Ct1 Iai 0509 Sol Final

INSTITUTE OF ACTUARIES OF INDIA
Examination May 2009
Subject: CT1 (Financial Mathematics)
Indicative Solution
General guidelines to markers:

The solutions provided here are indicative ones. Please award appropriate marks
for any correct alternative solutions.
Please award marks for correct steps as indicated in the indicative solution even
if the final answer does not match exactly.
If data input in a solution is wrong, please do not deduct more than 30% of
maximum marks allocated to that part of the question.
IAI
CT1 0509
Q.1 Let us consider the accumulation of Rs.100 of initial investment.

(i) Term 6 months
Account A:Accumulated amount = 100* 6/12 * 0.12 + 100
= 106.00
Account B:Accumulated amount = 100*(1.12)^0.5
= 105.83
Account A (Simple interest) gives higher maturity amount.
(ii)
Term 12 months
= 112.00
Account B:Accumulated amount = 100*(1.12)^1
= 112.00
Both Accounts give equal maturity amount.
(iii)
Term 18 months
= 118.00
Account B:Accumulated amount = 100*(1.12)^1.5
= 118.53
Account B (Compound interest) gives higher maturity amount.
[3]
(Note to markers: Even if calculations are not illustrated in the answers, full marks
may be awarded if interpretation is correct. The question does not expect calculations
to be shown.)
Q.2
(i) Real Rate of interest: Real rate of interest is the rate of interest which will have
been earned on a transaction so as to produce the total amount of cash in hand at
the end of the period of accumulation reduced for the effects of inflation.
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CT1 0509
Alternate definition:-This is the interest rate achieved on a transaction allowing

for the effect of inflation on the cashflows. The monetary value of the cashflow is
adjusted for the inflation during the period.
(ii)
Money Rate of interest: Money rate of interest is the rate which will
have been earned on a transaction so as to produce the total amount of cash in
hand at the end of the accumulation period.
Alternate definition:- This is the interest rate achieved on a transaction calculated
ignoring the effects of inflation.
(iii)
Comments:
During the period of inflation, monetary rate of interest will be higher.
During the period of deflation (negative inflation), real rate of interest will be
higher.
And in periods of zero inflation, both will be equal.
[3]
Q.3
(i) 0 t < 9
A(0,t)
= exp {0.09 +0.0006 s2}ds

0
= exp { 0.09t + 0.0006 t3}

3
= exp {0.09t + 0.0002 t3}
(A)
9 t < 15
t
= exp{0.09*9+0.0002*93}exp {0.1836 0.005 s}ds

9
{From A}
2
2
= exp{0.9558}exp { 0.1836(t9)-0.005(t 9 )}
2
= exp{0.9558}exp { 0.1836t 1.6524 0.0025t2 + 0.2025}
(B)
= exp{0.1836t 0.0025t2 0.4941}
2
[OR 2.60075exp{0.1836t 1.4499 0.0025t }]
[ OR 0.61012 exp{0.1836t 0.0025t2} ]
A(0,t)
t 15
t
= exp{0.1836*15 0.0025*152 0.4941}exp {0.1086}ds

15
{From B}
= exp{1.6974}exp { 0.1086(t15)}
= exp{1.6974}exp { 0.1086t 1.629}
= exp{0.1086t + 0.0684}
A(0,t)
- Page 3 of 12-
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CT1 0509
(ii)
A(0,17)
= exp{0.1086*17 + 0.0684}
= exp{1.9146}
= 6.784225
Accumulation of Rs. 5000 at time 17 = 6.784225 * 5000 = Rs. 33921.12
(iii)
Let i be the equivalent effective annual rate over the 17 year period.
Then, (1+i)^17 = A(0,17)

