Game Theory Cooperation Compliance
Game Theory Cooperation Compliance
Game Theory Cooperation Compliance
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ESSAY
NASH EQUILIBRIUM AND INTERNATIONAL LAW
Jens David Ohlin
Game theory has been a mainstay in the international relations literature for several decades, but its appearance in the international law literature is of a far more recent vintage. Recent accounts have harnessed game
theorys alleged lessons in service of a new brand of realism about international law. These skeptical accounts conclude that international law loses
its normative force because states that follow international law merely are
participants in a Prisoners Dilemma seeking to achieve self-interested outcomes. Such claims are not just vastly exaggerated; they represent a
profound misunderstanding about the significance of game theory. Properly
conceived, the best way to understand international law is as a Nash Equilibriuma focal point that states gravitate toward as they make rational
decisions regarding strategy in light of strategies selected by other states.
In domains where international law has the greatest purchase, the preferred strategy is reciprocal compliance with international norms. This strategy is consistent with the normativity of law and morality, both of which are
characterized by self-interested actors who accept reciprocal constraints on action to generate Nash Equilibria and, ultimately, a stable social contract.
These agentsconstrained maximizers, as the philosopher David Gauthier
calls themaccept the constraints of a normative system in order to achieve
cooperative benefits. This Essay concludes by explaining that it is also rational for states to comply with these constraints: agents evaluate competing
plans and strategies, select the best course of action, and then stick to their
decision, rather than obsessively reevaluating their chosen strategy at each
moment in time. A state that defects from international law when the opportunity arises may, in the long run, reduce its overall payoff as compared to a
state that selects and adheres to a strategy of constrained maximization.
INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
I. THE PRISONERS DILEMMA AND NASH EQUILIBRIUM . . . . . . .
A. Bilateral Agreements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
B. Multilateral Agreements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
C. Law and Self-Interest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
870
876
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878
880
For helpful comments and suggestions, I thank Jeff Rachlinski, Claire Finkelstein,
Eyal Benvenisti, Matt Adler, Shai Lavi, Sean Murphy, Edward Swaine, and participants at
the following two conferences: The Foundations of International Law, University of
Pennsylvania Law School, April 2010, and The Future of Legal Theory, Cornell Law
SchoolTel Aviv University Buchmann Faculty of Law, June 2010.
869
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INTRODUCTION
For at least several decades, game theory has played a central role
in the international relations literature. Only recently has it emerged
as a powerful force in the international law literature as well. Political
scientists learned as long ago as the 1960swith the work of Thomas
Schellingthat game theory offered a sophisticated matrix for modeling state relations.1 The econometrics of game theory came with the
promise of predicting behavior: social scientists could not only explain why some states had acted the way they did, but might also predict future behavior under certain conditions.2 The Prisoners
Dilemma provided an answer for problems regarding coordination
and cooperation that had concerned the international relations literature for years.3
The central puzzle of the Prisoners Dilemma literature was the
uncertain and uneasy relationship between a states selfish behavior in
international relations and a states commitment to international legal
norms when those norms proved inconvenient or downright inconsistent with a states self-interest. One school of thought concluded that
states generally act in their self-interest and seek to ignore the prescriptive power of international legal norms when the norms are sufficiently inconvenient.4 A second school of thought concluded that
states are generally more receptive to international norms for a variety
of reasons. For many scholars, receptivity to international legal norms
1
See THOMAS C. SCHELLING, THE STRATEGY OF CONFLICT 320 (2d ed. 1980) (discussing the retarded science of international strategy).
2
Cf. JOEL P. TRACHTMAN, THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURE OF INTERNATIONAL LAW 45
(2008) (discussing how the social science methodologies of modeling and empirical testing can generate and validate predictions and hypotheses).
3
See SCHELLING, supra note 1, at 7 (noting that [w]hat is impressive is . . . how vague
the concepts still are[ ] and how inelegant the current theory of deterrence is); id. at
21314 (explaining the Prisoners Dilemma); id. at 22526 (using the Prisoners Dilemma
to explain coordination and cooperation regarding warning systems).
4
See, e.g., Kenneth W. Abbott, Modern International Relations Theory: A Prospectus for
International Lawyers, 14 YALE J. INTL L. 335, 33738 (1989); John K. Setear, An Iterative
Perspective on Treaties: A Synthesis of International Relations Theory and International Law, 37
HARV. INTL L.J. 139 (1996).
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counts conclude that international law loses its normative force because states that follow international law are simply participants in a
Prisoners Dilemma seeking to achieve self-interested outcomes.9 In
short, these arguments can be distilled to the following elements. Effective multilateral agreements are rarely achieved, either in treaty or
customary form.10 Most states consent to international legal norms
through a process of bilateral agreements with specific partners who
in turn have their own set of overlapping bilateral agreements.11
Compliance with these agreements, whether via treaty or customary
law, is usually based on considerations specific to a particular partner
rather than general considerations regarding the content of the legal
norm.12 In other words, states comply with international norms in
specific interactions with a particular state when there are good reasons to believe that the other state will reciprocate such compliance.13
This explains why a state might adhere to a particular legal norm with
one partner but not with another. According to this school of
thought, the vast majority of the content of international law fits this
paradigm as opposed to one that posits general legal obligations to
the entire world community.14 Reducing international law to a series
of overlapping bilateral arrangements facilitates the use of the Prisoners Dilemma as a convincing model, though of course it is not necessary to limit the analysis to bilateral interactions. It is, after all,
possible to have a multiple-player Prisoners Dilemma, though cooper-
AMONG NATIONS: THE STRUGGLE FOR POWER AND PEACE (2d ed. 1954) (updating a first
edition that discussed the obsolescence of the sovereign nation state and warned against
the illusory hopes for the newly established United Nations).
