12-0268 Nat Cat Pack Full v5
12-0268 Nat Cat Pack Full v5
12-0268 Nat Cat Pack Full v5
Contents
The NAT CAT Pack: our guide to best practice in relation to
natural catastrophe risk management and transfer
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Background
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Contact
For more information please contact
your local Marsh representative or
contact:
Caroline Woolley
EMEA Property Practice Leader
Marsh
+44 (0) 20 7357 2777
Mobile: +44 (0) 7800 682710
[email protected]
Ron de Bruijn
EMEA Property Practice Leader
Marsh Risk Consulting
+31 10 4060394
Mobile: +31 622521255
[email protected]
julie speed
Business Development Coordinator
Risk Practices, Marsh EMEA
+44 (0) 20 7357 2608
[email protected]
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Background
With natural catastrophe (NAT CAT) events increasing
in frequency and severity, and insurers scrutinising
exposures more than ever, the necessity for proactive
risk management and swift post-loss support is clear.
This is why we have created the NAT CAT Risk Map.
This is an interactive map of your complete portfolio
of assets, including suppliers locations where
appropriate. From a single view you can see all your
property risk data, and now this includes NAT CAT
hazard exposures.
The increasing complexity of risks, combined with the desire for greater transparency
from markets and supervisory authorities, is placing ever greater demands upon
organisations to provide easy access to accurate property exposure information.
Up-to-date and detailed NAT CAT information is of paramount importance, allowing
for an informed decision-making process in relation to loss prevention and resilience,
loss mitigation, and risk transfer for direct NAT CAT risks, but also for indirect risks
such as exposures of key customers or suppliers.
Regular checks, for example, on the risk of natural hazards and the adequacy of
NAT CAT limits, are essential for efficient and adequate resource allocation, and risk
financing decisions.
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NAT CAT Risk Map
STARS Enterprise provides complete
visibility into your property portfolio and
exposure values by tracking detailed
construction, occupancy, protection, and
exposure (COPE) information; plus loss
prevention and loss control information
for each property. Related documents
and images can also be attached to create
a complete profile for any asset. Natural
hazard data can now be added into the
Risk Goggles view.
Utilising advanced global geocoding
services and an intuitive user interface,
end-users are able to review and update
the longitude and latitude co-ordinates
created by the system. A collaboration
between Munich Re Geospatial
Solutions and Marsh opens up a new
way of looking at NAT CAT risk. This
lets clients capture natural hazard data
for co-ordinates for assets such as oil
platforms, communication towers, and
rail crossings, or supplier locations that
are not associated with traditional street
addresses.
A report of findings is provided in the
form of a portfolio exposure assessment
(PEA)*. The report identifies your portfolio
of NAT CAT exposures and performs
accumulation analyses in relation to
the CRESTA zones in which your sites
are located. This allows analyses of
natural hazards at up to 5,000 locations
worldwide with the position of each
individual risk identified at the maximum
level of detail.
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NAT CAT Risk Map Workshop
Bringing together experts from CS STARS and Marsh, we will demonstrate the system
and ensure you understand the data provided. There will be an opportunity to consider
all relevant areas of insured risk (property, business interruption, and environmental
liability), as well as other areas of risk that might currently be out of the scope of cover.
We will help identify the worst NAT CAT loss scenario, and the risk and insurance
implications arising from the event. We can then start to identify risk transfer gaps, areas
that require additional analysis, and potential solutions.
STARS Enterprise
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Further
Options
Please note, this is recommended as
the first step in establishing a best
practice approach to NAT CAT. Further
detailed NAT CAT modelling can be
performed for the hotspots identified in
the NAT CAT Risk Map package. Property
surveys, including vulnerability and
loss assessments, will help manage risk
at each location, while providing the
relevant data for any detailed NAT CAT
modelling assignments.
Marsh has a team of global practitioners
specialising in state-of-the-art computer
modelling techniques to analyse property
risks for multiple natural hazard perils in
terms of probability of occurrence. Marsh
draws upon a worldwide database of
historical and probabilistic information
relating to earthquakes, hurricanes,
tornados and hail. Knowing the 250-year
or 500-year loss level and the average
annual loss (AAL), combined with the
data from the NAT CAT Risk Map, will give
you a superior knowledge of your risks,
and strengthen your risk management
information and your position in the
insurance marketplace.
INTEGRATION
WITH STARS
ENTERPRISE
STARS Enterprise includes over 20
modules. Features that can easily be
added to the NAT CAT Risk Map package
include:
Renewal Data Collection
Property and Facility Audits
Incident Reporting
Claims Management
Claims Benchmarking
Contacts
Caroline Woolley
EMEA Property Practice Leader
[email protected]
+44 20 7357 2777
Mark Holt
CS STARS Business Development
Continental Europe
[email protected]
+44 20 7357 3674
Ron de Bruijn
EMEA Practice Leader, Property
Risk Consulting & Work Force
Strategies Practice
[email protected]
+3 1 10 406 0394
Julie Speed
Business Development Coordinator
EMEA Risk Practices
[email protected]
+44 20 7357 2608
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Fig 1.
250
(US$ bn)
200
150
100
50
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Source: 2012 Mnchener Rckversicherungs-Gesellschaft, Geo Risks Research, NatCatSERVICE - As at January 2012
2005
2010
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Phase 1
Phase 2
Identification
Quantification
Phase 3
Management
Once you determine the expected loss levels, responsible
management programmes and recommendations on the
mitigation strategy can be developed. The options are
extensive and may include:
Advice on transfer, retention level and supply chain
adjustments
Assistance on corporate and site preparedness
programme upgrades and critical process equipment or
material relocation
Quality checks to ensure that the agreed mitigation
procedures and measures are in place
Advice on reducing natural catastrophe exposure in the
most cost effective way
Recommendations for further cost effective natural
hazards loss control mitigation procedures.
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Case study
Our client needed to assess their aircraft hull exposure to hurricane for airports in Texas and Florida in order to
ensure that adequate insurance was in place and monitor risk accumulation. Marsh Risk Consulting conducted a
fully probabilistic hurricane modelling, using state of the art modelling data, in conjunction with statistical
modelling of hull losses to quantify exposures to different return-period events. After the project was completed,
the client was in a better position to understand potential losses to hurricane exposure, validate appropriateness
of insurance limits and identify airports where the level of risk accumulation had breached their risk tolerance
levels.
