Wipro Equity Research Report
Wipro Equity Research Report
Wipro Equity Research Report
WIPRO
Interimwoespersist;2020roadmapoutlined
IndiaEquityResearch|IT
Ambitious 2020 goal: Managements set forth its 2020 goal of achieving USD15bn
revenue with 23% operating margins, drawing on a 7pronged theme: 1) digital; 2)
client mining; 3) market; 4) nonlinearity; 5) hyper automation; 6) leveraging partner
ecosystem;and7)turbochargingannuityservices.Also,businessunits,serviceslines
andgeographieshaveplansalignedtothegoal.Althoughtheydidnotdiscloseorganic
and inorganic markers, they did spell out 4 areas for acquisitions, viz., 1) digital; 2)
businessprocessservices;3)localisation;and4)emergingcompaniesinbayarea.
Near term guidance weak: Management stated that BFSI and energy utilities
(contribution >40% in FY16) are challenged and will be under pressure over next 23
quarters.Marginswouldbehitbysalaryhikeasmanagementrewardhighperformers
alittlemorethanlastyear.
Outlookandvaluations:Inforthelonghaul;maintainBUY
Neartermoutlookremainsweakwhileweawaitanysignsofturnaround.Inexpensive
valuation (12.3x FY18E EPS) and corporate action will limit downside. Maintain
BUY/SPwithTPofINR650(15xFY18EEPS)
Financials
(INRmn)
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
Revenues(INRmn)
469,545
512,440
568,994
615,610
Rev.growth(%)
8.1
9.1
11.0
8.2
EBITDA(INRmn)
104,609
108,121
122,689
132,740
AdjustedProfit(INRmn)
86,528
88,922 100,174
107,463
AdjustedDilutedEPS(INR)
35.1
36.1
40.7
43.7
EPSgrowth(%)
11.1
2.8
12.7
7.3
DilutedP/E(x)
15.3 14.9 13.2 12.3
EV/EBITDA(x)
12.0
12.6
10.8
9.6
ROAE(%)
23.1
20.4
20.1
18.9
EdelweissResearchisalsoavailableonwww.edelresearch.com,
BloombergEDEL<GO>,ThomsonFirstCall,ReutersandFactset.
EDELWEISS4DRATINGS
AbsoluteRating
BUY
RatingRelativetoSector
Performer
RiskRatingRelativetoSector
Low
SectorRelativetoMarket
Underweight
MARKETDATA(R:WIPR.BO,B:WPROIN)
CMP
:INR539
TargetPrice
:INR650
52weekrange(INR)
:613/508
Shareinissue(mn)
:2,470.7
Mcap(INRbn/USDmn)
:1,331/19,960
Avg.DailyVol.BSE/NSE(000) :1,503.2
SHAREHOLDINGPATTERN(%)
Current
Q3FY16 Q2FY16
Promoters*
73.3
73.3
MF's,FI's&BKs
5.3
4.4
4.6
FII's
10.9
11.2
10.7
Others
10.5
11.1
11.3
73.4
*Promoterspledgedshares
(%ofshareinissue)
NIL
PRICEPERFORMANCE(%)
Stock
Nifty
EW
Technology
Index
1month
(2.0)
4.4
3months
1.4
9.3
6.3
12months
(0.3)
(3.7)
6.3
SandipAgarwal
+912266233474
[email protected]
PranavKshatriya
+912240407495
[email protected]
DeepanKapadia
+912240635544
[email protected]
May10,2016
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
1.6
IT
Layoutfor2020goal
Management spoke on its 2020 goal of achieving USD15bn revenue with 23% operating
margins.The7themestoattainthegoalinclude:1)digital;2)clientmining;3)market;4)
nonlinearity;5)hyperautomation;6)leveragingpartnerecosystem;and7)turbocharging
annuityservices.
Digital: Wipros digitals business will be based on advisory, design and technology
execution. The companys strategy is to secure mind share of customers and help them
think through their digital journey. On design front, to enhance capabilities the company
has aligned its consulting services with digital unit and has also acquired Designit, firm
specialising in transformative product services. Wipro also proposes to train over 20,000
personnelwhocanexecutethedigitaltechnologiesforitscustomers.