9
GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8, at 184 (concluding that [w]hen states cooperate in their self-interest, they naturally use the moralistic language of obligation rather
than the strategic language of interest. But saying that the former is evidence of moral
motivation is like saying that when states talk of friendship or brotherhood they use these
terms, which are meant to reflect aspirations for closer relations, in a literal sense). Goldsmith and Posner thereby presume that the language of morality and the language of interest are mutually exclusive categoriesa proposition they never explicitly defend. See also
id. at 100 (distinguishing the view that states comply with international law because it is the
right thing to do from the view that states comply when it is in their self-interest).
10
Id. at 3637 (arguing that, in treaty contexts, states may achieve shallow multistate
cooperation and that, in the context of customary international law, genuine multistate
cooperation is unlikely to emerge); see also id. at 87 (asserting skepticism that genuine
multinational collective action problems can be solved by treaty).
11
Id. at 87 (describing how cooperation in pairs creates a multilateral regime).
12
Id. at 88 (describing the strong pattern in international law whereby threats of
retaliation are nearly always the responsibility of the victims of violations and concluding
that the enforcement of multilateral treaty regimes is usually bilateral).
13
See id. at 8788.
14
Id. at 66 (arguing that theorists inflate context-specific and temporally-limited behavioral patterns, coincidences of interest, and situations of coercion into exogenous rules
of customary law).
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ested behavior, states have no independent obligation to follow international law when it conflicts with their self-interest.21 International
law is based entirely on the Prisoners Dilemma structure of self-interested behavior, thus it has no independent normative force. If states
wish to comply with international law, they may do so when it suits
them. They may also structure international law obligations to their
own benefit, but ought not to be concerned with how these norms
affect humanity as a whole or the global community.22 Indeed, the
claim is not just that states are not required to follow international law
when it conflicts with their self-interest, but in fact that they should
not. A government that follows international law when such law conflicts with the self-interest of the state is breaching its fiduciary duty to
its citizens and placing the welfare of foreigners above the welfare of
its citizens.23 Partiality is not just permitted, but required.24 This Essay takes aim at the validity of the third claim and its normative payoff.
Since the third claim is based on a conceptual error, the supposed
normative payoff is illusory.
Predictably, the new realism about international law sparked a serious counterattack from both the professoriate and the international
bar,25 though such realism already had its adherents in some corners
of the U.S. Department of State (in previous administrations).26 Most
law school professors writing about international law are deeply invested in the claim that international law has normative force and that
states ought to follow it.27 Consequently, scholars have mounted numerous defenses of international law, cataloguing the effectiveness of
human rights treaties and identifying the complex compliance and
enforcement mechanisms that currently exist under international
law.28 Although most of these arguments are undoubtedly correct,
they miss something fundamental and foundational about the new re21
Id. at 185 (arguing that a moral obligation to comply with international law is
illusory).
22
Id. at 20506.
23
Id. at 20915.
24
See also Jack Goldsmith, Liberal Democracy and Cosmopolitan Duty, 55 STAN. L. REV.
1667, 167582 (2003) (discussing the limitations on ascribing strong cosmopolitan sentiments and duties to liberal democratic governments).
25
For a particularly trenchant example, see Robert Hockett, The Limits of Their World,
90 MINN. L. REV. 1720 (2006) (reviewing GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8).
26
See, e.g., Thomas M. Franck, The Power of Legitimacy and the Legitimacy of Power: International Law in an Age of Power Disequilibrium, 100 AM. J. INTL L. 88, 90 (2006) (Not surprisingly, however, the claim [of laws fecklessness] resonates strongly in the halls of
American governance.).
27
For a classic example, see MARY ELLEN OCONNELL, THE POWER AND PURPOSE OF
INTERNATIONAL LAW: INSIGHTS FROM THE THEORY AND PRACTICE OF ENFORCEMENT (2008).
28
See, e.g., ANDREW T. GUZMAN, HOW INTERNATIONAL LAW WORKS: A RATIONAL CHOICE
THEORY 13 (2008) (providing an explanation of international laws effectiveness from a
rational choice perspective).
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alism: the use of game theory as a mechanism for making claims regarding international laws normativitya claim that was largely absent
from the international relations literature on game theory.29 The use
of game theory as an underlying methodology for understanding international law presents unique issues regarding the degree to which a
descriptive methodology can yield normative conclusions regarding
international law.
I argue here that the new realism about international law suffers
from a profound misunderstanding about the significance of game
theory. In short, the new realism misuses the methodology by concluding that self-interested behavior and normativity are mutually exclusive.30 Indeed, that is the conclusion that the new realists draw
from the Prisoners Dilemma. This conclusion is false.
