Cost of Capital Study 2011-2012-KPMG
Cost of Capital Study 2011-2012-KPMG
Cost of Capital Study 2011-2012-KPMG
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International
or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International
or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Table of Contents
Foreword
Summary of Findings
Introduction
1.1 Foundations and Objectives
of the Study
1.2 Data Collection
Organization and Execution of the
Impairment Test
2.1 Timing, Frequency, Triggering Events
and Reversals
2.2 Number of Cash Generating Units
and Changes to their Structure
2.3 Determination of Recoverable Amount
2.4 Composition of the Carrying Amount
2.5 Use of Impairment Test for
Other Purposes
Measurement of Cash Flows
3.1 Preparation of Budget Calculations
and Determination of Sustainable Year
3.2 Growth Expectations in Budget
Calculations
3.3 Plausibility Check of Budget
Calculations Used
3.4 Foreign Currency Translation
3.5 Tax Rate
30
31
34
35
37
38
39
40
41
42
44
44
48
8
8
10
10
14
15
19
6
19
20
20
24
25
26
28
47
List of Abbreviations
CAPM
CGU
DAX
DCF
HFA
IAS
IASB
IDW
IFRS
SMI
WACC
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Foreword
The sovereign debt crisis rising worldwide and particularly
in Europe since mid-2010 has called into question the initial signs of an economic recovery. The economic growth
observed around the globe did not indicate any clear tendencies during 2010 and 2011. The increasingly volatile
economy and capital markets as well as the continuously
decreasing interest rate level reflect the uncertainty remaining in the short and medium term outlook for companies.
An adequate incorporation of the current risks and uncertainties in budget figures, not only for impairment tests, but
also for planning and company controlling purposes, is a significant challenge to the corporate decision-makers.
The current economic developments are relevant, especially when calculating the cost of capital as a central
parameter for any value-related corporate decision. Average
capital costs after corporate taxes of 7.9 percent were taken
as the basis in the fiscal year 2010/2011. Compared to historical figures and in the context of the current market situation, this further decrease raises the question of whether
and how accurately the current low level of capital cost is
realistically reflected in the budget figures of the companies. Particular attention must be paid to the equivalence
between the growth margin and return expectations underlying the budget figures and the declined capital costs.
This years Cost of Capital Study offers the opportunity to
understand the real effects of the continuing difficult market environment on the accounting and valuation practice of
companies, in particular with respect to the cost of capital.
Furthermore, it provides insights into the practical handling
of forecasts in a volatile market environment.
Following our studies in the years 2006 to 2010, we are
delighted to present to you our sixth edition of the Cost of
Capital Study.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Summary of Findings
Collected data
A total of 493 companies in Europe
were contacted; 137 companies
participated (total response rate of
27.8percent).
Participation rate: 70 percent
DAX-3 0, 45 percent MDAX and
40percent SMI.
Highest response rate in the sectors
industrial products (35 responses)
and consumer products & services
(21 responses).
Significance of the impairment test
Regarding their financial statements
for the period 30 September 2010
to 31 August 2011, 23 percent of
the surveyed companies stated that
they recognized a goodwill impairment (previous year: 26 percent).
On average, these companies
wrote-off 16.5 percent of the goodwill on their balance sheet.
51 percent of the companies recognized goodwill impairment, asset
impairment, or both (decrease compared to previous year: 4 percent).
The percentage of companies that
performed an impairment test based
on a triggering event decreased significantly to 37 percent compared to
the previous year (53 percent). The
main reason stated was deteriorating long-term prospects.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
The average cost of debt is 5.2 percent and varies by industry between
4.5 and 5.8 percent.
To determine the debt-equity ratio
applied for the derivation of the
value in use, 32 percent of the surveyed companies used peer group
data (fair value less costs to sell:
54percent). The average debtequity ratio applied amounts to
48percent.
