Binary Stars as Critical Tools & Tests
in Contemporary Astrophysics
Proceedings IAU Symposium No. 240, 2006
W.I. Hartkopf, E.F. Guinan & P. Harmanec, eds.
c 2007 International Astronomical Union
doi:10.1017/S1743921307004280
The Incidence of Multiplicity Among
Bright Stellar Systems
Peter P. Eggleton1 , Ludmila Kisseleva-Eggleton2
and Xander Dearborn3
1
Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics,
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, 7000 East Ave, Livermore, CA94551, USA
email:
[email protected]
2
U. C. Berkeley Extension, 1995 University Ave, Berkeley, CA 94720-7002
email:
[email protected]
3
1770 Walnut Ave, Livermore, CA 94551, USA
email:
[email protected]
Abstract. We consider the multiplicity of stellar systems with (combined) magnitude brighter
than 6.00 in Hipparcos magnitudes. We identify 4555 such bright systems, and the frequencies
of multiplicities 1, 2, . . . , 7 are found to be 2722, 1412, 299, 86, 22, 12 and 2. We also consider
the distributions of periods of orbits and sub-orbits. For the even more restricted set of 474
systems with VH 4.00 the proportions of higher multiples up to sextuple are progressively
larger, suggesting incompleteness in even the relatively well-studied larger sample.
We construct a Monte-Carlo algorithm that will generate systems with roughly the observed
multiplicities and orbital parameters, taking account of selection effects.
Keywords. stars: binaries, including multiples
1. Introduction
The Bright Star Catalogue (BSC: Hoffleit & Jaschek 1983) is a fundamental resource
when considering the stellar population of the Galaxy, or at any rate the nearer parts
of the Galaxy. It lists multiplicities, but these are often visual multiplicities that may
include line-of-sight, or ‘optical’, coincidences. Although roughly limited to magnitude
6.5, it is not entirely complete to this magnitude, and also includes several fainter stars.
The Multiple Star Catalog (MSC: Tokovinin 1997) carefully identifies many multiple
systems, but restricts itself to multiplicity 3. The Hipparcos Catalog (HIP: Perryman
et al. 1997) has useful data such as parallaxes and proper motions that can help to
distinguish optical from physical systems.
The great majority of multiple systems are ‘hierarchical’, with, for example, a wide
‘binary’ containing two closer ‘binaries’. However non-hierarchical systems exist, in small
numbers. We identify 17 non-hierarchical systems in our sample.
For ‘brightness’, we choose the Hipparcos magnitude system, and we include in the
brightness all physical components even if their separation is quite wide. We make the
cutoff at VH = 6.00. The Hipparcos data are particularly useful because variable stars are
averaged in a systematic way. A handful of stars which fail to be listed in the BSC, even
down to magnitude 6.5, are Miras whose Hipparcos averaged magnitudes are brighter
than 6.0.
Note that we use the word ‘system’, and even the words ‘multiple system’, to include
the possibility of multiplicity one, i.e., single stars; and we avoid the term ‘star’ as
ambiguous. In this paper we count systems, and within systems we count components,
so far as we are able.
347
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348
P. P. Eggleton et al.
2. Multiplicity
In addition to the BSC, MSC and HIP we also used used the Eighth Spectroscopic
Binary Catalog (BFM; Batten, Fletcher & McCarthy 1989), the Ninth... (SB9; Pourbaix
et al.2004), the Sixth USNO Catalog of Visual Binary Orbits (Hartkopf et al 2000), the
CCDM catalog (Dommanget & Nys 2002) of close multiples (many of which however are
optical rather than physical multiples), the GCVS (Samus et al. 2004) on eclipsers and
ellipsoidal variables, and the CHARA survey of speckle observations (McAlister et al.
1989).
Several more catalogs have been scanned, either electronically or by eye. We do not
list them here, for brevity, but they will be listed later in a more detailed publication.
However, we mention one, Makarov & Kaplan (2005), who considered systems whose Tycho and Hipparcos parallaxes and proper motions showed nonlinear behavior with time,
i.e., acceleration, suggesting astrometric binaries. There are 349 such ‘astrometric accelerators’ in our catalog, denoted by ‘A’ in the reference column of Table 1. Occasionally
one, or even more, is in a system already known to be a visual or spectroscopic binary,
and we estimated whether the astrometric acceleration might or might not be due to the
known companion.
In addition, several thousand papers were read, and are referenced directly if the data
was different from (and, as we judged, better than) data from the principal catalogs
mentioned above. Our overarching criterion was ‘on the balance of probabilities’, rather
than ‘beyond reasonable doubt’.
