different models assist with each of these and whether
they meet the basic aims of our higher education sector. These will be
950. Dr. Hull, in his presentation and research article submitted to the
availability.
756
Dr G. Hull, Presentation to the Commission, 7 February 2017; G. Hull, Reconciling
Efficiency, Access, Fairness and Equality: The case for income-contingent student loans with
universal eligibility in CHE (2016) Kagisano 10: Student Funding, pp. 187-217.
466
that on the one hand is the formal denying of access (i.e. laws or rules
the main topic of discussion in this context. For the purposes of this
952. With regard to Efficiency, Hull discussed how the sector needs to make
good use of funding, and not waste limited resources. Hull further
sectoral). The first relates to student preferences and labour and labour-
effectively through spending on other sectors, and do not crowd out more
757
CHE (2016), Kagisano 10, p. 191.
467
it would be more efficient (and fair) to spend money on interventions to
deal with poverty for all citizens, than to spend on free education in a
graduates) through giving them the necessary resources to pay black tax.
problem of dropout and throughput in the PSET sector, and how this is
954. Fairness relates to equity, in considering how the benefits and costs of
discussed previously in this report, there are both public and private
education.
758
Ibid., p. 194.
468
the Commission, and that is the Means Test. The Commission
repeatedly heard how humiliating the means test is, and how it
stigmatises the poor and makes them beg poverty. Hull argued that the
956. Aside from the above principles highlighted by Hull and the two
transformation imperatives.
higher education systems that have either collapsed, or are not coping
958. It was also highlighted frequently that the system should not be
469
government departments. This is in some ways linked to efficiency, as it
funding system. There is, therefore, the need for administrative ease
959. Related to the Constitutional imperative, is the size and shape of the
and gradual expansion and of the sector, but also the development of the
competitiveness.
960. Finally, and also in line with the Constitution and higher education
autonomy in its various forms, and the value of autonomy for the sector,
discussion related to the issue of autonomy, has been around the topic
(CHE) prepared advice for the Minister of HET, which was shared with
759
Professor A. Du Toit, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 17 October 2016.
470
system, there is still the need to determine a proxy for payment per
student whether this is funded by the state or the student. As such, the
961. Each of the funding systems considered below will take into account how
section below will give a very brief outline of the model and its
Thereafter, the pros and cons in relation to these points and to any other
is partly drawn from Hulls research, and is partly our analysis, often
962. Dr. Ouma explained that upfront fees are based on the belief that parents
Philippines, and Italy) and based on the parents income; or they can be
the same fee for all. In these instances (for instance Chile, China, India,
760
Dr G. Ouma, Presentation to the Commission, 24 February 2017.
471
Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Africa, Kenya, USA) tuition fee levels do
not change with a familys income level, but eligibility for aid does change
lower fees while students from well-off families pay the full fee rate. These
and Italy), the state decides differential fees with the aim of easing the
the second model (California), students pay higher fees to the university
Number one you have to means test all your students and determine
which socio-economic group they belong to; once you have done that
then you determine what fees they are going to pay, either you can have
a uniform fee where you say this is what everyone is going to pay knowing
very well that 20 percent, 30 percent, 40 percent of your students will not
be able to pay. Then you know those who pay the full rate have paid to
472
Columbian case or even the Italian case, where you decide to determine
categories.
965. Dr. Ouma explained further than when the Department of Higher
Education [and Training] said that students from the so called missing
the increased fees for them, this was exactly the challenge the
they can determine who exactly is missing middle and who exactly is
working class. That data is not systematically captured across all the
Commissioner, it is doable.
966. Despite the fact that Dr. Ouma said this can be done, it is clear that it
was also brought to the attention of the Commission that some students
students able to pay fees at a high enough level to subsidise all other
students sufficiently.
473
967. Secondly, Dr. Ouma discussed a dual track system where a certain
number of free (or very low cost) university places are awarded by the
the one group are those who are considered to be high performers who
have passed their matriculation examinations and the state either over
they create another class of students who are told, look here, we have
got some capacity, if you want to come in you are welcome but you are
going to pay either the full rate or a substantial amount of fees. So then
you have got two streams of students, you have got one stream of
students who are subsidised by the state, in certain cases they pay
nominal fees like in the Indian case, in the Russian Federation as well
and then you have got another stream of students who pay the full rate,
at times even more, so that is how the dual track system works.
474
969. With regard to the dual track model, it is clear that those with the best
school marks will be prioritised, and given South Africas unequal school
system, this will not be in line with the Constitutional imperative to access.
970. In the context of the Commissions mandate, the current system is a mix
of a differential fee model and an ICL model (to be discussed later). For
funds allow.
income band.
475
970.6. Fees would be retained, with or without some form of
regulation.
971.1. Students have rejected this model, and it is unlikely that they
971.3. The means test is retained (goes against the wish of students
971.6. Cost sharing means that the state would not need to shoulder
the full burden of cost, and the Fairness test would be met,
476
971.7. As the state does not need to provide all the funds, the size
method.
also be considered.
477
973.2. A system which determines categories for different fee-levels
973.4. Different levels of fees would need to be set for each and every
regulation.
974.1. The means test is retained, and even extended (no equality).
ease).
consideration.
478
974.5. More students may find themselves unable to pay the
impacted).
974.7. Cost sharing (Fairness) means that the state would not need
PROGRAMME)
975. The new proposed ISFAP system is in many ways a continuation of the
current system, with some additions and variations to ensure support for
a wider number of students, and free education for the poor. The ISFAP
proposal provides for a complex system of loans and grants for students
479
such, it manages to increase the amount of money available for students
money available, it can reach more students, and offer them an amount
equal to (or at least closer to) the real, full cost of study (i.e. tuition and
broader access for the financially needy, a reduction in debt owed to the
high failure rate is caused by financial stress. The latter assumption does
not take into consideration the complexity surrounding dropping out and
poor career choices that often lead to extended study periods, etc.
a result, this problem will persist for some time, and it will remain costly
to the system.
480
976. However, on a deeper level, a few key concerns regarding the proposal
977. The means test is retained as an important element in the ISFAP model,
and in fact becomes even more central than it has been to NSFAS. While
ISFAP plans to include databases from SARS, Home Affairs and other
entities, problems remain and using quintile school divisions and social
grants as proxies for a means-test, hold their own risk and may result in
at quintile 5 schools).
978. Thus far, the means test has only needed to determine whether or not a
students family income/ affordability falls within the affordability range set
979. Regarding the current situation, we have heard testimony viewing the
means test as one of the central problems of NSFAS. First, students have
indicated that they are humiliated when forced to prove and plead
poverty; they feel frustrated by the inefficiency of the system which delays
their approval for funding; and they had to in the past re-apply and go
481
indicate that the means test has led to fraud with students providing false
students accessing NSFAS loans, while the poor cannot access these
loans. The DHET has instituted an external audit of the extent of fraud at
980. The complexities of a means test in the South African context cannot be
ignored. Without going into detail records on births and deaths are not
always accurate, some people have more than one ID book, and in
those part of the informal economy have little proof of income. In such an
the will to do so exists, which, in itself, doubtful. The upper limit for the
means test may well admit some who can afford to pay while excluding
981. While means testing is a necessary tool to guide who qualifies, and who
482
into account a number of variables identified in the above paragraph. An
It should take into account the status of the family and/or other income or
poorer over time even when they were not at the preferred quintile
schools.
982. As mentioned above, the means test becomes even more central in
multiple steps where different allocations are made and where either
983. With this system of loans and grants, the value of falling just under a
certain income threshold holds much more benefit than was the case with
NSFAS. Now, proving a certain income will determine whether you get a
chances of fraud in the system. This is exacerbated by the fact that the
cut-off amounts for each band are simple numbers. This is different from
483
a graduate system (like our income tax brackets) which reduces the
984. Another concern with the ISFAP system is that grants are provided for
the initial years, with loans taking over later in studies. This means that
the greatest risk of failure and dropout is in fact carried by the government
(rather than the student or private funders in the PPP agreements) and it
study. It may lead to students who are unsure about further study just
trying it out, as they have very little to lose. On the positive side, it makes
the loans provided less risky and more likely to be repaid (an advantage
985. On the positive side, the inclusion of private sector money materially
increases the amount of funding available for students. ISFAP has been
successful in raising private money for the (limited) 2017 pilot where
NSFAS has not been able to so in the recent past. SARS is also to
loans. In order to get the private sector involved, it needs to be sure that
body to manage the funds. The costs and efficiency of running the
484
complex system are not explored in the model, and alignment with the
986. Secondly, it leads to the system discussed above, where loans only begin
this is not balanced share of risk and benefit. The state also carries more
risk in the first years of the scheme, until a track record is established and
987. Part of the risk-sharing, is through the fact that private money is also used
usually prefer small education projects where they can see and perhaps
485
34.4.5 SOCIAL IMPACT BONDS
make both CSI donations and buy into SIBs. It is unclear what direct
34.4.6 BBBEE
989. The accessing of these funds seems to be possible and without much
risk. Even without the ISFAP model, this is a source of funding which
990. Despite the above pros and cons of the ISFAP system, the crux of fits
486
needed and the amount available. A key element here is the costing done
Unfortunately, these are not clear in the report and the modelling has not
993.1. The calculation of 65% falling below R600 000 p.a. is hard to
487
993.2. The number of 501 232 students and 65% of the student
almost 1 million.
993.4. The full cost of study mentioned when the ISFAP team
presented was R135 000, but this would require more than
projected income.
to them.
PROJECTED INCOME
Short Term Medium Term Long Term
(2017/18) (2018/19) (2019/20)
Government R17,5bn R18,5bn R19,7bn
Funding
B-BBEE Skills R8bn R10bn R15bn
Development Levy
488
Private Capital
Markets
- Bonds R0,5bn R0,5bn R5bn
- 20% Credit
Enhancement R1,5bn R2bn R5bn
DFIs, Foundations, R1bn R1bn R5bn
CSI
Total R28,5bn R32bn R49,7bn
489
programmes. For instance, Fundza Lushaka money would
areas. The same applies for SETA money, with the added
995.3. It is unclear whether the NSFAS money for TVETs has been
uncertainty.
996. Based on the above, the question arises of whether the ISFAP model is
490
giving preference to scare skills; offering lower amounts in certain cases
and adjusting the loan/ grant matrix. The R600 000 threshold remains a
997. In his presentation to the Commission, the Mr. Nxasana indicated that
491
998.1. A cost sharing model as higher education and training is
998.4. Unclear on the level of support for TVET students, most likely
regulation.
doubtful).
492
999.2. The means test is retained (no Equality).
administrative ease).
banks are unhappy with the progress and withdraw, the state
will be left to shoulder the full costs (in this case, sustainability
is a problem).
999.6. Cost sharing means that the state would not need to shoulder
insufficient detail regarding the free first year, and how the cost
expected.
dropout.
493
999.8. Black tax remains an issue of tension, but working with SARS
999.9. No relief of the present burden on the state would result and
1000. A free higher education model means that there is no payment of fees by
any students. The whole cost of education is covered by the state through
of students, the courses enrolled for, and any other identified costs.
1001. Dr. Ouma761 made the following observations concerning fee-free higher
education:
761
G Ouma, Evidence to the Commission, 24 February 2017
494
1001.2. The worldwide trend is for countries that previously provided
1002. In his testimony to the Commission, Dr. Ouma spoke about three free
the Brazilian model is an elite public / mass private model of free higher
education. As such, the public system has remained small and relatively
for the top performers academically who, given the schooling system and
the unequal nature of their society, tends to be the socially elite. The
quality. This sector caters for the majority of the growth in demand for
495
60% of students in the public higher education system come from the top
1003. In an attempt to deal with the unequal nature of the higher education
are, however, abuses in the system, with institutions offering these places
scheme, FIES, in 1999, which covers 70% of the fees and is paid directly
inequalities; and a 2012 law which requires that half of the places at
1004. The free higher education system in Norway, as explained by Dr. Ouma,
496
programmes (particularly Masters programmes). Students pay a
all their own living costs, often through student loans. The provision of
personal income tax, which is paid by the vast majority of the population
1005. Dr. Ouma discussed Chile where a law was passed toward the end of
2015 granting tuition free higher education to students from poor families.
The law defined the poor as those from the poorest three income
quintiles, with a per capita family income of US$221 per month or less.
bursaries or loans. Chile has a standard reference fee for each degree
student loans. The Ministry of Education sets this amount annually [and]
participating universities are required to pay from their own resources the
and their actual fee. This requirement to pay the difference between
actual fees and government determined fees has meant that some
497
students who qualify. In order to cover the costs of free education, Chile
[which] ultimately shifts the burden of funding higher education away from
Sithole suggested that the same model could still be retained. The Lesedi
status. Initially, those from households with less than R300 000 family
income p.a would be fully funded, those between R300 000 and R600
000 would only have tuition funded; and the rest would pay full cost. In
762
Mr K. Sithole, Submission and presentation to the Commission, 7 March 2017.
498
the model, even those paying for their education, would still be expected
1007. The three presentations on free higher education system raise a number
relates to the need to restrict the growth of the sector in line with available
reduce access, based again on the need to restrict the size of the public
system of high taxes and widespread tax payment, where the majority of
adults pay taxes and the majority of youth attend higher education. In
number of individuals, who are in general the future elite. In the South
neither stable nor without restrictions regarding how it can be used. The
499
Chilean example highlights the need to fully assess the financial situation
across the world who have moved away from free models as these have
1008.1. The state would carry the full cost of funding higher education
funding.
500
1009.3. This system would be administratively simple.
1009.4. Institutions would turn to the state for all funding needs,
be a problem.
1009.6. All students would be treated equally; but Hull argues against
1009.7. Unless new sources of revenue are found, the state would
501
1009.8. Institutions may continue to face declining subsidy, as has
been the case in the past (impact on size and shape). The
impacted negatively.
graduate tax;
502
1010.3. it raises issues of fairness among graduates who must pay
if the graduate tax was not levied immediately. That gap would
means;
1011. Dr. Ouma described the graduate tax alternative as another deferred
surtax which you pay until you [retire] Of course there can be variations
where you can start paying that surtax [only] after you start earning a
irrespective of [what you would have paid, as you] are not getting any
503
loan at this point. So the system technically, when you get in it is for free,
once you have graduated then the state imposes a surtax on your income
Some people argue that it is equitable in the sense that if you are
earning R100 000 you pay more than the guy who is earning R20 000,
for example, per month. If you become a business mogul then you earn
a lot of money of course, and the percentage that you pay from your
earnings is bigger [than] a teacher but the idea here is you pay until
you stop working. Dr. Ouma explained further that the idea is not for
them to pay exactly what the state would have spent on them. He added
good, and for this reason the state supports you to enrol. However, you
must also support the others who are coming after you to gain access to
education. Secondly it is the equity element so there are those who are
going to pay beyond what the state spent on them but also those who
are earning far less who are going to pay probably considerably less than
mechanism but in the final analysis, the expectation is, when you put
the two together, then there is still enough to fund students who are going
to university.
1012. Dr. Ouma testified that there is currently no country that applies the
graduate tax, and for this reason it is hard to ascertain what its
504
the policy regarding those that dropout of university before graduation,
model, but it would need careful planning to ensure that it does not
such as those who received a qualification outside of the country and now
earn in South Africa; those who attended university and dropout without
burdensome for the tax system to ascertain the exact qualification status
of all tax payers. The graduate tax does not differentiate between those
who spend ten years at university and those who spend three years
the more unfair will be his or her obligation compared to that of his or her
slower counterparts.
505
1014.3. This takes a lifecycle approach meaning that it interprets the
may not have financial means, but with their qualification they
1014.4. It puts the control and onus on the student (not the parent)
responsibility to pay.
1015.1. This allows for Access; sustainability; size and shape; and
by the fact that the graduate tax will be collected based on the
506
1015.2. Treasury suggested that this model would not raise sufficient
Fairness criteria, but not all, considering these points and the
fact that some pay more than their private benefit, and others
less.
1015.7. Graduate tax does not meet Efficiency criteria as money all
507
34.7 INCOME-CONTINGENT LOANS
1016. An income contingent loan system allows for a student to take out a loan
at the start of their study, with all payment being deferred until such a
time when he/ she can repay the loan without it being a burden (low
repayment rate). Some key points about such a loan are that: repayment
payments only continue until such a time as the loan is paid off; the
allowed to settle the loan more quickly should they be able to; those who
emigrate could be required to pay off the loan before leaving; and the
size of the loan could be large enough to cover full cost of study. Various
African context. Such models work well in countries like Australia and the
limits the potential extent of the loans and there is effective collection of
debts (through the tax system). The system is flexible and can be
763
Evidence of Dr. G. Ouma, 24 February 2017.
764
For instance: Dr G. Hull (7 February 2017); Dr D. Blackmur (7 March 2017); Professor L.
Fioramonti (9 March 2017).
508
reasons for advocating an ICL will be summarised. Of particular
relevance are the presentations and research by Dr. George Hull and
"B".
509
1018.5. The pay-back period could be limited.
1018.7. Ideally, such loans would be available to all, thus cutting out
scheme.
1019.2. Students have rejected the concept of loans but have almost
510
1019.4. However, should sufficient funding not be available
expanded).
1019.7. Cost sharing (Fairness) means that the state would not need
1019.9. This is true free education for the poor as the student who
repays.
511
1019.10. The ICL can be linked with a bursary database, and state
Fairness).
1019.12. Black tax remains an issue of tension, but the pressure will be
Fioramonti765.
1020. The evidence before the Commission points to an international shift from
contingent loans. In Australia, New Zealand and England this model has
765
See para 1022.6 below
512
worked with success for between 10 and 20 years. The scheme proposed
766
The benefits of which as will be explained below far exceed mere funding of
student fees.
513
obligations arising in relation to such premiums will require
scheme.
depend solely on the choice of the borrower and his need for
such an extension.
1020.4. The state can either guarantee the loan or, better still,
books.
514
1020.7. Repayment can be so structured that highly successful
1020.8. If the loan is not repaid within a specified number of years the
1020.9. The State will repay each student loan to the bank at a given
1021.1. It has not been designed with TVET colleges in mind but could
515
understandable and is a matter that can and should be
767
A copy of BASAs full response (dated 26 May 2017) to an enquiry from the Commission is
annexed to this report as annexure "E".
516
1022.1. The scheme is flexible and capable of easy tweaking, as the
criteria.
before the commission: that those who can pay should do so.
1022.6. The scheme negates the moral responsibility for "black tax"
517
1022.7. The scheme is simple in implementation, generates low
means test.
1022.8. The scheme will eliminate the hard cases that may arise under
the sliding means test proposed by the MTT with its multiplicity
1022.10. The scheme affords the state an initial period of freedom from
the state will have the freedom to use the funds that would
518
scheme. After the initial period the scheme will quickly
1023. The question which arises is how the state is to fund that proportion of
has heard evidence which in its view provides at least three ready
1023.2. the amendment of the UIF Act to provide for the release of R50
the State to make good any valid claim made on such funds.
1024. It was highlighted that NSFAS is in fact an ICL, but that repayment starts
at too low an income threshold (R30 000 p/a); repayment is not linked to
the tax system; and the loans are not offered to all students (only the very
poor).
519
1025. Dependent on the decision made regarding the interest rate, the impact
of the loan on the individual and the state would be marked. Such loans
would have the advantage to the lender of being risk-free and carrying
consider bearing some portion of the interest obligation. The size of the
loan should not exceed what an individual could be expected to pay off
within the set period. Bursaries could be factored into the loan system for
scarce skills or in line with other policy priorities. The loan should be
1026. The introduction of the ICL would require substantial funding in the short
Prof Fioramonti, in his model has proposed the inclusion of the banks as
for the initial years. He also argued that this public-private partnership
(PPP) would give the banks an interest in the success of the economy
economic development. The pros and cons of involving the private sector
responsibility for student funding than does the ISFAP model, that is more
520
consistent with recognition of the benefits that accrue to the private sector
from higher education. Prof Fioramonti also suggested that extending the
ICL to all students is essential as this would greatly improve its overall
1027. Dr. Ouma explained that the ICL has been introduced in Australia and
the UK, and he spent some time explaining the issue of regulating fees
in the context of an ICL. He also explained how the ICL in both these
countries is the students choice, and that a student can decide to take a
portion of the loan or the whole loan. He also described changes made
to ICL policies over the years. What his discussion highlighted is that
to the nature of the ICL in the South African context. This is supported by
a preliminary look at the ICL in Australia and Britain and other countries,
1028. In the British system, it is expected that the vast majority of students will
not be able to repay the full loan amount. In an article in The Guardian, it
was argued that students are borrowing more than they will be able to
pay in the 30-year period [the maximum period for repayment established
521
explained that those who started university after September 2012 will not
start repaying their loan until they are earning more than 21 000 a year,
adding that Unless you start off with a graduate salary of higher than 30
000, its unlikely you will pay off your full loan and interest before its wiped
after 30 years anyway. The article explained that the fee problem is
set fees at the highest possible level. It has been suggested that fee
a strict cap. The article suggested that the other key concern is that there
has not been sufficient control of student intake numbers, which has
student numbers. This meant that more students enrolled for degrees
enrolled who never completed. The Guardian also criticised the fact that
in the UK the interest rate of the ICL was linked to inflation rather than
has affected inflation (6.1% vs repo at less than 1%). The burden of the
Australian explains that The rapid escalation in the total debts owed to
government and the amount that will never be repaid was triggered
768
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2017/apr/11/student-loan-interest-rate-rise-uk-inflation-
brexit.
522
by a series of policies instituted by recent governments. The first was
universities to charge whatever fees they like. In effect, that would give
charge them as much money as they liked, all backed by buy-now, pay-
1030. The experience of these two countries needs further investigation, but it
is clear that an ICL system requires some form of fee regulation and
selected period is required, and loans should not exceed this amount. It
students who never graduate are less likely to be able to repay their
769
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/inquirer/higher-education-higher-costs-in-student-
loan-scheme-nightmare/news-story/554e6761397f301657fd6d1a55ae2ce8.
523
loans. Finally, it is important for government block subsidies, in line with
African context.
1031. The repayment challenges in Australia are deepened by the fact that
TVET students are also given ICLs. The problem with this is that only a
few graduates from these institutions earn salaries of the level that
enables them to fully repay their loans. For the same reason, the
Africa, given the lack of skilled persons and low participation rates in
ICL is free education for the poor, as the student who is never employed
will not need to repay the loan. The system is based on the student and
his or her future income, rather than on the income and socio-economic
education.
524
35.1 CONCLUSION
1032. During the course of its work, the Fees Commission heard testimony is
meet the criteria of a funding model for South Africa that will be
were raised by Hull; he found that the ICL model is the only one to meet
all his principles. Other priorities and challenges have been raised in the
course of this discussion, and the various models have been analysed in
relation to these.
1033. In our opinion, the ICL model is the one which most closely meets the
inequality. It is the one which will allow for access and accessibility in
terms of the Constitution, as money will not be tied to covering tuition fees
for all students indefinitely. It is also the one that takes into consideration
sustainable (if managed appropriately) and will not take money from other
525
education for the poor (i.e. the student who never reaps the benefit of
structured appropriately, the ICL should not be a burden to pay off, and
should not deter individuals from entering higher education. However, the
ICL is still a loan, and black tax remains a reality. In this regard, it was
alleviation is the most fair and effective way to reduce the burden of the
black tax. The ICL will mean that government spending will not be
support the poor. In brief, as long as the ICL is well structured and
FEASIBILITY
36.1 INTRODUCTION
1034. The extensive overview that the Commission has undertaken of the
efficiently.
526
1035. There are ongoing interventions in almost every area of higher education
greater or lesser extent on funding and mean that fewer resources are
1036. It is neither our task nor our intention to present a critique of these
1037. The report of the Ministerial Task Team occupies a different place. It
of the poor and missing middle. Its representatives who presented the
However, by the time of the presentation, the MTT report had been
1038. If we had not reached the conclusion that there is a better and more
with the reservations expressed earlier in this report. Before setting out
527
1038.1. The MTT report accepts as its premise that free higher
path that will lead to that end. The state, once committed to
otherwise (as they are and can now, in the opinion of the
Commission).
education system.
528
which go beyond the private interest of the student or his or
Report.
