Suresh Sundaresan
Suresh Sundaresan
Suresh Sundaresan
See Stein (2003) for a survey on corporate investment, agency conicts, and information. See Caballero
(1999) for a survey on aggregate dynamic investment. See Harris and Raviv (1991) for a survey on
theories of capital structure.
options possessed by the rm is known and does not change over time.
Then, as the rm moves through time, it optimally decides when to
exercise each growth option and how to nance each growth option,
keeping in mind that several additional growth options may be available
to the rm in the future. When the rm has exercised all its growth
options, it is left only with assets in place. However, it starts its life
with no assets in place. At all other times, it has some future growth
options and some assets in place. The composition of growth options
and assets is endogenously determined in a dynamic optimizing framework. Thus, our model captures the life cycle of the rm in a natural way.
There is an important economic distinction between assets in place and
growth option in terms of what fraction of each is available to residual
claimants upon default. It is reasonable to argue that assets in place are
hard assets, with values that are veriable and hence may provide
greater liquidation value upon default compared with growth options,
which may have embedded human capital and hence may possess a different (and possibly much lower) liquidation value along the lines of Hart
and Moore (1994). We explicitly incorporate the potential differences of
recovery values for growth options and assets in place. The modeling of
this difference is a new contribution to the real-options literature, as well,
because it requires the values of foregone growth options upon default
(which are non-linear functions of primitive states) to bear on optimal
exercise boundaries. Indeed, we provide explicit quantitative and qualitative characterization of the effect of embedded human capital in future
growth options on optimal investment thresholds, default thresholds, and
the level of debt used by the rm at each stage of its life cycle. We believe
that this is a unique contribution of our study.
Our research provides a natural bridge between structural credit risk/
capital structure models, and the dynamic irreversible investment theory.2
We nd that even for rms with only one growth option, integrating
investment and nancing decisions generates new insights, not captured
by either the standard real-options models (e.g., McDonald and Siegel
1986), or credit risk/capital structure models (e.g., Leland 1994). For
example, Leland (1994) shows that the default threshold decreases in
volatility for the standard (put) option argument in a contingent-claim
framework based on the standard trade-off theory of Modigliani and
2
McDonald and Siegel (1985, 1986) and Brennan and Schwartz (1985) are important contributions to
modern real-options approach to investment under uncertainty. Dixit and Pindyck (1994) is a standard
reference on real-options approach toward investment. Abel and Eberly (1994) provide a unied framework integrating the neoclassical adjustment cost literature with the literature on irreversible investment.
Grenadier (1996) studies strategic interactions among agents in real-options settings. Grenadier and
Wang (2005) analyze the effect of informational frictions and agency on investment timing decisions.
Grenadier and Wang (2007) study the effect of time-inconsistent preferences on real option exercising
decisions. In our earlier draft, Sundaresan and Wang (2006), we provide additional detailed analysis on
the impact of alternative debt structures on corporate investment and leverage policies.
Miller (1963). However, the default threshold in our model may either
decrease or increase in volatility. The intuition is as follows: (i) a higher
volatility raises the investment threshold in our model for the standard
(call option) value of waiting argument; (ii) a higher investment threshold
naturally leads to a greater amount of debt issuance. That is, the rm
issues more debt (but at a later time), when volatility is higher. Larger
debt issuance raises the default threshold, ceteris paribus. As a result,
unlike Leland (1994), we have two opposing effects of volatility on the
default threshold owing to endogenous investment in our model.
In developing our analysis, we have made the analytically convenient
assumption that the rm uses its nancing exibility only at times when it
makes its optimal investments. At a rst glance, the reader may think that
this is a strong assumption. Nevertheless, it turns out that this assumption proves to be innocuous for the following reasons: First, when growth
options are economically meaningful, investments occur over time at
frequent (but stochastic) intervals. Hence the real cost of the assumption
is rather slight. In addition, it is well known (Strebulaev 2007) that even
the introduction of low-costs nancing leads to the result that rms will
choose to adjust their capital structure at periodic intervals rather than
continuously. Dudley (2012) shows that when there are xed costs of
adjustment, it is optimal for rms to synchronize capital structure adjustment with the nancing of large investment projects. In our model, the
primary reason for nancing is investment, and investments require a
lump-sum cost. Hence, it is natural to model nancing adjustments
when investments occur. Moreover, the key focus of our paper is on
the effect of nancing on growth-option exercising decisions.
In addition, our study provides several additional insights on the
valuation of equity and credit spreads at different stages in the life
cycle of the rm. We have a natural benchmark to assess of our results:
after all the growth options are optimally exercised, the rm is left with
only assets in place. At this nal stage, our results are exactly the same as
either Leland (1994) (when no dynamic nancing adjustments are
allowed) or Goldstein, Ju, and Leland (2001) (when dynamic nancing
adjustments are allowed). At all previous stages, the rm has a mixture of
assets in place and growth options, and they inuence both equity valuation and credit spreads. The key insight is that the incremental nancial
exibility at times other than actual investments is less important when
there are growth options.
Related literature. Recently, there is a growing body of literature that
extends Leland (1994) to allow for strategic debt service,3 and dynamic
3
Anderson and Sundaresan (1996) use a binomial model to study the effect of strategic debt service on
bond valuation. See Mella-Barra and Perraudin (1997), Fan and Sundaresan (2000), and Lambrecht
(2001) for continuous-time contingent-claim treatment. Sundaresan and Wang (2007) study the interactions between investment and nancing decisions when equityholders may ex post strategically force
concessions from debtholders.