Following McClure (1983) and Boffin & Jorissen (1988), we assume that all Ba stars are
binaries, with a white-dwarf component. Many Ba stars have indeed been determined
to have spectroscopic orbits, and in a small number a white dwarf has actually been
detected in the UV. However the case for binarity is not just that some are confirmed
binaries, but more strongly that a physical mechanism exists to explain the Ba anomaly
in terms of binarity, specifically with a white-dwarf companion, and that the anomaly
is very hard to explain otherwise. An example where we assume binarity, despite the
absence of an orbit or a white-dwarf spectrum, is given in Table 1 (HR 459).
Table 1 lists a sample of our results. The main body of the Table is being prepared for
electronic publication, and in the printed version here we include only a few examples,
with a range of multiplicities. Many systems consist of two or more HR entries; we list
them under the largest relevant HR number (Column 1). For 10 systems at the end which
have no HR number, a ‘pseudo-HR’ number ( 9201) is given, prefixed by ‘P’. Column 2
lists what we consider to be the most reasonable multiplicity. Column 3 contains some
reference letters (see below). Column 4 contains the parallax from Hipparcos. Column 5
contains our description of the configuration of the system using nested parentheses in
roughly the format suggested by Evans (1977). For each individual component we give a
magnitude and a spectral type, where we can find them, and for each pair of components
we give either a period or a separation in arcseconds, where we can find them. Our reason
for preferring this notation here is that, from experience, it can summarise a system
sufficiently clearly that one can readily see where each component is in the hierarchy,
and yet it only takes one line per system. To convey more information, both about the
sub-components and the sub-orbits, the elegant notation of Tokovinin (1997) in the MSC
is excellent, but this either takes n − 1 lines for an n-tuple system, or else would be rather
confusing to follow.
Reference letters in upper-case refer to particular catalogs, as listed in an annex to the
on-line version. The absence of letters also indicates particular catalog sources: periods in
days are from SB9, periods in years from USNO, spectral types from BSC, magnitudes (if
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HR
n
4:
91:
120:
136:
152:
165:
233:
439:
459:
553:
629:
958:
1556:
1564:
1788:
2788:
4621:
4908:
5340:
6046:
7776:
8387:
9072:
P9203:
P9207:
1
3
2?
6
2
3
3
2
2?
2
3?
2
2
4
6?
3?
5?
2?
1
2
6
3
1?
3?
1
ref.
A
R
RA
GM
C
s
HM
RGs
s
RR
mEE
MAE
MAA
L
s
RAs
P
m
s
HM
plx
configuration
0.009
0.002
0.022
0.021
0.005
0.032
0.004
0.002
0.006
0.055
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.031
0.004
0.023
0.008
0.002
0.089
0.005
0.009
0.276
0.031
0.004
0.007
5.71G5III
5.55(5.95(B5IV + ?; 27.80d, e=.20) + 6.84; 152.7y, e=.10)
5.75(F2V + ?; ?)
3.42(3.68(4.33(B9V + 13.5; 2.4′′ ) + 4.55(A2V + A7V; 44.66y, e=.74); 27.060′′ ) + 5.09(A0V + A0V; .1′′ ); 540′′ )
5.26(K5III + ?; 576.2d, e=.30)
3.43((K3III + ?; 20158d, e=.34) + 13.0M2; 28.7′′ bin)
5.47(G8IIIa + (B9V + ?; 226:d, e=.14:); 2091d, e=.53)
5.82(K0Ib + B9V; .11′′ )
5.58(wd + K2IIIaBa; ?)
2.60(A5V + G0:; 107.0d, e=.88)
5.67((6.07B9V + ?; ?) + 6.95A1Vn; 16.690′′ )
5.68(K0II + A7III; 115.0d)
4.74(WDA3 + S3.5/1-; ?)
5.28((5.67F0IV + ?; ?) + 6.59(F4V + ?; ?); 12.500′′ )
3.29((3.58((B1V + B2e; 7.990d, e=.01) + (B: + ?; 0.864d); 9.50y, e=.2) + 4.89B2V; 1.695′′ ) + 9.4; 115′′ )
5.79((F1V + G8IV-V; 1.136d, SD) + ?; ?)