1039. From the overview to which we have referred certain general conclusions
1039.1. Much the larger proportion of the student population today and
529
1039.3. Everything possible must be done to improve the status,
1039.4. The Commission accepts that the states ability to fund those
1039.6. Any student funding solution must be one that can move
530
recommend that the provision of scholarships or bursaries by
subject;770
770
See also the evidence of Dr. Ouma, 24 February 2017 to the same effect.
531
1039.8.2. That enrolments be controlled (within resources,
1040. For the reasons which we have set out at length it is the advice of the
Commission that the Income Contingent Loan model is best suited to the
guarantees, is equal and fair in its operation; is cost efficient, doing away
1041. The ICL model that should be created in the best interests of all should
1042. The Commission is of the opinion that higher education and training can
532
1042.1. The full cost of education can and should be provided free of
takes place (and is not repaid). The cost of extending the full
1042.2. Such funding will be consistent with and promote the idea of a
relieve the state (and the private sector) of all contributions to the funding
of the full cost of university education for students. The resources that
would have been devoted to that funding (in the form of NSFAS grants
and bursaries and private sector bursaries and scholarships) can and
533
1043.1. The involvement of the private financial sector in the provision
of the full cost of education (to the extent that such is required)
1043.3. The loan shall only be payable when the (former) student
the lender by the state on a date not earlier than five years
771
When reference is made to the private financial sector, we refer only to accredited financial
institutions.
534
1043.6. Every student, irrespective of his personal or family means,
1043.7. Any student who opts out, and any student or former student
debtors.
1044. The Commission further proposes that the ICL scheme arrived at and
772
A participant in the scheme effectively receives a discount on the real cost of
education through fee regulation, deferred payment and low interest rates.
The premium should represent the discount.
535
whether universities or institutions that provide technical training.773 The
students right of choice, but, more important, the probability that, at least
limited.
COLLEGE STUDENTS
of this Report.
1046. At the request of the Commission, the Actuarial Society of South Africa
assessed the cost of twenty different scenarios for the funding of public
773
The Commissions recommendation in respect of the public TVET sector
differs from that which it attaches to those who choose private technical
education. The former should receive free-higher education with no loan
obligation; the latter, fee-free education at the point of access with an ICL.
This distinction assumes that there will be no lack of capacity in the TVET
sector. If the practice proves otherwise the issue can be reconsidered.
536
appreciation to the Society and those who contributed to the report Cost
1047. Attention is drawn to the section of the actuarial report which deals with
"Loan based funding for some or part of the liability would be effective
only if there is an effective collection method of recovering loans after
students have graduated or dropped out. Small changes in loan
collections would over time have a significant effect on annual cash flows
and the sustainability of the loan book.
1048. The Commissioners respectfully point out with regard to the reservations
of the actuaries that loans under the ICL scheme proposed will:
of its duties;
payer;
537
1048.3. will ensure that the involvement in the loan scheme of all
1049.1. the primary responsibly for funding the scheme will lie with the
considerations.
538
1049.4. the numbers of ex-students who fail to attain the minimum
backup for the States liability to pay the banks for such loan
1050. The evidence suggests that the generation of work opportunities by and
539
37 RECOMMENDATIONS
1051. The Commission recommends that fee-free education for all students is
1051.2. Any financial decisions made must take into account the
child.
540
1051.5. Regarding the PSET sector the priorities in CET, TVET and
development.
1051.6. It is also clear that all funding decisions are political in nature,
Appropriations.
General.
541
Higher Education Price Index (HEPI) in this sector in
particular.
and training.
1052.5. The CET and TVET sectors particularly need attention as they
funding levels.
542
enrolments is in place. The targets as per the NDP are not
1052.8. In the short term, policies and plans for new institutions or new
37.2 QUALITY
543
1052.11. Throughput and drop out levels in TVET Colleges and
1052.15. There is a need for curriculum reform in all parts of the PSET
544
relevance of our societal demands and the emerging
the TVET level, lecturers with the required skills and industry
545
1052.19. The importance of libraries and journal collections is clear, and
to long term.
546
housing for students, including transportation arrangement for
consideration.
REDUCTION IN EDUCATION
Commission.
system.
547
1052.27. The DHET should provide support to TVET colleges in this
completion.
1052.28. Funding for CET students falls under the part of the
education.
STUDENTS
548
recommend that a careful costing and actuarial analysis
1052.31. Similarly, the Commission is of the opinion that the NCV also
1052.32. We note the dire need for TVET graduates in order to invert
improvement.
1052.33. TVET colleges tend to attract the poorer students who need
of first choice.
549
employability after graduation (often due to lack of workplace
foreseeable future.
students.
550
37.9 FUNDING FOR UNIVERSITY STUDENTS
551
the system in the long-term. As explained, an ICL model will
552
1052.44. Money should be paid upfront, monthly, into a debit card
553
1052.49. Government can make interventions into the ICL structure
by ISFAP.
taxpayer.
1052.53. Enrolment planning must form a key part of the ICL process to
554
1052.55. The extension of ICLs to students studying at private
public institutions. The rationale for this is that they are citizens
1052.56. Foreign students should still be charged fees, and should not
555
1052.59. Postgraduate students should have access to an ICL just as
undergraduates do.
as possible.
performance.
universities.
556
1052.63. The TVET sector raised the same concern, but found that they
1052.64. Various reasons for this debt have been found, including the
37.12 NSFAS
is considered necessary.
557
37.13 FUNDING FOR THE TVET SECTOR
1052.69. We advise that money from the NSF be prioritised towards the
UIF portion.
colleges.
558
37.14 FUNDING FOR THE UNIVERSITY SECTOR
in the sector.
in funding universities.
WHOLE
infrastructure development.
559
1052.78. We recommend that long unclaimed pension benefits be
560
37.16 ISFAP AS AN ALTERNATIVE
561
Annexure A
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 187
Reconciling Efficiency,
Access, Fairness and
Equality: The case for
income-contingent student
loans with universal
eligibility
George Hull
Department of Philosophy
University of Cape Town
1 For particularly helpful discussions of these issues, see T. Reddy (2004) Higher education and social transformation:
South Africa case study (report); A. Bawa (2012) South African higher education: At the center of a cauldron of national
imaginations in Social Research: An International Quarterly, 79(3), pp. 669-694; P. Tabensky & S. Matthews (2015) Being at
home: Race, institutional culture and transformation at South African higher education institutions.
562
188 | Student Funding
2 I capitalise these terms since I am attaching a specific, well-defined meaning to each, rather than using them in a colloquial
way. I introduce these well-defined meanings in the course of the text.
563
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 189
1. Efficiency
It is uncontroversial that a higher-education funding model should avoid
waste, and instead should foster Efficiency. There are at least three types of
Efficiency a funding model should embody.
3 For some considerations in favour of a cap on university fees, see: N. Barr (2009) Financing higher education: Lessons from
economic theory and reform in England in Higher Education in Europe, 34(2), pp. 204-205.
4 N. Barr (1998) Higher education in Australia and Britain: What lessons? in Australian Economic Review, 31(2), pp. 180-182;
P. Pillay (2008) Higher education funding frameworks in SADC in Towards a common future: Higher education in the SADC
region, p. 191.
5 Barr (2009) Financing higher education: Lessons from economic theory and reform in England in Higher Education in
Europe, 34(2), p. 202.
564
190 | Student Funding
6 G. Wangenge-Ouma (2012) Tuition fees and the challenge of making higher education a popular commodity in South
Africa in Higher Education: The International Journal of Higher Education Research, 64(6), p. 832.
7 N. Dirk (2015) Activists forcibly removed as protest spreads to CPUT campus in Cape Times, 21 October.
8 A. Bawa (2000) A social contract between the public higher education sector and the people of South Africa (research
paper).
9 A. Cudd (2015) What is equality in higher education? in G. Hull (ed.) The equal society: Essays on equality in theory and
practice, p. 272.
565
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 191
10 G. Brown (2010) Why the right is wrong: The progressive case for Britains future, p. 60.
11 Pillay (2008) Higher education funding frameworks in SADC in Towards a common future, p. 139.
12 Ibid., p. 137.
566
192 | Student Funding
2. Access
There is a broad consensus that it is unacceptable for individuals to be
effectively barred from pursuing higher education, or realising their career
aspirations, due to their gender, racial group or socio-economic background.
In other words, there is broad agreement that a quite demanding form of
equality of opportunity ought to guide policy-making in South Africa. Most
relevantly for us here, society-members should have equal opportunities to
receive both a university education and to secure employment.
It is useful to distinguish between formal and substantial equality of
opportunity.13
13 For more detail, see G. Hull (2014) Affirmative action in J. Winfield, G. Hull & G. Fried, Business ethics & other paradoxes,
pp. 200-201.
14 The formal equality of opportunity principle can be overridden by the need for affirmative action programmes in countries,
such as South Africa, with a history of racist discrimination and exclusion. Such programmes can be justified on intra-
sectoral Efficiency grounds, if they can be expected to make society more just in the future (R. Dworkin (1976) DeFunis
v. Sweatt in M. Cohen, T. Nagel & T. Scanlon (eds.) Equality and preferential treatment, pp. 63-83). They may also be
justifiable on Equality grounds (see section 4; and see T. Hill (1991) The message of affirmative action in Social Philosophy
and Policy, 8(2), pp. 108-129) or because they provide redress for past wrongs (G. Hull (2015) Affirmative action and the
choice of amends in Philosophia, 43(1), pp. 113-134).
567
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 193
3. Fairness
For the value of Access as discussed above in Section 2 what matters is
what determines whether a given individual will receive a university education.
For the value of Fairness, by contrast, what matters is how the benefits and
costs of higher education are allocated among members of society. The
term equity is often used to cover both values. This is understandable since
philosophically they are both grounded in an acknowledgement of the equal
moral worth of all society-members. Nonetheless, the two values are distinct,
and realisation of one of them does not entail realisation of the other.
The on-going life of a society is a co-operative enterprise, in which all its
members participate to some degree, and from which all its members benefit
in ways they could not have done in isolation. There is, consequently, a strong
presumption in favour of an equal distribution of the benefits of social co-
operation, and against an allocation which entails benefits to one societal
group being paid for by a different societal group which does not receive
equivalent benefits.
The presumption in favour of distributive equality is not inviolable,
however. If (a) some individuals have sacrificed more and worked harder
than others, or if (b) an equal share of the social product does not translate
into as much well-being for some individuals as it does for others, then it is
fair that those individuals receive a larger share of the social product than
others.18 In addition, if (c) an improvement in the condition of the least well-
off members of society is impossible without a material incentive to the most
enterprising in society, then the resulting inequality would arguably not be
unfair.19 Considerations of type (c), among other factors, will be relevant to
the complex issue of how large the publicly subsidised higher education
sector should be. Considerations of type (b) mean that students with special
needs (e.g. disabled students) should not have to pay extra for university
facilities which meet those needs (e.g. wheelchair ramps). I assume here that
considerations of type (a) do not justify significant departures from distributive
equality within a higher-education funding model, but rather explain in
conjunction with considerations of type (c) why it is not necessarily unfair
that some graduates in employment earn significantly more than others.
University tuition can be fully publicly funded, or it can be fully funded by
18 For more detail, see W. Kymlicka (2002) Contemporary political philosophy: An introduction, pp. 73-74; A. Sen (1999)
Development as freedom, pp. 72-74; G. Hull (2015) From well-faring to well-being: Prospects for a metric of liberal
egalitarian justice in Hull (ed.) The equal society, pp. 153-154.
19 For a statement of this position and argumentative support for it, see Rawls (1999) A theory of justice, section 13.
569
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 195
20 Some South African universities have succeeded in attracting voluntary funding from corporations to cover a proportion
of tuition costs (G. Wangenge-Ouma & N. Cloete (2008) Financing higher education in South Africa: Public funding,
non-governmental revenue and tuition fees in South African Journal of Higher Education, 22(4), p. 912), and the idea of
increased taxation of the corporate sector to fund higher education is often floated (B. Wolhuter & S. Mlambo (2015) Tax to
help poor students mooted in Cape Argus, 19 October). Taxation of corporate income raises complex theoretical issues (R.
Reich (2009) Supercapitalism: The battle for democracy in an age of big business, pp. 216-218). Voluntary funding from non-
governmental sources (apart from student fees) tends to fluctuate, at times significantly, from year to year. This revenue
volatility (Wangenge-Ouma & Cloete (2008) Financing higher education in South Africa: Public funding, non-governmental
revenue and tuition fees in South African Journal of Higher Education, 22(4), p. 913) means it would be unwise for a higher-
education funding model to depend on voluntary corporate contributions. So in the text I concentrate on student fees and
government subsidies as the principal sources of funding for higher education.
21 N. Barr (2004) Higher education funding in Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(2), p. 267.
570
196 | Student Funding
22 Wangenge-Ouma & Cloete (2008) Financing higher education in South Africa: Public funding, non-governmental
revenue and tuition fees in South African Journal of Higher Education, 22(4), p. 911.
23 Wangenge-Ouma (2012) Tuition fees and the challenge of making higher education a popular commodity in South
Africa in Higher Education: The International Journal of Higher Education Research, 64(6), p. 835.
24 N. Cloete (2015) The flawed ideology of Free Higher Education in University World News, 6 November.
571
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 197
not benefit from the contribution which its gifted young people from less
advantaged socio-economic backgrounds could have made.
Can Fairness, Access and Efficiency be combined in a higher-education
funding model? In the remainder of this section, four different funding
models are compared with special attention to their ability to realise Fairness,
Access and Efficiency simultaneously.
Free Higher Education (FHE). FHE is the funding model whereby university
tuition is fully publicly funded. In South Africa this model has attracted a
lot of support from student organisations and movements,25 and it appears
to have some support from within the ANC-led Government as well.26 FHE
removes the Access problem created by upfront fees. However, it is highly
objectionable from a Fairness point of view, as has been argued earlier in this
section. Though its violation of Fairness is the main problem with FHE, it can
also be expected to lead to shortfalls in allocative Efficiency, since with FHE
price can no longer serve as a signalling mechanism and the sector must resort
entirely to the potentially much less efficient method of central planning.27
Differential Fees (DF). DF is the funding model on which different students
pay different levels of fees for the same programme at the same university,
depending on their household assets and income.28 Some of those campaigning
with the slogan Free education in our lifetime in South Africa in 2015 actually
supported free higher education only for the poor i.e. a version of DF. If well
designed, DF can like FHE remove the Access problem caused by upfront
fees. However, DF relies on a means test to determine households ability to
pay. Means tests are known to be expensive to administer, often unreliable
25 See, for example, L. Mantashe (2015) Give the masses free education in Cape Times, 21 October; B. Kamanzi (2015)
Open the gates once and for all in Cape Argus, 23 October; Wangenge-Ouma (2012) Tuition fees and the challenge of
making higher education a popular commodity in South Africa in Higher Education: The International Journal of Higher
Education Research, 64(6), p. 838; E. Redden (2015) #FeesMustFall in Inside Higher Ed, 18 November.
26 Minister of Higher Education and Training Blade Nzimande said in a radio interview on Monday 19 October 2015 that
no fee universities, like those in Germany, were the ideal (Q. Mtyala (2015) Students reject deal in Cape Times, 21
October).
27 The absence of pricing in itself arguably leads to a Fairness shortfall. Barr writes: Counter-intuitively, variable fees
are also fairer than other approaches; why should fees at a local institution be the same as one at an internationally
renowned university? (Barr (2009) Financing higher education: Lessons from economic theory and reform in England
in Higher Education in Europe, 34(2), p. 205).
28 For example, Democratic Alliance Shadow Minister of Higher Education and Training, Belinda Bozzoli, has suggested that
[u]niversities could urgently adopt a sliding fees scale approach, as in Italy, where students family income levels dictate
the fees charged and Pillay also advocates a differentiated fee structure in universities based on socio-economic status
(B. Bozzoli (2015) University funding: There are budget-neutral options in Financial Mail, 29 October - 4 November, pp.
16-17; P. Pillay (2015) Financing of universities: Promoting equity or reinforcing inequality (unpublished colloquium
paper).
572
198 | Student Funding
29 Pillay (2010) Good practices, possible lessons and remaining challenges in Pillay (ed.) Higher education financing in
east and southern Africa; p. 229; J. Kruger (2015) Perspectives on student funding: Credit market, social protection
and pyramid inversion (unpublished colloquium paper); E. Garwe (2015) Responsive and sustainable higher education
funding: Lessons from Zimbabwe (unpublished colloquium paper).
573
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 199
level of income of the individual who takes out the loan.30 Income-contingent
student loans are loans provided to students by the government to help with
the costs of university study, for which no security need be provided by either
the student or their household-members. Once a student has graduated and
achieved a set threshold level of earnings, they begin to repay the loan at a
rate which is a specified percentage of their income. This percentage may
increase as their income increases. How much of the loan the graduate pays
back, and how quickly, is determined entirely by the level of income they
achieve.
ICL makes Fairness compatible with Access in precisely the same way as
GT: by ensuring that payment for the private benefits of higher education
occurs at a time, and at a rate, which is manageable for the recipient of
those benefits. But ICL avoids both of the downsides of GT. First, providing
students with loans from which to pay fees enables price to continue to play
a signalling role in the higher education sector, fostering allocative Efficiency.
Second, on the ICL model, the amount ultimately paid by each graduate
tracks much more closely the extent of private benefit they received from
higher education than happens on the GT model. Once they have repaid their
loan, graduates make no further payments. Thus ICL is superior to GT from
the point of view of Fairness as well as from that of Efficiency.
By allowing the retention of fees thus fostering Fairness and Efficiency but
using the consumption-smoothing device of income-contingent student loans to
ensure manageable payment thus fostering Access ICL reconciles the three
values of Efficiency, Access and Fairness more successfully than FHE, DF or GT.
The virtues of ICL have been visible to policy-makers for some time.
Versions of ICL have been successfully introduced on a large scale in Australia
and the United Kingdom.31 South Africas National Student Financial Aid
Scheme (NSFAS) already embodies it to a limited degree.32 In recent years
other African countries have increasingly turned away from FHE and DF
funding models and towards ICL models.33
30 Barr (2009) Financing higher education: Lessons from economic theory and reform in England in Higher Education in
Europe, 34(2).
31 Barr (1998) Higher education in Australia and Britain: What lessons? in Australian Economic Review, 31(2), pp. 179-
188; Barr (2012) The Higher Education White Paper: The good, the Bad, the unspeakable - and the next White Paper in
Social Policy & Administration, 46(5), pp. 483-508.
32 Pillay (2008) Higher education funding frameworks in SADC in Towards a Common Future, p. 169.
33 Pillay (2010) Good practices, possible lessons and remaining challenges in Pillay (ed.) Higher education financing in east
and southern Africa, p. 230.
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200 | Student Funding
In order fully to realise the value of Access, an ICL scheme must enable
prospective students from even the poorest backgrounds to pursue higher
education without fear of running into serious financial difficulties either
during their course of study (which could lead to them failing or dropping out)
or afterwards (which could lead to bankruptcy and personal disaster). Thus
Access provides us with a strong reason for increasing the size of NSFAS loans
in South Africa so that they cover not only full tuition costs, but also the costs
of transport, books, food and accommodation, and other reasonable living
costs.34 For the same reason, the earnings threshold at which repayment
of a NSFAS loan kicks in should be raised from the current very low level of
R30 000 per year,35 to at least the earnings threshold at which income tax
payment begins.36 Access also dictates that the coverage of NSFAS loans should
be extended to include the missing middle households with a total annual
income of between R122 000 and R500 000, which do not qualify for NSFAS
loans but struggle to fund university tuition.37 These households frequently
take out expensive and risky private loans in order to cover university fees.38
The Government should use its ability to borrow money more cheaply than
private individuals can to convert bad debt into good.39
It might be thought that, owing to human psychology, the presence of
fees even when accompanied by a comprehensive loan scheme must
always constitute a substantial disincentive to go on to university study,
particularly for those from less advantaged socio-economic backgrounds, so
that from an Access point of view FHE and GT would always have the edge
on DF and ICL. However, empirical findings indicate otherwise. Data collected
by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
show absolutely no cross-country relationship between the level of tuition
countries charge and the participation of disadvantaged youth in tertiary
education. On the contrary, social mobility is worse in Germany which pays
34 The Department of Higher Education and Training and other stakeholders agreed that such an expansion of NSFAS was
a priority at the Higher Education Transformation Summit in Durban in October 2015, as recorded in the summits press
release (www.dhet.gov.za); see also Wolhuter & Mlambo (2015) Tax to help poor students mooted in Cape Argus, 19
October.
35 This is the earnings threshold quoted on the NSFAS website: www.nsfas.org.za.
36 I give a further reason for this reform to NSFAS loans below in section 5.1.
37 Cloete (2015) The flawed ideology of Free Higher Education in University World News, 6 November.
38 Z. Dano (2015) Not poor enough for student financial aid in Cape Argus, 2 November.
39 Kruger (2015) Perspectives on student funding (unpublished colloquium paper).
575
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 201
for all university education through the public purse than it is in the UK.40
In the UK, university fees were allowed to rise to up to 9 000 per year in
2011, in conjunction with an expanded ICL scheme. Yet the Universities and
Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS) reported that in 2014, disadvantaged
young people were over 10% more likely to enter higher education than in
2013, and over 30% more likely to than in 2009.41
In the South African context a different argument against ICL is sometimes
made. This argument claims it is unfair for graduates from less advantaged
socio-economic backgrounds to have to repay their NSFAS loans, because
they are often expected to support members of an extended family or other
members of their home communities.
It is certainly true that many South African students with NSFAS loans pay
the black tax. But this is not a good argument against ICL, and in favour of
FHE or DF. South Africans who suffer due to sickness, old age, poverty or
unemployment should not be helped by the clumsy and uncertain method
of writing off their relatives student debt. Instead, help should come to them
directly through targeted policies: public pensions, measures to end child
poverty, a comprehensive unemployment insurance scheme and adequate
public healthcare. The country will have more funds for these vital purposes
if NSFAS loans to cover university fees are paid back in full by all middle- and
high-income graduates.
4. Equality
So far this paper has made the case for a mixed higher-education funding
model, combining public subsidy and student fees. In Section 3 it was argued
that it would be justifiable for fees at South African public universities to rise
until they contributed somewhat more to tuition costs than government
subsidy. But rising fees are only acceptable when accompanied by the
consumption-smoothing device of income-contingent government loans to
40 A. Schleicher (2015) The sustainability of the UKs higher education system in OECD Education & Skills Today, 6th
January.
41 N. Hillman (2015) Keeping up with the Germans? A comparison of student funding, internationalisation and research in
UK and German universities, pp. 17-18.
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202 | Student Funding
42 C. Fourie, F. Schuppert & I. Wallimann-Helmer (2015) The nature and distinctiveness of social equality: An introduction
in C. Fourie, F. Schuppert & I. Wallimann-Helmer (eds.) Social equality: On what it means to be equals, pp. 1-17.
43 M. Healy (2013) Philosophical perspectives on social cohesion: New directions for education policy.
44 D. Miller (1997) Equality and justice in Ratio (new series) 10(3), pp. 222-237; E. Anderson (1999) What is the point
of equality? in Ethics, 109(2), pp. 287-337; C. Fourie (2012) What is social equality? An analysis of status equality as a
strongly egalitarian ideal in Res Publica, 18(2), pp. 107-126.
577
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 203
4.1 Stigma
Egalitarian political philosophers have for some time warned that extensive,
invasive means tests tend to undermine efforts to create a cohesive society
of equals. There is potential for conflict between the values of Equality and
Fairness here. Fine-tuning the distribution of the social product to accord with
Fairness is likely to require continuous data collection and comprehensive
means-testing; but these can give the impression that one is not trusted,
that one is an object of suspicion and hence is not being respected,46 and
often require people to do things, or reveal things about themselves, that
they find shameful, leading to a reduction in their respect-standing.47
Means-testing is objectionable from the perspective of Equality insofar
as it causes people to be made to feel inferior,48 and makes government
support into humiliating aid, stigmatising its recipients.49 Means-testing
should be avoided when possible, due to the disrespect communicated by
subjecting the poor to a level of scrutiny and control not experienced by the
better off and the harmful effects on respect-standing and self-respect
caused by shameful revelation.50
Consequently, advocates of social equality tend to support universal
benefits over conditional benefits, other things equal.51 It can even be worth
tolerating some Fairness losses for the sake of the Equality gains which accrue
from doing away with means-testing.52
Issues raised by students during the campus protests in South Africa in
45 J. Wolff (2015) Social equality, relative poverty and marginalised groups in Hull (ed.) The equal society, Section 1.
46 J. Wolff (1998) Fairness, respect, and the egalitarian ethos in Philosophy & Public Affairs, 27(2), p. 108.
47 Ibid., p. 109.
48 T. Scanlon (2002) The diversity of objections to inequality in M. Clayton & A. Williams (eds.) The ideal of equality, p. 43.
