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12 June 2012
UN-HLTF on
Global Food Security
In 2011, G20 leaders committed to sustainably increase agricultural (production
and) productivity (paragraph 43 of the Cannes Declaration). They "agree(d) to further
invest in agriculture, in particular in the poorest countries, and bearing in mind the
importance of smallholders, through responsible public and private investment," they
"decide(d) to invest in research and development of agricultural productivity. Early in
2012 Mexico, as G20 President, invited international organisations to examine
practical actions that could be undertaken to sustainably improve agricultural
productivity growth, in particular on small family farms.
The preparation of this report, co-ordinated by the FAO and the OECD, responds to
this request. It is a collaborative undertaking by Bioversity, CGIAR Consortium, FAO,
IFAD, IFPRI, IICA, OECD, UNCTAD, Coordination team of UN High Level Task Force on
the Food Security Crisis, WFP, World Bank, and WTO. We, the international
organisations, are pleased to provide you with this joint report and look forward to
continuing collaboration within the G20 framework to further elaborate and, as
appropriate, implement the recommendations that it contains.
12 June 2012
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
TABLE OF CONTENTS 5
Table of Contents
Reccommendations
Recommendation 1 ............................................................................................. 23
Recommendation 2 ............................................................................................. 24
Recommendation 3 ............................................................................................. 26
Recommendation 4 ............................................................................................. 33
Recommendation 5 ............................................................................................. 34
Recommendation 6 ............................................................................................. 37
Recommendation 7 ............................................................................................. 41
Recommendation 8 ............................................................................................. 43
Recommendation 9 ............................................................................................. 44
Recommendation 10 ........................................................................................... 46
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
6 TERMS AND ABBREVIATIONS
Public investment in agriculture Budgetary expenditures that lead to capital formation in the
agricultural sector. Capital formation includes physical and
human capital.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
INTRODUCTION 7
Introduction
Global agriculture will face multiple challenges over the coming decades. It must
produce more food to feed an increasingly affluent and growing world population that will
demand a more diverse diet, contribute to overall development and poverty alleviation in
many developing countries, confront increased competition for alternative uses of finite
land and water resources, adapt to climate change, and contribute to preserving
biodiversity and restoring fragile ecosystems. Climate change will bring higher average
temperatures, changes in rainfall patterns, and more frequent extreme events, multiplying
the threats to sustainable food security. Addressing these challenges requires co-ordinated
responses from the public and private sectors and civil society that will need to be adapted
to the specific circumstances of different types of farmers in countries at all levels of
development.
This report is submitted to the G20 Mexican Presidency by Bioversity, CGIAR Consortium,
FAO, IFAD, IFPRI, IICA, OECD, UNCTAD, Coordination team of UN High Level Task Force on
the Food Security Crisis, WFP, World Bank and WTO. It responds to Mexico's request for
information and advice on practical actions that could be undertaken to sustainably improve
agricultural productivity growth, in particular on small family farms.
The approach taken reflects the view of the collaborating international organisations
that a successful strategy for sustainable agricultural productivity growth requires
significant improvements in the investment climate in many countries, in agricultural
innovation systems and farming practices, in the management of natural resources, and in
specific policies and efforts to close the productivity gap of small family farms. This report
first examines current trends in productivity and its main drivers innovation, investment
and policy. It then takes stock of actions underway, in particular those included in the 2011
G20 Ministerial Action Plan. The two following sections focus on four broad areas that
require attention: providing an enabling environment conducive to investment and
innovation in agriculture; investing in agricultural innovation, broadly defined; improving
national and international research collaboration; and, closing the gap between actual and
potential productivity levels of agriculture in developing countries.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
8 THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
The recommendations provided are broadly of two types: specific actions that can
contribute in some way to improving productivity growth or sustainable resource use
(whether building on existing initiatives or suggesting new activities) and more general
proposals that may not be actionable as presented but that serve to highlight areas for
priority attention. This report also invites G20 countries to engage in a medium- to long-
term, analysis-based peer review of policies fostering sustainable productivity growth,
which would identify specific constraints and opportunities, beginning with their own food
and agriculture sectors. In addition to possible benefits to participating countries, a peer
review process could contribute to the identification of best policies and best policy
packages to achieve the widely held aim of sustainably improving productivity of the global
food and agriculture system. While such an initiative is proposed to and for G20 countries, it
could have much wider application to interested countries.
This section focuses on available evidence and outlines the main developments in
agricultural productivity and sustainability, the evolution of Agricultural Innovation
Systems (AIS), and the trends in policies, public expenditures and private investments
in agriculture which affect agricultural productivity and sustainability.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE 9
Other studies, in particular those using partial factor productivity indicators such as
land and labour productivity, give a more pessimistic global picture, in particular when
China's performance is taken out of the calculation of the world average (Alston et al.,
2010). In Latin America, China and many developed countries, labour productivity
increased faster than land productivity, as labour was shed out of the sector. This
contrasts with Asia, where land productivity dominated, and Africa, where land
expansion was a main driver. While productivity in some livestock sectors, in particular
non-ruminants, is increasing fast, there are concerns about trends in crop productivity
growth.2
The most popular indicator of land productivity is crop yield. The average global
rates of growth in yield of most of the major cereals are declining. Since the 1980s,
growth in wheat and rice yields fell from 2.5-3% to around 1%. Maize yields showed
growth of slightly less than 2% over the last decade (Figure 1).
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1961-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010
Source: FAOSTAT.
Lower productivity and slow growth in some developing countries and in small
family farms raise specific concerns. The gap between farmers' yields and technical
potential yields3 reflects the largely suboptimal use of inputs and insufficient adoption
of most productive technology, often linked to lack of market integration. Yield gaps
2. Lower partial factor productivity does not necessarily lead to lower TFP. For example, lower
land productivity (e.g. crop yields) can result from a more extensive use of land, with TFP
change depending on the relationship between the decrease in fertiliser and pesticide use, and
the change of output per hectare.
3. Technical potential yields are maximum yields with latest varieties, removing all constraints
including moisture, at generally prevailing solar radiation, temperature and daylight, estimated
from highly controlled on-station experiments or crop models calibrated with latest varieties,
well-monitored crop trials (Evans and Fischer, 1999). Van Dijk et al. (2012) distinguish several
measures of potential yields from closest to furthest to farmer yield: economic maximum
farmer yield, technical maximum farmer yield, experimental maximum research station yield
and modelled potential yield. They also find a large variability of yield gaps across sub-regions
of Africa.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
10 THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
were estimated to range from 11% in East Asia to 76% in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2005
(FAO, 2011b). Globally, there are approximately 500 million small family farms, with
over 280 million smallholders in India and China alone (IFPRI, 2007). Measures to reduce
the productivity gap between actual levels and the technical potential could offer high
returns in terms of food security, nutrition and rural income gains (World Bank, 2008).
Studies show that high returns can also be achieved by reducing gender gaps in
productivity on small family farms. According to FAO, closing gender productivity gaps
associated with unequal access to resources and inputs could raise total agricultural
output in developing countries by 2.5-4%, leading to a reduction of 12-17% in the
number of undernourished globally (FAO, 2011a).
4. In Central Asia, there is potential for agricultural land expansion. Unfortunately our
understanding about land use today is hindered by lack of good quality data (Fritz et al., 2011).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE 11
negatively affected by climate change (IPCC, 2007; Lobell et al., 2011; Nelson et al.,
2009, 2010; Wassmann et al., 2010; Mller et al., 2011). In the near term, climate
variability and extreme weather shocks are projected to increase, affecting all regions
with negative impacts on yield growth and food security, particularly in sub-Saharan
Africa and South Asia in the period up to 2030 (Burney et al., 2010; SREX, 2012).
Agriculture (including deforestation) accounts for about one-third of greenhouse gas
emissions; for this reason, it contributes significantly to climate change mitigation
(IPCC, 2007). While crops can be adapted to changing environments, the need to
reduce emissions will increasingly challenge conventional, resource-intensive
agricultural systems (Royal Society, 2009). Productivity growth needs to increase to
keep up with demand growth, but also to increase resilience of the sector to supply
shocks, whether due to climate change or due to resource limits more generally.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
12 THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
agriculture in the last decade are raising concerns about the ability of the sector to
maintain and increase productivity growth rates because agricultural research has to
spread its efforts across an increasing number of topics (OECD, 2011b).
Public R&D expenditures on agriculture in low-and middle-income countries are
generally lower as a percentage of agricultural GDP than in OECD countries, and there
is wide diversity across countries. In East Asia and the Pacific, China accounted for
about two-thirds of total public agricultural R&D spending in the low- and middle-
income countries in 2002. Following a period of stagnation in the 1990s, Chinas
agricultural research spending doubled during 2001-08 (Chen, Flaherty, and Zhang,
2012). In Sub-Saharan Africa, after a decade of stagnation in the 1990s, investment in
agricultural research rose more than 20% between 2001 and 2008. However, most of
this growth occurred in only a handful of countries (Beintema and Stads, 2011).
4 000
3 500
3 000
2 500
2 000
1 500
1 000
500
0
1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
While public expenditure is the main source of funding for agricultural R&D, private
sector investment has increased but is generally focused on high value and market-
oriented production systems. Greater protection of intellectual property, rapid
progress in molecular biology, and the integration of global output and input markets
have generated strong incentives for the private sector to invest in R&D. At the same
time, the record of private research in natural resource management and in
maintaining biodiversity is limited, with the exception of a few public-private
partnership initiatives.
Investments by the private sector in the developing world remain small and
agricultural research continues to be mostly funded by governments (Beintema and
Stads, 2008). The evidence suggests that, on average, government allocations have
accounted for 81% of funding since 2000, and only 7% of funding was derived through
donor contributions. These latter contributions have been in the form of both loans and
grants, and mostly attributed to countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and a few low-income
countries in Asia and Latin America (Etcheverra and Beintema, 2009).
International R&D, in particular by CGIAR, has in many instances successfully led to
the development of technologies well-suited to smallholder production systems. In the
1990s, more centres were added to the CGIAR and although total funding continued to
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE 13
grow, average spending levels per centre declined. Since 2000, overall funding to the
15 centres of the CGIAR has increased, but a larger portion of this funding is support for
specific projects and programmes of research involving different centres and non-CGIAR
research organisations (Beintema and Elliott, 2009).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
14 THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
sectors. Some countries have merged or strengthened the links between agricultural
R&D and higher education institutions. Others have reformed their agricultural
universities. Mechanisms and networks to set priorities for agricultural research have
been strengthened and made more inclusive.5
Investments in agriculture
Investments in agriculture encompass both public and private spending on natural
capital (such as land, water and biodiversity), physical capital (such as animals,
machinery, irrigation systems, storage, processing and marketing facilities, roads, ports
and other hard infrastructure on- or off-farm), human capital (such as health,
education, training, and advisory services), and knowledge capital (such as research,
technology development, and organisational and other innovations). These various
types of investments play complementary roles in the production process and
contribute to increase productivity. Investment needs will vary depending on the stage
of economic and agricultural development.
Investment can be financed by both public and private sources, including domestic
savings of households and private companies, government savings, external borrowing,
and foreign investment. Public investments often focus on the provision of public
goods, while private investments tend to focus on areas generating private returns.
Private investors have been particularly involved in technology generation as IPRs have
been strengthened. But these lines are becoming increasingly blurred and public-
private partnerships are emerging where mutual benefits are anticipated
In terms of physical capital, increased mechanisation by investment in tractors and
power-threshers spurred crop yield growth in many industrialised countries a few
decades ago and continues to do so in developing countries. While this type of
investment can be characterised as private investments in agriculture, investments for
agriculture play an important enabling role. They have public good (or quasi-public
good) characteristics and are consequently predominantly financed from public
sources. Investment in infrastructure in rural areas, in particular transportation (ports
and rural roads), soil and water conservation, irrigation systems, electrification and
information and communication technologies, is an effective way to stimulate
productivity growth (Shenggen Fan, 2008; Mogues and Benin, 2012). It allows
smallholders to connect to markets and thereby provide higher incentives to increase
productivity. Irrigation systems allow for increased land productivity, particularly in
countries that depend on rain-fed agriculture and face water shortages. Often,
infrastructure and road development are ranked among the top two sources of overall
agricultural growth, second to R&D investments. Especially in Africa, irrigation and
feeder roads are shown to have large output-increasing and poverty-reducing effects.
