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Hard edge tail asymptotics

2011, Electronic Communications in Probability

Let Λ be the limiting smallest eigenvalue in the general (β, a)-Laguerre ensemble of random matrix theory. That is, Λ is the n ↑ ∞ distributional limit of the (scaled) minimal point drawn from the density proportional to 1≤i<j≤n |λ i − λ j | β n i=1 λ β 2 (a+1)−1 i e − β 2 λ i on (R +) n. Here β > 0, a > −1; for β = 1, 2, 4 and integer a, this object governs the singular values of certain rank n Gaussian matrices. We prove that P (Λ > λ) = e − β 2 λ+2γ √ λ λ − γ(γ+1−β/2) 2β e(β, a)(1 + o(1)) as λ ↑ ∞ in which γ = β 2 (a + 1) − 1 and e(β, a) > 0 is a constant (which we do not determine). This estimate complements/extends various results previously available for special values of β and a.

Hard edge tail asymptotics arXiv:1109.4121v2 [math.PR] 18 Nov 2011 José A. Ramı́rez∗, Brian Rider†, Ofer Zeitouni‡ Abstract Let Λ be the limiting smallest eigenvalue in the general (β, a)-Laguerre ensemble of random matrix theory. That is, Λ is the n ↑ ∞ distributional limit of the Q (scaled) minimal point drawn from the density proportional to 1≤i<j≤n |λi − λj |β β Qn (a+1)−1 − β λi 2 e 2 on (R+ )n . Here β > 0, a > −1; for β = 1, 2, 4 and integer a, this i=1 λi object governs the singular values of certain rank n Gaussian matrices. We prove that β P (Λ > λ) = e− 2 λ+2γ √ γ(γ+1−β/2) λ − 2β λ e(β, a)(1 + o(1)) as λ ↑ ∞ in which γ = β2 (a + 1) − 1 and e(β, a) > 0 is a constant (which we do not determine). This estimate complements/extends various results previously available for special values of β and a. 1 Introduction The shape of the distribution of the smallest singular value of a “typical” matrix is a deeply studied question. An overview of the varying motivations for this problem may be found in [11]. In the case of Gaussian matrices, many exact formulas are available both at finite dimension and asymptotically [4, 13]. Only quite recently has it been shown that the asymptotic laws are universal beyond the Gaussian case (in the sense of being insensitive to the statistics of the matrix entries), see [12]. Here we consider the “general beta” analogues of the classical Gaussian ensembles. These are defined by placing a measure on n nonnegative real points λ1 , λ2 , . . . , λn with density function (a normalization constant times) Y 1≤i<j≤n |λi − λj | β n Y β λi2 (a+1)−1 − β λi 2 e . (1.1) i=1 ∗ Department of Mathematics, Universidad de Costa Rica. e-mail: alexander.ramirez [email protected]. Department of Mathematics, University of Colorado Boulder. e-mail: [email protected]. ‡ Department of Mathematics, University Minnesota; Department of Mathematics, Weizmann Institute. e-mail: [email protected]. † 1 When β = 1, 2, 4 and a = 0, 1, 2, . . . this is the joint square-singular value law of an n×(n+a) real, complex, or quaternion Gaussian matrix. It is however a sensible law for any β > 0 and a > −1, and, what is more, still a joint square-singular value law for a certain random bi-diagonal matrix ensemble [3]. Further, the least order statistic λmin satisfies a limit law: as n ↑ ∞, n2 λmin converges (in distribution) to a well defined random variable, denoted here by Λ (= Λ(β, a)). There are several proofs of this