Read The Full Reportqwdqwddwqdqw
Read The Full Reportqwdqwddwqdqw
Read The Full Reportqwdqwddwqdqw
Search
Contents
3 4 8
Introduction Evolution of labour markets Revolution of labour markets?
10 Mapping innovation 13 Nurturing innovation 15 Fostering innovation for the global community 17 18
Recommendations for creating successful innovation ecosystems About this report
This report was written by Anna Lawlor and edited by Monica Woodley of The Economist Intelligence Unit.
Search
2
Search
Introduction
Global economies are on the cusp of a third-wave industrial revolution in which enterprising, young innovators will play a central role.
The rise of micro-multinationals start-ups which operate across high- and low-cost locations, delivering to an international customer base exemplies the opportunities wrought by globalisation, digital communications and the internet. The challenges for business leaders and policymakers are to empower such opportunities for entrepreneurs and to foster domestic and international innovation ecosystems, while mitigating an increasingly dysfunctional global labour market.
1
Search
3
Search
10% 6% 7% 5% 8%
10%
9% 5%
8% 6%
8%
7%
2002 2012 UK
*Chinas 2002 = 2012 gures estimated. **Indias 2012 gures estimated. Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit. Please note: data not available for Nigeria. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alvin_Tofer https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/elds/2012.html 4 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/elds/2012.html
2 3
Search
4
Search
growth in 2011 yet had a labour participation rate of 47.9%; fewer than half of its citizens of working age are employed. Equally, India produced 6.3% GDP growth in 2011 and had a labour participation rate of 55.6%. China bucks the trend, with 9.3% GDP in 2011 and the highest labour participation rate of the eight countries examined in this report, at 74.1%.
However, as the International Labour Organisation (ILO) considers a person to be employed if they have worked at least one hour in gainful employment in the most recent week, such gures could considerably underestimate the underemployment rate in many countries.
UK 2000 62% 2011 62% France 2000 55% 2011 56% Israel 2000 54% 2011 57% China 2000 77% 2011 74%
2012
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
-10
2009
2010
2011
2012
Search
5
Search
Mature economies where economic growth has been less robust are also dealing with growing ageing populations making them top-heavy and producing fewer young people to replace the generations who are approaching retirement or are already retired. France and the UK have the highest proportion of over-65s in their population (of the eight countries examined for this report), whereas in fast-growing countries such as Nigeria and Brazil those aged over 65 account for a signicantly smaller share less than half that of France and the UK. This poses a problem, and identies a potential opportunity for fast-growing countries; their economies are not maximising the young and dynamic population available to the workforce, as demonstrated by the low labour participation rates.
55
1961 2011
1961 2011
1961 2011
1961 2011
1961 2011
1961 2011
1961 2011
1961 2011
Brazil
Source: World Bank.
China
France
India
Nigeria
UK
United States
Israel
Search
6
Search
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
Brazil
Source: World Bank.
China
France
India
Nigeria
UK
United States
Israel
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
1961 2012
Brazil
Source: World Bank.
China
France
India
Nigeria
UK
United States
Israel
Search
7
Search
>75million
Source: Eurostat.
Instead, it is evidence of some social and economic dysfunction; he explains that theyre kind of cheap labour at the fringe, which enables the real entrepreneurial creators who are able to draw from this employment pool quickly and easily.
formal economy. This can obscure or skew the true economic picture. It is estimated that half of Indias economy and as much as 90% of its labour force fall under the informal economy,9 second only to Sub-Saharan Africa, which has the largest informal economy in the world.
Search
Professor Prabhu believes the next generations approach to work will transform parts of the global labour market: We will start to see a very different type of employment, where young people are not looking to big companies to employ them but will increasingly start being their own employer, have their own business. He believes that the democratisation of innovation is under way. In the 20th century, innovation was the preserve of large corporations with access to resources, large teams and R&D (research and development) budgets, he explains. Both in developing and developed economies, were starting to see something of a revolution where, increasingly, smaller teams with fewer resources can do things that they couldnt do even ten years ago. This is because of the new economy. This, he says, is facilitated by open access to knowledge through free online courses (known as Massive Open Online Courses, or MOOCs), access to non-traditional funding sources like crowdfunding, the ability to quickly and affordably create prototypes with 3D printers, and access to social media and internet-enabled networks that help young entrepreneurs to commercialise their innovations and source new markets.