The importance of transport infrastructure is demonstrated in Africa where, for certain
landlocked countries, transport costs can be as high as 77% of the value of their
exports. The establishment of development corridors linked to major ports can be an
effective way to stimulate local economies (Foresight, 2011). Improving market
facilities such as warehouses, storage facilities and market-information systems are
important in creating an enabling environment and facilitating the integration of
farmers into markets as well as providing incentives to increase investment and hence
productivity.
5. For example the Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA) is an umbrella organisation
bringing together and forming coalitions of major stakeholders in agricultural research and
development in Africa.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE 15
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.0
-0.4
Low and middle income High income World
Source: FAOSTAT.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
16 THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE 17
help farmers acquire improved technology, and thus foster productivity, but over time
they can also impede the development of private markets and do not tackle the
problem of market failure directly.
More generally, if support is targeted to a specific input, it can encourage an input
mix that will not necessarily be economically or environmentally sustainable. For
example, irrigation subsidies can affect sustainable water use and may not encourage
the adoption of water saving irrigation systems if appropriate regulations are not in
place. Providing producers the tools they need for risk management is important for
the adoption of innovation, but too much government support in risk management
schemes may prevent the emergence of market solutions. As seen earlier, public
expenditures on agricultural R&D have positive and large impacts on agricultural
productivity, but public expenditures on extension and advisory services are also
important and complementary as they promote the adoption of new production systems
that enable productivity growth on a sustainable basis.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
18 THE SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY CHALLENGE
6. The OECD Schemes for the Varietal Certification of Seed Moving in International Trade provide
for the application of harmonized procedures and techniques that reduce technical barriers and
facilitate international trade in high quality seed. The OECD Seed Schemes are open to OECD
countries as well as all Member countries of the United Nations; currently, 58 countries actively
participate in the Schemes. Over 200 species and more than 43 000 varieties are listed in the
2012 OECD List of Varieties. All varieties listed have met the OECD criteria including Value for
Cultivation and Use (VCU) and Distinctness, Uniformity and Stability (DUS)
(www.oecd.org/tad/seed).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
TAKING STOCK OF ACTIONS UNDERWAY 19
The recommendations in this report call upon the G20 governments to take action
on increasing agricultural productivity in a sustainable manner in their own countries,
but also to support non G20 developing countries in their efforts to address the
challenges global agriculture faces.
Mindful of the need to avoid proliferation of new mechanisms and to build on the
2011 Action Plan on Food Price Volatility and Agriculture, the proposals made build on
existing institutions, organisations and expertise. Box 1 summarises the status of
ongoing initiatives that were launched by the G20 in 2011, and Box 2 provides more
detail on the G20 Conference on Agricultural Research for Development, held in
Montpellier, France in September of that year.
Box 1. 2011 G20 Action Plan on Food Price Volatility and agriculture
In June 2011 the meeting of G20 Agriculture ministers agreed to an Action Plan on Food Price
Volatility and Agriculture, which was subsequently welcomed by Leaders during G20 summit in Cannes
in November 2011. While several element of the action plan build on ongoing initiatives, some specific
new activities were launched:
The Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) initiative has three objectives: 1) to
improve the information base and disseminate information in a transparent manner; 2) to develop the
capacity to produce detailed commodity market data; and 3) to facilitate policy dialogue and co-
ordination in the event of a serious development in commodity markets. The Agricultural Market
Information System (AMIS) initiative is comprised of three components: 1) the AMIS Secretariat; 2) the
Information Group (composed of experts in capitals); and 3) the Rapid Response Forum. The
Secretariat is based at the FAO, with active involvement from other international organisations. The first
meetings of both the Information Group and the Rapid Response Forum have taken place and
considerable progress is reported in developing new systems to improve the quality and timeliness of
market data for key food crops: wheat, maize, rice and soybeans. AMIS involves G20 countries and, at
this stage, Egypt, Viet Nam, Thailand, the Philippines, Nigeria, Ukraine and Kazakhstan. The AMIS
website was launched in December 2011 (www.amis-outlook.org).
The Global Agricultural Geo-monitoring Initiative (GEOGLAM) aims to strengthen the
international communitys capacity to produce and disseminate relevant, timely and accurate forecasts
of agricultural production at national, regional and global scales, by enhancing national agricultural
reporting systems; establishing an international network of agricultural monitoring and research
organisations and practitioners; and creating a monitoring system of systems based on both satellite
and in situ observations. It will, amongst other things, provide inputs into AMIS.
As a specific action to improve productivity through research and development the International
Research Initiative for Wheat Improvement (Wheat Initiative) was launched in Paris on 15
September 2011. This initiative is mainly science driven and aims at better coordination of international
research on wheat genetics, genomics and agronomy related to wheat, both bread and durum wheat.
The Tropical Agriculture Platform (TAP) focuses on enhancing capacity-building and knowledge
sharing to improve agricultural production and productivity. It is aiming at fostering the generation,
sharing and utilization of agricultural technologies and practices for smallholders in developing
countries, mainly using existing mechanisms.
The Platform for Agricultural Risk Management (PARM) is an initiative to promote the
integration of agricultural risk management into the agricultural policies of developing countries, by
facilitating co-ordination among practitioners in this field. The Platform was initiated by the French
development Agency (AFD) and is currently endorsed by IFAD (which is expected to host it), FAO,
WFP, World Bank, some regional development banks, and some bilateral cooperation agencies.
G20 leaders agreed to remove food export restrictions or extraordinary taxes for food purchased
for non-commercial humanitarian purposes by the World Food Program and agreed not to impose them
in the future. Discussions on this issue continue in the WTO.
Source: agriculture.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/2011-06-23_-_Action_Plan_-_VFinale.pdf.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
20 TAKING STOCK OF ACTIONS UNDERWAY
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
IMPROVING THE POLICY ENVIRONMENT FOR A MORE PRODUCTIVE AND SUSTAINABLE AGRICUTURE 21
In addition, this report recalls and reiterates the importance of continued support
to a number of ongoing activities and generally accepted principles that contribute to
improving agricultural productivity and sustainability. In that regard, G20 governments
should:
Recognise that increasing agricultural productivity growth in a sustainable manner
requires long term commitment and significant changes in the mechanisms and
institutions that support agricultural development.
Commit to improve the consistency and stability of funding of national, regional
and international Agricultural Innovation Systems.
Ensure that policies and strategies in pursuit of short term food security minimise
market distortions and do not compromise medium and long term sustainability.
Support programmes that recognise the importance of the interface of the
agriculture, nutrition, and health sectors by being better adapted and redesigned
to maximise health and nutrition benefits and to reduce health risks.
Commit to ensuring that the needs of women farmers are addressed in the
infrastructure and energy agendas of the G20, and to explicitly consider the
implications of G20-supported initiatives in these two areas for workload and
wellbeing of rural women.
Recognising the potential for the creation of innovations that generate significant
public global benefits, G20 governments:
Continue to support the CGIAR systems ability to carry out R&D on smallholder
productivity, including with continued specific attention to the needs of women
farmers, in appropriate partnership with the national and regional research
systems.
Continue to support and strengthen special funding mechanisms, and in particular
the Agriculture Pull Mechanism initiative to address the technology needs of
smallholders.
Improving the policy environment for a more productive and sustainable agriculture
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
22 - IMPROVING THE POLICY ENVIRONMENT FOR A MORE PRODUCTIVE AND SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE
unleash innovation and new technologies, and enhance farm profitability. Climate
change mitigation, water conservation, soil protection and biodiversity enhancement
are also part of such strategies. Progress towards a more strategic approach to
investment in agriculture, with clear long-term objectives and the harmonization of
policy and public and private investment, would bring sustained benefits.
G20 governments should support comprehensive national and regional agricultural
development and investment strategies which are country-owned and -led, evidence-
based, and inclusive of civil society and farmer organisations to prioritise, invest and
foster the accumulation of productive, intellectual, human and natural capital, and
facilitate private investment, both domestic and international, including that by
smallholders. Such strategies should include monitoring and evaluation mechanisms to
assess the transparency and effectiveness of investment programmes and strategies in
terms of productivity, environmental sustainability, food and nutritional security and
well-being.
G20 governments recognise that a productive and sustainable global food and
agriculture system requires long-term commitment, in their own countries and
elsewhere, as well as fundamental improvements in the mechanisms and the
approaches to enable further development, particularly on small family farms.
Creating relevant data and information upon which to base policy decisions is often
a significant limitation to effective policy-making. There is a growing need for
information to guide policy concerning the environment, climate change, food security,
biodiversity, investment in agriculture, water and land use, and agricultural research
and innovation, as well as for information about processes of structural transformation
in rural areas and in agriculture, including their social and gender dimensions.
Improving the capacity of countries to collect economic, policy and environmental
information to measure agricultural performance and the results of agricultural
investment is central to formulate effective policies. The Global Strategy to Improve
Agricultural and Rural Statistics provides a framework for national and international
statistical systems, which enable them to produce and to apply the basic data and
information needed to guide decision making in the twenty-first century (FAO-UN-World
Bank, 2011). The Monitoring African Food and Agricultural Policies project (MAFAP), for
example, is a pilot initiative to support decision-makers at national, regional and pan-
African levels by developing a systematic method to monitor and analyse food and
agricultural policies in African countries. Climate smart agriculture approaches seek to
build evidence-based policy frameworks that integrate climate change adaptation and
mitigation concerns into agricultural development strategies for food security and
poverty reduction (FAO, 2010a). If successful, such initiatives should be expanded. 7
Well functioning input and output markets are needed to ensure access to needed
production inputs and to enable suppliers to reach consumers. Information on physical
markets allows producers to make decisions about timely supply to markets, in
response to seasonal and other demand trends. The G20 initiative of the Agricultural
Market Information System (AMIS), for example, aims to enhance food market outlook
information and build capacity in developing countries by strengthening collaboration
and dialogue among countries. The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook assesses agricultural
market prospects, presenting projections and related market analysis over a ten-year
horizon. The FAO global perspectives publications provide assessments of the long-term
7. Another large scale data initiative is GEOSHARE. This recent research consortium gathers
national and sub-national statistics from various researchers and public agencies worldwide to
put together a consistent time series of spatially disaggregated global data on agriculture,
natural resources, and environment. It develops an open source data portal to the global
research and policy making community. It is an outgrowth of the UK Foresight project Global
Food and Farming Futures (www.geoshareproject.org/).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
IMPROVING THE POLICY ENVIRONMENT FOR A MORE PRODUCTIVE AND SUSTAINABLE AGRICUTURE 23
outlook for the world's food supplies, nutrition and agriculture, and highlight risks and
uncertainties that may influence market outcomes, as well as the priority areas where
investment and research should be directed (FAO, 2009b). These global initiatives are
essential, but relevant sub-national level information is sometimes lacking.
Recommendation 1
Recognising the imperative to increase agricultural productivity sustainably, in particular on small
farms in developing countries, and the long-term nature of the engagement required to meet future
global demand for food and other agricultural products, G20 governments should:
1. Commit to invest in sustainable approaches to productivity growth in their domestic agriculture
sectors, with particular attention to smallholder farmers, both women and men, according to their
role in the overall domestic agricultural and food security systems, fostering structural
transformation and sustainable agricultural growth.
2. Support the Global Strategy to Improve Agricultural and Rural Statistics and commit to
collaboration with concerned international organisations (particularly OECD, FAO, IFAD, IFPRI
and the World Bank) in measuring levels of public and private investment in agricultural
productivity.
3. Introduce, as an on-going feature of G20 work, a process of analysis and peer review to identify
best policy options to increase agricultural productivity growth sustainably, and more generally to
promote coherence between food security, agricultural productivity and sustainability objectives
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
24 - IMPROVING THE POLICY ENVIRONMENT FOR A MORE PRODUCTIVE AND SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE
Reducing production losses due to pests, diseases and mishandling will both
enhance productivity and contribute to reducing pressure on fragile resources. There is
a need to ensure the implementation of viable, functioning, adequately funded and
transparent sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) systems, in particular to improve plant and
animal health surveillance, control, inspection and approval procedures to reduce the
risk of entry, establishment or spread of pests, diseases, and organisms that can affect
human, animal or plant life or health.
