Econ c142 Berkeley

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UC Berkeley Department of Economics

Economics 142 Applied Econometrics


Course Outline
Course Description and Objectives
This course will examine the use of statistical and econometric tools in the analysis of economic
and social data. Students will develop familiarity with econometric modeling and research
designs for applied social science research. We will also discuss prediction and classification
models that are used in Data Science. By the end of the class students will have extensive
experience in applying different data analysis methods, and in using experimental and nonexperimental research designs to make inferences.
Details
Class lectures will be held Tuesday and Thursday 11am-12:30 pm in 247 Cory.
There are also two sections:
Section 101, taught by Kaushik Krishnan, will meet 9-10 am in 3111 Etcheverry
Section 102, taught by Hedvig Horvath, will meet 1-2 pm in 285 Cory
The midterm exam will be held October 30, in class. There will be a final project in lieu of a final
exam, which will be due Wed. Dec 17, at 11.00 am (the end of the time slot assigned for the
regular final exam).
Course grade will be based on weekly problem sets (40%), the midterm exam (35%), and the
final project (25%).
Course requirements
Students are expected to read all assigned readings, attend all lectures and sections, hand in all
problem sets, complete the midterm and hand in the final project.
No make up exams will be scheduled. Students will need to have a signed letter from a
physician to justify missing the midterm or failing to hand in the final project on time. All others
who fail to write the midterm or fail to hand in their project on time will receive grades of 0 on
these parts of the course.
Problem sets will be due at the end of the Thursday lecture. No late problem sets will be
accepted; late assignments will receive a grade of 0.
Computer exercises
Students are expected to have access to a computer with R software (which is free and can
be downloaded from www.r-project.org . Most problem sets and the final project will require
significant data analysis and some more complex coding skills.

Reference Materials
There is no required text for the class. The following are recommended references:
Jeffrey Wooldridge Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach. Any edition from 3 onward
will be useful. We recommend trying to buy a used recent edition.
Gareth James, Daniela Witten, Trevor Hastie and Robert Tibshirani. An Introduction to
Statistical Learning with Applications in R (ISLR). This book is available for free at
http://www-bcf.usc.edu/~gareth/ISL/ : this site also other useful related materials.
You will also want to have access to a good book on probability and statistics at the advanced
undergraduate level. There are many: for example, DeGroot and Schevish Probability and
Statistics is extremely clear and methodical.
Another book you may find useful is:
Joshua Angrist and Jorn-Steffen Pischke, Mostly Harmless Econometrics. This is a bit advanced
but is written by two labor economists (and former PhD students of DC) so it has a similar
perspective on many applied issues as will be adopted in this class.
Finally, there are many great Wikis on most of the topics we will cover.
Web Site
There is a class site on bcourses where we will post problem sets, data, and reference
materials. Students should to check the site frequently for updates.

Tentative List of Topics


1. Introductory lecture - review of statistics; confidence in intervals; power analysis
2. Inference in a randomized controlled trial (RCT) setting; experimental design; noncompliance and other problems of inference; permutation inference
3. Linear regression modeling; properties of regression; omitted variables; decomposition
techniques; problems of inference
4. Fixed effects; random effects; correlated random effects models
5. Non-experimental research designs I: difference in differences
6. Matching and reweighting alternatives to regression
7. Non-experimental research designs II: instrumental variables
8. Non-experimental research designs III: regression discontinuity
9. Nonlinear models: multinomial models; logit and related models
10. Prediction and classification models

Incidental Topics (to be covered along the way)


1. Descriptive analysis: graphical methods; data summary
2. Data handling and data reduction techniques
3. Data mining: how and where to get data

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