CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

994 Likely Voters

October 26-28, 2016

4.3%

1. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Already voted early or by mail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

2. How did you vote? By voting early in person at an early voting place, or by sending back a
mail ballot?
Asked of respondents who have already voted

Early in person . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
By mail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93%

3. When you vote, how do you think you will cast your ballot?
Asked of respondents who have not yet voted

In person on election day November 8th . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

In person at an early voting place before November 8th . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
By mail ballot/absentee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%

4. Have you gotten the ballot but not yet returned it, or have you not received it yet?
Asked of respondents intending to cast a ballot by mail

Have not yet returned it . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84%

Have not yet received it . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Already mailed it or dropped it off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
5. How motivated do you feel to vote this year?
Asked of respondents who have not already voted

Very motivated, cant wait to vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61%

Somewhat motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not too motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not motivated, but Ill do it anyway . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

6. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42%

Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Gary Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Jill Stein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Probably wont vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

7. Which best describes your support for [Candidate Choice] right now?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump, excluding early voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Not too strong Ill probably change at some point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

8. How long would you be willing to wait in line to vote?

Asked of respondents planning to vote in person

A few minutes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Up to an hour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
A few hours, at the most . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
As long as it takes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
9. Which of these offices is the main reason you are casting a ballot this year?
Asked of respondents who say they will vote or already have voted

President . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Senate and Congress . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Local officials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ballot measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%
All of the above . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%

10. What is the main reason you are not sure if you will vote this year?
Asked of respondents who Maybe, Probably, or Definitely will not vote

I dont like the candidates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%

Im too busy, and it takes too much time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Im not interested in this election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Im not sure if Im eligible to vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Other reason . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

11. How do you feel about voting for Donald Trump compared to past Presidential candidates
youve supported?
Asked of Trump supporters

More enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

Less enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
About the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

12. How do you feel about voting for Hillary Clinton compared to past Presidential candidates
youve supported?
Asked of Clinton supporters

More enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

Less enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
About the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
13. Is there anything in the final couple of weeks of the Presidential campaign that could
change who you vote for?
Asked of respondents who have not yet voted

Yes, theres still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%

Maybe, but it would have to be big news . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
No, nothing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%

14. Do you feel Donald Trump is...

Focused on trying to win votes now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%
Already focused on what comes next for him after the election . . . . . . . . . . . 36%

15. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is...

Focused on trying to win votes now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Already focused on what comes next for her after the election . . . . . . . . . . . 46%

16. Do you think [Candidate Choice] really needs your vote, or will things be the same without
it?
Asked of respondents supporting a candidate

[Candidate Choice] really needs your vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82%

Things will be the same without it . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

17. Who are most of your friends and family voting for?
Mostly Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Mostly Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Even split . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
I dont know, we dont talk about it . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
18. Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider
voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

To shake up the
political system
Having a
businessman in the
White House
To end political
correctness
If he convinced me
he was respectful
Just to give someone
new a chance
To support my party

Yes

No

24%

76%

19%

81%

20%

80%

26%

74%

13%
8%

87%
92%

19. Even though you arent voting for her now, would any of these be reasons to consider
voting for Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Trump supporters who have not already voted

Having a woman
become President
Having someone
experienced in the
White House
If she convinced me
she was trustworthy
If she focused more
on the economy
To support my party

Yes

No

11%

89%

20%

80%

29%

71%

20%
12%

80%
88%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
20. No matter who you are voting for, or whether you think it could really happen, which of
these things do you really want to see happen next year?

Campaign finance
reform
New regulations on
Wall Street and
banks
More U.S. military
action against ISIS
Immigration reform
New trade
agreements

Yes

No

77%

23%

74%

26%

69%
86%

31%
14%

72%

28%

21. Do you feel the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, has generally helped
people, hurt people, or not made much difference?
Helped . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Hurt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Not made much difference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

22. Should Obamacare be kept as it is, fixed but keep the parts that work, or repealed entirely?
Kept as it is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Fixed, but keep the parts that work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
Repealed entirely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%

23. Do you feel Donald Trump is:

Part of whats right with politics today . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Part of whats wrong with politics today . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Neither, I think of him as separate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
24. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is:
Part of whats right with politics today . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Part of whats wrong with politics today . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Neither, I think of her as separate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

25. How does Donald Trumps campaign for President make you feel ...? Check all that apply.
Excited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Scared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Proud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
Disappointed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

26. How does Hillary Clintons campaign for President make you feel ...? Check all that apply.
Excited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Scared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Proud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Disappointed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

27. Regardless of who you support, who do you expect to win the Presidential election next
month?
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

28. Do you think this election is already decided or will it go down to the wire?
Already decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Will go down to the wire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
29. Which do you think is most likely to happen after this election?
The losing side will be upset, but calm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
There will be a lot of civil unrest and protests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
The nation will come together behind the new President . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

30. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?

Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Is honest and
trustworthy
Would act with
integrity as President
Understands regular
people
Respects women
Could fix the
economy
Has good
temperament and
judgment
Is a risky choice
Explained his past
comments about
women

Describes

Does not describe

41%

59%

43%

57%

46%

54%

41%
34%

59%
66%

56%

44%

34%
67%

66%
33%

45%

55%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
31. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?

Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Is honest and
trustworthy
Would act with
integrity as President
Understands regular
people
Respects women
Could fix the
economy
Has good
temperament and
judgment
Is a risky choice
Explained her past
comments in emails

Describes

Does not describe

49%

51%

28%

72%

46%

54%

40%
61%

60%
39%

39%

61%

47%
55%

53%
45%

31%

69%

32. In the U.S. Senate election in Arizona in November, are you planning to vote for...
John McCain, the Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Ann Kirkpatrick, the Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Not sure yet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
33. How important is each of these in your Senate vote?

To help Clinton if she

wins the Presidency
To be a check on
Clinton if she wins
the Presidency
To help Trump if he
wins the Presidency
To be a check on
Trump if he wins the
Presidency

Important

Not important

47%

53%

64%

36%

46%

54%

56%

44%

34. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
They should be allowed to stay in the US and eventually apply for citizenship.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
They should be allowed to stay in the US legally, but not be allowed to apply for
citizenship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
They should be required to leave the US. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%

35. Do you think a wall along the U.S. Mexico border is...
A good idea that can probably be completed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
A good idea that should be tried, even if it cant be completed . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
A bad idea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%

36. Generally, do you think immigrants coming to the United States make American society
better or worse in the long run?
Better in the long run . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Worse in the long run . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Dont have much of an effect one way or the other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
37. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

38. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?

Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

39. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%

40. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

41. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
42. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%

43. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

44. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona
1. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Gender
Already voted early or by mail
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
56%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%

38%
59%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

42%
53%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%

30%
62%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%

28%
67%
5%
1%
0%
0%
0%

44%
52%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

56%
43%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%

43%
54%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

30%
65%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%

43%
54%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(493)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(291)

(244)

(700)

100%

(994)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Already voted early or by mail
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

40%
56%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%

41%
56%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%

36%
57%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%

44%
54%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%

45%
54%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%

39%
52%
8%
1%
0%
0%
0%

37%
61%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%

43%
57%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

39%
56%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%

42%
56%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%

40%
56%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(994)

(317)

(326)

(332)

(250)

(370)

(374)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(761)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

2. Vote Method
How did you vote? By voting early in person at an early voting place, or by sending back a mail ballot?
Asked of respondents who have already voted

Gender
Early in person
By mail
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
93%

5%
95%

8%
92%

10%
90%

5%
95%

8%
92%

4%
96%

6%
94%

9%
91%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(186)

(206)

(59)

(70)

(127)

(136)

(296)

100%

(392)

Party ID
Early in person
By mail
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(14)

(59)

White Evangelical

(24)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
93%

8%
92%

7%
93%

5%
95%

7%
93%

7%
93%

5%
95%

9%
91%

6%
94%

6%
94%

7%
93%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(392)

(127)

(117)

(144)

(111)

(143)

(138)

(72)

(320)

(94)

(298)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

3. Intended Vote Method

When you vote, how do you think you will cast your ballot?
Asked of respondents who have not yet voted

Gender
In person on election day November
8th
In person at an early voting place
before November 8th
By mail ballot/absentee
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%

56%

47%

47%

57%

55%

43%

55%

43%

16%
32%

18%
26%

14%
39%

28%
26%

16%
27%

11%
34%

9%
48%

13%
32%

26%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(307)

(295)

(141)

(189)

(164)

(108)

(404)

100%

(602)

Party ID
In person on election day November
8th
In person at an early voting place
before November 8th
By mail ballot/absentee
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(18)

(149)

White Evangelical

(31)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

52%

49%

51%

56%

50%

49%

55%

55%

51%

58%

49%

16%
32%

23%
29%

14%
35%

13%
31%

25%
25%

13%
38%

14%
31%

7%
38%

18%
31%

10%
31%

18%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(602)

(190)

(209)

(187)

(139)

(227)

(235)

(99)

(503)

(135)

(463)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

4. Mail Ballots
Have you gotten the ballot but not yet returned it, or have you not received it yet?
Asked of respondents intending to cast a ballot by mail

Gender
Have not yet returned it
Have not yet received it
Already mailed it or dropped it off
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

84%
13%
3%

91%
4%
5%

78%
20%
2%

76%
20%
4%

84%
12%
5%

92%
8%
0%

90%
8%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(79)

(115)

100%

(194)

(51)

(55)

(52)

(129)

(36)

Party ID
Have not yet returned it
Have not yet received it
Already mailed it or dropped it off
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Ideology

(7)

(46)

(11)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

84%
13%
3%

67%
27%
5%

92%
5%
3%

96%
3%
2%

79%
19%
2%

95%
4%
2%

81%
16%
3%

83%
15%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(59)

(87)

(72)

100%

(74)

100%

(54)

100%

(194)

(35)

(38)

(157)

(42)

(152)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

5. Motivated to Vote
How motivated do you feel to vote this year?
Asked of respondents who have not already voted

Gender
Very motivated, cant wait to vote
Somewhat motivated
Not too motivated
Not motivated, but Ill do it anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
21%
6%
12%

63%
23%
6%
7%

60%
18%
6%
16%

48%
27%
12%
13%

62%
23%
3%
12%

65%
18%
6%
11%

73%
12%
4%
10%

65%
19%
5%
11%

52%
26%
8%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(303)

(293)

(139)

(187)

(162)

(108)

(401)

100%

(596)

Party ID
Very motivated, cant wait to vote
Somewhat motivated
Not too motivated
Not motivated, but Ill do it anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Ideology

(18)

(146)

White Evangelical

(31)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

62%
21%
6%
12%

69%
15%
6%
9%

57%
19%
8%
16%

64%
26%
4%
6%

72%
15%
8%
5%

49%
26%
9%
15%

67%
19%
2%
11%

68%
22%
3%
7%

60%
20%
7%
13%

78%
12%
8%
2%

57%
23%
6%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(596)

(187)

(207)

(186)

(137)

(225)

(234)

(99)

(498)

(133)

(460)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

6. Presidential Vote 2016

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you
vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably wont vote
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
44%
4%
1%
4%
5%
0%

36%
51%
3%
2%
4%
4%
0%

47%
38%
5%
1%
4%
6%
0%

42%
32%
9%
2%
8%
7%
0%

47%
36%
7%
1%
3%
6%
0%

42%
49%
1%
1%
3%
4%
0%

34%
59%
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%

34%
52%
4%
1%
4%
5%
0%

64%
24%
5%
1%
2%
3%
0%

38%
42%
4%
5%
2%
9%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(493)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(291)

(244)

(700)

100%

(994)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably wont vote
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

42%
44%
4%
1%
4%
5%
0%

87%
9%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%

33%
41%
9%
3%
6%
8%
0%

6%
84%
2%
1%
4%
3%
0%

85%
6%
4%
2%
2%
1%
0%

45%
35%
7%
2%
3%
8%
0%

10%
79%
1%
0%
5%
4%
0%

13%
79%
2%
1%
3%
3%
0%

48%
37%
4%
1%
4%
5%
0%

7%
85%
2%
1%
3%
1%
0%

52%
32%
4%
2%
4%
6%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(994)

(317)

(326)

(332)

(250)

(370)

(374)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(761)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

7. Support for Candidate

Which best describes your support for [Candidate Choice] right now?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump, excluding early voters

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably change
at some point
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

71%
19%

72%
18%

71%
21%

68%
14%

68%
23%

78%
17%

70%
22%

73%
21%

70%
14%

6%

7%

6%

10%

8%

3%

5%

5%

10%

3%

3%

3%

8%

1%

1%

2%

1%

6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(259)

(233)

(100)

(157)

(140)

(95)

(325)

100%

(491)

Party ID
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably change
at some point
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(15)

(130)

White Evangelical

(22)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

71%
19%

79%
13%

64%
24%

75%
17%

82%
9%

58%
31%

76%
16%

75%
22%

71%
19%

84%
14%

67%
21%

6%

4%

10%

6%

7%

9%

4%

3%

7%

1%

8%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

3%

1%

3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(177)

(139)

(164)

(123)

(168)

(201)

(86)

(405)

(121)

(367)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

8. Wait in Line
How long would you be willing to wait in line to vote?
Asked of respondents planning to vote in person

Gender
A few minutes
Up to an hour
A few hours, at the most
As long as it takes
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
26%
10%
57%

7%
27%
12%
54%

8%
24%
8%
60%

8%
28%
16%
47%

7%
21%
9%
63%

7%
28%
10%
56%

10%
26%
2%
61%

8%
24%
10%
58%

4%
29%
11%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(220)

(181)

(105)

(131)

(109)

(56)

(270)

100%

(401)

Party ID
A few minutes
Up to an hour
A few hours, at the most
As long as it takes
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Ideology

(11)

(100)

White Evangelical

(20)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
26%
10%
57%

5%
37%
8%
51%

7%
25%
11%
58%

12%
15%
9%
64%

6%
32%
11%
52%

8%
28%
15%
48%

8%
20%
5%
67%

2%
15%
22%
61%

8%
27%
8%
56%

5%
16%
9%
69%

8%
28%
11%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(401)

(134)

(133)

(125)

(102)

(135)

(163)

(59)

(342)

(88)