20 14.7% Israel Source: CIA World Factbook - Unless otherwise noted, information in the page is accurate as of january 1, 2012
China*
5.8%
10
20
30
40 38%
38%
*Youth unemployment rate, aged 15-24, both sexes. Source: Millennium Development Goals Database 1 United Nations Statistics Division. **World Bank statistics. Sources: CIA World Factbook.10 *OECD.11 **World Bank.12 http://www.economist.com/news/business/21578658-talent-exchanges-web-are-starting-transform-world-work-workforce http://www.cipd.co.uk/pressofce/press-releases/zero-hours-contracts-more-widespread-thought-050813.aspx 7 Youth Unemployment Trends: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Unemployment_statistics#Youth_unemployment_trends 8 Youth Unemployment Trends: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/Unemployment_statistics#Youth_unemployment_trends 9 https://www.credit-suisse.com/newsletter/doc/apac/aic2013/20130712_indiamkt.pdf 10 http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?v=2229 11 https://skills.oecd.org/informationbycountry/chinapeoplesrepublicof.html 12 http://businessdayonline.com/2013/11/addressing-youth-unemployment-in-nigeria/
5 6
Search
9
Search
Mapping innovation
While the internet allows this development anywhere, innovation ecosystems have emerged in multiple locations around the world hubs or hotspots of entrepreneurial activity that form a geographic cluster, for example in Silicon Valley in the United States.
David Gill, Managing Director of St Johns Innovation Centre (established by St Johns College, part of the University of Cambridge, UK), says: I think the paradox of the connected world is that, yes, it is easier and easier for somebody in the UK to be collaborating with someone in Poland or Silicon Valley, but you still nd you get geographic concentrations of people. Partly, I think, because its to do with how you build up trust and cultures to start with.
92,595
USA
UK
25,326
China
15,509
India
7,400
Brazil
Source: Quid research; Relative news volume surrounding innovation and entrepreneurship for distinct geographies as extracted from open information streams by the Quid natural language processing and conversation mapping engine.
Search
10
Search
In order to investigate the development of innovation ecosystems around the world, The Economist Intelligence Unit turned to Silicon Valley start-up Quid Inc. As the internet has changed labour markets, so it has also changed research. By mining tens of thousands of news and blog sources online,13 Quid was able to map conversations in eight diverse geographies with identied innovation ecosystems: the US, UK, France, China, India, Israel, Brazil and Nigeria.
incubators, investments and partnerships that dominated. In this context, Chinas innovation ecosystem (based on the Quid data) was as introverted and domestically focused as the Western ecosystems. The innovation ecosystems of developing countries particularly Brazil, Israel and Nigeria were typically less introspective, focusing on global trade and strategic regional or global partnerships. To a lesser extent, Indias top ten content clusters included international partnerships to foster entrepreneurial collaboration (with Australia and Cambridge University in the UK, respectively).
Connecting ecosystems
By amalgamating the locations named in content clusters about each of the eight innovation ecosystems examined, a map emerges of the connections between them. The chart below identies not only domestic innovation ecosystems such as Chicago, New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles, in addition to Silicon Valley, in the US but also the other ecosystems discussed in each countrys news. The USs overall dominance of news pertaining to innovation, entrepreneurialism and start-up businesses is clear, as is the mutually favourable relationship between the US and Israel with regard to innovation.
Discussing entrepreneurship
The research provides intriguing insights into how people within those geographies14 discuss business innovation and entrepreneurship, which non-domestic locations they associate with innovation ecosystems of interest, and hints at the cultural nuances at play in locations around the world. It is by interpreting data such as these that governments and business leaders can understand the kinds of interventions that might encourage innovation ecosystems to take root, or to nurture entrepreneurs and innovation where such a system is already in place. Quid found that in some largely Western nations online conversations and press coverage were dominated by domestic-focused government policy and data about entrepreneurial activity. This was the case in the UK, which also tended towards broader conversations about small businesses rather than start-ups and entrepreneurs, which were more prevalent terms in the US. Discussions in France also concentrated on domestic companies, but rather than government policy, it was award programmes,
Top ten locations most frequently mentioned in innovation content clusters, according to Quids research
Region 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 US United States Israel India Europe China Silicon Valley Chicago New York San Francisco Los Angeles
Domestic
UK United Kingdom United States London Europe Britain India Northern Ireland Australia Israel China
France France United States Europe Paris London United Kingdom India New York City China San Francisco
China China United States Taiwan Hong Kong Beijing India Singapore Shanghai Israel Asia
India India Bangalore United States Mumbai New Delhi Asia Singapore China United Kingdom Europe
Israel Israel United States New York City Tel Aviv Europe India London Silicon Valley China Singapore
Brazil United States Brazil Europe China India United Kingdom Latin America Asia North America Africa
Nigeria Nigeria Africa Lagos South Africa United States Sub-Saharan Africa Ghana Abuja West Africa India
Source: Quid. Please note: the domestic ecosystems identied in each of the eight geographies are marked in pale blue.
