Valuation Report
Valuation Report
Valuation Report
Contents
Scope of Engagement
Industry Overview
Premise of Value
Other Methods
Conclusion on valuation
We Relied on
&
Assumptions
and
Preliminary Discussion
In the back drop of the above, the preliminary discussions on ____ 08 and
_____ 08 held at New Delhi between the promoters of Pashmina Industry Ltd.
and The ASC Group are synopsized below:
Clients Brief:
To value the enterprise of Pashmina Industry Ltd. Nepal ( a closely held
company of the Mal family the entire share holding is held at present by
members of the family only) for purpose of selling 70%-80% stake of the
promoters to a proposed identified buyer who is at present the largest
customer of the Company. The Promoter owner is a Designer of International
repute having designed and manufactured products for large fashion houses
of Europe and USA and sold at the best Fashion Shows and Exhibitions in the
world.
Investor (Buyer):
A leading (one of the largest) Ready Made Garments wholesale marketing
establishment of Hi Fashions niche ladies wear in Europe (also a 29% Buyer
of the present turnover of Pashmina Industry Ltd. Nepal) also supplies to
USA.
Profile of Pashmina Industry:
A well-established exporter (exports around 93% of its total turnover) of Hi
Fashions Knitwear and Pashmina ladies wears with major customers in
Europe and USA. The proposed investor is an existing customer of around
29% of the present sales turnover of the company. Three more customers
account for another 40% of turnover and the balance turnover is sold to
about 60 other clients of the company across continents primarily the
European Union.
critical raw material being Pashmina and Georgette both being available in
Nepal and from proximate countries (namely , India, China, Hongkong and
Taiwan).
The seller has no constraint in expanding production and ramping up scales.
Being highly labor intensive expansion does not entail substantial capital
investment.
Customer for hand made designs rely heavily on subcontinent units for
outsourcing.
The company has an advantage of having labor trained over years (it has
been in business for over 9 years) with skills sets that are required for the
products. The existing labor generate replacements / supplements of labor
and a combination of natural talent/ family orientation and hands-on training
by peers ensure that adequate labor with requisite skills is available for peak
production requirements.
The unit is endowed with in house facilities for all processes that are required
by the manufacturer.
Orders are commensurate with capacities. Being specific, most orders
(except for old large customers) are accompanied with earnest advance.
Lead time for production is around the 30-45 days and payments are against
Irrecoverable L/Cs and for some old customers on a usance D/A basis which
credit is around 75 days. The company has no history of Bad Debts
Scope of Engagement
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Date: June 14, 2008
To,
Pashmina Udyog,
Kathmandu, Nepal.
For the attention of Mr. _____________________
Dear Sir,
This letter sets out the basis upon which The ASC Group (ASC or we or
us), will work with Pashmina Udyog Ltd. (the Client or you or the
Company) in relation to the proposed transfer of rights / sale / acquisition of
shares of the Client / Clients Company by another party / strategic investor
in the Company.
1.
Project
2.
Services
Our role will be to act as an Advisor to you on the Project which interalia shall
entail Valuation for the transfer of the shareholding to the proposed
identified buyer. In this role we may, as required and as appropriate, perform
all or some of the following work:
Assist in the legal issues associated with the transaction. For this
we would work in co-ordination with the lawyers appointed to you.
Some of the tasks involved would be like reviewing and finalizing the
Transaction Document, etc.
o
Our duties and responsibilities shall be limited to those expressly set out in
this letter and without limiting the generality of the foregoing, we shall not:
3.
Project Management
3.1
Engagement team
Fees
Retainer fee
Fee on submission of Valuation Report
Fee on Completion of Assignment
Retainer fee is designed to compensate ASC for a portion of the time and
efforts expended from the Start Date to Transaction Closing Date. The
amount of retainer
fee will
be limited to
Rs. /-
(Rupees
ii)
you decide before the Transaction has been completed, to withdraw from
the Project, you will pay us a termination fee of Rs. ./- (Rupees
only) (which will be in addition to the retainer fees and
reimbursement of expenses).
