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Ladies and Gentlemen,
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Tadeusz Krupa
CONTENTS
Anna ŁAWRYNOWICZ
GENETIC ALGORITHMS FOR SOLVING SCHEDULING PROBLEMS
IN MANUFACTURING SYSTEMS ..................................................................................................................... 7
Jarosław DOMAŃSKI
THE ANALYSIS AND SYNTHESIS OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
IN THE THIRD SECTOR FROM EARLY 2000 THROUGH TO MID-2009 ................................................... 27
Agnieszka HERDAN, Katarzyna SZCZEPAŃSKA
DIRECTORS REMUNERATION AND COMPANIES’ PERFORMANCE
THE COMPARISON OF LISTED COMPANIES IN POLAND AND UK ....................................................... 41
Anna KOSIERADZKA, Urszula KĄKOL, Anna KRUPA
THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS .................................................... 55
Sławomir JANISZEWSKI
PRINCIPALS OF FINANCIAL MODELLING .................................................................................................. 75
Katarzyna SZCZEPAŃSKA, Patryk GAWRON
LOYALTY PROGRAMS EFFECTIVENESS .................................................................................................... 89
Jakub WOJNAR
MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING MODEL FOR THE NEW TEAM MEMBER SELECTION
BASED ON INDIVIDUAL AND GROUP-RELATED FACTORS ................................................................. 103
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
7
GENETIC ALGORITHMS FOR SOLVING SCHEDULING PROBLEMS
IN MANUFACTURING SYSTEMS
Anna ŁAWRYNOWICZ
Faculty of Management,
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
[email protected]
Abstract: Scheduling manufacturing operations is a complicated decision making process. From the computational point of view, the scheduling problem is one of the most notoriously intractable NP-hard optimization problems. When the manufacturing system is not too large, the traditional methods for solving
scheduling problem proposed in the literature are able to obtain the optimal solution within reasonable time.
But its implementation would not be easy with conventional information systems. Therefore, many researchers have proposed methods with genetic algorithms to support scheduling in the manufacturing system. The genetic algorithm belongs to the category of artificial intelligence. It is a very effective algorithm
to search for optimal or near-optimal solutions for an optimization problem. This paper contains
a survey of recent developments in building genetic algorithms for the advanced scheduling. In addition,
the author proposes a new approach to the distributed scheduling in industrial clusters which uses a modified
genetic algorithm.
Keywords: manufacturing system, scheduling, genetic algorithm, genetic algorithms for the advanced.
1
Introduction
Scheduling problem is an assignment problem, which
can be defined as the assigning of available resources
(machines) to the activities (operations) in such a manner that maximizes the profitability, flexibility, productivity, and performance of a production system
(Prakash et al. [49). Scheduling of operations is one
of the most critical issues in the planning and managing
of manufacturing processes. The literature review indicates that meta-heuristics may be used for the advanced
scheduling in manufacturing systems and the genetic
algorithm is one of the meta-heuristics that has attracted many researchers. Therefore, the main objective
of this paper is to present a survey of the recent developments of evolutionary-based methods for the advanced scheduling. The author has to arbitrarily select
the most representative work known to them, because
it is impossible to provide an exhaustive literature review discussing every piece of work that has been done
over the years.
The survey is structured in the following way. At the
beginning, an introduction to evolutionary algorithms
is presented in Section 2. Section 3 contains an overview of recent developments in building the genetic
algorithms for the advanced scheduling. This survey
categorizes the literature according to shop environments, including parallel machines, flow shop, permutation flow shop, job shop, flexible job shop, open job
shop, and others. In Section 4, the author proposes
a new approach to the distributed scheduling in industrial clusters which uses a modified genetic algorithm.
Finally, a discussion on the current research status
and most promising paths of future research is presented in Section 5.
2
Genetic algorithm
The genetic algorithm (GA) belongs to the category
of evolutionary algorithm. Evolutionary Algorithms
(EAs), a class of heuristic search techniques inspired
to survival-of-the-fittest Darwinian evolution principles, work iteratively on a population of candidate solutions of the given problem. The Darwinian metaphor is
transformed in a stochastic search algorithm in which
genetic crossover, mutation and selection processes are
emulated with specific mathematical operators. Unlike
some other efficient meta-heuristics, EAs are flexible
and therefore they have been successfully applied to
many single and multi-objective optimization problems.
Evolutionary algorithms have three instantiations: genetic algorithms (GAs), evolutionary programming
(EP), and evolution strategies (ESs). Among them,
genetic algorithms are probability the most well known
and widely used (Guang and Hong [26]).
Genetic algorithms are probabilistic search algorithms,
which mimic biological evolution to produce gradually
Anna Ławrynowicz
8
better offspring solutions (Ying-Hua and YoungChang [59]). Each solution to a given problem can be
encoded by a chromosome that represents an individual
in a population. Each chromosome is made up
of a sequence of genes from a certain alphabet.
The alphabet can be a set of binary numbers, real numbers, integers, symbols, or matrices (Goldberg [25]).
The representation scheme determines not only how
effective the problem is structured, but also how efficient the genetic operators can be used. The population
is evolved, over generations, to produce better solution
to the problem. The evolution of the genetic algorithm
population from one generation to the next is usually
achieved through the use of three operators that are
fundamental in GA: selection, crossover, and mutation.
The cycle of evaluation-selection-reproduction is continued until a termination criterion is reached.
J.H. Holland in 1975 first described a GA, which is
commonly called the classical genetic algorithm
(CGA).
2.1
Procedure of the classical genetic algorithm
The overall procedure of the classical genetic algorithm
is outlined below.
Procedure: Classical genetic algorithm (CGA)
Begin:
t ← 0;
initialise population P(t);
evaluate P(t);
While (not termination condition) do
Begin
t←t+1
select P(t) from P(t - 1)
recombine P(t) by crossover and mutation;
evaluate P(t);
End;
End.
The genetic parameters, namely number of generation,
probability of crossover, probability of mutation, are
optimised relating to the size of problems.
In general, there are need the following basic components to implement an evolutionary algorithm in order
to solve a problem (Carlos and Coello [6]):
1) a representation of the potential solutions to
the problem;
2) a way to create an initial population of potential
solutions (this is normally done randomly, but deterministic approaches can also be used);
3) an evaluation function that plays the role of the
environment, rating solutions in terms of their ‘‘fitness’’;
4) a selection procedure that chooses the parents
that will reproduce;
5) evolutionary operators that alter the composition
of children (normally, crossover and mutation);
6) values for various parameters that the evolutionary
algorithm uses (population size, probabilities of applying evolutionary operators, etc.).
2.2
Representation
In ordering problem using the genetic algorithm, critical issue is developing a representation scheme to represent a feasible solution. As mentioned above genetic
algorithms work with a population of potential solution
to a problem. A population is composed of chromosomes (i.e. a string), where each chromosome represents one potential solution. Traditional binary vectors
used to represent the chromosome are not effective
in such a large-scale dimension. During the last years,
the following nine representations for the job-shop
scheduling problem have been often proposed: operation-based representation, job-based representation,
preference list-based representation, job pair relationbased representation, priority rule-based representation,
disjunctive graph-based representation, completion
time-based representation, machine-based representation, random keys representation and others. A tutorial
survey of job shop scheduling problem using different
representation in genetic algorithm has been published
by Cheng et al. [13].
The most popular encoding methods are operationbased representation, job-based representation and random keys representation which are presented below.
Operation-based representation
In the scheduling problem, the popular representation is
operation-based method. This representation encodes
a schedule as a sequence of operations and each gene
stands for one operation. One natural way to name each
operation is using a natural number. A schedule is decoded from a chromosome with the following decoding
procedure (Cheng et al. [13]): (a) firstly translate
the chromosome to a list of ordered operations;
(b) then generate the schedule by a one-pass heuristic
based on the list. The first operation in the list is scheduled first, then the second operation, and so on. Each
operation is allocated in the best available time for the
corresponding machine the operation requires.
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
9
Table 1. Example of 3-jobs and 3-machines
(source: own study)
Job
Operation
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
Processing time
2
5
3
4
3
2
2
3
4
Machine
1
2
1
3
1
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
2
2
3
1
3
2
312
…
…
…
…
323
…
333
…
Figure 1. Operation-based representation
(source: own study)
M
GANTT CHART
1
1/1/1
2
3/1/2
3
Time
2/2/1
1/2/2
2/1/3
1
2
1/3/1
3
2/3/2
3/2/3
4
5
6
3/3/3
7
8
9
10
11
Makespan
Figure 2. Decoded active schedule
(source: own study)
The process is repeated until all operations are scheduled. As an example, consider the 3-job 3-machine
problem given in Table 1. Suppose a chromosome
is given as [3 1 1 2 2 3 1 3 2]. Each gene uniquely indicates an operation, and can be determined according
to the order of occurrence in the sequence (see Fig. 1).
Let ojim denote the ith operation of job j on machine m.
The chromosome can be translated into a unique list
of ordered operations of [o312 o111 o122 o213 o221 o323 o131
o333 o232]. Operation o312 has the highest priority and is
scheduled first, then o111 , and so on. The resulting
active schedule is shown in Fig. 2
Job-based representation
The popular encoding method is also the job-based
representation. This representation consists of a list
of n jobs and a schedule is constructed according to the
sequence of jobs. For a given sequence of jobs,
all operations of the first jobs in the list are scheduled
first, and then the operations of second job in the list
are considered. The first operation of the job under
treatment is allocated in the best available processing
time for the corresponding machine the operation requires, and then the second operation, and so on until
all operations of job are scheduled. The process is repeated with each of the jobs in the list considered in the
appropriate sequence.
Consider the 5-job 3-machine problem given in Table 2. Suppose a chromosome is given as [5 4 2 3 1].
The first job to be processed is job 5. The operation
precedence constraint for job 2 is [m1 m2 m3] and
the corresponding processing time for each machine is
[2 3 4]. Firstly, the operations of job 5 are scheduled.
Then the job 4 is processed, its operations precedence
among machines is [m3 m1 m2] and the corresponding
processing time for each machine is [2 4 2]. Next,
the jobs 2, 3 are processed. Lastly, the operations of job
1 are scheduled as shown in Fig. 3.
Anna Ławrynowicz
10
Table 2 Example of 5 job on 3 machine
(source: own study)
Job
1
2
3
4
5
Operation
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
Processing time
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
4
2
2
3
4
Machine
3
1
2
3
1
2
2
1
3
3
1
2
1
2
3
M
GANTT CHART
1
5/1/1
2
3/1/2
3
4/1/3
Time
1
2
4/2/1
2/2/1
5/2/2
2/1/3
3
4
5
6
7
3/2/1
4/3/2
2/3/2
5/3/3
1/1/3
8
9
10
11
1/2/1
1/3/2
3/3/3
12
13
14
15
Makespan
Figure 3. Jobs scheduling
(source: own study)
Random key representation
Random key representation encodes a solution with
random number (Chen and Ji [11]). These values are
used as sort keys to decode the solution. For n-job mmachine scheduling problem, each gene (a random key)
consists of two parts: an integer in set {1, 2, …, m}
and a fraction generated randomly from {0, 1}.
The integer part of any random key is interpreted as the
machine assignment for that job. Sorting the fractional
parts provides the job shop sequence on each machine.
The rest of this paper presents a brief review
of the literature which includes different encoding
methods.
2.3
Fitness function
The newly created individuals are evaluated and assigned fitness values. Then, either all or only a subset
of the current population is replaced by these new individuals. Thus, the evaluation includes compute fitness
value, which is a measure of how well the individual
optimizes the function. Test each individual uses
the objective function. In other word, the fitness value
is used to determine the selection probability for each
chromosome. In proportional selection procedure,
the selection probability of a chromosome is proportional to its fitness value. Hence, filter chromosomes
have higher probabilities of being selected to next generation.
2.4
Crossover operator
Crossover is an operation to generate a new chromosome (i.e. child or offspring) from two parents. It is the
main operator of GA. During the past years, various
crossover operators had been proposed such as partialmapped crossover (PMX), order crossover (OX), cycle
crossover (CX), position-based crossover, etc. The two
most popular crossover operators are partial mapped
crossover (Liaw [32], Moon et al. [42]) and order
crossover [Arroyo and Armentano [2], França et al.
[18], Jolai et al. [29]).
Partial mapped crossover
Partial mapped crossover was proposed by Goldberg
and Lingle [24]. It can be viewed as a variation
of two-cut-point crossover that incorporates a special
repairing procedure to resolve possible illegitimacy.
PMX has the following major steps:
1) select two cut-points along the string at random;
the substrings defined by the two cut-points are
called the mapping sections;
2) exchange two substrings between parents to produce
proto-children;
3) determine the mapping relationship between two
mapping sections;
4) legalize offspring with the mapping relationship.