The World Trade Organisation (WTO) SPS Agreement and SPS Committee should play
a critical role in this regard. Capacity building in developing countries, in particular to
implement international SPS standards, guidelines and recommendations, is another
vital component of the strategy to be adopted. In this regard, the Standards and Trade
Development Facility (STDF), a partnership including FAO, the World Organisation for
Animal Health (OIE), the World Bank, the World Health Organisation (WHO), and the
WTO, should be supported to strengthen collaboration, increase awareness, mobilise
resources, and identify and disseminate good practice in SPS capacity building.
Recommendation 2
G20 governments should:
1. Demonstrate leadership in multilateral negotiations to strengthen international disciplines on
all forms of import and export restrictions, as well as on domestic support schemes that distort
production incentives. Specifically,
- substantially improve market access, while maintaining appropriate safeguards for
developing countries, especially the most vulnerable ones;
- substantially reduce trade distorting domestic support and eliminate export subsidies;
- improve transparency in trade policies and domestic support measures, including timely
notification of measures;
- support the WTO-OECD Aid for Trade initiative and other similar initiatives that aim to help
developing countries, particularly least developed ones, develop trade-related skills and
trade infrastructure; and,
- commit to strengthen initiatives at all levels in favour of trade facilitation, that aim to reduce
border restrictions to trade, and demonstrate leadership in multilateral negotiations in this
field.
2 Promote greater adherence to the science-based sanitary and phytosanitary measures
developed by the FAO/WHO Codex Alimentarius Commission, the FAO International Plant
Protection Convention, and the World Organisation for Animal Health, in full conformity with
the WTO Agreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures.
3. Support sanitary and phytosanitary capacity building, including through the Standards and
Trade Development Facility (STDF) to strengthen collaboration with developing countries and
assist in building their capacity and the capacity of their farming communities to implement
international sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) standards, guidelines and recommendations.
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As the economic crisis deepens, aid budgets may be affected. The evidence
suggests that economic crises have important consequences on aid, not only decreasing
aid budgets but also changing the evolution as donors tend to slow down, and
sometimes reverse, the pre-crisis paths of aid budget expansion (Rapsomanikis, 2009).
Preliminary findings based on DAC members returns to the forward spending survey
suggest slower aid growth ahead. Global country programme aid is planned to grow at a
real rate of 2% per year from 2011 to 2013, compared to 8% per year on average over
the period 2008-10 (OECD, 2012e).
Donors should reaffirm their commitments to ODA, and where appropriate prioritise
agriculture development to help the worlds poorest improve their economic prospects.
These efforts should align with national agricultural development plans and priorities.
The Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness in 2005 and the 4 th High Level Forum for
Effective Development Cooperation in Busan in 2011 were significant steps to enhancing
donor co-ordination and responsiveness to country strategies and priorities.
The Global Agriculture and Food Security Program (GAFSP), launched in April 2010,
provides an additional important avenue for public investment. As of February 2012,
the GAFSP has pledged and committed USD 1.1 billion from a number of donors. To
date, investment programmes are assisted by the World Bank, the African Development
Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank, the International Fund for Agricultural
Development (IFAD), and the FAO. Currently, GAFSP has approximately USD 180 million
to allocate to the highest ranked proposals. However, there is no guarantee that all
deserving proposals will be funded given the limited availability of funds.
8. www.fao.org/economic/est/investments/en/
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The OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises develop standards for responsible
business conduct that are applicable to the agricultural supply chains. New initiatives
are emerging to harness large private investors, both international and domestic, to
contribute to boosting agricultural growth in developing countries. Innovative
mechanisms bring together public and private sector stakeholders to define middle-
range investment plans with a growth corridor or a value chain focus, such as the
recent Grow Africa Partnership initiative, the New Vision for Agriculture of the World
Economic Forum, and the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SAGCOT).
Public-private partnerships (PPP) are at the core of these initiatives and include,
but are not limited to, joint ventures between foreign investors and local producers or
their associations. In addition, supermarkets in developing countries are leading
processors and exporters to transform the marketing channels into which smallholders
sell. Business models include contract farming or out-grower schemes under which
smallholders can be offered inputs, credit, technical advice, and a guaranteed market
at a fixed price, albeit at the cost of some freedom of choice over crops. Mixed models
are also possible with investments in a large-scale core enterprise at the centre, with
out-growers under contract to supplement core production (Hallam, 2012).
Care must be taken, however, in the selection and formulation of business models
that are capable of meeting the needs of both host countries and investors. There is
scant evidence on the impact of PPPs involving foreign investors and agro-
industry/supermarket organised value chains on the participation of smallholders in
market integration. While some positive experiences emerged recently, the literature
suggests that agricultural value chains routinely shed participants or collapse
completely, while the degree to which participating smallholders benefit remains
uncertain, especially in cases where new business arrangements leave smallholders
exposed to risks (Barrett et al., 2010).
International guidance must go beyond setting principles that agricultural
investments should comply with in order to avoid negative impacts. It must also move
towards practical advice that would help ensure benefits are shared equitably between
investors and host countries and, in particular for their local populations. Generating
solid evidence on inclusive business models and scaling up effective partnerships
between agribusiness, governments and smallholders can harness private capital and
capacity towards the achievement of broad-based national priorities in terms of food
security, productivity growth and sustainable agriculture.
Recommendation 3
Recognising the importance of defining framework conditions that would attract increased investment,
whilst ensuring appropriate sharing of benefits between the host country citizens and investors,
G20 governments should:
1. Support country-level implementation of the Voluntary Guidelines on Governance of Tenure of
Land, Fisheries and Forests in the Context of National Food Security, recognizing the
importance of fair and efficient institutions for natural resource tenure and management.
2. Support the Committee on World Food Security process on the Principles for responsible
Agricultural Investments (PRAI) and on-going work to field test and operationalise the PRAI,
and advocate their implementation by investors, governments, international organisations and
civil society.
3. Support a series of international consultations with the relevant international organisations, the
B20 and farmers organisations to assess the potential of various public-private partnership
models to increase foreign direct investment in developing country agriculture and, promote
and scale-up appropriate partnership models in developing countries agriculture, noting in
particular the plans of the B20 New Vision for Agriculture, the Grow Africa Partnership, and
the FAO Committee on World Food Security.
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10. www.globalresearchalliance.org.
11. Biosciences Eastern and Central Africa: BecA website, hub.africabiosciences.org/.
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12. For example the Forum for Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA), the Inter-American Institute
for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA), Association for Strengthening Agricultural Research in
Eastern and Central Africa (ASARECA), Conference of African and French leaders of agricultural
research institutes (CORAF), the Asia-Pacific Association of Agricultural Research Institutions
(APAARI), and the Forum for the Americas on Agricultural Research and Technology
Development (FORAGRO).
13. Such as the regional agricultural research in Africa, the West Africa Agriculture Productivity
Program and the East African Agricultural Productivity Programme.
14. The OECD Co-operative Research Programme (CRP) on Biological Resources in Agriculture,
which aims to strengthen the scientific knowledge that informs policy decisions on sustainable
use of natural resources in agriculture, food, forests and fisheries, could also provide such a
platform. See for example the proceedings of the Conference on Challenges for Agricultural
Research it organised in Prague on 6-8 April 2009 (www.oecd.org/agriculture/crp)
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and use of competitive research grants toward wider alliances and R&D consortia, such
as the Papa Andina network in Latin America that brings farmers, researchers, and
processing industry together to address technology and market challenges. In more
market-oriented contexts, the strategic focus for institutional partnerships in the
research system is expected to shift towards more resource leveraging and research
linkages to producer organisations, agricultural input or processing industries, and
supermarkets. This takes place usually within the framework of public-private
partnerships (PPPs) and in the form of consortia (Annex A). The key challenge is to
maintain a balance between strategic research that focuses on small family farm
productivity and market-oriented research. Specific funding strategies are required to
ensure that research continues to contribute to the reduction of rural poverty.
15. An angel investor provides backing to very early-stage businesses or business concepts. For
example, a business may have little more than a business concept and perhaps a plan for
growing the business.
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Agricultural Capital, African Agribusiness Investment Fund are examples of new venture
funds targeting African agriculture.
Agricultural pull-mechanisms reward successful innovations ex post, as compared to
push mechanisms which fund potential innovations ex ante. Models for pull mechanisms
include: 1) standard prizes that reward achievements in a technology development
contest; 2) proportional prize structures that reward innovations in proportion to their
impact; and 3) advance market commitments (Annex A).
The Agricultural Pull Mechanism Initiative (AGPM), to be launched in 2012 by the
G20, convenes experts across a variety of fields and collaborates with a diverse set of
stakeholders, including governments, private companies, non-governmental
organisations, and civil society organisations. It has developed a short list of potential
pilot concepts and has formulated the architecture for the underlying pull mechanisms
to overcome some of the constraints for the creation of an innovation that will
generate wider social benefits.
Such pull programmes are financially attractive because no resources are spent
until the desired product is developed and approved by regulators. They can be
structured so that total expenditure depends on adoption rates creating strong
incentives for researchers to select appropriate projects and focus on developing
products that farmers will want to use. Pull-mechanisms ought to focus on a specific
market failure and development solution, embedded in agricultural innovation systems
in terms of regulatory environment.
16. Venture capital is a form of private equity that is provided for both early-stage and more
mature companies with substantial market potential. Returns on venture capital investment
stem from a trade sale (sale to, or merger with, another company) or an initial public offering
in which the company becomes authorized to sell its stock to the general public on a stock
exchange. Venture capital funds will not only provide money but will mentor their investee
firms.
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economies of scale, and the provision of the technical background and certification for
service providers.
Extension services also need to be geared to the development of integrated
extension and advisory services that combine market-oriented services with other
services, such as group organisation, access to technology and knowledge, and links to
finance (Swanson and Rajalahti, 2010; World Bank, 2012), along with empowerment of
producers, women and men alike. Investment in new capacities (market-oriented
services, group-based approaches, use of ICT), and new tools and actors is often
needed in countries with a weak system and a large small-holder base. Among new
tools, ICTs are increasingly used to circulate market, price, and weather information
and to offer specific kinds of extension advice. ICTs targeting small-holders, however,
require both public and private investment (World Bank, 2011). Successful
implementation requires more knowledge of good practices in extension, which can be
provided by coordinated efforts of different actors, such as the Global Forum for Rural
Advisory Services (GFRAS).
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Recommendation 4
Mindful of the benefits of multilateral cooperation in Agricultural Innovation Systems (encompassing
education, science and extension), G20 governments should:
1. Continue to support existing and on-going initiatives that contribute to improving agricultural
productivity sustainably, including the Tropical Agriculture Platform, the Wheat Initiative, the
Global Forum for Agricultural Research, the Global Research Alliance on Agricultural
Greenhouse Gases and the Global Alliance on Food Security Research.
2. Facilitate exchange of experience and policy dialogue on AIS at high level, initially in at least
two ways:
- supporting on an on-going basis, an annual meeting of "chief scientists" in G20 countries;
and
- inviting existing mechanisms and platforms, such as the G20 Tropical Agricultural Platform,
the Global Conference on Agricultural Research for Development (GCARD), CGIAR
Research Programmes (CRP) planning mechanisms, and the Global Research Alliance
(GRA) on Agricultural Greenhouse Gases, to consider ways in which to further facilitate
international collaboration and information exchange on sustainable agricultural innovation
and growth, including identifying ways to better integrate research on
transnational/transboundary issues into agricultural production research, and ways to
effectively leverage existing research funding.
3. Strengthen efforts at the national, regional and global levels to identify, assess, prioritise,
monitor and evaluate investments in Agricultural Innovation Systems and identify the necessary
1
resources to support the Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators (ASTI) initiative to
a) collect and maintain a comprehensive database on expenditures on agricultural innovation;
b) develop tools and methods to assess the performance and impact of innovation systems.
