Environment
Environment
Environment
Planning and preparedness is essential for both mitigation and management of natural disasters. Information about the measures to be taken before and after the event needs to be disseminated, implemented and followed carefully. However, in most developing countries of the region, even when adequate forecasting is available, conditions are such that the warning of an event is of little practical use. Due to overcrowding, lack of basic infrastructure and communication means, very little can be achieved by way of evacuating or preparing the population at risk.
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2.1 Floods
Floods are usually considered the most destructive of all natural disasters. Not all floods bring disaster in their wake, though. The annual floods in Bangladesh deposit alluvial in the delta and assure the lands fertility, making it possible to grow three crops a year. The population density in the region is very high; demographers believe that if the land was not so fertile, less people would be attracted to live there. Floods can be of different kinds, depending largely on the geographical, climatic and hydrological characteristics of the area. These include seasonal floods, urban floods due to inadequate drainage facilities, and floods associated with combined fluvial and tidal events, such as heavy rainfall coupled with wind-induced tidal surges. Seasonal flooding occurs in many of the large river basins of the region, such as the Ganga in India. Prolonged rainfall over an extensive catchment area generates high volumes of run-off, which spill out onto the rivers natural floodplains. This water can
Land is being abandoned and marginalised (ICIMOD) Source: Nepal:State of the Environment 2001
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Records show that a GLOF has been occuring in Nepal with varying degrees of socio-economic impacts once in every three to 10 years. The International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) and the United Nations Environment Programme/Regional Resource Centre for Asia and Pacific (UNEP/RRCAP) have developed a database of glaciers and glacial lakes in Nepal in 2000. The methodology for the inventory of glaciers is based on the Temporary Technical Secretary for World Glacier Inventory (1977). For glacial lakes, it is based on modification of the method developed by the Lanzhou Institute of Glaciology and Geocryolog y (1988). Topographic maps, aerial photographs and satellite images have been used in the inventory of glaciers and glacial lakes. The study recorded a total of 3,252 glaciers covering an area of 5,322 km2 with approximately 481 km3 of ice reserves in Nepal. The study also recorded 2,323 glacial lakes with an approximate area of 75 km2. Based on the analysis of inventory data, 20 glacial lakes were identified as potentially dangerous in Nepal, out of which three (Nagma, Tam Pokhari and Dig Tsho) had past outburst records.
A B C D E F G H I J
= = = = = = = = = =
Nagma pokhari (Tamor) (unnamed) (Tamor) Lower Barun (Arun) Lumding (Dudh Koshi) Imja (Dudh Koshi) Tam Pokhari (Dudh Koshi) Dudh Pokhari (Dudh Koshi) (unnamed) (Dudh Koshi) (unnamed) (Dudh Koshi) Hungu (Dudh Koshi)
K= L = M= N= O= P = Q= R = S = T =
East Hungu 1 (Dudh Koshi) East Hungu 2 (Dudh Koshi) (unnamed) (Dudh Koshi) West Chamjang (Dudh Koshi) Dig Tsho (Dudh Koshi) Tsho Rolpa (Tama Koshi) (unnamed) (Budhi Gandaki) Thulagi (Marsyangdi) (unnamed) (Kali Gandaki) (unnamed) (Kali Gandaki)
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Technical reasons why floods become tragedies concentrate on mistakes in land use: bad zoning, bad planning, bad agricultural practices (e.g. ploughing up and down a hill instead of along the contours) and above all, deforestation - itself connected to population pressures. Unregulated building on flood plains is another aggravating factor.
2.2 Drought
A drought triggers a crisis, but does not cause it. Overcultivation and over-grazing weaken the land, allowing no margins when a drought arrives. Occurrence of drought is commonly associated with arid and semiarid regions. Many countries in South Asia are prone to drought, including Pakistan, Nepal, India, Sri Lanka and parts of Bangladesh. In India, about 33 per cent of the arable area is considered to be drought-prone. The number of people at risk has been estimated at 185 billion. In Sri Lanka, the government provided relief to over two million people during the 1996 drought - i.e. about 14 per cent of the population. Nepal has been subjected to severe droughts during 1981-82, resulting in a 1.4 per cent decline in GDP.