49 Anderson (1999) What is the point of equality? in Ethics, 109(2), p. 308.
50 Wolff (1998) Fairness, respect, and the egalitarian ethos in Philosophy & Public Affairs, 27(2), pp. 121-122.
51 Ibid., p. 121; G. Hull (2014) Creating a society of equals in Cape Times, 12 August.
52 Wolff (1998) Fairness, respect, and the egalitarian ethos in Philosophy & Public Affairs, 27(2), p. 117.
578
204 | Student Funding
4.2 Domination
A higher-education funding model, like South Africas, which relies on a
household contribution to a students costs of study (up to full tuition and
living costs) preserves the power of household-members to interfere with
students decision-making about which university to apply to, which subject
to study, and even whether to go to university at all. This discretionary power
undermines Equality, since it establishes asymmetrical relations of domination
between adult society-members with regard to important life decisions.
The financial leverage that heads of households currently have over
prospective students decision-making is also likely to undermine Access and
Efficiency.
Household-heads may decide to fund the university costs of one but not
all of their dependent household-members, or else may fund their costs
53 P. Dulwana (2015) #WitsonFire: Student factionalism must fall in Mail & Guardian Thought Leader, 28 October.
54 T. Nozuko (2015) Institutional racism quietly thrives at UWC in Cape Argus, 23 October.
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Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 205
55 Barr & Crawford (1997) The Dearing Report, the governments response and a view ahead in The Dearing Report,
paragraph 115.
56 P. Pillay (2008) Higher education funding frameworks in SADC in Towards a common future, pp. 130-135.
57 Wangenge-Ouma (2012) Tuition fees and the challenge of making higher education a popular commodity in South
Africa in Higher Education: The International Journal of Higher Education Research, 64(6), p.833.
580
206 | Student Funding
58 M. Garrau & C. Laborde (2015) Relational equality, non-domination, and vulnerability in Fourie, Schuppert &
Wallimann-Helmer (eds.) Social equality, pp. 45-64.
59 D. Parker (2015) Higher education funding challenges and the call for free education (unpublished colloquium
presentation).
60 Cloete (2015) The flawed ideology of Free Higher Education in University World News, 6 November.
581
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 207
other than higher education.61 I cannot resolve this complex debate here.
This section outlines six concrete steps which, if taken, could make
universal student loans an affordable policy even without any substantial
increase in the proportion of GDP spent on higher education. Some of these
are measures needed to confirm NSFAS identity as a loan, not a bursary,
scheme. Others are levers which policy-makers can use to ensure the shape of
the loan scheme is in line with government spending decisions and liquidity.
5.1 Collection of NSFAS debt via the South African Revenue Service (SARS)
Efficient debt collection is indispensable to any large-scale student loan
scheme. In South Africa, student loan debt collection has recently become
less efficient.62 This state of affairs must be rectified, by making student
loan debt collection a responsibility of SARS, to be carried out in the course
of income tax collection. Each NSFAS loan should be a direct contractual
arrangement between a student and NSFAS, with SARS collecting payments
due on the basis of a graduates declared earnings. Debt collection by SARS
can be facilitated by bringing thresholds for NSFAS loan repayment into line
with the income tax thresholds.
64 This is the rate quoted on the NSFAS website: www.nsfas.org.za. The repo rate is the rate at which the South African
Reserve Bank lends to commercial banks.
65 In a previous incarnation of the UKs student loan scheme, one third of all money lent to students was not repaid purely
because of the interest rate subsidy (Barr (2004) Higher education funding in Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(2),
p. 271.
66 Ibid., p. 271.
67 I am no longer of the view that government loans to students should be low-interest, if that is taken to mean an interest
rate at or below the governments cost of borrowing (G. Hull (2015) Free university education is not the route to social
justice in The Conversation (Africa), 27 October).
68 Barr (2004) Higher education funding in Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(2), p. 271.
69 Barr (2012) The Higher Education White Paper: The good, the bad, the unspeakable - and the next White Paper in Social
Policy & Administration, 46(5), p. 503.
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Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 209
funding model, and can make a loan scheme substantially more affordable. This
feature has already been successfully introduced in New Zealand and the UK.70
Once a risk premium is added to the interest rate, a loan scheme with
universal eligibility has a progressive fiscal incidence across those who attend
university. In South Africa, the non-completion rate is far higher for students
from poorer households currently eligible for a NSFAS loan than for students
from richer households.71 When they pay back their loan at the higher interest
rate, graduates from the latter group will also cover the cost of irrecoverable
loans to non-graduates from the former group to a substantial degree.
70 Ibid., p. 497; Barr (2004) Higher education funding in Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(2), p. 271.
71 S. Nxasana (2015) Education is part of the real world in News 24, 30 November.
72 C. Bisseker & L. Ensor (2015) One blow too many: SA heads for recession and an earlier junk rating after the Finance
Ministers axing in Financial Mail, 17-23 December, p. 28.
73 National Committee of Inquiry into Higher Education (1997) Higher education in the learning society: Report of the
National Committee, p. 327.
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210 | Student Funding
SARS, an end to the conversion of loan into bursary, and an interest rate equal
to the governments cost of borrowing, 80% of outlay on loans can ultimately
be recouped once borrowers have achieved healthy earnings.74 That means
that, of R90 billion total outlay, only R18 billion should be recognised as
expenditure in the public accounts. Then let us assume that, with the interest
rate on loans raised somewhat above the governments cost of borrowing,
as recommended above in 5.3, half of the loss on the loans portfolio can
ultimately be borne by repaying graduates. That brings the total expenditure
on NSFAS loans down to R9 billion a much less daunting figure.
NSFAS counts its outflows on student loans adjusted for an impairment
due to anticipated non-repayments as an asset on its financial statement.75
This is as it should be, and is in accord with the Standards of Generally
Recognised Accounting Practice.76 But the repayable part of loans should be
recognised as an asset not just of NSFAS, but of the State. To effect this, an
amount equal to the loans asset on NSFAS balance sheet should be recognised
as owed by NSFAS to DHET,77 and the same amount should be recognised as
owed in its turn by DHET to the National Treasury. This would be a simple and
perspicuous way of marking the difference between loans (refundable) and
bursary payments (expenditure) in the public accounts.
Currently, the South African Governments accounts treat student loans in
the same way as bursaries, a practice which misleads rather than informs.78
For as long as it persists in this accounting practice, Government expenditure
targets will irrationally constrain South Africas ability to empower its young
people to invest in their future.79
74 I dont think this is an unrealistic assumption, given that South African university fees are cheap by international
standards (see Cloete (2015) The flawed ideology of Free Higher Education in University World News, 6 November),
and graduate unemployment in South Africa is low.
75 NSFAS (2015) 2014/2015 annual report: Toward a student-centred approach, p. 79 & 87.
76 Thanks to Ilse Lubbe for guidance on this point.
77 Currently DHET recognises all outflows to NSFAS as grants.
78 National Committee of Inquiry into Higher Education (1997) Higher Education in the Learning Society, p. 327; Nicholas
Barr and Iain Crawford write: Since not all lending to students is repaid, it would be wrong to deduct all student loans
from public expenditure. But it makes equally little sense to present the public accounts as though no student loans
are repaid. This approach implicitly assumes that there will be a plague which wipes out all graduates on the day they
graduate, thus preventing any repayments at all (Barr & Crawford (1997) The Dearing Report, the governments
response and a view ahead in The Dearing Report, paragraph 93).
79 Barr comments: It is true that loans will bring in significant additional resources in 20 years time but (as one Vice-
Chancellor put it on the day the Dearing Report was published) you cannot revive a corpse (Barr (1998) Higher
education in Australia and Britain: What lessons? in Australian Economic Review, 31(2), p. 183).
585
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 211
81 I acknowledge gratefully the helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper which I received from Dean Chapman, Greg
Fried, Rob Hull, Catherine Kannemeyer, John Kruger, Ilse Lubbe, Sean Muller, Lungisile Ntsebeza, Ian Scott, Bernhard
Weiss, Jimmy Winfield and Jonathan Wolff.
587
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 213
References
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337.
Barr, N. (1998) Higher education in Australia and Britain: What lessons? in
Australian Economic Review, 31(2), pp. 179-188.
Barr, N. (2004) Higher education funding in Oxford Review of Economic Policy,
20(2), pp. 264-283.
Barr, N. (2009) Financing higher education: Lessons from economic theory and
reform in England in Higher Education in Europe, 34(2), pp. 201-209.
Barr, N. (2012) The Higher Education White Paper: The good, the bad, the
unspeakable and the next White Paper in Social Policy & Administration,
46(5), pp. 483-508.
N. Barr & I. Crawford (1997) The Dearing Report, the governments response
and a view ahead App. 8 of Education and Employment Committee in The
Dearing Report: Some funding issues, II (The Stationery Office: London).
Bawa, A. (2000) A social contract between the public higher education sector
and the people of South Africa (research paper: Center for Studies in Higher
Education, University of California, Research and Occasional Papers Series).
Bawa, A. (2012) South African higher education: At the center of a cauldron of
national imaginations in Social Research: An International Quarterly, 79(3), pp.
669-694.
Bisseker, C. & Ensor, L. (2015) One blow too many: SA heads for recession and
an earlier junk rating after the Finance Ministers axing in Financial Mail, 17-23
December, pp. 28-29.
Bozzoli, B. (2015) University funding: There are budget-neutral options in
Financial Mail, 29 October - 4 November, pp. 16-17.
Brown, G. (2010) Why the right Is wrong: The progressive case for Britains
future (Fabian Society: London).
Cloete, N. (2015) The flawed ideology of Free Higher Education in University
World News, 6 November.
Cudd, A. (2015) What is equality in higher education? in G. Hull (ed.) The equal
588
214 | Student Funding
589
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 215
590
216 | Student Funding
591
Reconciling efficiency, access, fairness and equality | 217
592
Annexure B
Govlnn
Cllntrll for the Stud of
UNIVERSITEIT VAN PRETORIA
UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA
YUNIBES1.TH1 .. YA PRETORIA
Governonce tnnovotlon
.. cirad
o',. L', ''' '"'"" N',> :,.-H
Author:
Lorenzo Fioramonti
Professor of Political Economy
Director - Centre for the Study of Governance Innovation
University of Pretoria
Email: [email protected]
Phone: 012-4202696
593
Contents
Background........................................................................................................................................ 3
An income contingent mechanism has two generic forms: a graduate tax and a loan. ................... 6
Collection mechanism................................................................................................................... 11
Conclusion .................................................................................................................................... 16
594
Background
There is growing consensus that the future of development is heavily dependent on the quality of
human capital. Societies that do not put education at the core of their economic policy planning
are doomed. Wealth and progress indeed depend on how we treat young and future generations
as well as the resource base upon which they thrive. This is why the issue of financing education
is so important. In many regards, education is the essential driver of economic transformation,
technological progress, social emancipation and conflict resolution.
State support for universities in South Africa has been declining over time, with levels of public
investment far below other 'developing' and 'middle-income' countries like Cuba, Senegal, Ghana
and Malaysia.' Often third-stream income is presented as a substitute for public funds, but it is
unlikely to fill the gap for a number of reasons: 1) universities compete with one another for
national funds; 2) international funds have been shrinking due to the global economic crisis as
well as the exclusion of South Africa from more traditional development aid in line with its 'upper
mille-income' status; 3) private sector funding is less likely to be available for disciplines and
sectors that have no immediate application and relevance to industry's priorities; 4) project
based research can interfere with academic freedom and may ultimately skew accountability
relations, with priorities being dictated by external preferences rather than lecturers and
students.
Currently the National Student Financial Aid Scheme (NSFAS) is under a lot of pressure because of
insufficient resources and because of the so-called 'missing middle': a growing number of
students who cannot afford the rising costs of tertiary education, yet does not qualify for aid or
preferential loans. At the same time, government has been decreasing its overall investment in
universities, which forces management to increase fees. It is a vicious circle that makes
everybody tense and can easily trigger conflict.
Against this backdrop, students and most academics have called for free tertiary education,
arguing that public resources can be diverted from other sectors and additional taxes can be
introduced, especially on top income earners. This is certainly a legitimate demand, which points
to the need to redistribute resources in what remains one of the most unequal societies in the
world. At the same time it begs the question of whether allocating such additional revenues to
tertiary education would be the most 'socially just' decision, in a country in which public
healthcare as well as public primary/secondary education are extremely under-resourced. In fact,
achieving free tertiary education through public revenues may not be a very equitable decision.
Indeed, university graduates tend to enjoy higher incomes than average citizens. As result,
funding their studies by diverting ordinary taxation, which could instead be used to support the
achievement of more basic needs, would be tantamount to asking the current poor to subsidize
the future rich through forfeited benefits. While additional and more innovative taxation systems
would be needed in the country, the revenues should be channelled towards fulfilling more basic
needs than tertiary education.
To break out of this impasse we may benefit from some governance innovation capable of
reducing the frictions between students, universities and government while involving the rest of
society to take responsibility for ensuring a more equitable and affordable education system. In
this regard, it is an encouraging sign that the lkusasa Student Financial Aid Programme (ISFAP)
was launched in 2017 with a pilot in a selection of universities. ISFAP adopts a hybrid model
1
Universities South Africa, University Funding in South Africa; A Fact Sheet. Available online:
http://www.uct.ac.za/usr/news/downloads/2016/UniversitiesFundingSouthAfrica FactSheet.pdf
595
involving public grants, bank loans and a series of other funding mechanisms, including donations
and social impact bonds with a view to providing support particularly for the 'missing middle'.
Key private sector organizations in the country, including the Banking Association of South Africa
(BASA), Business Leadership South Africa and the Association for Savings and Investment South
Africa have supported the ISFAP pilot, with private institutions donating over ZAR 138 million and
ZAR 20 million in operating costs to ensure the pilot is implemented despite the short notice.
This report recommends building on the current ISFAP public-private partnership with a view to
streamlining and simplifying the approach. In particular, it is recommended that one unified
funding structure be managed by a single private partnership providing funding to all students,
not only to the poorest segments of the population and a selection of missing-middle
households. To achieve such a universal approach, South Africa can learn from the experience of
Australia and other countries, which have introduced a financial mechanism allowing students to
defer the costs of tuition until they get employment and making repayments proportional not to
the amount due but to their future salary scales. In technical terms, this system is called 'income
contingent loans' (!CL). Unlike conventional loans, which fuel a debt trap among millions of
students, also in South Africa, a repayment method proportional to future earnings guarantees
fairness and a better distribution of risk, given that some students will end up paying more than
they have loaned, thus subsidizing those whose jobs are not remunerated well enough, who may
enjoy lower premiums. Students who do not find a job or fall beneath a minimum 'salary
threshold' will be exonerated from repayment for as long as they remain in that condition,
provided that the government may require them to perform functions of collective benefit in
return for the public investment that allowed them to study at no cost.
Such a system has numerous advantages. First of all, it provides an immediate relief to students
who want to pursue an education but have no means to do so. By using future earnings rather
than current economic conditions as the repayment parameter, it breaks the vicious cycle of debt
and the anxiety that comes with the uncertainty surrounding the capacity to repay. Moreover,
this system is more efficient than conventional public funding and more democratic than private
loans: anybody can access it, poor and rich, without expensive screening processes that delay
applications and sap already limited financial resources. Indeed, diverse participation in the
funding scheme is crucial, because the financial sustainability of the system depends on the
possibility of future cross-subsidies between students accessing higher-paid professions and
those who get less lucrative jobs. The more diverse are the applicants, the more likely it is that
high-income earners' contributions will offset the lower repayments of those earning less.
Given the specific circumstances of the South African economy and in line with the ISFAP
approach, the report recommends a 'hybrid' adaptation of the ICLs, with the establishment of a
public-private partnership involving government, revenue service and private banks. The revenue
office would be in charge of collection, given that the simplest and most effective repayment
process is through conventional employer withholding in the payslip (similar to social security
withholdings). The banks would make funding available and the government may act as a payer
of last resort, either as a guarantor that public money would be injected into the system in case
of unexpected losses or by committing to buy off the banks any debt excessing a mutually agreed
margin. This proposal has been discussed with South Africa's banking associations and
representatives of commercial banks, with a generally positive feedback and interest to engage in
developing it further.
The crucial positive aspect of this hybrid approach is that it shifts the responsibility for equitable
education from individual students and their families to society as a whole. It also produces an
596
important alignment of interests between the public and the private sectors. Why? Because both
government and the business community will be able to profit from the proper management of
the economy and the creation of decent and well-remunerated work. On the one hand,
government would indeed save previous resources for as long as the positive cycle of repayments
is maintained: resources that could be invested in other critical areas of social development, thus
reinforcing the positive cycle. On the other hand, banks could profit directly from job creation,
which would give them an additional incentive to provide credit particularly to companies that
create good jobs, thus reducing their appetite for financial market operations. This alignment of
interests has the potential to turn the current lose-lose economic situation into a win-win, saving
government a lot of money and creating good investment opportunities for the private sector.
This system would be not only an innovative way to deal with the funding crisis in tertiary
education, but could also be a trigger of transformation and social justice. It is exactly what we
need to turn the economy around.
An income-contingent loan (ICL) challenges most of these aspects. For starter, repayments
depend on the borrower's income at the time of repayment (not on the amount loaned). In
virtually all !CL systems, payments are taken only after income reaches a threshold, with a view
to eliminating (or at least minimizing) financial stress and risks. In an ICL system the variable
component is the duration of the loan and the repayment rate applied, which can be longer or
shorter, higher or lower depending on the levels of income.
The repayment burden is a crucial aspect of student loan design because it reflects the difficulty
or ease of meeting contractual obligations. With non-lCL systems, a borrower is required to repay
its debt each month for the duration of the loan (usually 10 years), irrespective of his/her
financial capacity to do so. As a result, borrowers experiencing unemployment or low earnings
through non-graduation (a particularly likely outcome for borrowers who did not complete their
degree), may end up facing proportionally higher repayment burdens, causing hardship and in
many cases leading to default. As a consequence, the fixed character of conventional loans can
seriously distort both labour market decisions (whether to work in the public or private sector, do
597
volunteering, look after family members) and decisions about family formation (partnership and
when to have children) in ways that are neither efficient nor equitable.
The distinction between past and current income would be immaterial with stable and
predictable incomes, but that is not the way the world works for borrowers. For instance, the
incomes of young people are least stable, and depend significantly on the state of the labour
market when first seeking full-time employment.
Thanks to its adaptability and flexibility, an income contingent design is always to be preferred to
a conventional loan as a means to finance human capital. Indeed, financing education is very
different from financing conventional built capital (Friedman 1955). Why?
There is a lack of collateral. In contrast to home loans, for instance, there is no tangible
property a borrower can offer to the lender in case of default.
There is asymmetric information. Students are better informed than lenders about
whether they aspire to careers in say financial markets or the arts, with implications in
terms of ability to repay.
The first problem implies excessive risk for borrowers; both problems imply excessive risk for
lenders. As a result, with conventional mortgage-type loans, investment in human capital is too
low, because lenders impose tough conditions to guarantee repayment, which make the
repayment burden excessive and often leads to default: a negative outcome for both borrower
and lender. Mortgage-type loans are also discriminatory, because they tend to offer more
favourable conditions to well-off students, who are more likely to repay, than to students coming
from more disadvantaged backgrounds. In turn, this reinforces inequality and marginalization.
These market failures imply that to achieve an efficient level of investment in human capital a
loan system needs two elements:
Consumption smoothing: the loan needs to be large enough to provide full support over
the course of the loan.
Insurance: if consumption smoothing is to be effective (that is, people borrow enough to
finance the efficient amount of investment in human capital), the loan needs to provide
an element of insurance against low earnings.
In many ways, student loans are analogous to social security and should operate on the same
principles. Pensions redistribute from a person's younger to her older self; student loans
redistribute from middle years to earlier years, and across individuals with different earning
capabilities.
An income contingent mechanism has two generic forms: a graduate tax and a loan.
In the case of a graduate tax, graduates pay a fraction of their earnings for life or (say) till
retirement. This is equity finance: repayments are contingent on lifetime income; thus
people with higher lifetime earnings repay more in present-value terms.
In the case of loans, repayment continues until the borrower has repaid some specified
amount, for example, 100% of the amount borrowed in present value terms (thus
including an interest rate). In this design, contingency affects both the rate and the
timeline of repayments, which vary according to the ability to repay and the income of
the borrower.
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The report will deal at length with the strengths and weaknesses of the second approach, which
is based on income contingent loans. As regards the graduate tax (which this report does not
discuss in detail), the strengths include: low administrative costs and perceived fairness; the
weaknesses include: negative social perceptions of additional taxation, life-time duration of the
tax and cyclical tendencies in times of low economic growth.
For a number of reasons, including automaticity and low administrative transactions costs, the
first model is the most desirable.
Stiglitz (2014) has labelled these advantages 'transactional efficiencies' and promotes this aspect
as one of the most important benefits of ICL. The resulting benefits take two forms:
The marginal cost of collection is small because the system builds on an existing
administrative income-contingent collection apparatus'.
The benefit for the borrower is that repayments automatically adjust to financial
circumstances.
In general, ICL systems are designed so that higher-earning borrowers will generally be in a
position to repay their loans (plus interest) over a shorter period of time than low-earning
graduates. However, it is important to point out that there is good economic argument for having
a relatively long-term repayment term for these loans (say 20-30 years). It would be efficient to
set a short repayment period if the lifetime of a loan were somehow related to the lifetime of the
asset: for instance, a 3-year car loans and 25-year home loans. But given that the benefits of
higher education last throughout a person's working life, the option of longer repayment
duration should be seen as efficient, with the advantage that it reduces the risk of default.
Moreover, as already indicated, graduate students tend to earn more as their career progresses,
which means that longer loan terms are likely to generate higher returns for the lenders.
Important: it is always possible to design an ICL system that is cost neutral to the state and, by
association, to tax payers. In this regard, key variables include a combination of low loans, real
interest rates above the government cost of borrowing, loan surcharges, lower thresholds, higher
repayment rates, longer loan terms, and a healthy labour market with good earnings growth.
Some of these variables can be controlled, others cannot. A good ICL system should be
transparent, easy to understand, with universal take-up (essential to spread the risk and
guarantee smooth repayment), easy to access, easy to administer, placing low burden on
borrowers once they enter the labour market, and basing repayments on current earnings.
2
Administrative costs in the Australian system is about 3% of the annual revenue collected (Chapman,
2014).
599
The repayment rate(s), that is, the percentage of a person's income after graduation that
is directed towards repaying the loan, which also includes the interest rate;
The repayment threshold, that is, the level of income at which repayments start;
A cap on total and/or annual borrowing from the student loan system;
The maximum number of years of repayment, that is, forgiveness after n years;
Conditions for early repayment;
A robust collection mechanism.
Upon enrolment, domestic students choose between paying tuition upfront or deferring their
obligation through an ICL system. Over 85% choose to defer, because of the financial advantages
integrated into the ICL, and a student's debt is recorded and linked to his/her unique social
security/tax file number. When a borrower starts work, employers withhold loan repayments
based on the borrower's current income in the same way that they withhold social security
payments and income tax. Outstanding debt is recorded and reconciled within a government
agency. In other countries, this process is managed by a public private partnership (in the case of
the UK, for instance, it a separate a separate loans administration, the UK Student Loans
Company).