1. See Annex B.
Improving the system of intellectual property rights (IPR), where there is need
Protection of intellectual property rights (IPRs) is an important factor influencing
the performance of agricultural innovation systems. Through adequate IPR protection,
rights-holders can exclude competitors from use of an innovation for a limited period of
time or, in the case of open innovation approaches, promote access and sharing. The
WTO Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS, which
entered into force in 1995) established near-global minimum standards of protection
for the main types of intellectual property.17
Of particular importance for agricultural productivity, TRIPS provides that patents
shall be available with a few exceptions in all fields of technology for inventions that
are new, non-obvious and useful. One exception concerns plant varieties, which may be
excluded and protected via a sui generis system such as the one provided under the
convention of the International Union for the Protection of New Varieties of Plants
(UPOV), or by any combination of those two options. In addition, in some cases,
national law and regional or international accords afford IPR protection beyond the
TRIPS minimum standards (e.g. availability of protection for new plant cultivars via
patents and plant variety protection laws).
17. The TRIPS Agreement covers patents, including plant variety protection, copyright and related
rights, trademarks, undisclosed information (including trade secrets), geographical indications,
industrial designs and topographies of integrated circuits.
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The strengthening of IPR protection in recent decades has also been associated with
an increase in private sector investment in agriculture-related research and
development and a surge in innovation leading to improved plant varieties, agricultural
chemicals, and production technologies (e.g. OECD, 2011b; Wright and Shih, 2010;
Kolady et al., 2010). In part due to the incentives provided via IPR, many of these
innovations have moved rapidly into commercial use. In some cases, the strengthened
IPR regime has led to new collaboration via pooling of intellectual property, as was the
case with development of a nutritionally enhanced strain of rice known as golden rice
(OECD, 2011d). A World Bank report (2006b) draws lessons on the design of regimes to
support plant breeding in developing countries, based on an empirical analysis of
existing regimes.
At the same time, concerns have emerged with respect to some aspects of the
present approaches to IPR protection in agriculture, particularly with respect to
patents and breeders rights. Fragmented ownership of intellectual property with
respect to research inputs (technologies and materials such as genes), may hamper the
innovation process or result in industry concentration to consolidate ownership of
intellectual property (Blakeney, 2011). The threat of litigation may hamper scientific
freedom to operate or may lead to liability for farmers using protected innovations
such as biotech crops (Wright and Shih, 2010; McGloughlin, 2012).
There are a variety of options available that may improve the system of IPR
protection to provide further incentives for private investment in innovation, without
compromising the sharing of knowledge and further innovation. Some of these issues
can be addressed by use of best practices in regulation and innovation policy
frameworks such as with respect to collaborative approaches, public-private
partnerships, or licensing of genetic inventions (e.g. OECD, 2011d and 2006). The
administration of the patent system is also important in terms of delivery of quality
patents that provide an appropriate degree of protection (Dons, 2012). 18
IPR protection remains uneven across some developing countries, both in terms of
compliance with TRIPS (e.g. Perera, 2011) and in terms of the ability to capitalise on
economic opportunities associated with the IPR system.19 Improved compliance and
awareness building may lead to improved performance of incentives for innovation and
diffusion of innovation in developing countries. There may be further potential for the
international community in providing technical assistance for improvement of IPR
systems in developing countries as well as for complementary measures such as Aid For
Trade that may improve the business environment for private sector engagement
including with respect to agriculture (OECD-WTO, 2011).
A major problem in agriculture in many developing countries, particularly relevant
in the case of small-scale farms, is a growing conflict and imbalance between the
traditional farmer seed systems and the commercial seed sector. Seed laws in many
developing countries have been reviewed and changed during the last decade, in
particular to support the emergence of the private sector. In many countries, the law
applies to all seeds and planting materials, including traditional varieties, but
implementation rules are available for only a few major crops. Despite the growing
awareness of the value of the farmers sector, very few countries have explicit
exemptions for farmers traditional seed systems, which make marketing of farmers
18. This means that the patents awarded should be clearly defined with a scope in line with the
nature of the invention and not overly broad.
19. The African Agricultural Technology Foundation (AATF) facilitates and promotes PPPs for the
access and delivery of appropriate proprietary agricultural technologies for use by resource-
poor smallholder farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa. www.aatf-africa.org/
(www.iphandbook.org/handbook/ch17/p18/).
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seeds technically illegal. The concept of farmers rights, adopted in the International
Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture (PGRFA) (FAO, 2009c),
prescribes involvement of farmers in the development of policy and gives farmers the
right to save, use, exchange and sell farm-saved seed. This may require some countries
to revise their seed laws or regulations taking into account national needs and
priorities, while also respecting international obligations concerning IPR protection,
including with respect to the TRIPS Agreement.
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Recommendation 5
G20 governments should:
1. Commit to support developing countries to establish and enforce appropriate IPR systems
consistent with international obligations, in particular the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects
of Intellectual Property Rights and the International Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food
and Agriculture, including application of the provisions of the latter treaty with respect to farmers
rights, with a view to promoting productivity and private investment in line with each countrys
strategy for food security.
2. Support the development and promotion of a global information system on plant and animal
genetic resources conserved in situ as well as in genebanks as a tool to boost plant breeding
and to sustainably increase agricultural productivity both worldwide and at small-scale farmer
levels. They also commit to make the information relating to genetic resources conserved in
their national genebanks available through a common portal, such as Genesys, which is
hosted by the CGIAR and to support the linking of this portal with information systems
containing genomic data.
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increase efficient water use, recovering operation and maintenance costs for
water supplied to irrigators; and reforming water pricing policy.
2. Invest in water infrastructure to address water resource and quality concerns,
including fostering more efficient farming practices and farming systems, such as
aggressive crop breeding for (biotic) water stress tolerance, which can yield
significantly larger water conservation benefits than direct interventions in
irrigation systems. Also, in regions of greatest water stress expand water storage
capacity.
3. Enable innovation to promote improved water management in agriculture. To
enable, disseminate and speed-up innovation over the long-term requires changing
the behaviour of governments, farmers, water managers, the agro-food chain and
other stakeholders by:
engaging these stakeholders to address water management issues, especially at
the water catchment or sub-catchment level;
enabling change by educating, training and raising awareness of farmers
through farm advisory services and building the capacity of other stakeholders
in a water catchment in the realisation of policy goals; and,
establishing information and knowledge systems to provide technical and socio-
economic information about the likely impact (science), costs (financial) and
farmer reactions (social) to a given policy change to address water
management in agriculture.
4. Strengthen institutions and governance to support efforts enhancing food and
water security. This involves the establishment of secure water use rights for
smallholder farmers, which should be the highest priority for water policy and
institutional reform, given its inherent potential to increase the efficiency of
water use and equity for the allocation of water resources for different users.
5. Build resilience, to address long-term concerns with food and water security,
including developing and implementing agricultural adaptation and mitigation
options, most of which are related to water.
Recommendation 6
Recognising the importance to improve the efficiency of water use in agriculture and to safeguard
the quality of water, as an integral part of sustainable productivity growth, G20 governments should:
1. Support countries in considering a range of policy responses to address the increasing
importance of improved agricultural water management to sustainable productivity growth in
both rainfed and irrigated agriculture. This includes policies that create incentives for farmers
and other water users to better incorporate the value of water and the cost of pollution into their
decisions and it includes strategic investments in water storage and supply infrastructure with
the involvement of water user associations, including farmers, in privatepublic partnerships.
2. Promote innovations in water research, information and knowledge systems, and outreach to
farmers and other stakeholders at the water catchment level.
3. Seek to improve the institutional effectiveness of water governance in agriculture, and build
resilience to address the increasing risks to water security associated with climate change.
4. Continue dialogue based on the recommendations concerning food security and water made by
Ministers in their Declaration at the World Water Forum, Marseille, France, 13 March 2012.
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Input subsidies
The use of fertiliser in Africa averages only eight kilograms per hectare, that is,
only 10% of the world's average. Addressing Africas fertiliser crisis is therefore urgent.
Over the last ten years, African countries have implemented large-scale, multi-year
input subsidies.20 These programmes have multiple objectives: to increase production
and enhance food security by loosening the constraints posed by price volatility, cash
constraints and lack of knowledge and strengthening the demand for inputs by
smallholders. They aim to consolidate input marketing systems, which suffer from lack
of economies of scale (Annex F). They are considered market-smart as they target
smallholders exclusively through vouchers and grants, and attempt to promote private
sector solutions for the provision and distribution of inputs (Dorward, 2009; Dorward
et al., 2008).
Available evidence, albeit very limited, suggests that subsidies in many countries
have contributed to agricultural productivity gains, although their success cannot be
totally separated from exogenous factors such as favourable weather and depends
strongly on implementation performance (Druilhe et al., 2012). The associated costs
are also very high, crowding out alternative forms of public investment. If market-
smart subsidies are used to boost small family farm productivity sustainably, their
cost-efficiency must be improved.
It is important that such programmes be temporary and only target farmers who are
not aware of the benefits of fertiliser and improved seeds, or who have no means to
finance input purchases or access to credit. Interventions that do not affect the cost of
specific inputs, but rather enhance farmers liquidity, such as loan guarantees and
credit for input purchases, or facilitate access to inputs under value chain
arrangements, can provide efficient alternatives (Rapsomanikis, 2009). In the longer
term, one-time starter packs which combine input provision and extension can
effectively foster the adoption and diffusion of technology.
International organisations should support countries to strengthen monitoring and
evaluation systems of market-smart input subsidy programmes, improve small family
farm targeting and graduation mechanisms, and implement specific training to enhance
farmers knowledge of precision approaches to ensure sustainable input applications.
20. Amongst recent interventions, one can distinguish between targeted and rationed subsidies
implemented in East and Southern Africa (Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, Tanzania, Zambia), and
universal schemes (untargeted, pan-national for specific crops) adopted in West African
countries (Burkina, Senegal, Mali, Nigeria, Ghana).
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Country experiences are diverse (IFAD, 2011c). In some cases, these approaches
have spread easily due to the existence of favourable agro-ecological and market
conditions, without need for direct policy support. In other countries, their scaling up
has required a favourable policy environment. In yet other instances, political
commitment to both productivity growth and a sustainable intensification agenda has
been critical. In Zambia, adoption of conservation agriculture was successful, being an
explicit part of the current national agricultural policy (IFAD, 2011c). In China, the
promotion of ecological agriculture has also been clearly promoted through a
package of policy measures under the 11th Five Year Plan, while Indonesia has a
national programme for the promotion of integrated pest management. In 2012 FAO
initiated a project to support the development of climate smart agriculture policies,
strategies and investments with three partner countries: Malawi, Zambia and Viet Nam.
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Recommendation 7
Recognising the need to address the short-term imperatives of ensuring food security while
increasing the resilience and sustainability of food systems for the longer term and taking into
account the need to minimise potential market distorting effects, G20 governments should:
1. Commit to reviewing policies that may generate perverse incentives for sustainability and
encourage unsustainable use of natural resources, undertake the integration of natural resource
management into agricultural policy making to redress them, and work towards ensuring that
environmental sustainability gains are achieved.
2. Support developing countries in designing and implementing policies based on a
comprehensive analysis of the relationships between food security, food production and natural
resource use.
3. Support developing countries to strengthen monitoring and evaluation systems of market-
smart smallholder targeted input subsidy programmes, improve small family farm targeting
methods and graduation mechanisms, and implement specific training to enhance farmers
knowledge of precision approaches to ensure sustainable input applications on a gender equal
basis.
4. Support interested international and regional organisations to conduct analysis and studies and
recommend options to strengthen competition in the fertiliser industry, and improve access to
fertilisers at competitive prices, specifically in Sub-Saharan Africa (Annex F).
Risk management
Risk considerations are important factors that influence farmers decisions to adopt
new practices or technologies. Smallholders are rarely well equipped to manage risks in
an environment that is increasingly characterised by fragile ecosystems, persisting poor
integration into output, input, and finance markets, and often with a high prevalence
of diseases, such as HIV or malaria, or conflict.
Risk aversion hinders the adoption of technologies and practices, in spite of their
long term benefits for the individual farmer and for overall sustainable productivity
growth. Small family farms may choose lower return crop and livestock production
options over more technology- and input-intensive options. Or they may opt for
productivity enhancing over sustainability enhancing practices. The threat of shocks,
either general, such as droughts, or farm-specific, such as a crop failure, increases
their financial risks and makes smallholders reluctant to access credit markets due to
the consequences of an inability to repay.
Reducing the risk for farmers to adopt more sustainable and productive practices is
complex. Appropriate public investments in infrastructure, storage, services, and
better governance of natural resources and of agricultural markets, including contracts
and institutional arrangements in value chains, are both critical to limiting the risk
environment for smallholders, as well as for other private sector actors.