(310)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

9. Main Office Voting For

Which of these offices is the main reason you are casting a ballot this year?
Asked of respondents who say they will vote or already have voted

Gender
President
Senate and Congress
Local officials
Ballot measures
All of the above
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
3%
1%
2%
43%

51%
4%
2%
4%
40%

50%
2%
1%
1%
45%

57%
1%
3%
3%
36%

57%
3%
2%
4%
34%

49%
1%
1%
2%
47%

41%
5%
0%
1%
53%

49%
4%
1%
3%
44%

62%
1%
2%
1%
34%

40%
2%
6%
4%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(493)

(498)

(200)

(255)

(291)

(244)

(700)

100%

(990)

(204)

(55)

Party ID
President
Senate and Congress
Local officials
Ballot measures
All of the above
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

51%
3%
1%
2%
43%

57%
1%
2%
1%
39%

43%
3%
2%
5%
48%

54%
4%
1%
2%
39%

46%
2%
1%
0%
51%

53%
1%
3%
6%
36%

51%
4%
0%
0%
44%

50%
5%
1%
0%
44%

51%
2%
2%
3%
42%

53%
1%
1%
3%
42%

50%
3%
2%
2%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(990)

(313)

(326)

(332)

(250)

(370)

(370)

(172)

(819)

(229)

(757)

10. Why Not Likely to Vote

What is the main reason you are not sure if you will vote this year?
Asked of respondents who Maybe, Probably, or Definitely will not vote

Fewer than 50 respondents Maybe, Probably, or Definitely will not vote.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

11. Feel About Trump Candidacy

How do you feel about voting for Donald Trump compared to past Presidential candidates youve supported?
Asked of Trump supporters

Gender
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
27%
19%

55%
27%
18%

52%
26%
21%

60%
28%
12%

56%
24%
20%

52%
30%
17%

52%
24%
24%

53%
26%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(441)

(252)

(190)

(64)

(92)

(141)

(144)

(365)

Party ID
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(4)

(49)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
27%
19%

50%
26%
24%

58%
24%
18%

52%
32%
16%

56%
24%
20%

64%
20%
15%

50%
30%
21%

67%
17%
16%

43%
35%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(277)

100%

(135)

(131)

(295)

(136)

(306)

(195)

(243)

100%
(441)

(29)

(15)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

12. Feel About Clinton Candidacy

How do you feel about voting for Hillary Clinton compared to past Presidential candidates youve supported?
Asked of Clinton supporters

Gender
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%
35%
28%

34%
34%
32%

39%
36%
24%

36%
46%
18%

52%
30%
19%

29%
33%
39%

28%
38%
34%

34%
34%
32%

48%
33%
19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(235)

(84)

(122)

(123)

(84)

(238)

100%

(413)

Party ID
More enthusiastic
Less enthusiastic
About the same
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(23)

(132)

White Evangelical

(21)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%
35%
28%

43%
27%
30%

23%
51%
26%

37%
30%
33%

32%
43%
25%

36%
35%
29%

36%
36%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(211)

(166)

100%

(106)

100%

(275)

100%

(413)

(20)

(36)

(22)

(391)

(17)

(396)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

13. Anything Change Mind

Is there anything in the final couple of weeks of the Presidential campaign that could change who you vote for?
Asked of respondents who have not yet voted

Gender
Yes, theres still time left
Maybe, but it would have to be big
news
No, nothing
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Male

10%

14%

30%
60%

Age group

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

White

Black

6%

19%

12%

6%

3%

12%

6%

31%
55%

29%
65%

49%
31%

28%
61%

21%
73%

23%
75%

29%
59%

33%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(592)

(299)

(293)

(139)

100%

100%

100%

100%

(162)

(108)

(397)

100%

(183)

Party ID
Total
Yes, theres still time left
Maybe, but it would have to be big
news
No, nothing
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Democrat

65+

Ideology

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Hispanic

(18)

Conservative

Yes

(146)

White Evangelical
No

Other

(31)
Tea Party

Yes

No

10%

9%

11%

11%

6%

13%

9%

16%

9%

14%

9%

30%
60%

22%
69%

32%
57%

31%
58%

29%
64%

33%
53%

27%
64%

26%
58%

31%
60%

19%
67%

34%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(592)

(187)

(207)

(182)

(137)

(225)

(230)

(99)

(493)

(133)

(456)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

14. Trump Trying to Win

Do you feel Donald Trump is...
Gender
Focused on trying to win votes now
Already focused on what comes next
for him after the election
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

64%

63%

64%

64%

65%

59%

67%

65%

60%

66%

36%

37%

36%

36%

35%

41%

33%

35%

40%

34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(493)

(199)

(259)

(287)

(240)

(694)

100%

(985)

(207)

(54)

Party ID
Focused on trying to win votes now
Already focused on what comes next
for him after the election
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

64%

54%

67%

70%

55%

65%

69%

69%

63%

64%

64%

36%

46%

33%

30%

45%

35%

31%

31%

37%

36%

36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(985)

(313)

(323)

(329)

(245)

(367)

(373)

(172)

(813)

(229)

(752)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

15. Clinton Trying to Win

Do you feel Hillary Clinton is...
Gender
Focused on trying to win votes now
Already focused on what comes next
for her after the election
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%

52%

57%

51%

51%

58%

58%

56%

49%

53%

46%

48%

43%

49%

49%

42%

42%

44%

51%

47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(486)

(498)

(200)

(259)

(285)

(240)

(691)

100%

(984)

(207)

(53)

Party ID
Focused on trying to win votes now
Already focused on what comes next
for her after the election
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%

50%

52%

59%

55%

56%

53%

52%

55%

51%

55%

46%

50%

48%

41%

45%

44%

47%

48%

45%

49%

45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(984)

(317)

(325)

(323)

(250)

(366)

(368)

(170)

(813)

(224)

(756)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

16. Importance of Vote

Do you think [Candidate Choice] really needs your vote, or will things be the same without it?
Asked of respondents supporting a candidate

Gender
[Candidate Choice] really needs your
vote
Things will be the same without it
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

82%
18%

81%
19%

82%
18%

82%
18%

69%
31%

87%
13%

88%
12%

84%
16%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(454)

(455)

(169)

(235)

(271)

(234)

(636)

100%

(908)

Party ID
[Candidate Choice] really needs your
vote
Things will be the same without it
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(28)

(195)

White Evangelical

(49)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

82%
18%

79%
21%

78%
22%

87%
13%

86%
14%

75%
25%

84%
16%

87%
13%

80%
20%

90%
10%

79%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(908)

(308)

(279)

(307)

(242)

(328)

(338)

(162)

(746)

(219)

(686)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

17. Network Voting Patterns

Who are most of your friends and family voting for?
Gender
Mostly Clinton
Mostly Trump
Even split
I dont know, we dont talk about it
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
36%
14%
18%

27%
42%
15%
16%

35%
31%
13%
20%

35%
30%
17%
17%

36%
31%
15%
18%

29%
40%
16%
16%

25%
44%
10%
21%

25%
45%
15%
16%

48%
12%
16%
24%

36%
36%
11%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(501)

(200)

(258)

(291)

(244)

(699)

100%

(993)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Mostly Clinton
Mostly Trump
Even split
I dont know, we dont talk about it
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

