Mergers and Acquisitions: Presenter's Name Presenter's Title DD Month Yyyy
Mergers and Acquisitions: Presenter's Name Presenter's Title DD Month Yyyy
Mergers and Acquisitions: Presenter's Name Presenter's Title DD Month Yyyy
1. INTRODUCTION
Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are complex, involving many parties.
Mergers and acquisitions involve many issues, including
- Corporate governance.
- Form of payment.
- Legal issues.
- Contractual issues.
- Regulatory approval.
M&A analysis requires the application of valuation tools to evaluate the M&A
decision.
EXAMPLE OF A MERGER:
AMR AND U.S. AIRWAYS
November
2012
July 2012
U.S.
Airways
proposes
merger to
bankrupt
AMR.
April 2012
AMR creditors
encourage AMR
to merge with
another airline,
instead of
emerging from
bankruptcy alone.
AMR and
U.S. Airways
begin
merger
discussions.
September
2012
Details of the
merger are
worked out.
Merger filed
with the FTC
under HartScott-Rodino
Act.
February
2013
Company
A
Acquisition
Company
X
Company
C
Company
B
Company
X
Company
Y
Characteristic
Example
Horizontal
merger
Vertical merger
Conglomerate
merger
Companies are in
unrelated lines of
business.
Berkshire Hathaway
acquires Lubrizol (2011).
Creating Value
Synergy
Growth
Increasing market power
Acquiring unique capabilities or resources
Unlocking hidden value
Cross-Border
Mergers
Dubious
Motives
Diversification
Bootstrapping earnings
Managers personal incentives
Tax considerations
Company One
Post-Acquisition
$100 million
$50 million
$150 million
100 million
50 million
125 million
$1
$1
$1.20
P/E
20
10
20
$20
$10
$24
$2,000 million
$500 million
$3,000 million
Company One
Earnings
Number of shares
$100
20 +
$150
$50
10 = 16.67
$150
Assumptions:
Exchange ratio: One share of Company One for two shares of Company Two
Market applies weighted average P/E to the post-merger company.
Company Two
Company One
Post-Acquisition
$100 million
$50 million
$150 million
100 million
50 million
125 million
$1
$1
$1.20
P/E
20
10
16.67
$20
$10
$20
$2,000 million
$500 million
$2,500 million
Company One
Earnings
Number of shares
Factors include
- Need for capital.
- Need for resources.
- Degree of competition and the number of competitors.
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Types of
Mergers
Conglomerate
Horizontal
Conglomerate
Horizontal
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Types of
Mergers
Horizontal
Vertical
Horizontal
Mergers may be undertaken to
achieve economies of scale in
research, production, and
marketing to match the low cost
and price performance of other
companies (domestic and foreign).
Large companies may acquire
smaller companies to improve
management and provide a broader
financial base.
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Types of
Motives for Merger
Mergers
Horizontal mergers may be
Horizontal
undertaken to ensure survival.
Vertical
Vertical mergers may be carried out Conglomerate
to increase efficiency and profit
margins.
Companies in related industries
may merge to exploit synergy.
Companies in this industry may
acquire companies in young
industries.
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4. TRANSACTION CHARACTERISTICS
Form of the
Transaction
Method of
Payment
Attitude of
Management
Stock purchase
Asset purchase
Cash
Securities
Combination of cash and securities
Hostile
Friendly
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FORM OF AN ACQUISITION
In a stock purchase, the acquirer provides cash, stock, or combination of
cash and stock in exchange for the stock of the target firm.
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METHOD OF PAYMENT
Cash offering
- Cash offering may be cash from
existing acquirer balances or from a
debt issue.
Securities offering
- Target shareholders receive shares
of common stock, preferred stock, or
debt of the acquirer.
- The exchange ratio determines the
number of securities received in
exchange for a share of target stock.
Factors influencing method of
payment:
- Sharing of risk among the acquirer
and target shareholders.
- Signaling by the acquiring firm.
- Capital structure of the acquiring
firm.
Cash and
securities
Other
securities
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MINDSET OF MANAGERS
Friendly merger: Offer made through
the targets board of directors
Approach target management.
17
A friendly merger is one in which the board negotiates and accepts an offer.
A hostile merger is one in which the board of the target firm attempts to
prevent the merger offer from being successful.
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5. TAKEOVERS
Takeover defenses are intended to either prevent the transaction from taking
place or to increase the offer.
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TAKEOVER DEFENSES
Pre-Offer Takeover Defense
Mechanisms
Poison puts
Greenmail
Share repurchase
Litigation
Leveraged recapitalization
Crown jewels defenses
Pac-Man defense
White knight defense
White squire defense
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6. REGULATION
Antitrust
Law
Securities
Law
Regulation
of Mergers
and
Acquisitions
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ANTITRUST
The European Commission reviews combinations for antitrust issues.
Regulatory bodies besides the FTC may review combinations (e.g., U.S.
Federal Communications Commission, Federal Reserve Bank, state insurance
commissions).
If the combination involves companies in different countries, it may require
approvals by all countries regulatory bodies.
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THE HHI
The HerfindalhlHirschman Index (HHI) is a measure of concentration within
an industry and is often used by regulators to evaluate the effects of a merger.
The HHI is constructed as the sum of the squared market shares of the firms in
the industry:
n
2
Output of firm i
HHI =
100
Total sales or output of the market
i
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EXAMPLE: HHI
Consider an industry that has six companies. Their respective market shares are
as follows:
Company
Market Share
A
25%
B
15%
C
15%
D
15%
E
15%
F
15%
100%
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EXAMPLE: HHI
Market
Company Share
HHI
Before
Market
Company Share
HHI
After
25%
625
25%
625
15%
225
15%
225
15%
225
15%
225
15%
225
15%
225
15%
225
E+F
30%
900
15%
225
Total
100%
1125
Total
100%
1575
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7. MERGER ANALYSIS
The discounted cash flow (DCF) method is often used in the valuation of the
target company.