4
Early important contributions towards building dynamic capital structure models include Kane, Marcus,
and McDonald (1984, 1985).
Leland (1998) extends Leland (1994) by incorporating risk management with capital structure, and also
allows the rm to engage in asset substitution by selecting volatility of the project.
Our model ties the investment and nancing adjustments to occur at the same time. This assumption is
made for analytical convenience. We leave extensions to allow for separate adjustments of investment
and nancing for future research.
Brennan and Schwartz (1984) is an early, important contribution, which allows for the interaction
between investment and nancing.
See Kim, Ramaswamy, and Sundaresan (1993); Longstaff and Schwartz (1995); and Collin-Dufresne and
Goldstein (2001) for extensions of Merton (1974), to allow for a stochastic interest rate and other
features.
11
We ignore the conicts of interests between managers and investors and leave them for future research.
10
One could certainly visualize growth options arriving with some intensity at random times in the future.
In such an economy, the optimal investment decisions would reect the arrival intensity in addition to the
factors that we consider in our formulation. Extension of random arrivals of growth options is clearly an
interesting topic for future research.
11
12
In our model as in many other investment and capital structure models, the process Y captures both
demand and productivity shocks.
13
Our model ignores operating leverage. We may extend our model to allow for operating leverage by
specifying the rms prot from its n-th asset in place as mn Y wn , where wn is the operating cost for the
n-th asset in place.
par. The assumption of perpetual debt simplies the analysis substantially and has been widely adopted in the literature.14 Note that we have
assumed that the rm can only issue debt at investment times
fTin : 1 n Ng. At a rst glance, this may appear to be a strong
assumption. In fact, our assumption is actually rather mild. Strebulaev
(2007) has shown that in the presence of frictions rms adjust their capital
structure only infrequently. Therefore, in a dynamic economy that we
model, the leverage of the rm is likely to differ from the optimum
leverage predicted by models that permit costless adjustment of leverage.
Given this nding it is more natural to recapitalize when optimal investment decisions are warranted. In addition, models that permit re-leveraging in good times, implicitly or explicitly use the debt proceeds to pay
dividends, which is at odds with the basic provision that senior claims
(such as debt) may not be issued to nance junior claims (such as equity).
Let Cn and Fn denote the coupon rate and the par value of the perpetual debt issued to nance the exercising of the n-th growth option at Tin .
Let Tdn denote the endogenously chosen stochastic default time after the
rm exercises n growth options, but before exercising the n 1-th
growth option, where 1 n N. When exercising the new growth
option at Tin1 , the rm calls back its outstanding debt with par Fn and
coupon Cn, and issues new debt with par Fn1 and coupon Cn1 . That is,
at each point in time, there is only one class of debt outstanding.15
Figure 1 describes the decision-making process of the rm over its life
cycle. The rm has (N 1) stages. In stage 0, the rm has no assets in
place. We assume that the initial value of the demand shock is sufciently
low such that the rm always starts with waiting, the economically most
interesting case. If the demand shock fYt : t 0g rises sufciently high
(i.e., greater or equal to an endogenous threshold Yi1 to be determined in
Section 2) at the stochastic (endogenous) time Ti1 , the rm exercises its
rst growth option by paying a one-time xed cost I1 at time Ti1 as in
McDonald and Siegel (1986). Note that since Y(0) is sufciently low, we
have Ti1 40. Notation-wise, we use Yi1 YTi1 . To nance the rst
growth-option exercising cost I1, the rm issues a mixture of equity
and perpetual debt. This completes the description of the rms decision
in its initial stage (stage 0). Next turn to stage 1.
After the rst asset is in place, the rm collects prot ow m1 Y until it
decides to either default on its debt or exercise its (second) growth option.
If the rm defaults before exercising the second growth option (Td1 < Ti2 ),
14
We may extend the model by allowing for a nite average maturity for debt as in Leland (1994b) at the
cost of additional modeling complexity.
15
See Section 5 and also Hackbarth and Mauer (2012) for analysis where more than one class of debt are
outstanding. The design of priority structure of debt and its implications for real-options exercise is a
topic worthy of further research.
Figure 1
The rms decision-making process over its life cycle.
The rm starts with N sequentially ordered growth options. We divide its decision making over its life
cycle into N 1 stages. In stage 0, the rm exercises its rst growth option when the stochastic process
Y given in Equation (1) rises sufciently high (i.e., Y Yi1 YTi1 ). The rm waits otherwise. When
exercising, the rm issues a mixture of equity and the rst perpetual debt with coupon C1 to nance the
exercising cost I1. This completes the description of the rms stage 0 decision. Now move to stage 1.
Provided that Yd1 < Y < Yi2 , the rm generates cash ow m1 Y from its operation. If its cash ow drops
sufciently low, (i.e., Y Yd1 ), the rm defaults. If the cash ow rises sufciently high (i.e. Y Yi2 ), the
rm exercises its second growth option, and issues a mixture of equity and the second perpetual debt with
coupon C2 to nance the exercising cost I2. After the second growth option is exercised, the rm
generates stochastic cash ow m1 m2 Y, provided that Y Yd2 . This process continues. If the rm
reaches the nal stage N, the rm has total N assets in place and collects total cash ow MN Y, where
XN
m . The decision variables include N investment thresholds Yin , N default thresholds Ydn ,
MN
n1 n
and N coupon policies Cn, where n 1; 2; . . . ; N: Notation-wise, we dene the n-th stage as Y, such that
Ydn Y < Yin1 where Yin1 YTin1 and Ydn YTdn .
n
X
mj ;
1 n N:
j1
r 1 I k
;
1 1 1 m k
2
2
N
X
Gk Y;
kn1
10
16
Because default is endogenous, equityholders will never default when liquidation value exceeds the riskfree value of debt.