3.3.5 Out-of-pocket expenses
In addition to fees, you shall arrange a separately reimburse ASC for
reasonable and actual out-of-pocket expenses incurred from the Start Date
till the completion of the services provided hereunder. Generally, out-ofpocket expenses represent travel, document procurement, duplication and
document delivery and related outflows. Out-of-pocket and international
travel expenses, if any, will be incurred by us only after consultation with you
and for the period mutually agreed.
In addition, fees payable to external consultants (lawyers, etc), if any, will be
paid directly by you. The appointment of such external consultants will be
with your prior approval.
3.3.6 Service Tax
Service tax, as applicable (presently 12.36% of Gross Fees), will be billed in
addition to the above.
3.3.7 Payment schedule
50% of the retainer fee will be payable immediately upon signing of this
letter.
50% of the retainer fee will be payable on our submitting our presentation on
the methodology of working within one week of above.
Fee on Submission of Valuation Report and Fee on Completion of Assignment
shall be payable and be paid within 10 days of our raising a Bill for the same.
4
4.1
Confidentiality:
As a party receiving information of critical importance from you we
acknowledge that the Confidential Information is confidential and
undertake:
(a)
(b) to use the Confidential Information solely for the study and for use in
this assignment;
(c) not, without the prior written consent of the you, to disclose the
Confidential Information furnished to it to anyone other than our
representatives, affiliates, agents or advisers who have a legitimate
need to know the Confidential Information in order to perform their
duties
relating
to
appraisal
towards
the
evaluation
of
the
of
its
assignment;
(d)before
disclosing
Confidential
Information
to
any
knowledge
or
literature
without
breach
of
the
said
5.
Conclusion
We thank you for the opportunity to present this Engagement Letter to you.
We believe that ASC has the right blend of international perspective, to
provide you with a level of quality professional service that will be fully
commensurate with your expectations.
We are keen to serve you and would be delighted to work on this venture. We
assure you that this engagement will receive our best attention.
We request you to sign and return a copy of this letter to us as your
confirmation of the scope of work and the terms described in this letter.
In case you require any clarification, please do not hesitate to contact us.
Yours sincerely
Certificate Course on Valuation A Case Study
Prepared By The ASC Group
For ASC.
____________________________
..
________________________________
Date
We hereby confirm our agreement to the terms of the above letter and the
enclosed terms of professional engagement.
_______________________________________
For and on behalf of
Mrs. .. Mal
_______________________
Date
1.
1.1
Industry Overview
Background
1.1.1
chain that contains three types of lead firms: retailers, sourcing agents
and apparel manufacturers. Innovation in the global apparel value
chain is primarily associated with the shift from assembly to fullpackage production. Full-package production gives more autonomy to
the supplying firm and creating more possibilities for innovation and
learning. With the globalization of apparel production, competition has
intensified as the leading apparel retailers across the world have
developed extensive global sourcing capabilities.
1.1.2
4 percent during the last six decades has now accelerated to an annual
growth rate of 16 percent in value terms and is expected to reach to
the level of US $115 billion by 2012.
1.2
1.3
Key Trends
Some of the key trends of the Apparel Industry are as
1.3.1
Integration:
Nepals
Pashmina
industry
is
vertically
demand:
Many
international
retailers
have
begun
low-cost
base
of
labor
which
has
long-term
Key Inhibitors
1.4.1
Political
Stability:
Despite
all
the
inherent
Cost
constraints:
Other
factors
that
affect
anomalies
and
productivity
levels
(affected
by
i)
j)
consolidation
threat
to
Way Forward
1.5.1
which will alter the content and scope of their global sourcing
networks. One has thus to strive hard to move up the value chain by
making the most of the growing synergy between textiles and clothing
segments. This calls for a much higher degree of consolidation in the
apparel sector with larger units acquiring the smaller ones and major
buyers building synergies with assured, high quality suppliers.