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Risk identification
Marshs Supply Chain Risk Management (SCRM) Practice
undertakes a comprehensive review of supply chain exposures. This
begins with the mapping of the internal and external supply chain
(including services) and continues with consideration of the key
operational processes or services and potentially critical failure
points. We can also include a natural hazard risk map of suppliers
using our exclusive broker access to a natural hazard zone database.
Risk measurement
Many businesses can name the suppliers that represent the
biggest threat, but the actual financial impact is rarely
quantified. Using a variety of tools including impact modelling,
forensic accounting and gap analysis, the potential loss of
gross profit is established. This is shown in terms of the
maximum exposure and, more importantly, the mitigated loss.
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Risk improvements
Once the critical operations and suppliers
have been established and the exposures
quantified, appropriate risk management
strategies can be developed in order to
achieve an adaptive and resilient supply
chain. Using Marsh Risk Consultings
expertise in business continuity, existing
mitigating controls are benchmarked
against best practice and a suitable plan can
be established. Our experts balance
efficiency with fragility, helping to achieve
savings while minimising the risks involved.
Risk treatment
Insurance underwriters use the risk analysis
to make qualified decisions about a clients
exposures and will set the rate accordingly.
The programme design is customised to the
needs of the business and the level of cover
required. The risk improvements identified
in the assessment process (once
implemented) will ultimately help reduce
the cost of the insurance.
The assessment
process
Workshops and stakeholder interviews
to determine key exposures and gather
sufficient qualitative and quantitative
data for the insurance application.
Access to Marsh experts including
business continuity consultants, the
property risk practice, modelling and
business analytic professionals, and
forensic accountants.
The use of models to map the risks,
benchmarking tools to compare existing
solutions to best practice, and financial
analysis in the quantification of loss.
Presentation of findings in a report that
will enable the business to make
informed risk management and risk
transfer decisions.
Insurance product
features
The product reacts to an insured event that
is not limited to physical loss or damage.
Types of covered events can include
pandemic, strike, political risk or insolvency,
therefore stretching way beyond existing
products available in the market.
Coverage is defined as disruption or delay in
the receipt of named products, components
or services from a named supplier.
The loss of gross profit/earnings is
measured during the assessment process
and used to determine a fixed claim
amount per working period.
The pre-determined fixed claim amount
provides certainty of recovery levels and a
more streamlined claim process.
Extra expenses over and above normal
operating costs incurred by the insured
for loss mitigation can be included.
CONTACTS
Caroline Woolley
EMEA Property Practice Leader
[email protected]
Tel: +44 20 7357 2777
Markus Groth
Marsh Risk Consulting
[email protected]
Tel: +49 40 3769 2264
Rod Ratsma
Marsh Risk Consulting
[email protected]
Tel: +44 1908 846012
Julie Speed
Business Development Coordinator,
EMEA Risk Practices
Marsh
[email protected]
Tel: +44 20 7357 2608
Key benefits
Innovative product offering to meet
a gap in the market insurance
policy to cover non-damage
business interruption risks arising
from your supply chain
Marsh can provide the full
spectrum of services from
identification of key risk
exposures in the supply chain,
through to risk treatment
solutions including risk transfer
The development of a risk
management plan providing
options to reduce the potential
exposure to your business, and
provide information to assist in
business and operational decisions
Encourage business alignment
through executing a risk strategy
in collaboration with key
suppliers; Marsh can offer
ongoing analysis and assessment
if required
The assessment includes
quantification of loss for key
suppliers to: identify the financial
impact on the business; provide
vital information required for
financial decisions; assist in the
allocation of resource; and give
insurers a basis for establishing
an insurance quotation.
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At 14:46 (JST) on 11 March 2011 the worst earthquake in the history of Japan struck
Japans north-eastern coast. It reached a magnitude of 9.0 on Richter Scale and its
epicentre depth was 24km. Following the earthquake, a tsunami battered, not just
the coast, but it penetrated inland up to 10km with a depth of 25m in places.
The area was then, literally, faced with meltdown as Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear
power plant reached a Level 7 crisis rating (the same as Chernobyl).
There was devastation and loss in all regards, but
particularly in relation to property and life. The death-toll
was estimated at 15,188, with 8,742 missing and
5,337 injured.1 Evacuees totalled 108,672.
The Japanese Government estimates damages caused
directly by the earthquake/tsunami mount up to
between US$197bn and US$307bn. The direct damage
to the Japanese economy is already clear, the IMF made a
downward revision of Japans economic growth in 2011
from 1.6% to 1.4%, and there are already
102 earthquake-related bankruptcies. Ibaraki, Iwate,
Miyagi, Fukushima the worst stricken areas together
account for 6.5% of GDP. Japans GDP was U$5,300bn
in 2010.2
Our claims teams are working with clients in relation to
their direct losses as a result of the event, offering
support and claims preparation. However, it is the
indirect consequences in the supply chain that are being
felt in the rest of the world. Japan accounts for around
20% of global production of semi-conductors, 60% of
silicon wafers and 90% of bismaleimide-triazine, or
BT resin. For automobile manufacturers, supplies of
around 230, out of the roughly 3,000 parts required to
make the average car, are either running short or out of
supply. It is the indirect losses that are the focus here.3
Risk management
Competitive organisations have shortened their supply
chains by removing excess inventory or capacity,
pushing non-core services to lower cost providers,
shedding/consolidating physical assets, and reducing
third party providers or suppliers. The conflict between
efficiency and risk is apparent, and business continuity
and loss mitigation must be a top priority as all this
results in greater sourcing risk. The focus must be on risk
management, and informed risk transfer decisions can
then be made. Preparation is key, including analysis of
single points of failure (SPOFs) with these risks being:
quantified start with the generation of revenue,
calculate gross profit and potential increased costs;
prioritised based on quantitative and qualitative
information, and consideration of interdependencies.
It is then possible to determine the level of investment
needed to manage the risk at a very detailed level,
including consideration of risk transfer.
