Air Scoop December 2006
Air Scoop December 2006
Air Scoop December 2006
L
ast May, Air Scoop made a special issue on Central and Eas- Air France-KLM announced the launch of a
tern European LCC markets. These markets are more than new LCC.
ever under heavy competitive pressure (p. 13), especially since Based in Paris Orly Airport, it would be mo-
powerful “Islanders” decided to invade them (p. 14). Maciej Kwia- deled on its subsidiary: transavia.com, and
tkowski, CEO of Centralwings, Polish LCC, has kindly answered jointly owned by Air France (60%) and tran-
to our questions about his company, his market and his competitors savia.com (40%). The French-Dutch legacy
(p. 2). These C&E markets are also important as they are conside- carrier wants to benefit from the important
red as a step towards far eastern areas, such as Russia (p. 11-12), for leisure market with this medium-haul carrier
many European LCCs. Indeed, German LCCs prefers to attack these with “southern” destinations (Morocco, Spain,
new markets with currently low LCC penetration rather than wes- Tunisia…).
tern European markets (p. 11). Russian airports are also aware of the
opportunities and threats created by the development of low-cost Ryanair announced a third base in Spain by
carriers in these markets (p. 12). The use of SWOT Analysis or Mi- the end of 2007.
chael Porter’s Five Forces framework (p. 6-7) applied to these mar- Ryanair has already two hubs in Spain in Gi-
kets is really relevant to understand factors of influence and to anti- rona and Madrid, and is still negotiating with
cipate as best as possible future mutations. For instance, Ryanair is five Spanish airports to decide where to settle
generally given top billing for generating non-ticket revenue from its its last base.
passengers. But another star may steal a portion of the spotlight from
Europe’s top low cost carrier (p. 5). A recent study from the Civil Air Scoop - In the Air
Aviation Authority (CAA) pointed out benefits of European LCCs,
but also revealed that socio-economic profiles of air passengers have
not changed (p. 4). The release of this study matched with the World Vueling: a base in Paris
Travel Market 2006 in London (p. 8). This was an opportunity to
meet some delegates and speakers, like Vojin Vlahovic (Director
of Montenegro National Tourism Organisation) and Niko Bulic
(Director of Croatian National Tourist Board) and to know their
points of view on Low-cost carriers in Europe (p. 9). This event was
also a chance to discover smaller carriers, such as Fly Gibraltar (p.
10).
As the year 2006 finishes, the whole Air Scoop Team wishes you a
merry Christmas and a great new year 2007! We would like to thank
all our readers who have made this first year of Air Scoop newsletter
such a phenomenal success. See you in 2007 for more LCCs analysis,
exclusive interviews of LCCs leaders, full LCCs events coverage, and
many new projects yet to come. Ryanair and
UAV 737RS
Could you please present Centra- many attractive destinations all over
lwings to our readers? What are your Europe. We know the market and
specificities compared to other Euro- we know it well. We want to be as
pean LCCs? What do you do better attentive as possible to our passengers
than your competitors? needs - offering good quality and best
standards.
Centralwings has been operating fli-
ghts into the UK since February 2005 Ryanair, easyJet and Wizz Air have
and into Ireland since October 2005. number of Polish nationals choosing
announced the launch of new routes to travel for business and occupatio-
We operate routes into London Ga- to Polish market. How do you plan
twick from Warsaw and Krakow; nal opportunities; for tourism; and
to manage such competition in this to visit family and friends. We also
Edinburgh from Warsaw, Gdansk and market? What are your advantages
Katowice; Shannon from Warsaw; provide visitors to Poland with access
on this market? to some of the most beautiful and ex-
and Dublin from Wrocław, Gdansk
and Katowice. We have carried over citing destinations, such as Krakow,
In addition to the routes mentioned Wroclaw, and Gdansk.
