Cancer in Butte Montana
Cancer in Butte Montana
Cancer in Butte Montana
Coming to the Surface: The Environment, Health and Culture in Butte Montana
Prepared by:
Stacie Barry, PhD
Figure 2-1. Mine Waste in Residential Areas (Butte-Silver Bow Public Archives Photo
Collection 2010)
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Mining activity continued in the Butte and Anaconda area throughout the 20th Century,
particularly during World Wars I and II, but dwindled at the close of the 20th Century following
the closure of Anaconda Copper Mining Company operations in 1982 (U.S. EPA 2006a).
Currently, Montana Resources runs a large-scale operation adjacent to the old Anaconda
Company workings. Figure 2-2 shows historic and contemporary mining activity in Butte and
illustrates its importance in the landscape. The Anaconda Company controlled the bulk of these
operations and conglomerated the majority of mines, mills, and smelters in the district in the
early 1900s.
Figure 2-2. Historic and Contemporary Mining Activity in the Butte Area (Map by Author)
2.1 Mining Culture
Mining cultures often share several characteristics (Pattinson1999, Critcher 1991, Bulmer
1978), namely:
Physical and/or cultural isolation
Pride in reliance, toughness, and craftsmanship
Strong sense of community and kin networks
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Buttes mining culture is explored much more deeply in the dissertation, but for the
purposes of this abstract, it is worth highlighting at least one aspect of mining culture because it
potentially has an impact on health issues. Mining cultures value resilience, toughness, strength,
and craftsmanship. The National Summit of Mining Communities logo of Too Tough To Die,
shown in Figure 2-3, and the Yorkshire, England motto, Only the Strong Survive illustrate this
value. Mining is tough, dangerous work that requires skilled labor and miners, and mining
communities value all of these qualities. Figure 2-3 also illustrates several common themes in
the mining landscape. In a dissenting discourse to the American suburban ideal, residential
houses are adjacent to mine waste piles and mining operations, symbolized by the head frame.
This industrial and residential mix is ringed with trees and the area is surrounded by a forest.
This gives the landscape a nontoxic appearance and bucolic setting.
Figure 2-3 National Summit of Mining Communities Logo (National Summit of Mining
Communities 2007)
The dangerous nature of mining work led to a deep sense of work camaraderie and
cooperation. It also often led to a sense of hard work and hard play. During the early years of
the camp, the Butte community styled itself as a wide open town (Brinig 1993, Murphy 1997,
National Park Service 2006). The dangerous nature of underground mining attracted workers
with a high tolerance for uncertainty, physical danger, and uprootedness, men for whom the
prospect of disabling injury or crushing indigence was always present, instilling in them an
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almost religious devotion to the pleasures of the moment(Dobb 1996). Gambling, drinking,
fighting, and prostitution flourished, owing largely to the male-dominated population and a large
working class. In later years, prohibition, a greater number of women in the community, and a
rising middle class did not alter this aspect of the cultural identity (Murphy 1997). Murphy notes
the excessive use of alcohol in Butte and describes early barrooms as theatres of excessive
machismo (Murphy 1997). This machismo often manifested in fighting and translated into
domestic violence away from work and socialization. This is perhaps correlated to the violent
nature of mining. A study of community needs in Butte-Silver Bow describes the city as having
the highest rate of domestic violence in the state and attributes this rate to the mining culture
(Butte-Silver Bow Health Department 2011a). It is worth noting that lead contamination has
also been linked to violent behavior, and lead is one of the contaminants of concern in Butte
(Denno 1990, Needleman 2002, Dietrich 2001, Wright 2008, Stretesky 2001).
2.2 Environmental Impact/Overview
Environmental contamination covers the Butte landscape. Mining operations left
millions of cubic yards of mine waste, including tailings, slag, smelter fall-out, and waste-rock
throughout the city, often in residential and recreational areas. There is no cultural denial of the
source or scale of the contamination. Undisturbed Rocky Mountain forest lands surround the
residential community and provide a natural baseline.
The largest physical reminder of the scale of Butte mining activities is the Berkeley Pit
and its ancillary tailings ponds, mine waste dumps, and leach pads. The Berkeley Pit, shown in
Figure 2-4, is the site of an open-pit copper mine that operated from 1955 to 1982. The
Anaconda Mining Company dewatered the 675-acre, 1.2x1010 cubic-foot pit and associated
underground mines during mining operations, but after mine closure, the company stopped
dewatering operations, and groundwater from underground mine workings flooded the pit (U.S.
EPA 2006a). This groundwater is connected to bedrock and alluvial aquifers and is known to
affect the groundwater flow within the alluvial aquifer (U.S. EPA 2006a).
Figure 2-4 provides an illustration of the landscape surrounding the Berkeley Pit. For
scale, the Berkeley Pit measures approximately 1.2 miles east to west and 1 mile north to south
(Pitwatch 2005). The tailings pond located directly north of the Pit, is known as the Yankee
Doodle Tailings Pond, is approximately 700 feet high and is the largest dam in Montana (State of
Montana, Department of Military Affairs 2010). The EPA designated 100 acres of the area
between the Berkeley Pit and the Yankee Doodle Tailings Pond as historic mining landscape,
and this area will not be reclaimed under Superfund clean-up efforts (BRA 2007a). The area
east of the Berkeley Pit is the location of the Montana Resources contemporary open-pit mining
operations. The pit north of the area labeled terraces in the photograph is known as the
Continental Pit, and it is quickly reaching the size and scope of the Berkeley Pit.
In 1995, 342 snow geese landed on the acidic waters of the Berkeley Pit and died from
burns to their internal organs and oral cavities. In a Harpers Magazine article regarding Butte,
Edwin Dobb stated: In each bird autopsied the oral cavity, trachea, and esophagus, as well as
digestive organs, like the gizzard and intestines, were lined with burns and festering sores. To
even so much as sip from the Pit, it seems, is to risk being eaten alive, from the inside out.
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(Dobb 1996) While community members believed that the birds died as a result of being
poisoned by the pit, ARCO spokespeople claimed that the birds died as a result of eating wheat
fungus (Adams 1995). Subsequent autopsies found that the community members were right
(Curtis 2004).