13 14
Caveat: Those who happen to publish their views online between the period Quid examined; some sources (such as a very prolic blogger or journalist) could potentially skew the data ndings based on the terminology they prefer. The Quid data also do not take into account differences in journalistic style/preference across the different regions, which could account for certain words (small business versus start-up) being more prevalent in certain geographies. The data also do not take into account the proportion of the population in each of the eight countries who have access to publishing on the internet, which means that the results may not be truly representative of the views and discussions of those operating in the nations innovation ecosystem.
Search
11
Search
Avner Warner, Director of International Economic Development at Tel Aviv Global City Administration, explains the close ties: The Israeli ecosystem has no local markets (for products), so our local entrepreneurs leapfrog the Israeli market straight to the US. A lot of them consider opening their headquarters in the US in order to market their products there, so we certainly lose part of the value that we create. We lose also some of our local talent, but were living in a global world, and people leaving does create networks. He adds: Weve accepted that Israeli start-ups have to go abroad to go to market, and now the policy Im using is to attract entrepreneurs from Europe to our early-stage ecosystem, playing to our strengths.
Three-quarters of the 6 billion mobile phones being used around the world are in developing economies,15 and such proliferation in mobile technology is supporting microentrepreneurs (the smallest of small businesses, with low seed capital and a handful of employees).16 A study by the London Business School17 18 found that within months of having received mobile network coverage, 80% of shermen in Kerala, southern India, had purchased a mobile phone. They used the mobile devices to call each sh market while still at sea, which enabled them to sell their catch where they were offered the best price, making the market more efcient: the shermens prots increased by 8%, consumer prices were reduced by 4%, and the dumping of unsold sh (which had previously made up 5-8% of the daily catch) was eradicated.
Taking advantage of the proliferation of mobiles, Reuters Market Light (RML)19 provides local and international weather, crop and marketing information in eight languages through SMS to 1.3 million registered farmers in 50,000 Indian villages (although it is estimated to reach 4 million farmers through information-sharing). Such information helps farmers decide when to plant seeds, when to harvest and how best to market their produce and at what price, resulting in a 5.2% reduction in price dispersion.20
Overcoming challenges
Quids ndings appear to support the idea that ecosystems are playing to their strengths, as well as Professor Prabhus assertion that in emerging economies, a lot of the ingenuity is really a response to scarcity, and people innovating solutions to unmet needs. A key theme for Nigeria is overcoming infrastructure challengesalso seen in many other emerging markets. But challenge can foster greater creativity. The success of mobile telephony in the emerging world is really because of the lack of landlines and has been a very remarkable leapfrog, Professor Prabhu says. Mobile phones have pretty much covered most of the countries, and done so much more cheaply and quicker than [through] landline [infrastructure].
4million
Source: Reuters.
The number of farmers in Indian villages who benet from weather, crop and marketing information from Reuters Market Light, via SMS.
http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2012/07/17/mobile-phone-access-reaches-three-quarters-planets-population http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Micro-enterprise 17 http://innovation.london.edu/resource/99/index.html 18 The Digital Provide: Information (Technology), Market Performance, and Welfare in the South Indian Fisheries Sector: http://qje.oxfordjournals.org/content/122/3/879.abstract 19 http://www.reutersmarketlight.com/index.html 20 http://www.reutersmarketlight.com/about_us.html
15 16
Search
12
Search
Nurturing innovation
In order to understand the challenges facing innovators, as well as where they are receiving support, the research identied high-level topic themes discussed across all eight ecosystems.
The role of government, the need for better access to capital and start-up culture were all prevalent. Education and infrastructure were often mentioned as barriers to, rather than catalysts for, innovation. This is somewhat surprising, given that proximity to a university or research facility is considered to be an important ingredient for innovation ecosystems.
Education
Culture of collaboration
Mr Gill says this provides a community of people who understand new ideas, understand research and a built-in culture of collaboration. He adds: The missing piece if you are a university or research facility is having the application or commercial focus. What works well is where you have gatekeepers who understand the needs of both sides. This is where providing innovation centres, such as St Johns in Cambridge, is benecial in supporting entrepreneurs, according to Mr Gill. We are a facilitator for the innovations of others, he says, providing exible workspace and access to advice, guidance, introductions, networks as much or as little as they need so that they can get to the right people, the right resources, recruit new staff and nd customers a lot easier than if they were doing it on their own.
Infrastructure
Trade
Government
Finance
Environment
Health
Agriculture
Gender equality
Source: Quid.
