GOVT.

MODEL QUESTION PAPER

STATISTICS
12 TH STD. TIME : 3 HOURS PART I (50 MARKS) Note : (1) Answer all questions. (2) Each question carries one mark Choose the best answer : 1. When two events A and B are mutually exclusive, then P (AB) is (a) 1 2. (b) 0 (c) P(A) . P(B) (d) None of these MAX. MARKS : 150

50 x 1 = 50

An integer is chosen from 1 to 20. the probability that the number is divisible by 4 is (a) 1/4 (b) 1/3 (c) 1/2 (d) 1/10

3.

In tossing three coins at a time, the probability of getting atmost one head is (a) 3/8 (b) 7/8 (c) 1/2 (d) 1/8

4.

The probability of two persons being born on the same day in an ordinary year (ignoring date) (a) 1/49 (b) 1/365 (c) 1/7 (d) 1/366

5.

The conditional probability of A given B is P (AB) (a) P(B) (b) P(A) P (AB) (c) P(B) P(AB) (d) P(A) P(AB)

6.

Probability of drawing a spade queen from a well shuffled pack of cards is (a) 1/13 (b) 1/52 (c) 4/13 (d) 8/13

7.

If P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5 and P(AB) = 0.2 then P(B/A) is (a) 1/2 (b) 1/3 (c) 4/5 (d) 2/5

8.

If F(x) is distribution function, then F(-) is (a) -1 (b) 0 (c) 1 (d) -

2 9. The distribution of height of persons in a country is a random variable of the type: (a) (c) Continuous random variable Neither discrete nor continuous random variable (b) (d) Discrete random variable Continuous as well as discrete random variable

10.

Var (5x + 2) (a) 25 var (x) (b) 5 var (x) (c) 2 var (x) (d) 25

11.

A random variable x has E(x) = 2 and E (x2) = 8, its variance is (a) 4 (b) 6

(c) 8

(d) 2

12.

If f(x) is the p.d.f. of the continuous random variable X, then E(x2) is (a)

f (x) dx
-

(b)

x f (x) dx
-

(c) 13.

x
-

. f (x) dx

(b)

f (x ) dx
2

If X is a random variable with its mean x, the expression E(x-x)2 represents (a) (b) (c) (d) the variance of x second central moment both (a) and (b) none of (a) and (b)

14.

If X is a random variable, E(etx) is known as (a) (b) (c) (d) characteristic function moment generating function probability generating function none of these

15.

For Bernoulli distribution with probability p of a success and q of a failure, the relation between mean and variance that hold is (a) (c) mean < variance mean = variance (b) (d) Mean > variance None of the above

16.

X is a Binomial Variate with mean = 4, variance = 4/3, then, P (x = 0) is (a) (2/3)6 (b) (2/3)5 (1/3) (c) (1/3)6 (d) 35 (2/3)6

17.

An approximate relation between Q.D, M.D. and S.D. of normal distribution is (a) 10 : 12 : 15 (b) 12 : 10 : 15 (c) 15 : 12 : 10 (d) 10 : 15 : 12

18.

The mean of normal distribution is 60, then mode is equal to (a) 60 (b) 40 (c) 50 (d) 30

19.

The mean and variance of a binomial distribution b (5, 1/3) is (a) 5/3 & 10/9 (b) 5/2 & 10/6 (c) 5/3 & 10/6 (d) 5/2 & 10/9

20.

Poisson distribution is a limiting case of binomial distribution when (a) n , p 0; np = m (b) n 0, p ; np = 1/m (c) n , p ; np = m (d) n ; p 0; np = m

21.

In normal distribution skewness is (a) one (b) zero (c) 3 (d) -1

22.

In normal distribution the value of Kurtosis is (a) 1 (b) 3 (c) -3 (d) 0

23.

The area p (- < Z < 0) is (a) 1 (b) 0.1 (c) 0.5 (d) 0

24.

The hypothesis may be classified as (a) (c) Simple Null (b) (d) Composite All of the above

25.

Critical value of |Z| at 5% level of significance for two tailed test is (a) 1.645 (b) 2.33 (c) 2.58 (d) 1.96

26.

H0 is rejected when H0 is true is (a) Type II error (b) Type I error

4 (c) Simple error (d) none of the above Whether a test is one sided or two sided depends on (a) (c) 28. alternative hypothesis null hypothesis (b) (d) composite hypothesis simple hypothesis

27.