1.9 million passengers since the begin- above, Centralwings has added 11
ning of our operations. Centralwings new routes to its schedule for win-
operates nine Boeing 737 400s and “Islanders” (Ryanair and easyJet)
ter 2006/7. Centralwings operates need to find new attractive destina-
300s. The fleet is serviced and main- the largest number of the flights on
tained at a certified technical base of tions to maintain their growth; The-
the Polish market during this season. refore Central Europe represents an
PLL LOT. This includes 6 new flights to the UK
We offer our passengers all kinds of important market for these LCCs.
and Ireland (from Warsaw to London Who are your most dangerous com-
services to make their travel easier, Stansted, Gdansk to Shannon, Wro-
faster and more low cost. Centra- petitors: ‘Centralers’ (SkyEurope,
claw to London Stansted and Cork, Wizz Air, Estonian Airlines…) or
lwings gives wide variety of payment Krakow to Cork and Szczecin to Du-
methods, by money transfer, cash or ‘Islanders’: Now? In near future?
blin). This winter we offer a total of
credit card. Our passengers are able to 24 connections.
choose their seat at the check in and Poland is the second fastest growing
We operate to the UK, Ireland, Ita- air travel market in the world after
pay less for any excess luggage then in ly, France (routes to Lille and Paris
any other low cost airline. China. Central Europe is very compe-
launched this winter) and other mar- titive, with the presence of all the ma-
Children aged between 2-16 years old kets. We also offer charter flights and
are eligible for a 20 per cent discount jor European players. Even this year,
charter-mix products (in the win- there have been new entrants. Cen-
when traveling with Centralwings, ter season this year this will feature
and there is no charge for infants un- tralwings has just celebrated a second
Grenoble - very popular with Polish year of operations during which time
der 2-years old. Passengers needing to skiers last year and a successfully
check in excess baggage can pre-book it has become third largest player in
performing route for Centralwings). the Polish LCC market and achieved a
at a discounted rate via the Centra- During the summer seasons we also
lwings website. We also offer two op- 17 per cent share of the market. Next
operate Mediterranean charters to year, we will build on this strong foo-
tions for travel insurance, group rates, holiday destinations in the Greek Is-
special offers, car rentals, hotels and ting. Healthy competition is very good
lands and Sicily. These are extremely for passengers in terms of pricing and
much more. Our Call Centre is availa- popular with Poles. At present we are
ble in five language versions and our the wide variety of schedules and ser-
a major charter operator within the vices available. We are able to offer
Website – www.centralwings.com - is Polish market, with a 33% share of the
one of the three most popular websi- attractive discounts and promotions
sector. We are able to combine ticket to our customers, offering tickets so-
tes in Poland with more than six mil- sales for tour operators with direct
lion page views per month. metimes for as little as 1 euro, pound
online sales through charter-mix. or zloty.
We are the only Polish low cost airline Currently the most important stra-
operating from seven regional airports tegic markets for Centralwings are
in Poland, carrying people to and from the UK and Ireland, due to the large
LCC EVENT
The 4th French Connect takes place on 25-27th April 2007 in La Baule. This unique event offers you the op-
portunity to network with some of the most influential people in European Low Cost aviation.
French airports, the legislators and Europe’s low cost operators all in one place with first-class conference faci-
lities, superb hotels and dining and a relaxed, entertaining business environment : book your place today!
For further information, please check www.frenchconnect.net
“We believe most leisure travelers are concerned prima- The largest percentage of ancillary revenue is generated
rily with purchasing air travel for the least expensive price by the sale of hotel rooms packaged with air travel.
and do not value many of the amenities provided by most
other airlines for free. As such, we have created new sour- All of these distinctions make Allegiant Air a rare bird
ces of revenue by charging fees for services most U.S. airli- in American skies. Its record of consistent profits since
nes currently bundle in their product offering. We believe 2003 suggest the airline has found an attractive niche with
by offering a simple base product at an attractive low fare U.S. consumers. Allegiant’s ability to achieve continued
we can drive demand and generate incremental revenue growth and success may eventually force a redefinition of
as customers pay additional amounts for conveniences the model used by LCCs in the United States.
they value. We aim to continue to create new revenue
sources by further unbundling our product.” As Southwest Airlines once influenced a revolution in
Europe, Ryanair may return the favor by providing the
While this strategy may be little used in the U.S. market, model that is fueling success at Allegiant Air.
it’s difficult to argue with the success enjoyed by Alle-
giant Air. According to the same SEC filing, Allegiant Sources of Information used in this article:
Air achieved revenue growth of 46.6% for fiscal year 2005
• Allegiant Travel Company SEC Form S-1, Preliminary Prospectus da-
over prior year results. Its cost structure may be the envy ted August 23, 2006.