The main natural water body in the Butte valley is known as Silver Bow Creek. This
creek bisects the landscape and marks the division between uptown and downtown Butte. This
creek is one of the headwaters of the Clark Fork River, which eventually joins the Columbia
River on its way to the Pacific Ocean. Portions of Silver Bow Creek are now referred to as the
Metro Storm Drain. This drain is a man-made water conveyance used to transport storm water,
mine water, and sewage. Historically, the drain was used by the Anaconda Company to convey
wastewater from the Berkeley Pit. Silver Bow Creek currently begins at the confluence of the
Metro Storm Drain and Blacktail Creek and becomes a headwater of the Clark Fork River (U.S.
EPA 2006a). Currently, a group of community members are petitioning the State of Montana to
change the name of the current Metro Storm Drain to the original Silver Bow Creek (Silver Bow
Creek Headwaters Coalition v. State of Montana 2012).
Figure 2-4. Aerial View of Berkeley Pit Area in Butte in 2006 (NASA 2006)
Figure 2-5 illustrates the extent of contamination in Butte.
The Record of Decision for the Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit of the Butte Superfund
site (U.S. EPA 2006a) lists the following metals in elevated quantities in Butte soil, air, water,
and/or house dust: aluminum, arsenic, cadmium, copper, iron, lead, mercury, silver, zinc. As part
of the Superfund activities in the region, many soil, sediment, and water samples have been
collected in the Butte and Anaconda area during the past two decades. In particular, the database
submitted as part of the Remedial Investigation report for the BPSOU contains concentrations of
arsenic, cadmium, copper, lead, and zinc measured in approximately 2,700 soil samples collected
in the Butte area. Concentrations as high as 11,900 ppm arsenic; 56,100 ppm cadmium; 217,000
ppm copper; 67,100 lead; and 62,800 ppm zinc were observed (Butte GIS Department 2006).
Overall, areas of maximum environmental impact coincide with the historical mining, milling,
and smelting activities, but some of the samples collected outside of the BPSOU also had
elevated levels of arsenic, copper, lead, and zinc.
It is important to note that there is a second Superfund Site in Butte, the Montana Pole
Plant. This site operated from 1964 to 1984 as a wood-pole treatment plant that employed
pentachlorophenol and other wood preservatives in southwest Butte (MDEQ 2006). The site
contains several polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), chlorophenols,
dioxin/diobenzofurans, and metals (MDEQ 2006). Chemicals at the site include:
2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran
(TCDF)
2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin
(TCDD)
2,4,6-trichlorophenol
2,4-dichlorophenol
2,4-dinitrophenol
2,4-dinitrotoluene
2-chlorophenol
4-chloro-3-methylphenol
Acenaphthene
Anthracene
Arsenic
Benzo(b)fluoranthene
Benzo(ghi)perylene
Benzo(k)fluoranthene
Benzo(e)fluoranthene
Benzo[a]anthracene
Benzo[a]pyrene
Chromium (hexavalent)
Chrysene
Copper
Dibenzo(a,h)anthracene
Dioxins/dibenzofurans
Fluoranthene
Fluorene
Indeno(1,2,3-cd)pyrene
Lead, inorganic
Manganese
Naphthalene
PAH
Pentachlorophenol
Phenanthrene
Pyrene
Zinc
eliminated some exposure pathways in many areas, mining-related contaminants are still present
at concentrations that exceed acceptable risk levels. The document also reports that an
ecological risk assessment has not been performed because the site is in an urban setting (U.S.
EPA 2004). It is worth noting that Butte is in a rural setting in Montana, with numerous
ecological receptors. It is classified as a rural community by the U.S. Census Bureau because it
has a population less than 50,000 (U.S. Census Bureau 1995). Figure 2-6 illustrates the rural
nature of the Butte community.
Figure 2-6. View of Butte from Beef Trail Area, Looking North (Photo by Author)
The preliminary remediation goal of 250 milligrams per kilogram (mg/kg) for residential
arsenic represents a 1 in 10,000 cancer risk. This is significant because government agencies
such as the U.S. EPA and U.S. Food and Drug Administration commonly use 1 in 1,000,000 as
the acceptable risk level or de minimis risk level. Additionally, arsenic action levels in Butte for
commercial/industrial areas and open space areas used for recreational purposes are 500 mg/kg
and 1,000 mg/kg, respectively (U.S. EPA 2004). In a study regarding soil arsenic levels in
Records of Decision at Superfund sites, the average residential exposure ranges from 25.3 mg/kg
to 84.4 mg/kg and the average industrial exposure ranges from 62.5 mg/kg to 272.2 mg/kg,
depending on the target risk level (Davis 2001). The study notes that the demonstration of low
solubility and bioavailability of mine waste in the Anaconda area influenced the regulatory
decision to increase the residential and industrial standards (Davis 2001).
Risk assessments regarding lead were the basis of the current remediation goal of 1,200
mg/kg (ppm) lead in Butte soils. The EPA typically recommends a lead screening level of 800
ppm in soils for adults. The EPA considers lead concentrations over 1200 ppm as a Tier 1
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response level. Lead levels ranging from 400 to 1,200 ppm are considered Tier 2 response levels
(U.S. EPA 2003).
The lead risk assessments used for the Butte Superfund site studied only acute exposures
of 15 days, not the chronic exposure equivalent to Butte residential exposure (U.S. EPA 1993).
The lead remediation goal is based on Uptake Biokinetic (UBK) models that predict blood lead
in children aged 0-6. The preliminary remediation goal study was not based on Butte samples,
but was instead based on interpretations of studies in East Helena, Montana and Midvale, Utah
(U.S. EPA 1993). No actual data from Butte tap water, dust, or air samples were used in these
studies and urban air quality default values were used, even though Butte is a rural community
(U.S. EPA 1993). Additionally, pathways such as exposure from dermal contact, fetal uptake
and newborn uptake from the mother, and ingestion of food from gardens were ignored (U.S.
EPA 1993). The model also assumes that lead paint is the source of lead exposure, not lead in
mine waste (U.S. EPA 1993).