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Risk transfer
Traditional cover
Once you have a clear picture of risks and exposures
throughout the various tiers in the supply chain, risk
transfer can be considered. There are multiple insurance
implications in relation to Japan. In relation to traditional
property damage and business interruption policies, the
key value chain extension clauses include:
Suppliers extensions: this covers your own loss of
profit/increased costs caused by insured damage.
Key suppliers can be named (specified), and there is
an option for unspecified cover (limited capacity).
Cover is often restricted to first tier suppliers only, and
a separate limit usually applies. There are sometimes
fewer insured perils.
Customers extensions: as above, this covers
interruption caused by insured damage at customers
premises. The main customers are named (specified),
and unspecified cover may be available.
Alternative solutions
With the changing business structures (supplier reliance
and complex supply chains) and changing risk events
(non-damage events such as strikes, ash cloud, cyber
crime) traditional property damage policies are no
longer sufficient.
Whilst we should concentrate on the effect on
businesses, rather than necessarily the cause, we need
to review the interaction of policies and consider the
current gaps in cover. Previously there has been little or
no cover available for non-damage related events.
Some examples are provided above of non-damage
events, but there are also aspects of damage related
events that might not be covered under traditional
policies such as loss of attraction and the rolling
blackouts imposed in Japan.
There are bespoke solutions available: we have worked
with Lloyds syndicates and reinsurers in this regard.
However, for the last two years we have worked with two
key insurers in the development of specific supply chain
solutions for non damage events.
Ripple effects
The Wall Street Journal online, 17 May 2011, Construction,
Manufacturing Fall
The information contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable and should be understood to be general risk
management and insurance information only. The information is not intended to be taken as advice with respect to any
individual situation and cannot be relied upon as such.
Marsh Ltd. is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority for insurance mediation activities only.
Copyright 2013 Marsh Ltd. All rights reserved.
GRAPHICS NO. 11-0132
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Business continuity
management
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The world is a riskier place. Emerging threats such as
product recalls, with the increasing vulnerability of
sophisticated global supply chains and unpredictable
natural catastrophies, mean that the threat of business
interruption is as great as it has ever been.
It is not just physical assets and staff that are at risk. Customer confidence, brand
and reputation are all susceptible to badly managed incidents or events. Lost
market share is almost impossible to recapture.
In many markets, failure is not an option. The investment community expects
companies to be well governed and competent in managing periods of volatility.
Insurers increasingly require evidence of effective risk management before
providing insurance cover. Market leaders expect the companies that supply
them with products and services to guarantee continuity of supply.
All risks are interconnected and businesses cannot prevent certain threats from
materialising. However, businesses can assess exposure to the risks that they
know about. The need for business to address the effects rather than the
unpredictable and often uncontrollable causes of risk is greater than ever.
Faced with a range of these unexpected and unpredictable risks, all businesses
need to prepare for the consequences. That means building resiliency into your
organisation and its supply chain as well as developing robust business
continuity and crisis management plans.
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Our services
Capability reviews:
Through formal reviews, we help clients to
correlate their BCM requirements with the
availability and quality of their plans. This can
include an assessment of policies and protocols
at group level, including group standards and
frameworks, risk registers and crisis
management plans, as well as an assessment of
BCM implemented at operating company level.
Where there are gaps, we help clients to define
what success might look like, and develop
realistic implementation plans to improve their
performance going forward. These solutions
typically include exercising plans at all levels.
Exercising:
Marsh Risk Consultings range of exercising
solutions are focused on evolving business
continuity plans into business continuity cultures,
through training for senior executives, rehearsing
of emergency response and crisis management
procedures and testing of recovery plans.
Plan building:
We assist clients in identifying and analysing their
key business processes, and developing and
enhancing their business continuity whatever
their current levels of sophistication. A common
approach underpins this process, but plans
themselves are designed around our clients, to
ensure maximum usage and value for them.
Programme management:
With the help of Marsh Risk Consulting, clients
develop their existing plans into programmes of
continuous BCM improvement, based on a
framework linked to improving levels of
resilience. We can help to facilitate this process
on their behalf, ensuring consistency of
approach and freeing up valuable project
management resource. Our people are also
skilled and experienced in winning the hearts
and minds of senior managers, a vital
component of a successful BCM programme.
Crisis management
planning:
Marsh Risk Consulting regularly assists clients in
developing crisis management plans, and
training staff expected to be at the apex of a crisis
with the appropriate skills to manage multiple
stakeholders under pressurised conditions.
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Case
studies
A national
petroleum company
Need:
Develop a company-wide
framework of BCM, including
recovery plans for the most critical
areas of the business.
Marsh solutions:
1. Designed and implemented an
organisation-wide BCM policy
and framework, in line with
BS 25999.
2. Developed impact and risk
analyses of critical business
areas, designed recovery
strategies and produced business
recovery plans, linked to existing
emergency response plans.
3. Facilitated initial plan testing.
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Major international
sports and
entertainment group
Need:
Develop comprehensive BCM,
including recovery plans for the most
critical areas of the business at one of
the organisations flagship sites.
Marsh solutions:
1. Designed and implemented a
BCM policy and framework, in
line with BS 25999.
2. Developed impact and risk
analyses of critical business
areas, designed recovery
strategies and produced
business recovery and crisis
management plans, linked to
the emergency response plans.
3. Delivered rehearsal exercises to
senior management.
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Case studies
continued...
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The information contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable and should be understood to be general risk
management and insurance information only. The information is not intended to be taken as advice with respect to
any individual situation and cannot be relied upon as such.
In the United Kingdom, Marsh Ltd. is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority for
insurance mediation activities only.
Copyright 2013 Marsh Ltd All rights reserved
GRAPHICS NO. 11-0071
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Our approach
Our review will identify amendments required to
coverage and provide a greater understanding of the
real risk to the organisation. Highlighting how business
continuity and disaster recovery plans will mitigate any
loss ensures an accurate presentation of the risk to
underwriters and may result in premium savings.
A key element is the level of the sum insured. Our
forensic accountants will consider trends and seasonality
to ensure an accurate figure and also avoid penalties and
premium leakage by purchasing too high a level of
coverage.
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Contingent BI review
We identify and consider
the risk exposures from
damage at the premises
and facilities of suppliers,
customers or utility
organisations.