devastating tidal surges and raging cyclonic winds. In fact, most major disasters associated with tropical cyclones have been caused by tidal storm surges. When a tropical cyclone approaches the coast, storm surges can occur several hours in advance of the cyclone under certain conditions (primarily low central pressures, shallow waters and high tides), and hit a coastal area whilst people are still being evacuated, causing huge loss of life and material damage. For instance, the storm surges accompanying the 1970 and 1991 tropical cyclones devastated Bangladesh and claimed about halfa-million lives. Bangladesh, in fact, suffered the greatest loss of life in its disaster-prone history in the cyclone of April 1991. Some countries rarely experience the direct effects of tropical cyclones, but when they do, they usually have to bear with very high levels of destruction in terms of lives and property. Sri Lanka is one such country. In other countries, the effects of tropical cyclones or depressions are more frequently felt in the form of heavy rainfall (such as in Pakistan) or very strong winds (such as in the Maldives). One tropical depression in Pakistan in 1993 resulted in 600 deaths and the loss of hundreds of fishing boats. In May 1999, another deadly cyclone caused large-scale devastation in the districts of Thatta and Badin in the southern province of Sindh. The cyclone - called
2.3 Cyclones
Cyclones can generate very heavy rainfall and cause severe flooding, and are often accompanied by
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Hurrican Thuth - travelling at a speed of 273 km per hour, battered the two districts for around 36 hours, destroying aound 50,000 houses. Across the international boundary, though the cyclone brushed past the Indian state of Gujarat, it claimed more than 300 lives.
The Indian coast: Since India has a long coastline and its eastern and western coasts face different ocean basins, their vulnerability is being discussed separately. According to the World Meteorological Organization, India accounts for 6 per cent of the total number of cyclones world-wide. The east coast: For ease of study, the eastern coast has been divided into the West Bengal, Orissa, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu coasts.
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Historical records show that the West Bengal coast, with a storm surge height in the range of 11.81-12.12 meters, is the most vulnerable to storm surges. However, the death toll due to tropical cyclones on this coast is less compared to that in Bangladesh due to the coastal configuration and the bathymetry. The west coast: The west coast has been divided into the Gujarat, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Kerala coasts. The data on storm surges associated with cyclones that form over the Arabian Sea and cross the western coast of India is not available, except for a few cyclones. The Gujarat coast is the most vulnerable to storm surges with surge heights being about 1 to 6 meters. The Pakistan coast: Pakistans coastal areas have been divided into the Mekran coast and the Sind coast. About eight cyclones have been reported here during the period 1891 through 1991. The Sri Lankan coast: The Sri Lankan coast is divided into the East, North, South and West coasts. Vulnerability analysis of the Sri Lankan coast is based on information on about 17 cyclones during 1845-1997. Reports on human casualties in Sri Lanka are not available for all the cyclones, except the great cyclone of 1978 which killed 915 people and the cyclonic storm of November 1992, which also killed many people. Though the catastrophic nature of the cyclones depend on various factors such as coastal configuration, landfall area, and the high tide and low tide conditions, reduction in human casualties depends mainly on the early issuance of forecasts and storm warnings by the National Meteorological Services and the effective use of early warning apparatus by disaster management systems of different agencies and authorities. Latest developments in science and technology have greatly enhanced the accuracy of cyclone tracking and forecasting techniques, in addition to improving timely dissemination of warning messages.
2.4 Earthquakes
Between 50 to 60 per cent of India is vulnerable to seismic activities of varying intensity. The Himalayan range, the Indo-Gangetic plains and the Kutch and Kathiawar regions of western India are geologically
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the most unstable parts, and are most prone to earthquakes. Areas in and around the Union Territory of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are also quakeprone, although earthquakes occasionally occur elsewhere in India too. For instance, the September 1993 earthquake that struck the Maharashtra state in central west India, claimed nearly 12,000 lives. The Himalayan frontal arc, flanked by the Chaman fault in the west, constitutes one of the most seismically active intra-continental regions in the world. In a span of 53 years, four earthquakes, exceeding magnitude 8 on the Richter scale, have shaken this region. These are the Assam earthquakes of 1897 and 1950, the Kangra earthquake of 1905 and the Bihar-Nepal earthquake of 1935. Nepals entire territory lies in the region of seismic activity, which regularly experiences earthquakes with magnitudes of 5-8.
2.5 Landslides
Incidence of landslides is very common in the hills and mountainous regions of South Asia. Topography alone could be the primary cause; however, in most cases, landslides are aggravated by human activities such as deforestation, cultivation and construction which destabilise the already fragile slopes. For instance, as a result of combined actions of natural and man-made factors, as many as 12,000 landslides occur in Nepal every year. In 1998, floods and landslides in Nepal killed about 273 people and the country suffered a loss of about US $28,854,000 (SOE Report 2000: Nepal).