11
Leland (1994) and Goldstein, Ju, and Leland (2001) show that equity
value EN Y is given by
2
1 CN
1 CN
Y
d
EN Y AN Y
AN YN
; Y YdN ;
r
r
YdN
8
where AN Y given in Equation (2) is the after-tax present value of N
existing assets in place, and the optimal default threshold YdN for a given
coupon CN is given by
YdN
r 2 CN
;
MN 2 1 r
and 2 is given by
2
s3
14
2
2 2
2r 2 5 < 0:
2 2
2
2
10
12
Intuitively, after TiN , the rm is long in the N assets in place and the riskfree tax shield perpetuity CN =r, and short in the liquidation option.
Upon liquidation, the rm as a whole loses A fraction of assets in
place value AN YdN and also the perpetual value of tax shields, the sum
of the two terms in the square bracket in Equation (12).
2.2 Intermediate stages (stage N 1 to stage 1)
Having analyzed the rms optimization problem in stage N, we now use
backward induction to analyze the rms decision problem in stage
N 1. As Figure 1 indicates, the key decisions are (i) the N-th
growth-option exercising and (ii) the default decision on the existing
debt with par FN1 . For generality, we solve the rms decision problem
for its intermediate stage n, including stage N 1 as a special case.
2.2.1 Equityholders decisions and equity pricing. For given investment
threshold Yin1 and default threshold Ydn in stage n, equity value En Y
solves the following ODE:
rEn Y 1 Mn Y Cn YEn 0Y
Yin1 :
2 2 00
Y En Y;
2
Ydn Y
13
14
15
Now turn to the default boundary conditions. Using the same arguments
as those for equity value EN Y in the last stage, equityholders choose the
13
18
1 Cn
ein in Y edn dn Y;
r
Ydn Y Yin1 ;
19
where
ein
Vn1 Yin1
1 Cn
i
In1 Fn An Yn1
40;
r
1 Cn
40:
edn An Ydn
r
20
21
14
product of in Y, and the net payoff ein from exercising the growth
option. The net payoff ein is the difference between the payoff
from growth-option exercise Vn1 Yin1 In1 Fn and An Yin1
1 Cn =r, the forgone unlevered equity value when investing at the
threshold Yin1 . Note that the forgone un-levered equity value appears
as an additional cost term in the net payoff ein because the option payoff
Vn1 Yin1 In1 Fn contains cash ows from the existing assets in
place. Similarly, the fourth term in Equation (19) is the present value of
the (nancial) default option, which is given by the product of dn Y and
the net payoff edn upon default. Because equityholders receive nothing
at default, the net payoff edn is given by the savings, An Ydn
1 Cn =r40, from avoiding the loss of running the un-levered
equity value at the default threshold Ydn .
2.2.2 Debt pricing.
In the Appendix, we show that debt value Dn Y in stage n where Ydn Y
Yin1 is given by:
Cn
dn Yin
Cn
i
d
d
Y n Y
Ln Yn ;
Dn Y
22
1 in Yin n
r
r
where in Y and dn Y are given in Equation (16) and Equation (17),
respectively. Creditors incur losses when the rm default
(i.e., Cn =r4Ln Ydn ). The second term in Equation (22) gives the
value discount on debt due to the risk of default. We may obtain
the par value Fn of this debt by evaluating Dn Y at the investment
threshold Yin .
Because debt is priced at par Fn at issuance time Tin , we have the
following valuation equation for the par value Fn:
Cn
dn Yin
Cn
d
Ln Yn :
Fn
23
1 in Yin r
r
Default is costly in that Cn =r4Ln Ydn . The second term in Equation (23)
gives the value discount of debt at issuance due to default risk.
2.2.3 Firm valuation. Now, we may calculate rm value Vn Y as the
sum of debt value Dn Y and equity value En Y, in that
Vn Y An Y
Cn
vin in Y vdn dn Y;
r
Ydn Y Yin1 ;
24
where
Cn
vin Vn1 Yin1 In1 An Yin1
;
r
25
15
Cn
vdn Ln Ydn An Ydn
:
r
26
Having described the details to solve for the default threshold Ydn and
the investment threshold Yin1 for stage n 1, we now turn to the investment decision for the initial stage. Unlike the intermediate stages, the
initial stage (stage 0) has no default decision, and hence simplies the
analysis.
2.3 The initial stage (stage 0) in the rms life cycle
As in standard real-option models, equity value E0 Y in stage 0 solves
the following ODE:
rE0 Y YE00 Y
2 2 00
Y E0 Y;
2
Y Yi1 ;
27
28
29
I
30
V
; Y Yi1 ;
1
1
1
Yi1
where 1 is given by Equation (6), and the investment threshold Yi1 solves
the following implicit equation:
1 r 1
C1
1 2 i 2 d 1 i
i
i 1 d
I1
Y1 Y1 v1 Y2 v1 ;
Y1
1 m1 1 1
r
1 1
31
and 1 is a strictly positive constant given in Equation (18) with n 1.