of the U.S. airline industry with an 18.3% advantage over • Financial reports filed by Ryanair for quarters ended June 30, 2006
the average costs of its LCC peers. Allegiant’s profita- and March 31, 2006.
ble record, emphasis on low costs, and drive for ancillary • Exchange rate assumptions: 1US$ = €0.794 Euro, and 1€ =
US$1.259
revenues places it closer to Ryanair and the European
model of offering consumers low fares and an unbundled IdeaWorks cannot guarantee, and assumes no legal liability or respon-
product. sibility for the accuracy, currency or completeness of the information.
Internal rivalry
Entry barriers
Market share can be gained either by opening up a non ser-
The capital intensity of the industry and the limited pos-
ved route or entering into one which is already served by
sibilities of alternative use of the equipments mean that
another carrier. Direct competition therefore occurs if at
sunk costs are generally high constituting a high entry/
least two airlines serve the same route and in this respect
exit barrier to players. However, the new, flexible forms
an entrant can cause the exit of the incumbent player. So
of financing and the tendency to lease aircrafts have signi-
far, the Central European carriers have been able to expand
ficantly lowered those barriers. Furthermore, due to libe-
relatively freely without facing major threats from other
ralisation, administrative obstacles have been eliminated
players. However, as the ‘Islanders’ started their expansion
to a large extent, thus entry to the market became much
to the CE market, intense rivalry arose exactly on those
easier. Expectations about post entry competition, howe-
routes which represent the biggest passenger flows: des-
ver, play a substantial role, especially because the Western
tination pairs from CE capitals to Western and Southern
market is about to reach saturation point and expansion
European metropolises (especially London, Paris, Rome
is primarily taking place in Central Europe. As the num-
and Barcelona) are affected the most, although the high
ber of non served routes decreases, entry will be possible
and relatively less volatile market demand on these routes
only into routes where at least one low-cost player is there
lowers the intensity of rivalry. This is one reason why local
already. Consequently, even if entry/exit barriers current-
carriers keep opening up non served routes and why some
ly are relatively low in Central Europe, they are expected
exits from certain routes have already taken place (for
to rise to a medium level in the future.
example SkyEurope withdrew from Budapest-London
and Warsaw-London, WizzAir from Budapest-Milan and
Substitutes and complements
Budapest-Amsterdam, serving instead Budapest-Eindho-
Traditional air carriers, charter airlines and other means
ven). On the one hand, the total number of those routes,
of transport may appear as substitutes to low-cost flights.
where competition is stiff, is still not significant enough
Even though the fares of traditional air carriers have fallen
compared to the overall size and number of routes served
on routes where they face competition from LCCs, in ge-
in the CE market. On the other hand, the limitations to
neral, their service still cannot be considered competitive if
product diversification (price is the most decisive element
price is taken as the defining element of consumer choice.
of competition) together with the high price transparency
While low-cost carriers mostly target new demand, at the
that makes switching from one carrier to another rather
same time price sensitive passengers tend to switch from
easy for a customer, internal rivalry tends to range from
traditional carriers to LCCs. In the CE market the Euro-
low to medium levels. In the long run, if the growth of
Mr. Vlahovic, this is the first year at the WTM as an independent nation for Montenegro.
What do you believe will be the development of Low-Cost Airlines in your country?
We already have some conversations with two low cost airlines, Ryanair and easyJet. Howe-
ver, Ryanair did show higher interest than easyJet. Ryanair spoke to our Minister of Tourism
about their launch, which is supposed to be any time during the year 2007. These are the only
talks with LCCs till now. Ryanair will probably fly to our two airports, one in the capital Pod-
gorica and other in Tivat. Both airports are completely reconstructed and renovated. We did Vojin Vlahovic
invest more than 20 million Euros improving the infrastructure to attract investors. The funds
came as a loan from the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development.
Will be given any incentives for Ryanair for operating Some new members of Open Sky Agreement after joining
these two airports? the European Union are afraid of negative consequences
in their countries because of the influence of LCCs, I am
It is too early to speak about incentives given to Ryanair. speaking for example about the “cheap tourism effect”.