In order to defend this claim, we must engage in some preliminaries. First, Part I of this Essay offers a more nuanced understanding of
the Prisoners Dilemma in international law and explains how the international legal order promotes the creation of Nash Equilibria
among its participants. Part II then explains the compatibility between rational self-interest and the normativity of international law,
invoking the concept of constrained maximization. By invoking the
rationality of plans, Part II also explains why it would be rational for a
29
Although Guzman uses game theory models expertly to demonstrate the effectiveness of international law, id., he does not directly dwell on the issue that I have raised here,
i.e., whether the assumption of self-interest implicit in the Prisoners Dilemma undermines
international laws essential normativity. Guzman has pursued his analysis in a number of
important essays. See, e.g., Andrew T. Guzman, A Compliance-Based Theory of International
Law, 90 CALIF. L. REV. 1823 (2002) [hereinafter Guzman, A Compliance-Based Theory]
(presenting a theory of international law in which compliance occurs in a model of rational, self-interested states); Andrew T. Guzman, Reputation and International Law, 34 GA. J.
INTL & COMP. L. 379 (2006) [hereinafter Guzman, Reputation and International Law]
(describing expected loss of reputation as one mechanism of ensuring compliance); Andrew T. Guzman, Saving Customary International Law, 27 MICH. J. INTL L. 115 (2005) [hereinafter Guzman, Saving Customary International Law] (mapping out a theory of customary
international law based on a model of rational choice); see also Jeffrey L. Dunoff & Joel P.
Trachtman, Economic Analysis of International Law, 24 YALE J. INTL L. 1 (1999) (exploring
the actual and potential application of law and economics to international law).
30
See, e.g., GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8, at 100. Other commentators have
noted the lack of support for this assumption. See, e.g., George Norman & Joel P.
Trachtman, The Customary International Law Game, 99 AM. J. INTL L. 541, 54142 (2005).
The argument presented by Goldsmith and Posner relies on the proposition that customary international law is based on opinio juris and that acting in self-interest precludes acting
out of a sense of legal obligation. See GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8, at 1415. The
answer to this skeptical challenge lies in properly understanding opinio juris as the intent
of states to propose or accept a rule of law that will serve as the focal point of behavior,
implicate an important set of default rules applicable to law but not to other types of social
order, and bring into play an important set of linkages among legal rules. Norman &
Trachtman, supra, at 542; see also Jose E. Alvarez, A BIT on Custom, 42 N.Y.U. J. INTL L. &
POL. 17, 43 (2009) (That states have or may have had economic reasons to conclude a
treaty does not exclude other normative effects produced by these treaties entry into
force, subsequent practice under them, or efforts to enforce them.).
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state to follow international law even when it might defect with impunity. Finally, Part III considers several objections, including the naturalistic fallacy, the unequal bargaining power of states, and the alleged
inability of nation-states to bear moral obligations.
I
THE PRISONERS DILEMMA
AND
NASH EQUILIBRIUM
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is indeed in his or her best interest, then the players fall out of Nash
Equilibrium.35
A. Bilateral Agreements
In domains where international law has the greatest purchase,
the strategy that results in the equilibrium is reciprocal compliance
with international norms.36 Consider a bilateral treaty negotiation regarding extraditions between two countries: State A and State B sign a
treaty promising mutual extradition between the countries and establishing a legal framework governing these extraditions. Suppose that
State A has custody of a suspect and must decide whether to comply
with its obligations under the treaty regime. State A realizes that failure to comply with the regime will not only risk retaliation from State
B in future extradition matters, but will also have numerous collateral
effectsincluding possible retaliation in other bilateral contexts with
State B as well as a loss of reputation in treaty negotiations with other
states, who may now be less willing to sign agreements with State A.37
Consequently, State A decides that compliance with the legal norm is
in its self-interest and that it has no reason to unilaterally change its
strategy. The cost of shifting strategies is just too high. Consequently,
the states in this bilateral treaty regime are in Nash Equilibrium with
each other because neither party has reason to unilaterally change its
strategy. In this case, their compliance with an international treaty
norm can be understood through game theorys lens of self-interested
behavior.38
Of course, one might point out that it may be beneficial for a
state to defy the treaty commitment when it proves inconvenient, thus
effectively transforming the state into a free rider that receives the
benefits of the legal regulation but ignores the costs when they prove
inconvenient.39 This is certainly true, but the whole point of the structure of international law is that this outcome (free ridership) is more
difficult to achieve ceteris paribus. Because states are linked together
through mutual ongoing interactions that are explicitly legal in na35
Cf. Avery Katz, The Strategic Structure of Offer and Acceptance: Game Theory and the Law
of Contract Formation, 89 MICH. L. REV. 215 (1990) (discussing game theory in the context of
contract breach).
36
See Norman & Trachtman, supra note 30, at 542, 571.
37
See, e.g., Guzman, A Compliance-Based Theory, supra note 29 (presenting a theory of
international law in which compliance occurs in a model of rational, self-interested states);
Setear, supra note 5, at 1 (examining the international legal rules that govern responses to
treaty breaches from the perspective of rationalist theories of international relations).
