Old Bridge Capital Kenneth Andrade27s Equity PMS
Old Bridge Capital Kenneth Andrade27s Equity PMS
Old Bridge Capital Kenneth Andrade27s Equity PMS
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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AGENDA
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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INTRODUCTION
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Journey so far
KENNETH Journalist - Capital Market Joined Kotak Mutual Fund Launched Kotak Midcap Fund Fund Manager PEF
Magazine Kotak MNC Fund - No1 in Top percentile in Performance Fund Manager IEF
Analyst - Apple Asset its Category/Top decile across all categories
Management Company amongst all equity funds in Joined Standard Chartered
Head Portfolio Advisory - India Asset Management
Sharekhan
Smartest Fund Manager Fund Manager of the Year- IEF top percentile fund PEF Top percentile Fund
Award-Business World Business Standard / across all funds acrosss all funds
Lipper Award for 3year Sterling Equity PEF top percentile fund ICRA-Moody's Award for
performance across all funds the best performing
ICRA-Moodys 7 Star Fund Launched Sterling Equity Diversified Fund in India
Award Fund
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Investment Team at Old Bridge Capital Management
Gauri Anand
12 years of experience in equity research
Last assignment, Vice President Research at Phillipcapital
Experience Equity research Chemicals, Oil & Gas and Mid-caps
Rupanjana Sur
9 years of experience in financial services
Last assignment, Credit analyst at Dun & Bradstreet
Experience Credit research, FoF Performance evaluation and Equity research
Sanjay Dam
21 years of experience in Equities
Last Assignment, Senior Vice President - Institutional Equities Sales, Motilal Oswal Securities
Experience Equity research, Institutional Sales
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AGENDA
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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Investment Philosophy
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Investment Strategy
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Stock Selection
Low valuation
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Stock Selection
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Stock Selection
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Stock Selection
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Stock Selection
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Stock Selection
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AGENDA
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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Why Old Bridge Capital Management
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AGENDA
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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Premier Equity-Performance & Active Share
Ca
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Premier Equity-Across Cycles
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Sterling Equity-Performance & Active Share
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Premier Equity-Across Cycles
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Thematic Portfolios
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AGENDA
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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BSE 500 Index Financials: Deleveraging
No. of Net Net Total Net Total Ebitda Asset 10 Year
Year Companies Sales Profit Assets Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Margin RoE Turnover Gsec Yield Spread
1999 280 353,981 25,573 471,222 0.61 0.74 18.9% 12.4% 0.75 12.4%
2000 296 439,323 28,380 534,447 0.56 0.68 17.6% 11.7% 0.82 10.8% 0.9%
2001 309 530,614 36,355 593,386 0.54 0.65 17.0% 13.3% 0.89 10.2% 3.1%
2002 329 579,906 36,664 693,555 0.55 0.73 17.2% 12.7% 0.84 7.4% 5.3%
2003 358 674,025 53,236 784,636 0.52 0.69 18.6% 16.6% 0.86 6.2% 10.4%
2004 381 786,310 75,493 924,854 0.40 0.62 20.4% 19.0% 0.85 5.2% 13.8%
2005 394 1,014,185 106,035 1,161,849 0.26 0.54 20.1% 20.2% 0.87 6.7% 13.5%
2006 396 1,272,310 124,456 1,436,798 0.25 0.56 18.7% 19.5% 0.89 7.5% 11.9%
2007 403 1,644,529 178,136 1,915,005 0.28 0.64 20.0% 21.8% 0.86 8.0% 13.8%
2008 411 2,113,513 227,830 2,595,733 0.35 0.71 19.8% 21.2% 0.81 8.0% 13.2%
CAGR: CAGR: CAGR:
2009 408 2,569,597 19.8%
192,393 11.4%
3,237,692 22.6% 0.45 0.80 16.5% 15.0% 0.79 7.0% 8.0%
2010 415 2,693,211 251,710 3,735,482 0.37 0.73 19.5% 16.4% 0.72 7.8% 8.6%
2011 418 3,290,244 302,976 4,503,622 0.43 0.77 18.2% 16.7% 0.73 8.0% 8.7%
2012 420 4,104,698 293,133 5,296,732 0.55 0.87 16.3% 14.5% 0.77 8.5% 5.9%
2013 418 4,546,669 281,121 5,933,101 0.62 0.94 15.6% 12.8% 0.77 8.0% 4.8%
2014 416 5,073,716 340,935 6,871,455 0.66 0.98 16.4% 13.6% 0.74 8.8% 4.8%
2015 414 5,139,328 281,150 7,272,221 0.67 0.98 16.6% 10.8% 0.71 7.7% 3.0%
No incentive owing to stagnating profits, for promoters to take incremental risk in new asset creation
Growth in Balance Sheet down to single digit (7% in FY15), surplus capacities across various industries
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The Small Cap Index: Deleveraging
No. of Net Net Total Net Total Ebitda Asset 10 Year
Year Companies Sales Profit Assets Debt/Equity Debt/Equity Margin RoE Turnover Gsec Yield Spread
1999 446 123,280 5,745 178,482 0.90 1.01 17.5% 8.4% 0.69
2000 463 140,789 5,981 191,099 0.82 0.94 16.2% 7.8% 0.74 10.8% -3.0%
2001 480 162,219 7,059 209,700 0.78 0.92 15.8% 8.2% 0.77 10.2% -2.0%
2002 513 180,475 5,232 235,102 0.85 1.02 14.8% 6.1% 0.77 7.4% -1.3%
2003 547 202,316 6,337 250,970 0.83 1.00 14.3% 7.1% 0.81 6.2% 0.9%
2004 603 255,010 11,864 287,123 0.67 0.94 14.1% 11.6% 0.89 5.2% 6.4%
2005 626 320,954 20,546 347,158 0.56 0.89 14.5% 16.4% 0.92 6.7% 9.7%
2006 642 400,310 25,050 447,354 0.55 0.86 14.1% 14.7% 0.89 7.5% 7.2%