Like in most countries adopting the ICLs, borrowers have no repayment obligation unless their
incomes exceed a certain amount. In Australia, this is set at AUD 57,000 (ZAR 570,000) per
annum. Above these thresholds loan repayments increase proportionally with income up to a
maximum of 8% of the monthly salary (repayment burden). When the loan (plus interest) has
been fully repaid, employers are informed and repayment collections cease; the median duration
is about 8 years (in the UK, where average debts are much higher due to the high-cost of tertiary
education, the median is over 20 years). Although in Australia there is no maximum repayment
period, in other countries all outstanding debt is forgiven after about 30 years. ICL repayments in
Australia reflect a borrower's current capacity to repay, since repayments are collected on the
basis of the borrower's current weekly, fortnightly or monthly income.
Between 1994 and 2004, the Australian government introduced a Student Financial Supplement
Scheme that operated in part as a hybrid model, with funding sourced from the Commonwealth
Bank of Australia.3 In line with the conventional ICL design, repayments would not commence
until five years after the loan was taken out and only if the minimum threshold was exceeded. In
the meantime, voluntary repayments made during the contract period and before the repayment
terms attracted a 15% bonus. When the contract period expired, the Government paid the bank
the amount the student still owed and collected the debt through a HECS style arrangement
administered by the Tax Office.
3
See: http://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary Business/Bills Legislation/bd/bd0304/04bd027.
600
ICLs deliver major benefits in terms of consumption smoothing and insurance, because
they eliminate concerns with high repayment burdens and hence largely eliminate
defaults;
A system of repayments through employer withholding based on current income is the
simplest and cheapest approach for both lenders and borrowers;
Avoiding the complications of reapplication has significant administrative and financial
benefits both for government and borrowers; and
The parameters of an ICL must be developed and agreed upon by all parties involved,
especially if a hybrid model involving public and private institutions is chosen.
Repayment rate
Let us start with the choice of a repayment rate. In the UK, the 9% repayment rate applies only to
earnings above the threshold of GBP 21,000 per year; thus the repayment for someone earning
GBP 22,000 per year is GBP 90, i.e. 9% of GBP 1,000. In Australia, once a borrower's earnings
cross the threshold of AUD 54,000, a 4% repayment rate applies to all earnings; thus the
repayment for someone earning AUD 55,000 is AUD 2,200, i.e. 4% of AUD 55,000. Other things
equal, the Australian system can have a lower starting repayment rate, but at the expense of a
'cliff edge' as earnings cross the threshold. Australian evidence suggests that this has behavioural
tax reporting effects in the short run (a bunching of earnings just below the threshold), which
however quickly disappears (after about one year).
Repayment thresholds
This is the point at which a borrower's income activates repayments. In societies in which salary
gaps are wider, the risk of a 'cliff edge' can be reduced by having more thresholds with smaller
changes in the repayment rates. Other things being equal, a lower repayment threshold increases
repayments, making it possible, for example, to have a lower repayment rate. At the same time,
the case for a higher threshold is to avoid the proportionally higher marginal tax rates faced by
many low earning recipients and to reduce financial stress on low earners. In sum, a higher
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threshold disentangles student loan repayments from other welfare considerations, with both
efficiency and equity gains, but it reduces revenue.
The choice of threshold depends on the balance between repayment flows and social concerns,
and will depend crucially on the median level of income in a country, the extent of income
inequality, its tax and benefit systems and the efficiency of the tax collection/employer
withholding system.
Interest rate
If government is in charge of the ICL system, then the interest rate can be tweaked according to
political preferences, but if banks are involved, then the interest rate must take into account the
cost of borrowing and must be set at prime or above prime to generate a level of profit for the
private investors.
As a general rule, an interest rate below the cost of borrowing means that taxpayers or private
,investors will have to fill the gap, given that no borrower is expected to repay in full in present
value terms. In the case of government loans, the outcome can be expensive in fiscal terms
(especially if the government's cost of borrowing is high). However, a lower interest rate may be
politically more palatable, reduce adverse selection and is also more progressive in terms of the
proportion of the loan paid by the cohort of borrowers in present value terms across the earnings
4
distribution.
If the interest rate is set above the cost of borrowing, borrowers who repay their loan in full
r:epay more than the cost of their loan in present value terms. However a note of caution is
necessary here, given that the interest rate and repayment rate may interact in ways that affect
the progressivity of the monetary contribution made by borrowers. For instance, if the richest
graduates repay their loan faster, they contribute less proportionately in present value terms. An
alternative to a positive real interest rate, or an option alongside a real interest rate, is a loan
surcharge. A surcharge has the advantage of transparency (unlike compound real interest rates)
and can help maintain progressivity within the cohort of borrowers by allowing real interest rates
in a revenue neutral way (due to the increased revenue from the surcharge). A disadvantage is
that the surcharge, particularly a large surcharge, invites adverse selection.
Capping loans
Loans should be capped for two reasons: 1) to prevent people from borrowing more than the
fees and associated costs will require; 2) to help to contain fee inflation, a relevant consideration
in most countries, where tertiary education is becoming extremely expensive. In the UK, where
fees were allowed to rise up to a maximum of GBP 9,000 in 2012 and ICL loans were allowed to
5
rise commensurately, virtually all fees went up to GBP 9,000. This was repeated in 2016 when
fees for 2017 were allowed to rise to GBP 9,250 and all but a handful of universities raised fees to
6
the maximum level. In order to avoid a sudden increase in tuition fees, the cap should not be set
to a general threshold across all universities, but pegged to the inflation rate and proportional to
the cost of tuition applied before the entry into force of the ICL mechanism. This would avoid
4
In Australia, the interest rate is 0% real, in New Zealand is is 0% nominal - so below the government cost
of borrowing. Conversely in the UK the interest rate is 3% real and above the government cost of
borrowing.
5
See Haroon Chowdry et al. (2012b) and Lorraine Dearden et al. (2014).
6
See https://www.offa.org.uk/access-agreements/.
602
that 'cheaper' universities resort to increasing their fees instrumentally to reach the cap, as was
the case in the UK.
A well designed system should have no incentives to repay early and/or ensure that there is no
loss of revenue if there is early repayment.
Collection mechanism
As discussed earlier, employer withholding on the basis of current earnings is cheap, robust (also
in South Africa, where tax authorities are well resourced and skilled) and essential if the
insurance element in the loan is to be effective. A system in which employer-withholding is done
in the same way as is done for social security contributions is ideal (Dynarski 2016).
603
highly unequal country, which means that the income capacity of one sector of the population
can be used to rebalance low levels of repayment in other sectors. The country also needs to
prioritize public spending in the provision of basic services, notably healthcare and
primary/secondary education, which means that additional public taxation or different budgetary
decisions should target these critical areas first, rather than funding tertiary education.
For all these reasons, a hybrid ICL approach is preferable. Involving the private sector will indeed
unleash new capabilities and financial resources, potentially addressing the problem at no cost to
government. Moreover, it would guarantee a reasonable spreading of risk by making the funding
approach universally applicable to everyone. Finally, it creates an opportunity for a public-private
partnership aimed at shifting the responsibility to fund tertiary education from government,
universities and families to society as a whole.
The desirability of a hybrid approach has also been stressed by a number of universities. For
instance, a report by the University of the Witwatersrand states:
to surpass the current crisis a new "hybrid model" is required. This envisages a multi-faceted
approach in which Government {as the main custodian of higher education), the Private
Sector and university revenues {fees, donor funds and endowments) all contribute in various
ways ta the general we/I-being and sustainability of the higher education sector'.
In the next sections, the report outlines various options for a hybrid ICL model to tackle the
tertiary education crisis in South Africa.
A public-private partnership
For the ICL approach to work effectively in the South African context, where state resources
should prioritize other basic needs, it is essential to involve the private sector in the lending
process. In particular, South African banks appear well positioned and resourced to provide a
leading role. Many commercial banks in the country are already providing conventional loans to
students, parents and guardians, whose investment could be more usefully directed towards
funding the ICL approach. In addition, banks also fund an increasing number of scholarships,
whose administration comes with a cost, which could be better streamlined by investing directly
in the ICL funding scheme. According to BASA's report to the Commission, South African banks
already spend roughly ZAR 500 million per annum through grants and bursaries, with roughly
5000 bursaries dispensed across the country each year and ZAR 1 billion worth of student loans
annually. Most of these loans already include flexibility in repayment, with only interest and fees
charged during the period of study, some support in case of unemployment and a grace period
after graduation, when full repayment begins. It's clear that the ICL approach would make this
process much more streamlined for both borrowers and lenders, limiting administrative burdens
and spreading the risk across a more diverse population.
In preparing this report, a series of conversations were held with South African commercial
banks, namely, Standard Bank, ASSA, Nedbank and First National Bank, as well as with BASA. All
parties involved confirmed their interest in engaging in conversation with all parties involved to
discuss how a hybrid ICL approach could be implemented as a response to the current funding
crisis.
7
Report of the University of the Witwatersrand Panel on Funding Model(s) for Higher Education in South
Africa. Available online: https://www.wits.ac.za/news/latest-news/general-news/2016/2016-08/wits
submits-report-on-higher-education-funding.html#sthash.WdfCDHPr.dpuf
604
In order to guarantee 'neutrality', such partnership should be managed by an independent
institution similar to the several bodies already identified by the Chapter 9 of the Constitution. It
should be accountable to Parliament, but guided by a board involving also the Banking
Association of South Africa and the South African Revenue Service (SARS). The role of SARS is
crucial to ensure that repayments are processed automatically as part of tax returns through
direct employer withholdings.
Why such a partnership? First of all, because the private sector needs to take more responsibility
in ensuring that tertiary education is made accessible to everyone. Second, because it would be a
good investment for many banks seeking a decent return on investment, especially against the
backdrop of widespread unsecure lending in the economy at large. Third, because it would save
government money (at a time of shrinking public budgets), which should rather be invested in
other critical areas of social development, from primary and secondary education to healthcare.
More importantly, perhaps, this partnership helps align the short-term interests of government
and business with those of society at large. How? By making government revenues and banks'
profits directly dependent on the creation of good jobs. By investing in the future careers of
students, banks will have a stake in the real economy rather than in the financial markets, thus
redirecting most of their capital towards lending rather than speculation. Indeed, the likelihood
of steady repayment will be proportional to the creation of good and dignified jobs across
society, not in one sector but in as many sectors as possible. As the profitability of the loans will
depend upon the diversification of such job creation, banks will be more inclined to provide
credit to small and medium enterprises (SMEs), which are the real job creators vis-a-vis some
traditional corporate giants, which have become structurally unable to generate good jobs and
are actually downsizing the workforce across the board. The ICL partnership would be a further
incentive to upgrade existing efforts by the banking industry, including their activities under
auspices of the CEO Initiative, such as the creation of an SME fund to invest in black enterprises
and the Youth Employment Service.
Government will have a similar interest, because if the repayment cycle sustains itself thanks to
the steady creation of good jobs, it will not need to use its own resources to back up the loans. As
a consequence, we should expect policymakers to focus on policies that promote diversification,
job creation, good governance, and broad-based economic empowerment. This will contribute to
levelling the regulatory playing field between large corporations, which have thus far been
supported by cheap labour and direct/indirect subsidies without a direct impact on the creation
of dignified and sustainable jobs, and the many small and medium enterprises, which are the real
job creators, yet struggle to access credit and operate in a legislative environment that is not
enabling to their success.
8
See: https://chet.org.za/data/sahe-open-data.
605
accommodation and transport) hovers around ZAR 50,000 per year (with a Bachelor of Medicine
at the University of Cape Town, which is the most expensive degree in the country, costing about
9
ZAR 65,000 per annum and a Bachelor of Science at UNISA set at about ZAR 13,000 per annum).
This would amount to about ZAR 150,000 ZAR for bachelor degree and roughly 200,000 ZAR for a
full degree including honours. Such an admittedly generic and rough calculation sets the overall
need of funding at about 50 billion ZAR per an num, with a total of about 200 billion ZAR for all
completed degrees nationally.
Ideally, a good system of funding and incentives should minimize failure and drop-out, which is
why we assume a 100% success rate. Should the success rate only improve marginally from
current trends (say from 77% to 85%), the overall cost of education would obviously decrease as
compared to the assumed trajectory. In comparison, NSFAS has a budget of about 15 billion ZAR
in 2017, which has been disbursed through grants and loans to assist over 400,000 students. At
the national level, South African banks possess assets for about 4 trillion ZAR, with a significant
(albeit decreasing) amount invested in unsecured credit, which could be more profitably directed
0
to support socially beneficial activities, including tertiary education.' Moreover, private
companies already make significant funds available in terms of bursaries and fellowships to a
number of universities, faculties and departments. All this funding, which is possibly quite
significant in terms of scale, could be absorbed by the ICL mechanism, thus reducing the actual
amount of money loaned directly from the banks.
Flexible design
This hybrid ICL partnership must be designed in a flexible fashion so as to achieve social mobility,
redistribution and drive the economy in a more sustainable direction, ultimately becoming a
countercyclical process to spur economic development, especially in times of stagnation. To
achieve such multiple objectives, the following is recommended:
9
See: https:ljafricacheck.org/reports/how-much-will-it-cost-to-go-to-a-south-african-university-in-2016/
10
See: http://www.banking.org.za/docs/default-source/publication/banking-sector-
overview.pdf?sfvrsn=6
606
Time horizon
Preference should be given to a long-term repayment horizon in order to minimize risks of
default. There should be a possibility for early repayment, but with a premium (or loan
surcharge) in order to discourage a surge of repayments in the early stages of a professional
career, when income is lower and risks are higher.
The long-term repayment is also likely to ease the burden on graduates facing the so-called
'black tax', a customary tradition among many black communities in the country, according to
which young professionals are expected to support their families mostly through covering the
cost of their siblings' education. It must be noted that, in a fully-functional ICL system, it is
likely that education expenses will massively decrease or disappear altogether, thus reducing
the burden associated with customary practices.
It is important that loans are capped to avoid an increase in university fees. However, given
the vast disparity in costs among the various South African universities, the cap must be
introduced in ways that do not generate a perverse incentive for 'cheaper' universities to
increase their charges instrumentally to reach the cap.
Rates
Unlike conventional ICLs, in which government manages loans directly and can decide to set
interest rates below the cost of borrowing (thus requiring an injection of revenues from
taxpayers), a hybrid model involving private banks will require a higher, although
incremental, approach to interest rates. In practice, it is recommended that a minimum entry
level be equivalent to prime plus inflation, with progressive marginal increments proportional
to the income of the borrower. Due to South Africa's massive inequality, it is advisable to
introduce a relatively large number of repayment scales (thus smoothening repayment
obligations) with an exponential increase for top income earners.
It is paramount that interest rates are chosen carefully so as to ensure that repayments
exceed the amounts loaned, with a view to offset the forfeited debt owed by those falling
below the threshold.
Universality
For the ICL approach to work optimally, the pool of students signing up to the facility should
be as large and diverse as possible. Ideally, it should be universal, with all students
subscribing to it upon successful registration. As discussed, uptake rates around the world are
quite high, because ICL systems are designed in a way that comes with virtually no risk to the
students and repayments are proportional to the financial means of the graduate after
finding employment. In a country like South Africa, which suffers from high levels of income
and wealth inequality, it is paramount that students from all socioeconomic backgrounds
participate in the process. Otherwise, there would be a significant risk of adverse selection,
with low levels of repayment, which is currently a major problem for both NSFAS and ISFAP.
An optimal level of uptake can be achieved in two ways:
607
Making it mandatory for all students to subscribe to the ICL funding mechanism upon
registration;
Attaching a 'fee discount' to students that sign up for the ICL approach.
In the first case, the legislator would need to introduce a universal requirement for students
in public universities, adapting it to Constitutional requirements of equal treatment and non
discrimination. In the second case, it would be a process agreed upon directly between the
ICL partnership and universities. For instance, it could be agreed that universities will only
receive government subsidies in proportion to the number of students enrolled through the
ICL process. As a consequence, universities may need to increase tuition fees to supplement
the forfeited public funds, which however would not apply to students funded through ICLs.
For ICL students fees would only increase proportionally to the rate of inflation, while non-lCL
students would be charged according to other financial considerations. Not only is such an
approach a powerful alternative to the obligatory adoption of ICLs, but it can easily result in
an indirect subsidy from opt-out students to ICL students, thus maintaining the sustainability
of the partnership.
Conclusion
No funding system is perfect, but the hybrid ICL approach described in this report is possibly the
least imperfect of all. It avoids the debt trap in which many students are currently falling, which
feeds suspicious financial schemes, often with the tacit consent of university administrators. It
avoids sapping important public funds, which should rather be spent to support other areas of
social welfare.
In some ways, this hybrid model is a better option than any other income contingent forms of
funding, including a 'graduate tax'. The latter, too, has a number of advantages, but it is unlikely
to alter the current economic status qua, which points towards a shrinking labour market going
forward. A tax risks undermining its sustainability even in the short term, because the graduates
expected to pay it may never find the good jobs they want. Moreover, it is more likely to cause an
inflation of enrolments, also by students who may not be particularly motivated or interested to
achieve graduation but would welcome the idea of attending university with no strings attached.
Above all, what makes the hybrid approach more promising is its capacity to align different
interests in society. Unlike a tax, this hybrid system may activate countercyclical dynamics, thus
helping turn the economy around: something unlikely to happen for as long as government,
business and the rest of society pull in different directions. Unlike a tax, which becomes a
bilateral relationship between students and government, the hybrid model turns the private
sector into a direct stakeholder in the tertiary education process. Achieving accessible quality
education is not just a responsibility of public departments, universities and students: as a public
good at the basis of a healthy society, it is everybody's moral duty and in everybody's best
interest.
608
References and further reading
Nicholas Barr (1989),'Alternative Proposals for Student Loans in the U nited Kingdom', in Maureen
Woodhall (ed.), Financial Support far Students: Grants, Loans ar Graduate Tax?, Kogan Page,
pp. 110-121.
Nicholas Barr (2010), 'A properly designed 'graduate contribution' could work well for U K
students and higher education - even though the original "graduate tax" proposal is a terrible
idea', LSE British Politics and Policy, 20 August 2010,
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/a-properly- designed-%E2%80%98graduate
contribution%E2%80%99-could-work-well-for-uk-students-and-high e r -education-even
though-the-original-%E2%80%98graduate-tax%E2%80%99-proposal-is-a-terrible-idea/
Nicholas Barr (2012a), The Economics of the We/fore State, 5th edition, Oxford and New York:
Oxford University Press.
Nicholas Barr (2012b), 'The Higher Education White Paper: The good, the bad, the unspeakable -
and the next White Paper', Social Policy and Administration, Vol. 46, No. 5, October, pp. 483-
508.
Bruce Chapman (2014), "Income Contingent Loans: Background" in Bruce Chapman, Timothy
Higgins and Joseph E. Stiglitz (eds), Income Contingent loons: Theory, practice and prospects,
Palgrave McMillan; New York: 11-19.
Bruce Chapman and Lorraine Dearden (2016), "Conceptual and Empirical Issues for Alternative
Student Loan Designs: The Significance of Loan Repayment Burdens for the US", forthcoming
Annals.
Bruce Chapman, Lorraine Dearden and Louis Hodge {2016), "The distributional and fiscal
implications of different income contingent loan systems for the US", forthcoming IFS
Working Paper.
Bruce Chapman and Andrew Leigh (2009), "Do Very High Tax Rates Induce Bunching?
Implications for the Design of Income Contingent Loan Schemes", Economic Record, Vol. 85
(270) (September): 276-289.
Haroon Chowdry,, Lorraine Dearden, Alissa Goodman and Wenchao Jin. (2012a), The
Distributional Impact of the 2012-13 Higher Education Funding Reforms in England. Fiscal
Studies, 33: 211-236. doi: 10.1111/j.1475-5890.
Haroon Chowdry, Lorraine Dearden, Wenchao Jin and Barnaby Lloyd, November (2012b), Fees
and student support under the new higher education funding regime: what are different
universities doing?, IFS Briefing Notes , BN134, http://www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn134.pdf.
Lorraine Dearden, Louis Hodge, Wenchao Jin, Alexander Levine and Laura Williams {2014),
"Financial support for HE students since 2012", IFS Briefing Notes, BN152,
http://www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn152.pdf.
Susan Dynarski (2016), "How to - and How Not to - Manage Student Debt", The MiIken Institute
d
Review, 2 Quarter.
Milton Friedman (1955), 'The Role of Government in Education', in Solow, Robert A. (ed.),
Economics and the Public Interest, New Brunswick, New Jersey: Rutgers University Press, pp.
123-44.
Adam Looney and Constantine Yannelis (2015), "A crisis in student loans? How changes in the
characteristics of borrowers and in the institutions they attended contributed to rising loan
defaults". Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Fall, Washington, DC.
Hamish Low, Costas Meghir and Luigi Pistaferri (2010), "Wage Risk and Employment Risk over the
Life Cycle." American Economic Review, 100(4): 1432-67.
Shapiro, D., Dundar, A., Wakhungu, P.K., Yuan, X., Nathan, A. & Hwang, Y. (2016, November),
Completing College: A National View of Student Attainment Rates - Fall 2010 Cohort
(Signature Report No. 12). Herndon, VA: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center.
609
Joseph E. Stiglitz (2014), "Remarks on income contingent loans mitigating risk" in Bruce
Chapman, Timothy Higgins and Joseph E. Stiglitz (eds), Income Contingent loons: Theory,
practice and prospects, Palgrave McMillan; New York: 29-37.
610
-- .. Annexure C
31 March 2016
611
.. .
Table of Contents
ExectJtive Summary................................................................................................................................. 2
6 .... Results .........................................,...................................................................................................................19
Ap:per,dix E: Part 4: ..... f ............................................, ....... ,................................................ p.... ...... t ..., ......,, .... ........... 54
60
Appendix L: Part 1'2A: +-+.................... p............. ...... ,.................................................... , ...... , ...... , .. 61
612
., '
Executive Summary
1. QED Actuaries & Consultants (Pty) Ltd C-OED") has been appointed by the management of
the Unemployment Insurance Fund ("UIF" or "the Fund") to assess the financial impact of
proposals in the Unemployment Insurance Amendment Bill of 2015. Management have
requested that additional scenarios, which are currently under discussion in the National
Economic Development and Labour Council ("NEDLAC"), be considered, the financial impact
of which is also assessed in this report.
2. This report focuses on the adjustments that will have an impact on the future financial
performance of the Fund.
3. Benefit changes proposed in the 2013 Amendment Bill, which also appear in the 2015
Amendment Bill, are considered in the following Parts of the report:
Part 1: Extension of benefits to 365 days with a flat rate of 20% after 238 days, and
adjustment of benefit. accrual at rate of 1 day for every 5 days worked
Part 2: Maternity and Illness benefit changes
Part 3: Unemployment benefit cycle changes
Part 4: Extension of Death claims submission period from 6 to 18 months
Part 5: Extension of Unemployment claims submission period from 6 to 12 months
Part 6: Death claims to allow for nominated beneficiary
Part 7: Inclusion of persons on leamership contracts and migrant workers
4. Benefit changes proposed in the 2015 Amendment Bill, which were not proposed in the 2013
Amendment Bill, are considerd In the following Parts of the report:
5. Benefit. changes as under discussion in NEDLAC are considered in the following parts of the
report:
6. As an alternative option for Part 12, which we have referred to as Part 12A, we recommend
that the IRR used to calculate resignation benefits be 60% of the actual IRR for the first 238
days, and the proposed fixed 20% IRR thereafter.
7. The cumulative PAYG rate following the respective proposed benefit changes that lead to a
deterioration in the claims experience of the Fund is estimated as follows:
Unemployment Insurance Fund I Actuarial Review
R \South Afrlca\UIF\2016\Reports\002 Amendment Bill.docx 2
613
PAYG Rate
Death Illness M&A Total Chan e
Q.Jrrent 0.041% 0.038% 0.117% 0.892% 1.322%
Part 1 0.047% 0.038% 0.120% 1.044% 0.235% 1.483% 0.161%
Part 2 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.044% 0.235% 1.552% 0.069%
Part3 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.708% 0.157%
Part4 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.708% 0.000%
Part5
Part6 0.070% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.732% 0.023%
Part7 0.072% 0.045% 0.189% 1.239% 0.235% 1.780% 0.048%
Part B
Parts 0.072% 0.046',(, 0.208% 1.239% 0.235% 1.799% 0.019%
Part 10 0.078% 0.048% 0.223% 1.327% 0.235%
Part 11 0.078% 0.048% 0.351% 1.327%
!P.ir.H2, .OiD'illYt___.O..B'W !0:3.51'KI 2.D.Bt'I.%
Part12A 0.078% 0.048% 0.351% 1.779%
8. Benefit changes that lead to no anticipated deterioration in claims experienc;e to the Fund are
reflected as blank lines in the above table. The revision in PAYG rate for each line reflects the
cumulative impact of all benefit changes considered up to that Part.