31%
36%
14%
18%

69%
6%
10%
14%

20%
36%
20%
23%

7%
67%
12%
14%

69%
8%
11%
13%

28%
30%
18%
24%

10%
62%
13%
15%

9%
70%
8%
13%

36%
29%
16%
19%

7%
73%
7%
13%

38%
25%
17%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(993)

(317)

(325)

(332)

(249)

(370)

(374)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(760)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

18. Reasons to Consider Trump To shake up the political system

Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

24%
76%

30%
70%

19%
81%

23%
77%

26%
74%

23%
77%

26%
74%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(178)

(92)

(109)

(82)

100%

(146)

100%

(324)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(41)

(199)

Ideology

(14)

(93)

(17)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

24%
76%

13%
87%

37%
63%

13%
87%

27%
73%

43%
57%

23%
77%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(123)

(147)

(54)

100%

(122)

100%

(159)

100%

(324)

(33)

(26)

(298)

(25)

(299)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

19. Reasons to Consider Trump Having a businessman in the White House

Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

19%
81%

20%
80%

17%
83%

7%
93%

31%
69%

18%
82%

22%
78%

10%
90%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(92)

(107)

(83)

100%

(144)

100%

(323)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(41)

(201)

Ideology

(14)

(91)

(17)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

19%
81%

12%
88%

30%
70%

6%
94%

22%
78%

38%
62%

18%
82%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(123)

(146)

(54)

100%

(121)

100%

(159)

100%

(323)

(33)

(26)

(297)

(25)

(298)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

20. Reasons to Consider Trump To end political correctness

Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
80%

26%
74%

15%
85%

14%
86%

27%
73%

16%
84%

23%
77%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(92)

(109)

(81)

100%

(145)

100%

(324)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(41)

(201)

Ideology

(13)

(93)

(17)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
80%

10%
90%

36%
64%

8%
92%

25%
75%

32%
68%

18%
82%

17%
83%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(123)

(147)

(54)

100%

(122)

100%

(159)

100%

(324)

(33)

(26)

(297)

(25)

(299)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

21. Reasons to Consider Trump If he convinced me he was respectful

Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

26%
74%

22%
78%

30%
70%

41%
59%

26%
74%

19%
81%

26%
74%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(187)

(95)

(112)

(83)

100%

(144)

100%

(331)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(41)

(201)

Ideology

(14)

(99)

(17)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

26%
74%

13%
87%

35%
65%

14%
86%

34%
66%

33%
67%

27%
73%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(123)

(154)

(54)

100%

(121)

100%

(162)

100%

(331)

(33)

(26)

(305)

(25)

(307)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

22. Reasons to Consider Trump Just to give someone new a chance

Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

13%
87%

16%
84%

10%
90%

9%
91%

17%
83%

16%
84%

11%
89%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(92)

(109)

(83)

100%

(146)

100%

(325)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(41)

(201)

Ideology

(14)

(93)

(17)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

13%
87%

6%
94%

23%
77%

5%
95%

12%
88%

31%
69%

13%
87%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(123)

(148)

(54)

100%

(123)

100%

(159)

100%

(325)

(33)

(26)

(299)

(25)

(301)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

23. Reasons to Consider Trump To support my party

Even though you arent voting for him now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Donald Trump?
Asked of Clinton supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

8%
92%

7%
93%

9%
91%

10%
90%

12%
88%

4%
96%

6%
94%

14%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(179)

(92)

(107)

(83)

100%

(144)

100%

(323)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(41)

(201)

Ideology

(14)

(91)

(17)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

8%
92%

7%
93%

4%
96%

8%
92%

5%
95%

17%
83%

7%
93%

7%
93%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(123)

(146)

(54)

100%

(121)

100%

(159)

100%

(323)

(33)

(26)

(297)

(25)

(299)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

24. Reasons to Consider Clinton Having a woman become President

Even though you arent voting for her now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Trump supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

11%
89%

9%
91%

14%
86%

16%
84%

23%
77%

2%
98%

1%
99%

11%
89%

12%
88%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(195)

(159)

(84)

(99)

(95)

(75)

(267)

100%

(354)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(6)

(59)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

11%
89%

9%
91%

13%
87%

20%
80%

4%
96%

13%
87%

10%
90%

11%
89%

11%
89%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(169)

100%

(148)

(126)

(207)

(80)

(274)

(118)

(232)

100%
(354)

(33)

(21)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

25. Reasons to Consider Clinton Having someone experienced in the White House
Even though you arent voting for her now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Trump supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
80%

18%
82%

22%
78%

38%
62%

25%
75%

13%
87%

3%
97%

20%
80%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(199)

(159)

(84)

(103)

(96)

(75)

(269)

100%

(358)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(7)

(59)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
80%

21%
79%

17%
83%

30%
70%

10%
90%

19%
81%

21%
79%

10%
90%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

100%

(148)

(126)

(206)

(82)

(276)

(117)

(237)

100%
(358)

(34)

(26)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

26. Reasons to Consider Clinton If she convinced me she was trustworthy

Even though you arent voting for her now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Trump supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
71%

23%
77%

37%
63%

54%
46%

27%
73%

17%
83%

20%
80%

27%
73%

35%
65%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(195)

(159)

(82)

(103)

(96)

(73)

(265)

100%

(354)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(7)

(59)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

29%
71%

25%
75%

26%
74%

43%
57%

20%
80%

27%
73%

30%
70%

16%
84%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(169)

100%

(146)

(124)

(206)

(80)

(273)

(117)

(233)

100%
(354)

(34)

(24)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

27. Reasons to Consider Clinton If she focused more on the economy

Even though you arent voting for her now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Trump supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
80%

16%
84%

26%
74%

37%
63%

20%
80%

16%
84%

8%
92%

20%
80%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(199)

(159)

(84)

(103)

(96)

(75)

(269)

100%

(358)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(7)

(59)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
80%

21%
79%

18%
82%

35%
65%

10%
90%

18%
82%

21%
79%

15%
85%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(171)

100%

(148)

(126)

(206)

(82)

(276)

(117)

(237)

100%
(358)

(34)

(26)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

28. Reasons to Consider Clinton To support my party

Even though you arent voting for her now, would any of these be reasons to consider voting for Hillary Clinton?
Asked of Trump supporters who have not already voted

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

12%
88%

15%
85%

8%
92%

10%
90%

21%
79%

5%
95%

10%
90%

11%
89%

20%
80%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(199)

(162)

(84)

(103)

(94)

(80)

(272)

100%

(360)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(7)

(59)

White Evangelical

(23)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

12%
88%

4%
96%

11%
89%

22%
78%

3%
97%

16%
84%

11%
89%

10%
90%

13%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(169)

100%

(153)

(124)

(210)

(82)

(278)

(115)

(241)

100%
(360)

(34)

(26)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

29. Next Policy Steps Campaign finance reform

No matter who you are voting for, or whether you think it could really happen, which of these things do you really want to see happen next year?
Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

77%
23%

76%
24%

78%
22%

68%
32%

71%
29%

78%
22%

88%
12%

78%
22%

67%
33%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(477)

(196)

(255)

(283)

(232)

(683)

100%

(967)

(200)

(53)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(31)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

77%
23%

79%
21%

79%
21%

73%
27%

87%
13%

74%
26%

72%
28%

73%
27%

77%
23%

74%
26%

77%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(967)