The WACC average amounts to
approximately 7.9 percent (previous
year: 8.2 percent). Depending on the
industry, it ranges between 6.4 percent and 8.4 percent.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
1 Introduction
27.8%
of the companies contacted
participated in this years survey.
70.0%
of DAX-30 companies again
participated in this years survey.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Country
Numbers of
companies
contacted
Numbers of
response
Response rate
Germany
275
87
31.6%
74
10.8%
108
38
35.2%
36
11.1%
493
137
27.8%
Austria
Switzerland
Others*
Total
trial products (35 companies) and consumer products & services (21 companies). The industrial products sector
includes companies operating in different manufacturing sectors as well as
companies mainly producing industrial
intermediate products.
Figure 1
Breakdown of participants by country
* All EuroStoxx-50 companies are contacted.
Source: KPMG
Figure 2
Composition of sample by industry
35
35
Source: KPMG
30
1 Automotive
2 Building & Construction
25
3 Chemicals
4 Computer & Semiconductors
20
21
15
17
8 Financial Services
10
5
9 Industrial Products
12
8
7
2
11
0
1
10
11
12
13
14
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
2 Organization and
Execution of
the Impairment Test
In general, IAS 36 provides companies with sufficient room for interpretation concerning the recognition of
the individual operational reality. This
allows companies to take into account
individual company-specific assumptions and premises. IAS 36 does not,
for instance, set a specific date for the
execution of an impairment test. The
test does not necessarily have to take
place at the end of the fiscal period;
however, once the initial choice of date
is made, the test has to be consistently
executed at the same time in the consecutive periods (consistency principle
as per IAS 36.10). In exceptional cases
the reference date may be changed.
Furthermore, within the given framework CGUs may be tailor-made to the
planning and steering structures of
the respective companies. Despite
the well-defined requirements of the
standard, there are two subjects aside
from the definition of CGUs that are
frequently discussed in the context of
the practical organization and execution of impairment tests: the consistent determination of the recoverable
and the carrying amount that is in line
with the requirements of the standard.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 3
Timing of impairment test execution
Total (in percent)
61
39
0
10
20
30
40
Source: KPMG
50
60
70
Background IFRS
When must an impairment test
be performed?
Trend analysis
The rate of companies that performed
a value adjustment amounts to 51percent and is lower than in the previous years (2009/2010: 55 percent,
2008/2009: 60percent), but remains
significantly higher than in the year
prior to the crisis, 2007/2008 (40 percent).
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 4
Execution of an impairment
Total (in percent)
Figure 5
Execution of an impairment
Not listed companies (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
11
19
28
49
37
33
15
Industry analysis: Findings vary substantially across the individual industries. It stands out that with 59 percent
(previous year 66 percent) significantly more companies of the chemicals industry wrote-down individual
assets as compared to the total group
of surveyed companies. Far fewer
companies of the entertainment &
media industry recognized an impairment loss compared to previous year
(43percent as opposed to 77 percent).
55 percent of the life science& healthcare companies recorded an asset
impairment in 2010/2011.
Goodwill Impairment
Asset Impairment
Both
No Impairment
16.5%
is the amount by which goodwill was
written-down on average in the fiscal
year 2010/2011.
Figure 6
Execution of an impairment
Chemicals (in percent)
Figure 7
Execution of an impairment
Entertainment & Media (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
15
35
14
57
53
14
6
Goodwill Impairment
Asset Impairment
Both
No Impairment
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 8
Specification of triggering event
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
12
28
10
45
Drop in orders
Price decline
Worsening long-run expectations
Cost of capital
Others
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 9
Number of CGUs
Total (Numbers of answers)
Source: KPMG
80
70
68
60
50
40
43
30
26
20
10
18
14
14
4
0
0 to5
6 to10
11 to20
21 to 30
31 to 40
41 to 50
3
more than 50
apply to the individual industries. However, in the energy & power generation industry none of the companies
changed their CGU structure and in the
financial services industry only one of
the participating companies did. With
34percent, it was predominantly companies of the industrial products industry that most often changed their CGU
structure.