2.32(2.52(B2IVne + ?; ?) + 4.40(B6IIIe + ?; ?) @ 325◦ , 267′′ + 6.5B9 @ 227◦ , 220′′ )
5.37(O9Ib + 11.8K0III; 29.1′′ )
0.11K1.5IIIFe-0.5
5.77(M3II + G7III; 2201d, e=.69)
3.14(3.21((G8II + 7.2(B8V + ?; 8.68d, e=.36); 1374d, e=0.42) + 8.3; .8′′ ) + 6.09(6.16A0III + 9.14A1; .68′′ ); 205.3′′ )
4.83(K4.5V + (T1 + T6; .73′′ ); 402.3′′ bin)
4.12F4IV
5.79(6.44(B5/6V + ?; ?) + 6.67B8/9V; 129.490′′ )
5.99M8IIIvar
349
Note. —
1. The full Table will be placed on-line in due course, with a cross-reference Table for ID and a file of references.
2. For systems containing more than one HR component, we use the largest HR no. If there is no genuine HR no. in the system, we give a ‘pseudo-HR’
no., ≥ 9201, prefixed by P. The corresponding HIP and/or HD numbers can then be found in the cross-reference Table. One example shown here, P9203,
is HIP 32256 and 32269. We identify only 9 pseudo-HR systems that qualify for our sample.
3. In col. 3, the letters refer to various sources, as mentioned in the text. The absence of a reference letter also implies particular catalog sources: BSC,
HIP, MSC, SB9, USNO.
Multiplicity Among Bright Multiple Systems
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Table 1. Sample Configurations of Bright Multiple Systems
350
P. P. Eggleton et al.
quoted to 2 d.p.), separations (if quoted to 3 d.p.) and parallaxes from HIP. Lower-case
reference letters s or m point to specific papers listed in the on-line version.
Table 2 gives the distribution over periods and spectral types. It is noticeable that the
period distribution is severely bimodal at early types, becoming roughly unimodal by
type F. The statistics on multiplicity are given later, Table 4, where they are compared
with a theoretical model.
Table 2. Period Distribution in Systems and Subsystems
log P (yr) -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
total
sp.
O
0
5
11
4
0
5
3
6
12
4
1
1
0
52
eB
0
24
40
19
14
20
28
26
32
23
6
2
1 235
lB
0
24
52
22
21
45
50
56
46
18
6
0
0 340
A
0
27
61
24
45
78
78
69
43
26
4
1
0 456
F
0
14
30
24
38
49
68
38
24
14
2
1
0 302
G
1
6
10
22
41
39
54
42
25
20
4
1
1 266
K
0
4
4
12
57
35
40
43
35
19
5
0
1 255
M
1
0
0
3
7
6
5
8
9
3
3
0
0
45
sum
2 104 208 130 223 277 326 288 226 127
31
6
3 1951
Notes – The first column gives the spectral type of the dominant body in the system: eB means
early B, i.e., B0 – B3.5, and lB means later B. Wolf-Rayet stars (2) are included under O; S and
C stars (4) are included under M. The first column of integers gives the number of systems and
sub-systems with log P (yr) − 3.0; the second for −3.0 < log P − 2.0, etc. The two shortest
periods are a contact binary subsystem of the G dwarf 44 Boo (HR 5618), and a cataclysmic
binary subsystem of the M giant CQ Dra (HR 4765). Long periods are estimates from the
angular separation, distance, and Kepler’s law.
3. A Monte Carlo Model
We attempt to model the data with a Monte Carlo procedure, based on that of Eggleton
et al. (1989), selecting masses, mass ratios and periods from distributions with as few
parameters as possible. We firstly draw a total system mass from a roughly Salpeter-like
distribution, and then we divide it and sub-divide it according to a distribution of mass
ratios, allowing a finite probability for the possibility that the mass ratio is zero, i.e.,
the system or subsystem does not in fact divide further. We allow a maximum of three
subdivisions, so that the highest multiplicity we can obtain is 8.
By postulating successive subdivisions, we do not intend to imply that actual multiple
systems are produced by a physical mechanism of successive fragmentation. ‘Successive
bifurcation’ is simply a convenient description of what hierarchical binaries actually are,
regardless of how they are formed.
Let X be a random number drawn from a uniform distribution on the interval [0,1].
If we take the system mass to be M = f (X), we are in effect postulating a distribution
such that X(M ) ≡ f −1 (M ) is the normalised cumulative distribution. The distribution
given by
′
M = M0
Xα
,
(1 − X)α
(1)
′
has median M0 2(α−α ) , and is roughly Salpeter-like at large M (X ∼ 1) if α ∼ 0.75.