1.5.3
exponentially now that the quota era is over, and labor cost advantage
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Industry
Promoters)
in an arms length
transaction.
Synergy of / to investor subsumes into Fair Value in the instance. Both the
Buyer and Seller are in possession of pertinent facts and neither is under a
compulsion to act and hence FAIR VALUE is the standard of value in the
analysis.
Premise of Value
The sole safe assumption that one can volubly make in the transaction is
that both parties wish to fortify their relationship and continue that bonding
for perpetuity. The premise of the value determination is GOING CONCERN
and the business value so determined is of an enterprise expected to
continue to operate in future.
techniques ensuring that the users of this report can rely on the same for a
relatively objective judgment.
Following have been factored in the approach:
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
The
Fall
Outs
and
weakness.
(Please
refer
Preliminary
Discussions above.)
f)
The Past Track record of business and growth rate (Please refer
Historical Data & Projected Financial Data & Presentation Enclosed)
Pertinent to mention at this stage is that this exercise has been limited
by:
a)
Valuation
1.
2.
Method Selected
The method selected for valuation is DCF Discounted Cash Flow method
also coined as Income Approach to Valuation.
Discounted Cash Flows DCF
DCF uses the future free cash flows of the company discounted by the firms
weighted average cost of capital (the average cost of all the capital used in
the business, including debt and equity), plus a risk factor measured by beta,
to arrive at the present value.
The DCF method is a strong valuation tool, as it concentrates on cash
generation potential of a business. This valuation method is based on the
capability of a company to generate cash flows in the future. The free cash
flows are projected for a certain number of years and then discounted at a
discount rate that reflects a companys cost of capital and the risk associated
with the cash flows it generates. DCF analysis is based mainly on the
following elements:
Analyze
Company
Projections
Determine
Equity &
Debt Risks
Project
Revenue &
Expense
Buildup
Determine
Country
Risk
Determine
Terminal
Value
Multiples &
Growth
Rate
Determine
Capital
Structure
Project
Free Cash
Flows
Derive NPV
of Free
Cash Flows
Develop
Weighted
Average
Cost of
Capital
Analysis
Financial Working -
Approach contd..
a)
Cash Flows :
The Actual Data (Audited) for last three years, the estimate for the current
year and the projections for next 5 years (which estimates and projections
are based on the present order book, market trends, capability of
scalability but do not factor an increased off take of intended buyer)
enable us to calculate the Cash Accruals on the cardinals of conservative
accounting principles.
The detailed workings are enclosed in Annexure I (In an XL Spread Sheet)
Cash Flows based on empirical and projection data have been adjusted for
possible Bad Debts (Attrition) - even though the company has no history
of the same - and for Stock Obsolescence. This is based on our discussion
with the Management during our visit when old inventory was sought to
be remade / dumped for sale. The Company has no contingent liability &
with an impeccable
b) The Terminal Value i.e. the present value of a going concern beyond the
period of projection to infinity has been conservatively taken factoring an
expected growth rate of the industry at 5%.
c) The Discount Factor (also termed as the Discount Rate) is the most
challenging task in the mathematical calculation of Valuation. For
calculating the Net Present Value of cash flows the Discount Rate has
been taken as the cost of equity which has been calculated by the Capital
Asset Price Modal (CAPM) which is
Cost of Equity = Risk Free Return Rate + (Market Return Risk Free Return) less
(Adjustments Per Below)**
= [8% (Long Term Govt. Bond Rates)] + [0.75 (13% * - 8%)] less
(Adjustments Per Below)**
**The Cost of Equity Calculated above has been reduced by 25% for
lack of liquidity & volatile market factors.
short closed by August 1,2008 by fresh capital induction by the promoter and
both the intended buyer or the promoter do not wish to work with any debt
leverage or financing options.