2007 655 524,845 37,886 CAGR:
628,600 0.67 1.01 15.3% 17.0% 0.83 8.0% 9.1%
CAGR: CAGR:
2008 666 655,285 18.9% 48,156 (4.8%) 868,751 23.1% 0.62 0.96 16.1% 15.3% 0.75 8.0% 7.3%
2009 665 792,789 34,432 1,038,652 0.82 1.13 13.2% 9.9% 0.76 7.0% 2.9%
2010 681 879,916 46,868 1,235,276 0.73 1.04 14.6% 10.8% 0.71 7.8% 2.9%
2011 692 1,065,840 52,431 1,485,777 0.84 1.12 14.0% 10.3% 0.72 8.0% 2.4%
2012 697 1,282,563 41,119 1,780,309 1.09 1.34 12.5% 7.5% 0.72 8.5% -1.1%
2013 694 1,329,844 26,052 1,978,738 1.26 1.50 12.6% 4.6% 0.67 8.0% -3.4%
2014 691 1,413,666 31,998 2,095,690 1.32 1.53 12.2% 5.3% 0.67 8.8% -3.5%
2015 685 1,520,886 13,141 2,258,863 1.36 1.58 12.6% 2.1% 0.67 7.7% -5.7%
Key ratios are hit even harder in case of small cap businesses
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The Re-leveraging Trade
Agriculture
13% Banks will move to finding the next
credit cycle
Industries Retail
44% 20%
Corporates/ Organised Sector already
account for 65% of the debt
Service
23%
RBI Data
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Consumer Leverage
Consumer leverage low in the Indian economy Housing Loans a dominant part of Retail credit
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Trend likely to play out
Easier to grow retail credit (@30% CAGR) than to increase corporate credit
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The Rural Rush
New crop insurance, premiums tripled (Rs cr) Crop insured doubled in FY17 ($ bn)
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25000
E E
17000 S S
T 25 T
I I
M M
A 13 A
T T
5000 E E
S S
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Addressing the bottom of the pyramid
Intent to focus on eliminating the cyclicality of the monsoons in the entire country
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Sizing The Opportunity
Lower credit cost. Disruption in the Growth linked to Value Addition to Higher
Large growth in way the subsidy is wage inflation drive capacity, Productivity
Insurance disbursed. Lead to higher per capita leads to higher
Premiums a far more efficient to create Volumes
working capital demand
cycle
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AGENDA
Introduction
Investment Strategy
Track Record
Investment Landscape
Portfolio Strategies
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Old Bridge Capital Management All Cap Strategy
Style Diversified
Number of Stocks 12 20
Max Sector Concentration 30%
Market Cap bias $50mn - $2bn
Create a portfolio of 12-20 companies which meet the criteria of
Capital efficiency
Low leverage
Profit making with low capex scheduled
Low valuation
Style Concentrated
Number of Stocks Average 10 stocks, maximum 20 at any time
Market Cap bias Nil
The Thematic Portfolio would align to the fastest growing part of the economy/ industry /
subsector and build a value chain around the specific sector/ theme. It takes its idea from the
ongoing disruption of cash flows in rural India and the lower dependance of the rural economy
from the monsoons. It will put a portfolio of companies together that benefit from the increased
cash flow in the system.
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Disclaimer
This presentation is strictly for information and illustrative purposes only and should not be considered to be an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any
securities or funds or to enter into any contribution agreements. Before anyone considers an investment, it is important to read through and understand the
contents of the Disclosure Document. Old Bridge Capital Management Private Limited (OBCM) is the Investment Manager of the Old Bridge Capital Management
"All Cap Strategy" and Old Bridge Capital Management "Thematic Portfolio". OBCM has obtained registration from SEBI and is duly authorised to provide Portfolio
Management Services under SEBI (Portfolio Managers) Regulations, 1993, and any amendments thereto from time to time and rules, guidelines, circulars issued
under the Securities Exchange Board of India Act, 1992.
This presentation is prepared by OBCM strictly for the specified audience and is not intended for distribution to public and is not to be disseminated or circulated to
any other party outside of the intended purpose. This document may contain confidential or proprietary information and no part of this document may be
reproduced in any form without its prior written consent to OBCM. If you receive a copy of this document and you are not the intended recipient, you should destroy
this document immediately. Any dissemination, copying or circulation of this communication in any form is strictly prohibited. In preparing this presentation, OBCM
has relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of information available from public sources. Accordingly, neither
OBCM nor any of its shareholders, directors, employees, agents or advisors shall be liable for any loss or damage (direct or indirect) suffered as a result of reliance
upon any statements contained in, or any omission from this presentation and any such liability is expressly disclaimed.
Securities investments are subject to market risks and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives will be achieved. Past performance may not be
indicative of future results. Therefore, no current or prospective client should assume that the future performance will be profitable or equal to corresponding
indicated performance levels.
No client or prospective client should assume that any information presented in this presentation as the receipt of, or a substitute for, personalized individual advice
from the adviser or any other investment professional. In making an Investment decision, Investor must rely on their own examination of the terms of the offering,
including the merits and risk involved.
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Thank You
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