(313)

(317)

(318)

(246)

(357)

(363)

(169)

(798)

(223)

(740)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

30. Next Policy Steps New regulations on Wall Street and banks
No matter who you are voting for, or whether you think it could really happen, which of these things do you really want to see happen next year?
Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

74%
26%

67%
33%

80%
20%

67%
33%

75%
25%

72%
28%

80%
20%

73%
27%

74%
26%

76%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(483)

(477)

(196)

(244)

(283)

(236)

(679)

100%

(960)

(195)

(53)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

74%
26%

87%
13%

73%
27%

62%
38%

92%
8%

72%
28%

63%
37%

63%
37%

76%
24%

61%
39%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(960)

(313)

(323)

(310)

(246)

(355)

(358)

(161)

(799)

(222)

(734)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

31. Next Policy Steps More U.S. military action against ISIS
No matter who you are voting for, or whether you think it could really happen, which of these things do you really want to see happen next year?
Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%
31%

72%
28%

66%
34%

58%
42%

68%
32%

74%
26%

74%
26%

70%
30%

67%
33%

64%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(469)

(195)

(251)

(283)

(232)

(682)

100%

(960)

(195)

(52)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(31)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

69%
31%

56%
44%

64%
36%

86%
14%

51%
49%

68%
32%

82%
18%

85%
15%

66%
34%

82%
18%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(960)

(308)

(318)

(320)

(243)

(353)

(364)

(170)

(790)

(224)

(732)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

32. Next Policy Steps Immigration reform

No matter who you are voting for, or whether you think it could really happen, which of these things do you really want to see happen next year?
Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

86%
14%

85%
15%

86%
14%

73%
27%

86%
14%

88%
12%

93%
7%

88%
12%

75%
25%

91%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(488)

(199)

(252)

(288)

(240)

(694)

100%

(978)

(198)

(55)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(31)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

86%
14%

81%
19%

86%
14%

90%
10%

84%
16%

86%
14%

86%
14%

91%
9%

85%
15%

84%
16%

86%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(978)

(315)

(324)

(325)

(246)

(361)

(372)

(171)

(807)

(227)

(747)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

33. Next Policy Steps New trade agreements

No matter who you are voting for, or whether you think it could really happen, which of these things do you really want to see happen next year?
Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

72%
28%

69%
31%

75%
25%

63%
37%

68%
32%

75%
25%

78%
22%

73%
27%

64%
36%

72%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(471)

(195)

(251)

(282)

(234)

(684)

100%

(961)

(194)

(52)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(31)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

72%
28%

65%
35%

68%
32%

80%
20%

64%
36%

72%
28%

77%
23%

80%
20%

70%
30%

81%
19%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(961)

(307)

(318)

(321)

(243)

(353)

(365)

(168)

(793)

(225)

(732)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

34. Affordable Care Act

Do you feel the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, has generally helped people, hurt people, or not made much difference?
Gender
Helped
Hurt
Not made much difference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
56%
10%

32%
58%
10%

36%
55%
10%

40%
46%
14%

36%
53%
12%

31%
60%
9%

31%
64%
5%

29%
64%
7%

45%
35%
20%

43%
54%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(493)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(291)

(244)

(700)

100%

(994)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Helped
Hurt
Not made much difference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

34%
56%
10%

72%
19%
9%

23%
63%
14%

9%
86%
4%

74%
16%
9%

33%
52%
15%

8%
87%
5%

14%
82%
3%

38%
51%
11%

11%
87%
2%

41%
47%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(994)

(317)

(326)

(332)

(250)

(370)

(374)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(761)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

35. Changes to ACA

Should Obamacare be kept as it is, fixed but keep the parts that work, or repealed entirely?
Gender
Kept as it is
Fixed, but keep the parts that work
Repealed entirely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
51%
44%

6%
47%
47%

4%
55%
41%

12%
56%
33%

10%
48%
42%

1%
50%
50%

0%
52%
48%

3%
47%
50%

11%
61%
28%

5%
54%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(500)

(199)

(259)

(290)

(244)

(698)

100%

(992)

(207)

(54)

Party ID
Kept as it is
Fixed, but keep the parts that work
Repealed entirely
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

5%
51%
44%

10%
78%
12%

1%
51%
48%

3%
25%
72%

7%
86%
6%

6%
60%
34%

3%
18%
79%

5%
24%
71%

5%
57%
38%

5%
17%
79%

5%
61%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(992)

(316)

(325)

(332)

(250)

(369)

(372)

(172)

(820)

(229)

(759)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

36. Trumps Role in Politics

Do you feel Donald Trump is:
Gender
Part of whats right with politics today
Part of whats wrong with politics
today
Both
Neither, I think of him as separate
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

11%

12%

11%

13%

11%

12%

10%

13%

6%

15%

39%
9%
40%

40%
10%
38%

39%
8%
43%

55%
10%
23%

49%
10%
30%

31%
8%
48%

26%
7%
57%

33%
9%
45%

60%
8%
26%

35%
8%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(481)

(500)

(200)

(252)

(290)

(240)

(694)

100%

(981)

(200)

(55)

Party ID
Total
Part of whats right with politics today
Part of whats wrong with politics
today
Both
Neither, I think of him as separate
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Democrat

Independent

Ideology
Republican

Liberal

Hispanic

(32)

White Evangelical

Other

Tea Party

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

11%

4%

6%

25%

3%

11%

18%

17%

10%

22%

8%

39%
9%
40%

67%
4%
26%

33%
13%
48%

18%
9%
48%

70%
3%
24%

43%
14%
31%

15%
7%
60%

25%
6%
52%

42%
9%
38%

14%
8%
56%

47%
9%
36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(981)

(306)

(326)

(330)

(246)

(363)

(372)

(171)

(810)

(229)

(749)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

37. Clintons Role in Politics

Do you feel Hillary Clinton is:
Gender
Part of whats right with politics today
Part of whats wrong with politics
today
Both
Neither, I think of her as separate
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

16%

13%

19%

15%

19%

16%

14%

15%

23%

5%

55%
21%
8%

62%
17%
8%

48%
24%
9%

53%
24%
8%

48%
23%
11%

57%
19%
8%

62%
17%
7%

63%
17%
5%

30%
28%
19%

58%
31%
7%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(291)

(243)

(699)

100%

(993)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Part of whats right with politics today
Part of whats wrong with politics
today
Both
Neither, I think of her as separate
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Democrat

Independent

16%

38%

9%

55%
21%
8%

17%
30%
15%

100%
(993)

Ideology
Republican

(32)

White Evangelical
Conservative

Yes

No

Other

Tea Party

Liberal

Moderate

Yes

No

4%

36%

13%

5%

8%

18%

5%

19%

64%
21%
6%

85%
8%
3%

22%
34%
8%

49%
25%
13%

83%
7%
4%

81%
7%
4%

50%
23%
9%

91%
3%
2%

44%
26%
11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(317)

(325)

(331)

(250)

(370)

(373)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(760)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

38. Trumps Campaign

How does Donald Trumps campaign for President make you feel ...? Check all that apply.
Gender
Excited
Angry
Scared
Proud
Disappointed
None of these
Totals