A subsequent bioavailability study in young swine tested lead absorption into organs over
a 15 day period (Casteel1998). While this study did use actual mine waste from Butte, it did not
use residential soils or attic dust. The chief problems with this study were as follows:
Risk assessments evaluating the potential for adverse health effects from arsenic
exposure did not consider dermal pathways or exposure from sediment, surface water, or
groundwater (U.S. EPA 1997a). Bioavailability studies of arsenic in Butte mine wastes were the
basis for the current arsenic action levels. These studies used young swine as an animal model
for oral absorption of arsenic from soils. Casteels study emphasizes that it was meant to be used
as a preliminary estimate, not to set the final action levels and states When reliable data are
available for the bioavailability of arsenic in soil, dust, or other soil-like waste material at the
site, this information can be used to improve the accuracy of exposure and risk calculations at
that site (Casteel 1997). This study exposed 10 groups of 4-5 swine to arsenic-bearing soil for
15 days and then measured the arsenic in urine. The study used smelter slag and Clark Fork
River tailings, not soils from the Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit. The study had fundamental
trouble with the mixing of drinking water and urine samples and a mass balance analysis of
arsenic was able to show only 23-36% recovery. The data for relative bioavailability had
widespread variability, and this limits the reliability of the data (Casteel 1997). A subsequent
bioavailability study by the same researcher performed a similar test for 12 days using composite
soil samples from the Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit. Similarly, drinking water was mixed
with the swine urine samples (Casteel 2003). This study was used to reduce the relative
bioavailability of arsenic in Butte soils to 0.17-0.22 instead of the 0.8 value typically used by the
EPA.
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However, the arsenic was considered bioavailable by the Anaconda Company, who
packaged large quantities of arsenic produced at the Washoe Smelter and sold it as an insecticide
(MacMillan 2000). In 1923, for example, the value of Anacondas arsenic trioxide approached
the value of copper (MacMillan 2000). Figure 2-7 shows the arsenic warehouse in the middle
right portion of the map of the reduction works. The arsenic was obviously bioavailable if it
functioned as an insecticide. Chapter 8 of the dissertation includes a detailed explanation of
arsenic toxicity and associated health effects.
Figure 2-7. Sanborn Map Showing Arsenic Plant at Anaconda Companys Washoe
Smelter (Sanborn 1929)
Additionally, the Montana Pole Plant Superfund Site, located in southwest Butte,
contains several chemicals of concern, including polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs),
chlorophenols, dioxin/diobenzofurans, and metals (MDEQ 2006). Like the metals in the
BPSOU, these chemicals also have additive, synergistic, and antagonistic reactions. The cleanup
levels at the Montana Pole site are based on a 1 in 1,000,000 cancer risk level for recreational
land use at the site for each contaminant of concern for the most susceptible exposure pathway.
The selected remedy states that the area must be prohibited from residential use in the future
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because recreational and industrial cleanup levels are not protective of human health on a
residential basis (U.S. EPA 1993).
3.0 Previous Health Studies
A review of previous health studies helps to understand health issues faced by the Butte
community. These health studies focus on the time period of this study, 1950 forward.
Together, the studies detail elevated rates for several diseases, particularly cancer, and
demonstrate a need for a comprehensive study of disease rates in the city over time. These
studies are summarized in chronological order as follows.
3.1 Mortality from Cardiovascular and Non-Cardiovascular Diseases for U.S. Cities; 19491950, 1959-1961, 1969-1971 with Selected Environmental Descriptions.
This report, authored by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Epidemiology
Branch, contains data for Butte showing total mortality counts along with more detailed tables
containing specification of cause, including cardio-vascular-renal, heart, non-cardio-vascularrenal, and cancer for the time periods 1949-1961 and 1969-1971. In an inventory of cities
ranked by cancer mortality rates in 1950, Butte is listed as having the eighth highest mortality
rate from cancer in the country. In this same list for the year 1960, Butte was ranked fifteenth
(National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 1971).
3.2 U.S. Cancer Mortality Rates and Trends, 1950-1979
Dr. Wilson B. Riggan compiled a study of cancer mortality rates and trends for the time
period 1950 to 1970. This resource contains three volumes that detail total cancer rates as well
as cancer types, which are further characterized by race and gender on a county level. The study
also provides cancer mortality rates for 1960-1969 and 1970-1979 as wells as percent change for
each type of cancer for the 1960s versus 1950s, 1970s versus 1960s; 1970s versus 1950s; and
1970s rates. The report also highlights any cancer mortality rates that are significantly more
than expected. The cancer mortality rates with this designation for Silver Bow County are
detailed below, separated by time period (Riggan, National Cancer Institute, 1983). Silver Bow
County cancer deaths that occurred at significantly higher rates than expected are as follows:
1950-1959
all cancers in white males
all cancers in white females
cancer of the large intestine in white females
liver and gallbladder cancer in white males
cancer of the trachea, bronchus, and lung in white males
cancer of the trachea, bronchus, and lung in nonwhite females
connective and soft tissue cancer in white females
leukemia in nonwhite males
secondary site and previously unlisted cancers in white males
secondary site and previously unlisted cancers in white females
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1960-1969
liver and gallbladder cancer in white males
cancer of the trachea, bronchus, and lung in white males
1970-1979
all cancers combined in white females
salivary cancer in white females
rectal cancer in white males
liver and gallbladder cancer in white females
pancreatic cancer in white females
cancer of the nose, nasal cavities, middle ear, and accessory sinuses in white
females
cancer of the trachea, bronchus, and lung in white females
connective and soft tissue cancer in nonwhite males
bladder cancer in nonwhite females
kidney cancer in nonwhite males
Hodgkins Disease in white females
multiple myeloma in nonwhite males
This study shows a clear negative health issue in Butte. The cancer rates are significantly
higher than expected in all cancer, internal organ cancers, and in many other sites. The elevated
rates are consistent over time, indicating a chronic cause. It is also seen in both males and
females, indicating that the source does not stem from exposure to work in the mine, which was
almost exclusively done by men.
3.3 Mutagen Screening in an Isolated High Lung Cancer Area of Montana, June 1979
The Montana Department of Health and Environmental Science conducted a mutagen
screening study in Anaconda and Butte in 1979. The study attempted to determine whether the
presence of mutagenic substances in the urine of school children could be correlated with air
pollution in the study areas. The study employed the Ames test to determine mutagenicty. The
study was prompted by high lung cancer death rates in Deer Lodge and Silver Bow Counties
(Montana Department of Health and Environmental Sciences 1979). The introduction refers to
studies performed by the Montana Department of Health and Environmental Sciences and the
National Cancer Institute that show lung cancers in Silver Bow and Deer Lodge counties at twice
the national rate. This study was conducted at the Monroe school in Butte and the Lincoln
school in Anaconda in May and October 1978.
Of the 47 children sampled in Butte in May, seven had significantly high levels of
mutagens. None of the Anaconda children had significantly high levels of mutagens. Butte
children with the highest mutagen levels lived near Front Street. A second study in Butte was
conducted at the Emerson school in October. The Monroe students had higher levels than the
Emerson children at this time, and the four Emerson children who had significantly high
mutagen levels lived relatively close to Front Street. The authors theorize that the Front Street
area is close to the railroad tracks and the tracks could be a source of contamination.
