Library PrinciplesInvestment
Library PrinciplesInvestment
Library PrinciplesInvestment
Principle 1
Successful wealth
creators know the
difference between
a saver and
aninvestor.
$500,798
$386,229
$282,974
25
30
35
40
45
50
Starts at 30
Starts at 35
+$1,356
+$1,142
+$948
$2,000
+$771
+$610
+$464
$1,500
+$331
+$210
+$100
$1,000
$500
Principal investment
Simple interest
Compound interest
Years
10
Assumptions: Taxation, fees and inflation not considered. The interest rate is 10% and is for illustrative purposes only.
Principle 2
The trade-off
Risk and return are directly linked; you wont receive an adequate
return without taking on some risk.
The concept of return is straightforward its the
measurement of gain or loss. Risk on the other hand is
something that is not so easily understood.
When talking about risk, most investors immediately think
of the risk of losing their money. While that is true, its
what all investors fear, it is important to separate risk from
volatility because theyre quite different.
Risk
The key is to not put yourself in a position where you sell your investments at the wrong time.
This will generally occur when you dont let your investments run their course or when you can no
longer tolerate the degree of volatility and sell assets in a panic.
There are risks you can see and risks you cant
2 Legislative risk
1 Liquidity risk
The risk of a delay in receiving your money when you need
it. This can occur with certain types of investments where
there is a lack of buyers (e.g. some unlisted investments
those not listed on the stock exchange). Liquidity risk can
also occur with investments whose underlying assets arent
easily converted to cash.
Liquidity risk can also occur during periods of extreme
volatility and extraordinary economic conditions. During
the global financial crisis, for example, investors in a
small number of managed funds wanted to withdraw
their money at the same time. To protect the interests of
all investors, the trustees froze the investments, placing
restrictions onwithdrawals.
3 Longevity risk
The risk that you do not accumulate enough retirement
capital and you outlive your money.
4 Inflation risk
Nervous? Dont be, there is a degree of risk in just about everything we do. Its a little
bit like crossing the street its all about your approach. Thats why its important to
have a relationship with a professional adviser.
Principle 3
Theres nothing wrong with being conservative, however, the risk/return trade-off
dictates that if you try to avoid risk altogether, your wealth wont grow and you
will find it hard to achieve your financial goals.
Here are two reasons why not investing for growth can hurt you:
1 Money invested defensively is eroded
byinflation.
Investing in assets like cash can seem like the safe option
returns can be attractive and the lack of volatility allows
you to sleep at night. But are you actually receiving the
return you think (or need)? No, because inflation eats
into defensive investments. Remember, inflation means
an increase in the cost of goods and services and when it
occurs, the value of a dollar is worth less because it can buy
While cash has beaten inflation over time, the real return
from defensive style assets is much less than you think. As
the graph below illustrates, your real return from defensive
assets like cash (as represented by the 90 day bank bill
index) is the interest you receive after inflation has been
taken into account. Add tax into the equation and you really
arent left with much.
Your real
return
after
inflation
3
2
1
0
93
Cash
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
Inflation
01
02
03
04
12 months to
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
Desired income
$50,000
$45,000
$40,000
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0
55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90
Age
Superannuation pension payment partner 2
Source: ASICs Retirement Planner calculator on their website FIDO: www.fido.gov.au Assumptions: $600,000 (2 x $300,000 account based pensions). Partner 1 = male,
Partner 2 = female. Balanced Investors return: 8% p.a net of tax. Fees: Investment mgt 1.5% p.a. Adviser service fee: 1% p.a. Income not indexed to inflation. Age pension figures
based on rates and thresholds released 20 Sept 2010: couple homeowner rate of $583.30 p/f each. Note, this rate assumes full pension supplement ($87 p/f) is received.
Life expectancies based on 2005 2007 Australian life tables.
9
Principle 4
The term asset allocation refers to how you spread your investments across the different asset classes (cash, Australian and
international fixed interest, property and Australian and international shares). These asset classes can be grouped as either
defensive (cash and fixed interest) or growth (property and shares). As you allocate more money to growth assets, the
expected return increases, however the volatility associated with the portfolio increases also.
High
100% Growth
(High growth)
86% Growth
(Growth)
70% Growth
(Balanced)
Expected return
Growth assets
generally provide
a higher expected
return over defensive
assets, but you
must expect higher
volatility as well.
52% Growth
(Moderately
conservative)
Low
30% Growth
(Conservative)
Low
Defensive assets
10
Expected volatility
Growth assets
High
Growth Assets
Fixed Interest
Minimum investment
timeframe: 13 years.
Stable income.
Property Trusts
Australian Shares
International Shares
Investment in listed or
unlisted property securities
such as commercial real
estate andinfrastructure.
Exposure to companies
listed on the Australian
StockExchange.
Investment in
overseascompanies.
Minimum investment
timeframe: 35 years.
Return is a mix of income
and growth.
Minimum investment
timeframe: 56 years.
Provides capital growth
and some tax effective
income.
Medium volatility.
Minimum investment
timeframe: 57 years.