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
37%
42%
19%
44%
8%

30%
33%
34%
23%
42%
8%

25%
41%
49%
15%
46%
8%

21%
54%
52%
16%
54%
5%

24%
38%
44%
15%
52%
8%

30%
33%
39%
19%
40%
12%

34%
28%
35%
25%
31%
7%

31%
33%
39%
21%
40%
9%

19%
52%
52%
10%
54%
6%

24%
31%
43%
23%
44%
6%

(994)

(493)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(291)

(244)

(700)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Excited
Angry
Scared
Proud
Disappointed
None of these
Totals

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

28%
37%
42%
19%
44%
8%

8%
65%
63%
4%
59%
4%

21%
37%
44%
18%
51%
9%

54%
10%
19%
35%
22%
10%

5%
70%
68%
2%
67%
1%

21%
38%
49%
16%
47%
10%

49%
14%
18%
32%
25%
11%

54%
9%
21%
35%
19%
9%

22%
43%
46%
16%
49%
8%

59%
10%
11%
45%
18%
11%

18%
45%
51%
11%
52%
7%

(994)

(317)

(326)

(332)

(250)

(370)

(374)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(761)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

39. Clintons Campaign

How does Hillary Clintons campaign for President make you feel ...? Check all that apply.
Gender
Excited
Angry
Scared
Proud
Disappointed
None of these
Totals

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

20%
38%
42%
20%
40%
11%

17%
41%
44%
15%
42%
10%

24%
34%
40%
25%
38%
12%

18%
33%
45%
20%
51%
16%

27%
35%
34%
25%
38%
8%

21%
39%
48%
19%
37%
9%

15%
43%
41%
18%
36%
11%

17%
44%
46%
18%
42%
9%

34%
19%
31%
29%
30%
14%

15%
41%
42%
16%
60%
9%

(994)

(493)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(291)

(244)

(700)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
Excited
Angry
Scared
Proud
Disappointed
None of these
Totals

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

20%
38%
42%
20%
40%
11%

49%
8%
14%
48%
20%
14%

11%
46%
47%
10%
50%
14%

4%
60%
64%
4%
48%
3%

46%
8%
10%
49%
23%
17%

19%
28%
42%
18%
43%
15%

5%
67%
63%
3%
48%
2%

8%
63%
59%
6%
49%
2%

23%
33%
38%
23%
38%
12%

5%
68%
64%
5%
46%
3%

25%
28%
35%
25%
38%
13%

(994)

(317)

(326)

(332)

(250)

(370)

(374)

(172)

(822)

(229)

(761)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

40. Expected Winner

Regardless of who you support, who do you expect to win the Presidential election next month?
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Neither

61%
35%
4%

58%
38%
3%

64%
31%
6%

65%
29%
7%

67%
26%
7%

57%
40%
3%

56%
42%
2%

56%
40%
4%

74%
20%
6%

61%
34%
5%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(500)

(200)

(259)

(289)

(241)

(695)

100%

(989)

(207)

(54)

Party ID

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Neither

61%
35%
4%

92%
7%
1%

61%
33%
6%

32%
65%
4%

91%
6%
3%

65%
28%
7%

37%
60%
3%

33%
59%
8%

67%
29%
4%

25%
74%
0%

72%
22%
6%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(989)

(317)

(325)

(328)

(250)

(367)

(371)

(169)

(820)

(228)

(757)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

41. Election Already Over

Do you think this election is already decided or will it go down to the wire?
Gender
Already decided
Will go down to the wire
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
50%

57%
43%

44%
56%

61%
39%

62%
38%

40%
60%

39%
61%

47%
53%

60%
40%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(501)

(200)

(259)

(290)

(243)

(699)

100%

(992)

(207)

(54)

Party ID
Already decided
Will go down to the wire
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%
50%

61%
39%

48%
52%

44%
56%

59%
41%

50%
50%

44%
56%

45%
55%

51%
49%

46%
54%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(992)

(317)

(324)

(332)

(250)

(369)

(373)

(172)

(821)

(228)

(760)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

42. Result of Election

Which do you think is most likely to happen after this election?
Gender
The losing side will be upset, but calm
There will be a lot of civil unrest and
protests
The nation will come together behind
the new President
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%

33%

21%

32%

27%

26%

25%

25%

31%

29%

59%

52%

65%

62%

47%

62%

66%

61%

53%

54%

14%

15%

14%

6%

26%

12%

10%

13%

16%

17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(498)

(200)

(259)

(287)

(241)

(697)

100%

(987)

(206)

(52)

Party ID
The losing side will be upset, but calm
There will be a lot of civil unrest and
protests
The nation will come together behind
the new President
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

27%

29%

24%

28%

30%

27%

26%

25%

28%

20%

30%

59%

54%

68%

55%

56%

59%

60%

62%

58%

70%

56%

14%

17%

8%

17%

14%

14%

14%

13%

14%

11%

15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(987)

(317)

(323)

(328)

(248)

(367)

(372)

(171)

(816)

(227)

(756)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

43. Trump Traits Is prepared to be Commander in Chief

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
59%

46%
54%

36%
64%

31%
69%

39%
61%

44%
56%

48%
52%

47%
53%

25%
75%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(488)

(489)

(196)

(258)

(287)

(237)

(689)

100%

(977)

(202)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
59%

10%
90%

37%
63%

76%
24%

8%
92%

32%
68%

72%
28%

72%
28%

35%
65%

80%
20%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(977)

(312)

(320)

(326)

(247)

(365)

(365)

(168)

(810)

(223)

(751)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

44. Trump Traits Is honest and trustworthy

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
57%

50%
50%

36%
64%

27%
73%

37%
63%

47%
53%

57%
43%

49%
51%

26%
74%

44%
56%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(497)

(199)

(258)

(284)

(242)

(691)

100%

(983)

(206)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%
57%

12%
88%

44%
56%

73%
27%

8%
92%

32%
68%

77%
23%

75%
25%

36%
64%

80%
20%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(316)

(325)

(323)

(248)

(368)

(367)

(170)

(813)

(224)

(756)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

45. Trump Traits Would act with integrity as President

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

53%
47%

38%
62%

33%
67%

42%
58%

48%
52%

57%
43%

53%
47%

27%
73%

46%
54%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(494)

(196)

(258)

(288)

(240)

(694)

100%

(983)

(203)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

46%
54%

12%
88%

44%
56%

81%
19%

7%
93%

36%
64%

81%
19%

75%
25%

40%
60%

85%
15%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(309)

(326)

(328)

(245)

(366)

(373)

(172)

(812)

(229)

(750)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

46. Trump Traits Understands regular people

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
59%

47%
53%

34%
66%

26%
74%

36%
64%

43%
57%

55%
45%

48%
52%

19%
81%

41%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(492)

(196)

(258)

(289)

(240)

(694)

100%

(983)

(203)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
59%

8%
92%

41%
59%

74%
26%

8%
92%

28%
72%

76%
24%

75%
25%

34%
66%

84%
16%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(983)

(312)

(325)

(327)

(247)

(366)

(370)

(168)

(815)

(226)

(754)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

47. Trump Traits Respects women

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
66%

40%
60%

28%
72%

18%
82%

30%
70%

39%
61%

47%
53%

39%
61%

22%
78%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(486)