Figure 10
Change in the CGU structure
Total (in percent)
Figure 11
Reason for the modification in the CGU structure
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
26
41
Trend analysis
A reduction in the number of CGUs
can be observed with regard to the
asset impairment test. In the fiscal
year 2010/2011, only 35 percent of
the companies defined more than ten
CGUs. In 2007/2008, this number
amounted to 56 percent.
71
29
14
7
33
Consolidation of CGUs
Realignment of CGUs
Others
Others
Same structure as last year
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Our study shows that the vast majority of surveyed companies (82 percent;
previous year: 86 percent) determined
the value in use, while 31 percent of
the companies (previous year 29 percent) determined the fair value less
costs to sell. By contrast, 86 percent
of Swiss companies determined only
the value in use.
82%
of the surveyed companies determined
the value in use to measure the
recoverable amount.
Figure 12
Applied measure of value
Total (in percent)
13
18
69
Due to the current sovereign debt crisis the factors crucial to the determination of the fair value less costs to
sell such as market prices obtained
from the stock market or from comparable transactions are still quite volatile. The observable price fluctuations
are therefore a possible explanation
for the increased proportion of companies exclusively calculating the value in
use. Due to these market fluctuations,
in the selection of a valuation concept
the companies took into consideration that a valuation based on transaction prices at lower values will lead to
lower values than a valuation based on
the own use of a CGU and/or asset.
As was the case in previous years,
68 percent of companies that determined both value in use and fair value
less costs to sell stated that the value
in use is the higher of the two values.
However, there is a decreasing trend
for this figure observable over time
(2008/2009: 79 percent, 2009/2010:
71 percent).
Source: KPMG
Value in Use
70%
of surveyed DAX-30 companies
compared total recoverable amounts
across all CGUs with the market
capitalization of the company.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 13
Comparison with market capitalization
Value in Use
Listed companies (in percent)
Figure 14
Comparison with market capitalization
Fair Value less costs to sell
Listed companies (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
13
21
36
11
47
20
19
Lower or equal
Slightly higher
Considerably higher
More than twice as high
Significantly higher
Was not considered
Background IFRS 13
fair value measurement
Beside the harmonization of IFRS
and US GAAP, the standard also
aims to provide a consistent definition of fair value, create a framework
for the determination of the fair value
and define the central information to
be provided in the notes.
The definition of fair value according
to IFRS 13 is the price that would
be received for selling an asset or
paid to transfer a liability in an orderly
transaction between market participants at the measurement date.
In contrast to the previous regulations for the determination of the fair
value the following aspects are specified, in particular:
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Background IFRS
what does the carrying amount
comprise?
According to the so-called equivalency principle (see also IAS 36.75
and 79), all assets and non-interest
bearing liabilities considered to be
a source of the cash flows recognized in the recoverable amount
should be taken into account.
IAS 36.50 restricts the recognition
of assets and liabilities related to
income taxes, such as deferred tax
assets and liabilities, tax refund
claims as well as tax liabilities and
provisions in the carrying amount
of a CGU and in the cash flows of
the recoverable amount. Balancing
CGU losses through a carry-forward is permissible only within the
planning period of the company
and is not a subject to IAS 12.
For consistency reasons deferred
tax liabilities determined in the
context of a purchase price allocation may be included in the carrying amount. Furthermore, it is
necessary to plan the corresponding reversal of deferred taxes, as
the expected actual tax payments
according to tax regulations have
to be taken into account when
determining the cash flows.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 15
Carrying amount
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
60
Liquidity
73
80
31
69
Deferred taxes
33
67
Pension provisions
40
27
20
20
40
60
80
100
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
3 Measurement of
Cash Flows
When was the group budget prepared? What level of detail and planning horizon are used for the budget
calculation? How is the sustainable budget year derived?
(Section 3.1)
What future growth expectations
are reflected in the budget?
(Section 3.2)
What plausibility checks were
applied to the budgeted figures?