(1+i)^17 = 6.784225 == > i = 6.784225^(1/17)-1
i = 11.9211%
(Note: If a candidate has calculated incorrect expression for A(0,t) for t<9 or
t<15, marks may be deducted only for the subdivision where the error has been
committed. However, the effect of the erroneous expression on the subsequent
parts need not be penalised again provided that sub-division has been attempted
correctly.)
(iv)
Let X be the amount of money required to be invested now to get an
accumulation of Rs.6000 at time 18.
Then, X *.A(0,18)=6000
Where A(0,18)= exp{0.1086*18 + 0.0684}
= exp{2.0232}
= 7.562486
X = 6000/7.562486 = 793.3899
X = 793.39
[12]
Q.4
(i) Given i=.08.
=>
=>
[1- d(12)/12]12 = 1-d = v

d (12) = 12 [1 v1/12]
d (12) = 12*[1-1.08^(-1/12)]= 0.076714776
[1+ i(365)/365]365 = [1+i]
i(365) = 365*[1.08^(1/365)-1]= 0.076969155
= ln(1+i) = ln(1.08) = 0.076961041
i(1/2) = 0.5* (1.08 ^ 2 1) = 0.0832
- Page 4 of 12-
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(ii)
CT1 0509
Method I : Using Present Values
Let PV of payments made in first 3 years = X

Note that there is no payment in first year. There is a payment of 300 p.a. in
second year and 400 p.a. in third year payable quarterly.
Effective rate of interest p.a. for first 3 years = (1+.08/12) ^12 - 1
= 0.082999507
X = 0 + v 300a1 (4) + v2 400 a1 (4) @ 8.2999507%
a1 (4) = 0.951623562 @ 8.2999507%
X
=0.951623562(300v + 400v2)
=0.951623562 * 618.0469868 = 588.1480748
X = 588.1481
Let PV of payments made in second 3 years be = Y
Effective rate of interest p.a. for second 3 years = (1+.12/2)2 - 1
= 0.1236
Y = v3 @ 8.2999507%(500a1 (4) + 600v a1 (4) + 700v2a1 (4) @ 12.36%)
a1 (4)
= 0.9302464865 @ 12.36%
Y =0.7872546299*0.9302464865*(500+600v+700v2)@ 12.36%
= 1163.296663
Y = 1163.2967
Corpus = 10,000
X + Y = 588.1481+1163.2967 = 1751.4448
Amount available at
the end of 6 years = (10,000-1751.4448)*1.082993 *1.12363
=14862.7050
[12]
Method II : Using Accumulation
Let Accumulation at the end of 6th years of payments made in first 3 years be A.
There is no payment in the first year.
A=
[ (1+i)300S1 (4) + 400S1 (4) @ 8.299950681%] (1.1236)3
S1 (4) @ 8.299950681%= 1.030607848

A = 1.030607848 [300(1+i)+400]*1.12363 =1059.757864
- Page 5 of 12-
IAI
CT1 0509
A = 1059.7579
Let Accumulation of Payments made in second 3 years at the end of 6th year be
B.
B = [ 500S1 (4) (1+i)2 + 600S1 (4) (1+i) +700 S1 (4) ] @ 12.36%
S1 (4) @ 12.36%= 1.045224952
B = [500(1+i)2 +600(1+i) + 700]*1.045224952 = 2096.092531
B = 2096.0925
Accumulation of corpus = 10,000(1.082999507)3(1.1236)3
= 18018.5554
Amount available at
the end of 6 years = 18018.5554 A B
= 18018.5554 1059.7579 2096.0925
= 14862.7050
[8]
Method III : Using Accumulation but different effective interest rates :
The accumulated value of Rs. 10,000 at the end of 6 years
= 10,000 (1+.08/12)36 *(1+.12/2)6
= 18,018.56
During first 3 years, given i(12) = 0.08
i(12)/12 = 0.006667
Therefore, i(4)/4 = (1.006667)3 - 1 = 0.02013
Therefore, the accumulated value of payments made during first 3 years at the
end of 3rd year
= 75 [email protected] + 25 [email protected]
(There is no payment in the first year. During 2nd year a payment of Rs. 75 is
made at the end of each quarter. During the 3rd year payment of Rs 100 is made at
the end of each quarter, which can be rewritten as 75 + 25)
= 75 (8.587023) + 25 (4.122431)
= 747.0874
-------- (A)
During last 3 years, given i(2) = 0.12
i(2)/2 = 0.06
Therefore, the accumulated value of all payments at the end of 6th year
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(2)
= (A)*(1.06) + 250 s
[email protected]
+ 50
s(2)[email protected]
(2)
+ 50 s
CT1 0509
[email protected]
{s(2)[email protected] = 7.0784243; s(2)[email protected] =4.439279; s(2)[email protected] =2.090449905}