(487)

(195)

(258)

(287)

(232)

(685)

100%

(972)

(202)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

34%
66%

7%
93%

35%
65%

60%
40%

5%
95%

22%
78%

67%
33%

61%
39%

28%
72%

75%
25%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(972)

(311)

(314)

(327)

(248)

(362)

(363)

(169)

(803)

(224)

(745)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

48. Trump Traits Could fix the economy

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
44%

63%
37%

49%
51%

40%
60%

58%
42%

58%
42%

63%
37%

62%
38%

36%
64%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(493)

(198)

(257)

(285)

(244)

(696)

100%

(984)

(206)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
44%

18%
82%

59%
41%

90%
10%

17%
83%

51%
49%

86%
14%

82%
18%

50%
50%

89%
11%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(984)

(311)

(326)

(328)

(245)

(368)

(371)

(170)

(813)

(228)

(752)

47

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

49. Trump Traits Has good temperament and judgment

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
66%

39%
61%

29%
71%

21%
79%

34%
66%

36%
64%

43%
57%

40%
60%

18%
82%

27%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(489)

(195)

(258)

(286)

(236)

(687)

100%

(976)

(202)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

34%
66%

8%
92%

31%
69%

63%
37%

7%
93%

26%
74%

60%
40%

64%
36%

28%
72%

70%
30%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(313)

(317)

(326)

(248)

(365)

(363)

(169)

(807)

(222)

(750)

48

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

50. Trump Traits Is a risky choice

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

67%
33%

65%
35%

69%
31%

78%
22%

73%
27%

63%
37%

56%
44%

62%
38%

82%
18%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(489)

(197)

(258)

(289)

(232)

(686)

100%

(976)

(205)

(53)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

67%
33%

83%
17%

72%
28%

47%
53%

86%
14%

75%
25%

45%
55%

45%
55%

72%
28%

43%
57%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(314)

(313)

(330)

(250)

(365)

(362)

(168)

(809)

(222)

(750)

49

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

51. Trump Traits Explained his past comments about women

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
55%

50%
50%

40%
60%

34%
66%

43%
57%

47%
53%

54%
46%

50%
50%

33%
67%

49%
51%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(486)

(496)

(196)

(258)

(291)

(237)

(690)

100%

(981)

(205)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
55%

17%
83%

46%
54%

73%
27%

16%
84%

35%
65%

75%
25%

77%
23%

38%
62%

83%
17%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(981)

(309)

(326)

(327)

(246)

(366)

(369)

(168)

(813)

(226)

(752)

50

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

52. Clinton Traits Is prepared to be Commander in Chief

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
51%

41%
59%

57%
43%

55%
45%

53%
47%

47%
53%

44%
56%

42%
58%

71%
29%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(485)

(483)

(193)

(258)

(285)

(232)

(684)

100%

(968)

(202)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(28)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

49%
51%

88%
12%

43%
57%

18%
82%

86%
14%

55%
45%

19%
81%

19%
81%

56%
44%

16%
84%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(968)

(305)

(316)

(328)

(245)

(364)

(359)

(168)

(800)

(221)

(744)

51

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

53. Clinton Traits Is honest and trustworthy

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
72%

25%
75%

30%
70%

24%
76%

35%
65%

26%
74%

24%
76%

24%
76%

42%
58%

18%
82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(482)

(193)

(258)

(284)

(237)

(685)

100%

(971)

(203)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

28%
72%

64%
36%

17%
83%

5%
95%

57%
43%

28%
72%

7%
93%

12%
88%

31%
69%

11%
89%

33%
67%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(971)

(306)

(318)

(327)

(243)

(364)

(364)

(168)

(803)

(225)

(742)

52

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

54. Clinton Traits Would act with integrity as President

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

43%
57%

50%
50%

51%
49%

54%
46%

44%
56%

37%
63%

39%
61%

68%
32%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(488)

(198)

(258)

(285)

(236)

(689)

100%

(978)

(206)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

46%
54%

89%
11%

34%
66%

16%
84%

85%
15%

52%
48%

15%
85%

22%
78%

51%
49%

13%
87%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(978)

(312)

(320)

(327)

(245)

(369)

(364)

(169)

(809)

(225)

(749)

53

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

55. Clinton Traits Understands regular people

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
60%

35%
65%

45%
55%

48%
52%

45%
55%

38%
62%

30%
70%

33%
67%

65%
35%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(485)

(195)

(255)

(286)

(237)

(684)

100%

(972)

(205)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

40%
60%

83%
17%

28%
72%

11%
89%

72%
28%

45%
55%

13%
87%

14%
86%

45%
55%

13%
87%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(972)

(305)

(319)

(328)

(244)

(365)

(363)

(165)

(806)

(225)

(743)

54

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

56. Clinton Traits Respects women

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

57%
43%

64%
36%

74%
26%

68%
32%

54%
46%

49%
51%

54%
46%

82%
18%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(486)

(195)

(258)

(286)

(237)

(688)

100%

(976)

(205)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

61%
39%

96%
4%

52%
48%

35%
65%

92%
8%

71%
29%

29%
71%

27%
73%

68%
32%

19%
81%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(309)

(319)

(328)

(247)

(365)

(363)

(169)

(807)

(225)

(747)

55

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

57. Clinton Traits Could fix the economy

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
61%

35%
65%

42%
58%

46%
54%

46%
54%

35%
65%

29%
71%

32%
68%

65%
35%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(486)

(194)

(258)

(289)

(236)

(686)

100%

(976)

(204)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

39%
61%

77%
23%

30%
70%

9%
91%

72%
28%

42%
58%

12%
88%

17%
83%

43%
57%

12%
88%

47%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(310)

(319)

(328)

(247)

(366)

(363)

(168)

(808)

(225)

(748)

56

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

58. Clinton Traits Has good temperament and judgment

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
53%

43%
57%

51%
49%

54%
46%

53%
47%

45%
55%

36%
64%

40%
60%

68%
32%

52%
48%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(486)

(195)

(258)

(286)

(237)

(688)

100%

(976)

(205)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

47%
53%

87%
13%

40%
60%

16%
84%

87%
13%

53%
47%

13%
87%

21%
79%

52%
48%

13%
87%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(976)

(309)

(319)

(328)

(247)

(365)

(363)

(169)

(807)

(225)

(747)

57

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

59. Clinton Traits Is a risky choice

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%
45%

57%
43%

53%
47%

57%
43%

54%
46%

55%
45%

53%
47%

59%
41%

43%
57%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(490)

(490)

(195)

(258)

(284)

(243)

(694)

100%

(980)

(203)

(54)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

55%
45%

26%
74%

60%
40%

77%
23%

28%
72%

55%
45%

73%
27%

77%
23%

50%
50%

76%
24%

48%
52%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(980)

(309)

(326)

(326)

(245)

(366)

(369)

(170)

(810)

(227)

(749)

58

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

60. Clinton Traits Explained her past comments in emails

Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
69%

28%
72%

34%
66%

30%
70%

37%
63%

32%
68%

24%
76%

27%
73%

47%
53%

16%
84%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(483)

(194)

(257)

(283)

(237)

(688)

100%

(972)

(202)

(53)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(29)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