The Enterprises Value is sought to be adjusted for the final value of the
transaction for:
a) The Control Premium
b) Lack of Marketability of Promoter post Sale of stake since only a tag
along right would be available. The other option of selling a
minority stake to another group would nevertheless attract a
discount.
c) Intangible of the reputation of the promoter designer to seek and
expand Business and the huge advantage of continuing to act as
CEO of a well established team of Production & industrial house
with a back of the hand knowledge of the local industrial set
up.
d) Country Risk more particularly political stability & changing
economic policies
e) Reduced marketing costs and increased off takes (better economics
of scale) inherent advantages of the proposed buyer.
Increase Enterprise
Value
from
Pashmina
Industry
perspective
and
Other Methods
The other income approach method i.e. P/E Multiples was not dynamically
weighed in wake of lack of comparables though a cursory check on
benchmarks on certain websites put the P/E multiple at around 8-10 for
similar (so to say) business. The DCF calculations leads to a determination
that is close to valuation based on such benchmark P/E multiples. Though
satisfying it is noteworthy to mention that such comparisons intra-the
methods may at times be obfuscatory.
Conclusion on Valuation
We relied on:
1.
Management Brief
2.
Factory Visit
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Customers list
9.
10.
Caveats
Provision of valuation recommendations and considerations of the issues
described herein are areas of our regular corporate advisory practice. The
services do not represent according, assurance, financial due diligence
review, consulting, transfer pricing or domestic / international tax-related
services that may otherwise be provided by us.
Our review of the affairs of the Company and their books and account does
not constitute an audit in accordance with Auditing Standards. We have
relied on explanations and information provided by the Management of the
Company and accepted the information provided to us as accurate and
complete in all respects. Although, we have reviewed such data for
consistency and reasonableness, we have not independently investigated or
otherwise verified the data provided. Nothing has come to our attention to
indicate that the information provided had material misstatements or would
not afford reasonable grounds upon which to base the Report.
The report is based on the financial projections provided to us by the
management of the company and thus the responsibility for forecasts and
the assumptions on which they are based is solely that of the Management
of the Company and we do not provide any confirmation or assurance on the
achievability of these projections. It must be emphasized that profit forecasts
necessarily depend upon subjective judgment. Similarly we have relied on
data from external sources. These sources are considered to be reliable and
therefore, we assume no liability for the accuracy of the data. We have
assumed that the business continues normally without any disruptions due
to statutory or other external / internal occurrences.
The valuation worksheets prepared for the exercise are proprietary to The
ASC Group and cannot be shared. Any clarifications on workings will be
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provided on request, prior to finalizing the Report, as per the terms of our
engagement.
The scope of our work has been limited both in terms of the areas of the
business and operations which we have reviewed and the extent to which we
have reviewed them.
The Valuation Analysis contained herein represents the value only on the
date that is specifically stated in this Report. This report is issued on the
understanding that the Management of the Company has drawn our
attention to all matters of which they are aware, which may have an impact
on our Report up to the date of signature. We have no responsibility to
update this Report for events and circumstances occurring after the date of
this Report.
We have no present or planned future interest in the Company and the fee
for this Report is not contingent upon the values reported herein.
Our Valuation Analysis should not be construed as investment advice;
specifically, we do not express any opinion on the suitability or otherwise of
entering into any transaction with the Company.
Disclaimers
Neither the issue of this Report nor any part of its contents is to be
taken as any form of commitment on the part of ASC or affiliates to
proceed with the investment envisaged by the issue of this Report and
ASC reserves the right to amend the proposed investment procedure, to
terminate
the
procedure
and
to
terminate
any
discussions
and
negotiations with any person at any time and without giving any reason.
Should this Report (through the act or default of the recipient) reach
other persons our written consents, the recipient will indemnify ASC
against any loss or damage or other liabilities (including all costs) which
ASC may suffer as a result. In providing this Report, we undertake no
obligation to invite the recipient to proceed with a further investigation of
the company to provide the recipient with any additional information.