What are the effects of the financial
and economic crisis on the budget
used as basis? (Section 3.3)
Figure 16
Time of preparation of group budget
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
80
60
40
20
54
35
7
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 17
Level of detail of the budget figures
Total (in percent)
Almost
90%
of the companies based the
impairment test on a budget no older
than three months.
Source: KPMG
60
40
45
20
22
Planning of
P&L items/
no planning
of BS items
14
10
Planning of
the whole
P&L/no
planning
of BS items
Planning of
the P&L and
special of
BS items
Planning of
the P&L and
all BS items
Integrated
planning
(P&L, BS and
cash flow)
45%
of the surveyed companies prepared
an integrated budget.
Industry analysis: A substantial number of the companies from the financial services industry prepared a
detailed budget for the income statement, but forecasted only selected
figures from the balance sheet. Companies in the automotive industry, on
the other hand, prepared complete
budgets including a balance sheet and
an income statement (29percent) or
complete integrated budgets (about
71percent).
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 18
Level of detail of the budget
Financial Services (in percent)
Source: KPMG
80
60
55
40
20
18
9
Planning of
P&L items/
no planning
of BS items
9
Planning of
the whole
P&L/no
planning
of BS items
9
Planning of
the P&L and
special of
BS items
Planning of
the P&L and
all BS items
Integrated
planning
(P&L, BS and
cash flow)
Figure 19
Level of detail of the budget
Automotive (in percent)
Source: KPMG
80
71
60
40
29
20
0
Planning of
P&L items/
no planning
of BS items
0
Planning of
the whole
P&L/no
planning
of BS items
0
Planning of
the P&L and
special of
BS items
Planning of
the P&L and
all BS items
Integrated
planning
(P&L, BS and
cash flow)
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
More than
80%
of the participants projected their
budget figures for at least three years.
Figure 20
Budget horizon
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Figure 21
Determination of the sustainable planning
period
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
1
16
35
47
43
43
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
32%
of DAX-30 companies budget based
on adjusted EBIT/EBITDA margins.
Figure 22
Range EBITDA margins
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
EBITDA adjusted
50
40
43
30
20
10
0
14
Source: KPMG
EBIT adjusted
21
14
14
12
0
below 5%
Figure 23
Range EBIT margins
Total (in percent)
28
24
22
EBITDA unadjusted
5 to 10%
10 to 15%
15 to 25%
more
than 25%
50
47
40
30
35
35
20
EBIT unadjusted
18
18
10
12
12
6
below 5%
6
5 to 10%
10 to 15%
15 to 25%
more
than 25%
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Background IFRS
Which adjustments are to be
made to the budget for value in
use and fair value less costs to
sell?
The value in use determines the
value of the specific asset/CGU
assuming a continuous use by the
company. However, this perspective includes only the earnings
potential of the asset/specific
CGU without further modification
at the time the impairment test is
performed. For the determination
of the value in use it must therefore be ensured that the cash
flows do not include any effects
from future restructuring efforts,
which the company did not yet
commit to, or any future capital
expenditures for business expansions, which would increase the
earning power of the asset/CGU
(IAS 36.33 (b), IAS 36.44 ff.).
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 24
Plausibility check of the budget
Total (in percent)
Figure 25
Parameters for scenario analysis
Listed companies (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
14
33
17
51
23
12
18
18
Cost of capital
Yes, multiple
EBIT/EBITDA margin
Revenues
Growth rate
Lump-sum discounts in the budget
Others
69%
of the surveyed companies converted
their cash flows into the reporting
currency prior to any discount.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 26
Exchange rates in the case of multiple foreign
currencies
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
7
8
31
69
54
Spot rate
The majority of companies (78 percent) converting their cash flows from
foreign currency before discounting
them used budget exchange rates
defined by the group (previous year
76 percent). The number of surveyed
companies performing conversions
based on forward rates of the planning
period declined to 12 percent (previous
year 16 percent).