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
11
Order crossover
Roulette wheel selection
Order crossover was proposed by Davis (17). It can be
viewed as a kind of variation of PMX that uses
a different repairing procedure. OX has the following
major steps:
1) select a substring from one parent at random;
2) produce a proto-child by copying the substrings
into the corresponding positions as they are
in the parent;
3) delete all the symbols from the second parent,
which are already in the substring; the resultant sequence contains the symbols the proto-child needs;
4) place the symbols into the unfixed positions of the
proto-child from left to right according to the order
of the sequence to produce an offspring.
A survey of order crossovers can be found in the work
of Cheng et al. [14].
The roulette wheel selection can be visualized by imagining a wheel where each chromosome occupies
an area that is related to its value of objective function.
When a spinning wheel stops, a fixed marker determines which chromosome will be selected to reproduce
into the mating pool (Blanco et al. [4]). Such a selection mechanism needs more numerical computations.
2.5
Mutation
Mutation is used to produce perturbations on chromosomes in order to maintain the diversity of population.
In the literature, two main types of mutation operators
named inversion mutation and insertion mutation are
used (Zhang et al. [61]). Inversion mutation serves
to maintain the diversity in population. Insertion mutation is used not only to produce small perturbations but
also to perform intensive search in order to find
an improved offspring. Inversion mutation and insertion mutation act on half of the population, respectively. The mutations are described as follows:
inversion mutation inverts the substring between
two different random positions,
insertion mutation selects two elements randomly
and inserts the back one before the front one.
Tournament selection
The tournament selection is quite simple and suitable
for checking whether a chromosome is reproduced
or not according to its corresponding objective function. In the tournament selection, pr x N chromosomes
with minimum objective functions are more added into
the population, and correspondingly pr x N chromosomes with maximum objective functions are discarded
from the population. The population still keeps
the same size (Chang [9]).
3
Scheduling plays an important role to implement effective operations management methods. But its implementation would not be easy with the conventional
information systems (Chang [9]). During the past few
decades, genetic algorithms have received a lot of attention regarding their potential as global optimization
techniques for complex optimization problems. Therefore, a short literature review on the adaptation of genetic algorithms to manufacturing operations is presented below.
3.1
2.6
Application of genetic approach for advanced
scheduling
Parallel machines scheduling problem
Selection
Selection is another important factor to consider
in implementing GA. It is a procedure to select offspring from parents to the next generation. According
to the general definition, the selection probability
of a chromosome should show the performance measure of the chromosome in the population. Hence a parent with a higher performance has higher probabilities
of being selected to next generation (Chen et al. [12]).
In the reproduction operation, there are two kind
of well-known selection mechanisms: the roulette
wheel selection (Chen and Ji [11]) and tournament
selections (Vallada and Ruiz [57]).
The problem can be described as follows: there are m
machines in parallel where machines may be identical,
or have different speeds or uniform, or completely
unrelated. Each job can be performed on any of the
machines (Allahverdi [1]). Several approaches were
proposed to solve this kind of problems. For example,
to solve the parallel machines scheduling problem
a two-phase sub-population genetic algorithm was
proposed by Chang et al. [10]. The algorithm is divided
into two phases. The first phase applies subpopulations,
which concentrates on specific search space and prevents all individuals from converging to a local optimal. Then, in order to explore the solution space
Anna Ławrynowicz
12
ignored or missed in the first phase, sub-populations
are regrouped as a single big population. Each individual chromosome in this big population of the second
phase is randomly assigned a weight value to explore
more of the solution space. Experimental results are
reported and the superiority of this approach is discussed.
To solve the multiobjective scheduling model on parallel machines (MOSP), a new parallel genetic algorithm
(PIGA) based on the vector group encoding method
and the immune method was proposed by Gao et al.
[20]. Compared with other scheduling problems
on parallel machines, the MOSP is distinct for the following characteristics:
1)
parallel machines are nonidentical;
2)
the type of jobs processed on each machine can be
restricted;
3)
the multiobjective scheduling problem includes
minimizing the maximum completion time among
all the machines (makespan) and minimizing
the total earliness/tardiness penalty of all the jobs.
For PIGA, its three distinct characteristics are as follows: Firstly, individuals are represented by a vector
group, which can effectively reflect the virtual scheduling policy. Secondly, an immune operator is adopted
and studied in order to guarantee diversity of the population. Finally, a local search algorithm is applied
to improve the quality of the population. Numerical
results show that it is efficient, can better overcome
drawbacks of the general genetic algorithm, and has
better parallelism.
A new encoding method in order to adapt the GA
to non-identical parallel machine scheduling problem
was also proposed by Balin S. [3]. The encoding method is as follows: The raw i of the matrix X consists
of jobs to be processed on machine i. Raws are called
‘‘genes’’ (g1, ... gi, ... gm) and they represent jobs to be
processed on each machine; jobs to be processed
on machine i are given by elements non-zero of gene i
(x(i, j) = 1). The completion time of each machine i,
(Ci), is equal to the sum of processing times of jobs to
be processed on that machine; it is called as the ‘‘value
of gene i’’ and it is defined by the following function:
f (g i )
n
x ( i , j) x P ( i , j),
i 1,..., m
(1)
j 1
In last years, a hybrid memetic algorithm for maximizing the weighted number of just-in-time jobs on unrelated parallel machines was also presented by Jolai
et al. [29]. Unrelated parallel machines can be charac-
terized as machines that execute the same function but
have different industrial unit may invest in related machines. A memetic algorithms (MA) is a genetic algorithm hybridized with a local search (LS) procedure
used to intensify the search process (Jolai et al. [29]).
Besides, in the literature, a genetic algorithm for
the unrelated parallel machine scheduling problem with
sequence dependent setup limes was reported by Vallada and Ruiz R. [57].
3.2
Permutation flow shop scheduling problem
The general flow shop scheduling problem is a production problem where a set of n jobs have to be processed
with identical flow pattern on m machines. In permutation flow shops the sequence of jobs is the same on all
machines (Nagano et al. [44]). In other words, the permutation flowshop scheduling problem (PFSP) consists
in scheduling a set of n jobs on m machines in the same
technological order, such that each job is processed
on machine 1 in the first place, machine 2 in the second
place, ... and machine m in the last place; the processsing time of job i on machine j is denoted pij.
The most frequently used encoding for the PFSP is
a simple permutation of the jobs. It is important to note
that there are several additional conditions to this problem (Ruiz et al. [53]):
all operations are independent and available
for processing at time 0,
all m machines are continuously available,
each machine i can process at most one job j
at a time,
each job j can be processed only on one machine i
at a time.
The objective is to find a sequence (schedule) in which
these n jobs should be processed on each of the m machines such that a given criterion be optimized (Jarboui
et al. [27]). The most common criteria are the minimization of the total completion time of the schedule often referred to as makespan Cmax and the total flow time
minimization. The PFSP has been extensively investigated by the research community. For example, a genetic local search algorithm for minimizing total flow
time in the permutation flow shop scheduling problem
was developed by Tseng and Lin [55] and Xu et al.
[58]. The permutation flowshop scheduling problem
with the objective of minimizing makespan was presented by Nearchou [45], Rajkumar and Shahabudeen
[51], Nagano et al. [44], and Ruiz et al. [52, 53].
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
An effective memetic algorithm for solving multiobjective permutation flow shop scheduling problems with
minimization of makespan and total flow time was
considered by Chiang et al. [15]. The results of above
mentioned study show that the proposed algorithms are
very effective.
3.3
Flow shop scheduling problem
In general, the flow-shop scheduling problem (FSSP) is
a strongly NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem
that has captured the interest of a significant number
of researchers (Nearchou [45]). The flow-shop scheduling problem is one of the most well known problems
in the area of scheduling. It is a production planning
problem in which n jobs have to be processed in the
same sequence on m machines. Most of these problems
concern the objective of minimizing makespan i.e.
the time between the beginning of the execution
of the first job on the first machine and the completion
of the execution of the last job on the last machine.
To minimize the makespan is equivalent to maximize
the utilization of the machines (Chen et al. [12]).
The flowshop scheduling problem has been widely
studied in the literature and many techniques for its
solution have been proposed. Many authors have concluded that genetic algorithms are suitable for this hard,
combinatorial problem. For example, the flowshop
scheduling problem with the objective of minimizing
makespan was considered among other things by França et al. [18], Ruiz and Maroto [52, 53], Kim and Jeong
[30], Rajkumar and Shahabudeen [51], Liao and Tsai
[34].
França et al. [18] suggested an evolutionary algorithm
for scheduling a flowshop manufacturing cell with
sequence dependent family setups. They proposed evolutionary heuristic algorithms to minimize the makespan in a pure flow shop manufacturing cell problem
with sequence dependent setup times between families
of jobs. The heuristic algorithms implemented are
a memetic algorithm, a genetic algorithm and a multistart strategy. Computational results show that the proposed algorithms are relatively more effective in minimizing the makespan than the best known heuristic
algorithm. The flow shop scheduling problem with
the objective of minimizing makespan was also developed by Ruiz and Maroto [52]. They developed a genetic algorithm for hybrid flow shops with sequence
dependent setup times and machine eligibility. Numeri-
13
cal computation based on benchmarks demonstrated
the effectiveness of the proposed method. An improved
genetic algorithm with the objective of minimizing the
makespan for the flow shop scheduling problem was
also proposed by Rajkumar and Shahabudeen [51].
Recently, some genetic algorithms have been developed for the multi-objective flow shop problem.
For example, Arroyo and Armentano [2] presented
a multi-objective genetic local search algorithm, which
was applied to multi-objective flow shop problems
in order to find an approximation of the Pareto optimal
set. The algorithm is applied to the flow shop scheduling problem for the following two pairs of objectives:
(i) makespan and maximum tardiness; (ii) makespan
and total tardiness. Computational results show that
the proposed algorithm yields a reasonable approximation of the Pareto optimal set. Beside, Onwubolu
and Davendra [47] developed a differential evolution
algorithm for the flow shop scheduling problem in
which makespan, mean flowtime, and total tardiness
are the performance measures.
3.4
Job shop scheduling problem
The job shop scheduling problem (JSP) is well known
as one of the most complicated combinatorial optimization problems, and it is a NP-hard problem (Gao et al.
[22]).
The general job shop scheduling problem (JSP) with
the makespan criterion can be described by a set of n
jobs that must be processed on m machines. Each job
composes of several operations, and the operations
of a given job have to be processed in a given order.
Each operation uses one of the m machines for a fixed
duration. Each machine can process at most one operation at a time, and once an operation initiates processing on a given machine, it must complete
processing on that machine without interruption (Zhang
et al. [60]). In general, the objective is to find the optimal schedule of the operations on the machines, taking
into account the precedence constraints, which minimizes the makespan, i.e., the finish time of the last
operation completed in the schedule (Gao et al. [19]).
Many different approaches have been applied to JSP
and a rich harvest has been obtained. The most important part of the literature concerning job shop
scheduling problems is dedicated to single-criterion
optimization. But, in practice, the use of multiple criteria often enables one to compute more realistic solutions for a decision maker working in production
Anna Ławrynowicz
14
planning. For this reason several works have recently
tackled multi-objective job shop scheduling problems.
A genetic algorithm for a multi-objective job shop
scheduling problem that minimizes the mean weighted
completion time and the sum of the weighted tardiness/earliness costs simultaneously was developed
by Tavakkoli-Moghaddam et al. [54].
Besides, an efficient memetic algorithm for solving
the job shop scheduling problem can be found in the
work of Gao et al. [22].
Among various kinds of encoding methods, job-based
encoding (Zhang and Wu [62]) and operations-based
encoding (Zhang et al. [61]) are most often used for job
shop scheduling problem. A genetic algorithm with
new encoding scheme for job shop scheduling was
developed by Wang et al. [56]. They proposed a novel
genetic chromosome-encoding approach. In this encoding method, the operation of crossover and mutation
was done in three-dimensional coded space. Some big
benchmark problems were tried with the proposed
three-dimensional encoding genetic algorithm for validation and the results are encouraging.
A genetic algorithm for job shop scheduling problems
with alternative routings was also proposed by Moon
et al. [42]. In this approach, the chromosome is composed of two parts. The first part is for the assignment
of alternative machines, and the second part is the relative processing order between jobs. The length of each
chromosome is equal to the total number of operations.
This genetic algorithm generated relatively good solutions quickly.
3.5
Flexible job shop scheduling problem
Genetic algorithms are also used as an optimization
tool for solving the flexible job-shop scheduling problem (FJSP). Flexible job shop scheduling problem is
an extension of the classical job shop scheduling problem, which provides a closer approximation to a wide
range of real manufacturing systems. In particular,
there are a set of work centers in a flexible job shop.