Our attempts to model the distribution of bright systems will clearly not cast any
light on the distribution of K/M dwarfs, since hardly any appear in Table 1 except as
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351
Multiplicity Among Bright Multiple Systems
secondaries or tertiaries. Consequently we adopt the simplification that α′ = α, i.e., that
the distribution is symmetrical (in log M ) about the median, which we expect to be at
M0 ∼ 0.3 − 0.5, appropriate to early M dwarfs. We adopt provisionally M0 = 0.30 M⊙ ,
α = 0.83.
The bifurcation probability is determined by another X, a new selection from the
random-number generator. We choose a function Xbf (l, M ) defined on the interval [0,1],
and require that the system bifurcate at hierarchical level l if X Xbf , and not bifurcate
if X > Xbf . We supply Xbf in tabular form, using as independent variable
1 + 100M
m = 5 + 2 log
(2)
100 + M
Of course, the bright-system sample tests the algorithm seriously only for M >
∼ 1 M⊙
(m >
∼ 5), i.e., the 15 values at the right.
Table 3. Bifurcation Probability Xbf as a Function of Mass and Hierarchical Level
m=
M=
l=0
1
2
1
0
0.50
0.10
0.00
2
.01
0.50
0.15
0.00
3
.09
0.50
0.15
0.00
4
.32
0.50
0.15
0.00
5
1
0.50
0.15
0.00
6
3.2
0.65
0.15
0.20
7
11
0.80
0.20
0.50
8
32
0.87
0.45
0.70
9
∞
0.92
0.65
0.85
The periods are chosen from further distributions, which at the highest hierarchical
level (l = 0) we take to be somewhat similar to (1):
′
Xβ
P = P0
.
(1 − X)β
(3)
We adopt P0 ∼ 270 yrs, β = 2.5, β ′ = 2.0.
For subsystems or subsubsystems, if any, we choose a period ratio, relative to the next
level up, of
P′
= A . 10−γX .
(4)
P
We provisionally adopt A = 0.2, γ = 5.
The mass ratio q at each bifurcation, if it occurs, is taken from another distribution:
q = max(0.01, X δ ) ,
(5)
where the exponent δ might in principle be a function of both M and P ′ . We provisionally
adopt δ = 0.8. We disallow q < 0.01.
For the present we assume that all orbits are circular. It would not be difficult to
generate a distribution of eccentricities, but we feel that there are too many wide orbits,
of unknown eccentricity, to make this refinement necessary at present.
The age is chosen from a very simple distribution:
t = t0 X ,
(6)
where t0 is an estimate of the age of the Galaxy, t0 ∼ 1010 yr. This assumes a uniform
production-rate of systems. It is unlikely to be a good assumption over the whole range
of possible ages, but most of the systems in Table 1 are massive enough that they must
have been formed in the last 10% of the Galaxy’s lifetime, and so the assumption of
constancy may not be very critical.
The evolution is treated so far in a rather cursory manner, which we hope to improve
on in a future paper. In particular, we ignore such binary-specific evolutionary processes
as Roche-lobe overflow (RLOF), although we note systems in which we can expect it to
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352
P. P. Eggleton et al.
have happened. We also ignore the fact that neutron stars are typically blasted out of
their parent system by a slightly anisotropic supernova explosion; thus many multiples
that we create contain one or more neutron stars. But for the present we evolve each
component independently according to its mass and age, following roughly the simple
procedure of Eggleton et al.(1989).
Finally, we need to generate a distribution over distance d. Given a set of component
masses, as above, we can evolve them to the selected age and thus determine (a) the
total luminosity, and (b) the distance dmax out to which the system will be visible above
the set limit (VH = 6, say). Suppose that we generate a total of N = 106 systems. To
a first approximation, they might populate uniformly a sphere of radius D ∼ 100 pc. We
can think of the given system as being ‘cloned’ n ≡ (dmax /D)3 times, with the rth clone
placed randomly within a spherical shell of inner and outer radii (r − 1)1/3 D and r1/3 D,
i.e., it would be at distance
dr = (r − 1 + Xr )1/3 D , r = 1, 2, . . . , n ,
(7)
where the Xr are a sequence of independent random numbers in [0,1]. Of course, if
dmax < D the system will only be seen at most once, with probability (dmax /D)3 ; but
that is in fact what Equation 7 implies with n = 1. Since we have defined D for 106
systems, we can write D = 102 dnbr where dnbr is the mean distance between nearest
neighbors. We adopt dnbr = 1.39 pc.