On-farm risk management strategies include diversification of production and
maintenance of on-farm genetic diversity. These strategies allow agricultural systems
to maintain production in the face of changes to climate and markets, and develop the
capacity to absorb shocks and continue to function within a changing set of
circumstances.
As recognised in the G20 Agricultural Ministers Action Plan of June 2011, financial
instruments are important to mitigate and manage agricultural risks. Farmers with
adequate access to credit and saving services, and with insurance coverage are better
able to invest in productive assets (Cai et al., 2009). However, traditional agricultural
insurance and credit services are unsustainable throughout the developing world,
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42 IMPROVING AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION SYSTEMS AND ADOPTION OF INNOVATIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
mainly as a result of the high transaction costs of reaching farmers who operate on a
small scale.
The development of market-based approaches to financial inclusion for
smallholders has been central to recent efforts. Credit is essential to build up the
necessary capital. In particular, longer term loans are needed for investment in
productive and natural capital, such as storage and soil fertility. Initiatives for the
development of innovative micro-insurance schemes and of weather index insurance
products have gained attention, particularly in the case of weather index insurance
as a tool to manage systemic risks.
Pilot initiatives undertaken with support from a number of donors, alongside private
and public sector partners, indicate that weather index insurance products indexed to
weather station data, area and yield, or satellite rainfall estimations, have the
potential to overcome high transaction costs associated with traditional multi-peril
crop insurance (IFAD and WFP, 2010).
Although index insurance is in the early stages of development, numerous pilot
studies have been completed and several practitioners and donors have begun to shift
their attention to the challenge of scaling up successful approaches. The work of the
WFP-IFAD Weather Risk Management Facility is an example of a systematic approach to
taking stock of success factors for weather index insurance programmes, defining the
complementary roles of public and private sector actors, and identifying the
preconditions for scaling up successful models.
Challenges to the diffusion of index insurance include its limited affordability and
appeal for poor farmers, and the constraints faced by the private sector to develop
index insurance products outside the context of partnerships with the public sector. In
order to design quality index insurance contracts, it is important to improve the quality
of data to which such risk management instruments are indexed. In this regard,
reaching many farmers with instruments to manage weather risks requires more and
better weather stations emitting higher-quality weather data. Current technological
developments on the use of ICTs and satellite imagery are gradually making the
collection of meteorological information easier, which may significantly help
developing countries.
For scaling up purposes, there remains a need to broaden efforts to improve data
collection systems and to strengthen national meteorological services and their
weather observing networks. More importantly, there is a need for historical
meteorological data to be made available and easily accessible to insurers and re-
insurers to facilitate the design of weather risk management instruments and improve
the estimation of risk premia.
Relevant initiatives were supported by the G20 as part of the 2011 Action Plan on
Food Price Volatility and Agriculture. In particular, efforts to provide smallholders with
innovative and effective market-based risk management options should be scaled up.
Public-private partnerships, specifically with international organisations and the
cellular telecommunications corporations, promote the establishment of networks of
stations in developing countries for the making of meteorological observations.
Initiatives such as the Weather Info for All (WIFA) in which the World Bank and the
World Meteorological Organization work together with mobile telephony operators aim
at hosting weather equipment at mobile network sites to strengthen weather networks
and systems.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
IMPROVING AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION SYSTEMS AND ADOPTION OF INNOVATIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH 43
Recommendation 8
G20 governments should:
1. Support the efforts of relevant International Organizations and existing risk management
initiatives, such as the Platform for Agricultural Risk Management, the Global Index Insurance
Facility, the Weather Risk Management Facility, the R4 Rural Resilience Initiative and the
Weather Info for All, to provide smallholders with innovative and effective market-based risk
management options, including weather index insurance.
2. Strengthen their own efforts towards exchanging weather information, including the recovery of
historical meteorological information to facilitate the development of weather index insurance and
re-insurance markets (Annex G).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
44 IMPROVING AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION SYSTEMS AND ADOPTION OF INNOVATIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
The restructuring of downstream segments of the food value chain presents new
risks of marginalisation for smallholders, and new opportunities for some to raise their
income and productivity. This is particularly true in domestic markets in developing
countries which are becoming more segmented and differentiated, offering different
entry points for smallholders with diverse potential in terms of quality of production
and market engagement.
Progress has also been made in recent years in innovative financing to agriculture
through public-private or donor-facilitated mechanisms, such as equity financing,
refinancing, guarantee funds to allow development of new financial products, and
fiscal incentives to financial institutions providing inclusive services in rural areas.
Value-chain financing is an innovative terrain with promising opportunities for
smallholders and offers the potential to link access to finance to productivity growth.
Including agriculture in a broader financial agenda is increasingly recognised.21
New market opportunities are often linked to establishing collaborative
arrangements between smallholders and larger private sector enterprises retailers,
processors, but also providers of inputs and technical assistance. A variety of business
arrangements including contract farming, out-grower schemes, and others can
provide incentives for smallholders to engage in more productive activities. However,
ensuring that this occurs often requires the public sector to play both enabling and
active supportive roles, in particular in ensuring that the business arrangements that
link smallholders to the modern value chains provide incentives to more sustainable
practices.
With a supporting enabling environment, smallholders will be better placed to
adopt productivity enhancing technology. However, the greater challenge is to improve
the functioning of both upstream and downstream agricultural markets so that they can
serve smallholders on an equal footing with larger actors, with manageable risks, and
on terms that make it worthwhile and feasible for them to shift to more productive and
sustainable practices. The ability of smallholders to organise is often the key enabling
factor for them to engage profitably and at reduced risk in new markets as
organisations can facilitate economies of scale in access to inputs and services,
information, capital, marketing and negotiations with other actors.
About a third of food produced for human consumption is wasted or lost globally,
and over 40% of the losses in developing countries occur at the post-harvest and
processing levels (FAO, 2011d). Efforts to develop new technologies to reduce post-
harvest losses have been comparatively much lower than those to boost production.
Improved post-harvest systems, however, require more than improved technologies and
need to cover a large segment of value chains, including preservation, conservation,
safety and quality control or enhancement, processing, packaging, storage,
distribution, and marketing. There is a need for a comprehensive approach that links
R&D to technology dissemination, advisory services, infrastructural development,
capacity building, and institutional innovation in all segments of agricultural value
chains where losses may occur (IFAD, 2011b). 22
21. This issue is thoroughly dealt with in a report to the G20 by the Global Partnership for Financial
Inclusion and the International Finance Corporation, namely CPFI and IFC (2011).
22. Among the several existing initiatives to address post-harvest losses at the international level we
may cite the FAO-hosted Information Network on Post-Harvest Operations, which promotes
sharing of data and best practices in post-harvest activities, supporting post-harvest management
and related capacity building at the country level, and the Post-Harvest Action, Global Post-
Harvest Forum, which contributes towards a post-harvest R&D agenda developed on a multi-
stakeholder basis (IFAD, 2011b).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
IMPROVING AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION SYSTEMS AND ADOPTION OF INNOVATIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH 45
Recommendation 9
G20 governments promote human capital development and agricultural productivity growth for
smallholders, women and men alike, and with particular attention to youth. They should:
1. Support the continued provision of targeted, well-designed and gender-sensitive social safety-
net programmes that meet the immediate food and nutrition needs of smallholders and their
households, and that also help reduce risks and costs associated with the adoption of more
productive and sustainable practices and technologies.
Unless policies to promote innovation and investment have an explicit gender focus,
women will continue to be disadvantaged with respect to accessing technologies,
markets and services. As a result of their multiple responsibilities, women face major
labour constraints. Investing in labour-saving and productivity enhancing technologies
and infrastructure to free womens time for more productive activities is pivotal.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
46 IMPROVING AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION SYSTEMS AND ADOPTION OF INNOVATIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
Recommendation 10
G20 governments should:
1. Recommend the explicit integration of agricultural education and of the sustainable
agriculture intensification agenda into the international organisations initiative to
support national skills development strategies, as developed under the G20
Development Working Group in 2011, and widen the range of involved organisations to
explore possibilities to enhance South-South and triangular co-operation in the
gender-sensitive reform of agricultural education systems.
2. Recognise the equal importance of the roles of women and men farmers in promoting
sustainable agricultural productivity growth, the critical need to bridge gender
productivity gaps in agriculture, and the need for measures to improve gender
equality, in particular concerning access to land, water, education, services,
technology and decent rural employment. In particular, they should promote tools
such as the Womens Empowerment in Agriculture Index to assess the impact of
policies and investment on women
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Annex A.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
54 ANNEX A. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AIS
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ANNEX A. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AIS 55
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58 ANNEX A. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AIS
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ANNEX A. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AIS 59
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60 ANNEX A. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AIS
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ANNEX A. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON AIS 61
References to Annex A
lvarez, R., J.M. Benavente, C. Contreras, and J.L. Contreras (2010), Consorcios Tecnolgicos
en Amrica Latina: Una primera exploracin de los casos de Argentina, Chile, Colombia y
Uruguay, Technical Note No. IDB TN-127, Washington, DC: BID (Banco Interamericano de
Desarrollo). idbdocs.iadb.org/wsdocs/getdocument.aspx?docnum=35242324, accessed March
2011.
Campbell, A.F. (2007), How to Set Up a Technology Transfer Office: Experiences from Europe.
In Intellectual Property Management in Health and Agricultural Innovation: A Handbook of
Best Practices, Vol. 1, edited by A Krattiger, R.T. Mahoney, L. Nelsen, J.A. Thomson,
A.B. Bennett, K. Satyanarayana, G.D. Graff, C. Fernandez, and S.P. Kowalski. Oxford, UK, and
Davis, California: Centre for the Management of Intellectual Property in Health Research and
Development (MIHR) and Public Intellectual Property Resource for Agriculture (PIPRA),
pp. 55966. www.ipHandbook.org, accessed April 2011.
Cavatassi, R., M. Gonzlez-Flores, P. Winters, J. Andrade-Piedra, P. Espinosa and G. Thiele
(2009), "Linking smallholders to the new agricultural economy: An evaluation of the
Plataformas Program in Ecuador", ESA Working Paper 09-06, Rome, FAO.
Devaux, A., D. Horton, C. Velasco, G. Thiele, G. Lopez, T. Bernet, I. Reinoso, and M. Ordinola,
(2009), Collective Action for Market Chain Innovation in the Andes, Food Policy, Vol. 34,
pp. 318.
Devaux, A., J. Andrade-Piedra, D. Horton, M. Ordinola, G. Thiele, A. Thomann, and C. Velasco
(2010), Brokering Innovation for Sustainable Development: The Papa Andina Case, ILAC
Working Paper No. 12, Rome: Institutional Learning and Change Initiative (ILAC).
Di Giorgio, R.C. (2007), From University to Industry: Technology Transfer at Unicamp in Brazil.
In Intellectual Property Management in Health and Agricultural Innovation: A Handbook of
Best Practices, vol. 1, edited by A Krattiger, R.T. Mahoney, L. Nelsen, J.A. Thomson, A.B.
Bennett, K. Satyanarayana, G.D. Graff, C. Fernandez, and S.P. Kowalski. Oxford, UK, and
Davis, California: Centre for the Management of Intellectual Property in Health Research and
Development (MIHR) and Public Intellectual Property Resource for Agriculture (PIPRA),
pp. 174754. www.ipHandbook.org, accessed April 2011.
Horton, D., B. Akello, L. Aliguma, T. Bernet, A. Devaux, B. Lemaga, D. Magala, S. Mayanja,
I. Sekitto, G. Thiele, and C. Velasco (2010), Developing Capacity for Agricultural Market
Chain Innovation: Experience with the PMCA in Uganda, Journal of International
Development, Vol. 2, p. 367.
World Bank (2005), China Agriculture Technology Transfer Project, Project Appraisal
Document, Washington, DC: World Bank.
World Bank (2006), India: National Agricultural Innovation Project, Project Appraisal
Document, Report No. 34908-IN, Agriculture and Rural Development Sector Unit, South Asia
Region, Washington, DC.
World Bank (2010), Designing and Implementing Agricultural Innovation Funds: Lessons from
Competitive Research and Matching Grant Projects, Report No. 54857-GLB. Washington, DC.
