Lecture Outline - 11b - Keynesian Economics - MACHEMATICS

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Determination of Income

Prof. ND Samarawickreme
Keynesian Economics
Keyness consumption function
C = f (Y)
C=a+bY
When income is zero people still consume using their savings.
Let us assume that the Consumption function takes the following form:
TWO- SECTOR ECONOMY
C= 100 + 0.75 Y
I= 200
Y=C+I
Y = 100 + 0.75 Y + 200
Y 0.75 Y = 100+200
Y (1 - 0.75) = 300
Y=

300
=
(1 0.75)

300
=
0.25

300
4
= 300 *
1
1
4

C = 100 + 0.75 (1200) = 1000


S=YC
S = Y- (100 + 0.75 Y)
S = Y 100 0.75 Y
= -100 +Y 0.75 Y
S = - 100 + 0.25 Y
S = 1200 1000 = 200
In this economy S = I and is in equilibrium.

= 1200

S = 200 and I = 200

Aggregate expenditure

C= 100 + 0.75 Y + 200

45 0

2200
2000
1800
1600

C= 100 + 0.75 Y

1400
1200

S= I =200

1000
800
600
400

THREE SECTOR MODEL

200 Y

=C+I+G

-100C= 100
200+ 0.75
400 Yd
600

S
-I

800

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200


National Income = National output =Y

I= 200
G = 300
Yd = Y T
T=tY
If t= 20 %
Yd = Y 0.2 Y
Y=C+I+G
Y = 100 + 0.75 (Y 0.2Y) + 200 + 300
Y = 100 + 0.75Y 0.15Y + 200 + 300
Y 0.75 Y + 0.15 Y= 100+200 +300
Y (1 - 0.75 + 0.15) = 600

Y=

600
=
(1 0.75 + 0.15)

600
=
0.4

600
=
4
10

600 *

10
4

= 600 *

5
= 1500
2

C = 100 + 0.75 (1200 0.2Y) = 1000


S = Yd C
S = (Y- 0.2Y) - (100 + 0.6 Y)
S = 0.8Y (100 + 0.6 Y)
= -100 +0.8Y 0.6 Y
S = - 100 + 0.2 Y
S = -100 +0.2 (1500) = 200
T = 0.2 Y
T = 0.2 (1500) = 300
LEAKAGES

INJECTIONS

200

300

200

300

Aggregate expenditure

45 0

2200
2000
C= 100 + 0.6 Y + 200 +300

1800
1600

C= 100 + 0.6 Y

1400
S + T= I + G
=200

1200
1000
800
600

FOUR-SECTOR MODEL

400

S = -100 +0.2 Y

200
-200

T = 0.2Y

200

400

600

800

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200

Y = C + I + G +(X-M)
C= 100 + 0.75 Yd
I= 200
G = 300
X = 600
M = 200
Yd = Y T
T=tY
If t= 20 %
Yd = Y 0.2 Y
Y = C + I + G + (X M)
Y = 100 + 0.75 (Y 0.2Y) + 200 + 300 + (600 -200)
Y = 100 + 0.75Y 0.15Y + 200 + 300 + 400
Y 0.75 Y + 0.15 Y= 100+200 +300 + 400
Aggregate expenditure

Y (1 - 0.75 + 0.15) = 1000


1000
Y=
=
(1 0.75 + 0.15)

1000
=
0.4

2600

1000
10
= 1000 *
4
4
10

5
= 1000 * = 2500
2

45 0

2400
2200

T = 0.2 Y

S = - 100 + 0.2 Y

2000

T = 0.2 (2500) = 500

S = -100 +0.2 (2500) = 400

1800
1600
1400
1200
1000

I + G + (X M)
C= 100 + 0.6 Y

LEAKAGES

INJECTIONS

+ M

+ X

400

500

+ 200

200

300 + 600

800
T = 0.2Y
S = -100 +0.2 Y

600
400
T =500

200
-200

200

400

600

800

S= 400

1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 Y

C= 100 + 0.6 Y + 200 +300 + 400

C= 100 + 0.6 Y + 200 +300

Working of multiplier process


Assume that b= 0.8, I = 100
Round of income
Generation
First round
Second round
Third round
Fourth round
Fifth round
------Last round
Total Income

Consumer
spending
-75.00
64.00
51.20
40.96

Income
generation

Symbolically

100
80.00
64.00
51.20
40.96

I
bI
b2I
b3I
b4I

0.00

bn I

500.00

Y = I + b I + b2I + b3I+ b4I .. bn I


= I (1 + b + b2 + b3 + b4 + . bn )
Geometric series can be approximated as: (1 + b + b2 + b3 + b4 + . bn )

1
= (1 b)
I *

1
(1 b)

= 100 *

1
1
=
(1 0.8) (0.2)

1
1
= 100 *
(1 0.8)
(0.2)

= 100 *

1 5
=
1 1
5

1
5
= 100 * = 500
1
1
5

Our model
Y =a +b Y +I
a +I
1
=
* (a + I)
(1 b )
(1 b)
Y =100 + 0.75 Y + 200
100 + 200
1
1
Y* =
=
* (100 + 200) =
* (300) =1200
(1 0.75)
(1 0.75)
0.25
1
1
4
Multiplier is :
=
=
1
0.25
1
4
Y* =

With Tax:
Y* =

a +I
(1 b +bt )

1
* (a + I)
(1 b +b t)

Y =100 + 0.75 Y + 200 + 300


100 +200 +300
1
1
Y* =
=
* (100 + 200 +300) =
* (600) =1500
(1 0.75 +0.15 )
(1 0.6)
0.4
1
1
2.5
Multiplier is :
=
=
4
0.4
1
10

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