38
However, pace Goldsmith and Posner, the parties self-interested compliance does
not preclude their acting out of opinio juris. See Norman & Trachtman, supra note 30, at
54142; see also Alvarez, supra note 30, at 44.
39
See GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8, at 87 (arguing that the free-rider problem is
worse when an agreement involves large numbers of states).
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ture, a state cannot benefit by changing its strategy away from compliance. If it does so, it incurs costs associated with noncompliance that
overwhelm any putative benefits from its defection against the norm.
The whole point of international law is to create a structure whereby
the cost of shifting strategy away from compliance becomes higher
than it would be without legal regulation in that particular area. As a
result, each state in the Nash Equilibrium decides to comply with the
legal norm in question.
It is important to remember that the equilibrium need not be the
most optimal or efficient legal regulation possible.40 It might be the
case that a different legal regime creates cooperation that produces
greater benefits for every state.41 But this kind of Pareto optimality
may be difficult to achieve. For example, it might be more efficient
for the states to set up a bilateral international court to decide all
cases of extradition between the two countries, though each state gravitates towards a Nash Equilibrium that is far below the Pareto optimal
outcome for these two players. There is nothing in international law
that promises that a stable set of legal regulations between competitors will be the most efficient regulations possible.42 Indeed, over
time one hopes that the legal regime might evolve closer to Pareto
optimality as initial cooperation yields greater cooperation. But in
some cases, the particular toolbox of compliance mechanisms in international law might limit the amount of optimality one can achieve in
this context.43 Although international law yields stable Nash Equilibria, it will never yield the kind of Pareto optimality that one finds in a
domestic legal system.
B. Multilateral Agreements
The same analysis would apply in a multilateral context. Consider, for example, the most important area of international legal regulation: the use of force.44 This is also the most contentious area of
international legal regulation, one that the new realists often use as a
poster child for their contention that legal norms will give way to selfinterest when the cost of compliance becomes inconvenient.45 How40
See BASU, supra note 34, at 114 (discussing problem of multiple Nash Equilibria).
See HERBERT GINTIS, GAME THEORY EVOLVING: A PROBLEM-CENTERED INTRODUCTION
TO MODELING STRATEGIC INTERACTION 109 (2d ed. 2009).
42
See, e.g., Andrew T. Guzman, Public Choice and International Regulatory Competition, 90
GEO. L.J. 971, 975 (2002) (discussing how choice of law and issues of public choice affect
the substantive law adopted by states).
43
See id. at 984 (noting that there are problems with international cooperation that
make it inferior to well-functioning domestic systems).
44
See MICHAEL J. GLENNON, LIMITS OF LAW, PREROGATIVES OF POWER: INTERVENTIONISM
AFTER KOSOVO 3 (2001) (It is widely agreed that the most important rules are rules governing use of force . . . .).
45
See id.
41
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ever, the Nash Equilibrium here is clear. The norm in question is the
legal prohibition on the use of force, in both the UN Charter and
customary law, unless such use of force is authorized by the Security
Councilthe central clearing house for decisions regarding international peace and security.46 Some scholars trace the norm back to the
KelloggBriand Pact, before which aggressive war was simply recognized as inevitable (and therefore not presumptively illegal).47 This is
too simplistic, since it was at the very least implicit in the notion of
Westphalian sovereignty that states were free not just from outside interference in the widest sense, but also from outside attack in the narrowest sense.48 In the current scheme, the prohibition against the use
of force is now coupled with the Security Councils authority to authorize use of force to restore international peace and security.49
Unfortunately, Security Council authorizations for the use of
force are rare, and, since the threat of a veto is always present, states
cannot predict with any reasonable certainly when the Security Council will authorize such use of force.50 Thus, State A complies with the
norm and eschews the use of force. This strategy of compliance is
made with the hope that the other players in the game will also favor
compliance. However, no state can assume that competitors will
adopt the same strategy; the competitors might choose violation as
their strategy and in so doing reserve the right to use force at their
discretion. Why would the second state choose this strategy? Perhaps
because the costs associated with noncompliance are relatively mild.
Although they might be sued before the International Court of Justice
(ICJ) and lose international standing (e.g., reputation), these costs
pale in comparison to foregoing the use of force when your competitors refuse to do the same. This is why the international legal community has not navigated toward a Nash Equilibrium that grants the
Security Council the exclusive authority to authorize military force.
The stakes are too high and the legal prohibitions insufficient to incentivize reciprocal compliance. Simply put, each participant has an
incentive to change its strategy away from compliance regardless of
the strategy chosen by its competitors.
46
See generally id. at 1719 (describing the UN Charter and the Security Councils role
in authorizing the use of force).
47
See YORAM DINSTEIN, WAR, AGGRESSION AND SELF-DEFENCE 83 (4th ed. 2005)
(describing the pact as a watershed moment in the development of jus ad bellum).
48
See MARY ELLEN OCONNELL, INTERNATIONAL LAW AND THE USE OF FORCE: CASES AND
MATERIALS 11417 (2005).
49
GLENNON, supra note 44, at 1719.