BI interdependency review
We assess the organisations overall BI loss
potential taking into consideration its
interdependent operating sites and shared
facilities. We draw out the significant
exposures and quantify risk accumulations.
BI insurance
We review existing cover
and make
recommendations for BI
insurance programme
design.
MARSH
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MARSH
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sub-nomenclature
GLoBaL ProPertY
creAtiNg vAlue
With volume
globally, we place total premiums of
over usd1.2 billion into the
international marketplace on behalf
of over 560 clients.
in london alone we access over 40
lloyds syndicates and companies
with whom we negotiate the
optimum terms and conditions for
our clients on a face-to-face basis.
Bowring marsh has the largest
fortune 100 portfolio in the
marketplace, reflecting our
expertise in providing complex,
global solutions.
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North American
property facilities
In addition to our tailored open
market placements for North
American clients, we offer three
facilities and also write deductible
buy downs.
Bowring Marsh provides up to
USD75 million of capacity with a
USD25 million excess attachment
for National Brokerage accounts.
Lancashire Insurance Company
Limited provides this products
For more
information
contact:
Bermuda
Tom Cechini
Property Department Manager
E: [email protected]
T: +1 441 299 8848
Hong Kong
Sandy Ng
Client Manager
E: [email protected]
T: +852 2301 7677
London
Tony Waller
International Property
Placement Leader
E: [email protected]
T: +44 20 7357 3473
New York
Dublin
London
Zrich
Bermuda Madrid
Beijing
Tokyo
Shanghai
Hong Kong
Miami
Tom Davies
North American Property
Placement Leader
E: [email protected]
T: +44 20 7357 1030
Singapore
Dubai
Bowring Marsh Offices
So Paulo
Bowring Marsh
Representatives
Miami
Fabio Magalhaes
Head of Office
E: [email protected]
T: +1 305 341 5067
brazil
David Pea
Senior Property Broker
E: [email protected]
T: +55 113 741 7728
Singapore
With over 260 insurance brokers located across all the major international
insurance hubs, we provide customers with options in the international markets,
driving price and coverage by putting international and domestic insurers into
competition against each other and by differentiating our customers risks,
whether they are strategic insurance buyers, claims-distressed, exposed to natural
catastrophe or buy large limits due to the nature of their operations.
Placing in excess of USD2.2 billion of premium for more than 1,500 customers
annually, Bowring Marsh uses the breadth and depth of its portfolio experience
and industry knowledge to innovate, customize, and broker our clients insurance
contracts with international insurers.
The information contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable and should be understood
to be general risk management and insurance information only. The information is not intended to
be taken as advice with respect to any individual situation and cannot be relied upon as such.
In the United Kingdom, Marsh Ltd. is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority
for insurance mediation activities only.
Copyright 2011 Marsh Ltd. All rights reserved.Ref: BM.PFS.12
Tokyo
Tetsuro Nakazawa
Head of Bowring Marsh Japan
E: [email protected]
T: +81 3 5334 8218
Zrich
Chris McManimon
Senior Property Broker
E: [email protected]
T: +41 44 285 9324
Nathalay Haussener
Property Broker
E: [email protected]
T: +41 44 285 9363
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Global Claims Practice
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Foreword
David Pigot
Chairman, Global Claims Practice
David Batchelor
President, International Division
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Contents
Case Studies
Contacts ........................................................................................................ 12
Marsh 1
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Denial of Access
Issue
Denial of Access
Loss, as insured by this Policy and resulting
from Damage or threat of Damage to any
property in the vicinity of the Premises, or
from any threat to human life, that prevents
or hinders the use of or access to the
Premises, will be deemed to be loss
resulting from Damage to property used by
the Insured at the Premises for the purpose
of the Business.
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Case Study Christchurch Earthquake
February 2011
Lessons Learned
1. Check the policy test with regard to BI being but for
the damage or but for the event.
2. Check the policy for the adequacy of Denial of Access
sub-limits, and/or their aggregation. An extended
period whereby access is denied (as seen in
Christchurch and Thailand) can expose any limitation.
3. It is very helpful if the Denial of Access extension covers
not just denial of access but hindrance as well. Business
can suffer if a location is difficult or highly inconvenient
to get to, just as much as if access was physically
impossible.
There might have been a different outcome if the test was but
for the event as opposed to but for the damage. The main
issue, however, was how the policy should respond to the
situation where both damage to the hotel and damage to the
wider area were causes of the BI loss. A recovery was made for
BI losses under the Denial of Access cover, but this was sublimited (unlike that available under the overall BI cover).
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Case Study Egypt Unrest
January 2011
Lessons Learned
1. Pre-loss, compare exclusionary and inclusionary
Terrorism language, to check that the coverage
dovetails. Also consider what other coverage might be
available.
2. Capture claims data and evidence of the business
decisions made during and subsequent to the unrest.
Close co-operation with insurers is important here, as
all decisions must be justifiable if they impact a
potential claim recovery.
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Case Study Queensland Floods
December 2010 / January 2011
Lessons Learned
1. Policy documents need to be carefully reviewed to
ensure policyholders understanding of the Flood cover
in place, particularly where there are tailored
arrangements.
2. Flood exclusions and any Flood definitions need to be
carefully considered.
3. In the event of a loss, policyholders should not
categorize a loss as Flood before proper consideration
is given to the evidence available (i.e. hydrological and/
or other evidence).
4. Photos and records of the events as they unfold can
assist in determining the cause of the damage, and
whether or not the cause is Flood.
5. In the U.S., it is important to get accurate and current
flood zone determinations to assess the need or
availability of Federal Flood Insurance. For global
policies, carefully look at both limit and deductible
wordings, as some policies may have higher
deductibles for locations within High Hazard Flood
Zones or Foreign Equivalent. Countries may not have
formal flood zone determinations, so there should be
clear understanding of what constitutes a high hazard
flood zone.
These observations are general and not policy or
circumstance specific. It is important to consult with your
advisors before considering action in presenting and
pursuing a claim.
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Case Study Tohoku Earthquake
March 2011
Lessons Learned
1. Consideration should be given to securing indirect CBI
coverage in addition to direct CBI coverage.
2. Diligence should be shown in identifying sufficient CBI
limits.