for special values of β and a; [10] contains a proof (making use of the bi-diagonal representation of [3] and substantiating a conjecture of [5]) valid for all values of those parameters. Our starting point is a relation between the law of Λ and the explosion/non-explosion of the diffusion process: with b a Brownian motion,   1 β √ −βt/8 β (a + ) − λe cosh x(t) dt. (1.2) dx(t) = db(t) + 4 2 2 In particular, a corrected version of Theorem 2 of [10] (see also the derivation leading to (2.3) below) implies that P (Λ > λ) = P∞,0 (t 7→ x(t) never hits − ∞). (1.3) Here Pc,s indicates the law on paths induced by x, begun from position c at time s. Our main result reads: Theorem 1. Let pλ = pλ,β,a denote the right hand side of (1.3). For large values of λ it holds √ γ(γ+1−β/2) β e(β, a)(1 + o(1)). (1.4) pλ = e− 2 λ+2γ λ λ− 2β Here γ = β2 (a + 1) − 1 and e(β, a) > 0 is an undetermined constant. There has already been a great deal of work in this direction, though focussed on dealing directly with the statistics (1.1) rather than our passage time description (1.3). The fundamental treatment of Tracy-Widom [13] for β = 2 produced the correct λ → ∞ asymptotics of pλ,2,a up to a multiplicative constant and provided a conjecture for that constant, e(2, a). This has recently been verified by Ehrhardt [7], for |a| < 1, by operator theoretic techniques, and for all a > −1 by Deift-Krasovsky-Vasilevska [2] using Riemann Hilbert Problem machinery. A non-rigorous argument in [1] predicted all factors in the asymptotics save the constant for all (β, a). Making use of integral identities available at special values of β and integer a, Forrester has a sound conjecture for the value of the general constant e(β, a), see [6]. It appears possible that a type of analytic continuation argument could extend the result of [6] to all β (though for still integer a). The method employed here leaves e(β, a) in opaque form, as a somewhat involved expectation over diffusion paths; an explicit determination of this object for all β and a remains an open problem. 2 In many ways, the chief insight of this paper is to cast the diffusion (1.2), which encodes the desired probability distribution, in the present form. (The process which appears in [10] is related by a change of variables.) In fact, t 7→ x(t) is remarkably similar to the process studied by Valkó-Virág in estimating the probability of large gaps in the general beta “bulk” [14]. They showed that the probability of a gap being larger than λ is equal to the non-explosion, again to −∞, of   1 β −βt/4 dz(t) = db(t) + tanh z(t) − λe cosh z(t) dt, 2 8 begun again at +∞. It is no surprise then that their basic argument, which involves estimating the Cameron-Martin-Girsanov factor produced by a well-chosen change of measure, may be followed in this case. The proof of Theorem 1 occupies sections 3 and 4; section 2 gives a self-contained explanation of the identity (1.3). 