Search
13
Search
people on the funding side who have vision, and thats pretty rare because funders, by nature, are risk-averse. Mr Warner agrees that governments can help to lower barriers to innovation by encouraging balanced risk-taking and providing nancial incentives to entrepreneurialism, such as matching private investment in start-ups research and development and providing tax incentives for funding start-ups. While access to capital and different funding vehicles is essential, combining nancing with some form of commercial mentorship would do more to ensure that it is used wisely and that past mistakes by previous start-ups are not repeated. One of the basic characteristics of a young entrepreneur is that they have had no experience, says Mr Warner. Take Mark Zuckerberg, I mean he is a unique case, but he never ran a company before Facebook; his entry-level position is running a multi-million-dollar company. To foster mentorship and community, to support co-working spaces, clusters, where entrepreneurs can interact with one another and exchange ideas and talk about mistakes that theyve made is really useful.
21
Success factors
Beyond the ability to make connections face to face, what are the elements of a successful ecosystem? Mr Cowen lists: Access to capital, ability to fail, a mix of arrogance and rivalry, cultural self-condence, and then being at the right place at the right time. You need a decent regulatory environment that wont block too many things, and then
http://www.ebn.be/DisplayPage.aspx?pid=10
Search
14
Search
The trick for governments is to strike the balance between trying to let as many owers bloom as possible and recognising those which are really not going to bloom and to stop feeding that pot plant.
David Gill, Managing Director of St Johns Innovation Centre The issue of labour concentration is also a pressing one, as Mr Cowen believes innovation ecosystems will remain the preserve of cities, with more satellite relationships from entrepreneurs who are based outside of cities but reliant on them. He explains: Itll be a pretty small number of [innovation] hubs in most countries, and people will have
a satellite existence, perhaps because its cheaper, but thats only possible once youve really built up your ties to the dominant [innovation ecosystem] centre. This has serious implications for city and town planners, with issues relating to urban sprawl such as high-density living, infrastructure overload and increased crime rates already present in many countries. This could also cause issues of talent concentration, with some cities depriving other areas in the country of workers with necessary skills and intensifying inequality between domestic populations.
Search
15
Search
Search
16
Search
Increase cross-border collaboration uild innovation centres (as opposed to research B facilities which typically lack commercial focus) that facilitate the innovations of others reate places where young people feel they have C cultural self-condence and where they can meet face to face, as experts say that is when successful innovations emerge Ensure a friendly regulatory environment ower barriers to innovation by encouraging balanced L risk-taking and providing nancial incentives to entrepreneurialism (such as matching private investment in start-ups research and development and providing tax incentives for funding start-ups)
eform education policies to keep pace with the R knowledge and skills required for young people to participate in the emerging third-wave industrial revolution romote the successes of domestic entrepreneurs to P foster an entrepreneurial culture ecognise which start-ups are more likely to succeed R and channel the resources to them instead of trying to support as many start-ups as possible.
Combine nancing with commercial mentorship upport the government in creating a modern S workforce for the future ake advantage of opportunities in developing T countries, instead of focusing too much on trying to solve rst-world problems.
Search
17
Search
Tyler Cowen is the Holbert C. Harris Chair of Economics and General Director of the Mercatus Center (a university research centre that focuses on the market economy) at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia. He writes regularly for the New York Times, is co-author of the popular economics blog The Marginal Revolution and recently published his latest book, Average is Over.
David Gill is Managing Director of St Johns Innovation Centre in Cambridge, UK. He is an academic collaborator at the University of Cambridge Institute for Manufacturing, a non-executive director of UK Business Incubation Ltd and a member of the Department for Business Access to Finance Expert Group. He is also the co-author of a number of analyses of innovation (in the US, Israel, Germany and the UK), business incubation and nance for growth rms.
Jaideep Prabhu is Jawaharlal Nehru Professor of Business and Enterprise at the Judge Business School of the University of Cambridge, UK. The professorship was established by the government of India with an endowment. He is also the Director of the Centre for India & Global Business (CIGB).
Avner Warner is Director of International Economic Development at Tel Aviv Global City Administration, leading strategy and implementation for strengthening the citys positioning as a global innovation hub. His professional experience is as an attorney in the eld of emerging and established technology companies, M&A and venture capital.
Search
18
Search
barclays.com/entrepreneurs
Barclays is a trading name of Barclays Bank PLC and its subsidiaries. Barclays Bank PLC is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority (Financial Services Register No. 122702). Registered in England. Registered number is 1026167 with registered ofce at 1 Churchill Place, London E14 5HP. Search January 2014.
Search