50
Cf. Jules Lobel & Michael Ratner, Bypassing the Security Council: Ambiguous Authorizations to Use Force, Cease-Fires and the Iraqi Inspection Regime, 93 AM. J. INTL L. 124, 154 (1999)
(discussing Councils impotence and failure to act in this area).
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It is precisely for this reason that, at its earliest incarnation, international law gravitated toward a norm regarding the use of force that
allowed unilateral exceptions to the prohibition against the use of
force in cases of self-defense. Nineteenth-century treatises regarding
public international law, in discussing the use of force, made clear
that military force was legal in cases of self-defense or self-preservation.51 This exception to the norm prohibiting the use of force is as
old as the prohibition itself. Although states were unwilling to adopt a
strategy of compliance with a blanket prohibition on military force,
states have been willing to adopt a strategy of compliance with a more
nuanced legal norm that always allows military force in self-defense.52
A state can comply with this norm because even if a competitor in the
game changes strategy, defects from the norm, and engages in aggressive warfare, the first state can still use force in self-defense to protect
itself, consistent with the legal norm. In other words, the cost of compliance with the norm does not require that a state risk its national
security.53
Consequently, states have a reason to stick with the strategy of
compliance even given the uncertainty regarding the strategy of their
competitors in the game. That is why a Nash Equilibrium has developed around a prohibition regarding the use of force unless authorized by the Security Council or in self-defense. Each state benefits
from the legal norma stable world order without aggressive force
and constant warfareand therefore complies with the legal norm
because compliance with the norm is also consistent with purely defensive force when competitors in the game change their strategy.54
So, no state has reason to unilaterally change its strategy in the game.
C. Law and Self-Interest
It is clearly correct, then, that international fidelity to the legal
prohibition regarding the use of force can be described, using game
51
See, e.g., JOHN WESTLAKE, CHAPTERS ON THE PRINCIPLES OF INTERNATIONAL LAW 115
(1894); HENRY WHEATON, ELEMENTS OF INTERNATIONAL LAW 90 (8th ed. 1866); THEODORE
D. WOOLSEY, INTRODUCTION TO THE STUDY OF INTERNATIONAL LAW 184 (5th ed.1879).
52
See OCONNELL, supra note 48, at 240 (discussing the fact that the United Nations
Charter prohibits force generally while leaving a limited exception for self-defense).
53
But see Sean D. Murphy, The Doctrine of Preemptive Self-Defense, 50 VILL. L. REV. 699,
702 (2005) (noting some uncertainty about whether preemptive self-defense is permissible under international law, or whether it is permissible but only under certain
conditions).
54
It is certainly true that not all states comply with the prohibition regarding the use
of force. However, Henkin must surely be right that almost all nations observe almost all
principles of international law and almost all of their obligations almost all of the time.
See HENKIN, supra note 7, at 47 (emphasis omitted). If there is any doubt regarding the
veracity of the maxim, one need only ask what the world would look like today if the
prohibition regarding the use of force was not followed most of the time.
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the entire world to see.97 If a domestic constituency presses the government to ignore international law out of self-interest, this plea will
be heard not just by its own government but by the world. The ability
to act insincerely is comparatively more difficult in the case of nationstates than it is with individuals. To the extent that some states, such
as North Korea, conduct deliberations in secret, these states appear to
be the least likely to insincerely claim adherence to international legal
norms. Such rogue nations are often the least likely to publicly tout
their adherence to, and participation in, international legal and regulatory regimes.
C. Compliance and the Rationality of Plans
However, this still leaves a theoretical tension between the demands of rationality (occasional defection) and the demands of morality that counsels adherence to principle even in the face of rational
opportunism. For Goldsmith and Posner, there is no moral basis to
tell a state to follow international law when rational self-interest counsels in favor of defection.98 And if indeed there arises a situation
where the gains of defection outweigh the loss of cooperative opportunities at any given moment, rational choice would appear to demand
defection. And since our account of morality is closely linked with
rational choice, there would appear to be no basis to tell a nation to
forego self-interest in favor of principle.
Gauthiers initial answer to this conundrum was to frame his account in terms of dispositions to cooperatedispositions that were
themselves rational (and moral) insofar as one found oneself in a
community with a sufficient number of agents who were similarly disposed.99 In later work, Gauthier pushed beyond the concept of dispositions to cooperate in favor of an account of agency that linked
intentions with plans and strategies that operate over time.100 In
other words, although rational choice theoryincluding Posners versionconsiders an agents all-things-considered judgment at each cardinal point in time, rational human agency operates in a far more
subtle way. Were rational agents to recalculate rational choice at
every cardinal time point, they would be exhausted and weighed down
97
Cf. id. at 17879 (discussing how leaders will address their speech to foreign leaders
but intend their talk for domestic audiences).
98
Id. at 185.
99
See GAUTHIER, supra note 60, at 18284.
100
See, e.g., David Gauthier, Commitment and Choice: An Essay on the Rationality of Plans,
in ETHICS, RATIONALITY, AND ECONOMIC BEHAVIOUR 217, 21719 (Francesco Farina et al.
eds., 1996) [hereinafter Gauthier, Commitment and Choice] (arguing that plans serve as a
rational guide for subsequent actions); see also David Gauthier, Intention and Deliberation, in
MODELING RATIONALITY, MORALITY, AND EVOLUTION 41, 53 (Peter A. Danielson ed., 1998)
(discussing why an agent would rationally deliberate about plans).