2 Passage time description for Λ Without pointing the reader to [10] and the subsequent erratum, it is easy enough to give a brief derivation of the relevance of the diffusion (1.2) to the distribution function P (Λ > λ). The main result of [10] shows that Λ−1 is the maximal eigenvalue of the almost surely trace class integral operator  Z ∞ Z t∧s −(a+1)s− √2β b(s) au+ √2β b(u) ds, (2.1) du ψ(s)e Lβ,a ψ(t) := e 0 0 −(a+1)t− √2β b(t) acting on L2 [R+ , µ], µ(dt) = e dt. Here t 7→ b(t) is a standard Brownian motion. Any nonnegative L2 solution of ψ(t) = λLβ,a ψ(t) satisfies ψ(0) = 0 and ψ ′ (t) := dψ(t)/dt ≥ 0 for all t > 0, as can be seen by taking derivatives of both sides of the eigenvalue equation: Z ∞ at+ √2β b(t) ψ ′ (t) = λe −(a+1)s− √2β b(s) ψ(s)e ds. t This converts to a differential system: 2 2 dψ ′ (t) = √ ψ ′ (t)db(t) + [(a + )ψ ′ (t) − λe−t ψ(t)]dt, dψ(t) = ψ ′ (t)dt β β (2.2) which can be used to test whether a fixed λ is at or below an eigenvalue. Specifically, λ is strictly below the groundstate eigenvalue Λ if the solution to (2.2) begun at ψ(0) = 0 (and ψ ′ (0) = 1 say) satisfies ψ(t) > 0, ψ ′ (t) > 0 for all time (note that solutions of (2.2) are 3 decreasing in λ). It is now the standard trick to translate this condition onto the diffusion q(t) := ψ ′ (t)/ψ(t) which solves 2 2 dq(t) = √ q(t)db(t) + [(a + )q(t) − q 2 (t) − λe−t ]dt, β β started from +∞ at time t = 0. In particular, if τc is the passage time of q to a level c, the event {Λ > λ} coincides with {τ0 = ∞}. Now the change of variables, x(t) := log(q(βt/4)) + βt/8 − log λ/2, (2.3) explains the identity (1.3). As a bit of amplification, we remark that for q = q(·; a, β, λ) with a ≥ 0, P(τ−∞ (q) < ∞|τ0 (q) < ∞) = 1. (2.4) So, at least for a ≥ 0, one can replace the condition of q never vanishing with the (more familiar) condition that q never explodes to −∞. Furthermore, a change of variables similar to (2.3) shows that the event that q(·; a, β, λ) started from 0 never hits −∞ is the same as the event that q(·; −a−1, β, λ), started from +∞ never hits 0. In particular, defining instead x(t) := − log(−q(βt/4)) + βt/8 − log λ/2 (keeping in mid that for all t > τ0 , q(t) < 0), x(t) will solve (1.2) with a replaced by −a − 1. One concludes that lim P (Λ > λ) = lim P∞ (τ0 (q(·; a, β, λ)) = ∞) = lim P0 (τ−∞ (q(·; a, β, λ)) = ∞) = 0 a↓−1 a↓−1 a↑0 for any λ > 0 (by say monotone convergence), as would have been guessed ahead of time. To prove (2.4), on the event {τ0 < ∞} introduce the simpler change of variables u(t) = log(−q(t + τ0 )). This process satisfies 2 du(t) = √ db(t) + [a + eu(t) + λe−τ0 e−t e−u(t) ]dt, u(0+) ∈ (−∞, ∞), β to which we compare the homogeneous process defined by 2 dv(t) = √ db(t) + [a + ev(t) ]dt, v(0) = u(0+) ∈ (−∞, ∞). β As u(t) > v(t), q explodes to −∞ in finite time if v explodes to +∞ in finite time (we continue to work on the event {τ0 (q) < ∞}). Now apply Feller’s test, in the form given by Proposition 5.32 (part (ii)) of [9]. In particular, bring in the Lyapunov function   Z x Z y Z 1 β x z m(x) = s(y) dzdy where s(x) = exp − (a + e )dz 2 0 0 0 s(z) 4 (s(x) is the derivative of the scale function for v). Since lim m(x) < ∞, while, if a ≥ 0, lim m(x) = −∞, x→∞ x→−∞ R the cited form of Feller’s test implies that S = {t : v(t) ∈ / (−∞, ∞)} is finite with probability one. However, it is impossible that v(t) ever hits −∞ (it is easily bounded below by a Brownian motion with constant drift a). This completes the proof. 