Each work center has a set of parallel machines with
possibly different efficiency. An operation can be performed by any machine in a work center. Consequently, this results in two problems. The first one is
the routing problem (i.e., the assignment of operations
to machines), and the second one is the scheduling
problem (i.e., determining the starting time of each
operation).
The combination of the two decisions presents additional complexity and a new problem called flexible job
shop scheduling problem (FJSP) (Gao et al. [19]).
In the flexible job-shop scheduling problem, the objective is usually to minimize the makespan. For example,
Zhang et al. [60] proposed an effective genetic algorithm for the flexible job-shop scheduling problem with
the minimization of makespan.
Recently, some genetic algorithms have been developed for the multi-objective flexible job-shop scheduling problems. For example, Gholami and Zandieh [23]
proposed a genetic algorithm where the objectives are
the minimization of two criteria, the makespan
and the mean tardiness.
The current work pursues research in which GA procedure is combined with experts’ knowledge. FMS
scheduling with knowledge based genetic algorithm
(KBGA) was reported by Prakash et al. [49].
The KBGA is a stochastic search technique with the
inherent ability of GA and strength of knowledge
to enhance the performance of system and algorithm
concurrently. In this study, two objective functions
known as throughput and mean flow time, have been
taken to measure the performance of the FMS.
In genetic algorithms for the flexible job-shop scheduling problem, many different representations are used.
For example, Gao et al. [21] proposed encoding method
where every chromosome consists of a machine assignment vector V1 and an operation sequence V2.
In this case, V1(r) represents the machine chosen
to process the operation indicated at position r.
The authors identify all operations of a job with the
same sign; then, they interpret the signs according
to the order of occurrences in the sequence of a given
chromosome; therefore, each job i appears in the operation sequence vector (V2) exactly ni times to represent
its ni ordered operations. The encoding method was
adopted by Gholami and Zandieh [23] to schedule
a dynamic flexible job shop with genetic algorithm.
The same components i.e. machine selection and operation sequence (called MSOS), include the chromosome
representation were proposed by Zhang et al. [60] (see
Fig. 4).
Chromosome =
Machine Selection
(MS)
4
1
2
2
4
Operation Sequence
(OS)
2
2
1
1
2
Figure 4. Structure of proposed MSOS chromosome
(source: Zhang et al. [60])
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
15
1111, 2330, 2120. 2130, 2210, 1220, 3230, 1311, 3320
P r o d u c t i o n p r i o r it y
M1
M2
J1 O 1
J2 O 2
J1 O 2
J1O 3
J3 O 1
J2O 1
J3 O 3
J2 O 3
M3
J3O 2
* A s s u m in g e a c h o p e r a t i o n t a k e s 1 p r o d u c t io n u n it t im e
a)
1111, 2330, 2120. 2130, 2210, 1220, 3230, 1311, 3320
b)
Figure 5. (a) A sample encoding and decoding of chromosome
(b) A sample encoding of alternative routing
(source: Chan et al. [8])
An idea, namely genetic algorithms with dominant
genes (GADG) in order to deal with FMS scheduling
problems with alternative production routing was developed by Chan et al. [8]. It consists of Ni genes,
and each gene consists of four parameters representing
machine, job, operation, and domination (MJOD).
is a genetic algorithm hybridized with a local search
procedure used to intensify the search process.
The flow chart of the proposed MA by Gao et al. [22]
is shown in Fig. 6. The procedure of the MA is outlined
as follows:
Fig. 5a shows a sample encoding of a chromosome
for the scheduling of three jobs on three machines,
and each job possesses three operations with a total
of nine genes. In Fig. 5a, the second gene (2330) represents that O3 of J3 is allocated on M2. It is not
a DG as the D parameter denoted by 0, otherwise it will
be denoted by 1.
Generate initial population. Set parameters of GA including population size, max iteration, mutation probability, crossover probability, etc. Then encode an initial
solution into a chromosome. Repeat this step until the
number of individual equals to the population size.
The production priority of jobs on machines
is defined by the ordering, from the highest priority
on the left to the lowest on the right. In this connection,
O3 of J3 (the second gene: 2330) is scheduled before
O2 of J1 (the third gene: 2120) on M2. However, since
an operation can only start after its preceding operation
is completed, O3 of J3 will not be considered until O2
of J3 is finished. In this situation, the third gene (2120)
O2 of J1 will be scheduled for production instead.
A detailed production schedule is shown in figure 5a.
In an FMS environment, assuming O3 of J3 can also be
performed on M3, the second gene can be represented
as (3330) as shown in Fig. 5b.
An improved memetic algorithm to solve the job shop
scheduling problem was also proposed in work of Gao
et al. [22]. As mentioned above, the memetic algorithm
Step 1
Step 2
Apply the local search procedure to improve the quality
of each individual.
Step 3
Decode each individual of population to obtain
the makespan corresponding with each individual.
And compare them to obtain the best solution.
Step 4
Check the termination criteria. If one of the criteria is
satisfied, then stop the algorithm and output the best
solution; otherwise, go to step 5.
Step 5
Generate new population for the next generation. Genetic evolution with three operators including selection,
crossover and mutation is applied to create offspring
for the next population. Following this, the algorithm
goes back to step 2.
Anna Ławrynowicz
16
Start
Generate initial population
Local search
Evaluation
Yes
Termination
condition met?
Stop. (output solution).
No
Selection
Generate new population
for the next generation
Crossover
Mutation
Figure 6. Flow chart of the MGA
(source: Gao et al. [22])
3.6
Open job shop scheduling problem
An open shop scheduling problem (OSSP) can be stated as follows: There are n jobs to be processed on m
machines. Each job consists of m operations where
each operation can be done on only one of machines
for a give process time. Each operation can be processed on at most one machine at any time. On each
machine at any time at most one operation can be done.
The OSSP is the same as job shop scheduling problem
(JSP), except there is no precedence relation between
operations in the OSSP. In this way there will be more
feasible combinations in the OSSP (Panahi and Tavakkoli-Moghaddam [48]).
Low and Yeh [35] developed a genetic algorithm-based
heuristics for an open shop scheduling problem with
setup, processing, and removal times separated.
Their report proposes a solution to the open shop
scheduling problem with the objective of minimizing
total job tardiness in the system. In open job shop
scheduling problem, there are two essential issues addressing all kinds of open shop scheduling problems:
determining the routing for each job, and sequencing
the
for each machine.
jobs
Adequately, a permutation representation is presented
to encode these two things into a chromosome.
This representation encodes a schedule as an ordered
sequence of job-machine combinations (operations),
where each gene in a chromosome stands for an operation. In this representation, operations are listed
in the order in which they are scheduled. A chromosome is merely a permutation of the number from 1
to the total number of operations to be scheduled
in the system.
Consider a simple example with three jobs and three
machines. Each job must be processed on every machine once; operations of a job can be processed in any
order. A series of numbers from 1 to 9 is assigned to,
each job-machine combination, as in Table 3. Thus
a chromosome [6-3-1-4-9-7-2-8-5] can be decoded
to routing for each job and a processing sequence
on each machine, respectively. A feasible schedule is
then determined as follows:
Machine #1: Job 1-Job 2-Job 3
Machine #2: Job 1-Job 3-Job 2
Machine #3: Job 2-Job 1-Job 3.
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
17
Table 3 Representation of job–machine combination
(source: Low and Yeh [35])
Job
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
3
3
Machine
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
Number
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
3.7
Hybrid approaches
3.8
Planning and scheduling problems
Currently, there is a research trend in the adaptation
of hybrid approaches which combine different concepts
or components of various techniques. The trends have
been presented by Kobbacy et al. [31] in a very interesting survey of applications of artificial intelligence
techniques for operations management.
Genetic algorithms have been also successfully implemented to solve various planning and scheduling problems. For example, Lee et al. [33] developed advanced
planning and scheduling with outsourcing in manufacturing supply chains. The proposed model considers
alternative processes plans for different job types.
They reported that several authors use genetic algorithms to carry out an intelligent search by proposing
alternative schedules and then using neural network
to asses the quality and fitness of the schedule. Besides,
fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms have been combined
effectively for scheduling.
Chen and Ji [11] proposed a genetic algorithm for dynamic advanced planning and scheduling with frozen
interval. This paper investigates a dynamic advanced
planning and scheduling (DAPS) problem where new
orders arrive on a continuous basis. A periodic policy
with a frozen interval is adopted to increase stability
on the shop floor. A genetic algorithm is developed
to find a schedule such that both production idle time
and penalties on tardiness and earliness of both original
orders and new orders are minimized at each rescheduling point. The numerical results confirm that the proposed methodology can improve the schedule stability
while retaining efficiency.
A hybrid genetic algorithm was developed by Chen
et al. [12] for the re-entrant flow-shop scheduling problem (RFS). In a RFS, all jobs have the same routing
over the machines of the shop and the same sequence
is traversed several times to complete the jobs. The aim
of this study was to minimize the makespan by using
the genetic algorithm (GA) to move from the local
optimal solution to the near optimal solution for RFS
scheduling problems.
For the job shop scheduling problem, a hybrid evolutionary algorithm was also presented in work of Zobolas et al. [64]. In their work, the optimization criterion
is minimization of the makespan and the solution
method consists of three components: a Differential
Evolution-based algorithm to generate a population
of initial solutions, a Variable Neighbourhood Search
method and a Genetic Algorithm to improve the population, the latter two are interconnected. Computational
experiments on benchmark data sets demonstrate that
the proposed hybrid metaheuristic reaches high quality
solutions in short computational times using fixed parameter settings.
Besides, a hybrid approach with an expert system and
a genetic algorithm to production management in supply networks was also presented by Ławrynowicz [40,
41].
A hybrid approach for control problems in a node
of the supply network was published by Ławrynowicz
[39]. This approach takes into account the loops
in supply networks. In this approach, the production
planning problem is first solved, and then the scheduling problem is considered within the constraints
of the solution. The main objectives of this approach
are to produce an Advanced Production Management
(APRM) model that minimizes the makespan by considering alternative machines, alternative sequences
of operations with precedence constrains, and outsourcing.
Fig. 7 shows the outline of the idea of planning
and scheduling using an expert system and genetic
algorithms. The first phase involves using a traditional
approach combined with the genetic algorithm to produce a preliminary and possibly suboptimal schedule.
The second phase uses a combination of an expert system and a genetic algorithm to construct a detailed
schedule according to the detailed production plan.
Anna Ławrynowicz
18
Medium – term
production management
Plan for medium
horizon
Production planning
for medium horizon
Preliminary
schedule
TRADITIONAL
DATA BASE
Order
GENETIC
ALGORITHM
Planned production
order
Short – term
production management
Report
EXTERNAL
DATA BASE
Production planning
for medium horizon
EXPERT
SYSTEM
Production order
Detailed scheduling
GENETIC
ALGORITHM
Executing
Schedule
Manufacturing
Figure 7. The outline of the idea of operations management using a genetic algorithm
(source: Ławrynowicz [39])
As shown in Fig. 7, proposed hybrid system does not
only offer short-term production planning and scheduling to meet changing market requirements that can
better utilize the available capacity of manufacturing
systems, but also provides support for control. In this
approach, the work-piece is one job. Each work-piece
(i.e. job) has a unique priority indicator according
to the order of the customer. The expert system creating
detailed production plans takes into account
the planned production orders and work-in process
from the report. The report includes scheduled operations, which cannot be performed. In such situations,
both kinds of orders – the parts of the production orders
(from the report) and whole planned production orders
– are an input to the expert system. The job requires
different types of production resources. All resources
are available in a limited capacity only. Detailed production planning matches future production load
and capacities by generating detailed plans that determine the flow of materials and uses of resources over
a given planning horizon. In the era of supply network,
decisions on the use of resources should concern both
internal and external capacities; the internal flow
of materials should be synchronized with the incoming
and outgoing flows. Therefore, the expert system generates detailed production plans based on available
resources of the supply network. The expert system
creates a detailed production plan as follows. The first
step involves updating the planned production orders.
In the second step, a human expert determines the top
limit of priority indicator for orders. In the third step,
a human expert selects m-th machine (bottleneck).
Then the expert system automatically works out a sum
of requirement capacity for m-th machine. After capacity requirement evaluation, the expert system compares the available capacity with capacity requirements.
If the sum of requirement capacity is 70–100%
of available capacity, then the expert system automatically creates a production plan from orders with
a priority indicator smaller than or equal to the top limit
indicator. In other cases, during an interactive dialogue
a human expert makes a decision:
is it possible to accept the sum of loads smaller
than 70% of capacity of the machine?
is it necessary to use an alternative processing plan
or outsourcing?
is division of lot-size possible?
The expert system will generate a production order
according to the answers of the human expert. Next,
the genetic algorithm with the operation-based encoding method is used. The proposed intelligent methods
can be applied when there is a need to re-planning
or re-scheduling. It is common knowledge that in
a real-life factory there are often disruptions in production.