Companies discounting cash flows in
foreign currency prior to conversion
mostly base these on the local capital
costs (45 percent). Another 32 percent
apply capital costs adjusted for inflation delta or country risk premium. Sixteen percent apply unadjusted capital
costs of the reporting currency to the
discount. Of Swiss companies, 89 percent use customary local or adjusted
capital costs for the discount of foreign
currency cash flows.
Background IFRS
What is the rule for handling
currency differences within
a CGU?
If there is a difference between
the reporting currency, for example the currency in which the carrying amount is presented, and
the currency in which the corresponding cash flows occur, then
a currency translation is required
for impairment test purposes.
The common approach here is to
discount the expected cash flows
in the currency of their origin in
the first step (IAS 36.54). Special
attention must be paid to the fact
that individual inflation expectations in the separate currency
regions, as well as other factors,
may lead to different cost of capital. Therefore, discounting the
cash flows in the corresponding
currency region should be based
on reasonable cost of capital. The
resulting recoverable amount is
then converted into the reporting currency at the spot rate on
the day of the impairment test
and compared with the carrying
amount.
Figure 27
Cost of capital for discounting foreign currency
Total versus Switzerland (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Total
Switzerland
80
70
71
60
50
40
45
30
32
20
10
16
18
0
Cost of capital of the
reporting currency
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Background IFRS
What is important when
determining the corporate tax
rate when computing value in use
and fair value less costs to sell?
If the determination of capital
costs is based on an after-tax
view, tax effects should also be
considered in the cash flows.
According to the standard, the
basis for the impairment test is
a pre-tax calculation. If there are
tax effects resulting from individual company circumstances, for
example from losses carried forward, these should not be considered; this also applies to the
value in use calculation (see also
Section 2.4 for consideration of
deferred tax liabilities from purchase price allocations). However, losses generated during the
detailed budget period should be
accounted for as a loss carried
forward and in later periods set
off against any positive earnings.
A corporate tax rate should be
determined both for the fair value
less costs to sell and for the value
in use. The tax rate should correspond to the tax rate for a typical
enterprise operating in the same
location. Therefore, it might make
sense to define a tax rate for each
CGU.
21
41
38
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or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International
or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
4 Cost of
Capital Parameters
Background IFRS
How does the determination of
the cost of capital parameters
depend on the choice between
fair value less costs to sell and
value in use?
In contrast to the cash flows to be
discounted, the parameters considered in the WACC do not depend on
the choice between the valuation
concepts value in use and fair value
less costs to sell. Despite the difference in perspectives of the valuation measures, the cost of capital
parameters should reflect a market
estimate, e.g. the view of a potential buyer. In exceptional cases
the determination of the beta factor applied in the calculation of the
value in use can deviate from the
view of a potential purchaser; this is
explained in detail below.
The perspective of an acquirer can
be regularly reproduced by deriving the cost of capital parameters
from a peer group instead of applying certain parameters that are specifically identified for the reporting
entity. This concerns in particular
the capital structure, the cost of
debt as well as the beta factor. This
is based on the assumption that the
market does not evaluate a company in an isolated state, but in the
context of comparable companies.
Should this assumption be incorrect
in a particular case, a justification is
to be provided.
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
With
52%
the surveyed German companies
tended to use yield curve data for the
determination of the base rate.
3.3%
is the risk-free rate used on average by
all surveyed companies.
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 29
Derivation of the risk-free rate*
(in percent)
62
Source: KPMG
Government bonds
49
Total
85
Germany
38
Remaining countries
52
11
10
Others
Trend analysis
Until the end of 2010 a declining riskfree rate was observable, which only
began to rise again in the beginning
of 2011.