Some negotiations are not finished yet, and we are waiting Are you not afraid of it?
for the final decision in this issue.
We are not afraid of Low-Cost cheap tourism. We are
Are you open for negotiations with other LCCs? very committed to high quality of Montenegro tourism.
We know our capacity and we look for sustainable econo-
We are open to welcome any Low-Cost Carrier on our mic, ecological and social development. And the LCCs are
airports after joining the Open Sky Agreement. There are very well informed about our wishes and plans. We do not
already some proposals and negotiations between the Na- want to exaggerate and receive massive of people, and we
tional Montenegro Carrier, Ministry of Transportation will be very careful in this issue
and the Ministry of Tourism regarding the development
of LCCs in our country.
You did speak about LCCs connections and routes in Niko Bulic
your country, growing numbers of independent trave-
lers and subsidies programs in the tourism sector. What units sides, turning some premises that we are not in tou-
do you believe will be the further development of LCCs rism active like further arms areas into tourism. Croatia
in your country and the consolidation in that sector? needs additional 50.000 hotel rooms for 3 class and 4 and 5
Are there any figures related to the investment in your stars. And then it will be for anyone who wants to feature
airports, any subsidies for this sector? Croatia to see how to better connect Croatia with the rest
At last but not least, what about the “Cheap Tourism of Europe.
Effect” in Croatia, are you not worried about it?
You do not have to be now a British Tour Operator or
British Air Carrier to fly from Britain to Croatia. You can
Sky operations and rules are completely opened in Croatia, do it with British, Irish or other Carrier from Britain from
so it is now to the commercial and risk estimation of the Spain, France or other parts of Europe and fly to Croatia.
Low-Cost Carriers to entry to Croatia. The only problem We do not see any obstruction. It is not threatening our
that we see for ourselves comes from the structure of the National Carrier Croatia Airline but competition adds to
accommodating units. There are two things we should be the market excitement.
going for all together by using already our
http://www.flygib.com
Could you please present Fly Gibraltar to our readers?
What are your specificities compared to other European
LCCs?
We should see shortly the first low-cost long-haul flight
to Europe. Do you think it can be the new trend in the
Fly Gibraltar is totally private and independent airline.
Low Cost Carrier Industry? Do you believe that consoli-
The funding comes from a Property Development Com-
dation of the market will lead just to very small number
pany, the owner is Mr. Robert Noonen from Ireland. Fly
of LCCs in Europe.
Gibraltar is based on LCC model but we start to intro-
duce some differences, an extensive selection of services,
The future of LCC is on short-haul flights. The traditio-
a choice of hot meals, light snacks, newspapers, magazines
nal airlines will operate long-haul flights and will have
and seat allocation. We do not want to compromise us
fewer opportunities on short-haul. People want to travel
just to the LCC No Frills model. Fly Gibraltar will con-
as cheap as possible. There is no danger; there is enough
nect Gibraltar with London Stansted, Birmingham, Bris-
space for all of them. And the final decision about the
tol, Manchester and Dublin from April 2007. We will start
future of LCC will make the passengers.
to operate with 2 aircrafts, then we intent to increase one
aircraft and the fourth in the third year.
What is your opinion on Low-Cost Carriers quality? Do
you believe passengers will see any changes in the fu-
What about your routes strategy for the future?
ture?
We plan to expand our routes to Russia and Spain, with
Low Cost Model means flexibility in Cost Management,
direct flights to Barcelona and Galicia. The connection
but meanwhile a certain minimum level of service must
to Galicia is for example at the moment quite complica-
be maintained. Flying is a commodity and passengers want
ted; indeed for passengers that fly to Málaga, they have to
to travel comfortable, but above all cheap. Many people
change the plane in Madrid to finally arrive in Galicia.
are flying now because it is cheap, many of them could not
have afforded it in the past. Obviously you cannot expect
What kind of passenger are you looking for and which
a special service quality flying for 20 Euros. If we start to
area are you focused on?
offer more than the minimum level of service, it would
not be a low cost model any more.
Our passengers will be 50% holiday makers and 50% bu-
siness travelers and British expatriates. Our area of ope-
ration is focused in Gibraltar as a destination. But we are
also focused on Andalusia (south part of Spain) as a cat-
chments area. We are promoting both areas and making
Marketing Mix for those two regions.