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
In such situations, the expert system and genetic algorithm executes re-planning and re-scheduling very
quickly. In this experiment, the genetic algorithm was
used the well-known roulette wheel selector and
the next population was created using the partial match
crossover (PMX) operator.
3.9 Multi-factory scheduling problem
Few researchers have considered methods with genetic
algorithms to support scheduling in distribution manufacturing systems. Generally, distributed scheduling
problems deal with the assignment of jobs to suitable
factories and determine their production scheduling
accordingly (Chan, et al. [7]). For example, Chan et al.
[7] proposed an optimization algorithm named Genetic
Algorithm with Dominated Genes (GADG) to solve
distributed production scheduling problems with alternative production routings. In this approach, each
chromosome represents a solution corresponding to:
(i)
the allocation of jobs to factories,
(ii) the production priority of each job’s operation
in each machine in the network.
A chromosome is composed of genes. Each gene consists of five parameters (i.e. FMJOD), representing:
Factory number (F),
Machine number (M),
Job number (J),
Operation number (O) of the job, and
Domination of the gene (D).
Fig. 8a shows a sample coding of a chromosome for the
allocation and scheduling of three jobs to two factories,
in which each factory has three machines, and each job
requires three operations for completion. Assuming
each operation requires one unit of production lead
time, the scheduling result is shown in Fig. 8b.
In Fig. 8a, the first gene (11111) represents that O1
(Operation 1) of J1 (Job 1) is allocated to F1’sM1 (Factory 1’s Machine 1), and it is a dominated gene denoted
by 1. This coding can also be used to model alternative
routings, for example the first gene can also be coded
as (13111) to represent that O1 of J1 is allocated
to F1’s M3, i.e. the J1O1 can be operated inM1 orM3.
The scheduling priority of jobs into machines is defined
by the ordering, from the highest priority on the left
to lowest on the right.
19
Therefore, Fig. 8a indicates that O1 of J1 (i.e. gene:
11111) will be scheduled before O1 of J3 (gene:
11311) in F1’s M1. For each operation, if its preceding
operation is not yet allocated, it will not be considered
until the allocation of its preceding one is done. The
scheduling will then move to consider the next gene,
such as the second one (12330). This gene (12330) will
only be allocated after its preceding operation (gene:
13320) has been allocated, as shown in Fig. 8b.
a)
11111-12330-12120-13130-22210-21220-2323011311-13320
b)
Factory 1
M1
J1O1
M2
J3O1
J1O2
M3
J3O3
J1O3
J3O2
Factory 2
M1
M2
J2O2
J2O1
M3
J2O3
1
2
3
4
5
Figure 8. (a) A sample coding of chromosome
(b) Scheduling result of sample chromosome
(source: Chan et al. [7])
Dominated Gene (DG) indicates that this gene can
increase the strength (fitness) of the chromosome. Initially, some genes in a new chromosome are randomly
assigned to be dominated genes denoted by 1 in the
D parameter of the chromosome, otherwise 0. Each
chromosome may contain empty, 1, or more than
1 dominated gene. During evolutions, only those DGs
undergo crossover in each pair of parents to generate
a pair of offspring. Each offspring reserves most
of the genes from one of the parents and inherits only
the DGs from another parent. If these inherited DGs
make the offspring stronger than the parent, they will
remain dominated in the offspring, otherwise they will
become normal genes. This idea is to identify and record the best genes, and ensure they will be passed
to the offspring. GADG implements the idea of adaptive strategy. In this approach, a new crossover mechanism named dominated gene crossover has been
introduced to enhance the performance of genetic
search, and eliminate the problem of determining
an optimal crossover rate. A number of experiments
have been carried out. The results indicate that significant improvement could be obtained by the proposed
algorithm.
Anna Ławrynowicz
20
2
F1
3
4
1
1
2
3
4
F2
5
1
1
2
3
2
F3
in te rn a l tra n s p o rt
3
F4
e x te rn a l tra n s p o rt
Figure 9. Relationships among jobs, resources, and factories
(source: own study)
Beside, an integration of the genetic algorithm and
Gantt chart (GC) for job shop scheduling in distributed
manufacturing systems has been also proposed by Jia
et al. [28]. The integration of GA–GC is shown to be
efficient at solving small-sized or medium-sized scheduling problems for a distributed manufacturing system.
Multiple objectives can be achieved, including minimizing the makespan, job tardiness, or manufacturing
cost.
Application of the genetic approach for advanced planning in multi-factory environment is also presented
in the work of Chung et al. [16]. The proposed algorithm adopts the idea of dominant gene proposed
by Chan et al. [7]. The model is subject to capacity
constraints, precedence relationships, and alternative
machines with different processing time. The objective
function is to minimize the makespan, which consists
of the processing time, the transportation time between
resources either within the same factory or across two
different factories, and the machine set-up time among
operations. The results show the robustness of the proposed algorithm for this problem.
As shown above, despite many advantages in solving
scheduling problems with genetic algorithms, the application of the above mentioned algorithms is questionable. Frequently, the loops in supply networks are
not taken into consideration in many works.
4
A new approach to the scheduling problem in
industrial clusters
In the industrial cluster, multiple factories can be selected to manufacture the products. The factories may
be located in geographically distributed location,
but situated near. In the literature, the term “industrial
cluster” is widely used, it is defined as “a geographical
and sectoral concentration and combination of firms”
(Niu [46]). From the viewpoint of relationships, it is
a local supply network based on partnership. The relationships between members within an industrial cluster
are shown in Fig. 9.
In the industrial cluster, the individual operating decision making is dependent on the resources of the other
factories, and the possibilities of the individual organization to utilize these resources are determined by their
place in the network. In many cases, the industrial cluster is a distributed manufacturing system.
In the research of Ławrynowicz [37], a typical industrial cluster, which has J different tasks (products) (1, 2,
..., m) for F factories (1, 2, …, r) is considered. Each
factory has R resources (1, 2, ..., q). All jobs are loaded,
according to the predetermined technological sequence
given in processing plans.
The routes for the jobs are such that a job may visit
some resources and use some transportation more than
once. There are several constraints on jobs and resources:
1) there are no precedence constraints among operations of different jobs;
2) operations cannot be interrupted and each resource
can handle only one job at a time;
3) each job can be performed only on one resource
at a time.
In this approach, the processing plans of jobs can include also external transport operations. The objective
is to minimize the total makespan of the industrial cluster.
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
21
job number
operation number
machine number
(or transport order number)
factory number
(or source of transport order number)
1111
1232
1321
1411
2122
2242
2341
Figure 10. Example of a chromosome type A
(soure: own study)
The following notation is used for optimization
of scheduling in the industrial cluster (Ławrynowicz
[37]):
order planning. The MGA is an improved version
of prototypes developed by the authors in early stages
of this research (Ławrynowicz [39, 40 and 41].
m number of jobs,
The design of a suitable chromosome is the first step
for a successful genetic algorithm implementation because it applies probabilistic transition rule on each
chromosome to create a population of chromosomes,
representing a good candidate solution.
p number of operations,
q number of resources,
r number of factories,
Jj the j-th job, where j = 1, …, m,
Oi the i-th operation, where i= 1, …, p,
Rn the n-th resource where n = 1, …, q,
Fk the k-th factory, where k = 1, …, r,
Po the o-th transport order, where o=1, …, q-2
and o>2,
St the t-th source of transport order o,
where t=r+1, …, r+m,
Tji the time of operation i of job j.
In this approach, the source of the transport order
is the job. If a considered system includes three factories then the sources of transport orders are denoted
as follows: for the first job the source of transport orders is denoted by S3+1 i.e. S4, for the second job the
source of transport orders is denoted by S5, for the third
job the source of transport orders is denoted by S6 etc.
From the mathematical point of view, an industrial
cluster is a digraph, which has loops and therefore
the methods based on “network theory” cannot be easily adopted in supply network management. When the
job shop problem is not too large, the methods proposed in the literature are able to obtain the optimal
solution within reasonable time. But its implementation
would not be easy with conventional information systems.
Therefore, the author proposes a new approach
to the distributed scheduling in the industrial cluster
which uses a modified genetic algorithm (MGA).
The modified genetic algorithm proposed by the author
creates schedule for each factory and enables transport
Particularly, in the industrial cluster where jobs will be
dispatched to many factories, the encoding of the
scheduling problems plays an important role to implement effective operations management methods. As
mentioned above, in the scheduling problem, the popular encoding is operation-based method. This representation encodes a schedule as a sequence of operations
and each gene stands for one operation. By this idea,
the author creates new encoding method for a scheduling problem in the industrial cluster. In this approach,
a modified genetic algorithm employs two steps
to encode the scheduling problem. According to the
step, two different types of chromosomes are designed.
In the first step, each chromosome type A represents
a potential optimal solution of a problem being optimized. Chromosome type A consists of a set of
4-positions gene. The chromosome structure can be
represented as shown in Fig. 10, where the value
of the first position of the gene represents the job, the
value of the second position the operation number,
and the next two values the pair as follows: the resource number and the factory number or the transport
order number and the source of the transport order
number.
The second step is to copy the first and the second position from the gene of the chromosome A into the gene
of the chromosome B, and to translate the last two positions from the gene of the chromosome A into one
position gene of the chromosome B. Chromosome type
B is designed, as follows.
Anna Ławrynowicz
22
C h ro m o s o m e ty p e A
1111
111
1221
2122
2232
2312
2521
3113
3223
2415
R 1F 1
R 2F 1
R 1F 2
R 2F 2
R 3F 2
R 1F 3
R 2F 3
P 1S 5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
122
214
225
233
252
316
327
248
C h ro m o s o m e ty p e B
Figure 11. Example of translation
(source: own study)
F1
F2
1
F3
1
2
1
2
1
3
2
3
2
W1
W2
W1
internal transport
external transport
type M 1
W1
external transport
type M 2
Figure 12. Relationships among jobs, resources, workshops and factories
(source: own study)
Similarly as chromosome type A, the first position
represents the job, and the second the operation number, but the last position contains a unique number
of the resource.
Fig. 11 shows the way of a translation. Thus, the new
encoding method includes both manufacture operations
and long transport operations. In procedure of this
MGA, two new steps are added (to CGA). The first
step is added in the beginning and consists of a translation of the chromosome type A into the chromosome
type B. Thus, the initial population is created for type
B chromosome.
The other operation is added after the determination
of the best chromosome of type B (which gives the
smallest value of the makespan using the genetic algorithm with classical encoding method) and consists
of a translation of the best chromosome of type B into
type A chromosome. In the MGA, the most popular
selection method that is referred to as roulette wheel
selector was used.
The next population was created using the partial
mapped crossover operator (PMX), and the mutation
was a random interchange of values in two positions.
The number of generations was used as a stopping
measure. In the work by Ławrynowicz [37, 38], representative examples are provided to show that the above
suggested method can improve distributed scheduling
in industrial clusters.
Beside, the author proposed a new genetic algorithm
for a distributed scheduling in a supply network
(Ławrynowicz [36]) where each chromosome is a set
of 5-position genes. The new genetic algorithm enables
not only a manufacturing scheduling in supply networks. Additionally, the new genetic algorithm aided
planners in transport orders planning.
Genetic Algorithms for Solving Scheduling Problems…
Fig. 12 shows an example of the relationships among
the jobs, resources and factories for a production plan
of supply network which was considered by the author.
Basing on the above idea of operation codes with
4-position genes, the author developed the new genetic
algorithm, where each chromosome is a set of 5-position genes. In proposed by the author encoding method,
the value of the first position of the gene represents
the job, the value of the second position the operation
number, and the next three values the segment X or Y
as follows (accordingly): the resource number,
the workshop number and the factory number or the
transport type number, the transport order number and
the source of the transport order number. The results
of the experiments show that the proposed new genetic
algorithm is a very efficient and effective algorithm.
5
Conclusion
This paper describes how the genetic algorithms have
been applied to the optimization of manufacturing
scheduling problems. Representation scheme of a feasible solution to the considered problem is a key aspect
of evolutionary algorithms. Therefore, in this study,
the focus is brought on the coding problems.
23
modified genetic algorithm enables dividing jobs between factories, and transport orders planning in the
industrial cluster.
Summarizing, advances in genetic algorithms create
new prospects for inter-organizational cooperation.
As mentioned above, the main objective of this paper is
to present heuristic methods based on genetic algorithms. But, it is noted that another group of researchers
proposed an ant colony optimization (ACO) for solving
advanced scheduling problem (Rajendran and Ziegler
[50], Panahi et al. [48]). Ant algorithms are optimization algorithms inspired by the foraging behaviour
of real ants in the wild (Mullen et al. [43]). Within the
Artificial Intelligence (AI) community, ant algorithms
are considered under the category of swarm intelligence. Swarm intelligence encompasses the implementation of intelligent multi-agent systems that are based
on the behaviour of real world insect swarms,
as a problem solving tool. Future research can also
investigate the possibility of incorporating the proposed
ACO for solving scheduling problems in the industry.
