Pinkerton (A)
Pinkerton (A)
Pinkerton (A)
4 % sales
page 3
net rev
cogs
gross profit
% of rev
1987
408.3
381.7
26.6
6.51%
6.51%
net revenue
net PPE
delta net ppe
NWC (% changes)
NWC
delta NWC
NWC (% changes)
NWC
delta NWC
Net revenue
gross profit margin
operating expenses
EBIT
EBIAT = 34 % tax
less delta net ppe
delta NWC
FCFF
delta NWC
FCFF
discounted FCFF
discounted FCFF
Discount Rate
equity beta levered
assume risk premium
COE
after tax COD
debt
equity
D/V
E/V
1987
408.3
17.6
37.7
37.7
1987
408.3
26.6
27
-0.4
1988
367.47
14.6988
-2.9012
8.60%
31.60242
-6.09758
9.50%
34.90965
-2.79035
1988
367.47
31.23495
22.0482
9.18675
6.063255
-2.9012
-6.09758
15.062035
-2.79035
11.754805
13.4269300469
10.4787264436
0.89
5%
13.03%
using exh 5
6.53%
assume bond is A rated
10.6
70.2
exh 4
0.13118812
0.86881188
wacc
D/E
unleverd beta
12.18%
0.15099715
0.80934245
CPP
debt.
equity
3.1
18
Pinkerton
interest expense
0.4
long term debt at beginning of yr 4.1
cost of debt
9.80%
levered beta
Cost of equity
positive scenario
0.90133771
13.09%
1988
0
0
0
0
EBIT
EBIAT 34 % tax
less CF adjusted
FCFF
discounted FCFF
TV
PV
EV
28.9642986
16.3052847
19.584187
Final EV
137.529014
1988
6.61%
page 3
Revenue
operating expense
op exp proj
proj op. exp
saving
after tax saving
dsicounted after tax saving
367.47
24.3
6%
22.0482
2.2518
1.486188
1.3248503481
PRICING
1988
449.13
29.238363
8.50%
31.23495
1.996587
revenue
current GPM
revised GPM
revised GPM
increased GP
408.3
6.51%
sales rev
sales rev
408.3
408.3
449.13
367.47
1987
408.3
37.7
9.23%
1988
367.47
Sales revenue
NWC
NWC % of SR
revised NWC
Revised NWC
delta NWC
delta NWC in positive scenario
decrease in delta NWC
Discounted NWC
Particulars
Cash
A/R
33.93
8.60%
31.60242
-3.77
-6.09758
2.32758
2.0749024842
1989
326.64
13.0656
-1.6332
7.40%
24.17136
-7.43106
9.50%
31.0308
-3.87885
1990
285.81
11.4324
-1.6332
6.20%
17.72022
-6.45114
9.50%
27.15195
-3.87885
1991
300.1005
12.00402
0.57162
6.20%
18.606231
0.886011
9.50%
28.509548
1.3575975
1992
315.10553 growth
12.604221
0.600201
6.20%
19.536543 positive scenario
0.9303116
9.50%
29.935025
negative scenario
1.4254774
1989
326.64
29.3976
19.27176
10.12584
6.6830544
-1.6332
-7.43106
15.747314
-3.87885
12.195104
14.037817
9.6910687
1990
285.81
27.15195
16.57698
10.57497
6.9794802
-1.6332
-6.45114
15.06382
-3.87885
12.49153
13.428521
8.8490136
1991
300.1005
30.760301
17.405829
13.354472
8.8139517
0.57162
0.886011
7.3563207
1.3575975
6.8847342
6.557733
4.347699
1992
315.10553
32.298316
18.27612
14.022196
9.2546493
0.600201
0.9303116
positive scenario
7.7241367
1.4254774
negative scenario
7.2289709
6.8856196
4.0695074
bond is A rated
no. of shares outstanding * share price
1989
1.2
0.792
0
0.792
0.6293777
1990
1.5
0.99
0
0.99
0.7013171
1991
2
1.32
0
1.32
0.833578
1992
3
1.98
0
1.98
1.1146296
1989
1990
1991
1992
326.64
21.6
5.90%
19.27176
2.32824
1.5366384
1.2211186
TV
PV
EV
285.81
18.9
5.80%
16.57698
2.32302
1.5331932
1.0861157
24.727107
13.919982
19.520257
300.1005
19.845
5.80%
17.405829
2.439171
1.6098529
1.0166196
315.10553
20.83725
5.80%
18.27612
2.5611296
1.6903455
0.9515702
1989
489.5517
31.869816
9%
29.3976
-2.472216
1990
528.71584
34.419401
9.50%
27.15195
-7.267451
1991
565.72594
36.828759
10.25%
30.760301
-6.068458
1992
599.6695
39.038485
10.25%
in positive scenario
32.298316
-6.740168
489.5517
326.64
1989
326.64
1990
285.81
1991
300.1005
1992
315.10553
30.16
7.40%
24.17136
-3.77
-7.43106
3.66106
2.9093301
26.39
6.20%
17.72022
-3.77
-6.45114
2.68114
1.8993225
27.7095
6.20%
18.606231
1.3195
0.886011
0.433489
0.2737476
29.094975
6.20%
19.536543
1.385475
0.9303115
0.4551635
0.2562316
difference
GPM
operating exp growth
5%
1988
8.50%
8.50%
6%
1989
9.00%
8.75%
5.90%
Not changing
sales revenue
operating expense
tax rate
net ppe
changing
GPM
NWC
wacc
12.18%
TV
discounted TV
EV
112.9920214794
63.6082061015
117.9448270089
TV
discounted TV
EV
105.748521064
59.530519365
96.9665345456
1990
9.50%
9%
5.80%
1991
10.25%
9.50%
5.80%
TV
PV
6.656290007
3.7471200275
1992
10.25%
9.50%
5.80%
d
e
value
75
25
100