World Bank (2012), Agricultural Innovation Systems: An Investment Sourcebook. Washington, DC:
World Bank.
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62 ANNEX B. MEASURING INVESTMENTS AND CAPACITIES IN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH: THE ASTI INITIATIVE
Annex B.
The Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators (ASTI) initiative is one of the
few sources of information on agricultural R&D statistics for low- and middle-income
countries. Facilitated by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), ASTI
has been compiling, analysing, and publicizing primary data on institutional
developments, investments, and capacity trends in agricultural R&D in low- and
middle-income countries since 2001, building on prior projects undertaken by IFPRI and
the former International Service for National Agricultural Research (ISNAR).
ASTI has published sets of country briefs and country notes, datasets, regional
synthesis reports, and other analytical reports that have been widely and frequently
cited in national and international agricultural research policy documents. ASTI outputs
provide both data trends the progress of human and financial capacity in agricultural
research over time and data comparisons the performance of a country or a region
relative to another. The initiative has produced a large amount of original and ongoing
survey work focusing on developing countries, but it also maintains access to relevant
data for developed countries for comparative purposes. ASTI is also a comprehensive
source of qualitative information on the history of national agricultural R&D systems,
institutional changes, and constraints that agencies and researchers face in undertaking
agricultural R&D. Data collection, analysis, and dissemination are conducted through a
network of national, regional, and international agricultural R&D agencies. ASTI data
and associated reports are made freely available at the ASTI website
(www.asti.cgiar.org).
ASTI has been funded on a project basis, and as a result, data collection activities
have been rather ad hoc and focused mainly on updating out-of-date datasets. Since
2008, ASTI has received two subsequent grants from the Bill and Melinda Gates
Foundation for its data collection and analytical activities in Sub-Saharan Africa and
South Asia. This has allowed ASTI to initiate a transformation of its program to a more
sustainable and institutionalised monitoring system with frequent updates, and to
enhance the use of ASTI datasets and outputs for analytical purposes. ASTI is currently
seeking funding to replicate this institutionalized and decentralised data collection and
analysis system in SubSaharan Africa to other parts of the world. ASTI is also
developing plans to expand its indicators to include performance measurements.
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ANNEX C. NETWORKS TO SHARE GENOMIC INFORMATION 63
Annex C.
This annex provides a listing of some existing networks which can be leveraged to
share genomic information:
Ensembl Plants (European Molecular Biology Laboratory-European Bioinformatics Institute,
Cambridge, United Kingdom): 14 plant species. plants.ensembl.org/index.html.
Collaborating with ARS.
UniProt Knowledgebase (UniProtKB): UniProt is the central hub for the collection of
functional information on proteins. UniProt is a collaboration between the European
Bioinformatics Institute (EBI), the SIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics and the Protein
Information Resource (PIR).
The Generation Challenge Programme (GCP) of CGIAR and its partners: Partners and
products in GCP are:
The Integrated Breeding Platform (IBP) is a web-based, one-stop shop for information
site providing tools for a configurable Breeding Management System (based on concept of
the International Crop Information System, ICIS); a Field Trial Management System
including an Integrated Breeding Fieldbook; and tools for a Decision Support System
including a Molecular Breeding Design Tool, a Cross Prediction Tool and a tool for marker-
assisted recurrent selection (MARS).
MoU with iPlant for the IBP: The Generation Challenge Programme (GCP) and iPlant
Collaborative signed a joint Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on 17 January 2011, in
San Diego, California, United States. Under the terms of this MoU, iPlant will collaborate
with GCP in developing GCPs Integrated Breeding Platform (IBP), including hosting a
team of GCP software engineers.
www.iplantcollaborative.org/learn/news/2011/01/18/iplant-collaborates-cgiar-
integrated-breeding-platform-ibp-powerful-new
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
64 ANNEX C. NETWORKS TO SHARE GENOMIC INFORMATION
necessary for integrating phenotypic and genetic, genomic data through annotations.
Collaboration with the Plant Ontology Consortium, SOybase (USDA), SolGenomic Network
(SGN), Gramene and Trait ontology, RCN-Phenotype ontology, GARNet (UK) and initiation
of collaboration with NCBI.
The John Innes Centre (Norwich, United Kingdom) is one of eight institutes that receive
strategic funding from the BBSRC for plant science and microbiology, and is collaborator
of GCP since the beginning.
The Scottish Crop Research Institute (SCRI, Scotland, United Kingdom) is one of the
Scottish Governments main research providers in environmental, crop and food science
and will have a major role in the Scottish knowledge economy. It changed its name for
The James Hutton Institute and is collaborator of GCP since the beginning.
iPlant (National Science Foundation, USD 50 million award, currently in year 3 of five-
year award to University of Arizona and the Texas Advanced Computing Center) is a
research community based (including ARS scientists), educators, and students working to
enrich all plant sciences through the development of cyberinfrastructure-the physical
computing resources, collaborative environment, virtual machine resources, and
interoperable analysis software and data services that are essential components of
modern biology. It is a GCP collaborator.
Sol Genomics Network (Boyce Thompson Institute, Ithaca, NY and ARS scientists)
contains genomic, genetic, phenotypic and taxonomic information for Solanaceae
(tomato, potato, eggplant, pepper and petunia) Rubiaceae (coffee), and more. It
collaborates with GCP for the ontology.
Plant Ontology Consortium and the Reference Plant Trait Ontology, Oregon State
University, provide an international controlled vocabulary for annotating Genomic and
Phenotypic, Breeders data enabling integration for supporting data mining and
discovery, comparison, etc. They collaborate with GCP.
Knowledgebase (DOE, Office of Biological and Environment Research, first year of new
program) is a community-driven cyberinfrastructure for sharing and integrating data and
analytical tools to accelerate predictive biology.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX C. NETWORKS TO SHARE GENOMIC INFORMATION 65
i5K (5 000 arthropod genomes): ARS and university scientists will sequence, assemble and
annotate the genomes of 5 000 insects and other arthropods in the next five years. The
i5K project is hosted at the Arthropod Genomics Consortium site
(arthropodgenomes.org/wiki/i5K).
1000 Fungal Genomes Project: DOE-Joint Genome Institute (JGI) Community Sequencing
Project initiated by ARS and university scientists to inform all areas of fungal biology.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
66 ANNEX D. THE CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BIODIVERSITY
Annex D.
FAO (2011) states that, in many places around the world, achievements in
agricultural production in the last decades are the results of management practices
that have led to the loss of biodiversity and have degraded the land and water systems
upon which the production depends. Gliessman (2007) states that the loss of genetic
diversity in agriculture has occurred mainly because of conventional agricultures
emphasis on short-term productivity gains.
There is broad consensus that global rates of agricultural biodiversity loss are
increasing (Jarvis et al., 2007). The first report of the State of the Worlds Plant
Genetic resources for Food and Agriculture (FAO, 1998a) already described as
substantial the loss in diversity of plant genetic resources for food and agriculture,
including the disappearance of species, plant varieties, and gene complexes.
The world food base is depending on a decreasing number of species and varieties.
In fact, despite the existence of some 50 000 edible plants in the world, rice, maize
and wheat provide 60% of the world's food energy intake and only a few hundred plants
contribute significantly to food supplies (FAO, 2010). Six varieties of corn account for
more than 70% of the worlds corn crop, and 99% of the turkeys raised in the United
States belong to a single breed (FAO, 1998a).
Instances of crop genetic erosion in major and minor crops were reported by several
countries to the Second Report on the State of the World Plant Genetic Resources (FAO,
2010). The following two examples are only a glimpse at what seems now to be more a
rule than an exception in all regions of the world: peasant farmers on the island of
Chiloe, Chile, cultivated 800 to 1 000 varieties of potato when only about 270 varieties
are now found; in Mali, 60% of local varieties of sorghum have disappeared in one
region over the last 20 years (FAO, 2010). The loss of traditional culture, including the
loss of traditional farming culture and changes in traditional food habits were also
mentioned (FAO, 2010).
Domesticated animals are also threatened by genetic erosion: FAO (1998b)
estimates that as many as two domesticated animal breeds are being lost each week
worldwide while 20% of animal breeds (mammalian and avian species together) are at
risk and 9% are extinct (FAO, 2007).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX D. THE CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BIODIVERSITY 67
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68 ANNEX D. THE CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BIODIVERSITY
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX D. THE CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BIODIVERSITY 69
References to Annex D
Arimond M., and M.T. Ruel (2004), "Dietary diversity is associated with child nutritional status:
evidence from 11 demographic and health surveys", Journal of Nutrition, Vol. 134, No. 10,
pp. 25792585.
Beed, F., A. Benedetti, G. Cardinali, S. Chakraborty, T. Dubois, K. Garrett, and M. Halewood
(2011), "Climate change and micro-organism genetic resources for food and agriculture: State
of knowledge, risks and opportunities", Background Study Paper No. 57, Thirteen regular
Session of the Commission on Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture, 18-22 July 2011,
Rome, Italy. Online: http://www.fao.org/docrep/meeting/022/mb392e.pdf (last accessed: 9
August 2011).
Carpenter, S. R., and W.A. Brock (2008), "Adaptive capacity and traps", Ecology and Society,
Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 40. Online URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol13/iss2/art40/
Dag, A., I. Zipori, and Y. Pleser (2006), "Using bumblebees to improve almond pollination by the
honeybee", Journal of Apiculture Research, Vol. 45, pp. 215-216.
De Schutter O. (2010), Report submitted by the Special Rapporteur on the right to food, Olivier
De Schutter. United Nations General Assembly. Human Rights Council, Sixteenth session,
Agenda Item 3: Promotion and protection of all human rights, civil, political, economic, social
and cultural rights, including the right to development. (A/HRC/16/49).
FAO (1998a), The State of the Worlds Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture, FAO,
Rome.
FAO (1998b), Special: Biodiversity for Food and Agriculture: Farm Animal genetic Resources,
FAO: Rome.
FAO (2007), The State of the Worlds Animal Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture, CGRFA,
pp. 37-38. Available at: ftp://ftp.fao.org/docrep/fao/010/a1250e/a1250e02.pdf.
FAO (2010), The Second Report on the State of the Worlds Plant Genetic Resources for Food and
Agriculture, FAO, Rome.
FAO (2011), The State of the World's Land and Water Resources for Food and Agriculture
(SOLAW) - Managing systems at risk. Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations,
Rome and Earthscan, London.
Folke, C., S. Carpenter, T. Elmqvist, L. Gunderson, C.S. Holling, and B. Walker (2002),
"Resilience and Sustainable Development: Building Adaptive Capacity in a World of
Transformations", AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, Vol. 31, No. 5, pp. 437-440.
Frison, E., I.F. Smith, T. Johns, J. Cherfas, J., and P.B. Eyzaguirre (2006), "Agricultural
biodiversity, nutrition, and health: making a difference to hunger and nutrition in the
developing world", Food and Nutrition Bulletin, Vol. 27, No. 2, pp. 167-179.
Frison, E.A., J. Cherfas, and T. Hodgkin (2011), "Agricultural biodiversity is essential for a
sustainable improvement in food and nutrition security", Sustainability 2011, Vol. 3, No. 1,
pp. 238-253.
Gallai, N., J.-M. Salles, J. Settele, and B.E. Vaissire (2009), "Economic valuation of the
vulnerability of world agriculture confronted with pollinator decline", Ecol. Econ., Vol. 68,
pp. 810-821.
Garrity, D.P., F.K. Akinnifesi, O.C. Ajayi, S.G. Weldesemayat, J.G. Mowo, A. Kalinganire,
M. Larwanou, and J. Bayala (2010), "Evergreen Agriculture: a robust approach to sustainable
food security in Africa", Food Security, Vol. 2, No. 3, pp. 197-214.
Gliessman S.R. (2007), Agroecology: the ecology of sustainable food systems, 2nd edition, CRC
Press. Taylor & Francis group. Boca Raton, London, New York.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
70 ANNEX D. THE CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BIODIVERSITY
Gurr, G.M., S.D. Wratten, and M.A. Altieri (2003), "Genetic engineering and ecological
engineering: a clash of paradigms or scope for synergy?" In: Gurr, G.M. S.D. Wratten, and M.A.