6
References
It is common knowledge that in solving large-size
problems, genetic algorithms show much better performance (Chung et al. [16]). Despite many advantages
in solving scheduling problems presented in the existing literature, many applications of genetic algorithms
are questionable. As mentioned above, researchers still
study small-scale problems or only flow shop problems, where there are many constraints. It is possible
that equally important and stimulating research unknown to the authors was unintentionally omitted.
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25
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The Analysis and Synthesis of Strategic Management Research…
27
THE ANALYSIS AND SYNTHESIS OF STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
IN THE THIRD SECTOR FROM EARLY 2000 THROUGH TO MID-2009
Jarosław DOMAŃSKI
Faculty of Management
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
email:
[email protected]
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to analyse the contemporary literature on strategic management
in non-profit organizations. The area at hand is divided into five categories: modern management and strategic management approaches/theories; analysis of the roles of externalities and internalities in the Third Sector; review of how strategic management has been applied for non-profit organizations; review
of applications and enhanced identification of one or more strategies utilised by non-profit organizations;
application of specific methods and tools in strategic management. Four dilemmas faced by modern management theory serve as a synthetic axis. First, how can the existing commercial management concepts
and techniques be best adapted to the realities of the non-profit sector? Secondly, which of the established
schools of strategic management is the most relevant one for non-profits? In fact, is it appropriate to look
for a brand new school of thought? Thirdly, and this is again related to academic pursuits, what coherent
theory can explain the efficiency of non-profit organizations. Fourthly, there is the dilemma what strategy
to employ when faced with a choice between the willingness and the need to apply competitive strategies
and the co-operative strategy in the third sector.
Key words: strategic management, non-profit organizations, Third Sector, strategy, strategic planning, competitiveness.
1
Introduction
There are two underlying observations for this paper.
First, strategic management is critically important
for the growing Third Sector and not for managers
alone but also for researchers who study management
and develop new theories. The other observation is that
there is a visible lack of literature attempting to characterise and recapitulate existing theories and research
findings in the area of strategic management in the nonprofit sector developed since early 2000.
The Third Sector has for many years now been considered the fastest growing socio-economic activity segment in modern democracies (Salamon and Anheier
[53, 54], Lauer [36], Sargeant [55]). The size of the
sector and social significance of non-profit organizations necessitate inclusion of non-profit issues in management theory. Peter Drucker states that forty years
ago, ‘management’ was a very bad word in non-profit
organizations. It meant ‘business’ to them, and the one
thing they were not was a business (Drucker [21]).
However, specialised knowledge of management is
increasingly critical today. There have been some attempts to develop new or adapt existing management
concepts, methods and tools to make them relevant for
the Third Sector. In all its dimensions, strategic man-
agement can be a useful tool in running a non-profit
organization (Bryson [8, 9], Kemp and Kemp [34],
Mulhare [42], Courtney [17], Goold [25]). These authors stress that it will lead to the amplification of their
strengths and help them grasp environmental opportunities. Most of all, however, it is a remedy for most
weaknesses and challenges faced by the organizations
nearly on a daily basis. Further, it can be instrumental
in mounting an adequate and effective response to major threats from the environment. Non-profit organizations may then be more credible for their stakeholders
which should directly strengthen their financial and
human resource base.
A review of management literature and studies
of non-profit organizations reveal a certain pattern:
the sector is lagging behind the business sector by some
15 years in terms of management theory and practice.
Literature on enterprise strategic planning emerged
in the 1960s and a similar literature on the non-profit
sector was first published in mid-1970s. As underlined
by Roger Courtney, researches were looking for ways
to adapt for the sector the following methods and techniques derived from strategic management: SWOT
analysis, PEST, Ansoff’s matrix, Porter’s sectoral analysis (5 Porterian forces), Boston Consulting Group
matrix analysis, stakeholder analysis (Courtney [17]).
28
Jarosław Domański
Desk research regarding the use of strategic management concepts in the Third Sector was carried out
by Melissa Stone and her team and she came up with
a number of conclusions with regard to the then state
of our knowledge (Stone, Bigelow and Crittenden
[61]). She reviewed 66 papers published in major business and non-profit magazines between 1977 and 1992.
Her work was pivotal for later authors on the subject
who used it as a solid reference material reflecting the
state of knowledge in the period.
Our paper is an attempt at filling the time gap
in the literature on strategic management in the Third
Sector. Whereas much could have changed in management theory since Melissa Stone’s work it is pertinent
to review the current research focus and the proposed
theories in the early 21st century. Equally, it is important to identify at least some of the dilemmas faced
by management theoreticians.
This paper has identified 50 magazine articles
on strategic management and more specifically on strategic planning between 2000 and July 2009. The first
section describes the desk research methodology applied here.
The findings section provides a brief description
of each paper and assigns it to a specified research
methodology. The paper discusses more than empirical
research and this approach may be useful for future
authors looking for texts offering a different characteristic. For example, if they show interest in survey studies they will choose an article focusing on surveys;
otherwise, they will look for a more conceptually oriented text based primarily on the intuitive method.
Section Three provides a brief summary of conclusions
each of the authors offered in his/her paper. Notably,
innovative conclusions were highlighted as much as
possible to avoid redundancy. All the conclusions are
categorised in five key areas, i.e. current management
and strategic management approaches/theories; analysis
of the roles of externalities and internalities in the Third
Sector; review of how strategic management has been
applied for non-profit organizations; review of applications and enhanced identification of one or more strategies utilised by non-profit organizations; application
of specific methods and tools in strategic management.
Again, this format facilitates structured use of the analysis by researchers and practitioners.
The synthetic section is designed to project new trends
in management theory and new fields of research into
the strategic management in the Third Sector.
As a result, four major dilemmas faced by contemporary management theory have been distilled.
2
Method
The study used EBSCOhost, an online scientific database. The key words used during the search were nonprofit and strategic management and dates: since 2000
(i.e. one year after the publication of the work
by Melissa Stone et al., as quoted above) till the most
recent publications in 2009. The search generated 83
items. With unscientific texts, book reviews etc. left out
the number was reduced to 29 (see Table 1, lines 1 - 29,
for a brief description).
Subsequently, the search was repeated with modified
key words: strategic planning (instead of strategic management). The number of results returned was 231 and
a selection is presented in Table 1 in lines 30 - 48.
In this selection, entries previously acknowledged were
rejected. Uniqueness and significance of findings
and conclusions were the factors which ultimately help
produce the final list. In addition, the sample included
texts marked as online first or early view, which are
approved papers in electronic form awaiting print.
This part of the study covered the following periodicals: Nonprofit and Voluntary Sector Quarterly, Voluntas: International Journal of Voluntary & Nonprofit
Organizations, International Journal of Nonprofit
& Voluntary Sector Marketing – these published texts
on strategic management in non-profit organizations
the most often or provided on-line access to approved,
yet unprinted papers. Hence, the sample was extended
by two more entries (marked 49 and 50). In total, more
than 300 indexed online databases entries were analysed.
The term ‘intuitive method’ used above is to be understood as a purely intellectual pursuit which consists
in a consideration of concepts, presumption, issues,
projects and other elements of the broadly defined research work. The ‘survey method’ is one which asks
questions and generates answers and is employed
where the researcher wants to receive statements from
the sampled population for further analysis. The concept of ‘critical analysis’ is a desk research which analyses and critiques the literature on a subject.
The ‘monographic method’ will lead to a comprehensive description and a detailed analysis of a single unit
or a small number of characteristic units in a sampled
population (Pieter [45]).
The Analysis and Synthesis of Strategic Management Research…
If the description uses several cases to exemplify
a point the terms ‘case study’ is used. Each of the analysed paper did clearly rely on desk research so this
was underlined only in cases where this was the only
method used or was equally important as other methods
which have been identified.
3
Results
In Table 1, column (2) presents the name(s) of authors
and the year of publication of the analysed paper; column (3) summarises the subject of the study and column (4) identifies the research method employed.
4
Analysis
The analysis of the material yields a series of general
conclusions. While researchers appear to take much
interest in strategic management in the Third Sector
the sheer number of empirical studies is somewhat
lower than at the end of the 20th century. A review
completed by Melissa Stone at al. which covered
the period between 1977 and 1992 or 15 years revealed
66 empirical (surveys and case studies) studies
in the area, which averages at 4,4 publications per year
(Stone, Bigelow and Crittenden [61]). From 2000
through to mid-2009, i.e. during 9,5 years there were
50 studies, including 21 based on surveys, 5 case study
reports, 17 intuitive and 2 critical analyses. Thus, according to the Stone’s classification there were 2,7
studies per year.
Researchers have apparently focused on five different
aspects of the subject: current management and strategic management approaches/theories; analysis of the
roles of externalities and internalities in the Third Sector; review of how strategic management has been
applied for non-profit organizations; review of applications and enhanced identification of one or more strategies utilised by non-profit organizations; application
of specific methods and tools in strategic management.
The first group of papers address current management
and strategic management approaches/theories such
as complexity science (Paarlberg and Bielefeld [43]),
knowledge management (Renshaw and Krishnaswamy
[49]), intellectual capital (Kong [35]), key competences
29
(Bryson, Ackermann and Eden [10]), value management (Moore [41]), open systems theory (Starnes [60]).
Clearly, most authors subscribe to the resource-based
view of strategic management.
Laurie Paarlberg emphasises that current theories
of strategic management, mainly top-down in structure,
are not relevant to non-profit organizations which inherently rely on the participation and guidance of various stakeholder groups. She claims that complexity
science can be a helpful tool while explaining the strategic management processes, content and implementation (Paarlberg and Bielefeld [43]). It is stressed
that the concept of intellectual capital is more effective
in the context of non-profit organizations than other
contemporary theories of strategic management (Kong
[35]).
Sharon Renshaw also notices that non-profits exposed
to a competitive market place need a compatible strategic management approach, which includes the need
to manage their knowledge resources (Renshaw and
Krishnaswamy [49]).
The commercial strategy model applied in non-profit
organizations is hinged upon the market, competition
and clients/customers, and as such it is not adequate
for the Third Sector. Here, the strategy should address
the social value generation, sources of relevance
and support and operational capacity to deliver value
(Moore [41]).
John Bryson stresses the role of managing key competences. He believes that efficient management of key
competences in an organization will imply improved
performance, stronger relationships with peer organizations due to the same or similar shared values,
and better capacity to formulate strategic plans. Further, he observes that the ‘livelihood scheme’ of generating a business model based on key competences may
be successfully applied in non-commercial organizations (Bryson, Ackermann and Eden [10]).
Non-profit organization should be managed as openended systems and form strategic alliances as a means
to pursue their missions (Starnes [60]).
The resource-based view of strategic management
is also close to the hearts of authors who analyse
the role of external and internal factors in the Third
Sector.