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sistently pursuing rational choice at each time point may end up being self-defeating in the long run.110 Plans provide stability for agents
to pursue long-term interests and should only be abandoned in favor
of new plans, not in favor of momentary and isolated desires.111 An
agent that is too easily lured from a stable plan by opportunistic defection is a myopic chooser.112 Another way of stating the point is that the
rationality of compliance with the reciprocal constraintfollowing
the rules and resisting the temptation to defectis conditional on the
constraints place within the larger, rationally justified plan.113
The structure of this argument is well known to moral theorists
who debate the relative merits of act utilitarianism and rule utilitarianism.114 Act utilitarians evaluate the consequences of each individual
act and identify the moral thing to do based on this calculation.115 By
contrast, rule utilitarians evaluate general moral rules based on their
guidelines and then identify certain rules as amoral regardless of their
consequences at any individual decisional time point.116 One reason
for supporting rule utilitarianism is that, in the end, it may produce
superior consequences globally, as compliance is better achieved in a
world with sticky moral norms rather than constantly shifting moral
evaluations. Ironically, constant reevaluation of the consequences at
each moment in time may end up being self-defeating.
None of this is new in the moral or political theory literature.
Within the recent debate in the international law literature, the basic
assumptions regarding rational choice among the new realists have
gone relatively unchallenged. Some have questioned the wisdom of
Simply put, commitment to a plan makes planning maximally efficacious in co-ordinating
ones own actions . . . with those of others, so that one may best realize ones objectives.
Id.
110
See id. at 24243.
111
See Michael E. Bratman, Following Through with Ones Plans: Reply to David Gauthier, in
MODELING RATIONALITY, MORALITY, AND EVOLUTION, supra note 100, at 55 (arguing that
rational deliberation and plan stability are linked by the concept of planning). Along with
Gauthier, Bratman believes that deliberation about future actions is justified by appeal to
its expected long-run impacts. See id. at 59. Bratman concludes that reconsideration of a
plan is rationally justified if the agent believes that a specific alternative will better achieve
the very same long-standing, stable and coherent desires and values. Id. at 61; see also
Michael E. Bratman, Planning and Temptation, in MIND AND MORALS: ESSAYS ON COGNITIVE
SCIENCE AND ETHICS 293, 294 (Larry May et al. eds., 1996) (suggesting that coordination is
impossible without stable intentions and plans).
112
For a discussion of myopic choosers, see Edward F. McClennen, Rationality and
Rules, in MODELING RATIONALITY, MORALITY, AND EVOLUTION, supra note 100, at 16. A formal model was first offered by R.H. Strotz in Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility
Maximization, 23 REV. ECON. STUD. 165, 173 (1955).
113
Claire Finkelstein developed a version of this view in her essay, Acting on an Intention, in REASONS AND INTENTIONS 67, 83 (Bruno Verbeek ed., 2008).
114
See, e.g., J.J.C. Smart, Extreme and Restricted Utilitarianism, in ETHICAL THEORY 286,
28688 (James Rachels ed., 1998).
115
Id. at 28687.
116
Id. at 287.
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OBJECTIONS
TO THE
III
MORAL OBLIGATION
OF
STATES
At this point, several other objections to my account must be considered. The most worrisome objection, addressed in Part III.A, is
that Gauthiers theory of morality, and our extrapolation of that theory to the domain of international law, has fallen victim to the naturalistic fallacy. A second objection outlined in Part III.B concerns the
unequal bargaining strength of statesone alleged reason for
stronger states to refrain from a strategy of constrained maximization.
The third objection, addressed in Part III.C, is that states are collective
entities that are unable to bear a moral obligation and that only individuals are directly subject to the demands of morality. If this view is
correct, it would be nonsensical to say that a state has a moral duty to
follow international law.
A. Rationality: Normative, Not Descriptive
If the entire project is designed to derive morality from reason,
then it would indeed appear as if we have attempted to jump over the
isought gap. In his later work, Rawls famously distanced himself
from any attempt to derive morality from reason,119 though in his earliest work he described his social contract theory as one piece of a gen117
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but that is not evidence that one is not committed to the value in
question. No one achieves perfect rationality just as no one achieves
perfect morality. But this is trivial; the point is that if individuals are
committed to rationality, then they ought to be committed to a strategy of constrained maximizing in the form of accepting reciprocal
moral constraints. And, as it happens, all individuals are committed
to rationality as a norm because this value commitment is constitutive
of rational agency itself. Committing to rationality is part of what it
means to be a rational agent.125
Can the same thing be said about states? Are they committed to
rationality as a value? The question is best pursued from the opposite
direction: how could we deny that states are committed to rationality
as a norm? States have interests and pursue collective projects on the
international stage in order to maximize those interests.126 Those
projects involve rationality over time and necessarily require basic
principles of rationality such as the transitive ordering of preferences
and fidelity to the principle of noncontradiction.127 The only relevant
difference between states and individuals is the lack of phenomenological unity among the former.128 While each individual typically enjoys a unified phenomenological point of view, states are composed of
many individuals, each of whom represents their own unified phenomenological point of view.129 But the lack of phenomenological
unity of the state does not prevent it from exercising rational agency.
