Consumer Price Index - Oct 16

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CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

October 2016
INFLATION RISES

YEAR-TO-YEAR ANALYSIS
For the second consecutive month, the Education,
Recreation, Entertainment & Reading sector was the
largest contributor to the year-over-year change. This
sector increased 4.2 per cent, compared to 4.3 per cent
last month.

Consumers paid 2.1 per cent more in October 2016


than they did a year ago for the basket of goods and
services included in the Consumer Price Index
(CPI). The level of inflation increased 0.1
percentage point from the 2.0 per cent measured in
September 2016.

In addition, the Health & Personal Care sector and the


Rent Sector also impacted significantly the year-overyear increase. These sectors rose 3.3 and 1.3 per cent,
respectively.

Between September 2016 and October 2016, the


average cost of goods and services in the CPI was
unchanged. The all-items index remained at 102.7
in October. This means that the basket of goods and
services that cost $100.00 in April 2015 now costs
$102.70.
ALL ITEMS INDEX
(April 2015 = 100)

103.0
102.0
101.0
100.0
99.0
Oct 15 Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

The compilation of

Department of
Statistics wishes to
acknowledge the
cooperation of the
business community
in supplying the
required price data.

Jul

Aug

Sep Oct 16

Monthly

processing of several
quotations. The

Jun

SUMMARY STATISTICS

the CPI involves the


thousand price

May

Inflation
Rate
2.1%
Quarterly

Period

Index

Annual
per cent
Change

2015
Oct
Nov
Dec

100.6
100.5
100.5

+0.6
+1.4
+1.8

2016
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct

100.3
100.2
100.1
101.1
100.9
101.5
102.2
101.7
102.7
102.7

+1.7
+1.3
+1.0
+1.1
+1.1
+0.8
+1.6
+1.3
+2.0
+2.1

Index

Annual
per cent
Change

2014
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4

97.5
98.5
99.1
99.3

+1.8
+2.0
+2.1
+2.2

2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4

98.9
100.2
100.6
100.5

+1.5
+1.7
+1.5
+1.2

2016
Q1
Q2
Q3

100.2
101.2
102.2

+1.3
+1.0
+1.6

Period

BERMUDA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

MONTH-TO-MONTH ANALYSIS
Education,
Reading

Recreation,

Entertainment

Rent

The Rent sector was unchanged for the second


consecutive month.

&

Tobacco & Liquor

The Education, Recreation, Entertainment &


Reading sector increased 0.1 per cent in October in
response to a 2.6 per cent increase in the average
cost of premium fuel.

The Tobacco & Liquor sector was static in


October.
Transport & Foreign Travel

Household Goods, Services & Supplies

A 2.6 per cent increase in the average cost of


gasoline was offset by a 3.3 per cent decrease in
the average cost of air fares. These factors lead to
the Transport & Foreign Travel sector showing no
movement in October.

The Household Goods, Services & Supplies sector


increased 0.1 per cent in October. The average cost
of household supply products rose 0.6 per cent.
Health & Personal Care

The Health & Personal Care sector increased 0.1


per cent in October. The average cost of doctor
office visits rose 9.0 per cent.

110

Food

105

The Food sector inched up 0.1 per cent for the


third consecutive month. Key contributors to the
increase were roasting chickens (7.5 per cent),
eggs (4.5 per cent) and salad dressing (3.5 per
cent).

100

CPI GASOLINE INDEX


(April 2015 = 100)

95
90
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
15
16

Clothing & Footwear

Fuel & Power

The Clothing & Footwear sector rose 0.3 per cent


in October as mens and childrens clothing rose
0.8 and 0.6 per cent, respectively

The Fuel & Power sector fell 0.9 per cent in


October as the fuel adjustment rate decreased by
2.9 per cent.

COMPUTING PRICE INCREASES


The Department of Statistics receives calls daily requesting the rate of inflation over specific periods of time. The
following calculations are provided to guide users as to how to compute rates of price increases. The monthly index
numbers can be obtained from our website www.gov.bm.
A) Month-to-Month Price Change
The price change between November
and October, 2015 is calculated as
Follows:
Nov 15 index - Oct 15 index

100
Oct 15 index

100.5 100.6
100
100.6

0.1%

B) Year-to-Year Price Change

C) Particular Period Price Change

The price change between December


2015 and December, 2014 is calculated
as follows:
Dec 15 index - Dec 14 index

100
Dec 14 index

The price change between April 2014


and January, 2016 is calculated as
follows:
Jan 16 index - Apr 14 index

100
Apr 14 index

100.5 98.7
100
98.7

1.8%

100.3 98.3
100
98.3

2. 0%

BERMUDA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

APRIL 2015 = 100

2013
WEIGHT

All Items

Food

Rent

Clothing
&
Footwear

1000

115

267

25

Tobacco
&
Liquor

Fuel
&
Power

Household
Goods,
Services &
Supplies

Transport
& Foreign
Travel

Education,
Recreation,
Entertain.
& Reading

Health &
Personal
Care

31

39

116

130

147

130

+2.0
+1.0
+0.5
+0.8
+2.1

+0.6
+1.6
+1.4
+1.7
-1.3

+2.6
+2.7
+2.5
+1.9
+0.9

+7.5
+6.6
+8.3
+6.7
+7.8

ANNUAL AVERAGE ( per cent)


2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

+2.7
+2.4
+1.8
+2.0
+1.5

+2.3
+3.5
+3.0
+3.1
+2.7

+1.1
+0.2
-0.3
+0.8
+0.6

+5.7
+4.3
+0.1
+2.0
+1.3

+3.1
+2.5
+4.4
+2.4
+1.2

+11.3
+11.3
+9.3
-1.9
-2.4
-8.9

MONTHLY ( per cent)