30
Jarosław Domański
Table 1. Review of Modern Literature on Strategic Management in Non-Profit Organizations
(source: own work)
Author, year of publication
(1)
1
(2)
Paarlberg and Bielefeld,
2009 [43]
2
Gunby Jr, 2009 [27]
3
LeRoux and Goerdel,
2009 [37]
6
Renshaw and Krishnaswamy, 2009 [49]
Cochran, David and Gibson,
2008 [16]
Jarmon, 2008 [31]
7
Speckbacher, 2008 [58]
8
Schalm, 2008 [56]
9
Carman and Fredericks,
2008 [11]
10
Kong, 2007 [35]
4
5
11
12
Bryson, Ackermann and
Eden, 2007 [10]
Vandijck, Desmidt and
Buelens, 2007 [63]
Taylor and McGraw,
2006 [62]
Golensky and Mulder,
2006 [24])
Subject
Study method
(3)
(4)
Foundations, parameters and impact of complexity science
on strategies of public good organizations
Study of impact of one of the strategic management models
on organizations’ performance, including non-profit
organizations
Study of an empirical model where various organizational
factors influence the organization’s activity. Explanation
of one of the aspects of strategic management
Emphasised need for strategic knowledge management
in non-profit organizations
Mode of creating an effective mission statement
Competition between non-profit and for-profit organizations
Considerations on the role of stakeholders in the context
of economics and governance theory in organizations
Application of the strategic score card in non-profit
organizations (long-term medical care) in Canada
The role of evaluation as a tool,
inter alia in strategic management
The meaning of the intellectual capital concept
in strategic management of non-profit organizations
The role of key competences according
to the resource-based view of strategic management
Mission statement in Flemish non-profit organizations
intuitive
survey
survey
intuitive,
critical analysis
intuitive,
critical analysis
critical analysis
intuitive,
critical analysis
intuitive,
critical analysis,
10 interviews
survey
intuitive,
critical analysis
intuitive,
critical analysis
survey
18
Alfirević et al., 2005 [1]
19
Reeves and Ford, 2004 [48]
20
Pijl and Sminia, 2004 [46]
21
Carney, 2004 [12]
22
Fillis, 2003 [22]
23
Katsioloudes and Tymon,
2003 [33]
Human resources management as a strategy in strategic
management in sports organizations in Australia
Study of strategies employed in 112 organizations
in California
Positioning strategy in strategic management,
study of organizations in the United Kingdom
Effect of volatile environment on strategic management
in philanthropic organizations in Montreal
An innovative strategy case study in Industrial Technology
and Research Institute, Taiwan
Application of the strategic score card,
a case study from Croatia
Differences in strategic management between non-profit
and for-profit organizations
Relevance of strategic management
for non-profit organizations – case study
The role of middle management in strategic management
in hospitals
Image, reputation and identity as issues in strategic
management
Study of the use of strategic management in a sample
of 53 organizations in Philadelphia
24
Reussner, 2003 [50]
Strategic management model for museums
intuitive,
critical analysis
25
Speckbacher, 2003 [59]
Efficiency management in non-profit organizations,
role of the strategic score card
critical analysis
26
Frumkin and Casey,
2003 [23]
Components of strategic management for schools
intuitive,
critical analysis
13
14
15
16
17
Chew, 2006 [13]
Hafsi and Thomas,
2005 [28]
Chien-Tzu Tsai et al.,
2005 [15]
survey
survey
survey
monography
case study
case study
survey
case study
survey
intuitive
survey
The Analysis and Synthesis of Strategic Management Research…
27
28
Berrett and Slack, 2001 [5]
Inamdar et al., 2000 [30]
29
Crittenden, 2000 [18]
30
Hwang and Powell,
2009 [29]
31
Bratt, 2009 [6]
32
Chew and Osborne,
2009 [14]
33
Mazzarol and Soutar,
2008 [39]
34
Johnson and Lipp,
2007 [32]
35
Slyke van and Brooks,
2005 [57]
36
Rhodes and Keogan,
2005 [51]
37
38
Balser and McClusky,
2005 [2]
Pike, Roos and Marr,
2005 [47]
39
Brown and Iverson,
2004 [7]
40
Griggs, 2003 [26]
41
Miller, 2002 [40]
42
Barman, 2002 [13]
43
Pavičić, Renko and Alfirević, 2001 [44]
44
Mara, 2000 [38]
45
Crittenden and Crittenden,
2000 [19]
46
Moore, 2000 [41]
47
Bart and Tabone, 2000 [4]
48
Starnes, 2000 [60]
49
Domański, 2009 [20]
50
Ridder and McCandless,
2008 [52]
Sponsor acquisition strategy in sports organizations
Application of the strategic score card in health care
Study of 31 organizations regarding strategic management
impact on financial strategies
Strategic planning as an indicator of rational operations
in organizations with hired paid personnel and full-time
managers in the San Francisco area. Rational activity
is on a higher level in such organizations
The role of strategic planning in more efficient operations
in a volatile market. It can help organizations which focus
on housing for the poor
Identification of key factors influencing the positioning
strategy in organizations. The factors make up a theoretical
model which is better aligned with charities
Study of Australian education institutions with regard
to Porterian positioning strategies. Findings demonstrate
that organizations which fail to use consistent strategies
note less satisfactory performance
A case of a cognitive map employed for goal identification,
a the first step in strategic planning for a major university
faculty
Study and model for a better alignment of the fund-raising
strategy to socio-demographic and economic characteristics
of individual donors
Analysis of individual strategic choices and strategic planning process in non-profit organizations in Ireland, sample
of 25 organizations
Stakeholder relations management, two case studies
The role of intangible assets in value creation and strategic
planning
Study of 132 organization regarding strategy conceptualisation vis-à-vis products, services and organizational structures; 4 types of strategic behaviours have been identified
Effect of strategic planning on organization’s performance.
Study of 148 organizations in Australia
Issues of strategic management in religious organizations;
sources of competitive advantages, role of strategy and
strategic alliances
Differentiation strategy in the context of the changing
environment and competitiveness of non-profit organizations
Role of competition and competitiveness analysis in nonprofit organizations
Use of computer tool to support strategic planning in small
non-profit organizations
Study of characteristics of non-profit organizations and their
impact on strategic planning
Value management as organizational strategy, among others
in non-profit organizations
Study of the relationship between mission statement and
performance of Canadian hospitals
Impact of open systems theories and strategic alliances
on competitive advantage in non-profit organizations
Analysis of strategic groups of 485 Polish organizations
focusing on education and culture. Identification and description of 5 groups, use of cluster analysis
Critical role of human resources management and its
uniqueness in non-profit organizations
31
survey
monography
survey
survey
intuitive,
critical analysis
intuitive, survey,
critical analysis
survey
monography
intuitive,
survey
survey
case study
case study
survey
survey
intuitive,
critical analysis
monography
survey
monography
survey
intuitive
survey
intuitive,
critical analysis
survey
intuitive,
critical analysis
32
Jarosław Domański
They recognise the role of: the environment (Hafsi and
Thomas [28]), human resources (Taylor and McGraw
[62] and Ridder and McCandless [52]), middle management (Carney [12]), intangible resources (Pike,
Roos and Marr [47]), stakeholders (Speckbacher [58])
and (Balser and McClusky [2]).
Taïeb Hafsi mentions the stimulating role of a volatile
environment. Strategies in philanthropic organizations
are more effective and ensure viability and growth
is they are not hinged upon the concept of autonomy
and take environmental dependence for granted
and acknowledge it affects the organization’s behaviours (Hafsi and Thomas [28]).
Efficient human resources management can make
a difference for non-profit organizations. However,
its basis components known from the private sector
should tuned to the needs of the Third Sector which
works with volunteers along with paid staff. Very few
non-profit organizations have a human resources management strategy; (Taylor and McGraw [62], Ridder
and McCandless [52]). In this context, it is essential
that the strategy be formulated jointly by the leadership
and personnel alike and this includes middle management. This translates into improved ownership
and more effective implementation (Carney [12]).
Further, it is acknowledged that intangible assets
of a non-profit organization play an essential role
in value creation (Pike, Roos and Marr [47]).
Stakeholders are looked upon as key resources
of the Third Sector. The key challenge of non-profit
organizations is to increase the value of the contributions made by stakeholders and yet to minimise transaction costs and the cost of decision-making
(Speckbacher [58]). Organizations which build their
external relations with stakeholders by projecting
an image of a well managed organization and do it
consistently with various stakeholder groups tend
to receive accolade from external evaluators (Balser
and McClusky [2]).
The third group of papers relates to the application
of strategic management for non-profit organizations.
Normally, research papers aim at demonstrating the
relevance of this concept for the Third Sector, analysing the scope of implementation, building partial models either for specific types of organization (museums,
schools, sports or religious organizations) of for specific strategic planning phase (mission, vision, planning).
5
Strategic Planning
Strategic planning in non-profit organizations is positively correlated with their performance in the following dimensions: orientation to external environment,
functional orientation and focus on key personnel involvement (Griggs [26]). Strategic planning helps organizations better concentration on the rapid changes
in the environment (Bratt [6]).
Non-profit organizations are committed to strategic
planning yet managers appear to see an inadequate
contribution of analyses conducted in the process
(Katsioloudes and Tymon [33]). The relative importance attached by organizations to detailed planning
is closely correlated with their nature and pressure
on traditional organization structures – organizations
which have a management board, paid administration,
voluntary members and various committees engage
their stakeholders (e.g. administration, volunteers
and clients) in the planning process (Crittenden
and Crittenden [19]).
Organizations which have existed for a long time attach
greater importance to strategic planning but they have
no influence over this process: the age of members,
fund-raising sources, education of administration staff
and the level of bureaucracy (Crittenden and Crittenden
[19]). Organizations must take into account the qualitative dimension of the strategic management process
while evaluating it; a multi-dimensional approach
to this process ensures a greater return on assets (ROA)
(Gunby Jr [27]).
6
Strategies
Organizations employ a wide variety of both internal
and external strategies most of which meet or even
exceed their expectations and the selection of the strategy should depend on its effectiveness and efficiency
(Golensky and Mulder [24]). Strategies developed
by organizations place special emphasis on such dimensions as structure and mission (Rhodes and Keogan
[51]).
A number of observations regarding their strategies
imply a view that non-profit organizations (churches)
are competitive organizations. Strategies must on occasion result from the choice between tradition and innovation and may be guided by collaboration (Miller
[40]). Organizations should find an adequate response
to the two fundamental strategic dilemmas: the choice
The Analysis and Synthesis of Strategic Management Research…
between membership and influence, and between representation and control (Pijl and Sminia [46]). Organizations are successful when: the various strategies that
they employ are closely interrelated and oriented towards funding from diverse sources, they apply marketing tools and their growth comes from improved utility
of their offer (Crittenden [18]).
7
Mission Statement
Managers in non-profit organizations realise that a well
stated mission may be extremely advantages (Vandijck,
Desmidt and Buelens [63]). An effective process
of developing a mission statement may involve
the following steps: introduction, analysis of: components, communication, connotations, and applicability
(Cochran, David and Gibson [16]). According to research, top management makes the biggest contribution
towards formulating a mission statement (Bart
and Tabone [4]).
The involvement of a broad spectrum of stakeholders in
developing a mission statement is positively correlated
with performance and the process should not be top
down but informal and creative across a possibly broad
range of participating stakeholders (Bart and Tabone
[4]). However, non-governmental organizations’ leaders should not only concentrate on fulfilling the mission
but also pay attention to managing their organizations
through a fast changing environment (Frumkin and
Casey [23]).
8
Key Sources of Effectiveness
Factors affecting the performance and effectiveness
of non-profit organizations are addressed in literature.
It is recognised that organizations management by fulltime managers and employing paid staff have more
rationalised operations (Hwang and Powell [29]).
Factors which have a major impact on organizations’
performance are: experience accumulated in the course
of collaborative efforts, adequate relations with major
donors, managers equipped with lobbying skills, dependence on government resources and competition
for resources in the environment (LeRoux and Goerdel
[37]).
9
33
Other
A partial strategic management model for museums
oriented towards granting visitor access to resources
has been developed by Eva Reussner. She claims that
a strategic management model for a non-profit organizations should be comprehensive and attuned to externalities such a government (culture) policy and
the obligations arising from public functions (Reussner
[50]).
The role of reputation, image and identity is emphasised by Ian Fillis. Reputation, identity and image management may be relevant also in small organizations
and may be viewed through the lens of marketing
and enterprise (Fillis [22]).
While there are significant differences in strategic
management and performance evaluation between nonprofit and for-profit organization it is plausible to study
them at the same time (Reeves and Ford [48]).
The analyses of applications and a better definition
of one or more specific strategies employed by nonprofit organizations fall under fourth identified category of papers. Authors focus on: competitive strategies
(Jarmon [31], Pavičić, Renko and Alfirević [44]); positioning strategies (Chew [13], Chew and Osborne [14],
Mazzarol and Soutar [39]) innovation strategies
(Chien-Tzu Tsai et al. [15]), fund-raising strategies
(Berrett and Slack [5]), (Slyke van and Brooks [57]);
differentiation strategies (Barman [3]); strategic behaviours (Brown and Iverson [7]).
Non-profit organizations may reasonably compete
against commercial organizations in certain markets,
e.g. health care (Jarmon [31]). The use of competition
analysis method and the marketing orientation improves the competitiveness of non-profit organizations
(Pavičić, Renko and Alfirević [44]).
Charitable organizations employ positioning strategies
which are a function of a wide variety of internal
and external factors and performed at two levels: subsectoral and one which is part of the general response
of the Third Sector to the environment where
they compete for resources (Chew [13], Chew and
Osborne [14]). Strategies should lead to an adequate
positioning of the offer in specific market segment.
Organizations that do not have a consistent strategy
tend to have unsatisfactory performance (Mazzarol
and Soutar [39]).
34
Jarosław Domański
Further, research studies examine the drive for innovation among non-profit organizations both as part
of their strategies or as one of their core activities.
Innovation in non-profits can be assessed using a threedimensional model and this may be part of an overall
assessment of strategic management (Chien-Tzu Tsai
et al. [15]).
Tim Berrett identifies key factors that affect non-profit
organizations’ ability to raise funds: use of media
to promote projects and the level of participation (Berrett and Slack [5]).
One strategy typical of non-profit organizations is
the fund-raising strategy designed to attract donations
and financial support. Fund-raising strategies should be
tailed to the social and demographic profile of potential
donors (Slyke van and Brooks [57]).