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3.7 Cumulative Exposure to Arsenic and its Relationship to Respiratory Cancer among
Copper Smelter Employees, 1976.
This study is a continuation of the epidemiology study of workers employed at the
Anaconda smelter (Lee-Feldstein 1983). This study estimated amounts of arsenic trioxide
exposure. The estimations were based on industrial hygiene reports for various work areas and
the average concentrations in the smelter. Respiratory cancer mortality rates were then analyzed
by time of first employment and maximum lifetime arsenic trioxide exposure. Arsenic trioxide
exposure was estimated with arithmetic means of measured concentrations.
For the cohort employed prior to 1925, respiratory cancer mortality rates increased
linearly with increasing cumulative exposure group, ranging from two to nine times expected
(Lee-Feldstein 1986). For the cohort first employed during the 1925 to 1947 time period,
respiratory cancer mortality rates also increased linearly with increasing cumulative exposure.
3.8 Respiratory Cancer in a Cohort of Copper Smelter Workers: Results from More Than
50 Years of Follow-up, 2000.
In a continuation of the Anaconda smelter cohort, this study investigated white male
workers employed prior to 1957 for greater than 12 months. The mortality statistics for this
study are for the January 1, 1938, through December 31, 1989, time period. At the time of the
article, 62% of the cohort (8,014 men) was deceased, with 446 deaths attributed to respiratory
cancer. The study determined that there were significantly increased standardized mortality
ratios (SMRs) for all causes (SMR = 1.14), all cancers (SMR = 1.13), respiratory cancer (SMR
= 1.55), diseases of the nervous system and sense organs (SMR = 1.31), nonmalignant
respiratory diseases (SMR = 1.56), emphysema (SMR = 1.73), ill-defined conditions (SMR =
2.26), and external causes (SMR = 1.35). While the study concluded that respiratory cancer
was the only cause of death correlated to inhaled arsenic trioxide exposure, it also determined
that there was a significant, linear increase in the excess relative risk of respiratory cancer with
increasing exposure to inhaled airborne arsenic. The estimate of the excess relative risk per
mg/m3-year was 0.21/(mg/m3-year) (95% confidence interval: 0.10, 0.46) (Lubin et. al. 2000).
3.9 An Ecologic Study of Skin Cancer and Environmental Arsenic Exposure, 1992.
This study investigated skin cancer rates in Silver Bow County, Deer Lodge County,
Gallatin County, and Park County. The Silver Bow and Deer Lodge county populations were
assumed to have an increased exposure to arsenic from the mine waste and smelter, and Gallatin
and Park counties were considered controls with no excess arsenic exposure. The study included
the collection of skin cancer incidence rates from dermatologists and pathology services in these
counties and in urban referral areas adjacent to the counties. The study determined that the skin
cancer incidence rates in the control counties were higher than in Silver Bow or Deer Lodge
counties. It also determined that clinical features of the skin cancers in the exposed counties
were not similar to those described for arsenic-related skin cancer (Wong et al. 1992).
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3.10 An Epidemiological Study to Determine if Heavy Metals are a Factor in the Etiology of
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, 1995.
This study reported higher rates of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), also known as
Lou Gehrigs disease, in Butte on a consistent historical basis, as seen in the Table 3-1 (Satterly
1995). As with standardized mortality ratios (SMR), a ration value greater than one indicates
that there is a greater incidence in Butte than in the United States.
Table 3-1. ALS Incidence Rates in Butte
Cases of ALS in Time Span Total Population
Butte
5
1943-1950
37,000
5
1950-1960
28,000
8
1960-1970
28,000
9
1970-1980
42,000
22
1980-1993
35,000
3.11 Health Consultation: Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area, Butte-Silver Bow and Deer Lodge
Counties, Montana, 2002.
This study compares cancer incidences in Silver Bow County to the state of Montana and
to the United States for the years 1979 to 1999. The study investigates six types of cancer
(urinary bladder, kidney, liver, lung, prostate, and skin) because these cancer types are most
often linked to arsenic exposure. The study concluded that Silver Bow County had higher cancer
rates than the rest of Montana, and higher rates than the rest of the U.S., in at least one age group
for all six types of cancer except prostate cancer, which was lower than the national average but
higher than the rest of Montana (Dearwent and Gonzales 2002).
3.12 U.S. National Cancer Institutes of Health State Cancer Profiles, 2004.
In 2004, Silver Bow County was the only county in Montana that was assigned a
Priority 1 index by the National Cancer Institute, in 2004. Priority 1 indicates an area where
the annual death rate from cancer is above the national rate, and an area that also exhibits a rising
trend of deaths from cancer. Table 3-2 summarizes these findings (U.S. National Cancer
Institute of Health 2004).
Table 3-2. Cancer Mortality in Silver Bow County, United States, and Montana 2004
Area
Annual Cancer
Higher or lower
Annual
Rising, Stable, or
Deaths per
than the National
Percent
Declining
100,000 people
Rate?
Change
Trend?
Silver Bow
238.6
Higher
+3.2
Rising
County
Montana
United States
195.0
199.8
Lower
17
-0.6
-1.1
Declining
Declining
3.13 U.S. National Cancer Institutes of Health State Cancer Profiles, 2001-2005
Recent cancer mortality rate information, shown in Table 2-3, indicates that the rate of
cancer mortality continues to increase, but the rate of increase of 12.9% is considered stable by
the National Cancer Institute. It is important to note that the annual percent change for the 2004
data of 3.2% increases to 12.9% for the 2001 to 2005 time period (U.S. National Cancer Institute
of Health 2009).
Table 3-3. Cancer Mortality in Silver Bow County, US, and Montana 2001-2005
Area
Annual Cancer Higher or Lower
Annual
Rising, Stable, or
Deaths per
than the
Percent
Declining Trend?
100,000 people
National Rate?
Change
Silver Bow
205.5
Higher
+12.9
Rising
County
Montana
186.6
Lower
-0.9
Declining
United States
189.8
-1.8
Declining
The National Cancer Institute also provides county-level data for cancer incidence and
mortality. Table 3-4 is a summarization of the information provided in the State Cancer Registry
for 2001-2005. The incidence rates and mortality rates for Silver Bow County are marked in
bold if the rate is higher than national or state rates. The data indicate that there are elevated
incidence rates of total cancer; bladder; kidney and renal pelvis; leukemia; lung and bronchus;
pancreas; prostate; and melanoma of the skin. It also indicates elevated mortality rates for total
cancer; bladder; leukemia; lung and bronchus; pancreas; and prostate cancer.