9. Part 9, highlighted in light grey and balded in the table above, shows the cumulative impact on
the PAYG rate, should the changes proposed in the Amendment Bill be implemented. Part
12, highlighted in dark grey and balded, shows the impact on the Fund, should the changes
proposed in the Amendment Bill, as well as those under discussion in NEDLAC be
implemented. Part 12A, at the bottom of the table, shows the impact in the Fund, should Part
12A be implemented instead of Part 12.
10. The cumulative Impact of benefit changes proposed in the Amendment Bill that lead to a
deterioration in claims experience of the Fund is a revision of the PAYG rate for the Fund from
1.322% in the base financial projection to 1.799%. This means that all changes proposed in
the Amendment Bill are affordable at the current contribution rate of the Fund of 2.00%.
11. The cumulative impact of benefit changes proposed in the Amendment Bill and those under
discussion in NEDLAC result in the PAYG rate of the Fund increasing from 1.322% to 2. 792%.
This means that all benefit changes under discussion in NEDLAC cannot be fully funded by
the current contributions to the Fund. However, the high level of accumulated funds results in
the investment income being able to fund the difference. As a result, the Fund is able to afford
the changes under discussion in NEDLAC as well as those proposed in the Amendment Bill.
However, the operating shortfall under this scenario is significant. As most of this is due to
Part 12, we recommend that the Fund consider implementing Part 12A initially, rather than
Part 12.
12. Details of the base financial projection (per the 2016 Actuarial Review Report), and a 10-year
financial projection conducted using the revised PAYG rate of 1.799% and 2.792% are shown
in the report. The surplus and Solvency Ratio of the Fund continue to grow in the long term
under a PAYG rate of 1.799%, although there is an initial decrease in the year in which the
changes are implemented. The once-off, initial decrease in surplus and solvency ratio is due
to an increase in the Unexpired Risk Reserve ("URR"), which is dependent on the PAYG rate
of the Fund. An increase in the PAYG rate results in an increase in the URR.
614
13. Under a PAYG rate of 2.792% the accumulated surplus continues to grow, however the
solvency ratio decreases due to the increase in contributions.
14. The Fund continues to earn substantial investment returns under a scenario of a PAYG rate of
2.792%, and this leads to ongoing growth in the surplus position of the Fund, in the long term.
The projected surplus of the Fund, after 10 years, allowing for the changes proposed by the
Amendment Bill is R297.0 billion, with a solvency ratio of 945%. Should the changes
proposed by NEDLAC discussions also be implemented the surplus is projected to be
R124.8 billion in 10 years with a solvency level of 380%. Based on Part 12A the solvency in
10 years is projected to be 414% and the accumulated surplus is projected to be
R136.1 billion.
15. We conclude that we are comfortable that the proposed benefit changes in the 2015
Amendment Bill as well as those proposed by NEDLAC are affordable by the Fund. However,
we recommend that the IRR used to calculate the resignation benefit be set at 60% of the
actual IRR for the first 238 days, rather than 100%. The key measure in making this
conclusion is that the accumulated funds continue to increase after the benefit changes are
made, although there is an initial sharp decrease initially. Furthermore, the solvency position,
though decreasing slowly, remains at a high position.
L Moroney
Consulting Actuary
Fellow of the Actuarial Society of South Africa
1 June 2016
615
1. Introduction
1.1 OED Actuaries & Consultants (Pty) Ltd ("OED.), has been appointed by the management of
the Unemployment Insurance Fund ("UIF" or "the Fund") to assess the financial impact of
proposals in the Unemployment Insurance Amendment Bill of 2015.
1.3 This report is addressed to the directors and management of the Fund.
1.4 In Notice 738 of 2013 ("2013 Amendment Bill"), the Minister of Labour published proposed
amendments to the Unemployment Insurance Act of 2001 ("the Act"). In Government Gazette
No. 39273 of 8 October 2015 ("2015 Amendment Bill"), the Minister of Labour has published
proposed revised amendments to the Act. Furthermore, proposed additional scenarios, which
are currently under discussion in NEDLAC have been considered.
1.5 The purpose of the Act is to establish a Fund to which employers and employees contribute
and from which employees who become unemployed, or their beneficiaries as the case may
be, can benefit. In that regard, the harmful economic and social effects of unemployment can
be alleviated.
1.6 In order to improve service delivery by the Fund, the Unemployment Insurance Board decided
to recommend to the Minister that the Act should be amended so as to meet these demands.
1.7 The Minister for Labour has introduced in the National Assembly and gazetted a number of
proposed amendments to the Unemployment Insurance Act (Act 63 of 2001 ).
1.8 The financial impact of previous proposed amendments to the Act has been assessed in a
report by OED, previously known as Aon Hewitt (Actuarial).
1.9 This report focuses on the adjustments that will have an impact on the future financial
performance of the Fund. Further detail qf the latest proposed benefit adjustments proposed
in the 2015 Amendment Bill as well as additional scenarios being discussed by NEDLAC is
described in the report. An attempt is made in the results section of this report to quantify the
impact of the respective proposed benefit changes on:
1.1O Appendix Q details the benefits which the Fund currently provides, as well as the proposed
amendments.
1.11 The contents of this report are confidential. Further, the report should not be considered as
appropriate for any purpose other than that for which it was intended. The written approval of
the signing actuary must be obtained before this report is disclosed, whole or in part, to any
party other than those mentioned in paragraph 1.3 above.
1.12 This report should be read as a whole, as sections taken on their own could be misleading.
1.13 This report assumes knowledge of certain financial and actuarial concepts and principles.
616
2 Reliances and Limitations
2.1 This report and the estimates of value and opinions contained herein are subject to the
following primary reliances and limitations, amongst others.
2.2 This exercise relies on our interpretation of the intended purpose of the assessment;
specifically: to provide Management with insight into the expected impact of the
2015 Amendment Bill as well as additional scenarios proposed by NEDLAC on the financial
performance of the Fund.
2.3 Reliance is placed on the 10-year financial projection conducted as part of the Actuarial
Review Report as at 31 March 2016.
2.4 The results are based on internal data of the Fund as provided by Management.
2.5 The responsibility for maintaining accurate data files in respect of the Fund's business lies with
Management. Certain reasonability checks are undertaken and no material errors are noted.
This comment notwithstanding, these checks do not guarantee the integrity of the data used.
2.6 The accuracy of the values in this report and the conclusions based thereon are limited to the
accuracy of the data.
2.7 More specific reliances and assumptions are documented, where relevant, in the remaining
sections of the report.
617
3 Data
3.1 This review relies on data provided by the Fund.
3.2 The following data and information were considered in order to perform the assessments in
the report:
claims information tables for the 2016 financial year, split by the type of claim into
Unemployment, Adoption, Death, Illness and Maternity;
payment information tables for the 2016 financial year, split into the same claim types;
QED's Actuarial Review Report as at 31 March 2016; and
QED's Report on the expected impact of the Proposed Unemployment Insurance
Amendment Bill of 2013.
3.3 The claim and payment data tables each contain multiple dimensions which can be used to
assess the impact of a proposed change in benefits. These include:
3.4 The following table shows a summary of the financial year 2016 claims data by benefit type in
terms of the total benefits that claimants had accrued.
3.5 The Adoption benefit is ignored for the purpose of quantifying the impact of benefit changes as
there are very few claims for this benefit type (70 claims in 2016).
618
3.6 The claims data captured over the year ending 31 March 2016 is based on an Income
Replacement Ratio ("IRR") of 38%-60% and an earning threshold of R14,872.
3.7 The table below shows the average salary, average IRR and average credits available at the
claim stage for the 2016 claims data.
619
4 Changes Since the Previous Review
4.1 The financial impact of previous proposed amendments to the Act has been assessed by
OED.
4.2 The following changes proposed in the 2013 Amendment Bill, and assessed in QED's
previous report, are not being considered in the 2015 Amendment Bill:
4.2.1 Changes in unemployment start date, from the date of unemployment to the date of
application for a benefit.
4.2.2 Adjustment of benefit accrual at a rate of 1 day for every 4 days worked and 1 day for
every 5 days worked were previously considered. We now only consider accrual at a
rate of 1 in every 5 days worked.
4.3 The following changes were not included in the 2013 Amendment Bill, but have been
proposed in the 2015 Amendment Bill:
4.3.2 Extension of the Maternity claims submission period from before 8 weeks prior to birth,
to up to 6 months after birth.
4.4 The items below are changes which are currently under discussion in NEDLAC:
4.5 We recommend an alternative to the resignation benefits, where the benefit is based on 60%
of the contributors' IRR, rather than 100%.
4.6 The methodologis that are applied in this report to estimate the impact of proposed benefit
changes per the 2015 Amendment Bill are consistent with that applied in the previous report.
Further detail is contained In the following sections of the report.
620
5 Benefit amendments and proposed methodology
5.1 A description of the proposed benefit adjustments included in the 2015 Amendment Bill and
proposed by NEDLAC, together with the methodology used to assess the financial impact, is
given in this section.
5.2 In all cases, the financial impact Is first assessed in terms of the impact on the pay-as-you-go
rate ("PAYG rate") and then the impact on the projected financial position is assessed.
5.3 The financial impact of the respective areas of benefit change is reported in the Results
Section 6. Part O of the Results Section shows the 10-year financial projection of the Fund
from the QED 2016 Actuarial Review. The subsequent parts of the Results Section
progressively assess the impact of the benefit adjustment being considered. In the projections
we have assumed that all benefit changes will apply from 31 March 2017.
5.4 The benefit changes impact the Unexpired Risk Rserve ("URR") from 31 March 2017, due to
the URR being linked to the PAYG rate. In the following year (i.e. from 1 April 2018 onwards)
the claims ratio is projected to increase, based on the change in the PAYG rate.
5.5 Text in italic in the below sections describes the proposed benefit changes per the 2013 and
2015 Amendment Bills or as under discussion in NEOLAC.
5.6 A 1 0-year financial projection of the Fund, on a best-estimate basis, is included in this section
(per QED's 2016 Actuarial Review). This is used as a base from which to project the impact of
the respective areas of proposed benefit change per the 2015 Amendment Bill.
5.7 The Solvency Ratio as at each year-end is included in the projection. This is quantified as the
ratio of the accumulated surplus at the financial year-end to the contributions received in the
last 12 months. The Solvency Ratio is a key measure of the financial strength of the Fund,
and changes In this ratio will indicate a change in financial strength of the Fund.
5.8 Part O of Section 6 sets out the assumptions underlying this projection .
Part 1: Extension of benefits to 365 days with a flat rate of 20% after 238 days, and adjustment
of benefit accrual at rate of 1 day for every 5 days worked
Description
5.9 Currently, the benefits that an eligible contributor is entitled to, accrue at a rate of 1 day's
benefit for every completed 6 days of employment as a contributor. This is subject to a
maximum of 238 days' benefit in the four-year period preceding the date of application for
benefits less any days received by the contributor (excluding maternity benefits) during this
period.
621
5.10 The benefit level is based on the current Income Replacement Rate ("IRR") formula. The IRR
is at its maximum when income equals zero, and it reaches its minimum where income is
equal to the benefit transition level (currently R14,872 per month). The maximum IRR is
currently set at 60%. The minimum IRR is currently set at 38%.
5.1 1 The 2015 Amendment Bill seeks ta extend the benefits ta 365 days. The first 238 days are
paid at the /RR rate, and at a flat rate of 20% after the 238 days will apply. Benefits will
accrue at a rate of one day's benefit far eve,y completed 5 days of employment as a
contributor.
5.12 Methodology
5.13 The methodology used to quantify the impact of this benefit change is described as follows.
5.14 All benefit types are impacted by the benefit change being considered in Part 1 . The revised
benefit that each beneficiary will be eligible for after the proposed benefit change is calculated
from the 2016 claims data. A ratio of the revised eligible benefits to the actual 2016 eligible
benefits is calculated per benefit type. A revised PAYG rate for each benefit type is calculated
by applying this ratio to the current PAYG rate per benefit type.
5.15 The maximum number of days that an Individual can accumulate, based on benefits accruing
at a rate of one day's benefit for 5 days of employment. is 292 days. Thus, the benefit change
which has been modelled is effectively that the first 238 days are paid at the IRR rate and a
flat rate of 20% is applied to the following 54 days (292 days less 236 days)
5.16 It is assumed the change In benefit will apply from 31 March 2017. The revised benefit will
apply immediately from this date accordit)Q to the number of days worked in the last four
years.
Description
5.17 For Maternity claims the maximum accrual period is currently 121 days (17.32 weeks) for
normal births and 6 weeks for a miscarriage or still birth. The benefit level is based on the IRR
formula. The days of benefits that a contributor is entitled to is reduced by the payment of
Unemployment benefits.
5.1 8 The Amendment Bill looks to improve the /RR on Maternity benefits to a flat rate of 66%.
Further, the payment of Unemployment benefits may not affect the payment of Maternity
benefits.
5.19 A contributor who has a miscarriage during the third trimester or bears a stillbom child will be
entitled ta a full maternity benefit (of 17.32 weeks).
5.20 In addition, the Amendment Bill looks to decrease the waiting period on Illness benefits from
14 days ta 7 days.
622
Methodology
5.21 The impact of all benefit changes described in this section is quantified in one step.
5.22 For each claimant in the 2016 Maternity claims data, we calculate the revised Maternity benefit
assuming that the claimant did not have their benefits reduced by prior Unemployment claims.
We also adjust the maternity benefit to a flat rate IRR of 66%.
5.23 It is possible to identify miscarriage/ still born maternity cases from the 2016 claims data. A
lower usage of eligible benefits was indicated for these cases compared other Maternity
claimants. Benefit levels for these cases were increased to the usage level indicated for
normal Maternity cases.
5.24 Four times the eligible benefits in respect of claims that were rejected due to the period of
Illness being less than 14 days were included in the eligible benefit total. These have been
multiplied by four to allow for claimants who have not applied due to the knowledge that their
claim would be rejected due to a period of illness of less than 14 days.
Description
5.25 Unemployment benefits must be paid to the Unemployed contributor regardless of whether the
contributor has received benefits within that four-year cycle or not provided the contributor has
credits.
Methodology
5.26 Discussions with Management have revealed that this benefit change may have a material
impact on the claims experience of the Fund. Data on potential additional claimants that can
arise from this benefit change is not readily available to the Fund, as in many cases 'repeat'
claimants may not have been registered by the Fund .
5.27 The method relies on the usage of credit days observed in the claims data. For each claim, it
is possible to determine the percentage of available credit days used, which comes to 86.1 %.
To make an allowance for repeated claims, the benefit has been recalculated 'as if the 9redit
days' usage was instead 100%. This leads to an approximate 15% increase in the amount
paid for unemployment benefits.
Description
5.28 The UIF looks to extend the application for Death benefits from 6 months to within 18 months
of the date of termination of employment.
623
Methodology
5.29 The distribution of claim application delays by month since Death is graphed in respect of the
2016 claims data. A Poisson Statistical Distribution is fitted to the empirical distribution to
project the additional claims that are expected to will be submitted after six months under this
new condition.
Description
5.30 The UIF looks to extend the application for Unemployment benefits from 6 months to within
12 months of the date of termination of employment.
Methodology
5.31 The distribution of claim application delays by month since Unemployment is graphed to
assess the potential impact of extending the claim submission period.
Description
5.32 Currently, the surviving spouse or a life partner of a deceased contributor is entitled to the
dependant's benefits.
5.33 Any nominated beneficiary of the deceased contributor may claim dependant's benefits. A
nominated beneficiary will qualify for benefits ff there is no surviving spouse, life partner or
dependent children ofthe deceased.
Methodology
5.34 For the purpose of this draft report, the impact of this benefit change is illustrated by assuming
that Death claims will increase by 50%. This is considered a prudent estimate of the potential
impact of this benefit change.
5.35 NBC, a previous actuarial service provider to the Fund, estimated that the number of such
Deaths were almost equal to the actual Death claims submitted to the Fund in the period. A
potential under-utilisation of this benefit is indicated from the data. It was agreed in
discussions with management in prior years that this change should not have a significant
impact on claims experience, as in the majority of cases there should be either a surviving
spouse, life partner or a dependent child of the deceased contributor. Some work will need to
be done to control the process of submitting evidence of the existence of nominated
beneficiary.
624
= )
Part 7: Inclusion of persons on learnershlp contracts and migrant workers
Description
5.36 The Act currently excludes employees under a contract of employment contemplated In
section 18(2) of the Skills Development Act, 1988 (Act No. 97 of 1 998), and their employers.
5.37 The Amendment Bill looks to delete this section so that the benefits of the Fund will apply to
such persons.
Methodology
5.38 The impact of allowing migrant workers to claim is estimated from data on migrant workers
obtained from the 2011 census. The overall proportion of non-SA citizens in the country
(3.2%) is used to ratio up the total expected claims experience of the Fund.
5.39 Workers on Government learnershlp and internship programs will be more significant than
those on such programmes in the private sector. Such learners classify as public servants
and any benefit payments will be reimbursed by the Government.
5.40 Per the above point, learnerships in the private sector will not be many, salaries will be low
and the contract term will be one year. For this reason, the impact of inclusion of learnerships
on claims experience of the Fund is not considered to be significant and is not quantified in
this report.
Description
5.41 The Act currently dos not provide for benefits to be paid should a contributor's salary reduce
due to reduced working hours.
5.42 The Amendment Bill seeks to provide benefits to contributors, whose salary has reduced, due
to a reduction in working hours, provided the total income is below the benefit level that the
contributor would have received should they have become unemployed.
Method
5.43 We have considered the total benefits that would be payable to contributors, based on various
levels of salary and reductions In working time, should their salary reduce due to reduced
working hours. This Is compared to the benefit which they would have been eligible to receive
if they had become unemployed. We assume that all employees have the full number of credit
days available for use, thus we consider this to be the upper limit of the claims that could
occur.
5.44 The difference between the benefit following unemployment, and the reduced salary is the
resulting benefit.
625
Part 9: Extension of Maternity claims submission period from 8 weeks prior to birth to 12
months after child birth
Description
5.45 Currently the Amendment Bill states that all applications for maternity benefits must be made
at least 8 weeks before childbirth, while the Commissioner may on good cause shown accept
an application made after the 8 weeks.
5.46 The Amendment Bill seeks to include allow persons 12 months after the birth of a child to
claim for maternity benefits.
Method
5.47 We have considered the average time in months between the birth of a child and application
for maternity benefits, as presented in the current data. This, combined with research of the
UIF maternity benefits, indicates that many of the claims which are paid are in respect of
applications made after 8 weeks prior to birth up to 6 months after the birth of the child. The
claims data further indicates that most of the applications made for maternity benefits occur
after childbirth.
5.48 We have thus allowed for a 10% increase to the claims, which may result if employees are
made more aware of the extended timeframe for submission of applications.
Description
5.49 This section shows a summary of the impact of all proposed amendments to the 2015
Amendment Bill as assessed in the respective Parts of Section 6.
Description
5.50 The Act currently does not include the informal sector.
Methodology
5.52 The 2011 census report indicates that the informal sector is 14.3% of those who are formally
employed and employed in private households. We have assumed that the claim experience
of these individuals will be 50% higher than the average claim experience. We consider this to
be a prudent assumption.
626
5.53 Although this 50% increase would slowly phase into the Fund, as those in the informal sector
build up credit days, we have allowed for the full impact from 31 March 2017. This allows for
the additional administration expenses which the Fund may occur, due to additional
contribution collection as well as an increase in the number of claim applications.
5.54 We have also allowed for a 2% increase in the contributions received by the Fund.
Description
5.55 The Act currently does not provide any benefits with respect to paternity.
5.56 NEDLAC seeks to include 12 days ofpaternity leave for fathers.
Method
5.57 The average age of women claiming maternity benefits Is 31.0 years. We have assumed that
on average males will be three years older than the females, thus the average age of males
claiming paternity benefits is a ssumed to be 34.0 years.
5.58 To assess the financial impact which this change will have on the Fund we have assumed that
there will be twice as many paternity claims as maternity claims. This allows for the high level
of maternity benefits which are offered by most companies, compared to a lower level of
paternity benefits. Thus many females may not claim from the Fund, while their partners may
submit a claim, as they do not receive paternity benefits from their company. It also allows for
the higher number of employed males compared to employed females. For example, the
Unemployment Insurance Fund Statistics Report as at 31 March 2015, as prepared by OED,
shows that there are 57% more male unemployment claims that female unemployment claims
in the 2015 financial year.
5.59 We have further assumed that each father will have all 12 days available to claim. The
average salary for fathers at age 34 was found for male claimants in the Unemployment
claims data. The ratio of the average salary for females age 34 in the maternity claims data
over the average salary for 34-year-old females in unemployment data was derived. This ratio
was applied to the average 34-year-old male salary for unemployment claims, to derive the
expected salary for paternity claims. We have assumed a flat IRR of 66% for paternity
benefits, in line with the proposed change to the maternity benefits.
Description
5.60 The Act currently pays unemployment benefits provided the reason for unemployment is
termination of the employees' contract, or the ending of a fixed term contract, the dismissal of
the contributor, insolvency or, in the case of a domestic worker, termination of a contract due
to the death of the employee.
627
,.
5.61 NEDLAC considers extending benefits to include paying benefits to contributors who have
resigned from their employment and not taken up employment elsewhere.
5.62 We have assumed that employees who retire may also claim this benefit.
5.63 We have not allowed for abuse of this benefit and the Fund should ensure that this benefit
cannot be manipulated. For instance, an unintended consequence may be that individuals
resign from their job for a few months to take a vacation, while relying on benefits from the
Fund to support them. Then once the benefits are depleted they may seek employment again.
5.64 Furthermore, should an individual resign to become a housewife for example, it is unlikely that
they are In financial difficulty. This person has contributed to the Fund and hence an
argument can be made that they should receive some benefit. However, the Fund should also
consider whether this is the best use of the available funds.
Method
5.65 The Fund currently does not receive any data which can be used to quantify the impact of this
benefit, as contributors are not currently able to claim if they resign. Furthennore, awareness
is likely to be created about the benefit, should it be added to the Amendment Bill. We have
thus made use of conservative assumptions in calculating the impact. Furthennore, we have
assumed that all contributors retiring from employment will be able to claim.
5.66 Research has shown that the annual tumover rate of staff is approximately 10%. We have
applied a 2.5% loading to this, to allow for additional staff turnover which this change may
cause. We have assumed that 20% of this turnover is in respect of individuals who are
leaving the workforce (as opposed to changing jobs etc.).
5.67 The December 2015 Quarterly employment statistics report, prepared by Statistics South
Africa, indicates that there were 9 million people employed in South Africa as at
December 2015: This excludes private households, agriculture and the informal sector. If
these are include<! the number of people employed in South Africa is approximately 13 million,
excluding the public sector.
5.68 We have applied the assumed rates of turnover and exit from the workforce to the number of
employed individuals, and assumed that they will claim 20% more than the average amount
experienced for unemployment.
5.69 Given the large impact which this is likely to have on the Fund, as well as the difficulty in
quantifying the impact to the Fund, we recommend that the Fund consider basing the benefit
on 60% of the contributor's IRR rather than 100% for the first 238 days and using the fixed
20% IRR thereafter. This can be revised later on, should the impact be less than expected.
628
Summary of Impact of all proposed amendments
Description
5.70 This section shows a summary of the impact of all proposed amendments to the 2015
Amendment Bill and changes under discussion in NEDLAC as assessed in the respective
Parts of Section 6 .
629
II
6 Results
Part O: Base Financial Projection
6.1 A 10-year financial projection of the Fund, on a best-estimate basis, is graphed in this section
(per QED's 2016 Actuarial Review). Detailed figures underlying the projection are shown in
the Appendix A. This is used as a base from which to project the impact of the respective
areas of proposed benefit changes. This projection is made on the basis of the current benefit
structure of the Fund.
6.2 The Solvency Ratio as at each financial year end is included in the projection. This is the ratio
of the accumulated surplus divided by contributions received in the last 12 months.