Emily Barman analyses differentiation strategies.
She claims that organizations use differentiation not
only to improve competitiveness but also to mark their
uniqueness and superiority over rivals (Barman [3]).
Organizations can be classified according to four strategic types: defenders, seekers, analysers and responders (Brown and Iverson [7]).
Finally, the last identified group of contemporary research papers address the applicability of tools
and techniques in strategic management in the Third
Sector. The tools and techniques include: the strategic
score card (Schalm [56], Alfirević et al. [1], Speckbacher [59]), Inamdar et al. [30]); evaluation (Carman
and Fredericks [11]), cognitive mapping (Johnson and
Lipp [32]), computer-aided planning (Mara [38]), strategic groups analysis (Domański [20]). Largely, authors
conclude that the specific tools and techniques can be
used by non-profit organizations, possibly with some
sector-specific modifications. They also describe specific outcomes resulting from the use of specific tools.
10
Synthesis
The identified papers can be summarised around four
key areas of concern or dilemmas faced by modern
management theory. First, how can the established
commercial strategic management concepts and techniques be best adapted to the specific needs of the
Third Sector? Secondly, and more generally, which
of the existing schools of thought is the most relevant
for the type of organization at hand? Is there a room
for a brand new theory? Thirdly, how can management
theory and research find a cohesive and consistent concept that explains the effective performance of a nonprofit organization. Lastly, how to address the strategic
challenge of choosing between the willingness
and need to employ competitive strategies and the relevance of opting for a collaborative strategy and a generally co-operative approach to the non-profit
environment?
The sampled population of research studies suggest
that in terms of non-profit management theory it is
essential to note that established commercial concepts
do to fit into the Third Sector setting, inter alia (Renshaw and Krishnaswamy [49], Moore [41]). Clearly,
this statement originates from the perceived differences
between strategic management in non-profit and forprofit organizations (Reeves and Ford [48]). The ‘topdown’ approach is especially criticised as inadequate
for strategically managing non-profits (Paarlberg and
Bielefeld [43]).
Hence, much of the conceptual work is focused
on mission statement, goal setting, top level planning
and communication to lower levels with a view
to building tactics. Implementation is left to rank-andfile personnel. The above patter is inadequate for nonprofit organizations. Their operations must be guided
by a wide group of stakeholders and this has a bearing
on strategic management (Paarlberg and Bielefeld
[43]). This is mentioned by Carney who stresses the
need for a greater staff and middle-management involvement (Carney [12]).
There is ample evidence that the inclusion of stakeholders in strategic management is advantageous nonprofit organizations. It may boost the quality of management with more management dimensions properly
addressed in strategic planning (Gunby Jr [27]). Moreover, it fosters effectiveness and improved performance
(Balser and McClusky [2], Griggs [26], Bart
and Tabone [4]). Surely enough, the involvement
of clients in the process of, perhaps, not goal setting
but identifying ways of goal implementation will help
non-profit organizations build a more ‘useful’ offering.
Such utility will be one of the keys to success (Crittenden [18]). The removal of pressure from key managers to deliver under strategic plans by delegating will
help top management focus on day-to-day management
in a volatile environment, claims Peter Frumkin (Frumkin and Casey [23]).
The review of research reveals that non-profit organizations recognise the need to include a broad spectrum
The Analysis and Synthesis of Strategic Management Research…
of stakeholders in strategic planning. However,
this concept is implemented by organizations with
an extensive organizational structure with both voluntary and paid personnel, including administration (Crittenden and Crittenden [19]).
Hence, there seems to be a ready and universal answer
to the challenge of applying commercial strategic management in non-profit organizations. The answer is
‘Involve as many stakeholders as possible in this process and you will be successful’. But will you, really?
Is such a democratic management at all feasible?
Is democracy not the best of systems only because
nobody has ever thought of a better one? And what
about the cost of decision-making in such a model?
In fact, cost is one of the major issues non-profit organizations must address (Speckbacher [58]). Consequently, there is a need for a ‘golden means’, a balance
between the key role of top management and the marginal delegation of strategic planning responsibilities.
What is the point of balance? Apparently, the answer to
this question has not been found yet.
Another dilemma, a theoretical rather than a practical
one, is: which school of management theory should
strategic management of non-profit organizations
be part of. Again, contemporary researchers are not
single-minded about this and propose the resourceand competence-based view. An overwhelming majority of papers adhere to this school. Its adequacy
for non-profit organizations is strongly argued by John
Bryson who claims that a key competence-based livelihood scheme may be successfully applied by them
(Bryson, Ackermann and Eden [10]). He goes on
to argue that adequate management of key competences
in the organization implies improved performance
and is a strong basis for strategic planning. The concept
of intellectual capital which belongs to this school
of thought equally falls into the interests of modern
research. Authors tend to recognise its effectiveness
in the non-profit setting (Kong [35]).
Knowledge management is another concept which can
and should be adapted to meet the needs of non-profit
organizations (Renshaw and Krishnaswamy [49]) as is
value management (Moore [41]). A wide spectrum
of organizational resources are analysed and described:
human resources (Taylor and McGraw [62], Ridder
and McCandless [52]), including managers (Carney
[12], Katsioloudes and Tymon [33], Vandijck, Desmidt
and Buelens [63], Bart and Tabone [4], Frumkin and
Casey [23], Hwang and Powell [29]); personnel
35
(Griggs [26]) and donors (LeRoux and Goerdel [37],
Slyke van and Brooks [57]), and stakeholders (Paarlberg and Bielefeld [43], Speckbacher [58], Balser
and McClusky [2], Crittenden and Crittenden [19], Bart
and Tabone [4]), then non-tangible resources (Pike,
Roos and Marr [47]), mainly reputation and image
(Fillis [22]). The above demonstrates the absolute prevalence of the resource- and competence-based view
in strategic management in the Third Sector.
The sole attempts to go beyond this view are limited
to references to other established management theories
for non-profit organizations such as systems theory
(Starnes [60]) and the computational complexity theory
(Paarlberg and Bielefeld [43]). They are viewed
as useful tools. There are no theories around dedicated
non-profit management concepts. Eva Reussner claims
that a comprehensive strategic management model
should not only rely on externalities, but mainly address the public function (Reussner [50]).
The special role in public value creation is also mentioned by Mark Moore (Moore [41]). At the level
of strategy conceptualisation, one central non-profitspecific strategy is that of fund-raising (Berrett
and Slack [5], Slyke van and Brooks [57]). Here, research papers call for a choice between membership
and influence and between representation and control
(Pijl and Sminia [46]) and a choice between tradition
and innovation (Miller [40]). Most papers, however,
focus on the established concepts or methods, perhaps
addressing the unique applications in non-profit organizations. Researchers do not ask explicit questions
that would lead them to new and unique concepts
that consolidate the existing schools of thought in strategic management. This is a new challenge faced
by the academic community. Theory should not only
explore existing concepts but, perhaps first of all,
search for new and better conceptual schemes.
The third dilemma is strategic management of nonprofit organizations is about their effectiveness
and efficiency (including the effectiveness and efficiency of strategic planning), rationalisation and how
specific strategic affect these parameters. Modern theory provides a wide variety of answers. Non-profits
operate more effectively when they recognise and adequately respond to their environment which quite often
offers a high level of motivation (Hafsi and Thomas
[28], Griggs [26]). A well defined mission will be
an effective response (Vandijck, Desmidt and Buelens
[63]), and the formulation process should involve
36
Jarosław Domański
the following steps: introduction, and the analysis
of: inputs, communication, connotations and applicability (Cochran, David and Gibson [16]). Mission statement is one of the strategic dimensions used by nonprofit organization (Rhodes and Keogan [51]), and the
lack of a mission statement implies inadequate performance (Mazzarol and Soutar [39]). Non-profit organizations become successful if the various strategies they
employ are closely interrelated, based on fund-raising
from diverse sources, use marketing tools and grow by
strengthening the utility of their offer (Crittenden [18]).
Strategies in philanthropic organizations are more effective and support growth and viability when they are
not hinged upon autonomy as a core value. Note that
the selection of a strategy should be driven
by its effectiveness and efficiency (Golensky and
Mulder [24]). The selection of a strategy is part of strategic planning which can be effectively supported
with IT tools (Mara [38]) and which helps organizations concentrate on changes in the environment (Bratt
[6]). Furthermore, strategic planning is positively correlated with performance in the following dimensions:
external environmental orientation, functional orientation and focus on key personnel involvement (Griggs
[26]). The key personnel are managers and non-profit
organizations (Hwang and Powell [29]). Managers
should have lobbying skills (LeRoux and Goerdel
[37]). While they seem to recognise the insufficient
contribution of analytics into the strategic management
process (Katsioloudes and Tymon [33]), they have
the biggest impact on the organization’s mission (Bart
and Tabone [4]). As noted earlier, the process should
involve other stakeholders as there is a positive correlation between the involvement of a wide spectrum
of stakeholders in creating the mission and the performance of the organization. The process should not be
top-down but a fairly informal and creative coparticipation of as many stakeholders as possible (Bart
and Tabone [4]). Stakeholder involvement will facilitate strategy implementation (Carney [12]). Finally,
organizations which build their external relations
by consistently creating among their stakeholders
a perception of a well managed structure tend to receive higher ratings on effectiveness (Balser and
McClusky [2]) in external evaluations, as described
by Joanne Carman (Carman and Fredericks [11]). One
of the core and at the same time unique strategies
of a non-profit organization is its fund-raising strategy.
This strategy should be aligned with the social
and demographic characteristics of prospective donors
(Slyke van and Brooks [57]). Among key success factors of a non-profit fund-raising strategy is the appropriate use of the media (to promote projects) and
the level of participation (Berrett and Slack [5]). Researchers point to a performance measurement tool
which is likely to be most suitable for non-profits, i.e.
the Strategic Score Card (Schalm [56], Alfirević et al.
[1], Speckbacher [59], Inamdar et al. [30]).
A question arises as to whether we are, in fact, missing
a single coherent theory that would explain and measure performance in the Third Sector. Where profit
is not a goal what is? What is the single most important
goal that non-profit organizations are trying to meet?
Is it to increase the stakeholder value (as opposed
to shareholder value in commercial organizations)?
How can you measure the value in the absence
of a market valuation mechanism such as the share
price? These questions are still to be answered.
Another challenge to contemporary research on strategic management in the Third Sector is about the type
of strategy that should be pursued, and more specifically, whether the guiding principle should be competition
or co-operation with other players in the sector. This
dilemma appears to be solved already at the first glance
as the majority of writers on the subject underline the
need intrasectoral competition. Kent Miller suggests
that non-profit organizations should be seen
as competitive, which implies a number of observations
regarding their strategies (Miller [40]). In this context,
competition is mainly for resources in the environment
and it is becoming a major factor affecting performance
(LeRoux and Goerdel [37]).
Competition and marketing orientation analysis is postulated as key method of improving competitiveness
(Pavičić, Renko and Alfirević [44]). Further, the strategic group analysis can be successfully applied in this
sector as it will help identify the closest competitors
and barriers to entry to other, less competition-intensive
areas of operation (Domański [20]). The competitive
dimension, however, goes beyond rivalry between
other organizations in the non-profit sector. Indeed,
non-profits can aggressively compete against commercial organizations in certain markets, e.g. health care
(Jarmon [31]).
Non-profit organizations employ positioning strategies
which are a function of both external and internal factors and are executed at two levels; sub-sectoral and
sectoral, the latter being part of the Third Sector’s general response to the pressures of the environment where
The Analysis and Synthesis of Strategic Management Research…
they compete for resources (Chew [13], Chew
and Osborne [14]). Another strategy is that of differentiation where the goal is to promote uniqueness and
superiority over rivals (Barman [3]). Four strategic
behaviours are identified: defenders, seekers, analysers
and responders (Brown and Iverson [7]). In contrast,
Becky Starnes pushes competition to the sidelines
and argues in favour of strategic alliances. She claims
non-profit organizations should be managed as open
systems and form strategic alliances to pursue their
missions (Starnes [60]). Also, Kent Miller, points out
that religious organizations that he has researched
could employ collaborative strategies (Miller [40]).
Mark Moore concludes that the strategic model based
partly on competition that has been used by commercial
organizations is not adequate for non-profit organizations (Moore [41]).
In the context of these observations and the fact that
a large majority of non-profit organizations not only
fail to protect their key skills against competition but
indeed in the name of public good share their good
practices with others in the same market one may ask
a fundamental question whether the theory of Third
Sector management should not place a far greater emphasis on the concepts of collaborative, alliance-based
and co-operative strategies. Such an approach would be
much closer to reality and could yield a more faithful
description of the status quo of non-profit organizations. Moreover, it can produce more efficient management strategies and methods. This is the role
of applied research studies such as the study of management.