Table 3-4 Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates 2001-2005
Cancer Site
Silver Bow County
United States
Total Cancer (Incidence)
417.7
468.2
Total Cancer (Mortality)
205.51
189.8
Bladder (Incidence)
25.4
21.7
Bladder (Mortality)
8.9
4.3
Kidney & Renal Pelvis
12.5
13.9
(Incidence)
Leukemia (Incidence)
13.9
12.3
Leukemia (Mortality)
8.7
7.4
Lung and Bronchus
68.4
69.1
(Incidence)
Lung and Bronchus
65.8
54.4
(Mortality)
Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma
9.1
19.2
(Incidence)
Oral Cavity and Pharynx
9.7
10.6
(Incidence)
Pancreas (Incidence)
9.6
11.3
18
Montana
471.9
186.6
23.8
4.7
12.5
13.6
7.5
66.7
53.3
18.8
10.5
10.3
Pancreas (Mortality)
Prostate (Incidence)
Prostate (Mortality)
Melanoma of the Skin
(Incidence)
Uterus (Incidence)
11.5
163.6
27.2
20.7
10.6
157.0
26.7
17.5
9.9
182.8
29.2
16.7
18.4
23.7
24.7
These health studies show historic elevated rates of cancer and ALS in Butte. This
correlates with community health concerns expressed in the Medical Professionals Survey in
Chapter 7 of the dissertation, and the longitudinal mortality study discussed in the following
section and in Chapter 8 of the dissertation.
4.0 Longitudinal Epidemiology Study
While there are several studies regarding contamination extent and remediation
alternatives in Butte, there has not been an in-depth study of chronic exposure and long-term
health impacts for residents exposed to a mix of contaminants in the soil, air, and water on a
daily basis. Contemporary investigations into other populations that live in areas containing
mine waste have shown elevated adverse health impacts, particularly in children (Hu et al., 2007;
Wright et al., 2006; Mayan et al., 2006; Ferreccio et al., 2006). Of the contaminants present in
elevated quantities in Butte, arsenic is a known carcinogen that can have neurological,
cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, hepatic, dermal, musculoskeletal, and endocrine effects
(Watson et al., 2007; Kapaj et al., 2006; Tchounwou et al., 2006; Tsuji et al., 2004; SzymaskaChabowska et al., 2002). Aluminum, cadmium, chromium, lead, mercury, molybdenum, copper,
zinc, and manganese are also present in Butte. These metals can also have toxic effects on the
neurological, cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, hepatic, dermal, musculoskeletal, and endocrine
systems (Aschner et al., 2007; Bressler et al., 2007; Houston et al., 2007; de Burbure et al., 2006;
Jrup, 2003; Lech, 2002). Butte is well suited for a longitudinal epidemiology study because of
its size and well-defined contamination. Additionally, the current population in Butte is
relatively static, and few residents move out of the area. In fact, many residents are third or
fourth generation residents (Hollis 2011, U.S. Census Bureau 2011a, U.S. Census Bureau
2011b).
It is extremely difficult to track disease occurrence rates, because of the Health Insurance
Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) privacy laws, however, so this study instead focused
on mortality rates, which are reported to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). These data are
reported on a county level. This assures that the data are valid, do not contain bias, and that
personal identities are kept confidential. By determining the mortality rates in Butte and then
comparing these rates to the mortality rates for the State of Montana and the United States as a
whole, it is possible to gain an understanding about the effect living in the Butte area has on the
health of the community. This line of reasoning is consistent with environmental epidemiology
methods that attempt to correlate environmental exposure to disease incidence and mortality
(Merrill 2008). It is important to note that while some conclusions can be made based on
toxicological information, these conclusions are correlations and cannot prove causation.
Cultural influencing factors, also discussed in this section, must be considered as contributing
factors to elevated or decreased mortality rates.
19
The mortality data cover two time periods: 1978-1998 and 1999-2007. In addition to the
general objective of performing a longitudinal mortality analysis, Table 4-1 contains four
practical questions that will be addressed in this project, including the corresponding hypotheses
to be tested.
Table 4-1. Longitudinal Study Questions and Hypotheses
Question
Hypotheses to Be Tested
1. What are the mortality rates in
H0: The majority of mortality rates in Butte are less
the Butte Superfund area and how
than Montana and the United States.
do they compare to Montana and the
United States?
H1: The majority of mortality rates in Butte are greater
than Montana and the United States.
2. Do the two time periods have
H0: Mortality rates in Butte do not fluctuate over time.
different mortality rates in Butte?
H1: Mortality rates in Butte fluctuate over time.
3. Can remediation be correlated to H0: Mortality rates in Butte do not decrease after
a decrease in mortality rates?
remediation.
20
Where the observed rate is the Butte mortality rate. The expected rate was determined by the
following equation, also based on Merrill:
Expected Mortality Rate = Observed Population x Comparison Mortality Rate
Where the observed population is the population of Butte-Silver Bow County and the
comparison mortality rate is the National mortality rate or the State of Montana mortality rate,
depending on which group is serving as the comparison group.
The 95% confidence intervals were developed by using Merrills equation:
/Expected Mortality Rate.
This method was used to answer all four hypotheses of the health study. The SMRs show
whether the mortality rate in Butte is greater than the national average, whether the mortality rate
changes over time, whether the mortality rate decreases after remediation of portions of the Butte
Superfund area, and whether the mortality rates correlate with the target systems of concern.
4.2 Chemicals of Concern
The Record of Decision for the Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit of the Butte Superfund
site (U.S. EPA 2006a) lists the following metals found to be in elevated quantities in Butte soil,
air, water, or house dust: aluminum, arsenic, cadmium, copper, iron, lead, mercury, silver, zinc.
Additionally, the Montana Pole Plant Superfund Site, located in southwest Butte, contains
several polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), chlorophenols, dioxin/diobenzofurans, and
metals, all listed in table 8-1 (MDEQ 2006). In a study of domestic dogs as biosamplers of
mining contamination in Butte, the following eight elements were identified as elements of
concern (Peterson 2007): aluminum, arsenic, boron, lead, lithium, manganese, molybdenum,
selenium.