3 Change of measure Hereafter it is convenient to put the time index in subscripts, i.e., x(t) becomes xt and the like. To begin, introduce the notation pλ (c) = Pc (xt never explodes). Then, by the strong Markov property, h i pλ = pλ (∞) = E∞ p1 (xT ), xt > −∞ for t ∈ (0, T ] , upon choosing T = 4 log λ. β (3.1) (3.2) The change of measure is now enacted on the expectation (3.1). Proposition 2. Let h(t, x) be C 1 in both variables and bounded for t ≤ T . Then, the law on paths up to time T induced by   β √ −βt/8 dyt = dbt + h(t, yt ) − sinh(yt ) dt, y0 = ∞ λe 2 is absolutely continuous with respect to that of t 7→ xt , x0 = ∞, subject to xt > −∞, 0 ≤ t ≤ T . Moreover, pλ = E∞ [p1 (yT ) RT (y· )], (3.3) in which, for s ≤ T , log Rs (y. ) = Z 0 f (t, y) = β4 (a + 21 ) − √ β 2 s 1 (f (t, yt ) − g(t, yt ))dyt − 2 Z 0 s (f 2 (t, yt ) − g 2 (t, yt ))dt, λ e−βt/8 cosh y and g(t, y) = h(t, y) − β 2 √ λ e−βt/8 sinh y. This is just the formula of Cameron-Martin-Girsanov, applied to the particular case of a diffusion with explosion for which it is important to point out that the test function p1 (xT ) in 5 question vanishes when T is larger than the explosion time. One also notes that the general form of the y-drift, effectively a bounded function minus sinh y, allows yt to be started at +∞ and prevents yt from exploding on [0, T ]. To then carry out the standard proof of Cameron-Martin-Girsanov in the present context, it must be checked that Rt−1 (x), which is a local martingale by construction, is actually a martingale. But again by the general form of the y-drift, both f − g and f 2 − g 2 are bounded when the path is bounded below, keeping Rt−1 (x) bounded prior to the explosion time of xt . Plainly, Rt−1 (x) = 0 at and after the explosion time. The first ingredient of the proof of Theorem 1 is the following. Throughout the below, [x] denotes the negative part of x ∈ R. Also recall that γ = β2 (a + 1) − 1. − Lemma 3. There exists a choice of h in Proposition 2 so that, for appropriate ν, φ satisfying R∞ |ν(t, y)| ≤ κ1 + κ2 [y]− for all t ≥ 0 and constant κ1 , κ2 , and |φ(t, y)| ≤ φ̂(t) with 0 φ̂(t)dt < ∞, it holds that   √ γ(γ + 1 − β/2) β log λ (3.4) log RT (y· ) = − λ + 2γ λ − 2 2β Z T β −yT + ν(T, yT ) + φ(T − t, yt )dt. + e 2 0 Once h is in hand, the lemma is readily verified. In particular, β 1 β h(t, y) = (a + ) + h1 (y) + e− 8 (T −t) h2 (y) (3.5) 4 2 where γ h1 (y) = − , (3.6) 1 + ey   β 1 1 (h21 (y) − h21 (0)) + (a + )(h1 (y) − h1 (0)) + (h′1 (y) − h′1 (0)) . h2 (y) = β sinh(y) 2 2 That both h1 and h2 are uniformly bounded, h1 being integrable at +∞ while h2 is integrable at both ±∞ figure into the bounds on ν and φ in the lemma. It is more instructive however to describe how h is discovered, each step achieving suc√ cessive order in λ, λ, etc., and the various bounds claimed in the lemma seen along the way. Step 1 begins by expanding out the exponential RT factor with a generic h: Z Z T β2 1 β2 1 T 2 −βt/4 log RT (y· ) = − λ (3.7) h (t, yt )dt − (a + )2 T e dt + 8 2 0 32 2 0 Z T Z T 1 √ β2 β√ −βt/8 λ e h(t, yt ) sinh(yt )dt + (a + ) λ e−βt/8 cosh(yt )dt − 2 8 2 0 0 Z T Z T √ 1 β β λ e−βt/8 e−yt dyt − [h(t, yt ) − (a + )]dyt . − 2 4 2 0 0 6 By the choice of T , the first term equals − β2 (λ − 1) which already gives the leading order and explains the particulars of the sinh y term in the choice of the y-drift. The last term, coupled with the fact that y0 = ∞, prompts a natural