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Daily Derivatives

August 21, 2015


August 21, 2015
Nifty Snapshot & Pivot Points

Nifty Futures OI vs. Price

OI In million

25

15

Fut

COC

Future OI

PCR OI

PCR Vol

Current

8373

8380

4.55

17051575

0.92

0.93

17.06

8600

Previous

8495

8505

5.50

16299375

1.04

1.06

16.13

-1.44%

-1.47%

8400

Change (%)

8200

Pivot levels (AUG)

8000
7800

30-Jul
31-Jul
3-Aug
4-Aug
5-Aug
6-Aug
7-Aug
10-Aug
11-Aug
12-Aug
13-Aug
14-Aug
17-Aug
18-Aug
19-Aug
20-Aug

10

17.1
17.9
17.5
16.7
17.4
17.7
17.7
17.5
17.5
16.9
16.6
16.3
15.9
15.8
16.3
17.1

20

Spot

8800

Nifty Futures OI

Nifty Fut Price (RHS)

Nifty Options OI Distribution


70

Nifty Call Put Concentration (AUG)

60

20

Call

Put

Active Nifty Strike


Call (%)
Strike

Put (%)

8200

OI chg %
-16.64

IV (%)
16.87

OI chg %
-5.20

IV (%)
18.44

8300

22.85

16.90

-7.52

17.83

8400

80.42

16.73

-33.78

17.02

8500

47.34

16.37

-28.85

16.11

8600

11.12

16.19

-22.17

15.20

Turnover (Cr)

%Chg

Stock Futures
Index Options

8,15,623
13,11,793

21531.86
35862.93

1,13,34,545

Stock Options
F&O Total

7,56,898
1,42,18,859

R2

R3

8119

8267

8323

8415

8471

8563

8711

F&O Highlights
After four days of consolidation in a narrow range, the Nifty witnessed selling
pressure throughout the day. Except FMCG, a significant sell-off was seen in
almost all sectors, which led the index to close 123 points lower. Nifty future
premium settled at 7 points. India VIX rose 1.8% and ended at 16.97
FIIs sold | 1007 crore while DIIs bought | 568 crore in the cash segment. FIIs
sold | 1771 crore in index futures and bought | 751 crore in index options. In
stock futures, they bought | 343 crore
The highest Put base is at the 8200 strike with 64 lakh shares while the highest
Call base is at the 8600 strike with 57 lakh shares. The 8400 and 8500 Calls saw
additions of 12.5 and 17.0 lakh shares, respectively. The 8400 and 8300 Put
strikes saw reductions of 17.8 and 4.8 lakh shares, respectively
Index Outlook*

Nifty Future: The Nifty is likely to open negative on the back of weak global

ii) Voltas Ind (VOLTAS)

i) Dr Reddy's Labs (DRREDD)

Sell VOLTAS Aug Fut at 299.00-300.00

60.43
29.05

View: Bullish

View: Bearish

262799

45.66

Target 1: 4298

21289.76
341484

35.09
43.85

Stop Loss: 4242

Stop Loss: 303

Market Lot: 125


CMP : 4300
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
*Call initiation message will be broadcast on iclick-2-gain

Market Lot: 1000

(In | crore)

Target 2: 4340

Target 1: 296 Target 2: 292


CMP : 297.4

%Chg Open Interest Activity

Sell

Net

OI (lots)

Index futures

1869

3640

-1771

575825

-4.3

Symbol

Index options

18775

18024

751

3059589

2.2

PNB

Stock futures

4501

4158

343

1957808

1.1

ALBK

Stock options

3656

3733

-77

156098

1.5

IOB

1.1

-754

Strategy: Sell Future

Strategy: Buy Future

Buy

29555

R1

Source: NSE, Seediff, ICICIdirect.com Research

Segment

28801

Piv

Buy DRREDD Aug Fut at 4268.00-4272.00

FII Activities

Total

S1

Company while short build-up was seen in PNB, Yes Bank, Axis Bank and Jindal
Steel & Power
OI shedding: We saw short covering in Ceat Ltd, Exide and Adani Ports
whereas long closure was seen in Amtek Auto, IRB and Indiabulls Real Estate
Intraday Recommendation*