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accidental contamination problems in the world, with profound impacts on environment and health, forcing the evacuation of a quarter of a million people who have not yet returned to their homes eight years after the event. Some of the precautions that can be taken before establishing an industry to prevent accidents are the following: Industries should be located away from human settlements. Wind direction too should be taken into consideration to minimise the spread of a possible disaster to distant places. The staff should be adequately trained and updated not only in routine operational safety, but also in response to emergencies, and compliance with safety standards should be regularly monitored. Emergency preparedness plans at all appropriate levels and early warning systems should be developed and tested at regular intervals (in line with various international guidelines such as those of the UN/ILO/WHO/UNEP).
Responses
The level of disaster preparedness is a major factor in mitigation of natural disasters. There is a need for dissemination of information on the measures to be taken before, during and after any disaster.
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seismic data acquisition systems. The physical impacts of natural hazards can be reduced by preventing or modifying the occurrence of the hazard, such as in the case of flooding. This can be done very effectively through land-use planning and management, particularly in areas where structural measures would be too difficult or too expensive to implement.
Awareness
Community awareness through educational programmes on warning systems and other aspects of disaster preparedness also need to be developed and implemented. Communities comprising of representatives of NGOs and the public could be established at the local level to monitor and guide disaster preparedness and relief operations.
Institutional Development
Many countries of the region (Bangladesh, Malaysia, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Maldives) have appointed national Inter-disciplinary Committees for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR) to coordinate disaster mitigation activities of government and other agencies. These committees are also involved in: collaborating with all the concerned departments and institutions to formulate and implement plans and programmes. formulating measures for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. establishing programmes of cooperation with international organisations and nongovernmental organisations. In India, flood forecasting and early warning in disasterprone areas is being considered as one of the most important and cost-effective measures for disaster relief. A Cabinet Committee on natural calamities has been constituted. The current Five Year Plan emphasises the extension of the existing forecasting network. Ten high power cyclone detection radars have been installed along the east and west coasts of the country, and there are
Mitigation Measures
Environmental enhancement measures play an important role in combating natural disasters. Programmes on rehabilitation of degraded lands and afforestation are being undertaken on a large scale. Implementation of comprehensive land use plans, primarily drives by environmental concerns, have been instrumental in incorporating hazard mitigation and preparedness provisions into the development process. For instance, provision of green belts on river banks reduces flood damage; parks and open spaces in a city can provide temporary shelters during earthquakes. Similarly, slum and squatter settlement improvement schemes that are being undertaken in many areas have also helped reduce the risk of disasters.
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Hazard mapping and risk assessment needs to be done. This would delineate areas vulnerable to geologyrelated natural hazards and the frequency, intensity, impact, etc. of each hazard. There is need for comprehensive vulnerability analysis for disaster-prone areas. As a preventive measure, earthquake-resistant designs for dwellings have helped reduce the number of casualties and prevent serious damage to buildings. In most areas, however, there is still a need for preparation or review of earthquake-resistant design codes for buildings and other engineering structures and for their enforcement, as well as the undertaking of proper arrangements for the infrastructure to be able to deal with natural hazards and disasters. In Bangladesh, the government has adopted a disaster policy which puts equal emphasis on pre-disaster planning and preparedness while retaining post-disaster relief and rehabilitation capabilities. Embankments are under construction in the coastal areas and on the banks of major rivers. India also has plans to promote floodproof buildings, afforestation in flood-affected river basins and drainage system improvements. In Nepal, the National Comprehensive Plan for Disaster Management was drafted in 1991, and its provisions have been used as guidelines for disaster management activities. Sri Lanka has prepared a National Disaster Management Plan and a draft bill which provides for the preparation and implementation of counter-measures, including emergency preparedness and relief, and the creation of appropriate institutes to deal with disasters. Non-structural disaster prevention and mitigation measures adopted to assist in minimising losses includes raising public awareness about disasters and training people to cope with them. Media, such as radio, newspaper and television, too have been useful.
References
Datt, Ashok K. and Geib, M. Margaret: Atlas of South Asia, Oxford and IBH Publishing Co. Pvt. Ltd, New Delhi and Kolkata, 1997. Lean, Geoffrey and Hinrichsen, Don: Atlas of the Environment (WWF), Helicon Publishing Ltd., Oxford, 1990. World Development Indicators, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2000. World Disasters Report, International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, Switzerland, 1999.
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