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    Coursework 2 For CE6002

    Uploaded by

    Saznizam Sazmee Sinoh
    Coursework 2 for CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments at the National University of Singapore. An analysis into traffic accident data.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Coursework 2 For CE6002

    Uploaded by

    Saznizam Sazmee Sinoh
    105 views4 pages
    Coursework 2 for CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments at the National University of Singapore. An analysis into traffic accident data.

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    Coursework 2 for CE6002

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    Coursework 2 for CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments at the National University of Singapore. An analysis into traffic accident data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    105 views4 pages

    Coursework 2 For CE6002

    Uploaded by

    Saznizam Sazmee Sinoh
    Coursework 2 for CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments at the National University of Singapore. An analysis into traffic accident data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 4

    CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments

    Saznizam S Sinoh A0148718U

    CE6002 Assignment 2

    Accident Type Distribution


    281
    7%
    Fatal Accident

    Injury Accident

    766
    19%

    Non-injury Accident

    3009
    74%

    Figure 1. Distribution of accident types.


    A total of 4056 accidents occurred throughout the 250 districts with almost of all accidents
    not resulting in any injury according to Figure 1. Furthermore, almost a fifth of all accidents
    result in some sort of injury and loss of life occurred in 7% of all accidents.
    The fatal accident rate (FAR) according to district is calculated by dividing the total
    fatal accidents by the total number of accidents occurring at a certain district which is shown
    in Equation 1. The data in Figure 2 shows that the district with the highest FAR is District 89
    at 40%. In other words, accidents in District 89 have a 40% chance to be fatal. The second
    most deadly districts are 66 and 95 which both have a 25% chance that an accident will be
    fatal.

    Fatal accident rate , FAR=

    Number of fatal accidents occuringa district


    Total number of accidents occuringa district

    (1)

    CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments

    Saznizam S Sinoh A0148718U

    Fatal Accident Rate per District


    0

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    District

    Fatal accident rate (%)

    Figure 2. Fatal accident rate according to district.

    35

    40

    CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments

    Saznizam S Sinoh A0148718U

    Table 1. Results of Individual Distribution Identification.


    AndersonDistribution

    Likelihood

    Darling (AD)

    P-Value

    Statistic
    0.833

    0.031

    Transformation
    Lognormal
    3-Parameter

    0.833
    3.195

    0.031
    <0.005

    Lognormal
    Exponential
    2-Parameter

    0.847
    55.233

    *
    <0.003

    Exponential
    Weibull
    3-Parameter Weibull
    Smallest Extreme

    33.764
    0.732
    0.748

    <0.010
    0.057
    0.033

    Value
    Largest Extreme

    2.595

    <0.010

    Value
    Gamma
    3-Parameter Gamma
    Logistic
    Loglogistic
    3-Parameter

    2.956
    1.887
    0.946
    1.156
    2.45

    <0.010
    <0.005
    *
    <0.005
    <0.005

    0.001

    Loglogistic
    Johnson

    1.157

    Transformation
    Distribution

    0.568
    AD

    0.14
    P

    LRT P

    Normal
    Box-Cox

    Ratio
    P-Value (LRT P)

    0.551

    The data was processed using Minitab to determine the most suitable type of
    distribution to fit the data which is shown in Table 1. From Table 1, the normal distribution
    has a low AD value while also possessing a low p-value which makes it a strong candidate
    for the most suitable distribution. Therefore, the normal distribution is chosen as the most

    CE6002 Analysis of Civil Engineering Experiments

    Saznizam S Sinoh A0148718U

    suitable distribution to best fit the data. Figure 3 shows the normal distribution of the total
    accidents occurring throughout the 250 districts.

    Probability Plot for Total Accidents


    Goodness of Fit Test

    Normal - 95% CI

    Normal
    AD = 0.833
    P-Value = 0.031

    99.9
    99
    95

    Percent

    80

    50

    20

    5
    1
    0.1

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Total Accidents

    Figure 3. Normal distribution of the total accidents occurring throughout the 250 districts.

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