Altieri (eds.), Ecological Engineering for Pest Management: Advances in Habitat Manipulation
for Arthropods, CSIRO Publishing, Australia.
Hajjar, R., D.I. Jarvis, and B. Gemmill-Herren (2008), "The utility of crop genetic diversity in
maintaining ecosystem services", Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, Vol. 123,
pp. 261-270.
Halwart, M. (1998), "Trends in ricefish farming", The FAO Aquaculture Newsletter, April, No. 18.
Jarvis D.I., C. Padoch, and H.D. Cooper (ed.) (2007), Managing Biodiversity in Agricultural
Ecosystems, Bioversity International. Columbia University Press, New York, USA.
Johns, T. and P.B. Eyzaguirre (2006), "Linking biodiversity, diet and health in policy and
practice", Proceedings of the Nutrition Society, Vol. 65, pp. 182-189
Kennedy G.L., M.R. Pedro, C. Seghieri, G. Nantel, and I. Brouwer (2007), "Dietary diversity score
is a useful indicator of micronutrient intake in non-breastfeeding Filipino children", Journal of
Nutrition, Vol. 137, pp. 472477.
Mder, P., A. Fliessbach, D. Dubois, and L. Gunst (2002), "Soil fertility and biodiversity in organic
farming", Science, Vol. 296, pp. 1694-1697.
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005), Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Biodiversity
Synthesis, World Resources Institute, Washington, DC.
Morton J.F. (2007), "The impact of climate change on smallholder and subsistence agriculture",
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 104, No. 50, pp. 19680-19685.
Noss, R.F. (1990), "Indicators of monitoring biodiversity: a hierarchical approach", Conservation
Biology, Vol. 4, pp. 355-364. Available at:
www.forestencyclopedia.net/p/p1824/c/c9532/view
stergrd, H., M.R. Finckh, L. Fontaine, I. Goldringer, S.P. Hoad, K. Kristensen, E.T. Lammerts
van Bueren, F. Mascher, L. Munk, and M.S. Wolfe (2009), "Time for a shift in crop production:
embracing complexity through diversity at all levels", Journal of the Science of Food and
Agriculture, Vol. 89, No. 9, pp. 1439-1445.
PAR/FAO (2011), Biodiversity for Food and Agriculture: contributing to food security and
sustainability in a changing world, Outcomes of an Expert Workshop held by FAO and the
Platform on Agrobiodiversity Research from 14-16 April 2010 in Rome, Italy. Galluzi G., C. van
Duijvendijk, L. Collette, N. Azzu, and T. Hodgkin (Eds.) Platform for Agrobiodiversity
Research (PAR) and Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO), Rome,
Italy.
Pullin, R., and P. White (2011), "Climate change and aquatic genetic resources for food and
agriculture: State of knowledge, risks and opportunities", Background Study Paper No. 55,
Thirteen regular Session of the Commission on Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture,
18-22 July 2011, Rome, Italy. Online: http://www.fao.org/docrep/meeting/022/mb507e.pdf
(last accessed: 9 August 2011).
Rah, J.H., N. Akhter, R.D. Semba, S. de Pee, M.W. Bloem, A.A. Campbell, et al. (2010), "Low
dietary diversity is a predictor of child stunting in rural Bangladesh", European Journal of
Clinical Nutrition, Vol. 64, pp. 13931398.
Sawadogo P.S., Y. Martin-Prevel, M. Savy, Y. Kameli, P. Traissac, A.S. Traore, et al. (2006), "An
infant and child feeding index is associated with the nutritional status of 6- to 23-month-old
children in rural Burkina Faso", Journal of Nutrition, Vol. 136, pp. 656663.
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ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE 71
Annex E.
Background
1. The term water system covers the consumptive uses of water (e.g. agriculture, energy,
industry, domestic) from mainly surface water and groundwater sources and non-consumptive
water uses, largely supporting ecosystems and meeting social needs (e.g. bathing, aesthetic and
spiritual values), but also for hydropower and navigation.
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72 ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE
Water and energy links: These include the direct links through the use of energy to
pump water through irrigation canals and extract surface water and groundwater;
and indirect links such as through the production of agricultural feedstocks to
supply bioenergy with consequences for water resources and quality, and also the
competition for water stored in a reservoir used for both irrigation and to generate
hydropower.
Droughts and floods: The impacts of droughts and floods have significant human life
and food security costs. Agriculture can both exacerbate floods and droughts, such
as through land clearing for agricultural use, and also contribute to ameliorating the
harmful consequences of floods on the rest of the economy by providing water
retention services and slowing flood water flows that may harm urban populations
and infrastructure.
Ecosystems: With agriculture a major user of land and water, the sector can have
important consequences (positive and negative) on ecosystems, such as wetlands
and coastal zones.
Climate change: Agricultural and some water systems contribute to climate change
but are also vulnerable to the adverse impacts from climate change and climate
variability, with significant regional variation within and across countries. Much of
the adverse burden is placed on developing countries, especially in some sub-
tropical and lower mid-latitude regions (Nelson et al., 2010; OECD, 2010a).
The OECD (2012a) Environmental Outlook to 2050 indicates that the global
prospects for water are more alarming than projected by the previous OECD (2008)
Environmental Outlook to 2030. Urgent action is needed to avoid significant costs for
society, including increased food insecurity. The OECD (2012a) Environmental Outlook
to 2050 provides a business as usual baseline which can help improve understanding of
the challenges and the trade-offs that need to be made.
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ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE 73
scarcity is not only a reality in developing countries. Many key industrialised areas and
countries will have to increasingly cope with water scarcity and its effects on growth
(OECD, 2012a).
The outlook for water systems indicates that policy makers need to address the
twin challenges of increasing agricultural production while reducing stress on both the
quantity and quality of water systems. It will be important that farmers receive the
right policy and market signals to improve water use productivity, advance agricultural
management practices to lower water pollution, and enhance the benefits that some
farming practices can bring to water systems.
Agricultural water management and incentive policy reform will be key to enhance
the efficiency of existing water use. This must be supported by infrastructure
investment to build, modernise and upgrade existing irrigation and water delivery
systems in most developing countries and some OECD countries (OECD, 2010a;
Rosegrant et al., 2009).
In terms of water quality, monitoring and enforcing water quality standards will be
important, with recent innovations in monitoring technologies that could help an
otherwise highly costly and complex task. In addition, encouraging farm practices that
are beneficial in reducing agricultural pollution need to be encouraged that are
targeted and tailored to specific local conditions, such as creating riparian buffers,
removing land from production near watercourses, and using conservation tillage to
conserve soil moisture and reduce soil sediment flows into water courses are important
policies.
The overall economic, social, and environmental costs resulting from the impact of
agriculture on water systems, both over extraction of water resources and pollution,
exceed billions of dollars annually, according to recent estimates for OECD countries
(OECD, 2012b). No global estimate of these costs exists, but based on the OECD
experience they are likely to be extremely high. At the same time, the rapid increases
in food production and decline in real prices of food could not have been achieved
without irrigated agriculture. Irrigations importance has increased further as a result
of climate variability and climate change (Rosegrant et al., 2009).
Policies used to address water resource stress and water pollution linked to
agriculture, are costing OECD governments billions of dollars annually, such as
maintaining irrigation infrastructure and providing support to farmers to adopt
practices to combat pollution (OECD, 2012b and 2010a). Extrapolating to non-OECD
countries the cost of such policies could be substantial. This cost, however, must be
counter-balanced with the rapid growth in food production and poverty reduction
achieved as a result of public investment in irrigation. But policies such as energy
subsidies to reduce water pumping costs for irrigators, has led to unsustainable use of
groundwater resources in some cases.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
74 ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE
Figure E.1. Global water demand: Baseline scenario, 2000 and 2050
6 000
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
1 000
0
2000 2050 2000 2050 2000 2050 2000 2050
OECD BRIICS RoW World
Note: This figure does not consider rain-fed agriculture. BRIICS includes: Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia,
China and South Africa. ROW Rest of the World.
Source: OECD (2012a) Environmental Outlook to 2050, Paris, France, output from IMAGE suite of
models.
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Rest of Af rica
Europe
Rest of SE Asia
Indonesia
China
Middle East
India
Southern Af rica *
Oceania
Brazil
Japan and Korea
N America
Note: * In the IMAGE model the Southern Africa region includes ten other countries in this geographical
area including the Republic of South Africa, when dealing with land use, biodiversity, water and health.
For energy-related modelling the region has been split into the Republic of South Africa and "Rest of
Southern Africa".
Source: OECD (2012a), Environmental Outlook to 2050, Paris, France, output from IMAGE suite of
models.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE 75
The policy responses countries might consider to address the water challenge in
agriculture (both rain-fed and irrigated farming), as part of an economy-wide water
policy reform programme, can be summarised under five broad areas of action:
Create incentives, to signal to farmers (and other water users) the value of water
and the cost of pollution.
Invest in water infrastructure, to foster more efficient farming practices and
systems.
Enable innovation, to promote improved water management in agriculture.
Strengthen institutions and governance, to support efforts enhancing food and
water security.
Build resilience, to address long-term concerns with food and water security.
Create incentives to signal to farmers, and other water users, the value of water
and the cost of pollution
Water resources
Water has a value which is seldom transmitted through markets. Many countries
provide support to the development of irrigation infrastructure; water service fees are
generally below cost; and some governments even supply free or subsidized energy for
pumping ground and surface water. Such policies can undermine the sustainable use of
water resources, especially in regions where water is scarce.
An important consideration in policy makers tool kit to stimulate higher water
efficiency gains in all sectors, is introducing market (or market-style) incentives into
water-use decision-making. Market-based incentives can range from water charges to
formal or informal trading of water (use rights), the latter which can be observed in
some water stressed developing countries that rely on irrigation for food production. A
key prerequisite to introducing these water policy reforms, especially for developing
countries, is improving water services and the reliability of water supplies to farmers.
This can provide a pathway to introducing water charges, as can increasing the
accountability of water service providers to their clients (the farmers), hence,
providing a signal to farmers of the scarcity value of water.
Some OECD and some developing countries (e.g. China) are now beginning to
embrace water policy reforms that move toward raising water charges for farmers and
related policy reforms, to reflect the costs of supply and the scarcity value of water.
But increasing water cost recovery rates through water charges also requires a
comprehensive approach that fully recognises the equity issues that arise from
distributing the benefits of water policy reforms and the importance of ensuring
reliable and high quality access to water for all parts of the population. Developing
virtual water trade is also another option to address water scarcity that has been
advocated by some observers (Box E.1). Projections show an increase in cereal trade
from water-abundant to water-deficit areas from 23% in 1995 to 38% by 2025 (Rosegrant
et al., 2010).
The experience in OECD countries, and some developing countries, reveals that
where water charges to farmers have been raised as part of broader water policy
reforms to develop water markets (e.g. Australia, Chile), the improvement in lowering
the quantity of water applied per hectare irrigated has been substantial (OECD, 2010a;
Rosegrant and Gazmuri Schleyer, 1995). Evidence also indicates that raising water
charges to farmers, at least to cover the operation and maintenance costs of supplying
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
76 ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE
water to irrigators in some OECD countries, has not led to an overall reduction in
agricultural output or incomes (OECD, 2010a).
Water quality
Policies that raise producer prices or subsidise the use of inorganic fertilisers and
pesticides encourage farmers to over-use the subsidised fertiliser, leading to
unbalanced applications and increasing water pollution. OECD research has shown that
where countries have lowered overall agricultural support and shifted to forms of
support decoupled from production and input use, this has helped to lower water
pollution pressure from agriculture activities than would otherwise have been the case
in the absence of these reforms (OECD, 2012b).
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ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE 77
Taking a more holistic view of agricultural pollution policy design can help to avoid
adverse environmental effects and encourage co-benefits. For example, the
development of riparian buffers, which can limit pollutant farm runoff, can also
provide other benefits in terms of wildlife habitats and carbon sequestration by
establishing green cover (OECD, 2012b).
As well as reforming agricultural support policies, there is increasing interest in
using innovative policy tools and market approaches to lower agricultural water
pollution. These tools and approaches, albeit not widely used to date, mainly include:
water quality trading (Shortle, 2012); voluntary arrangements, supported by private
payments, such as between private water supply utilities working with farmers to
ensure improved water quality so as to reduce water treatment costs; information
based instruments, like organic standards; and capacity building, such as setting
environmental standards by agro-food companies, backed by farm advisory services, to
encourage best management practices to protect water quality and meet other
environmental goals (OECD, 2012b).