shift of h by the factor β4 (a + 21 ). That is, h is replaced with h + β4 (a + 12 ). Step 2 enacts the above shift, and also introduces the obvious Itô substitution in the second last term of (3.7), Z T Z T β −yT β β2 √ β√ −βt/8 −yt λ e e dyt = − e e−βt/8 e−yt dt +( − ) λ 2 2 4 16 0 0 to write: Z T β2 log RT (y· ) = − λ e−βt/4 dt (3.8) 8 0  Z T  Z T γ β√ −βt/8 −yt −βt/8 λ + e e dt − e h(t, yt ) sinh(yt )dt 2 2 0 0 Z Z T Z T β 1 β 1 T 2 h (t, yt )dt + (a + ) h(t, yt )dt − h(t, yt )dyt + e−yT . + 2 0 4 2 0 2 0 √ This draws attention to line two of (3.8), which should produce the final constant times λ term. This may be achieved most easily by introducing a deterministic integrand in that line via the substitution h(t, y) = γ e−y − 1 + h̄(t, y) := h1 (y) + h̄(t, y), 2 sinh(y) (3.9) so that γ 2 Z T −βt/8 −yt e e 0 = γ 2 dt − Z T 0 Z T e−βt/8 h(t, yt ) sinh(yt )dt 0 Z T −βt/8 e dt − e−βt/8 h̄(t, yt ) sinh(yt )dt. 0 Evaluating all deterministic factors thus far, step 2 is summarized by √ β β 1 log RT (y. ) = − λ + 2γ λ + e−yT − (β(a + ) + 2) (3.10) 2 2 2 Z T β√ λ e−βt/8 h̄(t, yt ) sinh(yt )dt − 2 0 Z Z T Z T 1 T 2 β 1 + h (t, yt )dt + (a + ) h(t, yt )dt − h(t, yt )dyt . 2 0 4 2 0 0 √ The first two terms above exhibit the proposed order λ and order λ factors in the statement of the lemma, showing that there was not much flexibility in the choice of the (uniformly bounded) function h1 in (3.9). 7 Step 3 is to pin down the log λ factor in the exponent (or, equivalently, the T factor). A look at line two of (3.10) suggests a prescription for h̄: h3 (y) 2 2 , h̄(t, y) = √ eβt/8 h2 (y) = e−(β/8)(T −t) β sinh(y) β λ (3.11) in which h3 must be chosen so that h2 is bounded (and more). With η(t) = β2 e−βt/8 , we employ Itô’s lemma once more to write the final term in (3.10) as in Z T h(t, yt )dyt = H1 (yT ) + H2 (T, yT ) (3.12) 0 Z Z Z T Z yt 1 T 1 T ′ ′ h2 (z)dz]dt − h1 (yt )dt + η(T − t)h′2 (yt )dt. η (T − t)[ − 2 0 2 0 0 0 Ry T Here H1 and H2 denote the anti-derivative terms which appear: H1 (yT ) = 0 t h1 (y)dy 0 and R yt T H2 (T, yT ) = η(T − t) 0 h2 (y)dy 0 . Note that the boundary values of H2 will necessitate that our choice of h2 , like that of h1 , is integrable at +∞ (= y0 ). Now expand out the last two lines of (3.10) to read:  Z T 1 2 1 ′ β 1 h (yt ) + h1 (yt ) + (a + )h1 (yt ) − h3 (yt ) dt + H1 (yT ) + H2 (T, yT ) (3.13) 2 1 2 4 2 0 Z T 1 2 η (T − t)h22 (yt ) + 2 0   Z β 1 ′ 1 β yt + η(T − t) h1 (yt )h2 (yt ) + (a + )h2 (yt ) + [ h2 (y)dy] + h2 (yt ) dt. 4 2 8 0 2 The first term of (3.13) prompts the choice of h3 , namely set 1 β 1 1 h3 (y) = h21 (y) + h′1 (y) + (a + )h1 (y) − κ, 2 2 4 2 for a constant κ which makes h2 (y) = h3 (y)/ sinh(y) bounded. We find that 1 1 β 1 γ(γ + 1) β 1 γ κ = h21 (0) + h′1 (0) + (a + )h1 (0) = − (a + )γ = − (γ + 1 − β/2), 2 2 4 2 8 8 2 8 compare (3.6). In other words, with this choice the first term of (3.13) equals β4 κ log λ, the advertised log λ contribution in Theorem 1. To finish the proof of the lemma we further identify 1 ν(T, y) = −(β(a + ) + 2) + H1 (y) + H2 (T, y), 2 (3.14) and φ(T − t, y) with the integrand of the last term in (3.13). One now checks: h1 and h2 along with their derivatives are uniformly bounded over the entire real line (with constants 8 depending on a and β of course), h1 is integrable at +∞, and h2 is in fact integrable at both ±∞. The boundedness and integrability (at +∞) of h1 and h2 give immediately that |H1 (y)| + |H2 (t, y)| ≤ κ1 + κ2 y − , proving the claimed bound on ν. For φ one shows that R∞ |φ(T −t, y)| ≤ cη(T −t), using the additional appraisals on the derivatives, that −∞ |h2 | < ∞, and the simple fact 0 < η(T − t) ≤ η(0) for t ∈ [0, T ]. 