No. of Contracts

Index Futures

S2

OI addition: We saw long build-up in ITC, Dr Reddys, Ashok Leyland and Titan

F&O Turnover
Instrument

4.61%

S3

cues. It is likely to trade in the range of 8250-8420. Sell Nifty in the range of
8388-8393 for targets of 8360-8340, stop loss: 8408
Bank Nifty Future: On the back of fresh short additions, the index ended well
below the intermediate levels of 18500. The depreciation in the rupee is likely to
keep banking stocks under pressure, which may move the Bank Nifty towards
18000-17800. Sell Bank Nifty in the range of 18300-18350, targets: 18200-18100,
stop loss: 18430
Stocks Analysis

8900

8800

8700

8600

8500

9 .3

8300

8100

8200

10

8400

30

5 9 .1
2 8 .1
3 3 .7
5 2 .9
2 2 .5
5 7 .5
9 .2
4 5 .2
3 .6
4 6 .9
3 .2
2 5 .1
1 .4

6 3 .6

40

1 .8
2 3 .8
3 .2

O I in La cs

50

Nifty future

ATM IV

5749320

Research Analyst
Amit Gupta
[email protected]
Nandish Patel
[email protected]

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

OI
24452000

%Chg

Price

12.53

159

%Chg Symbol
-5.4 AMARAJABAT

OI

%Chg

Price

%Chg

347250

-21.57

1,047

-1.3
-4.3

8978000

11.86

88

-5.8 MINDTREE

310250

-12.67

1,377

13864000

11.52

38

-3.6 UNIONBANK

10710000

-12.20

202

-5.1

INDUSINDBK

5030000

11.14

928

-2.9 IBREALEST

37296000

-11.16

56

-9.3

SOUTHBANK

21870000

10.76

23

1452000

-8.13

1,123

0.1

-1.1 CEATLTD

Strategy Follow-up
Date
20-Aug-15
20-Aug-15

Stock
WOCKHA
HINDAL

View
Buy
Sell

Strategy
Long Fut
Short Fut

Reco
1686.00
88.25

Target
1724.00
86.50

SL
1668.00
90.20

P&L
250
-

Comment
Exit at cost
Not Initiated

Trading Portfolio allocation

It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various derivatives research
products.

Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment.

Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation.

For example: The Daily Derivatives product carries 2 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate equal amount
to each recommendation
Allocation
Max allocation
per stock

Number of Calls

Frontline
Stocks

Mid-cap
stocks

Daily Derivatives

5%

Duration

2-3%

2 Stocks

1%

2-3%

Weekly Derivatives

Intraday

10%

3-5%

2 Stocks

3-5%

5-7%

1 Week

High OI stock

5%

2-3%

2-3 Stocks

5-7%

7-10%

1-2 Weeks

Monthly Derivatives

15%

3-5%

4-7 Stocks

7-10%

10-15%

1 Month

Global Derivatives

5%

2-3%

1-2 index strategy

1 Month

Stock Trader/ Stock in Focus

15%

2-3%

5-6 Stocks

7-10%

10-15%

3 Months

Alpha Trader

5%

2-3%

2-3 Alpha strategy

5%

3 Months

Volatility Insights

5%

2-3%

1-2 Strategy

8-10%

10-15%

1-2 Month

ArbitrageOpportunity

5%

2-3%

2-3 Stocks

> 2.5%

>2.5%

Event Based

Products

Pankaj Pandey

Return Objective

Product wise
allocation

Positional / Daily Futures

10%

2-3%

8-12 Stocks

1-3%

2-5%

1-14 days

Index option & Strategy

10%

3-4%

2-5 Nifty

2-3%

1-14 days

Stock option & Strategy

5%

3-4%

2-8 Stocks

3-5%

1-14 days

Currency Futures

5%

3-4%

3-5 Calls

Intraday

Head Research

[email protected]

ICICIdirect.com Derivatives Desk


ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East), Mumbai 400 093
[email protected]

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 2

Disclaimer

ANALYST CERTIFICATION

We /I, Amit Gupta B.E, MBA (Finance), Nandish Patel Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately
reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this
report.

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