Sample Size Determination For Efficient Use of Resources: 4 Determining Factors: A - D

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Sample Size Determination

for
Efficient use of Resources
PGRM 3.5

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4 determining factors: A D
A

Variability of experimental material


Expressed as either
(i) the Standard deviation (SD) of the
response
(ii) the CV (= 100*SD/Mean).
The CV for biological responses is often in
range 10-30%.

Size of difference expected (d)


Based on
(i) Knowledge of similar work.

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(ii) Knowledge of the science


(iii) economically important difference?

Estimating the SD & CV (for A)


From analysis of similar data:
SD is estimated by MSE
From the literature:
SEM (SE of mean) = (MSE/r)
so SD = SEM r
Example: Chowdhury and Rosario (1994)
J. Agric. Sci. Camb 122, 193-199
Randomised block with 5 blocks (r=5)
SEM for Dry matter yield = 0.206
SD estimated by 0.206 5 = 0.460
Mean 5 so CV 100 0.460/5 = 9.2%
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Estimating the SD & CV (contd)


Example: Wayne el al. (1999).J. Ecol 87,183-192
Replication = 6
SED for reproductive weight per stand is 0.295.
Recall!
so

SED = 2 SEM
SD = (r/2) SED

SD estimated by 0.295 (6/2) = 0.51


Mean 1.2
CV 100 0.51/1.2 = 42.5%

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More determining factors: C & D


C

Criteria for rejecting the null


hypothesis
Significance Level = Probability of
rejecting the null when it is true.
(ie concluding there is a difference when
there is not)
Recall: rejecting when p < 0.05 gives
significance level 0.05
Typical levels : 0.05, 0.01, 0.001

Power = Probability of concluding there is


a difference when there is one of size d
Typical levels: 0.8. 0.9, 0.95

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Calculation of replicates per treatment


Fixing significance at 0.05, and power at 80%
To detect a d% difference the required
replication per treatment is:

r = 16(CV/d)2
Example
CV = 15%, d = 10%,
r = 16 (15/10)2 = 36
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Review of Resource Use


To see how precise an experiment actually was the
formula above can be rewritten as
d = 4 CV/r
to give
d = 4 SEM% (= 2.82 SED%)
where SEM (SED) are expressed as % of the overall
mean.
Example follows:

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Example: Review of resource use


Suppose an experiment with two treatments has the
following result
Treatment

SEM

10.7

13.9

1.1

The grand mean is 12.3 and the SEM as a percentage


of that is 8.9%.
The formula says that a real underlying difference
between treatments of size 4 x 8.9% = 35.6% would
have about an 80% chance of being detected at the 5%
level in this experiment.
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