Client mining: Management plans to partner with enterprises to solve business problems
basedonoutcomemodelslikeAsAService.Adeliveryleadershiptransformationprogram,
calledADROIThasbeenlaunchedwhichhasbeendesignedfordeliverymanagers,aimedat
fostering learning agility among delivery teams, and create a framework for deliveryled
sales.Theprogramwilltrain1,000deliverymanagersbyendofthiscalendaryearandequip
themtocarryoutdeliveryledsalesandNextGendeliverywithinkeyclients.
Markets: Marketswillbecateredthroughlocaldeliverycenters,acquisitionsandhiring of
locals. Latin America, Canada, South Africa and Continental Europe are key new growth
markets.
Nonlinearity:Managementistargetinglargeshareofrevenueledbynonlinearitythrough
investmentsinintellectualproperty(IP)intheformofproducts,platformsandframeworks
andsolutions.
Hyper automation: This is an initiative to not only drive delivery productivity, but also
leverage cognitive and robotic process automation and change the traditional IT delivery
model.InFY16,WiprofocusedonPoCs(ProofofConcept)across42clients.InFY17,itplans
to scale PoCs across infra, AMS and BPS and reduce 4,500 employees from their
engagementsthroughautomation.
Leveraging the partner ecosystem: Wipro plans to partner in ecosystem. The ecosystem
consistsofstartups,alliances,academicrelationshipsandstrategicpartnerships.
Turbo charging annuity services: The company aspires to drive higher annuity mix for
predictabilityandstickinessinrevenues,andimproveoperatingmargins.
Aligningorganisationstructure:Wiproalignedtheorganisationstructuretoenhancefocus
onemergingbusinessesandnewertechnology.ThecompanyretainedCEOCOOstructure,
withpresidentsandchiefexecutivesreportingtoMrNeemuchwala,CEO.Thecompanyhas
outlined 6 business heads and 4 geographical heads to align the organisation structure in
linewithits2020vision.
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
Wipro
Near term guidance weak: The company had guided QoQ revenue growth of 13% in 1Q,
including acquisitions. Weakness in energy and financial services (contribution >40% in
FY16) will persist for 23 more quarters. Energy is still in turmoil though recovery in the
Middle East is expected from 2Q. BFSI challenge continues as clients are undergoing
transition from core/traditional to digital. Management plans to reward high performing
employeealittleextrathanlastyear,whichwillimpactthemarginshigherthanlastyear.
Outlookandvaluations:Inforthelonghaul;maintainBUY
Immediate outlook for Wipro is weak. We expect the company to remain a laggard on
revenuegrowthfrontinTier1space.Whileweawaitsignsofturnaround,thecompanys
2020goalofachievingUSD15bnrevenueandOPMof23%isencouraging.Also,webelieve
the proposed buyback of up to 40mn shares at INR625/share protects downside.
Inexpensive valuation also leaves some room for upside. The stock trades at 12.3x FY18E
EPS.MaintainBUY/SPwithatargetpriceofINR650(15xFY18EEPS).
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
IT
CompanyDescription
Wipro is a leading Indian company with business interests in export of IT & BPO services,
domestic hardware, consumer lighting, and consumer care. It has the widest range of
services, including systems integration, ITenabled services, package implementation,
software application development & maintenance, and R&D services. Wipro is the first P
CMMLevel5andSEICMMLevel5certifiedITservicescompanyintheworld.Ithas1,105
clients spanning the BFSI, manufacturing, retail, utilities, and telecom verticals. Wipro has
172,912 employees. The companys revenues for the past twelve months stood at INR
512.5bn(USD7.3bn).
InvestmentTheme
Wipro has realigned client facing profiles and is focusing on mining strategic accounts to
growitsbusiness.WhiletheclientminingeffortswillensurethatWiprosrevenuegrowth
improves, it needs to win new large clients to catch up on growth with peers. It needs to
improveitslargedealmarketsharetodeliveronitsguidanceofreportingrevenuegrowth
at par with that of peers. As growth bounces back it will lead to a significant margin
expansionowingtocurrentlowerutilisationlevelswhichwillgetakickerasvolumegrowth
increases.