12
7
20
0 10
30
40
50
60
70
80
90 100
Figure 30
Average risk-free rate
Euro area versus Switzerland (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Euro area
Switzerland
4
4,5
4,4
4,0
3,8
4,1
3,5
3,0
2,7
0
Fiscal year
2007/2008
Fiscal year
2008/2009
Fiscal year
2009/2010
Fiscal year
2010/2011
Figure 31
Average risk-free rate
Bond yield curve of ECB and Switzerland
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
09.08
01.09
05.09
09.09
01.10
05.10
09.10
01.11
05.11
09.11
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 32
Development of German risk-free base rate
3-month average, not rounded
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
03.02
06.02
09.02
12.02
03.03
06.03
09.03
12.03
03.04
06.04
09.04
12.04
03.05
06.05
09.05
12.05
03.06
06.06
09.06
12.06
03.07
06.07
09.07
12.07
03.08
06.08
09.08
12.08
03.09
06.09
09.09
12.09
03.10
06.10
09.10
12.10
03.11
06.11
09.11
2.0
Figure 33
Yield
10-year yield government bond versus inflation rate
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0
1.0
09.11
01.11
05.11
09.10
01.10
05.10
09.09
01.09
05.09
09.08
05.08
09.07
01.08
01.07
05.07
09.06
01.06
05.06
09.05
01.05
05.05
09.04
01.04
05.04
09.03
01.03
05.03
09.02
2.0
01.02
05.02
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 34
Average market risk premium used
Total (in percent)
5.1
4.7
5.1
5.1
Source: KPMG
2
0
Fiscal year Fiscal year Fiscal year Fiscal year
2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
65%
of all surveyed companies applied a
market risk premium of 5.0 percent in
the fiscal year 2010/2011.
Figure 35
Average market risk premium used range
Total
Source: KPMG
100
90
80
Numbers of Answers
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2.0
2.5
3.0
Amount of MRP in percent
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
> 6.0
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 36
Derivation of betas
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
25
13
95
57
Historical betas
Trend analysis
For the determination of beta factors
57percent of surveyed companies
tend to use the multi-year beta; in
2009/2010 this number was only
48percent and in 2008/2009
44percent.
Multiple-year betas
Forecasted betas
With regard to the question concerning the historical period considered for
the determination of the beta, 57percent of the companies responding
used a multi-year beta (previous year:
48 percent). The average historical
data collection period for the derivation of the multi-year beta amounted
to 4years. By contrast, the use of an
average of one-year betas declined
from 27 to 13 percent compared to the
previous year. In these cases the companies used a data collection period of
3.4years on average.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
75%
of the surveyed companies derived
the beta applied in their fair value
calculation based on a peer group.
Trend analysis
The beta trend is a levered beta for the
overall market.
Figure 37
Average levered beta
Total (absolute)
Source: KPMG
1.2
1.0
0.8
1.04
1.02
1.02
Fiscal year
2008/2009
Fiscal year
2009/2010
Fiscal year
2010/2011
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
The beta is always determined in relation to the overall market. If the beta
rises in one industry or in several companies, for example due to effects
from the financial and economic crisis,
ceteris paribus, this implies a reduction of the beta of the remaining companies on the market. In other words,
a declining beta at first merely implies
that the risk compared to other industries or companies has decreased. This
indicator does not provide direct information on the development of the risk
in absolute terms.
Industry analysis: With average
levered betas between 0.83 and 0.86
life science & healthcare as well as
energy & power generation industries
were significantly below the average
of all industries. This may be due to
the fact that these industries are relatively independent of economic fluctuations (see Section 2.1; information for
energy companies is based on the
fiscal and calendar year 2010 and is
thus not influenced by the effects
of Fukushima). The industrial products sector on the other hand applied
the highest average levered beta
of1.20. The average levered beta of
the consumer products & services
industry declined from 1.04 in fiscal year 2009/2010 to 0.90 in fiscal
year2010/2011. In contrast, the average
levered beta factor of the transport&
logistics industry significantly rose
from 0.85 in fiscal year2009/2010 to
0.99 in fiscal year2010/2011.