6.3 The Fund is in a very strong financial position as at 31 March 2016 (the starting point of the
financial projection). Per the 2016 Actuarial Review Report, the surplus of the Fund at this
date was R98.5 billion with a Solvency Ratio of 575%. As can be seen in the below graph, the
surplus and Solvency Ratio is projected to grow substantially over the next 10 years.
450 1400%
400
1200%
-. 350
300
1000%
- -- --
>,
800%
_. --
a::
:S 250 0
--
C
9l
u, 200
:J 600% 0
Cl)
150
400%
1 00
200%
50
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.4 The graph below shows the operating surplus and investment income over the next 10 years.
The top of the bar indicates the combined income for each of the next 10 years.
630
- )
50
45
40
35
C 30
0
:: 25
ft: 20
15
10
5
2016 2017 2018 201 9 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
The salary contribution rate will remain constant over the period of the projection;
Fund contributions are projected using the 2016 revenue Indicator model combined with a
projection of economic variables;
The unexpired risk reserve is projected allowing for a 48 month earning period of
contributions;
The Fund's incurred PAYG rates for benefits (1.09%) and expenses (0.23%) will remain
constant;
Expenses arising from Unemployment Alleviation Schemes are budgeted figures for the
next three years, and thereafter the Lay-off schemes and Social Plan funding portion is
e projected forward at the inflation rate assumed below. The Training of the Unemployed
portion is as per the three-year budget.
The following balance sheet asset items remain constant:
o Property, plant and equipment
o Intangibles
o Trade and other receivables
o Financial derivatives
The following balance sheet liability items remain constant:
o Trade and other payables
o Financial derivatives
o Overdraft
o Non-current provisions
631
The following asset return assumptions are made:
o Inflation of 6% per annum
o Equity real return of 4.9% , i.e. 10.9% nominal
o Government bond real return of 2.5%, i.e. 8.5% nominal
o Corporate bond real return of 3.5%, i.e. 9.5% nominal
a Property real return of 3.7%, i.e. 9.7% nominal
o Money market real return of 1%, i.e. 7% nominal
o Cash real return of 0.5%, i.e. 6.5% nominal
Assuming that the Fund's asset split remains constant over the period, the portfolio total
return is 9.01% per annum.
6.6 A breakdown of the PAYG rate, showing detail by benefit type and expenses, is given in the
table below.
Part 1: Extension of benefits to 365 days with a flat rate of 20% after 238 days, and adjustment
of benefit accrual at rate of 1 day for every 5 days worked
6.7 Actual eligible benefits per the 2016 claims data, and revised eligible benefits allowing for this
change in benefit, are shown in the table below.
632
6.8 The revision in PAYG rate taking into account this benefit change is as follows:
6.9 A 10-year financial projection is conducted using this revised PAYG rate. The graph of
projected accumulated surplus allowing for this benefit change is shown below.
450 1400%
400 1 200%
- 350
C
0 1 000%
: 300
-
250 800%
>
en 200 600% 0
a. UJ
1 50 !!!!I
:l 400%
UJ 1 00 -- f/!;!J
200%
50
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
- - Accumulated surplus elf - - Accumulated surplus elf new
solvency ratio - Solvency ratio new
6.1 O The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years. The solid black line indicates the new operating income, based on the changes
to the benefits. The increase to the dotted line indicates the new investment income. The
level of the dotted line indicates the combined income, based on the revised benefits, over the
next 10 years.
633
50
45
40
35
6 30
= 25
,g
it= 20
15
10
5
0
2m6 2m1 2ma 2mg 20 21 22 23 24 2s 26
- Operating income - Investment income
- Operating income (new) - - Combined income (new)
6.11 Detailed figures underlying the financial projection are shown in Appendix B.
6.12 Eligible benefits per the 2016 claims data post the benefit change considered in Part 1, and
revised eligible benefits further adjusted allowing for the benefit change considered in this
Part 2, are shown in the below table:
6.13 The revision in PAYG rate taking into account this benefit change is as follows:
634
6.14 The base financial projection, and a 1 0-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
450 1400%
400 1200%
-
C
350
0 1000%
: 300
:s 250
-
>,
u
,, ,,,,
800% C
,, -,
CII
>
200
..
U> 600% 0
-
::,
U)
a. 150
c::, e t!9 400%
U> 1 00
50 200%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.15 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years.
50
45
40
35
5 30
;; 25
o: 20
15
10
5
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
- Operating income - Investment income
- Operating income (new) - - Combined income (new)
6.16 Detailed figures underlying the financial projection are included in Appendix C.
635
Part 3: Unemployment benefit cycle changes
6.17 Eligible benefits per the 2016 claims data post the benefd change considered in Part 2, and
revised eligible benefits further adjusted allowing for the benefit change considered in this
Part 3, are shown in the table below.
6.18 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
6.19 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
450 1400%
400
1200%
- 350
C
0 1000%
: 300
a:
:E 250 800%
in 200
-- -- 600%
"'
..
0
....-- ::::
:,
ii 150 --
400%
UJ 100 - d
50 200%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
636
= )
6.20 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1O years.
50
45
40
35
C 30
.2
= 25
,g
h: 20
15
10
5
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.21 Detailed figures underlying the financial projection are included in Appendix D.
6.22 The below graph shows the number of Death claims by application delay from the 2016 claims
data (in blue). A statistical function is fitted to the graph of actual Deaths to project the
additional claims that are expected to arise (in grey) if the claims submission period is
extended to 18 months.
637
5000
4500
4000
E 3500
3000
o 2500
2000
j 1 soo
1000
500
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Actual Projection
Delay in months
6.23 Eligible benefits per the 2016 claims data post the benefit change considered in Part 3, and
revised eligible benefits further adjusted allowing for the expected increase In number of Death
claims considered in this Part 4, are shown in the below table:
6.24 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
6.25 The base financial projection, and a 1 0-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
638
,,0 : )
450 1400%
400
1200%
-
C
350
0 1000%
:: 300
-
P
250
800%
.,.. --
C
--
Cl)
200 .?
-:: --
u, 600%
...
a. 150 .,.. en0
.,..
400%
en 100 .,e,. e'!
50 200%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.26 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years.
50
45
40
35
S 30
:: 25
o= 20
15
10
5
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.27 Detailed figures underlying the financial projection are shown in Appendix E.
639
Part 5: Extension of Unemployment claims submission period from 6 to 12 months
6.28 The below graph shows the number of Unemployment claims by application delay from the
2016 claims data.
300000
250000
- 200000
o 150000
1 00000
50000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Actual Projection
Delay in months
6.29 The graph shows that the reporting of Unemployment claims has already tailed off by month 6.
The extension of the claim submission period for this benefit to 12 months is not considered to
have a material financial impact on the Fund.
6.30 For the purpose of this draft report, the impact of this benefit change is illustrated by assuming
that Death claims will increase by 50%. This is considered to be a conservative estimate of
the impact of this benefit change. The additional take-up rate of the Death benefit is expected
to be less than modelled here.
6.31 Eligible benefits per the 2016 claims data post the benefit change considered in Part 4, and
revised eligible benefits further adjusted allowing for the expected increase in number of Death
claims considered in this Part 6, are shown in the below table:
640
- )
6.32 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
6.33 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
450 1400%
400 1 200%
-
C
350
0 1 000%
: 300
:sb:: 250
-
>,
CJ
800% C
i
-
0 200 600% 0
c.
1 50
400%
e
U> 1 00
200%
50
0 0%
-
2016 201 7 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.34 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 O years.
641
50
45
40
35
C 30
.2
:: 2 5
.Q
1' 20
15
10
5
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.35 Detailed figures underlying the financial projection are included in Appendix F.
6.36 The impact of allowing migrant workers to claim is estimated by factoring up the total expected
claims experience of the Fund by 3.2%.
6.37 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
6.38 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
642
450 1400%
400
1 200%
-
C
350
0 1 000%
= 300
- 800%
,..... - -
:S 250
0:: C
-
Cl)
>
-
en 200 600%
-- --
::, 0
e- 150
::, 400%
u, 1 00 -= :::.
50 200%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 201 9 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
- - Accumulated surplus elf - - Accumulated surplus elf new
---- Solvency ratio - Solvency ratio new
6.39 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years.
50
45
40
35
C 30
.2
: 25
.Q
O:: 20
15
10
5
2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.40 Detailed figures underlying the financial projection are included in Appendix G.
643
Part 8; Payment of benefits In the case of reduced salary
6.41 The impact on the Fund of the total benefit payable, should the salary be reduced, for
various levels of salary, and for differing levels of reduced hours, is shown in the table below.
6.42 The 100% reduction shows the total unemployment benefit payable, should the contributor
become unemployed.
6.43 Only in cases where the reduction in hours exceeds 50% is a benefit payable to the individual.
Furthermore, the benefits remain small, in the lower salary bands and lower reductions in
working time. While the benefits under a 90% reduction in time become larger it is unlikely
that any individual will retain 10% of their working hours, rather they are more likely to become
fully unemployed and already be covered by the Fund.
6.44 Given the low level of benefits, on a conservative assumption that the full number of credit
days are available, it is unlikely that this benefit change will have a material impact on the
Fund.
Part 9: Extension of Maternity claims submission period from 8 weeks prior to birth to 12
months after child birth
6.45 The graph below shows the difference, in months, between the application date for maternity
benefits and the date of birth of the child, rounded down. Thus, to interpret the graph below,
claims in the zero band represent all claims where the application date was either the same as
the date on which the child was born, or in the month following birth.
644
70, 000
60, 00 0
.5 50,
f/)
00 0
40, 000
1 0, 00 0
a _____I
(7) (6) (5 ) (4) (3) (2 ) {1 ) 0 1 2 3 4 5
1__ 6
Delay in months between a plication and birth
6.46 Given the sharp decline in the number of claims following the birth of a child, we do not expect
the applications to increase significantly due to the extended application period. However,
there may have been some mothers who did not submit a claim eight weeks prior to birth and
decided not to apply later due to reading the Amendment Bill, and thinking that their claim
would not be accepted. We have thus allowed for a 10% increase in maternity claims.
6.47 The impact on the Fund of extending the application for maternity clafms is shown in the table
below.
6.48 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
645
6.49 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed below.
450 1400%
400 1 200%
- 350
1 000%
C:
o 300
-
>.
P 250
a:
800%
--- - - -- --
G>
en 200
>
.. - ,,,
600% 0
c. 1 50
:::, 400%
rn 1 00 - C:
50 200%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.50 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 0 years.
50
45
40
35
C 30
.2
: 25
,Q
b:: 20
15
10
5
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
646
Summary of Impact of amendments proposed In the Amendment BIii
6.51 This section shows a summary of the impact of the amendments to the 2016 Amendment Bill
proposed in the Amendment Bill, as assessed in the respective Parts of Section 6.
6.52 The revision in PAVG rate taking the proposed benefit changes into account is as follows:
PAYG Rate
Death Illness M&A Unemeloiment Exeenses Total
Current 0.041% 0.038% 0.117% 0.892% 0.235% 1.322%
Part 1 0.047% 0.038% 0.120% 1 .044% 0.235% 1 .483%
Part 2 0.047% 0.043% 0.1 83% 1.044% 0.235% 1 .552%
Part 3 0.047% 0.043% 0.1 83% 1.200% 0.235% 1.708%
Part 4 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.708%
Part 5
Part 6 0.070% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1 . 732%
Part 7 0.072% 0.045% 0.189% 1 .239% 0.235% 1.780%
Part 8
Part 9 0.072% 0.045% 0.208% 1 .239% 0.235% 1 .799%
6.53 Benefit changes that lead to no anticipated deterioration in claims experience to the Fund are
reflected as blank lines in the above table. The revision in PAYG rate for each line reflects the
cumulative impact of all benefit changes considered up to that Part.
6.54 The cumulative impact of all benefit changes that lead to a deterioration in claims experience
of the Fund is a revision of the PAVG rate for claims and expenses from 1.322% in the base
financial projection to 1.799% considering all changes proposed in the Amendment Bill. This
means that all benefit changes proposed in the 2015 Amendment Bill result in the claims and
expenses being below the current contribution rate of the Fund of 2.00%.
6.55 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using the revised
PAVG rate of 1. 799% is graphed as follows and is the same as that presented in Part 9 of this
Section:
647
... bol'-
450 1400%
400
1200%
-
C
350
0 1000%
: 300
-
P
0::
250
u, 200
800%
Cl)
>
e- 1so ,: -
, .,,,. 600% 0
400%
::s
VJ 100 .- :::
50 200%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.56 Should the changes proposed in the Amendment Bill be implemented, the solvency and
accumulated surplus continue to increase. By Implementing the changes proposed in the
Amendment Bill the growth of the solvency is slower, but continues to increase at a steady
rate and is projected to be 945% in 10 years' time.
6.57 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years, based on the changes in the Amendment Bill.
50
45
40
35
C 30
.5?
E 25
.0
o::: 20
15
10
5
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
I
Unemployment Insurance Fund Actuarial Review
R \South Alrica\UIF\2016\Reports\002 Amendment Bill.docx 37
648
6.58 Should the changes proposed in the Amendment Bill be implemented, the operating surplus
becomes remains positive and continues to increase. This, combined with the increasing
investment income, results in a steady increase in the combined income, even after the
change proposed in the Amendment Bill have been implemented.
6.59 We thus conclude that the Fund can afford the all the benefit changes proposed in the
Amendment Bill.
6.60 The impact on the Fund of including persons employed in the informal sector is shown in the
table below.
6.61 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change Into account is as follows:
6.63 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate and contribution rate is graphed as follows:
649
450 1 400%
400
1200%
350
1000%
300
>.
-
P 250
0::
800%
--
ci,
,.- -
:,
e-
::, 1 50
,_. _. u,
Cl) 400%
1 00 .0
200%
50
0 0%
-
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
- - Accumulated surplus elf Accumulated surplus elf new
- Solvency ratio - Solvency ratio new
6.64 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 0 years.
50
45
40
35
c: 3 0
.2
:: 25
.c
b:: 20
15
10
5
2016 201 7 201 8 201 9 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
650
Part 11: Payment of 12 days of paternity leave to fathers
6.65 The impact on the Fund of paying 12 days of paternity leave to fathers is shown in the table
below.
Amount eligible to be claimed
Benefit catego Number of claims Revised Part 1 0 Revised Part 1 1 Ratio
Death 16,470 R 598,470,283 R 598,470,283 1.000
Illness 17,342 R 425,887,884 R 425,887,884 1.000
Maternity 97,006 R 1,865,280,230 R 2,933,356,759 1.573
Une!!]:!lo):rrent 589,740 R 11,325,280,804 R 11,325,280,804 1.000
Total 720,568 R 14,214,919,202 R 15,282,996,731 1.075
6.66 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
6.67 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
450 1400%
400
1200%
- 350
C
=0 300 1000%
,
- -
>-
- ,
-
u
:S 250
, 800%
-
C
b: G)
_. ,,,,,.
-- -- - -
:sCl> 200
,,,,,. 600%
e, 150
0
U)
:J 400%
U> 100 c::,
200%
50
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.68 The above graph shows that although the PAYG rate is slightly higher than the 2%
contribution, the Fund's surplus and solvency ratio continue to grow steadily.
651
6.69 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years.
50
45
40
35
30
.2C
:: 25
.a
20
15
10
5
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.70 The above graph shows that should the first 11 changes be implemented, the operating
income will become almost zero, while the investment income will continue to increase, driving
the continuous increase in the combined income. This is the cause of the growing solvency
ratio, see in the previous graph.
6.71 We have considered two shock scenarios based on Part 11. These include an increase to the
assumed change in the PAYG rate based on the amendments, as well as the impact should
investment returns decrease due to economic downturn.
6.72 The results of these shocks are shown in Appendix N. Details of the shocks applied can be
found in Appendix M.
6.73 The table below shows the impact on the Fund, should benefits be paid on resignation.
652
6.74 The addition of resignation benefits leads to a projected 56.8% increase in the unemployment
claims, which translates to a 42.1% increase in the Fund's overall claims. Of all the changes
considered in this report, the proposed inclusion of resignation benefits is projected to have
the biggest impact on the overall PAYG rates.
6.75 The revision in PAYG rate taking this benefit change into account is as follows:
6.76 The resulting PAYG rate now significantly exceeds the 2% contribution level. This means that
value of the benefits provided to contributors exceeds the contribution made.
6.77 The base financial projection, and a 1 0-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
450 1 400%
400
1200%
350
C 1 000%
.2 300
-
:S 250
tn 200
800%
600%
C
G>
>
0
--- --- - - - - - - -- -
:l
u,
e- 1 50
400%
u, 1 00 <I -
200%
50
0 0%
2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.78 The accumulated surplus continues to increase, following the implementation of all the benefit
changes. This, as seen in the graph below, is primarily due to the investment returns
generated by the significant level of surpluses accumulated to date. The accumulated surplus,
should all amendments be made, is projected to be R124.8 billion In 1 0 years' time.
653
6.79 Although the accumulated surplus continues to grow the solvency ratio slowly reduces, due to
the increase in the contributions received by the Fund.
6.80 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 0 years.
50
40
30
C
.2 20
10
( 1 0)
(20)
2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.81 Should the Fund implement the resignation benefit, in addition to the other changes proposed,
the Fund will incur an operating loss. The investment income will result in the Fund
experiencing a combined surplus.
6.82 The results of the two scenario tests based on Part 12 are detailed in Appendix 0.
6.83 Given the large impact on the Fund, due to the introduction of the resignation benefit, we
recommend that this benefit be gradually implemented. We recommend that the IRR used to
determine the benefits on resignation be 60% of actual IRR for the first 238 days, and the fixed
20% IRR thereafter. We have referred to this alternative as Part 12A in the remainder of this
report.
6.84 This serves two purposes. Firstly, it reduces the impact to the Fund, allowing the Fund to
gradually determine the impact which this amendment will have. Given the level of awareness
that is likely to be created, should this benefit be introduced, it is likely that the Fund will
experience significant claims, the level of which being difficult to quantify with a high degree of
accuracy. Once the impact is better understood, the Fund could consider adjusting the
proportion of salary used to detennine the resignation benefits.
6.85 Secondly, this will reduce the incentive for contributors to take a vacation, as the benefit which
they will receive will be lower compared to the salary levels.
654
Part 12A: Payment of benefits to persons who have resigned based on 60o/. of IRR
6.86 The graph below shows the benefit, as a proportion of monthly salary, for the first 238 days,
where the resignation benefit is based on 100% of IRR (dark blue line) and 60% of IRR (light
blue line).
70%
: 600/o
0 50%
4 0%
Cl)
j
i 300/o
e8_ 20%
: 10%
=
!
Monthly salary
6.87 Should the benefit be based on 60% of the IRR for the first 238 days, the benefit as a
proportion of salary at the threshold of R14,872 is 22.8%. This results in a smooth transition
for the subsequent days, where the proposed amendment is that a fixed IRR of 20% be used.
6.88 The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should 60%
of IRR be used to determine the resignation benefits.
6.89 The base financial projection, and a 10-year financial projection conducted using this revised
PAYG rate is graphed as follows:
655
= )
450 1400%
400 1200%
c 3so
1000%
: 300
-
250 800% C
- -- -- - - - - - - - - ...
u, 200 >
... 150
a.
600% 0
400%
"'
"':s 100 C:
200%
50
0%
2016 2017 2016 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.90 The accumulated surplus in 10 years' time is projected to be R136.1 billion, should all
amendments be implemented and Part 12A be implemented instead of Part 12.
6.91 The graph below shows the impact which this change has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years.
50
40
30
-
C
20
10 - -
(10)
(20)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
6.92 The scenario tests, based on Part 12A, are detailed in Appendix P.
656
Summary of Impact of all proposed amendments
6.93 This section shows a summary of the impact of an proposed amendments to the 2016
Amendment Bill as assessed in the respective Parts of Section 6.
6.94 The revision in PAYG rate taking the proposed benefit changes into account is as follows:
PAYG Rate
Death Illness M&A Total Chan e
Current 0.041% 0.038% 0.117% 0.235% 1.322%
Part 1 0.047% 0.038% 0.120% 1 .044% 0.235% 1.483% 0.161%
Part 2 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1 .044% 0.235% 1.552% 0.069%
Part 3 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1 .708% 0.157%
Part 4 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.708% 0.000%
Part 5
Part s 0.070% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.732% 0.023%
Part 7 0.072% 0.045% 0.189% 1.239% 0.235% 1.780% 0.048%
Part s
Part 9 0.072",{, 0.046% 0.20% 1.23_9,(, 0.236% 1.799% 0.019%
Part 10 0.048% 0.223% 1 .327% 0.235%
Part 11 0.235%
- o.:SS%
0.236% 2.490% 0.452"k
6.95 Benefit changes that lead to no anticipated deterioration in claims experience to the Fund are
reflected as blank lines in the above table. The revision in PAYG rate for each line reflects the
cumulative impact of all benefit changes considered up to that Part.
6.96 The cumulative Impact of all benefit changes that lead to a deterioration in claims experience
of the Fund is a revision of the PAYG rate for claims and expenses from 1.322% in the base
financial projection to 2.792% considering all proposes benefit changes. This means that all
benefit changes proposed in the 2015 Amendment Bill result in the claims and expenses being
likely to exceed the current contribution rate of the Fund of 2.00%. Should Part 12A be
Implemented instead of Part 12, the PAYG rate will increase to 2.490%.
657
7 Conclusion
7.1 A summary of the impact of all proposed benefit changes in the 2015 Amendment Bill as well
as changes proposed by NEDLAC, in terms of the estimated impact on the PAYG rate, is as
follows:
PAYG Rate
Death Illness M&A Total Chan e
QJrrent 0.041% 0.038% 0.117% 0.892% 0.235% 1.322%
Part 1 0.047% 0.038% 0. 120% 1.044% 0.235% 1 .483% 0.161%
Part 2 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.044% 0.235% 1.552% 0.069%
Part 3 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0. 235% 1.708% 0.157%
Part 4 0.047% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.708% 0.000%
Part s
Part 6 0.070% 0.043% 0.183% 1.200% 0.235% 1.732% 0.023%
Part 7 0.072% 0.045% 0.189% 1.239% 0.235% 1.780% 0.048%
Part s
Part 9 O.J>72% O.CM5k 0.208% 1,239% 0.235'.4 1.799% 0.019%
Part 10 0.078% 0.048% 0.223% 1.911% 0.112%
Part 11 0.128%
,O:lY..
Part 12A 0.078% 0.048% 0.351% 1.779% 0.236% 2.490% 0.462%
7.2 The cumulative impact of benefit changes proposed in the Amendment Bill that lead to a
deterioration in claims experience of the Fund is a revision of the PAYG rate for the Fund from
1.322% in the base financial projection to 1.799%. This means that all changes proposed in
the Amendment Bill are affordable at the current contribution rate of the Fund of 2.00%.
7.3 The cumulative impact of benefit changes proposed in the Amendment Bill and those under
discussion by NEDLAC result in the estimated PAYG rate of the Fund increasing from 1.322%
to 2.792%, This means that all benefit chnges proposed by NEOLAC cannot be fully funded
by the current contributions to the Fund. However, the high level of accumulated funds results
in the investment Income being able to fund the difference. As a result, the Fund Is expected
to be able to affora the changes proposed by NEDLAC as well as those proposed in the
Amendment Bill, although there will be a gradual decrease in the solvency level as a result.
7.4 The 10-year projection of accumulated surplus for the base projection, Part 9, Part 12 and
Part 12A is shown in the graph below.
658
450
400
350
300
250
:a 200
150
1 00
50
tl 2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
-Base - Part 11 - Part 12 Part 12A
7.5 Under a scenario of the PAYG rate of the Fund being 2.792% (above the contribution rate of
2.00%), the surplus of the Fund continues to grow. The reason for the continued p rojected
growth of the Fund, where benefits and expenses exceed contributions, is due to the
substantial the surplus of the Fund as at 31 March 2016 of R98.5 billion with a Solvency Ratio
of 575%. The Fund continues to earn substantial investment returns under a scenario of a
PAYG rate of 2.792%. A surplus of R124.8 billion is projected after 10 years considering all
proposed benefit changes.
7.6 The graph below shows the projected solvency for the base case, Part 9, Part 1 2 and Part
12A.
