Current Economic Indicators - Euro Zone

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CURRENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS EURO ZONE

March 20, 2013

Monthly economic indicators*


Sep-12 Euro area Germany France Italy Spain 'Core' euro area HICP M1 M3 Private sector credit growth Private sector loan growth Unemployment rate, % Unemployment, m/m change (000s) Industrial orders Industrial production Retail sales (ex autos) Euro area composite PMI (50 = no change) Euro area manufacturing PMI (50 = no change) Euro area services PMI (50 = no change) German Ifo business climate French INSEE business sentiment Italy ISTAT business confidence

Oct-12 HICP inflation, % y/y 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.5 1.5 6.5 3.9 -1.5 -0.8 Labour market 11.7 237 -0.8 -0.5 Survey readings (indices) 100.1 85 87.8

Nov-12 2.2 1.9 1.6 2.6 3.0 1.4 6.7 3.8 -1.6 -0.8 11.8 111 -0.8 0.2 101.5 86 88.5

Dec-12 2.2 2.0 1.5 2.6 3.0 1.5 6.3 3.4 -0.8 -0.7 11.8 33 0.9 -0.8 102.5 87 89.0

Jan-13 2.0 1.9 1.4 2.4 2.8 1.3 6.7 3.5 -1.1 -0.9 11.9 201 -0.4 1.2 104.3 87 88.3

Feb-13 1.8 1.8 1.2 2.0 2.9 1.3 107.4 87 88.5

2.6 2.1 2.2 3.4 3.5 1.5 5.0 2.6 -1.2 -0.9 11.6 157 -1.9 -1.6 101.4 86 88.5

Euro area money and credit, % y/y

Euro area conjunctural activity indicators, % m/m

*Data shown in grey italics are preliminary/'flash' estimates. HICP excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco Survey data use differing methodologies; therefore index levels of each survey are not comparable across economies.

Monthly financial indicators**


Sep-12 ECB refi rate, % Germany: 2-year government yield, % Germany: 5-year government yield, % Germany: 10-year government yield, % Italy: 10-year government yield, % EUR/USD Euro TWI (broad measure, index) Euro Stoxx 50
# #

Oct-12 0.75 0.03 0.55 1.60 4.95 1.30 107.21 2,503

Nov-12 0.75 -0.02 0.45 1.47 4.51 1.28 106.66 2,514

Dec-12 0.75 -0.04 0.39 1.38 4.53 1.31 108.23 2,626

Jan-13 0.75 0.26 0.77 1.65 4.33 1.33 109.81 2,715

Feb-13 0.75 0.02 0.48 1.52 4.76 1.34 111.06 2,630

0.75 0.01 0.53 1.54 5.18 1.29 106.62 2,531

Nominal effective exchange rate weighted by 41 largest euro area trading partners. Q1-99 = 100. Rising index denotes euro appreciation. ** End period

ECONOMICS | RESEARCH

CURRENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS EURO ZONE


March 20, 2013

Quarterly economic indicators


Q3-11 Euro area Germany France Italy Spain Euro area Real labour productivity per hour worked Real unit labour costs Negotiated wages 0.1 0.4 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 -0.1 2.1 Q4-11 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.8 -0.5 Current account (% GDP) 0.6 0.8 0.2 2.0 ECB surveys Bank Lending Survey: change in credit standards (net balance) Businesses Households (for house purchases) Real GDP HICP 2 9 1.9 2.0 16 18 1.8 2.0 35 29 1.8 2.0 9 17 1.8 2.0 10 13 1.8 2.0 15 12 1.8 2.0 1.0 0.9 0.2 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.2 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.4 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.2 2.2 Euro area productivity, costs and wages (% y/y) Q1-12 -0.1 0.5 -0.1 -0.9 -0.4 Q2-12 -0.2 0.3 -0.1 -0.7 -0.4 Q3-12 -0.1 0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.3 Q4-12 -0.6 -0.6 -0.3 -0.9 -0.8 Real GDP, % q/q (non-annualised)

Survey of Professional Forecasters (mean 5-year ahead forecasts, % y/y)

The material contained in this report is the property of Royal Bank of Canada and may not be reproduced in any way, in whole or in part, without express authorization of the copyright holder in writing. The statements and statistics contained herein have been prepared by RBC Economics Research based on information from sources considered to be reliable. We make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. This publication is for the information of investors and business persons and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities.

ECONOMICS | RESEARCH

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