Invest in water infrastructure to foster more efficient farming practices and systems
Investors in water infrastructure encounter a high level of diversity in hydrological
conditions and farming systems operating in a greatly varying set of political, cultural
legal and institutional contexts across the world. Management of water systems in
agriculture includes a spectrum of options ranging from purely rain-fed (the majority of
systems) to entirely irrigated systems.
Creating incentives to improve agricultural water productivity through removing
perverse incentives will not necessarily be sufficient to meet water demands in
agriculture, especially in developing countries. Hence, water supply capacity for
irrigated agriculture needs to be expanded in some countries, particularly in Sub-
Saharan Africa where only 4% of cultivated area is currently irrigated (Svendsen et al.
2009). Moreover, water storage capacity needs to be selectively expanded; water
recycling and reuse developed; and the poor state of irrigation infrastructure, which is
impeding improvements in water productivity in agriculture in many countries, needs to
be enhanced.
The additional investment required to expand and upgrade agricultural water
supply systems will present a considerable challenge for public and private finance
(OECD, 2011a; 2011b); especially in developing countries. Investment is also required to
reduce the impact of drought and flood disasters impacting agriculture.
Transparent and predictable investment policies, relying on good institutional
government capacity and regulatory measures at both the national and sub-national
levels, are crucial to foster private investment in water infrastructure for agriculture.
The key factors that might be able to encourage private investment in irrigated
agriculture, include (OECD, 2010a):
defining titles to water rights that promote market transfers of water;
developing regulatory measures that require the upkeep and maintenance of
infrastructure, as well as minimum flows for environmental needs;
increasing the cost recovery rates of water supplied to farmers so there is a flow
of financial resources to support water delivery infrastructure maintenance and
renewal;
shifting from an investment strategy for water infrastructure in agriculture of
build and neglect to one centred on build and maintain, looking toward
facilitating private public partnerships to raise finance for infrastructure
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
78 ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE 79
Build resilience to address long-term concerns with food and water security
Most countries are reporting the growing incidence, severity and costs of flood and
drought events on agriculture, heightening concerns for food and water security. In
response countries are beginning to develop mitigation and adaptation strategies,
including for example, developing new crop varieties or change farm practices where
climate change alters temperatures and precipitation; and adapting management
practices that can contribute to slowing water transport across farmland and reducing
flood damage in urban areas (Morris et al., 2010).
These approaches are more likely to be effective if they are embedded in longer
term strategies closely linked with overall agricultural policy reform, risk management
policy and market approaches.
Climate change will also require greater attention in agriculture to water saving
practices, both in terms of on-farm distribution systems and also the larger
infrastructure systems delivering water to farms. In Sub-Saharan Africa, a key response
to climate change will be irrigation development that needs to be aligned with
changing levels, seasonality and variability of runoff and water availability (see, for
example, Zhu and Ringler, 2012). Better understanding of the importance of extending
risk management approaches in agriculture to existing climate variability, can also help
build a more solid foundation for addressing climate change in the future (OECD,
2010a).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
80 ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE
References to Annex E
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ANNEX E.TOWARDS IMPROVING WATER AND FOOD SECURITY: THE POLICY CHALLENGE 81
Rosegrant, M. W. and R. Gazmuri Schleyer (1995), Reforming Water Allocation Policy Through
Markets in Tradable Water Rights: Lessons from Chile, Mexico and California, Cuadernos de
Economa, Vol. 32, No. 97, pp. 291-315.
Svendsen, M., M. Ewing and S. Msangi (2009), Measuring irrigation performance in Sub-Saharan
Africa, IFPRI Discussion Paper 894. www.ifpri.org/publication/measuring-irrigation-
performance-africa.
Shortle, J. (2012), Water Quality Trading in Agriculture, OECD Consultant Report available at:
www.oecd.org/agriculture/water
Wichelns, D (2010), An Economic analysis of the virtual water concept in relation to the agri-
food sector, OECD Consultant Report available at: www.oecd.org/agriculture/water
Zhu, T. and C. Ringler (2012), Climate Change Impacts on Water Availability and Use in the
Limpopo River Basin, Water, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 63-84. Available at:
dx.doi.org/10.3390/w4010063
Key Links: www.oecd.org/agriculture/water www.oecd.org/tad/env/indicators
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
82 ANNEX F. IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN COMPETITION IN THE FERTILISER INDUSTRY
Annex F.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX F. IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN COMPETITION IN THE FERTILISER INDUSTRY 83
The high levels of concentration in the fertiliser industry mainly result both from
high requirements of raw materials, which are not available worldwide, and from
potential economies of scale in production, which result in cost efficiencies. However,
high concentration in an industry may also result in market power exertion and tacit
collusion among firms, which may allow a few companies to take full advantage, for
example, of international price spikes in energy and grain markets to the detriment of
farmers wealth. On this matter, Figure F.1 shows that during the food crisis of 2008,
where oil and agricultural prices drastically increased, ammonia and urea prices
exhibited even higher price spikes. By mid-2008, when the crisis was felt most,
ammonia and urea prices were 2-3 times larger than in mid-2007; oil and corn prices, in
turn, were 1.5-1.9 times larger. The market power effects could be outweighing the
cost-efficiency effects in this highly concentrated industry.
Figure F.1. Real monthly ammonia, urea, corn and crude oil prices, 2002-2011
480 2.5
420
2.0
360
300
1.5
240
1.0
180
120
0.5
60
0 0.0
Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11
Note: Prices deflated by CPI, 1982-84=100. The prices correspond to Ammonia US Gulf barge, Urea US Gulf
prill import, No. 2 yellow corn FOB US Gulf, and Oklahoma crude oil FOB spot price.
Source: Green Markets, Energy Information Administration, and FAOSTAT.
Hernandez and Torero (2011) have formally analyzed the relationship between
fertiliser (urea) prices and market concentration using annual data from a panel of
38 countries. One of the variables used to measure concentration is the top-4
concentration ratio (CR4), which is the sum of the market shares of the four largest
firms operating in the market. The shares are measured both in terms of production
capacity and number of plants. The analysis accounts for the relative importance of
fertiliser imports on use in each country. The estimation results indicate a positive
correlation between prices and market concentration. In particular, a 10% decrease in
the top-4 concentration ratio using production capacity to measure market share leads,
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
84 ANNEX F. IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN COMPETITION IN THE FERTILISER INDUSTRY
on average, to an 8.2% decrease in fertiliser prices, while a 10% decrease in the top-4
concentration ratio using number of plants, leads to an 11.6% decrease in prices. In the
case of the HHI, a 10% decrease in the index leads to a 5.6% decrease in prices using
production capacity and to a 9.2% decrease using number of plants, although the
former change is not statistically significant at conventional levels (Table F.2).
Conservative Optimistic
Source: Gruhn, Goletti and Roy (1995) and Bumb et al. (2011).
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX F. IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN COMPETITION IN THE FERTILISER INDUSTRY 85
Figure F.2. Impact on fertiliser intake, crop production and rural income
of a 10% decrease in concentration
20%
18.8%
18%
16%
14% 13.3%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4.7%
4% 3.3%
1.9%
2%
1.0%
0%
Increase in fertiliser use Increase in crop production Increase in rural income
Source: Hernandez and Torero (2011), Gruhn et al. (1995) and Bumb et al. (2011).
Cost-benefit analysis
To put this in context, as shown in Hernandez and Torero (2011), a cost-benefit
analysis of such a policy can be assessed using some countries in South Asia and Africa
as examples (India and Bangladesh in South Asia and Senegal, Ghana, Kenya and
Tanzania in Africa). In particular, to decrease the top-4 concentration ratio in South
Asia and Africa by 10% it will be necessary to build a fertiliser (nitrogen) plant in each
region with a corresponding annual production capacity of 1.2 million metric tonnes
(MT) and 0.7 million MT. These numbers are equivalent to 10% of the annual production
capacity reported by the top-4 firms in each region according to IFDC Worldwide
Fertilizer Capacity Listing by Plant. The new plant will absorb the share-reduction of
the top-4 firms in each market and will not be large enough to be among the top four
producers in each region. The following cost and income assumptions are made.
Cost assumptions
The cost of building the 1.2 million MT plant in South Asia would roughly equal around
USD 1.2 billion and the cost of building the 0.7 million MT plant in Africa would
roughly equal USD 700 million, using as a reference the estimated cost of the nitrogen
plant which is currently under construction in the Delta and Lagos States in Nigeria
(USD 2.5 billion for two 1.3 million MT plants).
The investment cost of the plants, which can be built in any of the countries in each
region, are prorated based on the relative amount of fertiliser (nitrogen) consumed by
each country according to IFA open-access database and FAOSTAT Online database.
For example, India accounts for 93% of the total fertiliser used between India and
Bangladesh, so India will cover 93% of the building costs of the plant in South Asia.
The cost per MT of nitrogen production is USD 130 for a plant size over 1 000 MT of
capacity per day (over 330 000 MT per year) according to the Production Cost Survey
by the Fertilizer Institute.
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86 ANNEX F. IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN COMPETITION IN THE FERTILISER INDUSTRY
Income assumptions
Only 20% of the rural population in each country will experience an effective increase
in their income of 1%. This conservative scenario accounts for the fact that some
farmers may already be using the optimal amount of fertiliser while the increase in
fertiliser use for several others may still not reach a certain level which results in a
higher income.
The estimated per capita rural income in each country is based on their most recent
household survey available (2009/10 National Sample Survey in India; 2005 Household
Income and Expenditure Survey in Bangladesh; 2001 Household Survey-ESAM II in
Senegal; 2005/06 Living Standards Survey in Ghana; 2005/06 Integrated Household
Budget Survey in Kenya; and 2007 Household Budget Survey in Tanzania).
The total net present value of such a policy over a time horizon of 2012-2050
(39 years) will be equal to USD 11.2 billion in the two countries in South Asia and to
USD 345 million in the four countries in Africa using an annual discount rate of 3%, and
to USD 8.1 billion and USD 80 million, respectively, using an annual discount rate of 5%
(Figure F.3). By country, only Kenya will experience a negative net present value.
Figure F.3. Net present value of simulated policy in South Asia and Africa
South Asia
India Bangladesh
Africa
Ghana Tanzania Senegal Kenya
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX F. IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN COMPETITION IN THE FERTILISER INDUSTRY 87
References to Annex F
Bumb, B.L., M.E. Johnson, and P.A. Fuentes (2011), Policy Options for Improving Regional
Fertilizer Markets in West Africa, IFPRI Discussion Paper No. 1084.
Gruhn, P., F. Goletti, and R.N. Roy (1995), Proceedings of the IFPRI/FAO Workshop on Plant
Nutrient Management, Food Security and Sustainable Agriculture: The Future through 2020,
Viterbo, Italy.
Hernandez , M. and M. Torero (2011), Fertilizer Market Situation: Market Structure,
Consumption and Trade Patterns, and Pricing Behavior, IFPRI Discussion Paper No. 1058.
Hernandez, M. and M. Torero (2011), "Promoting competition in the fertiliser industry: A global
approach", IFPRI Policy Brief.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
88 ANNEX G. RECOMMENDATION TO IMPROVE ACCESS TO WEATHER INFORMATION
Annex G.
Core objective
2. The availability of information via cellular phone towers will increase the
availability of information via SMS in real or near to real time to agencies in
charge of collecting such information and to farmers.
Access to more and better quality weather information will allow farmers to
optimise their decisions (especially small farmers who currently do not have access to
this information). Insurance and re-insurance companies will also have better and more
frequent weather information available to them to develop their insurance schemes.
Proposed pilot
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS
ANNEX G. RECOMMENDATION TO IMPROVE ACCESS TO WEATHER INFORMATION 89
Key partners
2. The Inter American Development Bank has confirmed its support to work in
partnership with America Movil. The IADB, through its General Manager for
Mesamerica, has agreed to support this initiative in collaboration with America
Movil.
4. International Food Policy Research Institute will support the design of the pilot
project and the cost-effectiveness analysis of the intervention.
SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH AND BRIDGING THE GAP FOR SMALL FAMILY FARMS