1400%
1 200%
1000%
800%
600%
400%
200%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
659
7.7 The solvency ratio continues to increase in Part 9, although for Part 12 and Part 12A it
gradually reduces despite the increase in accumulated Funds. The reason for this decrease is
the projected increase in the contributions.
7.8 In conclusion, we are comfortable that the proposed benefit changes in the 2015 Amendment
Bill and the changes proposed by NEDLAC are affordable by the Fund. The key measure in
making this conclusion is that the accumulated surplus continues to grow under a scenario of
a PAYG rate of 2.792% largely because of a substantial surplus position of the Fund as at
31 March 2016. The Fund is expected to maintain a strong solvency ratio in 1 0 years' time of
380%.
7.9 As seen in the report, the resignation benefit has the biggest impact on the financial position of
the Fund. As can be seen in the scenarios shown in the Appendices, by reducing the benefit
offered in Part 12, the Fund will have greater resilience against adverse scenarios. We thus
recommend that the Fund consider implementing Part 12A (with some reduction to the IRR
used to determine the resignation benefit). Based on a 60% reduction to IRR the Fund is
expected to have a solvency ratio of 414% in 1 0 years' time.
7.10 We would be pleased to assist with any matters that may arise in respect of the interpretation
of the content of this report.
7.1 1 We would like to thank the management of the Fund for their assistance.
L Moroney
Consulting Actuary
Fellow of the Actuarial Society of South Africa
1 June 2016
660
11
Appendix A: Part 0:
Base Financial Projection
2016103/31 2017/03131 2018/03/31 2019/03/31 2020/03/31 2021103/31 2022/03/31 2023/03/31 2024103/31 2025/03/31 2026103/31
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus blf 90,292,812 98,498,097 114,146,241 132,115,436 162,277,238 175,430,057 201,329,422 230,261,417 262,537,576 298,488,441 338,481,227
Ravsnue received 171128,778 18,001,003 19,176,185 20,495,327 21,943,658 231472,199 25,067,867 26,742,998 28,479,878 30,302,881 32,208,420
Benefits paid (7,691 ,153) (8,313,414) (8,803,089) (9,322,540) (9,893,808) (10,526,774) (11 ,234,653) (12,010,580) (12,833,838) ( 13,697,734) (14,600,702)
01!!!! In erovlslon !392.211) !253,153) 260,275) (285,20 p14',7912 p50,129) (393,678) !420,638) (443,05") (483,106) (4'84,036)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,666,567) (9,063,363) (9,607,746) (10,208,600) (10,1176,903) (11,628,330) (12,431,218) (13,276,892) (14,160,841) (1 6,084,738)
Adjuslrrent to provision
Training of the LhelTl)loyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,882)
Lay-off schemes & Social Ran funding (51 ,772) (1 ,448,400) (1 ,056,021) (1 ,065,226) (1,129,140) (1,196,888) (1,268,701) (1,344,823) (1 ,425,513) (1,511,043) (1 ,601,706)
661
Operallng exe!!!ses !1,788,0892 {1,852,594} {1 .960,0302 c2.on.1sa2 2.207.6982 !2,352,224') (2,514,727) (2,688,358} (2,871 ,242) !3.062,404) (3,262.205)
Operating surplus 7,176,764 6,633,442 6,567,770 7,184,916 8,398,221 9,046,184 9,666,109 10,278,696 10,906,231 11,568,693 12,269,771
hveslrrent lncamt 3,504,047 1 1.199,691 12.739,749 14,503,472 16,484,040 18.755,151 21,292,555 24,117,566 27.255,743 30,735,369 34,590,1 36
Net surplus for year 10,6110,801 16,833,133 19,307,619 21,688,388 24,882,261 27,801,336 30,948,664 34,396,162 38,161,974 ..2,303,962 46,849,907
Transfer to lflR (2,475,516) (1,184,989) (1 ,338,324) (1 ,526,585) (1 ,729,442) (1 ,901 ,970) (2,016,670) (2,120,004) (2,211,108) (2,311,177) (2,415,863)
Ace a urplua elf 98,498,097 114,146,241 132,11 5,436 152,277,238 175,430,057 201,329,422 230,261,417 262,637,576 298,488,441 338,481,227 382,915,270
Solvan!:l ratio 576% 634% 689% 743% 799".4 858% 919% 982% 1_048/o 1j_ _17"/o_ 1 189%
Appendix B: Part 1 :
Extension of benefits to 365 days with a flat rate of 20% after 238 days, and adjustment of benefit accrual at rate of 1 day for
every 5 days worked
201 6/03131 2017/03/31 201 8/03131 2019103/31 2020103131 2021103131 2022/03/31 2023/03131 2024/03131 2025103/31 2026103131
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus blf 90,292,81 2 98,498,097 1 10,928,870 1 26,883,838 144,792,099 1 65,369,685 1 88,306,592 213,881 ,255 242,352,376 274,005,280 309,1 55,179
Revenue received 17,1 28,778 1 7,560,306 1 8,706,717 1 9,993,564 21,406,437 22,897,657 24,454,160 21>,088,279 27,782,639 29,561 ,01 2 31 ,419,899
Benefits paid (7,691,153) (8,313,414) (9,442,052) (10,703,015) (11 ,358,876) (12,085,571) (12,898,272) (13,789,098) (14,734,263) (15,726,085) (16,782,764)
Ola!;!ae In Erovlsion SJ92.21 1) !253,153! !983,408) !327,438) !361 ,405} !401,975) (451 ,973) (482,928) {508,661) !531,683) (555,712)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (10,405,459) (11,030,453) (11,720,281) (12,487,547) (13,350,246) (14,272,024) (15,242,925) (16,257,768) (17,318,475)
Adjustment to provision
Training of the Ulelr()loyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
662
Lay-off schemes & Social Aan funding (51,772) (1,448,400) (1,056,021) (1 ,065,226) (1,129,140) (1,198,888) (1 ,268,701 ) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) (1,511 ,043) (1 ,601 ,706)
Opera!!!:!!! exEenses (1 ,788,089) (1 ,852,594} {1,960,030) (2,077,758} !2,207,698) !2,352.224} 12.s14,12n (2,888,358) !2,871 ,242} p,062,404) (3,262,205)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 4,766,206 5,260,446 6,349,319 6,860,898 7,320,487 7,783,074 8,242,969 8,729,797 9,237,613
vestment tncome 3,504,047 11,199,891 12,700,027 14,360,263 16,158,269 18,219,543 20,516,375 23,066,161 25,890,254 29,012,665 32,462,466
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 1 6,392,436 17,466,233 1 9,620,708 22,507,588 25,080,441 27,836,863 30,849,235 34,133,21 3 37,742,462 41,699,980
Transfer to (2,475,516) (3,961,663) (1,501,285) (1,712,447) (1,940,001) (2,133,534) (2,262,199) (2,378,114) (2,480,310) (2,592,562) (2,709,994)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 11 0,928,870 1 26,883,838 144,792,099 166,369,685 1 88,306,692 213,881 ,255 242,362,376 274,006,280 309,1 65,179 348,145,16 5
Solve n.!:I ratio 575% 632% , 678% 724 !. 772% 822% 87&9!. 929% 986% 1046% 1108%
Appendix C: Part 2:
Maternity and Illness benefit changes
2016'03131 2017/03/31 2018/03/31 2019103131 2020/03/31 2021/03131 2022/03/31 2023/03/31 2024/03/31 2025/03/31 2026'03131
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus b/f 90,292,812 98,498,097 109,736,507 125,045,180 142,237,956 161,985,583 183,997,062 208,509,175 235,777,275 266,072,589 299,694,051
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,306 18,706,717 19,993,564 21,406,437 22,897,557 24,454,160 26,088,279 27,782,639 29,561,012 31,419,899
Benefits paid (7,691 ,153) (8,313,414) (9,716,436) (11,295,820) (11 ,988,007) (12,764,952) (13,812,665) (14,552,831) (15,550,346) ( 18,597,101) (17,891 ,198)
Otange In provision (392,2112 (253,153} f1,265,3482 (345,574) (381,422) (424,240) (477,006) (509,674) (538,834) (561 ,131) (566,491)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,587) (10,981,784) (11,641,394) (12,389,430) (13,179,191) (14,089,671) (15,062,505) (16,087,181) (17,158,233) (18,277,689)
Adjustmmt to provision
Training of lhe U'le111>loyed (28,799) (500,000) {529,000) {559,682)
Lay-off scherres & Social Ran funding {51,772) (1 ,448,400) (1 ,056,021) (1,065,226) { 1 ,129,140) (1,196,888) ( 1.268,701 ) (1,344,823) (1 ,425,513) (1,511 ,043) (1,601,706)
663
Operating exeenses (1.788,0892 {1,852.5942 (1,960,030) (2,077,758) (2,207,6982 (2,352,224) (2,514.7272 (2.688,3581 (2,871.2422 (3,062,404) (3,262,205)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 4,179,882 4,649,504 5,700,170 6,169,254 6,581,061 6,992,593 7,398,703 7,829,332 8,278,299
mestment Income 3,504,047 11,199,691 12,700,027 14,3351531 16,0771877 18,0751198 20,298,686 22,764,460 25,492,521 28,505,525 31,831,109
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 16,879,909 18,985,036 21,778,047 24,244,452 26,879,747 29,757,052 32,891,224 36,334,858 40,109,408
Transfer to Lm (2,475,516) (5,154,026) (1,571 ,235) (1,792,260) (2,030,420) (2,232,973) (2,367,634) (2,488,952) (2,595,91 1) (2,713,395) (2,836,300)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 109,736,507 125,045,180 142,237,956 161,985,583 183,997,062 208,509,175 235,777,275 266,072,589 299,694,051 336,967,159
S0IV8R9'. ratio S7S-/. 625% 688% 711% 75'r.4 804% 853% 904.4 958% 1014% 1072.4
2016/03131 2017/03131 2018/03131 2019I03131 2020/03131 2021/03131 2022/03131 2023/03131 202./03131 2025/03131 2026/03/31
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus bn 90,292,812 98,498,097 107,035,210 120,879,70. 136,.51,5'9 15',341,560 174,233,829 196,338,73 220,881,39' 2"8,101,090 278,259,881
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,306 18,706,717 19,993,564 21,406,437 22,897,557 2.454,160 28,088,279 27,782,639 29,561,012 31,419,899
Benefits paid (7,891,153) {8,313,414) (10,338,053) (12,838,819) (13,413,303) (U,271,432) (15,231,122) (16,283,067) (17,399,181) (18,570,388) (19,794,566)
Ola!:!ie In provision (392,211} (253,153) (1 ,949,393) (388,681) (426,771) (474,678) {533,719) (570,271) (600,660) (827,646) (856,221)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (12,287,446) (13,025,480) (13,840,074) (14,746,111) (15,764,841) (16,853,338) (17,999,841) (19,198,234) (20,450,787)
AdJustrrent to provision
Training of the Uie1111loyed (28,789) (500,000) (529,000) {559,882)
Lay-off schemas & Social Ran fundtog (51,772) (1 ,448,400) (1,056,021) 11 ,085,226) (1 ,129,140) (1.196,888) (1,268,701) (1,344,8231 l 1,425,513) (1,511 ,0431 H ,601 ,706)
664
Qe!!ra!!!!a ex[!en&es (1 ,788,089! p,852,584! (1,960,030) !2,077,758) (2,207,898) i2,352,224} (21514.727} (2,688,358} (2,871,242} i3,082,404} (3,262,205)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 2,874,219 3,265,418 4,229,526 4,602,334 4,905,891 5,201,759 5,486,043 5,789,330 6,105,202
lnvestrrent lncoma 3,504,047 11,199,691 12,700,027 14,279,503 15,895.748 17,748,186 19,805,512 22,080,958 24,591,457 27,358,603 30,400,768
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 15,574,246 17,544,921 20,125,274 22,350,520 24,711,403 27,282,716 30,077,500 33,145,933 36,505,970
Transfer to t.m (2,475,516) (7,855,322) {1 ,729,753) (1,973,076) (2,235,263) (2,458,251) (2,606,498) (2,740,055) (2,857,805) (2,987.142) {3,122,446)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 107,035,210 120,879,704' 136,451,549 154,341,560 17.t,233,829 196,338,734 220,881,39.t 2"8,101,090 278,259,881 311,643,<tOS
893.4
Solveng,_ratlo_____ _ _ __ _S7k _ _ 610%_ 646% 682% 721% 761% 803% 9"1% 99:Z-k
_ 847 .4
e
e -
= ) hN. l'1''"-
Appendix E: Part 4:
Extension of Death claims submission period from 6 to 1 8 months
2016/03131 2017/03/31 2018/03/31 2019/03131 2020/03131 2021/03/31 2022/03131 2023/03131 2024/03131 202SI03l31 2026/03131
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus blf 90,292,812 98,498,097 107,031,934 120,874,652 136,444,532 154,332,290 174,221,989 196,323,974 220,863,330 248,079,295 278,233,887
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,306 18,708,717 19,993,564 21;406,437 22,897,557 24,454,160 26,088,279 27,782,639 29,561,012 31,419,899
Benefits paid (7,691,153) (8,313,414) (10,338,807) (12,640,448) (13,415,031) (14,273,271) (15,233,085) (16,285,166) (17,401,423) (1 8,572.781 ) (19,797,117)
Ola!!9e in erovision pe2.211) {253,153) p.950,222) {386,711) {426,826) {474,740) {533,788) {570,344) (600,738) {627,927! {656,305)
Benefits incurred (8,083,364) (8,586,567) (12,289,030) (13,027,158) (13,841 ,857) (14,748,01 1) (15,766,873) (16,855,510) (18,002,161) (19,200,708) (20,453,422)
Adjustnent to provision
Training of the U\e111>loyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
Lay-off schenes & Social Plan funding (1 ,448,400) (1 ,.056,021) (1,065,226)
665
(51,772) (1,129,140) (1,196,888) (1,268,701) (1 ,344,823) (1 ,425,513) (1,511,043) (1 ,601,706)
Operating exeenses {1,788,089} (1,852,594) {1,960,030) {2:077,758} {2,207,698) (2,352,224} {2,514,72:Q {2,6881358) (2,871 ,242) {3,062,404) {3,262,205)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 2.872,636 3,263,740 4,227,742 4,600,434 4,903,860 5,199,588 5,483,723 5,786,856 6,102,566
'1vestmenl lnco1TB 3,504.047 11 ,199,691 12.700,027 14.279,435 1 5,895,527 17,747,789 19,804,914 22,080,127 24,590,365 27.355,209 30,399,034
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392;43& 15,572,663 17,543,175 20,123,269 22,348,223 24,708,774 27,279,715 30,074,088 33,142,066 36,501,600
Transfer to (2,475,516) (7,858,598) (1 ,729,945) (1 .973,295) (2,235,512) (2,458,524) (2,606,788) (2,740,360) (2,858,122) (2,987,474) (3,122,793)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 107,031,934 120,874,652 136,444,532 154,332,290 174,221,989 196,323,974 220,863,330 248,079.295 278,233,887 311,612,694
Solven ratio 575% 610% 646% 682% 121k 761% 803% 847% 893% 941% 992%
Appendix F: Part 6:
Death claims to allow for nominated beneficiary
2016/03131 2017/03/31 2018/03131 2019/03/31 2020/03131 2021/03/31 2022/03131 2023/03131 2024/03131 2025/03131 2026/03/31
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus b/f 90,292,812 98,498,097 106,628,059 120,251,865 135,579,397 153,189,420 172,762,272 194,504,353 218,636,223 245,392,348 275,029,231
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,306 18,706,717 19,993,564 21,406,437 22,897.557 24,454,160 26,088.279 27,782,639 29,561,012 31,419,899
Benefits paid (7,691,153) (8,313,414) (10,431,746) (12,841 ,242) (13,628:129) (14,500,003) (15,475,063) (16,543,856) {17,677,845) (18,867,811) (20,11 1,595)
Ola!:!2!! i'I J!!:Ovision {392,211! {253,153! {2,052,495} (392,853) {433,606! {482,281! {542,26!} {579,404) {610,281! (637,902! (666,731)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) 18.566,567) (12,484,241) (13,234,095) (14,061,7361 (14,982,284) (16,017,330) (17,123,260) (18,288,126) (19,505,712) (20,778,325)
Adjustrrent to provision
Trainilg of the UielllJloYed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
Lay-off schemes & Social Ran funding (51,772) (1,448,400) (1 ,056,021) (1,065,226) (1,129)140) (1,196,888) (1,268,701) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) (1,511,043) (1,601,706)
666
Opera!!!!! exe!!!!ses (1,788,089) (1.852,594! (1,960,030! {2,077,758 (2,207,898! {2,352,224! (2,514,727) {2,688,358! !2,871,242) (3,062,404) (3,262,205!
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 2,677,424 3,056,803 4,007,864 4,366,161 4,653,402 4,931,837 5,197,758 5,481,853 s.m,663
nvesln'Snt ncoll'B 3,504,047 11,199,891 12,700,027 14,271,058 15,888,297 17,698,897 19,731,179 21 ,977,936 24,455,645 27,183,432 30,185,181
Net s urplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 15,377,451 17,327,861' 19,876,161 22,065,058 24,384,581 26,909,773 29,653,403 32,665,285 35,962,844
Transfer lo UR {2,475,516) (8,262,473) (1,753,645) (2,000,329) (2,286,138) (2,492,206) (2,642,501. (2,777,902) (2,897,278) (3,028,402) (3,165,575)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 106,628,059 120,251,865 135,579,397 153,189,420 172,762,272 194,504,353 218,636,223 245,392,348 275,029,231 307,826,500
Solven ratio 575% 607% 643% 678% 716% 755",{, 795% 838% 883% 930% 980%
-
- e
= ) l,r,c,,vt""'9r,.:n,'7' 'COi'"""
Appendix G: Part 7:
Inclusion of persons on learnership contracts and migrant workers
2016/03/31 2017/03/31 2018/03/31 2019/03/31 2020/03/31 2021/03/31 2022/03/31 2023103/31 2024/03/31 2025'03/31 2026/03/31
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus b/f 90,292,812 98,498,097 105,801,539 118,977,348 133,808,921 150,850,565 169,774,999 190,780,542 214,078,505 239,893,578 268,470,981
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,306 18,706,717 19,993,564 21406,437 22,897,557 24,454,160 26,088,279 27,782,639 29,561,012 31,419,899
Benefits paid (7,691.153) (8,31 3,414) (10,621 ,943) (13,252,162) (14;064,230) (14,964,003) (1 5,970,265) (17,073,260) (18,243,536) (19,471 ,581) (20,755,166)
0,a!:!2e in erovislon {392,21 1) {253,153) {2,261,793) (.COS,425) {447,482) {.C97,714) (559,620 {597,945) (629,810) (658,314) {688,066)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (12,883,737) (13,657,586) (14,511,711) (15,461,717) (16,529,885) (17,671,205) (18,873,346) (20,129,895) (21,443,232)
Adjustmmt to provision
Trawiilg of the lxlen1)1oyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
Lay-off schemes & Social Ran funding (51 ,772) (1 ,448,400) (1 ,056,021) (1,085,226) (1 ,129,140) (1,196,888) (1,268,701) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) (1,51 1,043) (1 ,601,706)
667
QE!rating exeenses p,788,089) (1,852,59,C) {1 ,960,030) {2,077,758 {2,207,698) {2,352,224) {2,514,727) (2,688,358) {2,871,242) p,062,404) {3,262.205)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 2,277,929 2,633;312 3,557,889 3,186,728 4,140,848 4,383,893 4,612,538 4,857,670 5,112,756
nvestment income 3,504,047 1 1 ,199,891 12,700,027 14,253,915 15,812,570 17,598,841 19,580,282 21 ,768,803 24,179,945 28,831,894 29,747,538
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 14,977,956 16,887,226 19,370,459 21,485,589 23,721,129 26,152,696 28,792,483 31,689,564 34,860,294
Transfer to LRR (2,475,516) (9,088,994) (1,802,147} (2,055,653) (2,328,814) (2,561 .135) (2,715,586) (2,854,733) (2,977,41 1) (3,1 12,161) (3,253,128)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 1os.ao1.s39 1 1a.s77,348 133,aoa,s21 1so,aso,56s 1&9,n4,999 190,780,542 214,078,505 239,893,578 268,470,981 300,078,148
Solven ratio 575% 603% 636% 669% 705% 741% 780% 821% 863% 908k 955%
Appendix H: Part 9:
Extension of Maternity claims submission period from 8 weeks prior to birth to 1 2 months after child birth
2016/03131 2017103/31 2018103131 2019103/31 2020103131 2021103131 2022/03131 2023103131 2024103131 2025/03131 2026/03131
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus bit 90,292,812 98,498,097 105,475,166 118,474,071 133,109,802 149,927,008 168,595,397 189,310,099 212,278,772 237,722,245 265,881,286
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,306 18,706,717 19,993,564 21,406,437 22,897,557 24,454,160 26,088,279 271782,639 29,561,012 31,419,899
Benefits pald (7,691 ,153) (8,313,414) (10,697,048) (13,414,424) (14,236,435) (15,147,225) (16,165,806) (17,282,308) (18,466,914) (19,709,995) (21,009,297)
Ola!l!e in f!OVision {392,2111 (253,153) 2.344,440) !410,389} (452,961) (503,808} !566,4721 {605,26!} (637,5211 {666,375) {696,491)
Benefits Incurred 18,083,364) (8,566,567) (13,041,488) (13;824,813) (14,689,396) (15,651,034) 116,732,280) (17,887,575) !19,104,435) (20,376,370) !21,705,7871
AdjusllTBnl lo provision
Training of the Une"1)1oyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000} (559,882)
(1,268,701)
668
Lay-off scheJT'es & Socia! Ran funding (51 ,772) (1,448,400) (1 ,056,021) (1,065,226) (1,129,140) (1,196,888) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) lt,511,043) (1,601,706)
Opera exeenses (1,788,089) (1,852,594! (1,960,030! {2,077,758! {2,207,6981 {2,352,224! (2,514,727! (2,888,358) (2,871,242) (3,062,404! !3.262,205)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 2,120,177 2,466,085 3,380,204 3,697,411 3,938,452 4,167,523 4,381,449 4,611,195 4,850,201
hvestrrent incorre 3,504,047 1 1,199,691 12,700,027 14,247,145 15,790,565 17,559.331 19,520,696 21,686,221 24,071,078 26,693,080 29,574,723
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 14,820,204 16,713,231 19,170,769 21,256,742 23,459,148 25,853,744 28,452,527 31,304,275 34,424,924
Transfer to lJRR (2,475,516) (9,415,367) (1,821,299) (2,077,500) (2,353,564) (2,588,3531 (2,744,446) (2,885,071) (3,009,053) (3,145,235) (3,287,700)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 105,475,166 118,474,071 133,109,802 149,927,008 168,595,397 189,310,099 212,278,772 237,722,24'5 265,881,286 297,018,509
Solveng ratio 575% 601% 633% 666% 700% 736% 774% 814'% 856% 899% 945%
e -
e e
= ) ,,...IQ\M'"'Wf
2016/03/31 2017/03/31 2018/03/31 2019/03/31 2020/03131 2.021/03/31 202.2!03/31 202.3/03/31 2024/03/31 2025/03/31 2026/03131
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Accsurplus b/f 90,292,812 98,498,097 103,541,808 116,345,769 130,257,147 145,902,519 162,888,152 181,328,256 201,510,549 223,789,224 248,354,292
Revenue received 17,128,778 17,560,308 19,559,708 20,905,233 22,382,531 23,941,643 25,569,224 '1:1 ,856 29,049,476 30,908,939 32,852,588
;zn
Benefits paid {7,691,153} (8,313,414) (11,141 ,949) (14,464,762) (15,649,507) (17,072,196) (18,641,508} (20,259,183) (21,769,168) (23,234,536} (24,766,179}
Ola!!2e in l!rovislon (392,211} (253,153} {2,8341022) (537,880) {711,829! p82,251) 866,104) (827,048) (751,523! {785,536) (821,037}
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (13,975,970) (15,002,6421 (16,361,3361 (17,854,447} (19,507,613) (21,086,231) (22,520,690) (24,020,072) (25,587,216)
Adjusbrent to provision
Trainng of the Ulelll)loyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
669
Lay-off schenes & Social Ran funding (51,772} {1,448,400) (1.056,021) (1,065,226) (1,129,140) (1,196,888) (1 ,268,701) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) (1,511,043) (1 ,601,706)
Operating expenses !1,788.089) {1,852,594) {1,960,030! {2,104,014) (2,294,561) (2,503,959} (2,735,804) (2,957,194} {3,158,367) (3,368,644) (3,588,425)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 2,038,687 2,173,669 2,597,494 2,386,349 2,057,106 1,889,608 1,944,906 2,009,179 2,075,240
investirent inco 3,504,047 11,199,.691 12,700,027 14,283,928 15,815,798 17,539,622 19,406,137 21,418,770 23,594,193 25,963,872 28,555,998
Nat surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 14,738,714 16,457,597 18,413,293 19,925,971 21,463,243 2.3,308,378 25,539,099 '1:1,973,051 30,631,238
Transfer to lm (2,475,516) (11,348,725) {1,934,753) (2,546,219) (2,767,921) (2,940,338} (3,023,138) (3,126,086) (3,260,424) (3,407,983) (3,562,349)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 103,541,808 116,346,769 130,257,147 145,902,519 162,888,152 181,328,266 201,510,549 223,789,224 248,354,292 '1:15,423,181
Solven9:. ratio 575% 590% 595% 623% 652% 680% 709"k 739% 770% 804% 838%
Appendix J: Part 1 1 :
Payment of 12 days of paternity leave to fathers