16
r 2 1 1
MN YiN ;
r 2 h
32
where h is given by
h
i1=2
h 1 2 1 A A
41:
33
Using Formula (9) for YdN for a given coupon CN, we obtain the relationship between the last default threshold YdN and the last growth-option
exercising: YdN YiN =h.
Now consider stage N 1. Equityholders choose the thresholds YiN
and YdN1 to maximize equity value EN1 Y; CN1 , taking the default
threshold YdN in Equation (9) and optimal coupon CN in Equation (32)
in stage N as given. Because equityholders internalize the tax benets
from issuing debt at TiN1 , equityholders choose coupon CN1 to maximize VN1 Y and then evaluate at YiN1 .
Next turn to stage n, where 1 n < N 1. As in stage N 1, the
rm chooses thresholds Yin1 and Ydn to maximize equity value En Y; Cn ,
taking into account the rms future optimality conditions described earlier. Then, the rm chooses the optimal coupon policy Cn to maximize
Vn Y and then evaluate at Yin .
17
The optimality for CN and YiN and the envelope condition jointly imply that we do not need to consider
the feedback effects between the investment threshold YiN and the coupon policy CN.
17
Our characterization of leverage dynamics only requires us to solve a system of non-linear equations for
investment and default thresholds, and coupon policies. This substantially simplies our analysis, in that
we have solved out the endogenous default and investment thresholds up to a set of nonlinear equations.
18
Lemma 2
The firms investment decisions follow stopping time rules Tin inff
t 0 : Yt Yae
n g for n 1; 2; . . . ; N, where the investment threshold
Yae
are
given
by
Equation (5), and the constant 1 is given by Equation
n
(6). Firm (equity) value En Y in stage n is given by the sum of assets in
place An Y and its unexercised growth options, in that
En Y An Y
N
X
Gk Y;
Y Yae
n ; 1 n N;
35
kn1
where Gk Y is the k-th growth option value and is given in Equation (4).
For any stage n, the investment threshold Yae
n is the same as the one if the
n-the growth option were stand-alone. Taxes reduce cash ows but do
not provide benets under all-equity nancing. This explains the factor
1=1 for the investment threshold Yin given in Equation (5). As in
standard real-options models (McDonald and Siegel 1986), the investment threshold Yin increases in volatility. For the ease of future reference,
let Yn denote the n-th investment threshold without taxes 0.
We have
Yn r
1 I n
;
1 1 mn
1 n N:
36
Next, we analyze the investment and nancing decisions for the onegrowth-option setting (N 1).
3 Benchmark: One-Growth-Option Setting
Before delving into the details of the general model where the rm has
multiple rounds of growth options and leverage choices, we rst provide
explicit solutions for the one-growth-option setting in Subsection 3.1
and then highlight important economic insights in Subsection 3.2.
Importantly, we show that this simple one-growth-option setting yields
novel insights that can only be obtained by jointly analyzing the rms
investment and default decisions.
3.1 Closed-form solution
When the rm has only one growth option, we obtain closed-form formulas for the joint investment, leverage, and default decisions. Our onegrowth-option setting can be viewed as a model setting, where McDonald
and Siegel (1986), the seminal real-options model in a Modigliani-Miller
world, meet Leland (1994), the classic contingent-claim tradeoff model of
19
Y Yd1 :
39
Mauer and Sarkar (2005) derive similar results for the one-growth-option setting. Their focus on the
results and economic interpretations is very different. We derive explicit formulae and provide explicit
link between investment and default thresholds, while they do not. They contain operating leverage
(variable production costs), and we do not.
20
0.65
1.4
0.6
1.35
0.55
0.5
1.3
0.45
0.4
1.25
0.35
0.3
1.2
0.25
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
1.15
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Figure 2
Two opposing effects of volatility on the rms option value E0 Y.
Panel A pots the monotonic relation of E0 Y in for Y 0.05. However, for a higher value of Y where
the growth option is deeper in the money, we nd that volatility has a non-monotonic relation on the
value of real option E0 Y. Panel B shows that E0 Y rst decreases and then increases with for Y 0.1.
21
0.25
0.06
0.2
0.05
0.04
0.15
0.03
0.1
0.02
0.05
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.01
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Figure 3
Volatility effects on the investment threshold Yi1 and the default threshold Yd1 .
This gure shows that even though the investment threshold Yi1 is monotonically increasing in as in
standard real-option models, the default threshold Yd1 is non-monotonic in unlike in the standard
contingent-claim tradeoff model of capital structure due to the endogenous choice of the investment
threshold Yi1 . To demonstrate the endogenous investment threshold effect on Yd1 , we plot the dashed line
in Panel B, which corresponds to the default threshold in Leland (1994), where leverage is chosen at time
zero at a xed value of Y0 for all values of volatility . For the Leland case, we set Y0 0:07, which is the
optimal investment threshold for the case with 10% in our one-growth-option setting (i.e.,
Yi1 0:1 Y0 0:07).
important compared with the negative effect of volatility on the optionexercise payoff becomes more important. As a result, we see that the
option value E0 Y is non-monotonic in volatility in Panel B of
Figure 2, where Y 0.1 is sufciently large. For our example, we nd
that E0 Y 0:1 decreases in for values of < 0:23 and increases in
for 40:23 (i.e., when volatility is sufciently high).20
Next, we turn to the volatility effects on the investment threshold Yi1 and
the default threshold Yd1 . Panel A of Figure 3 shows that the investment
hurdle Yi1 is increasing with volatility , which can be shown by using the
closed-form solution (37). Moreover, this result is consistent with the standard real-options intuition that the higher the volatility , the longer the
rm waits before investing, and hence a higher threshold Yi1 is the result.