3. The geographic regions stated in the policy could be
significant. If the policy restricts location to the U.S. for
example, the CBI losses to clients domiciled inside the
U.S. might not be covered for an event occurring
outside of the U.S. (such as the Japan earthquake).
4. With regard to Suppliers Extension coverage,
consideration should be given to including named or
unnamed suppliers; and also whether Tier 1 or Tier 2
suppliers (or beyond) should be included.
5. Immediate and detailed evidence of all losses and their
presumed causation should be documented and
preserved.
With the ever-expanding operational reach of multinational companies, the advancement of a global
marketplace, and supply chain maps that cover the globe,
CBI coverage is taking on a more important place in the
risk transfer process than ever before. CBI coverage can no
longer be a simple add-on to the insurance policy.
Valuation and assessment must be part of the process
when establishing CBI limits and coverage options.
These observations are general and not policy or
circumstance specific. It is recommended that you consult
with your advisors before considering action in presenting
and pursuing a claim.
Marsh 9
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72 Hours Clause
Issue
Deductible
Payout
01-Jan
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
02-Jan
$50,000
$0
$50,000
04-Jan
$500,000
$100,000
$400,000
05-Jan
$200,000
$0
$200,000
Total
$900,000
$200,000
$700,000
Deductible
Payout
01-Jan
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
02-Jan
$50,000
$100,000
$0
04-Jan
$500,000
$100,000
$400,000
05-Jan
$200,000
$100,000
$100,000
Total
$900,000
$400,000
$550,000
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Case Study Christchurch Earthquake
February 2011
Lessons Learned
1. Policies should be reviewed against likely loss scenarios for
potential application of deductibles, limits and sub-limits.
2. Consideration should be given to the definition of loss
or event, and how this might interact with the
provisions of a 72 Hours Clause.
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Contacts
MARSH global claims practice
Chairman, Global claims Practice
Claims Leader EMEA
David Pigot
Phone: +44 20 7357 5738
Mobile: +44 7795 238419
[email protected]
nORTH aMERICA
Property Claims Leader
North America
CAT Claims Controller
Claims Leader
Asia
paul D. mcvey
Bob obrien
Graham purdon
Claims Leader
Latin America & Caribbean
International Property
Claims Leader
Claims Leader
Pacific
jose goggi
Alan Morton
Richard Lance
operations leader
michael annison
Phone: +44 1603 207 651
Mobile: +44 7909 524204
[email protected]
Ken Giambagno
Phone: +1 212 345 1063
Mobile: +1 201 412 4133
[email protected]
Kevin M McCarthy
Christian Knutson
Maricarmen Marquez
John McKenzie
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Marsh 13
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Marsh is one of the Marsh & McLennan Companies, together with Guy Carpenter, Mercer, and Oliver Wyman.
This document and any recommendations, analysis, or advice provided by Marsh (collectively, the Marsh Analysis) are not
intended to be taken as advice regarding any individual situation and should not be relied upon as such. This document
contains proprietary, confidential information of Marsh and may not be shared with any third party, including other
insurance producers, without Marshs prior written consent. Any statements concerning actuarial, tax, accounting,
or legal matters are based solely on our experience as insurance brokers and risk consultants and are not to be
relied upon as actuarial, accounting, tax, or legal advice, for which you should consult your own
professional advisors. Any modeling, analytics, or projections are subject to inherent uncertainty, and
the Marsh Analysis could be materially affected if any underlying assumptions, conditions,
information, or factors are inaccurate or incomplete or should change. The information
contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable, but we make no representation or
warranty as to its accuracy. Except as may be set forth in an agreement between you and
Marsh, Marsh shall have no obligation to update the Marsh Analysis and shall have
no liability to you or any other party with regard to the Marsh Analysis or to any
services provided by a third party to you or Marsh. Marsh makes no
representation or warranty concerning the application of policy
wordings or the financial condition or solvency of insurers or
re-insurers. Marsh makes no assurances regarding the
availability, cost, or terms of insurance coverage.
In the United Kingdom, Marsh Ltd. is authorised and
regulated by the Financial Services Authority for
insurance mediation activities only.
Copyright 2012 Marsh Ltd
All rights reserved
MA12-11408
GRAPHICS NO. 12-0149
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Events such as the London and Madrid terrorist bombings, the Buncefield Explosion and Asian
Tsunami have all shown that disasters, be they man-made or natural in origin, can strike at any
time and at any location. As well as the obviously tragic human consequences of such events,
the impact on businesses can be catastrophic. It is vital to the finances, operations and
reputation of companies affected by such disasters that they recover quickly and fully.
Key to this recovery is very often the insurance claim. Insurers will invariably employ an array
of experts to handle the large and complex claims on their behalf, and the question that a
company facing a major claim needs to consider is who is looking after our best interests.
Receiving timely and expert guidance through the myriad of claims-related issues is often the
difference between a companys successful and unsuccessful recovery. The Forensic Accounting
and Claims Services (FACS) team at Marsh Risk Consulting have an impressive track record of
helping clients to manage their claim submission through to a successful resolution.
Our insurance claim preparation service
It is often an overlooked fact that the company that has suffered
the loss is obliged to prepare and present their claim to its
insurer: it is then for insurers and their representatives to adjust
the claim. A company in this situation needs to be sure that they
have the required expertise on their side to be able to submit a
claim report such that their full entitlement is achieved.
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Often a client will see the prompt settlement of a claim, perhaps without repair or
reinstatement taking place, as the key goal to be achieved. We seek to drive the process
such that the clients specific aims are met. The following gives an indication of just a few
of the issues we can address to the benefit of the client:
Evaluate the most beneficial method of settlement in accordance with the current
business needs and coverage in place
Project manage the requests for information from insurers and direction of the claim
process (programmes, milestones etc)
Carry out cost-benefit analysis to consider viability of accelerating the repair period
Maximise the full potential of the Extra Expenses cover
Model various scenarios using financial data to establish the potential BI losses to date
and going forward
Delivery of supporting information to ensure early release of interim payments.
Benefits
Unless a companys claims process is set up on a sound basis from the outset and, most
importantly, managed effectively throughout, then problems are bound to be
encountered. These can take many forms, from delayed interim/final payment or conflict
over the true entitlement under the policy. The result is damage to cash flow and a
compromised recovery of the business. Clients appointing Marsh Risk Consultings FACS
team remove such difficulties at a time of crisis, and can typically expect to see a greatly
expedited settlement. The client can be assured that someone with a real insight into the
claim process is acting for them and ensuring their best interests are addressed.