The cash flow that is most appropriate is the free cash flow (FCF), which is the
cash flow after capital expenditures necessary to maintain the company as an
ongoing concern.
The goal is to estimate future FCF.
- We can use pro forma financial statements to estimate FCF
- We use a two-stage model when we can more accurately estimate growth in
the near future and then assume a somewhat slower growth out into the
future.
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Calculate NOPLAT
Unlevered net income + Change in deferred taxes
Calculate FCF
NOPLAT + Noncash charges Change in working capital Capital expenditures
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$40
Interest expense
$5
Depreciation
Interest income
$2
Assumed
Capital expenditures
$3
$10
$6
$20
30
EXAMPLE: FCF
Net income
Plus
Equals
Plus
Equals
Plus
Depreciation
Minus
Minus
Capital expenditures
Equals
$40.00
1.65
$41.65
3.00
$44.65
10.00
6.00
20.00
$28.65
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32
33
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XYZ Company
Average of Comparables
Earnings
$10 million
P/E of comparables
30 times
Cash flow
$12 million
P/CF of comparables
25 times
$50 million
P/BV of comparables
2 times
Sales
$100 million
P/S of comparables
2.5 times
If the typical takeover premium is 20%, what is the XYZ Companys value in a
merger using the comparable company approach?
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Comparables
Multiples
Estimated
Stock Value
Earnings
$10 million
30
$300 million
Cash flow
$12 million
25
$300 million
$50 million
$100 million
$100 million
2.5
$250 million
Sales
Average =
$237.5 million
Estimated takeover price of the XYZ Company = $237.5 million 1.2 = $285 million
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37
Collect
Information on
Recent Takeover
Transactions of
Comparable
Companies
Calculate
Multiples for
Comparable
Companies
Estimate
Takeover Value
Based on
Multiples
38
EXAMPLE: COMPARABLE
TRANSACTION ANALYSIS
Suppose an analyst has gathered the following information on the target
company, the MNO Company:
MNO Company
Average of Multiples of
Comparable Transactions
Earnings
$10 million
P/E of comparables
15 times
Cash flow
$12 million
P/CF of comparables
20 times
$50 million
P/BV of comparables
5 times
P/S of comparables
3 times
Sales
$100 million
Estimate the value of the MNO Company using the comparable transaction
analysis, giving the cash flow multiple 70% and the other methods 10% each.
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EXAMPLE: COMPARABLE
TRANSACTION ANALYSIS
Comparables
Transaction
Multiples
Estimated
Stock Value
Earnings
$10 million
15
$150 million
Cash flow
$12 million
20
$240 million
$50 million
$250 million
$100 million
$300 million
Sales
Value of MNO = 0.7 $240 + 0.1 $150 + 0.1 $250 + 0.1 $300
Value = $238 million
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EVALUATING BIDS
The acquiring firm shareholders want
to minimize the amount paid to target
shareholders, not paying more than
the pre-merger value of the target plus
the value of the synergies.
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(10-7)
where
PT = price paid for the target company
VT = pre-merger value of the target company
(10-8)
where
S = synergies created by the business combination
VA* = VA + VT + S C
(10-9)
where
VA* = post-merger value of the combined companies
VA = pre-merger value of the acquirer
C = cash paid to target shareholders
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Big shareholders get $17 million $20 million = 85% of the gain
3. Value of Big Company post-merger
= $400 million + $15 million + $20 million $18 million = $417 million
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46
47
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9. CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING
A divestiture is the sale, liquidation, or spin-off of a division or subsidiary.
Equity
Carve-Out
Liquidation
Spin-Off
Parent
compan
y
Divestiture
Split-Off
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- Reverse synergy
- Financial or cash flow needs
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FORMS OF DIVESTITURE
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10. SUMMARY
An acquisition is the purchase of some portion of one company by another,
whereas a merger represents the absorption of one company by another.
There are number of motives for a merger or acquisition; some are justified,
some are dubious.
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SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
A merger transaction may take the form of a stock purchase or an asset
purchase.
- The decision of which approach to take will affect other aspects of the
transaction.
The method of payment for a merger may be cash, securities, or a mixed
offering with some of both.
Hostile transactions are those opposed by target managers, whereas friendly
transactions are endorsed by the target companys managers.
There are a variety of both pre- and post-offer defenses a target can use to
ward off an unwanted takeover bid.
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SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
Pre-offer defense mechanisms include poison pills and puts, incorporation in a
jurisdiction with restrictive takeover laws, staggered boards of directors,
restricted voting rights, supermajority voting provisions, fair price amendments,
and golden parachutes.
Post-offer defenses include just say no defense, litigation, greenmail, share
repurchases, leveraged recapitalization, crown jewel defense, Pac-Man
defense, or finding a white knight or a white squire.
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SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
Three major tools for valuing a target company are discounted cash flow
analysis, comparable company analysis, and comparable transaction analysis.
In a merger bid, the gain to target shareholders is the takeover premium. The
acquirer gain is the value of any synergies created by the merger, minus the
premium paid to target shareholders.
The empirical evidence suggests that merger transactions create value for
target company shareholders, yet acquirers tend to accrue value in the years
following a merger.
A divestiture is a transaction in which a company sells, liquidates, or spins off a
division or a subsidiary.
A company may divest assets using a sale to another company, a spin-off to
shareholders, or a liquidation.
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