German LCCs Going (Far) East the Russian capital city, Air Berlin/DBA is landing at Do-
modedovo airport (South of the city), and Germanwings
By buying his challenger DBA in August 2006, Air Berlin at Vnukovo (West).
has not only reinforced its national network and its num-
ber of business customers, the leading German LCC also Eastern Europe is still one big battlefield for European
won new international routes. LCCs. Poland and Hungary represent already quite busy
markets, and in Romania and Bulgaria, new routes open
Indeed, since 2005, DBA was flying from Munich, Berlin every season. SkyEurope even called its global develop-
and Düsseldorf to Moscow, and since June 2006, it was ment strategy « Go East ». But until now, neither the two
also connecting Stuttgart to the capital of Russia. In addi- big « Islanders » (Ryanair and easyJet), nor the « Cen-
tion, on December 21st, Air Berlin will open for the first tralers » (SkyEurope, Wizz Air, Centralwings...) operate
time its own route to Russia (Nurnberg-Moscow), three flights to Russia. Apart from German ones, only WindJet,
times a week, with connections to several national and Air Baltic or eVolaVia are landing in Moscow. By ope-
international Air Berlin destinations, such as Milan, Pa- ning its Nurnberg-Moscow route, Air Berlin becomes the
ris, Rome... The airline will also inaugurate on December first huge LCC connecting Western Europe to the Russian
18th a route between Berlin-Tegel and Saint Petersburg, city. For the German carrier, it may be an important com-
on Mondays and Fridays. petitive advantage for the future, as the edges of Europe
Now the battle for Russia really begins in the German sky. - Russia, Scandinavia, Northern Africa... - are becoming
Germanwings, Air Berlin’s challenger, opened its first rou- new stakes of the competition on the low-cost market.
tes to Russia, Köln-Moscow and Berlin-Moscow, during
the 2005 summer season. Since summer 2006, it operates Russia may also soon have its own low-cost company as
flights from Köln/Bonn to Saint Petersburg. And since the the first Russian budget airline is expected to be put in
end of October 2006, Germanwings also connects Ham- service at the beginning of 2007. SkyExpress, a common
burg to Moscow and Berlin to Saint Petersburg. The ex- investment of the Russian airline KrasAir and the EBRD
pansion to East is not over: next year, Germanwings will (European bank for reconstruction and development), may
operate one flight per day from Köln/Bonn to Moscow. In serve 20 destinations in the western part of the country.
Vnukovo Airport is the oldest airport in Moscow; we ce- We give to our partners Air Carriers marketing support,
lebrated the 65th anniversary this summer. The Vnukovo especially as advertising programs, because we want to de-
airport is the closest to the Moscow City, only 11 kilome- velop our airport as fast as possible. Unfortunately main
ters to the Moscow Ring Road. Now we are on a big de- fees, in Russia and especially in Moscow, are under Go-
velopment program, we are constructing a new terminal vernment regulation, so these three airports should have
for international and domestic flights. The new interna- the same rates.
tional terminal B is already constructed and was put into
operation two years ago. Our main shareholder the Mos- Do you see any difficulties for European LCCs to join
cow City Government plans this development till 2015, so the Russian Market?
there is so much to do. We have some legal and technical problems. For instance,
not so many people in Russia use internet payments and
Which LCCs are you going to welcome on your airport? credits cards, this is the first problem. Then, we are still
waiting for a new Tax Law that would permit using of
Now we have two terminals, one for domestic flights and electronic tickets, the newest tickets technology. Current-
one for international flights, the third is under construc- ly, the sale of any type of tickets, except paper tickets,
tion now. When the new terminal will be launched, Ter- is simply illegal. However, I think that these problems
minal A, in this Terminal we will serve only regular flights, about this law should be solved in beginning of coming
scheduled flights international and domestic. Other parts, year. Many airlines are looking to increase their frequen-
now existing parts of our terminal complex, will be used cies to Moscow. For example, SkyEurope is looking to
for charter flights and low-cost carriers. So any types of connect Bratislava with Moscow, therefore the Slovakian
LCCs are welcome in our airport. President is now negotiating with Russia about the route.
Many bilateral agreements between Russia and European
Union should be solved, but we do not know when.
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