KeyRisks
KeyriskstoourinvestmentthemeincludedoublediprecessioninmajormarketUSand
prolongedslowdowninEurope,sharpcrosscurrencymovementsandappreciationofrupee
againstUSD,EuroandGBPandlowbenchstrengthmayimpacttheabilitytocatertorapid
increaseinvolume.
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
Wipro
FinancialStatements
KeyAssumptions
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
GDP(YoY%)
Inflation(Avg)
7.2
5.9
7.4
4.8
7.9
5.0
8.3
5.2
Reporate(exitrate)
7.5
6.8
6.0
6.0
61.1
65.0
67.5
67.0
544,848
564,849
Macro
USD/INR(Avg)
Company
EffortsbilledOffsh.
Volumegr.(%)Offsh.
EffortsbilledOnsite
Volumegr.(%)Onsite
BillingrateOffshore
BillingrateOnsite
ITproducts(USDmn)
ITproductsGrowth(%)
S&Mexpenses(%ofrev.)
G&Aexpenses(%ofrev.)
610,037
FY18E
664,940
7.2
3.7
8.0
9.0
231,984
241,204
260,501
283,946
6.9
4.0
8.0
9.0
5,978.9
5,978.9
5,978.9
5,978.9
16,484.0
Incomestatement
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
(INRmn)
FY18E
Netrevenue
Costofrevenues
469,545 512,440
321,283 356,724
568,994
391,113
615,610
423,155
Grossprofit
148,262 155,716
177,881
192,454
TotalSG&Aexpenses
43,653
47,595
55,192
59,714
S&Mexpenses
17,802
19,130
23,898
25,856
G&Aexpenses
25,851
28,465
31,295
33,859
104,609 108,121
122,689
132,740
EBITDA
Depreciation
12,823
14,967
15,932
17,237
EBIT
91,786
93,154
106,757
115,503
Add:Otherincome
23,495
27,147
23,978
24,698
3,599
5,582
111,682 114,719
Less:InterestExpense
130,735
140,201
547
448
488
532
ProfitBeforeTax
Less:ProvisionforTax
24,624
25,305
30,069
32,246
(14.8)
(18.1)
9.0
9.0
Less:MinorityInterest
530
492
492
492
6.5
6.7
7.0
7.0
ReportedProfit
86,528
88,922
100,174
107,463
5.5
5.6
5.5
5.5
AdjustedProfit
86,528
88,922
100,174
107,463
Costofrev.(%ofrev.)
68.4
69.6
68.7
68.7
Shareso/s(mn)
2,455
2,457
2,457
2,457
Financialassumptions
35.3
36.2
40.8
43.7
Depreciation
2.7
2.9
2.8
2.8
2,463
2,462
2,462
2,462
Cashyield(%)
10.1
10.3
10.3
10.5
AdjustedDilutedEPS
35.1
36.1
40.7
43.7
Taxrateas%ofPBT
22.0
22.1
23.0
23.0
AdjustedCashEPS
40.5
42.3
47.3
50.8
22,603
52,545
27,621
27,483
Dividendpershare(DPS)
12.1
12.1
12.0
12.0
Debtordays
101
101
102
105
DividendPayoutRatio(%)
39.8
38.7
34.2
31.9
Payabledays
63
65
68
73
Cashconversioncycle
37
36
34
32
Capex(INRmn)
AdjustedBasicEPS
Dilutedshareso/s(mn)
Commonsizemetrics
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
Costofrevenues
Grossmargin
68.4
31.6
69.6
30.4
68.7
31.3
68.7
31.3
G&Aexpenses
5.5
5.6
5.5
5.5
S&Mexpenses
3.8
3.7
4.2
4.2
SG&Aexpenses
9.3
9.3
9.7
9.7
EBITDAmargins
22.3
21.1
21.6
21.6
EBITmargins
19.5
18.2
18.8
18.8
NetProfitmargins
18.5
17.4
17.7
17.5
Growthratios(%)
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
8.1
7.7
9.1
3.4
11.0
13.5
8.2
8.2
PBT
10.6
2.7
14.0
7.2
AdjustedProfit
11.0
2.8
12.7
7.3
EPS
11.1
2.8
12.7
7.3
Revenues
EBITDA
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
IT
Balancesheet
Ason31stMarch
FY15
FY16
(INRmn)
Cashflowmetrics
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
78,262 80,503
(25,816) (138,156)
77,761
(14,327)
96,279