Returns can depend on
exchange rates.
Growth with some
income.
Can be very volatile in the
shortterm.
Cash
Australian
Fixed Interest
International
Fixed Interest
Listed Property
Australian Shares
International Shares
Historical average
8.4%
10.2%
10.3%
12.1%
14.0%
12.1%
3.4%
-6.2%
-4.0%
-44.9%
-44.4%
-33.5%
19.1%
25.7%
31.5%
53.3%
86.1%
92.9%
11
Principle 5
12
13
Description
What to
expect
30% Growth
(Conservative)
52% Growth
(Moderately conservative)
70% Growth
(Balanced)
86% Growth
(Growth)
100% Growth
(High growth)
Defensive
70%
Defensive
48%
Defensive
30%
Defensive
14%
Defensive
Growth
30%
Growth
52%
Growth
70%
Growth
86%
Growth
Return objective
Inflation + 1.5% p.a.^
Return objective
Inflation + 2.5% p.a.^
Return objective
Inflation + 3.5% p.a.^
Return objective
Inflation + 4.5% p.a.^
Return objective
Inflation + 5.5% p.a.^
^ Our target returns are based on estimated projected asset class performance. They do not consider any additional return achieved by the skill of the fund managers.
* These probabilities are estimates only. They are based on historical data and there are no guarantees that history will repeat itself. They should be considered as an approximate guide only.
14
0%
100%
30% Growth
(Conservative)
52% Growth
(Moderately conservative)
70% Growth
(Balanced)
86% Growth
(Growth)
100% Growth
(High growth)
Australian Shares
12%
Australian Shares
24%
Australian Shares
35%
Australian Shares
45%
Australian Shares
50%
International Shares
10%
International Shares
19%
International Shares
25%
International Shares
31%
International Shares
40%
10%
Property Trusts
10%
Property Trusts
Property Trusts
10%
Property Trusts
26%
8%
Property Trusts
Australian Fixed Interest
24%
9%
17%
9%
0%
23%
14%
8%
3%
0%
Cash
21%
Cash
10%
Cash
5%
Cash
2%
Cash
0%
15
Principle 6
Investment returns go
through a cycle but its
very difficult to pick
the cycle consistently.
This years winner can
easily become next
years loser so its best
not to chase short term
performance.
The performance of asset classes changes from year to year in accordance with the
market cycle and its rare for one to outperform consistently. Sticking to your long term
asset allocation is better than chasing last years winners.
The market cycle
If you examine the returns from different asset classes over
time you will see that a pattern is followed. These patterns
called the market cycle, are made up of different phases
which vary in duration and intensity. The length of the full
cycle and each phase within it varies from several months to
several years. They are difficult to predict even the experts
dont get it right consistently. What is certain though is that
as the market moves through each phase, the returns you
receive and the volatility you experience changes.
The market cycle is related to the underlying economic
cycle, but they dont necessarily move together or at the
same time. The share market cycle for example generally
moves ahead of the economic cycle as it attempts to
predict the general ebbs and flows of the economy. This is
not guaranteed, but over time this has often proven to be
thecase.
16
3 Contraction
Investors have recognised that the fair value of shares has
been exceeded and start selling so as to lock in profits. The
market starts its decline because there is now an excess of
sellers over buyers. The decline gains momentum because
more and more investors sell out to prevent losses.
4 Bottom
The decline has bottomed out because share prices have
become so cheap they are considered a bargain. Buyers
return to the market, it stabilises and moves toward the
recovery phase and the cycle completes.
Other asset classes, like all markets, follow a cycle as well; it
isnt just a share market thing. The table on the next page
illustrates that when one asset class is performing poorly,
another is probably performing well. Thats why it is wise
to diversify your portfolio so as not to become reliant upon
one particular asset class.
17
Key points
Over the last 20 years, the best performing
asset class in one year stayed number one
the followingyearonly three times.
If your strategy at the beginning of each
year was to invest your money into the best
performing asset of the previous year, you
would have lost money three times.
18
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Australian
Shares
40.1%
-8.8%
21.1%
14.4%
12.7%
9.8%
18.7%
6.4%
10.4%
-8.8%
14.6%
28.0%
22.8%
24.2%
16.1%
-38.4%
37.0%
1.6%
-10.5%
20.3%
International
Shares
24.4%
-7.6%
26.7%
6.7%
42.2%
32.8%
17.6%
2.5%
-9.6%
-27.1%
-0.3%
10.4%
17.4%
12.0%
-2.1%
-24.5%
0.3%
-1.5%
-4.8%
14.9%
Listed
Property
30.1%
-5.6%
12.7%
14.5%
20.3%
18.0%
-5.0%
17.8%
14.6%
11.8%
8.8%
32.0%
12.5%
34.0%
-8.4%
-54.0%
7.9%
-0.4%
-1.5%
33.0%
Australian
Fixed Interest
16.3%
-4.7%
18.7%
11.9%
12.2%
9.5%
-1.2%
12.0%
5.5%
8.8%
3.0%
7.0%
5.8%
3.1%
3.5%
14.9%
1.7%
6.0%
11.4%
7.7%
Overseas
Fixed Interest
14.8%
-2.7%
20.1%
10.7%
10.5%
10.4%
0.8%
10.1%
7.4%
11.2%
5.6%
9.0%
7.5%
3.9%
7.0%
13.4%
3.9%
7.9%
10.6%
8.3%
Cash
5.4%
5.3%
8.0%
7.6%
5.6%
5.1%
5.0%
6.2%
5.3%
4.8%
4.9%
5.6%
5.7%
6.0%
6.8%
7.6%
3.5%
4.7%
5.0%
4.0%
19
Principle 7
Through our earlier principles, you have learnt two important lessons:
1 That exposure to at least some growth assets is important.
2 When you invest in growth assets, you have to expect some volatility in returns.
While there will be volatility there are some things
we can do as your adviser to assist in smoothing out
theride.
20
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Australian
Shares
40.1%
-8.8%
21.1%
14.4%
12.7%
9.8%
18.7%
6.4%
10.4%
-8.8%
14.6%
28.0%
22.8%
24.2%
16.1%
-38.4%
37.0%
1.6%
-10.5%
20.3%
International
Shares
24.4%
-7.6%
26.7%
6.7%
42.2%
32.8%
17.6%
2.5%
-9.6%
-27.1%
-0.3%
10.4%
17.4%
12.0%
-2.1%
-24.5%
0.3%
-1.5%
-4.8%
14.9%
Listed
Property
30.1%
-5.6%
12.7%
14.5%
20.3%
18.0%
-5.0%
17.8%
14.6%
11.8%
8.8%
32.0%
12.5%
34.0%
-8.4%
-54.0%
7.9%
-0.4%
-1.5%
33.0%
Australian
Fixed Interest
16.3%
-4.7%
18.7%
11.9%
12.2%
9.5%
-1.2%
12.0%
5.5%
8.8%
3.0%
7.0%
5.8%
3.1%
3.5%
14.9%
1.7%
6.0%
11.4%
7.7%
Overseas
Fixed Interest
14.8%
-2.7%
20.1%
10.7%
10.5%
10.4%
0.8%
10.1%
7.4%
11.2%
5.6%
9.0%
7.5%
3.9%
7.0%
13.4%
3.9%
7.9%
10.6%
8.3%
Cash
5.4%
5.3%
8.0%
7.6%
5.6%
5.1%
5.0%
6.2%
5.3%
4.8%
4.9%
5.6%
5.7%
6.0%
6.8%
7.6%
3.5%
4.7%
5.0%
4.0%
Diversified
portfolio
(70% growth)
27.4%
-6.3%
20.5%
11.4%
20.2%
16.1%
10.6%
7.8%
4.5%
-6.0%
7.1%
17.8%
15.5%
16.0%
5.7%
-21.0%
14.6%
2.0%
-2.0%
16.3%
21
Australian
Shares
International
Shares
22
Listed
Property
Australian
Fixed Interest
Overseas
Fixed Interest
Cash
23
Principle 8
Sept 2009
4739.3
Dec 2012
4664.6
Bottom
Feb 2009
3296.9
Source: www.asx.com.au
24
As your adviser, we are here to listen to your feelings, to help you interpret
the particular market cycle and to manage the associated volatility. This is
not to say we always have a set and forget approach, but we will help you to
keepperspective.
While always respecting your right to make your own decisions, we will challenge
your thinking if we feel your emotions are leading you to a decision that is not in
your best interests.
25
Principle 9
26
Administration platforms
Listed investments
For certain clients we may recommend a portion of their
portfolio be invested in shares directly. This introduces a
further level of diversification, helps manage costs and
provides an element of control back to you. By listed
investments, we mean investments such as direct shares, listed
investment companies (LICs) and exchange traded funds (ETFs).
Note: In respect of direct shares, we may make the
individual share recommendations ourselves or outsource
this to one of our approved stock brokers.
27
Active model
Cash
Cash
Australian Shares
Australian Shares
International Shares
International Shares
Property Trusts
Property Trusts
These models are all about keeping things simple. Minimising cost and ongoing
maintenance, while ensuring adequate diversification. Passive models aim to
control volatility together with delivering consistent returns.
We look at each asset class individually and allocate to several sector specific
products. For example, for Australian shares we may select three or four Australian
share funds each with a different approach. This helps to manage risk while allowing
the individual managers to apply their skills at beating the market. We may also use
direct investments (e.g. shares) in conjunction with or instead of managedfunds.
An active model can be more volatile and more expensive than a passive solution
because the managers are more active and many have specialist skills. They do
however offer the best chance of superior returns.
Suitable for
Clients who generally have smaller balances (and a need to keep costs down) or
who dont want active ongoing servicing from us.
Clients who seek to outperform the general market and want active management of
their portfolio via a serviceagreement.
Types of
products used
28
Clients who seek superior returns and active management, but also want to manage
cost andvolatility.
Passive style (refer above) investments as the core.
Active style (refer above) investments as the satellites.
29
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