4 Constant term The conclusion of the previous section is that β pλ = e− 2 λ+2γ with √ λ − λ γ(γ+1−β/2) )γ 2β eλ i h R β −yT +ν(yT )+ 0T φ(T −t,yt )dt e 2 , eλ = E∞ p1 (yT )e (4.1) and ν and φ satisfying the bounds outlined in Lemma 3. It remains to show that the existence of a (non-zero) constant e = e(a, β) such that limλ→∞ eλ = e. This is again structurally identical to [14]. The first observation is that the E∞ integration is performed over paths that are monotonically decreasing in T . The nicest way to see this is to replace the integration over yt , 0 ≤ t ≤ T with that over ytT = yt+T , −T ≤ t ≤ 0 which satisfies dytT = dbt + (h(t + T, ytT ) − β −t T e sinh ytT )dt, y−T = ∞. 2 If this family of processes is run on the same Brownian motion, t 7→ bt , it follows that T1 T2 < y−T and the evolution maintains the ordering. ytT1 ≤ ytT2 for t ≥ −T2 : by definition y−T 2 2 Denote this sequence of corresponding expectations simply by E and record that Z T β −y0T T ψ(y T ) T T T eλ = E[p1 (y0 )e ], ψ(y ) = e + ν(T, y0 ) + φ(t, y−t )dt. (4.2) 2 0 Next, pick a constant h0 such that inf −∞<y<∞,−T <t<0 h(t + T, y) > h0 (a look at (3.5) and (3.6) shows this is possible), and introduce the stationary diffusion t 7→ zt on the negative half-line with generator L= d 1 d2 + f (z) , 2 2 dz dz f (z) = h0 − 9 β sinh z, 2 and reflected (downward) at the origin. In particular, for all t ≥ −T , P(zt ∈ dz) = m(dz) where m(dz) = κ0 e2h0 z−β cosh z dz, z ∈ (−∞, 0], (4.3) and κ0 is the appropriate normalizer. This is the well-known formula for the speed measure R0 (see for example [8]), or one may check that −∞ Lφ(z)m(dz) = 0 for all smooth φ satisfying φ′ (0) = 0. Again running zt on the same Brownian motion, it holds that ytT ≥ zt > −∞ for all t ∈ [−T, 0]. This is plain at the starting time, and continues by the domination (from below) of the y T -drift by that of z. It follows that there exists a random variable yt∞ > −∞ such that lim ytT = yt∞ almost surely for each t ∈ (−∞, 0]. (4.4) T →∞ To pass this convergence under the E-expectation we prepare the following (and defer the proof to the end of the section). Lemma 4. The function x 7→ p1 (x) is continuous, strictly positive on x > −∞ and satisfies β −x p1 (x) ≤ κ3 e− 4 e (4.5) for a constant κ3 . Courtesy (4.4) and the first statement in Lemma 4 we have that lim p1 (y0T )eψ(y T →∞ T) ∞ β −y0 = p1 (y0∞ )e 2 e +ν(∞,y0∞ )+ R∞ 0 ∞ )dt φ(t,y−t (4.6) := p1 (y0∞ )eψ∞ (y ) , ∞ using continuity (for the first three factors) and dominated convergence (for the last factor). The evaluation ν(t, y)|t=∞ simply has the effect of setting of one H2 -terms of which ν is comprised to zero, recall (3.14). Next, by the estimates on ν, φ from Lemma 3 and (4.5), there are the bounds T − T −κ5 [y0 ] κ−1 ≤ p1 (y0T )eψ(y 4 p1 (y0 )e T) T − T − +( β − β )e−[y0 ] 2 4 ≤ κ4 eκ5 [y0 ] , (4.7) with positive constants κ4 , κ5 . Note that