Standard error of number of success is given by (a) pq/n (b) x - y npq (c) npq (d) np/q

29.

Statistic Z = 1/n1 + 1/n2 (a) (c) H0 : 1 + 2 = 0 H0 : = 0

is used to test the null hypothesis is H0 : 1 - 2 = 0 none of the above

(b) (d)

30.

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution is called (a) (c) Probable error Sampling error (b) (d) Standard error Non-sampling error

31.

The standard error of the sample mean is (a) n (b) n 2 (c) 2n 2 (d) 2n

32.

Student s t-distribution ranges from (a) - to 0 (b) 0 to (c) - to (d) 0 to 1

33.

While testing the significance of the difference between two sample mean in case of small samples, the degrees freedom is (a) n1 + n2 (b) n1 + n2 1 (c) n1 + n2 2 (d) n1 + n2 + 2

34.

Equality of two population variances can be tested by (a) t-test (b) F-test (c) 2-test (d) None of the above

35.

Paired t-test is applicable, when the observations in the two samples are (a) (c) Paired Equal in number (b) (d) Correlated all the above

36.

Degrees of freedom for chi-square in case of contingency table of order 4 x 3 are (a) 12 (b) 9 (c) 6 (d) 8

37.

The statistic 2 with usual notations in case of contingency table of order (rxs) is given by the formula 2 n i=1 n i=1 n i=1 (0i Ei)2 Ei (0i2 Ei2) Ei (0i Ei) Ei 2

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d) 38

all the above

The values of observed frequencies and expected frequencies are all equal then the value of 2 is (a) -1 (b) +1 (c) >1 (d) 0

39.

In the case of one-way classification with N observations and `t treatments, the degrees of freedom for error is (a) N 1 (b) t1 (c) N t (d) Nt

40.

Analysis of variance utilises (a) F-test (b) 2 test (c) Z-test (d) t-test

41.

With 90, 35, 25 as SST, SSR and SSC respectively in case of two-way classification, SSE is (a) 50 (b) 40 (c) 30 (d) 20

42.

A time series consists of (a) (c) two components four components (b) (d) three components five components

43.

The component of a time series attached to long term variations is termed as (a) cyclic variation (b) secular trend (c) irregular variation (d) all the above

6 44. Business forecasts are made on the basis of (a) (c) Present data Polices and circumstances (b) (d) () () 45. In case of two attributes A and B (). < N (a) (c) 46. independent negatively associated (b) (d) positively associated none of the above , then the attributes are Past data All the above

With the two attributes the total number of class frequencies is (a) Two (b) Four (c) Eight (d) Nine

47.

In case of two attributes A and B the class frequency (AB) = 0 the value of Q is (a) 1 (b) -1 (c) 0 (d) -1 Q 1

48.

A business who is said to be averse to risk (a) (b) (c) (d) Prefers to take large risks to earn large gains. Prefers to act any time the expected monetary value is positive Avoids all situations but those with very high expected values. None of these

49.

The criterion which selects the action for which maximum pay-off is lowest is known as (a) (b) (c) (d) Max min criterion Min max criterion Max max criterion None of these

50.

Decision theory is concerned with (a) (b) (c) (d) the amount of information that is available. Criteria for measuring the `goodness of a decision. Selecting optimal decision in sequential problems All the above

PART II (30 MARKS)

53.

Define mathematical expectation for discrete random variable. Let X be a continuous random variable with probability density function given by f (x) = 2x, 0 < x <1. Find the expected value of X. o otherwise Comment on the following: The mean of a binomial distribution is 5 and its variance is 9 . Find the Binomial distribution whose mean is 3 and the variance is 2. State any four properties of normal distribution. In a test of significance, the calculated value is less than the critical value. What is your inference? State type one error and type two error. What `test statistic is to be used to find the test of significance for the following problem? `1000 articles from a factory A are examined and found to have 3% defectives. 1500 similar articles from a second factory B are found to have only 2% defectives. Can it be reasonably concluded that the product of the first factory is inferior to the second ? State the assumptions of students t test Explain the term ` degrees of freedom . What are the precautions are necessary while applying chi-square test? What are the components of time series?

56.

57. 58. 59.

60. 61.

62. 63. 64. 65.

8 66. 67. 68. Write any two merits and demerits of semi average method. Write the Yule s coefficient of association. Verify whether the given data N = 100 (A) = 75, (B) = 60, and (AB) = 15 are consistent. Explain the statistical decision theory. Find the minimax regret for the following pay off table Act A1 A2 A3 States of Nature S1 10 20 30 S2 15 12 11

69. 70.