To ensure all chemicals of concern in Butte are addressed in this toxicology study, the
author conducted an interview with Butte-Silver Bow Reclamation Manager Tom Malloy in
March of 2008. Mr. Malloy suggested the addition of asbestos and nitrates to the lists of
chemicals of concern. Asbestos is present uptown Butte buildings, structures, and pipelines, and
nitrate contamination occurs in south Butte and Silver Bow Creek (Malloy 2008). The list of
chemicals of concern was then sent to the Butte Health Department and was approved by the
director (Larson 2008). Based on the aforementioned investigations and discussions, the
chemicals in Table 4-2 are considered to have a potential health effect on Butte residents.
21
Aluminum
Arsenic
Boron
Cadmium
Chromium
Copper
Iron
Lead
Lithium
Manganese
Mercury
Molybdenum
Selenium
Silver
Zinc
Dioxins/dibenzofurans
2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran (TCDF)
2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD)
Chlorophenols
2,4,6-trichlorophenol
2,4-dichlorophenol
2,4-dinitrophenol
2-chlorophenol
4-chloro-3-methylphenol
Pentachlorophenol
4.3 Toxicology of the Chemicals of Concern
Toxicology studies in the dissertation describe the effects resulting from chronic
exposure to each of the contaminants of concern. The chemicals are grouped into five
categories: metals, PAHs, dioxins/dibenzofurans, chlorophenols, and others. Toxicity
encompasses adverse impacts such as degeneration, alteration, mutation, or necrosis.
4.4 Target Organs
The target organ is the organ that receives the highest toxic effect or receives severe
damage from a toxicant. A toxicant, or chemical, can have several target organs, and several
chemicals can have the same target organ.
22
23
Circulatory System
Digestive System
Endocrine System
Genitourinary System
Musculoskeletal System
Nervous System
Respiratory System
Because the results show a clear increase in mortality rates for all diseases in both time periods,
the reader is sincerely encouraged to reference the appendix to gain an understanding of the
gravity of the data.
For brevity and because datasets with fewer than 20 data-points deaths are not considered
statistically significant, the following tables were filtered to only show diseases with greater than
20 deaths. To obtain the best quality of data possible, the genders were combined in this data.
By combining the groups, a larger number of cases (Observed N) was possible, making the data
more statistically significant. This is an additional reason for grouping the years together. In a
larger population, a year-by-year epidemiologic study might be possible, but because the Butte
population is relatively small, a statistically sound study showing both genders for yearly data is
not possible. The diseases reported by CDC WONDER that have greater than 20 data points in
Silver Bow County fall under the following classifications:
Circulatory System
Digestive System
Endocrine System
Genitourinary System
Mental and Behavioral Disorders
Musculoskeletal
Neoplasm
Nervous System
Respiratory System
The SMR values that are greater than one, indicating that the mortality rate in Butte-Silver Bow
is higher than Montana or the United States, are shown in bold. In the 1997-1998 dataset, the
SMR values that increased, compared to the 1979-1998 dataset are highlighted.
4.7.1 1999-2007, Butte Compared to the United States, Greater than 20 Data Points
Table 4-5. Diseases of the Circulatory System 1999-2007, Butte Compared to US
Cause of Death
SMR Lower CI Upper CI
Atherosclerotic heart disease
1.59
1.94
1.76
Acute myocardial infarction, unspecified
0.91
0.78
1.06
Stroke, not specified as hemorrhage or infarction
1.55
2.13
1.83
Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, so described
1.81
2.51
2.15
Congestive heart failure
2.02
2.84
2.41
Cardiomyopathy, unspecified
1.55
2.85
2.15
Essential (primary) hypertension
1.76
3.50
2.55
Endocarditis, valve unspecified
3.21
7.11
4.97
Intracerebral hemorrhage, unspecified
0.91
2.04
1.42
Atrial fibrillation and flutter
1.12
2.72
1.83
25
Upper CI
2.66
4.71
3.84
Upper CI
2.23
Lower CI
1.35
1.57
0.98
1.08
1.01
0.83
1.35
1.10
Upper CI
1.73
2.38
1.67
1.92
1.84
1.65
2.90
2.52
26
Silver Bow County at 2.66 when compared to the Montana rate, but renal failure occurs at a
rated that is less than the state rate, with an SMR of 0.98. In the national comparison, urinary
tract infection mortality occurs in Silver Bow County at 1.48 times the national rate, and renal
failure occurs at 1.01 times the national rate. This indicates that the State of Montana has a
slightly higher incidence of renal failure, compared to the United States. Of the contaminants of
concern, arsenic, cadmium, chromium, lead, mercury, and dioxins are associated with renal
toxicity.
The mental and behavioral disorders pre-senile dementia and alcohol-dependence
syndrome are both greater than 1 when compared to Montana and are 3.16 and 2.6, respectively,
when compared to national. The elevated rates of alcohol-dependence syndrome indicate a
cultural influencing factor, particularly considering the elevated alcoholic cirrhosis of the liver
SMRs. Dementia can be associated with neurotoxicity. Aluminum toxicity has been correlated
to dementia, and arsenic, lead, manganese, and mercury are known to be neurotoxic.
The SMR values for rheumatoid arthritis are significantly elevated in both the Montana
(2.79) and national (5.16) comparisons. There is extensive research into causes for rheumatoid
arthritis. Exposure to environmental toxins is suspected of triggering the activation of the
immune system and causing the disease in susceptible individuals. As discussed in the metal
toxicology section, there is correlation between metals exposure and rheumatoid arthritis.
Infectious agents have been suspected, but there is no supporting evidence. It is suspected that
rheumatoid arthritis could be hereditary and this is a broad topic of research. Tobacco use is also
suspected to potentially play a role in causing rheumatoid arthritis.
All of the neoplasm (cancer) SMR values are greater than 1 in both the Montana and
national comparisons, with the exception of unspecified stomach neoplasms. Neoplasms of the
bronchus and lung, colon, breast (female), prostate, ovary, bladder, rectum, multiple myeloma,
brain, esophagus, kidney, and skin had SMRs that ranged between 1 and 2, and larynx was 2.9
when compared to Montana and 2.62 when compared to national. Both chronic and acute
neoplasms were greater than 1 in both comparisons, and chronic was 1.98 in the national
comparison, indicating a significantly elevated rate of chronic neoplasms. This dataset shows an
elevated incidence of cancer in Silver Bow County from the viewpoint of a state and national
comparison. These findings are significant considering the known carcinogenic properties of
arsenic, cadmium, chromium, PAH, dioxin, and asbestos. Specifically, bladder and skin cancer
are known correlates to arsenic exposure.