both bounds in (4.7) depend only on the marginal of the process at time 0, and denote the left and right hand sides by p− (y0T ) and p+ (y0T ) respectively. Invoking again the path-wise control, ytT ≥ zt , t ∈ [−T, 0] we have that Z 0 T ψ(y T ) p1 (y0 )e ≤ p+ (z0 ), E[p+ (z0 )] = p+ (z)m(dz) < ∞, −∞ 10 where m is defined in (4.3). Returning to (4.1), (4.6) and dominated convergence now produce T ∞ lim eλ = lim E[p1 (y0T )eψ(y ) ] = E[p1 (y0∞)eψ∞ (y ) ] := e, λ→∞ T →∞ defining the constant e in the statement of Theorem 1. That e is not equal to zero follows from Z 0 T ψ(y T ) e ≥ lim inf E[p1 (y0 )e ]≥ p− (z)m(dz) > 0. T →∞ −∞ Here we have used that z 7→ p− (z) is decreasing in order to replace y T -paths with z-paths, along with the fact that p1 (z) (and so too p− (z)) is strictly positive (Lemma 4). This completes the proof of Theorem 1, granted the below. Proof of Lemma 4. The continuity follows from that of the transition density p(·, x, y) in both space variables (the corresponding generator is hypo-elliptic). To see that p1 (x) > 0, first note that the operator Lβ,a defined in (2.1) which encodes the point process of eigenvalues is positive and compact. A proof that Lβ,a is in fact (almost surely) trace class is contained in Lemma 6 of [10]. Its maximal eigenvalue, Λ−1 , is therefore almost surely bounded above, and so there exists a small enough λ0 > 0 such that pλ0 = pλ0 (∞) > 0. Next, by the Markov property, Z ∞ pλ0 (∞) = p(t, ∞, x)pλ0 e−βt/4 (x)dx, ∞ and it follows that for every t > 0 there is a x0 such that pλ0 e−βt/4 (x0 ) > 0. Applying the same formula once again, we find that for any z ∈ R Z ∞ p1 (x) ≥ p(s, x, y)pe−βs/4 (y)dy ≥ Px (xs ≥ z)pe−βs/4 (z). z To finish, choose s = t − 4 β log λ0 and then set z to be the appropriate x0 . For the bound (4.5) we can restrict to x less than some large negative constant, and note that p1 (x) is bounded by the probability of non explosion for the following process   1 β β a+ − e−βt/8 e−ỹt . dỹt = dbt + 4 2 4 since the downward drift on ỹ is weaker than that of x. Next make the change yt = ỹt + βt 8 to obtain the homogenous process  β a + 1 − e−yt , dyt = dbt + 4 to which we can apply a version of Feller’s test, similar to what was done at the end of Section 2. A scale function for the y-process is Z y  β s(y) = exp{− (a + 1)ξ + e−ξ − 1 } dξ, 2 0 11 and the probability that this process exits through +∞ is exactly the probability of not exploding. This follows by checking the conditions of now Proposition 5.22 of [9]. According to that same proposition, the exit probability equals Z  s(x) − s(−∞) 1 x β = exp{− (a + 1)ξ + e−ξ } dξ, s(+∞) − s(−∞) Z −∞ 2 from which the required bound easily follows.  Acknowledgements The second and third named authors were supported in part by NSF grants DMS-0645756 and DMS-0804133, respectively. References [1] Chen, Y., Manning, S.M. (1994) Asymptotic level spacing of the Laguerre ensemble: a coulomb fluid approach. J. Phys. A: Math. Gen. 27, 3615-3620. [2] Deift, P., Krasovsky, I., Vasilevska, J. (2011) Asymptotics for a determinant with a confluent hypergeometric kernel. Int. Math. Res. Not. 2011, 2117-2160. [3] Dumitriu, I., Edelman, A. (2002) Matrix models for beta ensembles. J. Math. 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