2014
Oct
Nov
Dec

+0.3
-0.9
-0.5

+0.1
Nil
-0.7

Nil
Nil
Nil

+0.5
Nil
Nil

+0.1
+0.1
-0.1

-2.6
Nil
-9.0

+0.1
+0.1
Nil

+1.0
-7.2
Nil

-0.1
Nil
-0.1

+1.7
Nil
-0.1

2015
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Nil
+0.2
+0.2
+1.0
-0.2
+0.8
-0.1
-0.2
+0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Nil

1.3
+0.2
+0.3
Nil
+0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.3
-0.1
+0.2
-0.5
-0.2

+0.1
Nil
+0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+0.1

+0.2
Nil
Nil
+0.5
Nil
Nil
+0.7
Nil
Nil
Nil
Nil
Nil

+0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.4
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
+0.2
Nil
Nil
+0.3

-2.5
Nil
+1.3
Nil
-2.6
Nil
+4.0
Nil
Nil
-1.3
-1.3
-2.0

+0.4
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+2.1
Nil
+0.3
Nil
Nil
Nil

-1.7
+1.9
+0.7
+0.4
-1.0
+5.9
-3.6
-1.6
+0.9
-1.2
+0.1
+0.4

Nil
-0.6
-0.1
+0.1
Nil
+0.3
-0.1
-0.2
+0.9
+0.2
Nil
+0.1

+0.1
Nil
Nil
+6.5
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
-0.1
+0.5
Nil
Nil

2016
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct

-0.2
-0.1
-0.1
+0.9
-0.1
+0.5
+0.8
-0.5
+1.0
Nil

+1.2
+0.6
-0.1
+0.3
-0.3
+0.2
+0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1

-0.1
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+1.0
+0.1
Nil
Nil

+0.1
Nil
Nil
-0.5
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil
+0.3

+0.4
+1.1
Nil
+2.0
+1.5
+0.8
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil

-3.7
Nil
-0.8
-2.6
-5.0
+10.4
+4.3
Nil
+6.0
-0.9

+0.1
Nil
+0.1
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1
Nil
+0.1
+0.1

-1.6
-1.4
-0.7
+0.8
-0.3
+1.0
+2.5
-4.3
+4.5
Nil

Nil
-0.3
+0.2
+2.7
+0.5
Nil
-0.2
Nil
+1.1
+0.1

Nil
+0.1
Nil
+3.2
Nil
-0.1
Nil
Nil
Nil
+0.1

Oct 16

102.7

102.8

101.6

100.7

106.6

103.5

102.9

99.9

105.3

103.8

Oct '16
Oct '15

+2.1

+1.8

+1.3

Nil

+6.3

+3.5

+0.5

+0.8

+4.2

+3.3

BERMUDA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

WHAT IS THE CONSUMER PRICE


INDEX?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a statistical tool
used for measuring changes in the general level of
prices of consumer goods and services purchased by
private households.
The index measures price movements of a given
quality and quantity of goods and services. The mix
of these consumer goods and services comprising the
index, are figuratively thought of as a shopping
basket. In constructing this shopping basket, the
selected goods and services are organized first by
commodity type. They are then divided into subcomponents and assigned to a major expenditure
group. The Bermuda CPI is structured into nine
expenditure groups or sectors:
Food
Rent
Clothing & Footwear
Tobacco & Liquor
Fuel & Power
Transport & Foreign Travel
Household Goods, Services & Supplies
Education, Recreation, Entertainment &
Reading
Health & Personal Care

WEIGHTED AVERAGE
A mathematical formula that takes into account the
relative importance of an items price change
compared to the overall change in the sector or CPI.
Inflation

Inflation is the process of rising prices, resulting in


diminishing purchasing power of a given sum of
money.
Cost of Living Index

Many individuals refer to the CPI as a cost-of-living


index. The CPI is an index of pure price change only.
A cost-of-living index reflects the changes in buying
or consumption patterns that consumers would
ordinarily make to adjust to any change in the price
of a good or service.

A COMPARISON OF RATES OF INFLATION (%)

Selected Countries & Bermuda

Bermuda
1
United States
2
Canada
3
United Kingdom

CONCEPTS AND DEFINITIONS

2012

2013

2014

2.4
1.7
1.5
3.2

1.8
1.5
0.9
3.0

2.0
0.8
2.0
2.4

Sources:
1. US Bureau of Labour Statistics
2. Statistics Canada
3. UK Office of National Statistics

Base Period

The time period which is used as a reference point for


measuring the price change of goods and services.
The base period for the Bermuda CPI is April 2015.

Published by the Government of Bermuda


December 2016

Price Index Number

A single figure that shows how a set of prices has


changed over a specified period of time. An index
number on its own means nothing. It must be
compared with an index number from another period
to have meaning. For example, a comparison of the
index number 97.2 for January 2014 with 100.4 for
January 2016, reveals that prices have increased by
3.3 percent.

The Cabinet Office


Department of Statistics
Cedar Park Centre,
48 Cedar Avenue, Hamilton HM 11
P.O. Box HM 3015
Hamilton HM MX, Bermuda

Laspeyres Equation

The CPI is computed using this statistical equation.


This formula calculates the total amount of money a
household needs today to purchase the same basket
of goods and services that it bought in the base
period, April 2015.

Tel: (441) 297-7761, Fax: (441) 295-8390


Website: www.gov.bm

2015 Oct 16
1.5
0.7
1.1
1.1

+2.1
+1.7
+1.5
+2.0

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