As well as the obvious savings in management time, which allows the client to concentrate on
restoration of the business, the cost of involving the FACS team may be reimbursable under
the insurance policy depending on the coverage in place.
The information contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable and should
be understood to be general risk management and insurance information only. The
information is not intended to be taken as advice with respect to any individual
situation and cannot be relied upon as such.
In the United Kingdom, Marsh Ltd. is authorised and regulated by the Financial
Services Authority for insurance mediation activities only.
Copyright 2013 Marsh Ltd. All rights reserved.
GRAPHICS NO. 11-0177
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Sustainability
the changing climate of risk
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ff Foreword............................................................. 1
ff Introduction........................................................ 2
ff Assessing the risks and planning for the future...... 3
ff Predicting change............................................... 5
ff Managing the changing risk................................ 6
ff It never rains, but it pours.................................... 8
ff Whose responsibility?......................................... 9
ff Balancing risk and opportunity............................ 9
ff How Marsh can help.......................................... 11
ff About Marsh...................................................... 13
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foreword
For many, climate change is seen to be an issue for the future. But
the simple fact is, our climate is already changing. Accurate longterm scientific measurements of the Earth and the atmosphere
indicate that there has been a steady rise in global average
temperature, an increased incidence of severe storms and
droughts, and sea levels are slowly rising.
While the scale and scope of the impacts of climatic change on society may be
uncertain, direct impacts are more obvious. These include physical damage to
property, failure of infrastructure and an increased likelihood of interruption in the
supply of essential resources and services. There are also major implications of
changes in the climate with regard to where we live, what we make and how we
make them. Adapting our way of life and our businesses to take account of the
changing climate is not being widely considered, yet a business-as-usual approach
is increasingly untenable.
As always, where there is risk there is opportunity. Now is the time to assess the
risks, not just in terms of what it means to our own existence but also what it means
for others, and to seek out the opportunities to be secured from pursuing a more
sustainable agenda.
We intend this paper to be a catalyst for discussion around the risk issues raised by a
changing climate. But more than that, we hope it acts as a guide to executives on how
they can make their business more sustainable, highlighting the benefits derived from
such actions. There are, of course, risks and costs in adopting a more sustainable
approach. Soon, the risks in choosing to do nothing may be much greater.
David Batchelor
CEO, Marsh, Europe, Middle East and Africa
Spring 2011
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Introduction
The climate is changing and no company is immune from the consequences. The
Global Risks Report 2011, published by the World Economic Forum, lists several
threats created by changes in the climate which may occur within the decade, or
which have the potential to cause global economic impacts of greater than USD10
billion. These risks include more frequent and more severe storms; more
prolonged droughts and a creep in the growth of deserts;
increasing water scarcity and a greater prevalence of inland and
coastal flooding. These categories of risk in turn may lead to
additional disruptive impacts with more people being made
homeless and social infrastructure assets, including critical IT,
power and transport routes, being either damaged or rendered
non-functional.
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2 CBI, Future Proof: Preparing your business for a changing climate, 2009
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Predicting change
Despite recent controversies, scientists appear to agree on
how the climate will be changing over the next couple of
decades and there is improved consensus regarding what
this change is likely to infer for society. To face the
comprehensive challenges created by climate change,
businesses need to understand clearly the potential effects
that changes in the climate could have upon their
businesses. A recent major survey of British businesses
carried out for the UK Government3 found that few
companies had started to prepare for the effects of climate
change, even though most agreed that they were
concerned about the potential impact on their business.
Understanding how exposed a business could be to severe
weather events, drought or flood will be the first step in
assessing what effect climate change is likely to have and the
Confederation of British Industry recommends gathering
evidence on the impacts of severe weather events in the past
as an indicator of how more frequent and more severe storms
or floods could affect business operations in the future. The
problems created by an absence of a coherent national
response to natural disaster were graphically illustrated by the
severe flooding across England in 2007. The physical effects
of experiencing the wettest summer on British record were
compounded by the greatest loss of essential services since
World War II. This was reportedly due to a lack of adequate
emergency response planning, a failure to protect critical
infrastructure such as water pumping stations and electricity
sub-stations against flooding, and confusion around
responsibilities for maintaining an adequate network of storm
water drainage. The resulting economic damage totalled over
GBP3 billion4, with the non-economic losses such as effects on
the environment, quality of life and morale being
immeasurable. It was not considered surprising therefore that
adverse weather events was seen to be the top source of
disruption in a survey of resilience managers by the Business
Continuity Institute (BCI)5 and in the UK, Project Watermark6
was initiated in March 2011 to test the emergency response
plans of government departments, emergency services,
councils and volunteer organisations to severe flooding
events, on the understanding that climate change will
increase the likelihood of flooding in the future; we cant
prevent it but we can prepare for it.
3 http://ww2.defra.gov.uk/news/2010/08/04/uk-businesses-climate-change/
4 http://publications.environment-agency.gov.uk/pdf/SCHO1109BRJA-e-e.pdf
5 Supply Chain Resilience 2010, 2nd Annual Survey 2010
6 http://www.exercisewatermark.co.uk
7 The Equator Principles (EPs) are a voluntary set of standards for determining, assessing and managing social and environmental risk in project financing.
8 Climate Change Scenarios Implications for Strategic Asset Allocation, February 2011 http://www.mercer.com/climatechange
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Managing the
changing risk
Careful review of the threats to business from the changing
climate, and the associated potential impacts and costs, will
enable companies to assess their vulnerability and the
effectiveness and longevity of their risk management
procedures. Such an analysis will enable companies to compare
the scale and likelihood of potential threats from climate change
alongside the other corporate risks that they face.
Specifics on the potential impacts of climate change
should be debated in the boardroom, so that directors can
be aware of where climate change-related risks will appear
on the list of the companys biggest risks. The
development of an enterprise risk management approach,
where companies consider the particular loss events and
circumstances which pose the greatest risk to business
objectives, will allow the business to assess the risks from
climate change in terms of the likelihood of potential
impact events and to consider the appropriate responses
through continuous monitoring of risks and development
of appropriate risk management processes. Only with the
enterprise-wide risk information can the board decide
what the corporate appetite is for these types of risk and
progress to agree on how to adapt the business to be
resilient to a more volatile climate, as well as steps needed
to reduce emissions and mitigate the risks.
