Real Vs Nominal - (Gross National Product)
Real Vs Nominal - (Gross National Product)
Real Vs Nominal - (Gross National Product)
Its important to distinguish between real and nominal values of macroeconomics aggregates.
When comparing data at different points in time, economists often use terms such as real wage, real
income or real GNP.
The real refers to the fact that data have been adjusted for change in level of prices. Thus real GNP is
the GNP in current rupees deflated for changes in the prices of the items included in the GNP.
In contrast, nominal GNP (or money GNP, as they are often called) is expressed in current rupees. It
measures the value of output in given period in the price of that period, or as it is some times put, in
current rupees.
Over time, nominal values reflect changes both in a) the real size of an economics variable and b) the
general level of prices. In contrast, real values eliminate the impact changes in the price level.
Stated another way, real economic data are adjusted for changes in purchasing power of the rupee.
Perhaps an example will clarify the difference between real and nominal values. In 1998-99 the nominal
GNP in India was Rs 16, 01,065 crore, compared to only Rs. 7, 69,265 crore in India was 1993-94.
Does this mean we produce two times as much output in 1993-94? Not hardly.
In 1998-99 the general level of price was higher than the level of prices in 1993-94. Measured in terms of
price level in 1993-94, real GNP in 1998-99 was worth Rs. 10, 71,073.
Nominal GNP will increase either if a) more goods and services are produced or if b) prices rise. Often
both a) and b) contribute to an increase in GNP.
Since we are really interested in comparing only the output or actual production during two intervals, GNP
must be adjusted for the changes in prices.
A price index called GNP deflator is constructed to a price index to reveal the cost of purchasing the items
included in GNP during the period relative to the cost of purchasing those same items during a base year
(say 1993-94).
Since the base year is assigned the value of 100, as the GNP deflator takes on values greater than 100, it
indicates that prices have risen.
The central statistical organization (CSO) estimates how much of each item included in GNP has been
produced during a year.
This bundle of goods will include automobiles, houses, office buildings, medical services, bread and all
other goods included in GNP, in qualities actually produced during the current year.
The agency then calculates the ratios of a) the cost of purchasing this representative bundle of goods at
current price divided by b) the cost of purchasing the same bundle at the prices that were present during
a designated base year.
The base year chosen is given the value 100. The GNP deflator is equal to the calculated ratio multiplied
by 100. If prices are, on average, higher during the current period than they were during the base year,
the GNP deflator will exceed 100.
The relative size of the GNP deflator is measure of the current price level compared to price level during
the base year.
A change in nominal GNP tell us nothing about what is happening to rate of real production unless we
also know what is happening to prices. Money income could double while production actually declines, if
prices more than double.
On the other hand, money income could remain constant while real GNP increases, if prices fall during a
time period.
Data on money GNP and price changes are both essential for a meaningful duration a time period.
Data on money GNP and price changes are both essential for a meaningful comparison of real income
between two time periods.
So we look at real rather than nominal GNP as basic measure for comparing output in different years.