31%
69%

66%
34%

21%
79%

8%
92%

63%
37%

32%
68%

9%
91%

14%
86%

35%
65%

13%
87%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(972)

(307)

(319)

(327)

(244)

(364)

(364)

(169)

(803)

(226)

(742)

59

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

61. 2016 Senate Vote

In the U.S. Senate election in Arizona in November, are you planning to vote for...
Gender
John McCain, the Republican
Ann Kirkpatrick, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
38%
11%
8%

49%
32%
10%
9%

37%
44%
12%
7%

39%
32%
21%
8%

42%
40%
16%
3%

42%
41%
8%
8%

47%
37%
2%
14%

49%
32%
9%
10%

28%
50%
21%
1%

34%
44%
12%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(501)

(200)

(256)

(290)

(244)

(699)

100%

(990)

(204)

(55)

Party ID
John McCain, the Republican
Ann Kirkpatrick, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%
38%
11%
8%

10%
78%
12%
0%

44%
31%
12%
13%

74%
7%
9%
11%

7%
83%
9%
1%

46%
33%
15%
6%

63%
12%
9%
16%

63%
15%
10%
13%

38%
43%
12%
7%

60%
12%
6%
22%

37%
46%
13%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(990)

(317)

(323)

(331)

(250)

(370)

(370)

(172)

(818)

(229)

(758)

60

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

62. Senate Vote to Check Presidency To help Clinton if she wins the Presidency
How important is each of these in your Senate vote?
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Important
Not important

47%
53%

40%
60%

54%
46%

53%
47%

51%
49%

42%
58%

42%
58%

41%
59%

67%
33%

34%
66%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(489)

(485)

(200)

(257)

(285)

(232)

(684)

100%

(974)

(206)

(52)

Party ID

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

Important
Not important

47%
53%

87%
13%

35%
65%

19%
81%

84%
16%

48%
52%

19%
81%

27%
73%

51%
49%

20%
80%

55%
45%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(974)

(316)

(316)

(323)

(249)

(363)

(361)

(168)

(805)

(225)

(746)

61

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

63. Senate Vote to Check Presidency To be a check on Clinton if she wins the Presidency
How important is each of these in your Senate vote?
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Important
Not important

64%
36%

64%
36%

64%
36%

57%
43%

75%
25%

61%
39%

63%
37%

64%
36%

67%
33%

51%
49%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(488)

(481)

(195)

(255)

(284)

(236)

(687)

100%

(970)

(199)

(52)

Party ID

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

Important
Not important

64%
36%

51%
49%

67%
33%

76%
24%

42%
58%

62%
38%

81%
19%

81%
19%

61%
39%

79%
21%

60%
40%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(970)

(308)

(321)

(321)

(246)

(360)

(364)

(170)

(800)

(226)

(741)

62

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

64. Senate Vote to Check Presidency To help Trump if he wins the Presidency
How important is each of these in your Senate vote?
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Important
Not important

46%
54%

48%
52%

44%
56%

34%
66%

48%
52%

44%
56%

55%
45%

52%
48%

31%
69%

37%
63%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(491)

(487)

(196)

(257)

(284)

(240)

(692)

100%

(977)

(200)

(52)

Party ID

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

Important
Not important

46%
54%

17%
83%

42%
58%

77%
23%

14%
86%

40%
60%

72%
28%

72%
28%

40%
60%

74%
26%

37%
63%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(977)

(310)

(325)

(322)

(246)

(360)

(372)

(171)

(806)

(229)

(745)

63

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

65. Senate Vote to Check Presidency To be a check on Trump if he wins the Presidency
How important is each of these in your Senate vote?
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Important
Not important

56%
44%

50%
50%

62%
38%

61%
39%

52%
48%

54%
46%

58%
42%

59%
41%

46%
54%

47%
53%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(487)

(481)

(196)

(257)

(284)

(232)

(684)

100%

(969)

(201)

(52)

Party ID

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

Important
Not important

56%
44%

61%
39%

51%
49%

54%
46%

72%
28%

54%
46%

46%
54%

55%
45%

56%
44%

41%
59%

60%
40%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(969)

(310)

(317)

(322)

(245)

(360)

(363)

(169)

(800)

(227)

(739)

64

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

66. Immigration
Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
Gender
They should be allowed to stay in the
US and eventually apply for
citizenship.
They should be allowed to stay in the
US legally, but not be allowed to apply
for citizenship.
They should be required to leave the
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%

46%

54%

66%

54%

47%

37%

45%

65%

53%

17%

18%

15%

16%

18%

13%

21%

17%

19%

9%

33%

36%

30%

18%

28%

40%

42%

38%

16%

38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(486)

(500)

(200)

(259)

(289)

(238)

(692)

100%

(986)

(207)

(55)

Party ID
They should be allowed to stay in the
US and eventually apply for
citizenship.
They should be allowed to stay in the
US legally, but not be allowed to apply
for citizenship.
They should be required to leave the
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%

76%

45%

30%

82%

55%

25%

27%

55%

19%

60%

17%

14%

19%

18%

12%

22%

15%

19%

16%

17%

16%

33%

11%

36%

52%

6%

24%

60%

54%

29%

63%

24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(986)

(313)

(326)

(328)

(246)

(369)

(371)

(170)

(816)

(227)

(755)

65

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

67. U.S. Mexico Border Wall

Do you think a wall along the U.S. Mexico border is...
Gender
A good idea that can probably be
completed
A good idea that should be tried, even
if it cant be completed
A bad idea
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

35%

37%

32%

18%

31%

41%

44%

39%

19%

43%

18%
47%

20%
43%

17%
51%

19%
62%

21%
49%

17%
42%

16%
39%

21%
40%

12%
69%

11%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(493)

(499)

(199)

(259)

(291)

(242)

(698)

100%

(991)

(207)

(54)

Party ID
A good idea that can probably be
completed
A good idea that should be tried, even
if it cant be completed
A bad idea
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

35%

11%

35%

59%

18%
47%

10%
79%

20%
45%

100%

100%

(991)

(316)

Liberal

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

5%

28%

61%

56%

30%

69%

24%

25%
16%

8%
87%

20%
52%

23%
16%

25%
19%

17%
53%

22%
9%

17%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(324)

(332)

(250)

(367)

(374)

(169)

(822)

(229)

(758)

66

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Arizona

68. Effect of Immigrants on American Society

Generally, do you think immigrants coming to the United States make American society better or worse in the long run?
Gender
Better in the long run
Worse in the long run
Dont have much of an effect one way
or the other
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
33%

44%
35%

42%
31%

49%
23%

38%
31%

44%
37%

41%
40%

41%
39%

47%
16%

50%
31%

24%

21%

26%

28%

31%

19%

19%

20%

37%

19%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(492)

(495)

(200)

(258)

(288)

(241)

(693)

100%

(987)

(207)

(54)

Party ID
Better in the long run
Worse in the long run
Dont have much of an effect one way
or the other
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(32)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%
33%

59%
13%

40%
34%

31%
54%

68%
10%

37%
30%

32%
52%

36%
49%

44%
30%

32%
54%

46%
27%

24%

28%

26%

15%

22%

33%

15%

14%

26%

14%

26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(987)

(317)

(323)

(327)

(250)

(366)

(371)

(170)

(817)

(229)

(755)

67