Arthur PDF
Arthur PDF
Arthur PDF
JEFFREY B. ARTHUR
R.B. Pamplin College of Business
Department of Management
Virginia Tech University
Blacksburg, VA 24061
Tel: 203 254-4000
e-mail: [email protected]
and
LYNDA AIMAN-SMITH
College of Management
North Carolina State University
P.O. Box 7229
Raleigh, NC 27695-7229
Tel: 919 515-8699
e-mail: [email protected]
The results using this method are essentially identical to the results of the conditional least
squares estimates produced using the ARIMA procedure (SAS Institute, 1993). Details of
results of these analyses are available upon request from the first author.
Page 36
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page 42
TABLE 1
Categories of Gainsharing Suggestions
Suggestion Type
Description
Examples from Actual Suggestions
A. First-Order Suggestions
1. Material Savings
Savings come primarily from saving on the cost of Purchase tires for our internal carts from [specified] dealer. We are
materials at the plant
currently paying $130/tire, and [another specified dealer] will sell them for
$84.00.
2. New Worka
B. Second-Order Suggestions
Suggestions for changing the process sequence,
1. Process Changesb
including scheduling changes, set-up changes,
improved material handling, and changes to the
content of production tasks. Savings identified to
come primarily from improved labor efficiency
(reduced labor costs).
...the plates are stacked one on top of each other in wire baskets in the
punch press area. After plates are degreased and sent to the [next
assembly] area, an assembler removes them two at a time and flips one so
that the plate tabs face each other in pairs...my suggestion is to have the
punch press operator load the parts in the basket the way they will be used
in the [next assembly area]...
Use the Burr Oak machine in [area] 9215 to produce the header for the
new heater core rather than use the Cutoff Vail machine and new tube
cutter in [area] 9227. This process can be done on one machine and save
24 or more hours per shift
2. Design Changesc
_________________
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TABLE 2
Descriptive Statistics and Correlation
Total
(n=48
months)
Average
per
Month
Standard
Deviation
1) Payout per
employee (paid
every 6 months)
$4,038
$511
491
----
2) Employment
Level
n/a
1484.4
206.4
.008
----
3) Time (Months)
48
N/A
14.0
-.262
-904*
----
4) Total Suggestions
436
9.08
6.22
.575*
.005
-.098
----
5) First-order
Learning
Suggestions
204
4.25
3.67
.531*
.084
-.182
.854*
----
6) Second-order
learning suggestions
214
4.45
3.56
.592*
-.098
.020
.863*
.490*
VARIABLE
* p<.01
----
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TABLE 3
Results of Regression Analyses for the Total Number of Employee Suggestions
Over Time (n=48 months)
Variables
beta
Intercept
-37.15
Time
Time2
Std.
Error
19.89
0.90*
0.37
-0.12*
0.06
Payoutt
0.06**
0.02
Employmentt
0.02*
0.01
R2
Durbin-Watson
.41**
1.85
* p < .05;
** p < .01; two-tailed tests
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TABLE 4
Results of Transformed Regression Analysisa Showing Decline in First Order
Learning Suggestions Over Time (n=48 months).
Variables
Std.
Error
beta
Intercept
.378
.499
Time
-.027*
.013
Total
Suggestions
.521**
.034
R2
Durbin-Watson
.81**
1.90
* p < .05
** p < .01; two-tailed tests.
a
Transformed using Yule-Walker method to control for 2nd and 9th order autoregressive
errors.
page 46
CHART 1:
Number of Suggestions by Month (6-month moving averages, 1/89-12/92)
18
16
12
10
8
6
4
2
Months
43
41
39
37
35
33
31
29
27
25
23
21
19
17
15
13
11
0
1
Number of Suggestions
14
page 47
CHART 2:
Percentage of First-order Learning Suggestions by Month (6-month moving
averages, 1/89-12/92)
0.7
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
Months
48
46
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
0
6
Percent
0.5
page 48