Interco Case Solution
Interco Case Solution
Interco Case Solution
1:
INTERCO
Alfonso, Eric
Basilio, Leo
Deinla, Dennis
Lapat, George
Magpantay, Mark
Silfavan, John
Talaugon, Danilo
Villaroman, Ramil
Retailing industry profits reduced due to drop-off in consumer spending and deep discounting
programs being offered by retailers in 1987
Apparel business are struggling, dropped in earnings from $6.7M in 1986 to $2.0M in 1988
Furniture and home furnishings prospects appear bright given favorable demographic trends in
family formations
Footwear have been flourishing
October 1987 stock market crash still in rear-view mirror
Intercos sales is growing from 4.04 % in 1987 to 13.39 % growth in 1988. Earnings is also
growing from 4.51 % growth in 1987 to 13.97 % in 1988
Overall performance of the company is improving, although some divisions are not pulling their
weight
Intercos Goal
Improve long- term sales and earnings growth
Earn increased return on assets and equity
Interco engage the services of Wasserstein, Parella & Co. to amended the Shareholder Rights Plan
and adopted the golden parachute severance agreement for their senior executives making any
hostile takeover of the company prohibitively expensive
City Capital offered to buy Intercos common shares at USD64 per share
Intercos Board expanded the role of their financial advisor, Wasserstein, Perella, & Co. to
evaluate City Capitals offer
The offer was raised to USD70 per share in the morning of August 8, 1988
Rm
12.40%
(Rm -RFR)
3.39%
k
12.40%
1988
Sales Growth
1989
1,105,563
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70%
7.70% Exhibit 12
13.1
13.21
13.32
13.43
13.54
13.66
13.77
13.88
13.99
14.10 Exhibit 12
Operating Margin in %
Net sales
1990
1,190,691
1,282,375
1,381,117
1,487,463
1,601,998
1,725,352
1,858,204
2,001,286
2,155,385
2,321,349
155,981
169,416
183,996
199,816
216,982
235,606
255,813
277,734
301,514
327,310
Exhibit 8
89,221
96,906
105,245
114,295
124,114
134,767
146,325
158,864
172,466
187,221
FCFE
89,221
96,906
105,245
114,295
124,114
119,348
129,718
140,979
153,204
166,476
PV of FCFE at 12.4%
79,378
76,704
74,115
71,608
69,181
59,186
57,232
55,338
53,502
51,724
15,419
16,607
17,885
19,262
20,746
Exhibit 12
Exhibit 12
1988
Sales Growth
1989
890,411
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
6.30%
6.30%
6.30%
6.30%
6.30%
6.30%
6.30%
6.30%
6.30% Exhibit 12
9.10
9.24
9.39
9.53
9.68
9.82
9.97
10.11
10.26
10.40 Exhibit 12
946,507
1,006,137
1,069,523
1,136,903
1,208,528
1,284,666
1,365,600
1,451,632
1,543,085
1,640,300
86,132
93,012
100,416
108,385
116,959
126,183
136,105
146,776
158,252
170,591
1991
6.30%
Operating Margin in %
Net sales
1990
86,132
93,012
100,416
108,385
116,959
126,183
136,105
146,776
158,252
170,591
36,865
39,809
42,978
46,389
50,058
54,006
58,253
62,820
67,732
73,013
Net Income
49,268
53,203
57,438
61,996
66,900
72,177
77,852
83,956
90,520
97,578
9,517
FCFE
49,268
53,203
57,438
61,996
66,900
62,659
67,735
73,202
79,089
85,426
PV of FCFE at 12.4%
43,832
42,112
40,448
38,842
37,290
31,073
29,885
28,734
27,620
26,542
10,117
10,754
11,432
Exhibit 8
12,152
Exhibit 12
Exhibit 12
1988
Sales Growth
1989
813,198
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7.10%
7.10%
7.10%
7.10%
7.10%
7.10%
7.10%
7.10%
7.10% Exhibit 12
6.40
6.47
6.53
6.60
6.67
6.73
6.80
6.87
6.93
7.00 Exhibit 12
870,935
932,771
998,998
1,069,927
1,145,892
1,227,250
1,314,385
1,407,706
1,507,653
1,614,697
55,740
60,319
65,268
70,615
76,393
82,635
89,378
96,663
104,531
113,029
10
1991
7.10%
Operating Margin in %
Net sales
1990
55,740
60,319
65,268
70,615
76,393
82,635
89,378
96,663
104,531
113,029
23,857
25,817
27,935
30,223
32,696
35,368
38,254
41,372
44,739
48,376
Net Income
31,883
34,503
37,333
40,392
43,697
47,267
51,124
55,291
59,792
64,652
0
10,170
0
10,892
0
11,665
0
12,493
Exhibit 8
0
13,380
FCFE
31,883
34,503
37,333
40,392
43,697
37,097
40,232
43,626
47,298
51,272
PV of FCFE at 12.4%
28,366
27,310
26,290
25,306
24,357
18,397
17,751
17,124
16,518
15,930
Exhibit 12
Exhibit 12