For diseases of the nervous system, all SMR values are greater than 1 in both the
Montana and national comparisons. Notably, multiple sclerosis had an SMR of 2.25 when
compared to Montana and 4.35 when compared to national. Alzheimers Disease and Motor
Neuron Disease SMR values are both more than double the national rate.
These findings are significant because several of the contaminants of concern are known
to be neurotoxic. Elevated exposure to aluminum has been correlated to an increased risk for
Alzheimers, ALS, and Parkinsons Disease (reported in this table as Paralysis Agitans).
Arsenic, lead, manganese, and mercury are also known to be neurotoxic. It is also an important
28
29
Of the genitourinary system diseases, urinary tract infection mortality occurs in Silver
Bow County greater than twice the Montana and national rates. Renal failure occurs at less than
the Montana rate (0.96) but greater than the national rate (1.19). In both cases, the SMRs are
higher in the 1999-2007 data.
Unspecified dementia is the only mental and behavioral disorder with greater than 20
cases in Silver Bow County. It occurred at a lower rate than the state of Montana (0.9) but at a
higher rate than national (1.26). These results show a decrease in SMR values in the 1999-2007
data.
As with the 1979-1998 data, all of the neoplasm SMR values are greater than one, with
the exception of malignant neoplasm without specification of site in the Montana comparison. In
the national comparison this SMR is 2.05. In the Montana comparison, all of the neoplasms
SMRs increased in the 1999-2007 dataset, with the exception of malignant neoplasm without
specification of site. In the national comparison, bronchus or lung, colon, breast, prostate, and
bladder neoplasm rates increased.
In the nervous system dataset, Alzheimers Disease had an SMR greater than 1 in both
the Montana and national comparisons, and the Parkinsons Disease SMRs were less than the
Montana rate (0.97) but greater than the national rate (1.16). When investigating the nervous
system mortality rates, the decision to include Multiple Sclerosis rates, despite there being fewer
than 20 cases, stemmed from a community interest in the disease, as expressed in the medical
community survey. When surveyed about health issues in Butte, several respondents noted an
increased incidence or concern about an increased incidence of Multiple Sclerosis. Because the
number of deaths is less than 20, caution should be taken when interpreting this result because it
is not as statistically significant as a sample size that is greater than 20. The SMR for Multiple
Sclerosis is 1.97 compared to the Montana rate and 3.94 times the national rate. All of the SMR
values for neurological disease decreased in the 1999-2007 dataset.
All of the diseases of the respiratory system had SMR values greater than one in both the
Montana and national comparisons. Of these, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and
emphysema showed increased mortality rates in both the Montana and national comparisons in
the 1999-2007 dataset.
4.9 Correlation to Target Systems
As seen in the previous SMR tables, the majority of the mortality rates in Butte-Silver
Bow County are greater than the Montana and national rates for disease in all of the target
systems. Table 4-14 provides a visual interpretation of these results, with the addition of mental
and behavioral disorders because they correlate to the nervous system and were reported by the
CDC separately. The highlighted Xs indicate that the mortality rates increased from the 19791998 dataset.
30
SMRs over 1
Butte
Compared to
Montana
1999-2007
X
X
X
X
SMRs over 1
Butte
Compared to
National
1999-2007
X
X
X
X
X
Fewer than 20
X
X
X
Fewer than 20
X
X
X
Unexpectedly, the dataset shows an increase in mortality rates for several diseases. All of
the diseases of the digestive system in both the Montana and national comparisons show an
increase in mortality rates. Diabetes mellitus also shows an increase in both cases. Unspecified
renal failure shows an increase in both cases also, but in the comparison of the Butte rate to the
Montana rate the SMR is less than one.
The neoplasm, or cancer, data is perhaps most interesting. In the Butte to Montana
comparison, all cancer mortality rates increase, with the exception of malignant neoplasm
without specification of site. In the Butte to national comparison, pancreas, esophagus, and
malignant neoplasm without specification of site mortality rates also decreased. All other rates
increased. This would indicate that remediation activities have not had an impact on cancer
mortality rates. This is important because several of the contaminants, including arsenic,
cadmium, chromium, PAH, dioxin, and asbestos are carcinogenic. The 1999-2007 respiratory
disease rates show a decrease in pneumonia mortality in both the state and national comparisons
but show an increase in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and emphysema.
Overall, these results show a potential positive impact for several diseases but do not
indicate that remediation has had a positive impact on mortality rates. Table 4-14 contains a
summary of findings in the longitudinal epidemiology study, based on the original study
hypotheses.
Table 4-14. Longitudinal Study Questions and Hypotheses Accepted
Question
Hypotheses Accepted
1. What are the mortality rates in the Butte H1: The majority of mortality rates in Butte
Superfund area, and how do they compare are greater than Montana and the United
to Montana and the United States?
States.
2. Do the two time periods have different
H1: Mortality rates in Butte fluctuate over
mortality rates in Butte?
time.
3. Can remediation be correlated to a
decrease in mortality rates?
4. Is there a correlation between the target
systems of concern in Butte and the cause
of mortality?
The Behavioral Risk Factor System also reported that Butte has a higher rate of drug
abuse, including alcohol, and this could correlate to the elevated rates of alcoholic cirrhosis of
the liver. According to the Butte Community Needs Assessment, authored by the local hospital
and Butte-Silver Bow Health Department, The culture of alcohol abuse is well known among
Butte citizens and the communitys reputation throughout Montana as a hard drinking town is
not without merit.The DUI crime rate was 20% higher than the rate for Montana overall
perhaps the most alarming is that 35% of those convictions are repeat offenders (Butte-Silver
Bow Health Department 2011a).
In a further description of substance abuse, this needs assessment correlated substance
abuse to the mining culture of Butte. Butte-Silver Bow has a deeply rooted culture of substance
abuse that presents a risk to public health. This culture must be understood within Buttes origins
as a mining camp its mining legacy lives on. For many, over eighty years of economic
depression have resulted in multi-generational poverty that is highly entrenched and seemingly
intractable. In addition, values and behaviors known to evolve in mining settlements continue to
be woven into the social fabric of Butte, not the least of which is cultural acceptance of alcohol
abuse (Butte-Silver Bow Health Department 2011a).