However, the default threshold Yd1 is non monotonic in as shown in
Panel B of Figure 3 because the two opposing effects of volatility on the
rms default threshold Yd1 . First, for a given value of Y0, Leland (1994)
and Goldstein, Ju, and Leland (2001) show that the default threshold Yd1
decreases with , consistent with the standard real-option result, despite an
intuitive but involved argument.21 The dashed line in Panel B of Figure 3
20
Miao and Wang (2007) show the opposing effects of volatility on real options in an incomplete-markets
setting where the entrepreneur cannot fully diversify the idiosyncratic risk of the underlying project.
21
To be precise, in Leland (1994), volatility also has two opposing effects on the default threshold
Yd1 . Given coupon C, the higher the volatility , the lower the default threshold due to the standard
22
real-option convexity argument. However, coupon C is endogenous. Indeed, the higher the volatility ,
the lower the debt coupon C. Therefore, the second (endogenous coupon) effect mitigates the rst option
effect on the default threshold Yd1 , but the overall, the standard real-option effect still dominates the
endogenous coupon effect causing the rms default threshold Yd1 to decrease with .
23
Table 1
Parameter values (annualized whenever applicable)
r
0.05
0.2
0.01
0.2
In
1
mn
0:8
n1
A
G
0.25
0.5
24
Table 2
Models where the number of growth options N 1, 2, 3
Stage
Panel A. N 1
1st
1st
1st
Panel B. N 2
1st
2nd
Panel C. N 3
1st
2nd
3rd
Production
capacity m
Investment
threshold Yi
Default
threshold Yd
Coupon
rate C
Leverage
Lev
Credit spreads
cs (bps)
1
0.8
0.64
0.099
0.124
0.155
0.038
0.047
0.059
0.082
0.082
0.082
62.1%
62.1%
62.1%
108
108
108
1
0.8
0.095
0.126
0.030
0.048
0.077
0.188
43.8%
62.1%
129
108
1
0.8
0.64
0.093
0.117
0.158
0.028
0.036
0.060
0.080
0.156
0.319
39.1%
46.6%
62.1%
127
123
108
This table reports results for three settings with N 1, 2, 3. For the setting with N 1, we consider three
subcases with m1 1; 0:8; 0:64. For the setting with N 2, we set m1 1 and m2 0:8. Finally, for the
case with N 3, we set m1 1; m2 0:8, and m3 0:64.
22
There is another truncation effect that effects the credit-spread calculation, but that effect is dominated.
25
the credit risk of the second-stage debt is the same as the one in the standalone one-growth option setting. This is in the spirit of Leland (1994) and
our one-growth-option benchmark result.
Now, we turn to the rst-stage decision making and see how the presence of the second growth option inuences the optimal-exercising and
nancing decisions of the rst growth option. First, note the anticipation
effect of the subsequent debt overhang as we have discussed in the previous paragraph. Equityholders anticipate future debt overhang and thus
rationally lowers the leverage and take into account the future conicts of
interest between equityholders and debtholders. This is reected via a
lower leverage, 43.8%, in stage 1 compared with 62.1% in stage 2.
Moreover, the presence of the second growth option raises the rms
debt capacity. Therefore, benets from exercising the rst growth
option are higher in the two-growth-option setting than in the standalone one-growth-option setting with m1 1. Therefore, in the twogrowth-option setting, the payoffs from investing in the rst round are
greater, and hence the rm optimally invests earlier (i.e., Yi1 0:095
compared with Yi1 0:099 for the stand-alone one-growth-option setting
with m1 1). Additionally, the rm defaults later, as we can see from
Yd 0:03, which is lower than 0.038 for the setting with N 1 and
m1 1.
Three growth options (N 3). Here, we show that the exercising timing
decisions for early-rounds growth options are even earlier with more
growth options in the future. One effect of having more future-growth
options is that the rm can raise more debt against future cash ows,
which effectively raises the rms immediate ability to issue debt and
makes investment more attractive. This explains the result that Yi1
0:093 in three-growth-option setting, which is lower than Yi1 0:095
in the two-growth-option setting. Additionally, the leverage chosen by
the rm when it exercises its rst growth option is now lowered to 39.1%
from 43.8%. We see the pattern for eventual convergence as we increase
the number of growth options.
By comparing our results for the two-growth-option setting with those
for the three-growth-option setting, we see that quantitatively the threegrowth-option problem can be somewhat approximately decomposed
into two two-growth-option optimization problems. The intuition is as
follows. The additional effect of current growth-option exercising and
nancing effect on any future growth-option exercising and nancing
decisions beyond the immediate one is quantitatively less signicant.
Using this logic, we may simplify an N-stage growth-option exercising/
nancing problem into N 1 two-growth-option exercising problem.
Of course, our approximation based on the economic insight only
holds for growth options that are sufciently close to each other.
26
For growth options that are somewhat different from each other, our
insights for this approximation may work better if we decompose the
N-growth option problem into a collection of three-growth-option
problems. Based on what we have shown and also what we will show
in the following subsection, we conjecture that for some sophisticated
real-world corporate-investment/nancing-decision problem with many
growth options, we may obtain a good understanding at rst pass (and
potentially also in terms of quantitative analyses) by using a tractable and
plausible setting with only a few growth options (perhaps as few as three
or four.)