1988
Sales Growth
1989
532,251
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7.60%
7.60%
7.60%
7.60%
7.60%
7.60%
7.60%
7.60%
7.60% Exhibit 12
6.5
6.61
6.72
6.83
6.94
7.06
7.17
7.28
7.39
7.50 Exhibit 12
572,702
616,227
663,061
713,453
767,676
826,019
888,797
956,345
1,029,027
1,107,233
37,226
40,739
44,572
48,753
53,311
58,280
63,697
69,601
76,034
83,043
11
1991
7.60%
Operating Margin in %
Net sales
1990
Exhibit 8
37,226
40,739
44,572
48,753
53,311
58,280
63,697
69,601
76,034
83,043
15,933
17,436
19,077
20,866
22,817
24,944
27,262
29,789
32,542
35,542
Net Income
21,293
23,303
25,495
27,887
30,494
33,336
36,435
39,812
43,491
47,500
Exhibit 12
4,376
4,708
5,066
5,451
5,865
Exhibit 12
FCFE
21,293
23,303
25,495
27,887
30,494
28,961
31,726
34,745
38,040
41,635
PV of FCFE at 12.4%
18,944
18,445
17,954
17,471
16,997
14,362
13,998
13,639
13,284
12,936
1988
3,341,423
1989
7.20%
9.2
3,580,835
335,078
335,078
143,413
191,665
0
191,665
170,520
TV11 @ 14 multiple
TV11 @ 15 multiple
TV11 @ 16 multiple
1990
7.20%
9.30
3,837,510
363,486
363,486
155,572
207,914
0
207,914
164,570
1991
7.20%
9.40
4,112,700
394,252
394,252
168,740
225,512
0
225,512
158,808
4,771,705
5,112,541
5,453,377
1992
7.20%
9.50
4,407,747
427,569
427,569
182,999
244,569
0
244,569
153,227
1993
7.20%
9.60
4,724,094
463,644
463,644
198,440
265,204
0
265,204
147,825
1994
7.20%
9.70
5,063,287
502,704
502,704
215,157
287,547
42,517
245,030
121,513
PV of TV11 @ 14 m = 1,482,554
PV of TV11 @ 15 m = 1,588,450
PV of TV11 @ 16 m = 1,694,347
12
2,845,445
68.80
2,951,342
71.36
3,057,238
73.92
1995
7.20%
9.80
5,426,985
544,993
544,993
233,257
311,736
45,570
266,166
117,433
1996
7.20%
9.90
5,816,970
590,773
590,773
252,851
337,922
48,843
289,079
113,471
1997
7.20%
10.00
6,235,151
640,331
640,331
274,062
366,269
52,353
313,916
109,627
1998
7.20%
10.10
6,683,579
693,973
693,973
297,020
396,952
56,116
340,836
105,897
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
FCFE
191,665
207,914
225,512
244,569
265,204
245,030
266,166
289,079
313,916
174,241
171,830
169,431
167,044
164,671
138,313
136,585
134,858
133,131
(1+k)
(1+k)2
(1+k)3
(1+k)4
(1+k)5
(1+k)6
(1+k)7
(1+k)8
(1+k)9
1.100
1.210
1.331
1.464
3,361,209
3,492,616
3,624,024
1.772
1.949
2.144
2.358
@ 10% Rd
, Stock Price @41,356,847 shares =
81
, Stock Price @41,356,847 shares =
84
, Stock Price @41,356,847 shares =
88
Terminal Multiple
Discount Rate
13
1.611
14
15
16
10%
81
84
88
11%
76
79
82
12%
71
73
76
13%
66
69
71
(1+k)10
2.594
@14
@15
@16
June 3,1986
Aug 12,1986
Nov 17,1986
Dec 14,1987
Aug 8,1988
14
Aug 8,1988
$260.90
89.3
523.7
63.5
Net
Income
2,941.30
31.6
14.1
2.8
22
17.6
18.1
2.6
1.8
2.8
2.1
2.3
2.2
2.1
1
1.6
0.8
1.4
0.9
20.3
12
11.1
11.7
13.8
11.4
15.8
9.9
9.6
8.1
10.9
9.2
$202.70
146.1
191
312.5
95
37.1
30.7
40.6
2.5
36.2
1.8
0
6.7
1.8
0
0.9
1.7
2.1
0.5
1.5
24.7
26
24.6
13
12.2
18.2
23.9
23.3
9.2
8.1
2,941.30
29.42
18.1
3.43
2.2
1.34
0.9
20.1
11.4
16.54
9.2
Average
9.2
8.4
14.2
8.4
Aquirer/Target
Apparel Companies
West Point Pepperall/Cluett, Peabody
W.Acquisition/Warnco
Salant/Manhataan Indus
Wesray/Wm Carter
Hostorical Average
City Capital offer
Central Hardware Division
Management Group/Payless Cashways
City Capital offer
Announcement
Date
Adj Aggregate
Price ($million)
Nov 4,1985
Mar 17,1986
Feb 2,1988
Apr 28,2988
Aug 8,1988
$551.90
504.7
129.7
157.4
335.93
2,941.30
June 24,1988
Aug 8,1988
$1,189.40
2,941.30
Operating
Cash Flow
0.6
0.9
0.4
0.8
0.68
0.9
10.6
10.6
0.2
9.2
20.30
18.1
1.5
2.5
1.4
1.6
1.75
2.2
24
15.07
11.4
13.7
7.70
9.2
9.1
8.4
22
18.1
2.3
2.2
0.6
0.9
13.1
11.4
9.2
9.2
9.4
8.4
Average
15
Average
10.47375
Our Decision
Decline the offer of City Capital and challenge them to submit their best proposal given above
valuation report from the consultant
An Offer of USD 74 per Share will be considered
16
The USD 74 per share seemed fair (+) since it is base from the prevailing S&P500 return of equity
of 12.4% and at maximum assumed TV of 16 multiple.
Selling less profitable division also poses greater risk of undervaluation.
17