= Rs. 3155.85
Therefore, net amount remaining in the corpus at the end of 6 years = 18018.56
3155.85
= Rs. 14,862.7050
[8]
Q.5
(i)
Money weighted rate of return
Let i be the MWRR p.a. over the three year period. Then,
45283(1+i)3 + 4500(1+i)2 + 3247(1+i) + 1321 2884(1+i)1/2 = 63677
First trial using binomial approximation :45283(1+3i) + 4500(1+2i) + 3247(1+i) + 1321-2884(1+.5i) = 63677
51467+i(146654)=63677
i = 8.33% approximately
At i=8% LHS = 64122.96

At i=7% LHS = 62437.73
Interpolating between 7% and 8%, i=7.735%
MWRR = 7.74 % (nearest 0.01%)
(ii)
Time Weighted rate of return
TWRR is found from the equation
(1+i)3 = (48492 4500) . ( 52706 3247) . (59251 + 2884) . (63677-1321)

45,283
48,492
52706
59251
= 0.971490405 * 1.019941434 * 1.178898038*1.052404179

= 1.229341546
i =
1.229341546^(1/3)-1 = 7.1250%
(iii)
TWRR = 7.13% (nearest 0.01%)

The TWRR is considered a better measure of fund performance as it
eliminates the effects of cashflow amounts and timings. MWRR is
sensitive to the amounts and timings of the net cashflows.
[9]
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CT1 0509
Q.6
(i)
1) Government bonds are issued by governments. Unsecured Loan Stocks
are issued by companies.
2) Government bonds are usually regarded as the most secure type of debt
(especially if issued by governments of developed countries). Unsecured
Loan Stocks are less secure as they are not secured on assets of the
company.
3) Government bonds are more marketable than Unsecured Loan Stocks.
This is because they tend to be issued in large volumes.
4) The yields on government bonds are lower than on equivalent Unsecured
Loan Stocks, mainly due to greater security and higher marketability of
government bonds.
(ii) For determining price paid by Investor A ignore tax as yield given is gross
redemption yield.
Let Price paid by Investor A be P1.
Then P1 = 4.5 a8(2) + 110 v8
@ 6.25%
= 4.5 * 6.243434 + 110 * 0.61569906

= 28.095454 + 67.726897
= 95.822351
Price paid by Investor A = Rs. 95.82 per 100 nominal
(iii) For determining price paid by Investor B, we need to find out if the deal is
subject to capital gains tax or not.
If i(p) > (1-t)g then there is capital gain.
i.e.,
If i(2) > (1-0.25)0.045
{where i(2) = 2*(1.06^(1/2)-1) = 0.059126028}
0.059126028 > (1-.25)*0.045=0.03375
Hence, i(2) > g(1-t1)
Hence there is capital gain on the contract.
Let Price to be paid by Investor B = P2
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IAI
(2)
CT1 0509
Then, P2 = 4.5*(10.25) a6 +110 v 0.32(110-P2) v @ 6%

= 3.375*4.99001 +77.545659 24.814611 +0.225587 P2
P2 = 69.572332/ 0.774413
P2 = 89.8388
Price paid by Investor B = Rs. 89.84 per 100 nominal.