A 2011 report from the State of Montana Department of Health and Human Services
Addictive and Mental Disorders Division listed the number of clients in treatment in Butte-Silver
Bow and statewide (Montana Department of health and Human Services 2011). There were 106
in treatment for alcohol addiction in Butte and 5,009 statewide. There were two in treatment for
amphetamine in Butte and 51 statewide; there were three in treatment for cocaine/crack in Butte
and 80 statewide. There were 29 in treatment for MDMA/ecstasy and 1,557 statewide, and there
were 23 in treatment for methamphetamine and 569 statewide. There were 12 in treatment for
other opiates or synthetics and 688 statewide (Montana Department of health and Human
Services 2011). Overall, this does not paint the picture of Butte-Silver Bow as having a
disproportionate amount of drug addiction.
In a table of key indicators of public health included in the Community Needs
Assessment, which compared Butte-Silver Bow to Montana, there is a higher number of disabled
persons in Butte Silver Bow. Importantly, there is a lower number of persons with health
insurance (79.7% in Butte-Silver Bow and 84.65% in Montana). This could correlate to a lack of
medical care and early diagnosis as well as potential for negative health effects.
Like the SMR data, the key indicators of the public health table also shows an increased
incidence of asthma in Butte-Silver Bow (11% compared to 8.8% in Montana). While this is not
a cultural influencing factor, it is important to restate the elevated incidence of this disease rate
because there are also elevated mortality rates for this disease.
This study also shows a lower cancer incidence rate in Butte-Silver Bow (321.9 per
100,000) compared to Montana (455.5 per 100,000). This is an interesting finding because the
majority of mortality rates for Butte-Silver Bow are higher than Montana rates. This could
indicate a difference in community members seeking health care, aggressiveness of cancer, a
difference in patient care, or a future decrease in Butte-Silver Bow cancer mortality rates.
33
There is a higher suicide rate in Butte than Montana but a lower motor vehicle
unintentional death rate. Of these, Butte had a higher percentage of motor vehicle crashes that
involve alcohol. One disturbing finding is the elevated non-motor vehicle unintentional death
rate of 84.3 per 100,000 compared to six per 1000,000 in Montana. No explanation is given for
this rate in the report. It is potentially related to Butte-Silver Bow having the highest crime rate
of all of the major counties in Montana. There is also a potential correlation between lead
exposure and violent crimes. As discussed in the toxicology section, lead exposure has been
correlated to increased incidence of violent crime, including murder, juvenile delinquency, and
antisocial behavior, including alcohol and drug use.
There is a perception that the majority of the population in Butte is geriatric. In fact,
16.5% of the population is senior citizens, indicating that 83.5% are not elderly. The ButteSilver Bow population average 41.6 years of age, which is higher than the Montana average of
36.7. This increase in age could correlate to an increased rate of geriatric disorders, such as
Alzheimers disease.
34
Appendix A. Health Data, Genders Combined, with Greater than 20 Data Points
35
Upper
CI
2.63
2.46
2.82
26
23
21
25.39
8.94
11.30
1.02
2.57
1.86
0.67
1.63
1.15
1.46
3.73
2.74
SMR
Lower CI
Upper CI
1.24
1.57
1.20
1.04
1.51
1.20
1.61
1.09
1.35
1.69
1.38
0.99
1.08
1.26
1.12
1.35
1.00
0.85
1.24
0.97
1.22
0.80
0.98
1.18
0.95
0.68
0.72
0.83
1.36
1.82
1.42
1.25
1.81
1.44
2.05
1.43
1.78
2.29
1.90
1.36
1.51
1.78
27
26
23
26.38
8.98
16.97
1.02
2.90
1.36
0.67
1.89
0.86
1.45
4.12
1.97
20
20
11.60
15.38
1.72
1.30
1.05
0.79
2.56
1.93
Upper
CI
1.64
1.45
1.74
1.58
1.13
2.26
2.94
1.17
1.45
56
54
54
44
41
31
29
27.77
21.92
53.81
32.48
16.74
12.95
4.72
2.02
2.46
1.00
1.35
2.45
2.39
6.14
1.52
1.85
0.75
0.98
1.76
1.63
4.11
2.58
3.16
1.29
1.78
3.26
3.31
8.58
28
27
26
26
23
63.76
18.15
28.05
13.65
32.31
0.44
1.49
0.93
1.90
0.71
0.29
0.98
0.60
1.24
0.45
0.62
2.10
1.32
2.71
1.03
Upper
CI
2.05
3.04
3.54
1.60
3.81
3.73
Upper
CI
1.88
Cause of Death
Observed N
Presenile dementia
42
Alcohol dependence syndrome
35
Expected
13.29
13.49
SMR
3.16
2.60
Lower CI Upper CI
2.28
4.19
1.81
3.53
241
63
39
27
22
21
159.75
43.94
12.34
14.77
6.12
21.26
1.51
1.43
3.16
1.83
3.59
0.99
1.32
1.10
2.25
1.20
2.25
0.61
1.71
1.81
4.23
2.58
5.25
1.46
Upper
CI
3.08
3.24
2.67
Upper
CI
2.12
Cause of Death
Unspecified renal failure
Urinary tract infection, site not
specified
Observed
N
21.00
33.00
Expected SMR
21.91
12.20
0.96
2.70
Lower
CI
0.59
1.86
Upper CI
1.41
3.71
247.00
90.00
56.00
47.00
43.00
33.00
172.06
46.71
41.86
33.60
39.21
34.54
1.44
1.93
1.34
1.40
1.10
0.96
Lower
CI
1.26
1.55
1.01
1.03
0.79
0.66
27.00
23.00
15.71
16.04
1.72
1.43
1.13
0.91
Upper
CI
1.62
2.35
1.71
1.83
1.45
1.31
2.43
2.08
154
84.28
1.83
1.55
2.13
146
67.92
2.15
1.81
2.51
132
42
33
25
24
20
54.80
19.56
12.93
5.03
16.96
10.94
2.41
2.15
2.55
4.97
1.42
1.83
2.02
1.55
1.76
3.21
0.91
1.12
2.84
2.85
3.50
7.11
2.04
2.72
Upper
CI
2.66
4.71
3.84
Upper
CI
2.23
247
90
56
47
43
43
161.31
46.09
43.00
32.00
30.88
1.53
1.95
1.30
1.47
1.39
Lower
CI
1.35
1.57
0.98
1.08
1.01
Upper
CI
1.73
2.38
1.67
1.92
1.84
33
27.46
1.20
0.83
1.65
27
23
13.16
13.23
2.05
1.74
1.35
1.10
2.90
2.52
44