6 Ways Scientific Studies Can Trick You
6 Ways Scientific Studies Can Trick You
6 Ways Scientific Studies Can Trick You
5/13/13
In other words, wrote Hansen, who is well-traveled and very familiar with agriculture in the Global South, for developing countries, rather than compare organic to what local farmers that use some chemicals find, they dismiss all but the yields achieved using lots of chemicals under the best conditions which is not what farmers actually face in developing countries. Finally, Hansen concluded, look at their main hypothesis: 'Our hypothesis was that the closer conventional agriculture gets to the potential or water-limited yield, the larger the yield gap between organic and conventional systems will be.' In other words, they're not interested in the conditions that farmers face in the real world in developing countries. 3. Oops, We Cant Detect the Chemical in Question Whenever you hear that there is none of a chemical in something, its time to ask: Whats the detection limit? Whats the smallest amount of the chemical they were looking for? Take, for example, early studies of the pesticide Imidacloprid by its manufacturer, Bayer. A recent European report [7] tells what happened when beekeepers began alleging that the pesticide was the cause of mass bee die-offs. Bees consume nectar and pollen, so Bayers first step was checking to see whether any of its pesticide was present in nectar or pollen. In 1993, Bayer set the detection limit at 10 parts per billion (ppb). When it tested for its pesticide in nectar or pollen of treated crops, it couldnt find any or it couldnt quantify the amount detected. Clearly, this pesticide wasnt harming any bees, because the bees werent exposed to it in nectar or pollen! Six years later, in 1999, a study of sunflowers found 3.3 ppb of the pesticide in pollen and 1.9 ppb in nectar amounts far below the previous 10 ppb detection limit! And, in 2001, scientists found that chronic exposure to 0.1 ppb of the pesticide kills a bee in 10 days. How much money did Bayer earn from pesticide sales while it stalled the science for six years with its high detection limit? 4. Findings That Arent Statistically Significant GMOs Cause Tumors in Rats screamed the headlines after a French scientist named Seralini published findings based on a two-year feeding study using Monsantos Roundup Ready corn and its pesticide Roundup. Oh my god, this is terrible! Americans have been eating the variety of Roundup Ready corn in question since 2001! Well all get cancer! Okay, take a step back. Were the findings statistically significant? No, they werent. Consumers Union scientist Michael Hansen points out that the study only used 10 rats of each sex for each group tested. After publication, the studys author also noted [8] , the sample size of their treatment groups was too small to allow them to draw conclusions with regard to long-term carcinogenicity and mortality. Oops. That said, in this case, Hansen points out that the data suggests that there might be something there. For the most part, the control rats were healthier than the rats that were fed Roundup or Roundup Ready corn. According to Hansen, if the findings were entirely random, one would expect that the number of control group rats afflicted with each morbidity would sometimes be more and sometimes be less than the number of sick rats in the treatment groups. Hed like to see further study using a statistically significant sample size. 5. Design the Study to Get the Results You Want When the EPA allowed the commercialization of Bayers pesticide Clothianidin, they required the company to conduct a study proving that the pesticide would not harm bees. So Bayer performed a study [9] . It placed four beehives in the middle of 2.5 acres of treated canola. Bees, of course, go as far as several miles from their hive to forage so no doubt the bees feasted on plenty of pesticide-free nectar and pollen during the study. Sothe scientists found that their pesticide caused no harm to the bees. Beekeepers were outraged enough when they discovered the inadequacy of the study, but a revelation [10] that came out two years later made matters even worse. In the U.S., clothianidin is used on corn and canola. Canola is a minor crop in the U.S., whereas corn is the most commonly grown crop weve got. Clothianidin-treated corn has about 10 times the levels of pesticide in its pollen as treated canola. Perhaps thats why Bayer chose to perform its study on canola. 6. All of the Above For a Bad Science Sampler, check out the studies used to justify the safety of the genetically engineered AquaAdvantage salmon [11] . You name it, they did it [12] . Again, Michael Hansen easily poked holes in their work until the study resembled Swiss cheese. They culled young fish with the worst deformities, thus excluding them from the data. They used sample sizes as low as six fish. And they used a detection limit too high to detect any growth hormone in the muscle and skin of any fish. (The GE salmon are engineered to produce extra growth hormone, so they might have looked a little harder to find it if they wanted to show there was no difference between GE salmon and non-GE salmon.) As you can see, just because a study finds a conclusion, that doesnt mean its correct. Poorly designed studies and statistically insignificant results happen all the time. Now, if only journalists did a little bit more digging about the validity of outrageous studies findings before they report on them.
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See more stories tagged with: science [13] , food [14] , gmo [15]
Source URL: http://www.alternet.org/food/6-ways-scientific-studies-can-trick-you Links: [1] http://www.alternet.org [2] http://www.alternet.org/authors/jill-richardson-0 [3] http://www.noprop37.com/files/Alston-Sumner-Prop-37-review.pdf [4] http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Prop_37#Industry_Funded_Study_Claims_Prop_37_Will_Raise_Food_Prices [5] http://www.agbioforum.org/v7n12/v7n12a13-mccluskey.pdf [6] http://www.wageningenur.nl/upload_mm/9/a/9/4eff5e4c-0058-4fac-9441288b83a105d4_The%20crop%20yield%20gap%20between%20organic%20and%20conventional%20agriculture%20De%20Ponti%20et%20al%202012.pdf [7] http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/late-lessons-2 [8] http://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/press/news/121128.htm [9] http://www.beeculture.com/storycms/index.cfm?cat=Story&recordID=714 [10] http://www.alternet.org/story/154039/have_bees_become_canaries_in_the_coal_mine_why_massive_bee_dieoffs_may_be_a_warning_about_our_own_health [11] http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Aquadvantage_salmon [12] http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Concerns_About_Science_Justifying_the_Safety_of_AquAdvantage_Salmon [13] http://www.alternet.org/tags/science-0 [14] http://www.alternet.org/tags/food-0 [15] http://www.alternet.org/tags/gmo [16] http://www.alternet.org/%2Bnew_src%2B
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