[12]
Q.7
i) 3 types of derivatives are Options, Futures and Swaps.
ii) Arbitrage is a risk free trading profit.
An arbitrage opportunity exists if either:
a)
an investor can make a deal that would give him an immediate profit,
with no risk of future loss, or
b)
an investor can make a deal that has no initial cost, no risk of future loss,
and a non-zero probability of a future profit.
In the major developed securities market arbitrage opportunities, when they do
arise are very quickly eliminated as investors spot them and trade on them. Such
opportunities are so fleeting in nature, according to empirical evidence, that it is
sensible and realistic to assume that they do not exist.
iii) Let K be the forward price.
Price of share, So = 120
Using formula, K = So eT = 120 e*3/12
= 120 (1+ i(4)/4) = 120 (1.015)
= Rs. 121.80
[7]
Q.8 Working in crores;
PV of outlay as at 01.01.2008, A (say)
= 1000+750(v0.5+v11/12)+5*12v 1.5(12) @ 10% = 2478.8932
A= 2478.8932
PV of ADF income as at 01.01.2008, B (say)
= {1.5*200 1+ 1.5*200*1.05 1(v +v2)
@ 10%
+ 0.5*1000 1+ 0.5*1000*1.2 1(v +v2)}*v14/12
2
14/12
= {800 1+ 915 1(v +v )}*v
[OR = {800 3+ 115 v 2}* v14/12
= {800 a3+ 115 v a2}* i/ * v14/12 ]
Using the actuarial tables,
a2 = 1.7355
v = 0.90909
i/ = 1.049206
a3 = 2.4869
B = 2038.075673
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CT1 0509
PV of revenue from parking as at 01.01.2008, C (say)

= {10 + 11v + 12 v2 + 13 v3 + + 18 v8} * v32/12
= {10 9+ 1 (Ia)8}* v32/12
= {10 (6.3349) + 21.3636} *0.775565 = 65.70015
C= 65.70015
PV of Rent from duty free shops as at 01.01.2008, D (say)
= 12v3 { 1(12) + 1.05v 1(12) + (1.05)2v2 1(12) + + (1.05)9v9 1(12) }
= 12v3 1(12) {1 + 1.05v + (1.05)2v2 + + (1.05)9v9}
= 12v3 1(12) { 10@ j }, where 1/(1+j) = 1.05/1.1 => j = 0.047619,
10@ j = 8.183867
D = 70.6570
PV of all income
=B+C+D
= 2038.075673 + 65.7001 + 70.657
= 2174.4327
At 10% risk discount rate, B+C+D < A

i.e., PV of all income (2174.43) < PV of all outlays (2478.89)
Hence the project is not viable.
Q.9
(i) 1+f1,1 =
1.0752 = 1.085093
1.065
1+f2,1=
1.083 = 1.090070
1.0752
1+f3,1=
1.08254 = 1.090035
1.083
P.V. of annuity a year from now

1
+
1
= 5000*
1 +
(1+f1,1) (1+f1,1)(1+f2,1) (1+f1,1)(1+f2,1)(1+f3,1))
= 5000 * {0.92157923+0.845431337+0.775600334}
= 4607.896 + 4227.157 + 3878.002
= 12713.05452
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[17]
IAI
CT1 0509
(ii) Redingtons theory of immunization states that the surplus in a fund an

be immunized to small changes in interest rates if :1. Value of assets at the starting rate of interest is equal to the value of
liabilities. i.e., PV of assets = PV of liabilities
2. Volatility of assets = Volatility of Liabilities OR
DMT(Assets)=DMT(Liabilities)
3. Convexity of Assets > Convexity of liabilities
(iii)
(a) PV of Bond = Ct vt = 16 a8(2) + 100 v8 @ 7% p.a.
= 16 * 6.074028855+58.20091046
= 155.3853721
Duration= t Ct vt
Ct vt
Working in half years,
Effective rate of interest per half year = 1.07^0.5-1 = 3.4408%
t Ct vt = 8(1v+2v2+3v3+4v4+.. 16v16) + 16*100v16 @ 3.4408%
=
8(Ia)16 + 1600v16
=
8*94.56808996 + 931.2145673
=
1687.759287
Duration
=
1687.759287 /155.39 = 10.86 half years
=
5.43072 years
(b) The duration would become slightly shorter, because the coupon rates
are now about 25% higher than earlier, which masks marginally the
effect of the redemption cashflow at the end of 8 years as also the
weightage of the terms < n are more now.
[17]
Q.10
The required accumulated value of the investments is given by:
500(1+i2)(1+i3) + 1000 (1+i3) + 1500 = X say.
We are required to find E(X) and V(X).
E(X) = E[500(1+i2)(1+i3) + 1000 (1+i3) + 1500]
As its are independent, this can be simplified as follows:
- Page 11 of 12-
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E(X)
CT1 0509
= 500E(1+i2 )E(1+ i3) + 1000E(1+ i3)+ 1500