2016/03/31 2017/03131 2018103/31 2019/03/31 2020103131 2021103131 2022/03131 2023/03131 2024/03131 2025/03131 2026/03131
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus blf 90,292,812 98,498,097 101,338,780 112,948,637 125,501,137 139,565,846 154,724,623 171,064,804 188,854,899 208,431,998 229,952,687
Ravenue received 17,128,778 17,660,306 19,559,708 20,905,233 22,382,531 23,941,643 25,569,224 27,277,856 29,049,476 30,908,939 32,852,588
Benefits paid (7,691 ,153) (8,313,414) (11,648,905) (15,566,829) (16,841 ,840) (18,372,923) (20,061,801) (21 ,802,725) (23,427,756) (25,004,nO) (26,653,109)
Ola!:)2e in erovision (392,211) !253,153) (3,391,891} (578,861 (766,063) (841,850) (932,093 (890,061) (808,781) (845,386) (883,592)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (15,040,796) (16,145,690) (17,607,902) (19,214,774) (20,993,894) {22,692,788} {24,236,537} (25,850,156} {27,536,701}
Adjustment to provision
Training of the lkle111>loyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
670
Lay-off schenes & Social Aan funding cs1,n21 (1,448,400) (1,056,021} (1,065,226) (1,129,140) (1,196,888) (1,268,701) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) (1,511,043) (1,601,706)
Operating expenses {1,788,089) (1,852,594) (1,960,030) (2,104,014} (2,294,561) (2,503,959) (2,735,804) (2,957,194) (3,158,367) !3,368,644! (3,588,425)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 973,881 1,030,621 1,350,928 1,026,022 570,825 283,052 229,060 179,095 125,756
lnvestrrent incorre 3,504,047 11,199,691 12,700,027 14,238.234 15,666,652 17,269,563 18,994,496 20,842,010 22,826,321 24,977,294 27,320,938
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 13,673,888 15,268,855 17,017,580 18,295,585 19,565,322 21,125,063 23,055,381 25,156,389 27,446,694
Transfer to Lm (2,475,516) (13,551 ,753) (2,064,031) (2,716,355) (2,952,871) (3,136,808) (3,225,141) (3,334,967) (3,478,282) (3,635,700) (3,800,382)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 101,338,780 112,948,637 125,501,137 139,565,846 154,724,623 171,064,804 188,854,899 208,431,998 229,952,687 253,598,999
Solven!:l!!!!,o ___ 575% 577% - 577% 600% 624% 646% 669% 692% 718% 744% 772%
2016/03/31 2017/03/31 2018/03/31 2019103/31 2020103/31 2021103/31 2022103/31 2023103/31 2024/03/31 2025103/31 2026/03/31
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO ROOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus b/f 90,292,812 98,498,097 88,335,073 92,896,550 97,428,070 102,162,680 106,538,165 110,483,227 114,1 53,020 117,783,661 121,334,440
Rltvenue received 17,128,778 17,5601306 19,559,708 20,905,233 22,382,531 23,941,643 25,569,224 27,277,858 29,049,476 30,908,939 32,852,588
Benefits paid (7,891,153) (8,313,414) (14,641,294) (22,071,946) (23,879,783) (26,050,660) (28,445,292) (30,913,719) (33,217,823) (35,453,845) (37,790,997)
O,ae In erovision !392,21 1) {253,153) (6,684,799! (820,757) {1,088.187) (1,193,646) {1,321,599) !1,2621003! {1,146,757) {1,198,658) (1,252,830)
Benefits Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (21,326,093) (22,892,704) (24,965,950) (27,244,306) (29,766,890) (32,175,722) (34,364,580) (36,652,504) (39,043,827)
Adjuslll'Bnt to provision
Traini,g of lhe lk'lelfl)loyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559,682)
Lay-off schemas & Social Ran funding (S1.n2) (1,448,400) (1,056,021) (1,065,228) (1,129,140) (1 ,196,888) (1 ,268,701) (1,344,823) (1,425,513) (1 ,511 ,043) (1 ,601,706)
671
Qe!ra!!!a expenses (1,788,089) (1,852,594) {1 ,960,030) (2,104,014} {2,294,561) (2,503,959) (2,735,804! (2,957,194) p,158,367) (3,368,644) (3,588,425)
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 (5,311 ,436} (5,716,392} (6,007,120) (7,003,510) (8,202,171) (9,199,883) (9,898,983) (10,623,252) (11,381,370)
.,veslll'Bnl income 3,504,047 11,199,691 12,700,027 13,968,518 14,786,293 15,675,498 16,564,727 17,437,598 18.293,846 19,153,870 20,030,809
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392;436 7,388,591 8,252,126 8,779,173 8,671,988 8,362,555 8,237,715 8,394,862 8,530,618 8,649,438
Transfer to l.m (2.475,516) (26,555,459) (2,827,1 14) (3,720,606) (4,044,563) (4,296,503) (4,417,493) (4,567,922) (4,764,222) (4,979,838) (5,205,403)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 88,335,073 92,896,550 97,428,070 102,162,680 108,538,185 110,483,227 114,153,020 117,783,661 121,334,440 124,778,475
Solveng ratio 575% 503% 475% 466% 456% 445% 432% 418% 405% 393% 380%
2016103/31 2017/03/31 2018103/31 2019103/31 2020103/31 2021/03131 2022/03/31 2023103/31 2024'03/31 2025/03/31 2028/03/31
R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO R'OOO
Ace surplus blf 90,292,812 98,498,097 89,481 ,432 94,664,267 99,902,887 105,460,004 110,786,104 1 15,823,874 120,738,460 125,774,881 130,909,821
Revenue received 17,1 28,778 17,560,306 19,559,708 20,905,233 22,382,531 23,941,643 25,569,224 27,277,856 291049,476 30,908,939 32,852,588
Benefits peid (7,691.153) (8,313,414) (14,377,496) (21.498,479) (23,259,326) (25,373;819) (27.706,234) (30,110,528) (32,354.767) (34,532,894) (36,809,122)
Olange in erovislon {392,211) {253,153) {6,394.509) !799,433) {1,057,966) {1.162,6332 {1,287.261) {1,229.2142 {1.116,9622 {1.167,515) (1 ,220.279)
Benefit. Incurred (8,083,364) (8,566,567) (20,772,005) 122,297,912) (24,317,292) (26,536,452) (28,993,496) (31,339,742) (33,471,729) (35,700,209) (38,029,402)
Adjustment to provision
Training or the Uleoyed (28,799) (500,000) (529,000) (559.682)
Lay-off scherres & Social Ran funding (51.772) (1 .448,400) (1,056,021) (1,065.226) (1 ,129,140) (1,196,888) (1,268.701) (1 ,344,823) (1,425,513) ( 1 ,51 1 ,043) (1,601,706)
672
rating exeenses {1 ,788,089) {1.852,594) {1,960.030) (2,104.0142 {2,294.5612 {2.503.959) {2,735,804) !2,957,1942 {3,1 58,367) {3,368,644) p,588,4252
Operating surplus 7,176,754 5,192,745 (4,757,348) (5,121,601) (5,358,462) (6,295,656) (7,428,776) (8,363,903) (9,006,133) (9,670,958) (10,366,945)
lnvesllTent Income 3,504,047 11.199,691 12,700,027 13,992,295 14,863,.902 15,818,024 16.778,926 17,737,718 18,693,412 19,667,241 20,673,479
Net surplus for year 10,680,801 16,392,436 7,942,679 8,870,695 9,505,441 9,520,368 9,350,150 9,373,816 9,687,279 9,996,284 10,306,534
Transfer lo URR (2,475,516) (25,409,101) (2,759.843) (3,632,075) (3,948,323) (4.194,268) (4,312,380) (4,459,230) (4,650,858) (4,861,344) (5,081,542)
Ace surplus elf 98,498,097 89,481,432 94,664,267 99,902,887 105,460,004 110,786,104 1 15,823,874 120,738,460 125,774,881 130,909,821 136,134,813
Solvency ratio 575% 510% 484% 478% 471% _ 483% - 53,(, 4,Q% 433% 424% 414%
e e
Appendix M: Shocks applied
M.1 We have considered the impact on the Fund of the following two scenarios:
Scenario 1: The impact on the Fund, should the impact of the changes considered in this
report be 20% greater than quantified in the report.
Scenario 2: The impact on the Fund, should there be an adverse economic experience (a
large scale geographical turmoil scenario), which drastically reduces the value
of the Fund's assets over the 2017 financial year.
M.2 We consider Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 to be an indication of the worst case scenarios.
M.3 The table below shows the PAYG rates, for amendments proposed in the Amendment Bill and
those under consideration in NEDLAC, should the impact be 20% greater than determined in
Section 6 of the report. This is used to determine the impact on the Fund, should the changes
be significantly greater than determined above.
PAYG Rate
Death Illness M&A Unemployment Expenses Total
Q.irrent 0.041% 0.038% 0.117% 0.892% 0.235% 1 .322%
Part 1 0.048% 0.038% 0.120% 1.074% 0.235% 1.515%
Part 2 0.048% 0.044% 0.197% 1.074% 0.235% 1 .598%
Part 3 0.048% 0.044% 0.197% 1.262% 0.235% 1.785%
Part 4 0.048% 0.044% 0.197% 1.262% 0.235% 1 .786%
Part 5 0.048% 0 044% 0.197% 1.262% 0.235% 1.786%
Part 6 0.076% 0.044% 0.197% 1.262% 0.235% 1.814%
Part 7 0.079% 0.046% 0.204% 1.308% 0.235% 1.871%
Part 8 0.079% 0.046% 0.204% 1.308% 0.235% 1.871%
Part 9 0.079% 0.046% 0.226% 1,308% 0.235% 1.894%
Part 10 0.050% 0.244% 1.414% 0.235% 2.028%
0.050% 1.414% 0.235% 2.182%
o1olio%
% -...
3j j,.l>_Bjl.
Part 12A o.oso01o 1.957% 0.235% 2.724%
M.4 The table below shows the real and nominal investment returns assumed, for each asset class,
over the projecting period, applied in Scenario 2.
673
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 to 2026
Inflation 6 00% 6 00% 6 00% 600% 6 00% 6 00%
1:qulty Real (45.80%) 8.40% 8.70% 8.70% 13.20% 4.90%
Noninal (39.80%) 14.40% 14.70% 14.70% 19.20% 10.90%
Corporate bonds Real (25.80%) 6.70% 5.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.50%
Norrinal (19.80%) 12.70% 11.00% 11.00% 10.00% 9.50%
Governrrent bonds Real (25.80%) 6.70% 5.00% 5.00% 4.00% 2.50%
Norrinal (19.80%) 12.70% 11.00% 11.00% 10.00% 8.50%
A"operty Real 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 3.70%
Norrinal 10.50% 10.50% 10.50% 10.50% 10.50% 9.70%
M:mey market Real 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 0.75% 1. 00%
Norrinal 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 6.75% 7.00%
Cash Real (0.25%) (0.25%) (0.25%) (0.25%) (0.25%) 0.50%
Norrinal 5.75% 5.75% 5.75% 5.75% 5.75% 6.50%
M.5 We assume that the asset portfolio is rebalanced at the end of each year, such that the
proportion of assets held in each class remains constant.
674
Appendix N: Shocks to Part 1 1
N.1 Scenario 1: The Impact on the Fund, should the Impact of each change in the Amendment
Bill and under discussion In NEDLAC be 20% higher than estimated in Section 6
N.2 The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should the
impact of the changes considered in Parts 1 to 1 1 be 20% greater than that shown in Section 6.
N.3 The blue lines indicate the solvency and accumulated surpluses, based on the PAYG rates
derived in Section 6, while the grey lines are based on PAYG rates where the impact is 20%
greater than that determined in Section 6.
300 900%
800%
_ 250
---
C
= 200
, 700%
600% >.
-- - - -
:s 500% C
1 50 >
Cl)
II) 400% 0
:I
Q. 100 c:i, e :::: 300% C/J
:I
200%
C/J
50
100%
0 0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
N.4 The graph below shows the impact which this scenario has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 O years. The solid black line indicates the operating income, based on a 20% increase in
the changes to the benefits. The increase to the dotted line Indicates the investment income of
Scenario 1 . The level of the dotted line indicates the combined income, based on Scenario 1 ,
over the next 1 O years.
N.5 The bars indicate the operating income and investment income as determined in Part 1 1 of
Section 6.
675
30
25
20
,_I
- I
15
10
(5)
(10)
2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
N.6 Should the impact of the amendments proposed be 20% greater than what has been determined
in Section 6, the operating surplus will become negative. However the investment income is
proj ected to be sufficient to match the operating losses for the next 10 years. This will result in a
combined surplus.
N.7 It is important to note that this is a worst case scenario, particularly given that the assumptions
used to estimate the impact of the amendments have erred on the side of caution.
N.B Scenario 2: The Impact on the Fund, should there be significant economic turmoil In
2017.
N.9 The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should the
investment returns be as shown Appendix M.
N.10 The blue lines indicate the solvency and accumulated surpluses as per Part 11 in Section 6,
while the grey lines are based on the investment returns in Appendix M .
676
= )
300 900%
800%
_ 250
s: 700%
.,,
-
,-
:s
= 200 600%
-
.,,,,.
.,,,,. -
_. ,
-- 500%
-' -- - - -
150
,,,,,. C
GJ
>
400% 0
en
:,
a. 1 00 300% "'
"'
:,
50
200%
100%
0 0%
2016 201 7 2018 201 9 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
N.11 The graph below shows the impact which this scenario has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 0 years. The solid black line indicates the operating income, based on the investment
returns in Appendix M. The increase, or decrease, to the dotted line Indicates the investment
income of Scenario 2. The level of the dotted line indicates the combined income, based on
Scenario 2, over the next 10 years.
N.12 The bars indicate the operating income nd investment income as determined in Part 11 of
Section 6.
30
25
20
15
C 10
:s 5
\
201 s , 20111 201 a 2019 2020 2021 i022 023 2024 2025 2026
(5)
( 1 0) \ I
( 1 5)
(20)
\/
677
N.13 The large decrease in investments occurs in 2017. Thereafter the investment returns are
expected to be higher for the next five years as assets recover from the market shock. This
results in the combined income from 2018 to 2021 being similar to the combined income shown
in Part 1 1 . However, the shock does result in a reduction in the accumulated surplus. Thus
from 2022, when the investment return assumption reverts to 9.01%, the investment income is
slightly below that in Part 1 1 , resulting in a slightly lower combined income.
678
" I
0.2 The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should the
impact of the changes considered in Parts 1 to 12 be 20% greater than that shown in Section 6.
0.3 The blue lines indicate the solvency and accumulated surpluses, based on the PAYG rates
derived in Section 6, while the grey lines are based on PAYG rates where the impact is 20%
greater than that determined in Section 6.
------
140 700%
- 120 600%
-
,g 1 00 - -"!. 500%
>.
-
CJ
80 400% C
60 300% 0
U)
I,, 40 200%
20 100%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.4 Should the impact of the amendments be 20% greater than determined in Section 6, for Parts 1
to 12, the accumulated surplus and solvency ratio will drastically reduce over the next ten years.
0.5 The graph below shows the impact which this scenario has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years. The solid black line indicates the operating income, based on the revised PAYG
rate. The increase to the dotted line indicates the investment income of Scenario 1 . The level
of the dotted line indicates the combined income, based on Scenario 1 , over the next 1 O years.
0.6 The dark blue bars indicate the operating income as determined in Part 12 of Section 6, while
the top of the light blue bar indicates the combined income.
679
' .
20
15
- IIII
10
5
-1 1 t 1
.2
:s (5)
(10)
(15)
(20)
(25)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.7 The above graph shows that the operating surplus under Scenario 1, including Part 12,
drastically decreases during the next 10 years. Furthermore, the combined income is negative
from 2022 and decreases over the next 10 years.
0.8 The combined loss results in the accumulated surpluses being utilised in order to pay the claims
to the Fund, thus reducing the accumulated surpluses. Thus the investment income decreases,
as shown in the graph by the narrowing gap between the solid and dotted lines.
0.9 Scenario 2: The Impact on the Fund, should there be significant economic turmoil In
2017.
0.1O The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should the
investment returns be as shown in Appendix M and the amendments reviewed in Parts 1 to 12
be implemented.
0.11 The blue lines indicate the solvency and accumulated surpluses as per Part 12 in Section 6,
while the grey lines are based on the investment returns in Appendix M.
680
I I
- - - - --
----
140 700%
-
'2
120
. 1 00
- 600%
500%
- - - - - .. .. - -
:ci 80 400% C
cn -- i
:, 60 300% 0
e, 40 200%
u,
u,
20 100%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.12 The graph below shows the impact which this scenario has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years. The solid black line indicates the operating income. The Increase to the dotted
line indicates the investment income of Scenario 2. The level of the dotted line indicates the
combined income, based on Scenario 2, over the next 10 years.
0.13 The dark blue bars indicate the operating income as determined in Part 12 of Section 6, while
the top of the light blue bar indicates the combined income.
20
15
10
--C
5
(5)
(10)
(15)
(20)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
681
. . .,
0.14 Investment losses in 2017 result in a combined loss in 2017, despite an operating surplus.
0.1 5 From 2018 to 2021 the combined income is similar to that shown in Part 12, while from 2022 to
2026 the combined income is lower, as investment returns return to the original 9.01% level.
682
I r
P.2 The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should the
impact of the changes considered in Parts 1 to 11 and Part 12A be 20% greater than that
shown in Section 6.
P.3 The blue lines indicate the solvency and accumulated surpluses, based on the PAYG rates
derived in Section 6, while the grey lines are based on PAYG rates where the impact is 20%
greater than that determined in Section 6.
------
160 700%
140 600%
s 120
500%
=
-
.c
0:: 80
100
.... - 400%
(J
C
>.
300%
..
0
:, 60 U)
Q.
40 200%
20 100%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
P.4 Should the impact of the amendments be 20% greater than determine in Section 6, for Parts 1
to 11 and Part 12A, the solvency ratio will reduce over the next ten years.
P.5 The graph below shows the impact which this scenario has on the income of the Fund over the
next 10 years. The solid black line indicates the operating income, based on the revised PAYG
rate. The increase to the dotted line indicates the investment income of Scenario 1 . The level
of the dotted line indicates the combined income, based on Scenario 1, over the next 10 years.
P.6 The dark blue bars indicate the operating income as determined in Part 1 2A of Section 6, while
the top of the light blue bar indicates the combined income.
683
' ' '
20
15
10
0
5 -
(5)
(10)
( 1 5)
(20)
2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
P.7 The above graph shows that the operating surplus under Scenario 1, including Part 12A,
drastically decreases during the next 10 years. The combined income is positive from 201 8 and
decreases over the next 10 years.
P.8 Scenario 2: The Impact on the Fund. should there be significant economic turmoil In 2017.
P.9 The graph below shows the solvency ratio and accumulated surplus of the Fund, should the
investment returns be as shown in Appendix M and the amendments reviewed in Parts 1 to 1 1
and Part 12A be implemented.
P.10 The blue lines indicate the solvency and accumulated surpluses as per Part 1 2A in Section 6,
while the grey lines are based on the investment returns in Appendix M.
684
.,, i t .,
160
- - - - - - - - 700 %
-
- - - - - - - - ... -
140 600%
5 1 20 500 %
----
-
:: 1 00 >,
u
.c 400 %
0:: 80 ID
>
Cl)
...
:::J
c. 60
300%
200%
"'
0
40
20 1 00%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
P .11 The graph below shows the impact which this scenario has on the income of the Fund over the
next 1 0 years. The solid black line indicates the operating income. The increase to the dotted
line indicates the investment income of Scenario 2. The level of the dotted line indicates the
combined income, based on Scenario 2, over the next 1 0 years.
P.12 The dark blue bars indi9ate the operating income as determined in Part 12A of Section 6, while
the top of the light blue bar indicates the combined income.
20
15
10
5
.2
:c (5)
0::
(1 0)
( 1 5)
(20)
(25)
2016 2017 201 8 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
685
. ' .,.
P.13 Investment losses in 2017 result in a combined loss in 2017, despite an operating surplus.
P.14 From 2018 to 2021 the combined income is similar to that shown in Part 12A, while from 2022
to 2026 the combined income is lower, as investment returns return to the original 9.01% level.
P.15 The combined income remains positive over the next 10 years.
686
- )
Appendix Q: Benefit description
Q. 1 The table below summaries the key components which define the benefits which the Fund
currently provides to contributors.
ApplcaUon wthln 6 rrtJnths \Mlhln 6 ITDnths Matern!y: At least 8 weeks wthln 6 rrtJnths of death
period before childbirth
.... _.....
Adoption: w Nhln 6 rrtJnths of
.__
Duration From dale of unenl)loyrn,nt, Fromdatethat work ls Mat11rn!y 1T11X: 17.32 weeks Unenl)loyrTl!nt beneftt
rrax 238 days ceased due to llness, rrax MscarrlagefstlD born rrax: 6
238 days weks
Adoption: from date court
grants adoption, rrax 238
- davs
Right to benefff The reason for the (a) unable to performwork on Clnly one contributor of the Toa surviving spouse or a life
unell'pioyrrent is- account of lness; adopting parties is entitled to partner al a deceased
(ij the tenrinallon of contflltt (b) fulfis any pr11Scrlbed the adoption beneftts in contributor
by the eriployw or ending of requltemints In respect of respect ot each adopted child Any dependent child of a
a fixed term contract, any specified llness and only If- deceased contributor If
(II) the disnissal of the (a) adopted in term1 of the (a) there is no surviving
contributor, Chid Care Act; spouse or life partner; or
(ii) lnsotvency; or (b) the period was spent (b) the surviving spouse or
(iv) in the case of a dorrmli: caring for the child; lfe partner has not rrade
worker, the temtnaUon of (c) the child is below the age application for the benefs
errpoyrrent by the death of of two wffhln six mmths or the
the IHTDlover. contributor's death.
RR Mn 38%; Max: 60%
Waitino oerlod 14 days 14 davs N'A N'A
Benefff cycle May only claim once in a 4 N'A N'A N'A
year cycle
687
I ' II
Q.2 The table below summaries the key components which define the benefits as proposed in the
Amendment Bill, and under discussion in NEDLAC. bChanges from the current benefits are
shown in bold.
688
.,
About QED
QED Actuaries & Consultants (Pty) Ltd is one of the largest independent actuarial consulting firms in
Africa. With a team of 30 actuarial and support staff, we provide actuarial and consulting services to
more than 60 clients in in South Africa and the broader African continent. We are firmly established in
Africa where we have been in operation for over 80 years - previously as Hymans Robertson in the
UK and more recently from South Africa as QED. We offer statutory actuarial, risk management and
strategic consulting services to:
689
. ' . ....
...
690
Annexure D
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
Annexure E
747
748