To model a more realistic density distribution (that does not experience Olbers’ paradox), suppose that the distance to the rth clone is
(8)
dr = x1/3 D 1 + x1/3 D/h , x = r − 1 + Xr .
This approximation is roughly what we expect for a uniform distribution within a disk
of thickness h. We make the vertical scale-height h age-dependent, h = 200t 0.3 , with h
in pc and t in units of 1010 yr.
A further small refinement that we put in is interstellar absorption, so that the apparent
luminosity l of a system at distance d whose intrinsic luminosity is L will be given as
L −kd
e
,
(10)
d2
with k ∼ 0.001 (d in parsecs), corresponding to roughly 1 magnitude per kiloparsec. This
means that the total number of observable clones will in practice be less than the crude
number n estimated above.
We put in one further procedure which is convenient numerically though it has no
astrophysical significance. A given component is at its brightest, as a giant, for only a
short period of time compared with the Galactic age. Given a mass and age selected
at random as above (and considering, for the purpose of exposition, only single stars)
the chance is rather small, even among 106 samples, that a given star will be in this
rather bright stage; but on the other hand it will require to be cloned many times since
it will be visible to a large distance. This introduces considerable scatter as between one
simulation and another that is identical except insofar as the random numbers differ. We
can mitigate this by using a non-uniform distribution of X, Y over the unit square, and
using the Jacobian of the transformation to modulate the density. Thus the sample of
106 systems, which might produce only say 10 giants cloned 100 times each, can produce
instead say 500 giants cloned 2 times each.
Once we have a Monte Carlo selection of multiples, we can then examine them in a
‘theoretical observatory’, to determine how many of the components and sub-binaries will
be actually recognisable. We look for spectroscopic binaries, assuming that the velocity
l=
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Multiplicity Among Bright Multiple Systems
amplitude has to be greater than some threshold which we take to depend mainly on
spectral type: fairly low for G/K components ( ∼ 2 km/s), increasing to ∼ 30 km/s for O
components, which tend to have both few and broad lines, and also to be intrinsically
variable in radial velocity at this level. We further required the period to be less than 30
years, to simulate the patience of observers.
For a visual binary to be theoretically observable, we require that the angular separation be greater than some threshold that depends on the difference in magnitude of the
(sub)components:
ρ
>
0.4 |∆VH | + 0.1 ,
(11)
where ρ is the angular separation in arcsecs. We further require that the combined magnitude of a detectable component or subsytem be 14. Although we can expect that
there are many companions that are fainter, Table 1 has only a handful fainter than this
limit.
Table 4. Multiplicities in Theoretical and actual Samples
total
VH 6
raw
apparent
actual
VH 4
raw
apparent
actual
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
av.
4649
4649
4555
1596
2918
2722
2041
1323
1412
531
279
299
285
93
86
118
24
22
43
9
12
31
3
2
4
0
0
2.05
1.50
1.53
566
566
474
178
313
213
256
189
176
60
43
52
43
13
18
16
4
9
9
2
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
2.13
1.62
1.84
4. Discussion
The result of the above selection effects is to transform the raw multiplicities into
apparent multiplicities. Table 4 is an example, for both the larger sample of VH 6
and the smaller sample VH 4: the top row gives the raw multiplicities, the second row
the apparent multiplicities after theoretical observation, and the third row the observed
multiplicities. It can be seen that in the larger sample the frequencies of multiplicities
1 to 7 are reasonably matched, with the main discrepancy being a ∼ 6% shortage of
binaries in the ‘apparent’ sample. The overall average multiplicity is reasonably matched
within the limits of small-number statistics. For the smaller sample there is less good
agreement in the average, although it has moved in the right direction. This discrepancy,
although fairly modest, confirms our view that the smaller sample has simply been more
thoroughly studied than the larger. Our model, however, is based on trying to fit the
larger sample (including the data of Table 2), because of its greater statistical weight.
The bimodality of the period distribution at early types seen in Table 2, shading to
unimodality at later types, is in fact quite well-modeled by our ‘apparent’ data. This
supports, though it does not prove, the view that it is largely a selection effect.
Data on multiplicity is important as a constraint on (a) the star-formation problem, (b)
the problem of the evolution of the Galactic stellar population, (c) N -body simulations
of dynamics and evolution of clusters and (d) the interaction of dynamics and evolution
through the effect of Kozai cycles. We discuss one sub-topic each of (b), (d) briefly.