4.3 Multiple growth options
In principle, we can extend our analysis to treat a rm with any number,
N, of growth options. Such a treatment will allow us to see, how a rm
optimally decide on its dynamic leverage strategy, while taking into its
cognizance that it may have to issue additional debt to nance future
growth options. Intuitively, we would expect such a rm to start with
fairly low to moderate levels of debt in its early stages and slowly ramp up
the debt level, By doing so, the rm can mitigate the debt-overhang
effects on its growth options in earlier stages, and exploit its steadier
cash ows from assets in place to service a higher level of debt in its
later stages.
4.3.1 N growth options. In Table 3, we present the investment thresholds Yi1 , default thresholds Yd1 , the optimal coupon rate C1 and optimal
leverage Lev1 when the rm is in its rst stage and at the the moment of
exercising its rst growth option, in six setting where the rm faces one to
as many as six growth options into the future. Note that the rst growth
option in all cases has the identical parameter values. Thus, the differences in these models only arise from the future growth options and
assets in places across them.
Table 3
The rst-stage decisions in models with N growth options
Model with N
growth options
Investment
threshold Yi1
Default
threshold Yd1
Coupon
rate C1
Leverage
ratio Lev1
1
2
3
4
5
6
0.099
0.095
0.093
0.093
0.092
0.092
0.038
0.030
0.028
0.027
0.026
0.026
0.082
0.077
0.080
0.082
0.083
0.083
62.1%
43.8%
39.1%
37.0%
35.3%
34.5%
This table reports the rst-stage decisions in a model with N growth options.
We increase N from 1 to 6. Our parameter values are m1 1; m2 0:8;
m3 0:64; m4 0:512; m5 0:410, and m6 0:328. Others are reported in
Table 1.
27
28
Table 4
Effects of liquidation loss parameter gG on leverage
Model with N
G 0:25
G 0:5
G 0:75
G 1
1
2
3
4
5
6
62.1%
45.5%
40.1%
37.6%
35.9%
34.9%
62.1%
43.8%
39.1%
37.0%
35.3%
34.5%
62.1%
42.6%
38.0%
36.5%
34.8%
33.8%
62.1%
41.8%
36.9%
35.9%
34.2%
33.2%
Additionally, by construction, a rm with more growth options in our model also has more nancing
options as we require the rm to choose leverage when exercising a growth option. However, quantitatively,
29
40
given that it is not uncommon that investment and nancing take place at the same time or within very
close time window, this approximation (of tying a rms investment and nancing decisions at the same
time) appears a second-order issue for a rm that has recurrent and sufciently regular investment
opportunities. Put differently, the additional exibility of having a timing for nancing different from
that for investment may have a second-order effect on rm value (at least for some parameter values).
30
Ds2 Yt
"Z
Td2
rst
c2 ds e
rTd2 t
Ds2 YTd2
Ti2 t Td2 ;
41
where the residual values of the rst and second debt, Ds2 YTd2 and
Df2 YTd2 are given by the debt structures to be discussed later.
The total market value of debt after exercising both growth options is
then given by D2 Y Df2 Y Ds2 Y. Let D1 Y denote the market
value of the rst debt after the rst growth option is exercised, but
before the second growth option or the rst default option is exercised
(i.e., Ti1 < t < Td1 ^ Ti2 . We have
"Z d i
T1 ^T2
d
erst c1 ds erT1 t D1 YTd1 1Td <Ti
D1 Yt E
2
1
t
#
i
42
Under the new debt structure, the total coupon level for all outstanding
debt in stage 1 and 2 are C1 c1 and C2 c1 c2 , respectively. The
valuation for equity remains the same as that in the baseline model,
given the specied coupon levels for all outstanding debt.
When the rm defaults, it splits the recovery values to the rst and the
second debt valued at Df2 Yd2 and Ds2 Yd2 , depending on the debt covenants. Assume that the debt covenants will be strictly enforced by the
court without any deviation. Given these endogenous values at the
chosen default boundary Yd2 , we may write the market value of the seasoned debt issued at Ti1 and that of the second debt issued at Ti2 , before
default at Td2 , as follows:
i Y 2
c1 hc1
Df2 Y
Df2 Yd2
; Y Yd2 ;
43
r
r
Yd2
Ds2 Y
i Y 2
c2 hc2
s
d
D2 Y2
;
r
r
Yd2
Y Yd2 ;
44
where Df2 Yd2 and Ds2 Yd2 are valued differently under different debt
structures as we have noted. Thus, the total debt value is D2 Y
Df2 Y Ds2 Y. In addition, the total debt value at default D2 Yd2 is
equal to the total rms liquidation value at default, because equity is
worthless at default.
Now we turn to analyze the effect of the debt structure on the nancing
decision in different stages. First, consider stage 2. Dene Vs2 Y as the
31
sum of equity value E2 Y and Ds2 Y, the value of debt issued when the
rm exercises its second growth option, in that Vs2 Y E2 Y Ds2 Y.
Using Equation (8) and Equation (44), we have
C2 C1
Vs2 Y A2 Y
r
2
C1 C2
Y
s
d
D2 Y2 A2 Yd2
;
r
Yd2
Y Yd2 :
45
46
where F1 is the par value of the rst debt and is equal to F1 D1 Yi1 .