PART III (30 MARKS)

An urn contains 5 red and 7 green balls. Another urn contains 6 red and 9 green balls. If a ball is drawn from any one of the two urns, find the probability that the ball drawn is green. A random variable X has the density function f(x) = Ax2, 0 < x < 1. Determine A and find the probability between 0.2 and 0.5 Eight coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting atleast six heads. Suppose on an average 1 house in 1000 in a certain district has a fire during a year. If there are 2000 houses in that district, what is the probability that exactly 5 houses will have a fire during the year? (e -2 = 0.1353) A car company decided to introduce a new car whose mean petrol consumption is claimed to be lower than that of the existing car. A sample of 50 new cars we taken and tested for petrol consumption. It was found that mean petrol consumption for the 50 cars was 30 km per litre. Test at 5% level of significance whether the company s claim that he new car petrol consumption is 28 km per litre on the average is acceptable. A soap manufacturing company was distributing a particular brand of soap through a large number of retail shops. Before a heavy advertisement campaign, the mean sales per week per shop was 140 dozens. After the campaign, a sample of 26 shops was taken and the mean sales was found to be 147 dozens with standard deviation 16. Can you consider the advertisement effective?

72.

73.

74.

75.

76.

77.

Construct a four yearly centered moving average from the following data.
Year Imported cotton consumption in thousands 1940 129 1950 131 1960 106 1970 91 1980 95 1990 84 2000 93

78.

Following data relate to literacy and unemployment in a group of 500 persons. Calculate Yule s coefficient of association between literacy and unemployment and interpret it Literate unemployed Literate employed Illiterate employed = = = 220 20 180

79.

Given the following pay off of 3 acts A1, A2, A3 and their events E1, E2, E3. Act States of Nature E1 E2 E3 A1 35 200 550 A2 -10 240 640 A3 -150 200 750

The probabilities of the states of nature are respectively 0.3, 0.4, 0.3. Calculate and tabulate EMV and conclude which of the acts can be chosen as the best.

PART IV (40 MARKS)

In a bolt factory machines A1, A2, A3 manufacture respectively 25%, 35% and 40% of the total output. Of these 5,4 and 2 percent are defective bolts. A bolt is drawn at random from the product and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was manufactured by machine A2? A sample of 100 dry cells tested to find the length of life produced the following results = 12 hours = 3 hours. Assuming the data to be normally distributed, what percentage of battery cells are expressed to have a life (i) more than 15 hours (ii) between 10 and 14 hours (iii) less than 6 hours? In a random sample of 1000 persons from town A, 400 are found to be consumers of wheat. In a sample of 800 from town B, 400 are found to be consumers of wheat. Do these data reveal a significant difference between

81.

82.

10 town A and town B, so far as the proportion of wheat consumers is concerned? 83. An automobile manufacturing firm is bringing out a new model. In order to map out its advertising campaign, it wants to determine whether the model will appeal most to a particular age group or equal to all age groups. The firm takes a random sample from persons attending a pre-view of the new model and obtained the results summarized below: Age groups Under 20 146 54 200 20 39 78 52 130 40 50 48 32 80 60 & above 28 62 90 Total 300 200 500

Person who Liked the car Disliked the car

What conclusions would you draw from the above data? 84. The following are the defective pieces produced by four operators working in turn, on four different machines: Operator Machine A B C D I 3 3 2 3 II 2 2 3 4 III 3 3 4 3 IV 2 4 3 2

Perform analysis of variance at 5% level of significance to ascertain whether variability in production is due to variability in operator s performance or variability in machine s performance. 85. Fit a straight line trend by the method of least squares for the following data Year Sales In Lacs. 1983 3 1984 8 1985 7 1986 9 1987 11 1988 14

Also estimate the sales for the year 1991.

11

86.

A manufacturing company has to select one of the two products A or B for manufacturing. Product a required investment of Rs.20,000 and product B, Rs.40,000. Market research survey shows high, medium and low demands with corresponding probabilities and returns from sales in Rupees thousands for the two products in the following table.

Market demand High Medium Low

Probability A 0.4 0.3 0.3 B 0.3 0.5 0.2

Return from sales A 50 30 10 B 80 60 50

Construct an appropriate decision tree. What decision the company should take?