Although the phenomenological unity of the individual certainly facilitates rational integration (viz., self-knowledge and direct epistemic access to ones own thoughts), none of this implies that there cannot
exist external means of displaying a shared commitment to rationality.
This is precisely what a state achieves through government, a system of
representation and deliberation, and diplomatic representation on
the world stage.130 To deny the rational agency of states would be to
deny the foundations of international relations.
125
See ISAAC LEVI, THE COVENANT OF REASON: RATIONALITY AND THE COMMITMENTS OF
THOUGHT 119 (1997).
126
This view is arguably implicit in JOHN RAWLS, THE LAW OF PEOPLES: WITH THE IDEA
OF PUBLIC REASON REVISITED 32 (2001). See also HANS KELSEN, PRINCIPLES OF INTERNATIONAL LAW 154 (1952) (discussing the relationship of a state to the international
community).
127
See also Philip Pettit, Collective Persons and Powers, 8 LEGAL THEORY 443 (2002) (discussing the organization of certain collectives).
128
For more on the irrelevancy of this distinction for purposes of the commitment to
rationality, see CAROL ROVANE, THE BOUNDS OF AGENCY: AN ESSAY IN REVISIONARY METAPHYSICS 132 (1998).
129
Cf. Carol Rovane, What Is an Agent?, 140 SYNTHESE 181 (2004) (discussing group
agents).
130
See ISAAC LEVI, HARD CHOICES: DECISION MAKING UNDER UNRESOLVED CONFLICT 151
(1986) ([E]ven students of market economies attribute beliefs, desires, goals, values and
choices to families, firms and, of course, government agencies . . . .).
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B. Bargaining Power
We must now redeem a promissory note and account for the fact
that states bargaining for international legal norms do not stand in a
position of equal bargaining strength.131 Up until this point, we have
assumed that participants in the Prisoners Dilemma are bare self-interested agents, without further consideration of their particular
strengths and weaknesses that might affect their ability or willingness
to defect.132 Indeed, the new realists make much of the unequal bargaining power of states and conclude that stronger states will ignore
international law simply because they can.133 Given that the unequal
bargaining power of states is undeniable (even though it stands in tension with the formal equality of all states under international law), it
would seem that our account is impoverished at best and irrelevant at
worst.134
This anxiety is misplaced. The unequal bargaining power of
states is relevant under our model because it affects the costs of noncompliance and the benefits associated with cooperation. As to the
former, stronger states will face less retaliation for their noncompliance because weaker states might feel that they need to sign agreements with the stronger state even if previous defections alert the
weaker state to the risk that the strong state will again defect. The
unequal bargaining power might bring the weaker state to the table in
spite of this prediction. Second, the benefits associated with cooperation are less significant for stronger states. Their stronger status might
open up avenues of cooperation simply because they are stronger and
because other states therefore need their cooperationcooperation
that is entirely independent of their strategy of constrained
maximization.135
Three points are in order here. First, the difference in bargaining power will be most salient when strong and weak states bargain
against each other, but will be irrelevant when strong states bargain
against each other and weak states do likewise. Second, the difference
in bargaining power does not prevent strong and weak states from
signing agreements; it simply increases the likelihood that the
stronger state might be tempted to defect. In cases where the
stronger state is strong enough to eschew constrained maximization
entirely in favor a strategy of straightforward maximization, the state
131
See generally Franck, supra note 26 (discussing international law in an age of disparities of power).
132
See supra notes 2122 and accompanying text.
133
See, e.g., GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8, at 116 (discussing how weaker states
can be coerced into compliance by more powerful states).
134
For a discussion of this problem, see BEITZ, supra note 82, at 4144, 4748.
135
For a general discussion of how underlying geopolitical realities can preclude establishing effective rules of international law, see GLENNON, supra note 44.
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largely empirical and ought to be studied more systematically by scholars with training in empirical legal studies. However, the goal of such
research would not be to undermine the normativity of international
law, but rather to determine with empirical rigor those areas where
international law is least effective and where systems of enforcement
ought to be strengthened.138
C. The Moral Obligation of Groups
This Essay now concludes by briefly rejecting another alleged reason why states need not follow international law: the supposed inability of collective entities to bear moral or legal responsibilities.