32
The payoff Function (46) states that either the senior debtholders receive
F1 at Td2 or collect the total recovery value of the rm 1 A A2 Yd2 at
Td2 . It is immediate to see that under this seniority structure, the junior
debt value at default time Td2 is given by
Ds2 Yd2 maxf1 A A2 Yd2 F1 ; 0g:
47
Let F2 denote the par value of the second debt issued at Ti2 . The second
debt is also issued at par, and thus we have F2 Ds2 Yi2 . Equityholders
receives nothing at default, and hence in equilibrium we have
1 A A2 Yd2 F1 F2 . Even when the senior debtholders receive
par F1 at default time Td2 , senior debtholders still prefer that the rm
does not default. This is intuitive, because the par value F1 < C1 =r.
Debt seniority structure matters not only for payoffs at default boundaries Yd2 as in Black and Cox (1976), but also for the real investment and
nancial-leverage decisions. The costs and benets of issuing debt depend
on the seniority and payoff structures. Moreover, the equityholders
interests and incentives also change over time and after each nancing
and investment decisions. How equityholders incentives change over
time naturally depends on the debt seniority structure.
5.3 Pari passu
Now, we turn to another debt structure, pari passu, which requires that
debt issued at Ti1 and that issued at Ti2 have equal priority in default at
stochastic time Td2 . The total debt recoveries at default Y Yd2 are
proportional to 1 A A2 Yd2 , the total liquidation value of the rm.
Because both types of debt are perpetual, the residual values at the
default threshold Yd2 are thus given by
c1
1 A A2 Yd2 ;
48
Df2 Yd2
c1 c2
Ds2 Yd2
c2
1 A A2 Yd2 :
c1 c2
49
Here, we assume that the payments to debtholders are based on the debt
values at the second investment time Ti2 . This assumption captures the
key feature of the pari passu structure, and substantially simplify the
analysis.24
Equityholders choose c2 at stochastic time Ti2 to maximize Vs2 Y given
in Equation (45), the sum of equity value E2 Y and newly issued debt
value Ds2 Y. The following implicit function characterizes the optimal
24
Under this assumption, we do not need to carry the face values F1 and F2 for both classes of debt. A more
realistic way to model pari passu seniority structure is to make the payment at default proportional to the
face values F1 and F2.
33
Table 5
The effects of debt structures
Stage
Panel A. Baseline
1st
2nd
Panel B. APR
1st
2nd
Panel C. pari passu
1st
2nd
Production
capacity m
Investment
threshold Yi
Default
threshold Yd
Coupon
rate C
Leverage
Lev
Credit spreads
cs (bps)
1
0.8
0.095
0.126
0.030
0.048
0.077
0.188
43.8%
62.1%
129
108
1
0.8
0.096
0.138
0.031
0.044
0.079
0.173
48.8%
54.8%
75
82
1
0.8
0.096
0.115
0.017
0.053
0.041
0.208
23.7%
71.1%
120
151
This table reports results for three commonly used debt restructures: the baseline, APR, and pari passu.
We set m1 1 and m2 0:8 for a model with N 2.
25
Hackbarth and Mauer (2012) also study the priority-structure choice by considering the trade-off
between pari passu and APR.
34
equityholders are least concerned about the debt-overhang burden causing the investment threshold to be even lower than our baseline case.
Second, the optimal leverage Lev and coupon rate C also reect the
severity of debt overhang that depends on the underlying debt structure.
Intuitively, as APR offers the strongest protection for the existing debt
and pari passu offers least protection for debt issued in the rst stage, the
second-stage leverage and coupon rate are the lowest under APR (54.8%
and 0.173, respectively) and the highest under pari passu (71.1% and
0.208, respectively). Because of the anticipated debt-overhang problem
in the second stage, the equityholders choose the rst-stage leverage and
debt coupon in the reverse order, in that leverage and coupon in stage 1
are the highest under APR (48.8% and 0.079) and the lowest under pari
passu (23.7% and 0.041).
Third, the protection of the existing debt also implies that credit spread
for the risky debt is lowest under APR and highest under pari passu in
stage 2.
In summary, we nd that debt structures have substantial effect on
investment timing decisions and leverage through the life cycle of the
rm mostly through the important endogenous debt-overhang channel.
6 Conclusions
Our paper provides an integrated framework for thinking about multiple
rounds of sequential investments simultaneously with dynamic nancing.
Our modeling approach is tractable and provides a coherent way to think
about a complex, dynamic problem that is at the heart of both investments theory and dynamic nancing. Importantly, we show that the rm
substantially lower its leverage in order to take advantage of its growth
options going forward, and indeed we obtain empirically plausible leverage (around 1/3) with as few as three growth options. Besides providing a
natural way to model the life cycle of the rm, our model also highlights
the need to distinguish between the residual values of assets in place
and that of remaining live-growth options upon default.
In addition, we nd that debt seniority and debt priority structures
have conceptually important and quantitatively signicant implications
on growth-option exercising and leverage decisions, because different
debt structures (e.g., APR versus pari passu) have very different endogenous debt-overhang implications.
Finally, mainly for tractability reasons, we have assumed that nancing and investment timing decisions coincide and also side-stepped
from some important frictions that may inuence a rms nancing
and investment decisions over its life cycle. We see generalizing our
model to separate investment and nancing decisions as a natural
next step. More broadly, we expect that future research will incorporate
35
2 2 00
Y EN Y;
2
Y YdN ;
A:1
subject to the following conditions at the endogenously chosen default boundary YdN :
EN YdN 0;
A:2
E0N YdN 0:
A:3
The value-matching (A.2) states that equity value is zero when equityholders default. The
smooth-pasting (A.3) implies that equityholders optimally choose the default boundary YdN .