A likely effect of triples under (b) is the production of ‘anomalous binaries’. In shortperiod binaries we can expect that a merger of the two components is a fairly common
event. Case A systems can evolve conservatively only if the initial mass ratio is fairly
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354
P. P. Eggleton et al.
mild (q >
∼ 0.6; Nelson & Eggleton 2001), and if q is not this mild then a merger seems
quite a likely event. It would be hard to determine that a particular currently-single
star is a merged remnant of a former binary. But within a primordial triple system, it
is possible that such a merged remnant would be identifiable, because the wide binary
that remains after the merger of the close sub-binary would be expected, in at least some
circumstances, to show an anomaly where the two components appear to be of different
ages. R.E.M. Griffin (to be published) has found a number of such apparently anomalous
systems, of which γ Per (HR 915) is an example. Although the mass ratio, obtained
from careful deconvolution of the two spectra (G8III + A2IV; 5330 d, e = 0.79), is
1.53 (MG /MA ), the A component seems surprisingly large and luminous compared with
what it should be on the ZAMS; and it ought to be very close to the ZAMS if it is
coeval with the G component. A possible explanation is that the giant is the merged
product of a former sub-binary with a mass-ratio of ∼ 0.5, since this could allow the
more massive two of the original three components to evolve at roughly the same rate
(Eggleton & Kiseleva 1996, Eggleton 2006). We hope to test shortly the possibility that
the appropriate primordial triple parameters, from our Monte Carlo model, will give
an acceptable number of potential progenitors. Alcock et al. (1999) and Evans et al.
(2005) have noted that a similar process might lead to Cepheid binaries of an anomalous
character, such as may be required to reconcile observed Cepheids with the theoretical
models of the Cepheid pulsation phenomenon.
Under (d), triple stars in which the two orbits are misaligned can be subject to the
dynamical effect of Kozai cycles, and these in turn can allow tidal friction to become
important in the course of 106 − 109 yrs and cause the inner orbit to become smaller.
Tokovinin & Smekhov (2002) have noted that periods above ∼ 10 days are rarer (relative
to shorter periods) among the inner binaries of triples than in the population as a whole,
and possibly this is accounted for by the combination of Kozai cycles and tidal friction
(KCTF). Pribulla & Rucinski (2006) have noted that as many as 42% of contact binaries
appear to be in triples (and arguably 59% in a more thoroughly examined subsample),
and it could be that KCTF has contributed to this; although we probably need the
additional influence of magnetic braking to drive fairly close low-mass binaries generated
9
by KCTF to contact on a timscale of <
∼ 10 .
Acknowledgements
This study has been carried out partly under the auspices of the U.S. Department
of Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration, by the University of California,
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, under contract No. W-7405-Eng-48.
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Discussion
Juan Manuel Echevarria: From your sample, which is close to the number of stars
seen by the naked eye (at least of an 18 year old person), what is the percentage of
multiple stars in the ‘classical’ sense (i.e., 2 or more)?
Eggleton: The proportion of 2 or more is about 40% for the 6th mag. sample, and
about 55% for the 4th mag. subsample. In our theoretical 6th mag sample, before theoretically observing them, the proportion is about 65%.
Theo ten Brummelaar: You seem to have a large number of free parameters to fit
what seems to be a rather small sample. Could you please comment on this?
Eggleton: There are about 20 parameters that matter. We consider this to be quite
a small number considering the range of multiplicities we attempt to encompass. Supposing that one could divide about 5000 stars into 20 bins, each bin being dominated
by one parameter, we might reasonably hope that the parameters could be individually
estimated to 10%. Of course in the real world we would find some parameters less tightly
constrained and some more tightly.
Roger Griffin: I think you may have inflated your figures for multiplicity by your
‘balance of probability’ criterion. In the case of HR 233 you particularly commented on
the period of 226 days for the inner orbit. That period does not exist - the orbit concerned
was withdrawn by the author and repudiated by the editor of the journal concerned (see
the first page of the May 1984 Astronomical Journal).
Eggleton: I am aware of the inadequacy of that particular claim. However R.E.M.
Griffin tells me that nevertheless the hot star appears to have greater r.v. variation, and
on a shorter timescale, than is likely for just a binary with your well-established longer
period. I think it is therefore still reasonable to conclude on a balance of probabilities that
the system is at least triple. I hope you will be pleased to see that Arcturus (HR 5340) is
listed by us as probably single, although Hipparcos claimed to resolve it into 2. We noted
your analysis (Obs, 118, 299, 1998) that showed that the very accurate radial velocities
over ∼ 50 years do not support such binarity.
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