With the issue of climate change rising up the political
agenda, environmental performance has come into sharp
focus from a regulatory standpoint. For example, in May 2010
the Peoples Bank of China and the China Banking and
Regulatory Commission jointly issued a statement instructing
commercial banks to stop lending to businesses with oldfashioned production facilities that consume large amounts of
energy and emit large amounts of greenhouse gas.
However, no matter how well a company is able to reduce its
own risks from climate change, there is a wider question mark
over the resilience of the business to climate change with
regards to its supply chain, transport and critical infrastructure.
Across Europe the infrastructure on which we rely to transport
people, raw materials and goods, to power factories, offices and
homes and to supply water is aged and will come under
increasing strain from bouts of severe and extreme weather.
Ignoring the issue of climate change will have a
significant economic cost. As the Stern Review noted, the
actions required to cope with a 2C global average
temperature increase could incur a cost of around 1% of
global gross domestic product (GDP) each year by 2050
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which Stern considered significant but manageable. But
the longer we delay tackling the issue of climate change,
the higher the costs will be. This applies to business; by
investing now to adapt to climate change and to reduce
emissions, companies will be effectively investing to avoid
potentially higher costs of doing so in the future.
Global greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, with both
developed and developing economies continuing to
consume enormous quantities of fossil fuels as their appetite
for energy and transport grow. If action is not taken to curb
the levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, the Earths
atmosphere may be set to warm by much more than 2C.
Should greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow at the
current rate, average global temperatures could rise by
more than 2C within a 50-year horizon. Putting this into
context, the Earths temperature has risen by less than 1C
since 1900. A generally warmer climate will impact the
environment, water availability patterns, food supplies and
therefore human health. A 2C global average temperature
rise may result in as many as 30% of the worlds indigenous
species becoming extinct.
The extent of efforts made to mitigate emissions of
greenhouse gases over the next 10 to 20 years will have a
significant effect on our ability to limit the scale of climate
change in the second half of this century and beyond. The
less mitigation we do now, the more difficult it will be to
adapt to a more volatile climate in the future.
Improving energy efficiency will not only reduce the
impact of the business on the environment but could also
improve a companys bottom line. Yet fewer than one in
two companies have taken steps to do so, according to an
Economist Intelligence Unit report9. Even fewer around
one in three have done anything to lower the carbon
footprint of their existing products and services. With the
cost of fuel, power, water and waste disposal already high
and set to increase further, those companies that tightly
control their use of resources and energy are set to
benefit, with lower costs likely to make for leaner and
more profitable businesses, whilst also allowing them to
be better positioned to take advantage of the associated
opportunities that could arise.
Companies are under growing pressure to change their
processes or cease them altogether and to invest in
more energy efficient, clean technology and renewable
energy sources to cut carbon emissions.
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It never
rains, but
it pours
Businesses should also anticipate needing to do much more in the future to monitor and limit their
use of water as it becomes scarcer in specific geographical locations. The growing demand for water,
from both businesses and communities, means that by 2030 the requirements for water may outstrip
readily available supply by as much as 40%. According to the World Economic Forum we are now on
the verge of water bankruptcy in many places with no way of paying the debt back and the
consequences for regional economic and political stability will be serious.10 This issue will present
increasing problems for water-intensive businesses such as those in the power, mining, food and
beverage and semi-conductor industries. A sign of the growing concern is that the Carbon Disclosure
Project (CDP) has requested information from over 300 of the worlds largest companies on their
water consumption, including details of the actions they intend to take to manage their water usage
and the associated risks to their businesses from a major disruption in their water supply.
Businesses water use is likely to become an increasingly sensitive issue. Governments might even
step in to limit the amount of water that can be used by companies, just as they have moved to cap
greenhouse gas emissions, and in Saudi Arabia, for example, water is now more expensive than oil.
The water issue is two-fold: water consumption, and the further contamination of depleted water
resources. Companies will likely risk a backlash from regulators, investors,
customers and the general public if their processes are found to
have been overusing or polluting precious
water resources.
10 World Economic Forum Water Initiative: Managing Our Future Water Needs for Agriculture, Industry, Human Health and the Environment, 2008
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Whose
responsibility?
As evidence of a changing climate materialises, so the rules
of the game are starting to change. Companies that fail to
appreciate the implications of this are likely to suffer serious
consequences. For example, investors already want to
know whether the businesses in which they invest have
sustainable business models for an uncertain future, whilst
customers want to be reassured of the ethical conduct of
those who make the goods they purchase. Policymakers
and regulators are more determined than ever to ensure
that companies act within the letter of increasingly
restrictive environmental laws. Over half of UK people
believe businesses have a large influence in limiting climate
change, with concern for the environment the top issue
that they thought companies should be paying attention to
in the near future, according to a major survey conducted
by Ipsos Mori11. The vast majority of people said they also
thought companies should make it easy for them to buy
environmentally friendly products.
Many climate litigation cases are being heard in courts
across the US. These include Comer v Murphy Oil, in which
victims of Hurricane Katrina seek compensation from over
100 named oil and coal companies for contributing to
global warming, which they argue intensified the storm,
devastating their homes and property. The inhabitants of
Kivalina in Alaska are suing a number of oil, energy and coal
producers, with the villagers claiming that these companies
are responsible for Kivalina having to be abandoned due to
the rising sea levels. In Connecticut v American Electric
Power Company, the attorney generals of eight states and
the City of New York have filed a lawsuit against six
electricity generating companies claiming their greenhouse
gas emissions contribute to global warming, which
constitutes a public nuisance.