(15,518)
(1,587)
(59,333)
(54,296)
43,923 (59,240)
4,101
26,465
FY17E
FY18E
Sharecapital
Reserves&Surplus
4,937
4,941
4,913
403,045 461,137 527,050
4,913
600,252
Operatingcashflow
Investingcashflow
Shareholders'funds
605,165
Financingcashflow
(8,523)
NetcashFlow
MinorityInterest
1,646
Longtermborrowings
2,224
YeartoMarch
2,716
3,208
84,039
Capex
(22,603) (52,545)
(27,621)
(27,483)
Dividendpaid
(29,490) (35,494)
(34,261)
(34,261)
TotalBorrowings
84,039
Def.TaxLiability(net)
(6,195)
(6,504)
(6,504)
Sourcesoffunds
685,908
Profitabilityandefficiencyratios
GrossBlock
NetBlock
197,868
79,372
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
ROAE(%)
ROACE(%)
23.1
25.8
20.4
21.8
20.1
21.0
18.9
21.1
Capitalworkinprogress
5,471
(6,504)
6,832
7,515
IntangibleAssets
117,832
InventoryDays
TotalFixedAssets
204,719
DebtorsDays
101
101
102
105
112,592
PayableDays
63
65
68
73
129,615
CashConversionCycle
42
42
39
37
CurrentRatio
4.1
3.5
3.9
4.1
Noncurrentinvestments
CashandEquivalents
158,940
Inventories
4,849
6,211
99,049 103,150
5,390
5,390
5,390
SundryDebtors
185,276
GrossDebt/EBITDA
0.9
1.3
0.9
0.6
Loans&Advances
166,474
GrossDebt/Equity
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
CurrentAssets(excash)
357,141
AdjustedDebt/Equity
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
Tradepayable
58,745
68,187
78,415
90,177
OtherCurrentLiab
39,078
42,514
32,103
27,981
Operatingratios
TotalCurrentLiab
118,159
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
NetCurrAssetsexcash
238,982
Usesoffunds
685,908
TotalAssetTurnover
FixedAssetTurnover
1.1
4.0
0.9
3.4
0.9
3.1
0.9
3.2
EquityTurnover
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
BVPS(INR)
Freecashflow
165.7
189.3
216.1
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
88,922 100,174
14,967 15,932
107,463
17,237
ReportedProfit
Add:Depreciation
86,528
12,823
Interest(NetofTax)
245.8
(INRmn)
Valuationparameters
YeartoMarch
FY15
FY16
FY17E
FY18E
Adj.DilutedEPS(INR)
YoYgrowth(%)
35.1
11.1
36.1
2.8
40.7
12.7
43.7
7.3
2,805
4,351
AdjustedCashEPS(INR)
40.5
42.3
47.3
50.8
Others
22,797
9,342
(7,303)
(3,405)
DilutedP/E(x)
15.3
14.9
13.2
12.3
Less:ChangesinWC
46,691
37,079
31,042
25,015
P/B(x)
3.3
2.8
2.5
2.2
Operatingcashflow
78,262
80,503
77,761
96,279
EV/Sales(x)
3.0
3.0
2.6
2.3
Less:Capex
22,603
52,545
27,621
27,483
FreeCashFlow
55,659
27,958
50,140
68,796
EV/EBITDA(x)
DividendYield(%)
12.0
2.2
12.6
2.2
10.8
2.2
9.6
2.2
Peercomparisonvaluation
Marketcap
DilutedP/E(X)
EV/EBITDA(X)
ROAE(%)
Name
(USDmn)
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
FY17E
FY18E
Wipro
19,960
13.2
12.3
10.8
9.6
20.1
18.9
HCLTechnologies
15,206
12.5
10.8
9.4
8.1
26.8
26.2
HexawareTechnologies
972
14.7
12.6
10.6
8.9
30.9
33.2
PersistentSystems
861
17.0
14.0
9.5
7.0
19.8
20.8
74,556
18.7
16.8
13.4
12.0
32.4
29.7
7,024
13.7
11.8
8.5
7.2
22.0
21.7
Median
14.2
12.5
10.1
8.5
24.4
24.0
AVERAGE
15.0
13.0
10.4
8.8
25.3
25.1
TataConsultancyServices
TechMahindra
Source:Edelweissresearch
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