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 38
Average levered beta by industry
Source: KPMG
Total
1.02
Automotive
1.15
n/a
Chemicals
4.2
1.04
n/a
0.90
0.86
1.01
Financial Services
1.11
Industrial Products
1.20
n/a
Michael Salcher
Partner, Corporate Finance
0.83
Software
n/a
Telecommunications
n/a
0.99
0
Figure 39
Risk premiums
Total* (in percent)
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
absolute
100
80
Source: KPMG
60
66
40
20
20
0
Country risk
premium
Small size
company
premium
11
11
Risk premium
for planning
uncertainty
Risk premium
for insolvency
risks
Risk premium
for financing
risks
16
Others
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 40
Average cost of equity used
(after corporate taxes)
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
10
9.9
9.8
Fiscal year
2008/2009
Fiscal year
2009/2010
rEKn=r*+MRR3b
4
2
0
9.1
Fiscal year
2010/2011
Figure 41
Average cost of capital used
(after corporate taxes)
Germany versus Switzerland
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
12
10
8
9.4
10.4
9.4
10.2
9.5
9.0
6
4
2
Germany
Switzerland
Fiscal year
2008/2009
Fiscal year
2009/2010
Fiscal year
2010/2011
Figure 42
Average cost of equity (after corporate taxes)
by industry
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
9.1
Total
9.1
Automotive
Building & Construction
n/a
Chemicals
9.5
n/a
8.3
8.2
10.4
Financial Services
9.6
11.1
7.5
n/a
Software
Telecommunications
8.3
8.3
0
Industrial Products
Internet & E-Commerce
n/a
11 12
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 43
Determination of the cost of debt
Total* (in percent)
Source: KPMG
80
70
60
64
50
49
40
30
40
20
21
10
0
Actual cost of
debt of the
company
Derivation from
capital market
data at cut-off
date
13
Derivation from
historical capital
market data
Others
Value in Use
Fair Value less costs to sell
Trend analysis
Figure 44
Average cost of debt used
(before corporate taxes) by industry
Eurozone versus Switzerland
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
Eurozone
Switzerland
6
4
6.6
5.7
6.0
5.6
5.6
4.2
0
Fiscal year
2008/2009
Fiscal year
2009/2010
Fiscal year
2010/2011
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 45
Average cost of debt used
(before corporate taxes) by industry
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
Total
5.2
Automotive
5.5
n/a
Chemicals
5.3
n/a
4.8
5.0
4.7
n/a
Industrial Products
5.8
n/a
4.5
Software
n/a
Telecommunications
n/a
4.9
0
Figure 46
Determination of the capital structure
Total* (in percent)
Source: KPMG
60
50
54
40
44
38
30
32
30
20
20
10
0
Companys current
capital structure
Companys target
capital structure
Derivation from a
peer group
Value in Use
Fair Value less costs to sell
* Multiple answers were allowed in response to this question,
making it possible that the total deviates from 100 percent.
Michael Salcher
Partner, Corporate Finance
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 47
Average capital structure
Total (in percent)
Trend analysis
The trend of declining leverage from
previous years continues in fiscal year
2010/2011.
Source: KPMG
100
80
60
67
40
55
48
20
0
Fiscal year
2008/2009
Fiscal year
2010/2011
Fiscal year
2009/2010
Figure 48
Average WACC applied (after corporate taxes)
Germany versus Switzerland (in percent)
Source: KPMG
10
8
8.9
7.9
7.9
7.9
7.9%
Germany
Switzerland
Fiscal year
2009/2010
Fiscal year
2010/2011
Figure 49
Average WACC applied (after corporate taxes)
by industry
(in percent)
Source: KPMG
Total
7,9
Automotive
7,6
n/a
Chemicals
8,3
n/a
7,8
6,4
8,4
Financial Services
n/a
Industrial Products
8,4
n/a
7,0
Software
n/a
Telecommunications
n/a
7,0
n/a
0
10
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 50
Use of the growth rate
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
100
80
96
92
60
40
20
0
Growth rate
No growth rate
Value in Use
Fair Value less costs to sell
Figure 51
Determination of the growth rate
Total (in percent)
Figure 52
Determination of the growth rate
Switzerland (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
1.5%
is the average growth rate used to
determine the value in use; only
1.2percent for the determination of
the fair value less costs to sell.