The development of more sophisticated climate change
monitoring and modelling tools will, campaigners believe,
make it possible to attribute extreme weather events to a
trend associated with climate change and therefore to
those companies deemed to be most responsible for
causing the average annual temperatures to rise. Over
2,500 organisations from around the world now provide the
Carbon Disclosure Project with details of the estimated size
of their carbon footprints and the efforts that they are
making in order to reduce it. More than 500 institutional
investors with combined assets of over USD64 trillion under
11 http://www.ipsos-mori.com/DownloadPublication/1174_sri_tipping_point_or_turning_point_climate_change.pdf, 2007
12 The Forty Per Cent Symposium, BRE Group, 2011
Marsh 9
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Marsh 11
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About Marsh
Marsh, the worlds leading insurance broker and risk adviser, teams with its clients to define, design, and deliver innovative
industry-specific solutions that help them protect their future and thrive. It has over 24,000 colleagues who collaborate to
provide advice and transactional capabilities to clients in over 100 countries. Marsh is a member of Marsh & McLennan
Companies, a global professional services firm with 51,000 employees worldwide and annual revenue exceeding USD10
billion, which is also the parent company of Guy Carpenter, the risk and reinsurance specialist; Mercer, the provider of HR
and related financial advice and services; and Oliver Wyman, the management consultancy.
Marsh 13
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Marsh is a member of ClimateWise, the global insurance industrys leadership group to drive action on climate change risk.
ClimateWise members believe that putting climate change risk at the heart of the business strategy, with company board approval and
engagement, will deliver tangible benefits for the industry and beyond. Through collaboration, annual public reporting, and by
working openly with policy-makers, scientific communities and civil society, ClimateWise members work towards a common goal: to
reduce the risks faced by their businesses, customers and wider society caused by the effects of climate change.
ClimateWise was launched by The Prince of Wales in 2007, and is facilitated by the University of Cambridge Programme for
Sustainability Leadership.
Marsh is a founding partner of base (Business and a Sustainable Environment), an organisation with a focus on
public/private sector collaboration in respect of making business sustainable and ensuring sustainability
best practice is effectively disseminated throughout the community.
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EMEA Property Practice
Property Sustainability
Green Buildings
Sustainability is a growing
consideration for many property
owners and property managers. In
relation to property, the aspects of
sustainability that require careful
consideration include adaptation to the
changing climate, promoting energy
efficiency, reducing direct greenhouse
gas emissions, and minimising the
impacts on the environment.
Property Sustainability
Clauses
Set out below is a brief explanation of the property
sustainability clauses and a proposed approach and
wording. We deal with the key clauses as follows:
Green Building
The green building clause allows reinstatement of
property after a major loss to be completed in an
environmentally friendly manner, with any additional
cost being paid by insurers. In relation to the property
damage policy, an extract from an example green
building clause would be as follows:
Energy Performance and Sustainable Buildings Extension
This insurance extends to include the reasonable additional cost of
reinstatement incurred with the consent of the insurers to make the
following improvements during the reinstatement, repair or
replacement of the Property Insured following Damage:
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Resilient Repairs
Marsh has been working with clients and insurers for the
introduction of these clauses in policies. Feedback has
been positive and we have been successful in including
the clauses in some cases. However, there are various
versions available2, they are not yet commonplace and
there is limited information available in relation to the true
costs and actual claims. We have, therefore, developed a
service to provide more information upfront in the process
to help both clients in their risk management decisions,
and insurers in their assessment of risk. Our environmental
assessment is explained further below.
Environmental Assessment
Through our Property Risk Consultants, we currently
provide advice to our clients on the prevention of incidents
and resilience improvements. In relation to green building
clauses, we understand that insurers would be reluctant to
include such clauses without knowing the consequences.
We will therefore be offering an environmental assessment
as an additional part of our property surveys.
The wording examples provided above have not been fully accepted by insurers
3 Property Sustainability
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BRE
BRE was originally the Building Research Station and later the Building Research
Establishment. But since then the work of BRE has, for many years, extended beyond
just buildings. Because it undertakes testing and consultancy as well as just research
and because it is no longer a Government Establishment (it became a private company
in 1997), the group is now known as BRE.
BRE Global is an independent, third-party approvals organisation, offering certification of
products, services and systems to an international market. Its testing and approvals are
carried out by recognised experts in world class facilities. BRE Global also offers cuttingedge research and consultancy services.
We are pleased to be working with Marsh and the insurance community in relation to both the
environmental assessments and the inclusion of such clauses in insurance policies. As individuals or
as businesses, we all have responsibility for our environment, and this is an example of businesses
working together to achieve common sustainability goals. We have performed extensive research into
environmentally friendly design, use of materials and efficiency. We are very encouraged to see that
this information is being used to everyones advantage, as being green is also great for business.
Martin Townsend - Director of BREEAM, BRE Global
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Benefits to Clients
Information on existing buildings and environmental improvement
recommendations
Environmental rating from BREEAM
Improved risk transfer position in terms of information for insurers and the
inclusion of property sustainability clauses in policies
In the event of a loss of a building, the ability to rebuild in an
environmentally friendly (and more robust) way at little or no extra cost to
your organisation
contact
For more information,
please contact your local
Marsh representative or:
Caroline Woolley
EMEA Property Practice Leader
[email protected]
Tel: +44 (0)20 7357 2777
Further Reading
Ron DeBruijn
EMEA Property Risk Consulting Leader
[email protected]
Tel: +3 1 10 406-0394
Cliff Warman
EMEA Environmental Practice Leader
[email protected]
Tel: +44 (0)20 7357 2200
Frank Engelhardt
EMEA Property Practice Deputy
Marsh
[email protected]
Tel: +45 459 595 28
PROPERTY SUSTAINABILITY
SuStainability
managing your riSk
SuStainability
the changing climate of riSk
Julie Speed
Business Development Coordinator,
EMEA Risk Practices
Marsh
[email protected]
Tel: +44 207 357 2608
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CONTACT
Caroline Woolley
EMEA Property Practice Leader
Marsh Ltd.
Tower Place East, London EC3R 5BU
Direct: +44 (0) 20 7357 2777
Mobile: +44 (0) 7800 682710
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7929 2705
[email protected]
Ron de Bruijn
EMEA Property Practice Leader
Marsh Risk Consulting
Tel: +31 10 4060394
Mobile: +31 622521255
[email protected]
Julie Speed
Business Development Coordinator EMEA Risk Practices
Marsh Ltd.
Tower Place East, London EC3R 5BU
Direct: +44 (0) 20 7357 2608
Mobile: +44 (0) 7900 568833
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7929 2705
[email protected]