Wipro
AdditionalData
DirectorsData
AshokS.Ganguly
JagdishN.Sheth
NarayananVaghul
T.K.Kurien
IreenaVittal
IndependentDirector
IndependentDirector
IndependentDirector
CEOandExecutiveDirector
IndependentDirector
WilliamArthurOwens
AzimH.Premji
M.K.Sharma
VyomeshJoshi
RishadAzimPremji
IndependentDirector
Chairman
IndependentDirector
IndependentDirector
ChiefStrategyOfficer&ExecutiveDirector
AuditorsBSR&Co.,CharteredAccountants
*asperlastannualreport
HoldingTop10
Perc.Holding
Perc.Holding
LifeInsuranceCorpOfIndia
1.89
PrudentialICICIAssetMgmt
0.99
Blackrock
0.82
VanguardGroupInc
0.53
HSBCHoldings
0.41
PinebridgeInvestments
0.40
HDFCAssetManagementCoLtd
0.27
NorgesBankInvestmentManagement
0.27
InvestecAssetManagement
0.26
NordeaBankAB
0.22
*asperlastavailabledata
BulkDeals
Data
NoDataAvailable
Acquired/Seller
B/S
QtyTraded
Price
*inlastoneyear
InsiderTrades
ReportingData
13Jan2016
14Dec2015
14Dec2015
Acquired/Seller
JeffreyHeenanJalil
SangitaSingh
Dr.AnuragSrivastava
B/S
Buy
Buy
Buy
QtyTraded
16812.00
26537.00
29902.00
*inlastoneyear
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
RATING&INTERPRETATION
Company
Absolute
Relative
Relative
reco
reco
risk
Cyient
BUY
SP
HCLTechnologies
BUY
SP
InfoEdge
BUY
JustDial
TataConsultancyServices
Wipro
Company
Absolute
Relative
Relative
reco
reco
Risk
ECLERXSERVICES
HOLD
SP
HexawareTechnologies
HOLD
SP
SP
Infosys
BUY
SO
HOLD
SP
PersistentSystems
BUY
SP
HOLD
SP
TechMahindra
BUY
SP
BUY
SP
ABSOLUTERATING
Ratings
Buy
Hold
Reduce
RELATIVERETURNSRATING
Ratings
Criteria
Sector return is market cap weighted average return for the coverage universe
within the sector
RELATIVERISKRATING
Ratings
Criteria
Low (L)
Medium (M)
High (H)
SECTORRATING
Ratings
Criteria
Overweight (OW)
Equalweight (EW)
Underweight (UW)
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
Wipro
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited,EdelweissHouse,offC.S.T.Road,Kalina,Mumbai400098.
Board:(9122)40094400,Email:[email protected]
NiravSheth
HeadResearch
[email protected]
Coveragegroup(s)ofstocksbyprimaryanalyst(s):IT
Cyient,ECLERXSERVICES,HCLTechnologies,HexawareTechnologies,Infosys,InfoEdge,JustDial,PersistentSystems,TataConsultancyServices,Tech
Mahindra,Wipro
RecentResearch
Date
Company
Title
Price(INR) Recos
GlobalPulse
05May16
05May16
Cyient
Worstbehind;Turnaround
insight;
EdelFlash
Hexaware Weakquarter;growth
Technologies concernsloom;
ResultUpdate
468
Buy
227
Hold
DistributionofRatings/MarketCap
RatingInterpretation
EdelweissResearchCoverageUniverse
Buy
Hold
RatingDistribution*
*stocksunderreview
156
60
Total
12
228
Between10bnand50bn
<10bn
158
62
Rating
Expectedto
Buy
appreciatemorethan15%overa12monthperiod
Hold
appreciateupto15%overa12monthperiod
Reduce
depreciatemorethan5%overa12monthperiod
Oneyearpricechart
650
600
550
500
450
Apr16
Mar16
Feb16
Jan16
Dec15
Nov15
Oct15
Oct15
Sep15
Aug15
Jul15
Jun15
400
May15
MarketCap(INR)
>50bn
(INR)
Reduce
Wipro
EdelweissSecuritiesLimited
IT
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