10
22
25
30
29
24
7
29
19
5
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 53
Growth rates used
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
60
58
50
40
40
43
30
25
20
17
10
8
6
4
0
0.0 to 1.0
1.01 to 2.0
2.01 to 3.0
3.01 to 4.0
2
4
more than4.0
Value in Use
Fair Value less costs to sell
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
5 Outlook
Overall Economic
Development
Figure 54
Overall economic development 2012
Total (in percent)
Source: KPMG
12
13
27
45
Significant decline
Slight decline
Unchanged
Slight improvement
Significant improvement
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cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 55
Overall economic development 2012
Germany (in percent)
Figure 56
Overall economic development 2012
Switzerland (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
1
13
13
9
15
24
19
54
46
Significant decline
Slight decline
Unchanged
Slight improvement
Significant improvement
More than
50%
of the surveyed companies expect
a positive development for both the
own industry as well as the overall
economy for 2012. In the previous
year it was roughly 80 percent of the
participating companies that expected
a positive economic development in
2011.
Michael Salcher
Partner, Corporate Finance
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Of the German participating companies, 62 percent expected an improvement of the developments in their
industry for 2012. Similar to their
expectations concerning the overall
economic development, 27 percent of
the Swiss companies participating in
the survey expect a major deterioration of the industry development in the
near future.
Figure 57
Economic development 2012
Energy & Power Generation (in percent)
Figure 58
Economic development 2012
Financial Services (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
0
14
30
43
00
14
40
29
30
Significant decline
Slight decline
Unchanged
Slight improvement
Significant improvement
Of particularly high interest are the reasons leading to the expectations of the
industry developments of the respective participants. 45 percent of all surveyed companies tie their expectations about the industry development
to the general economic development,
while 21 percent attribute industry
trends to political and regulatory conditions, 18percent to trends in the society and 12percent to advancements in
research and technology.
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has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Figure 59
Development of interest rate level
Germany (in percent)
Figure 60
Development of interest rate level
Switzerland (in percent)
Source: KPMG
Source: KPMG
0
1
00
3
10
21
45
52
69%
of the surveyed companies expect an
increase of the interest rate level in
2012 compared to the previous year.
68
Significant increase
Slight increase
Stable
Slight decline
Significant decline
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cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Automotive
Dr. Marc Castedello
Partner
T +49 89 9282-1145
[email protected]
Automotive
Industrial Products
Gertraud Dirscherl
Partner
T +49 89 9282-1200
[email protected]
Jens Koch
Director
T +49 711 9060-41112
[email protected]
Software
Telecommunications
Transport & Logistics
Hartmut Paulus
Partner
T +49 69 9587-3747
[email protected]
Stephan Fetsch
Partner
T +49 221 2073-5534
[email protected]
Michael Salcher
Partner
T +49 89 9282-1239
[email protected]
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Industrial Products
Dr. Jakob Schrder
Partner
T +49 211 475-8200
[email protected]
Automotive
Industrial Products
Ralf Weimer
Director
T +49 89 9282-1150
[email protected]
Financial Services
Gernot Zeidler
Partner
T +49 69 9587-2864
[email protected]
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm
has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. The KPMG name, logo and
cutting through complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.
Your contacts
Germany
Overall responsibility
Technical coordination
T +49 89 9282-1145
[email protected]
Austria
Switzerland
Johannes Post
Partner, Corporate Finance
KPMG AG
Badenerstrasse 172
8026 Zurich
T +41 44 249-2374
[email protected]
www.kpmg.com
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual
or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is
accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information
without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.
2012 KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent
firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to
obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such
authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Printed in Germany. The KPMG name, logo and cutting through
complexity are registered trademarks of KPMG International.