Moreover, the default option is completely out of money when Y approaches 1.
A.2.2 Debt pricing. Similarly, using the standard valuation argument, we may value
debt DN Y using the following ODE:
rDN Y CN YD0N Y
36
2 2 00
Y DN Y;
2
YdN Y;
A:4
A:5
CN
:
r
A:6
lim DN Y
Y!1
and
A:7
Tdn 4Tin1 ,
A:8
A:9
Applying the smooth pasting condition E0n Yin1 V0n1 Yin1 to (A.8) and (A.9) gives
"
#
ei Yd 2 edn Yin1 2 vin1 Ydn1 2 vdn1 Yin2 2
1
mn1 Yin1 1 Yin1 1 n n
r
n
n1
"
#
i
d
i
d 1
d
i
1
vn1 Yn1 1 vdn1 Yin2 1
2 en Yn en Yn1
i
2 Yn1
:
n
n1
A:10
Similarly, the smooth pasting condition E0n Ydn 0 gives
0 An Ydn 1 Ydn 1
A:11
For given investment threshold Yin1 and default threshold Ydn in stage n, debt value Dn
Y solves the following ODE:
rDn Y Cn YD0n Y
2 2 00
Y Dn Y;
2
Ydn Y Yin1 ;
A:12
A:13
Dn Yin1 Fn :
A:14
37
Using the ODE (A.12) for debt value Dn Y and the corresponding boundary conditions
(A.13) and (A.14), we have the debt value is given by:
Cn
Cn
Cn
Fn in Y
Ln Ydn dn Y;
Dn Y
Ydn Y Yin1 :
A:15
r
r
r
Intuitively, debt value is given by the risk-free debt value Cn =r, minus the present value of
the discount when debt is called back at Tin1 , and minus the present value of the loss when
the rm defaults at Tdn . Because debt is priced at par Fn at issuance time Tin , using the debt
pricing Formula (A.15), we have the par value is given by Equation (23). And then using
Equation (23), debt value Dn Y is then given by Equation (22).
Now turn to the rms decision making in stage 0. Substituting the conjectured equity
value Equation (30) into the ODE Equation (27) and applying the endogenous default
boundary conditions (28) and (29) give the following implicit equation for the rst investment threshold Yi1 :
1
C1 i01 Yi1 Yi1 1 i1 Yi1 i d0
Yi Yi 1 d1 Yi1 d
I1
v1 1 1 1
v1 :
A1 Yi1
1
1
1 1
r
A:16
Simplifying the Equation (A.16) gives Equation (31). Note that we may also obtain the
same results directly using the general Formulation (A.10) with the following properties:
Yd0 0, ed0 0; ei0 V1 Yi1 I1 , and 0 Yd0 2 Yi1 1 .
2 2 00
Y Gk Y;
2
Y Yae
k ;
A:17
1 mk Yae
k
Ik ;
r
A:18
1 mk
:
r
A:19
G0k Yae
k
In addition, we have the absorbing barrier condition Gk 0 0 because Y is a GBM process. Using the standard guess-and-verify procedure, we obtain the option value
ae
Formula (4) for Gk Y for Y Yae
k , and the growth-option exercise threshold Yk given
in Equation (5).
When the rm is all-equity nanced and holds a sequence of decreasingly attractive
growth option, the exercising decisions of each option is independent of the exercising
decisions of other options. This is a robust result under all-equity nancing. Therefore,
when m1 =I1 4m2 =I2 4 . . . 4mN =IN holds, all-equity-nanced rm value is given by the sum
of assets in place and unexercised growth options. That is, in stage n, the rm has n existing
assets in place valued at An Y and N n unexercised growth options. Each growth option is
valued at Gk Y with exercising cost Ik and cash-ow multiple mk. Total rm value is then
given by Equation (35). Note that the growth options are ordered sequentially from the
most attractive (1st growth option) to the least attractive is without loss of generality. See
the main text for discussions on how we may redene the growth options if the preceding
growth option is more attractive. (For example, if m2 =I2 m1 =I1 , we can combine the rst
38
two growth options and relabel the option with exercising cost I1 I2 and cash-ow multiple m1 m2 .)
1 m1 1 1
r
1
r
Yd1
A:21
r 2 1 1
m1 Yi1 :
r 2 h
A:22
Rearranging and simplifying Equation (A.21) gives the following implicit equation for the
investment threshold:
C1
C1
2
1 2
A 1
1 1A1 Yi1 1 I1 1
r
r
2 1
C1
C1 h 2
A:23
1 2
h2 ; h2 ;
1 I1 1
r
r 1 2
1 I1 1 1
1 m1 Yi1
;
hr
where the rst, second, and third line uses the explicit formulae for Yd1 as a function of C1
given in Equation (9) (when stage 1 is the last stage (i.e. N 1)), h given in Equation (33),
and coupon C1 given in Equation (A.22), respectively. Finally, re-arranging the last expression gives Yi1 in Equation (37). Substituting Equation (37) into Equation (A.22) gives the
coupon policy Equation (38) and the default threshold Yd1 Yi1 =h.
If the initial value Y0 is below the investment threshold Yi1 given in Equation (37),
the rm will wait before investing. Equity value before investment E0 Y is given by
Equation (30).
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