= 500(1.07)(1.085)+1000(1.085)+1500
= 580.475 + 1085 + 1500 = 3165.475
Mean of Accumulated Value = 3165.48

To find the variance of X we can use the fact that Var(X+k) = Var(X) where k is a
constant.
V(X)
= V{500(1+i2)(1+i3) + 1000 (1+i3) + 1500}

= V{500(1+i2)(1+i3) + 1000 (1+i3)}
since V(k)=0
= 5002V{(1+i3)(1+i2 + 2)}
= 5002V{(1+i3)(3+i2)}
{Now, we can use the formula V(Y) = E(Y2) E2(Y)}
2
V{(1+i3)(3+i2)} = E{(1+i3)2(3+i2)2} - E{(1+i3)(3+i2)}
= E{(1+i3) 2 (3+i2) 2} E2{(1+i3)(3+i2)}
= E(1+i3) 2 E(3+i2) 2 {(1+E(i3))(3+E(i2))}2
= {V(1+i3) + E(1+i3) 2}.{ V(3+i2) + E(3+i2) 2} {1.085x3.07}2
= {.012 + 1.0852 }.{ .0052 + 3.072 } {1.085x3.07}2
= 0.000971923125
Therefore, V(X) = 5002 x .000971923125 = 242.9807813
S.D. (X) = 500 * S.D{(1+i3)(3+i2)} = 15.58784081
Std Deviation of Accumulated Value = 15.59
[8]
[Total 100 Marks]
*************************************
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INSTITUTE OF ACTUARIES OF INDIA

Examination May 2009

Subject: CT1 (Financial Mathematics)

General guidelines to markers:

Q.1 Let us consider the accumulation of Rs.100 of initial investment.

Alternate definition:-This is the interest rate achieved on a transaction allowing

= exp {0.09 +0.0006 s2}ds

= exp { 0.09t + 0.0006 t3}

= exp{0.09*9+0.0002*93}exp {0.1836 0.005 s}ds

= exp{0.1836*15 0.0025*152 0.4941}exp {0.1086}ds

Then, (1+i)^17 = A(0,17)

[1- d(12)/12]12 = 1-d = v

Method I : Using Present Values

Let PV of payments made in first 3 years = X

[ (1+i)300S1 (4) + 400S1 (4) @ 8.299950681%] (1.1236)3

S1 (4) @ 8.299950681%= 1.030607848

{s(2)[email protected] = 7.0784243; s(2)[email protected] =4.439279; s(2)[email protected] =2.090449905}

At i=8% LHS = 64122.96

Time Weighted rate of return

TWRR is found from the equation

(1+i)3 = (48492 4500) . ( 52706 3247) . (59251 + 2884) . (63677-1321)

= 0.971490405 * 1.019941434 * 1.178898038*1.052404179

TWRR = 7.13% (nearest 0.01%)

= 4.5 * 6.243434 + 110 * 0.61569906

Then, P2 = 4.5*(10.25) a6 +110 v 0.32(110-P2) v @ 6%

Price paid by Investor B = Rs. 89.84 per 100 nominal.

PV of revenue from parking as at 01.01.2008, C (say)

At 10% risk discount rate, B+C+D < A

P.V. of annuity a year from now

(ii) Redingtons theory of immunization states that the surplus in a fund an

= 500E(1+i2 )E(1+ i3) + 1000E(1+ i3)+ 1500

Mean of Accumulated Value = 3165.48

= V{500(1+i2)(1+i3) + 1000 (1+i3) + 1500}

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= exp{0.099+0.000293}exp {0.1836 0.005 s}ds

= exp{0.183615 0.0025152 0.4941}exp {0.1086}ds