According to the new realists, corporate bodies (including states) are
incapable of bearing such obligations.139 Although corporations enjoy legal rights and bear legal responsibilities, they do so because their
constituent partsofficers, directors, employees, and shareholders
all benefit from, and consent to, corporate obligations.140 Shareholders accept the risk of paying for corporate obligations (including unforeseen liabilities) because they also accept the promise of future
dividends based on their equity stake.141 Although states do not
demonstrate the same kind of internal organization, they nonetheless
do organize themselves so that they can act on the world stage, form
alliances and agreements with other states, and enjoy all of the cooperative benefits of constrained maximizers. Although the citizen does
not receive dividends like a shareholder, the citizen certainly enjoys
the cooperative benefits of living in a state that engages in international relations: everything from economic opportunities fueled by
trade to the peace dividends that flow from the prohibition on the
international use of force. Citizens do not consent in the same way as
do shareholders who purchase stock, but their acceptance of the benefits of citizenship certainly functions as tacit consent.142
138
See, e.g., Brett Frischmann, A Dynamic Institutional Theory of International Law, 51
BUFF. L. REV. 679, 681 (2003) (Despite the significant advancements made in the study of
international cooperation, there remains a gap between the types of institutions that traditional game theory predicts should exist and the types of institutions found in reality.);
Ryan Goodman & Derek Jinks, Measuring the Effects of Human Rights Treaties, 14 EUR. J. INTL
L. 171 (2003) (analyzing a study that aims to quantify the effect of human rights treaty
ratification on human rights violations); Michael P. Scharf, International Law in Crisis: A
Qualitative Empirical Contribution to the Compliance Debate, 31 CARDOZO L. REV. 45 (2009)
(using qualitiative empirical data to assess the influence of international law on the formation of U.S. foreign policy in times of crisis).
139
See GOLDSMITH & POSNER, supra note 8, at 186.
140
Id. at 18788.
141
Id. at 188 (citing CHRISTOPHER KUTZ, COMPLICITY: ETHICS AND LAW FOR A COLLECTIVE AGE 253 (2000)).
142
See 2 JOHN LOCKE, TWO TREATISES OF GOVERNMENT 11922, at 34749 (Peter
Laslett ed., rev. ed. 1988) (1690).
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The new realists also claim that states cannot be morally bound
by international law because they are incapable of consenting to their
obligations, a fundamental precondition of international treaties and
customary law.143 Under this view, corporations have the power to
make binding commitments only because doing so increases the autonomy of its individual members: thus, the corporate power to consent to obligations only has instrumental value.144 When the
corporate commitment is too burdensome to the individuals, they demand the corporation change the commitment, whereas citizens of a
state allegedly have no such authority. Once a state accepts a legal
obligation, it remains operative for future generations even after the
original citizens are dead.145 Although international legal obligations
are surely dynamic in nature as states abrogate, amend, supplement,
and revoke treaties constantly, the persistent objector doctrine and jus
cogens may limit a states opportunities for revising customary international law.146
Furthermore, the new realists reject the possibility that the autonomy of states has intrinsic value.147 The warrant for this conclusion is
that states, unlike individuals, have no life plans, and therefore are not
valid subjects of the principles of autonomy that are required for an
agent to realize a life plan.148 This conclusion bears scrutiny.149 If a
state lacks the agency necessary to realize a life plan, it is unclear how
a state has enough agency to exercise supposedly self-interested behavior on the world stage. Implicit in the notion of self-interested
behavior, consistent with the Prisoners Dilemma, is the notion of a
rational agent with enough foresight to have long-term interests
(through subsequent iterations of the game). If the possibility of a
states life plan is rejected, then so is the entire applicability of the
game theory methodology to international law and international relations; one would effectively have to throw out the baby with the
bathwater. A states normative agency inevitably entails the construc143
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tion of long-term interests, which renders the state capable of consenting to (and bearing) legal obligations.
One might respond that there is a difference between a states
capacity for agency and whether this autonomy is intrinsically valuable. On this view, states are capable of exercising collective agency,
though this agency only has instrumental value insofar as it facilitates
or maximizes the autonomy of individual citizens whose life plans may
require organization into collective units (states) that can operate on
the world stage. Something along these lines might be implicit in
Kymlickas account of individual human flourishing within a community.150 That is, the life plan of the state has no independent intrinsic
value.
I reject this view of the collective entity as having no independent
moral value, though I cannot defend fully the claim in this limited
forum.151 Nations, both in the cultural abstract and in their particular
organization as nation-states, contribute to the rich tapestry of human
existence.152 However, merely assuming arguendo that states have no
independent autonomy does not by itself require the conclusion that
states are incapable of bearing moral obligations. There is a missing
proposition in the argument, namely that moral obligations at the collective level evaporate if they fail to maximize the autonomy of
individuals.
This need not be the case. One might coherently argue that
once properly formed from the material of rational individuals, states
become distinct entities whose interrelations are governed by an autonomous sphere of legal relations that are independent of the domestic laws governing their citizens internally. Just as one might call a
corporation a legal or metaphysical fiction (though I do not subscribe
to this view),153 one might just as well dismiss a state with the same
epithet. But the fiction might be sufficiently robust that its own collective agency generates corresponding moral duties even if, at the end
of the day, its moral significance originally emerged from its constituent parts. A state without citizens would not have any value; however,
once a state is composed of individuals and begins to exercise collective rationality in its engagement with other states, it becomes capable
of bearing moral obligations. Indeed, I have tried to demonstrate in
this Essay that a states collective rationality (in the form of con150
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154
Cf. JACK GOLDSMITH, THE TERROR PRESIDENCY: LAW AND JUDGMENT INSIDE THE BUSH
ADMINISTRATION (2007) (discussing the authors experiences as head of the Office of Legal
Counsel of the U.S. Department of Justice from 2003 to 2004).
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