11
While analysing the areas of interest of contemporary
authors it is clear that there are five such fields: modern
management and strategic management approaches
/theories; analysis of the roles of externalities and internalities in the Third Sector; review of how strategic
management has been applied for non-profit organizations; review of applications and enhanced identification of one or more strategies utilised by non-profit
organizations; application of specific methods and tools
in strategic management.
Four dilemmas faced by modern management theory
serve as a synthetic axis. First, how can the existing
commercial management concepts and techniques
be best adapted to the realities of the non-profit sector?
Secondly, which of the established schools of strategic
management is the most relevant one for non-profits?
In fact, is it appropriate to look for a brand new school
of thought? Thirdly, and this is again related to academic pursuits, what coherent theory can explain
the efficiency of non-profit organizations. Fourthly,
there is the dilemma what strategy to employ when
faced with a choice between the willingness and
the need to apply competitive strategies and the cooperative strategy in the third sector.
12
References
[1]
Alfirević N., Pavičić J., Adžić B., Šimurina J.,
Bratić V. - The Balanced Scorecard (Bsc) Approach to Performance of a Nonprofit in the Transition Environment: the Case of the Commercial
Trade Union of Croatia (Ctu) [at] Conference Proceedings: International Conference Enterprise in
Transition, 2005, pp. 5-19.
[2]
Balser D., McClusky J. - Managing stakeholder
relationships and nonprofit organization effectiveness [in] Nonprofit Management & Leadership 15
(3), 2005, pp. 295-315.
[3]
Barman E.A. - Asserting Difference: The Strategic
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[4]
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Conclusion
This paper aimed at reviewing contemporary literature
on strategic management in non-profit organizations.
Whereas much could have changed in management
theory since Melissa Stone outlined her findings from
a study of management literature between 1977 and
1992 it seems pertinent that a similar review should be
conducted to identify focus areas and proposed concepts in the early year of the 21st century. Our study has
concluded that from 2000 through to mid-2009 (9,5
years) there were some 50 publications, of which 21
were mainly surveys, 5 were case studies, 5 monographies, 17 used the intuitive method and 2 were critical
reviews of existing literature.
37
38
Jarosław Domański
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Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
41
DIRECTORS REMUNERATION AND COMPANIES’ PERFORMANCE THE
COMPARISON OF LISTED COMPANIES IN POLAND AND UK
Agnieszka HERDAN*, Katarzyna SZCZEPAŃSKA**
*Accounting & Finance Department
University of Greenwich, Park Row, London SE10 9LS
e-mail:
[email protected]
**Faculty of Management
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
e-mail:
[email protected]
Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of CEO compensation. There are many factors that influence CEO compensation. For this research three factors has been selected: companies size, accounting factor
and market factor. The study looks at the relationship between each of this factors and directors remuneration. Sample of companies listed on London Stock Exchange (LSE) and Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE)
has been investigated over the period of 2007 – 2010. Data has been collected through annual reports content
analysis and announcement on websites of LSE and WSE. Linear regression has been run on collected data.
Positive correlation has been found between directors’ remuneration and companies’ size in both British
and Polish listed companies. The relationship is also positive between directors pay and companies performance. Companies’ performance has been assets by return on equity ratio (ROE) and Tobin’s Q.
All the findings are consistent with the outcome presented within previous research by variety of scholars.
Key words: corporate governance, companies’ performance, director’s remuneration, agency cost, CEO
compensation.
1
Introduction
Corporate governance was first introduced by
A. Smith. He highlighted the changes in companies’
behaviour as a consequence of separation of ownership
and control. There is an ongoing debate at present how
corporate governance should be define (Jarzemowska
[13], pp. 22-34). The concept of corporate governance
can be looked at form legal and economic perspective.
Economic approach describe corporate governance
as “an institutional mechanism for regulating the relationship between the participants of corporate contracts, especially between managers and shareholders
(...). It is a set of principles affecting the supervision
and accountability of the company.” (Ignyś-Lipowiecka
[12], pp. 215-216).
Corporate governance is strictly related with:
• accountability - the way in which managers are
accounttable to shareholders,
• communication - how the company obtain and
communicate information,
• relationships - diversified in terms of economic
conditions and national traditions, between
the owners and managers of corporations.
The main aim of corporate governance is to protect
shareholders interest against misused of their capital
by managers of a company. The rationale for the use
of these practices may be the fact that the principles
of corporate governance are an important factor when
assessing a company. It could affect the valuation
of the company or influence the investment decision
of potential investor.
The models of corporate governance are the formal
systems of accountability of top management to shareholders and they that should create an integrated value
for the shareholder. These models are based on two
assumptions:
• maximization of shareholder value is the best way
to ensure their prosperity,
• financial goals can be achieved by building long
term relationships with all stakeholders.
This allows to regard relationships with employees,
customers, investors, suppliers and the community
as an essential source for improving companies competitiveness. Good relationship is understood as value
of information, reputation, contracts. The model
of stakeholders groups (a network of formal and informal relationships of corporations - a pluralistic approach) is based on the assumption that the company is
a social institution and therefore can extend its influence on the prosperity of society and brings benefits
not only to shareholders but also to wide groups
42
Agnieszka Herdan, Katarzyna Szczepańska
of other parties, as many companies may spend part
of their profits on social objectives. This shows
the direct connections “between social obligations,
social responsibility and corporate social response.”
(Kopycińska [17], p. 197).
The UK represent single tire corporate governance
model. The major role is played by The Board of Director (executive and non-executive), who are elected
at General Annual Meeting (AGM). The role of Board
of Director is to manage the company on behalf of and
in the best interest of shareholders (GajewskaJedwabny [7], p. 492). On the other hand Polish capital
marked is at quite early stage of developing corporate
governance practice. The corporate governance principled main aim is to prevent some negative phenomena,
such as fraud or violations of rights of minority shareholders (Gajewska-Jedwabny [7], p. 502).
Solarz ([26], p. 274) stress that as Anglo - Saxon model
has a strong relationship between the remuneration
of director and company performance, for Polish companies the remuneration of directors grow faster than
profit, return on assets (ROA) and return on capital
employed (ROE).
The recent academic debate within corporate governance concentrates on the relationship between CEO
remuneration1 and companies’ performance. Investors
are becoming more and more concern by companies’
mismanagement after a series of corporate scandal such
as Enron, World Com, Parmalat, Maxwell, Polly Peck
etc. “Investors are shocked and apprehensive after recent news about huge payment of £1,7 billion in bonuses to the managers of RBS (Royal Bank
of Scotland) despite bank making a £3,6 billion loss
during 2009” (Seel [24]). This example shows the inconsistency of classical compensation theory, as only
improved performance should be awarded by higher
remuneration. Investors start questioning high paid
management contracts as being unreasonable more
often than ever.
The problem with discrepancies between managers’
compensation and investors’ expectation is strongly
address by agency theory and has been investigated
by many researchers in the last three decades (Jensen
et al. [14], pp. 255-268; Kato et al. [16], pp.1-19; Oetomo et al. [20]). According to agency theory principal
- agent relationships is a contract under which one
or more persons (the principal engage another person the agent) are engaged to perform some service on their
behalf which involves delegating some decision making authority to the agent. For this services and contribution to shareholders wealth the agents are expecting
to be properly rewarded, but the agents for obvious
reasons do not always act in a way which contributes
to maximising shareholders’ (owners’, principals’)
wealth.
Hence, the owners are forced to create
and implement different incentive schemes and monitoring schemes for agents to minimize deviations.
As it has been proved by many research managers
(agents) work more efficiently only if they receive
strong motivation such as perks, bonuses, fringe benefits, stock options, etc. If the agent should act in the
best interest of the shareholder the efficiency (E a desirable effect) is based on the appropriate relationship between following factors: the agent action
in the interests of principal (b), the intensity of work
the agent (i) and agent remuneration or criteria
on which remuneration is based (w). (Gruszecki [9],
pp. 220). This is expressed by the formula:
E = f(b, i, w)
Regardless the large number of conducted researches
concerning agency costs there are still some reservations about the role the different incentives play
in managers performance and what is the best structure
of mangers (directors) remunerations. Although many
empirical studies claim that incentive schemes can
notably increase productivity of mangers and an optimal compensation contract is a cure for the principal agent conflict, some research or even recent examples,
give grounds for considering high pay-performance
contracts as not reasonable2.
Therefore, it becomes increasingly interesting to test
the relationship between directors’ remuneration
and company performance. The first part of the paper
describes the different incentive incorporated in directors’ remuneration package. The second part analyse
current state of research with directors payperformance. Third part discusses the methodology
used in the study and results obtained. The last part
presents conclusions and recommendations.
1
For the purpose of this paper compensation, remuneration,
salary, pay, payment will be used as synonyms and will describe
the total value of reward allocated to the directors.
(1)
2
See RBS example.
Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
The research has been conducted on companies listed
on London Stock Exchange and Warsaw Stock Exchange. The period taken into analysis covers the years
2007-2010.
2
Directors remuneration
Companies’ directors can be rewarded in many ways.
They receive basic salary, which includes pension contributions and prerequisites such as companies’ car,
club membership, etc. In addition, top executives usually obtain bonuses that are usually linked to the directors’ performance. They can also be entitled to long term incentives plans usually in the form of stock options. The most commune incentive programs are:
• stock option plan,
• restricted stock plan,
• performance plan,
• deferred compensation plan,
• performance based cash compensation plan,
• profit related plan,
• company Share Option Plan.
The basic executive salary is usually determined
through benchmarking method. This is conducted
by remuneration committee and is based on directors’
qualification, experience, past success and firm size.
In the recent years, it can observe continuous increase
of directors’ salaries as they usually argue for competitive rewards and expect the increase on yearly basis.
The new trend has been detected of new CEO (Chief
Executive Directors or Managing Directors) requesting
higher remuneration package than currently serving
CEO.
At the end of financial year director are usually rewarded with cash bonuses. The size of the bonus is
based on the company performance over the previous
12 months and is typically is related to profit measurement such as earnings before interest and tax (EBIT)
or earning per share (EPS). The other commonly use
measure is economic value added (EVA). In addition
to the mention measures CEO contract usually have
a minimum threshold that needs to be reached in order
to qualify for the bonus. The bonus can be paid as
a lump sum or as a percentage in relation to chosen
measure. Many professional bodies are in favour
of bonuses versus pay rise as bonuses are awards
43
for realised current achievements and pay raises are
increase for the future unrealised performance3.
The most popular market - orientated incentive pay is
executive stock option. It allows directors to purchase
the shares at a fixed price, called price or strike price.
This means that if the share price reaches the higher
level than strike price, the directors will gain additional
profit. This approach encourages CEO and other directors to efficiently manage the company as the better
company performs the higher share price can be
achieved. Most of the researchers consider this method
as aligning the mangers and shareholders goals4.
Some researchers stress that executive option contributed to governance failure in 1990s and early 2000s
(e.g. Enron). That’s why two new incentives have been
recently introduced; restricted stock grants and performance share. Restricted stock include common stocks
on which limitation has been imposes. The limitations
are related to the time for which the share cannot be
sold or to the certain goals that is need to be achieved
before the shares can be sold. The advantage of this
tactics versus option is that its value is not impacted by
asymmetric5. Performance share approach describes the
situation in which the executives are award the shares
only if certain criteria are achieved such as for example
EPS. In this sense, the shears are regarded as rewards
for past - realised achievement6.
3
Directors payment and companies
performance
The academic interest in executive pay began in the
early 80’s. Most of the researchers tried to find out
relation between executive pay and firm performance.
Some tried to figure out what factors influence executive compensation, how much the firm should pay
or when firm should pay more to motivate executives
etc. The majority research on executive compensation
has been guided by agency theory. As managers are
the main decision makers, it is therefore essential
to motivate managers or directors through contract
3
The median bonus payment for directors in large American
firms was $2,17 million in 2007.
4
The most common stock options are for 10 years.
5
It has been 12% increase in long - term restricted stock in the
last 6 years.
6
It can be observe that in the last 5 years the use of performance
share as an element of directors remuneration increased by 36%.
44
Agnieszka Herdan, Katarzyna Szczepańska
or offer so that they bind their interests with the interests of shareholders.
Several researches undertook investigation into directors’ remuneration focusing on relation between CEO
pay and firm performance (Cosh et al. [3], pp. 469-492;
Conyon [2], pp. 493-510; Gregg et al. [8], pp. 1-9; Kato
[16], pp. 93-510; Randøy et al. [21], pp. 57-81). Jensen
et al. ([14], pp. 255-268) tested pay - performance sensitivity in different variations of incentives (salaries,
bonuses, stock options, etc) and found that there is
a positive and statistically significant relationship between performance of a firm and managers’ pay but
it is rather small. The sensitivity of directors’ remuneration is “about $3,25 per $1 000 change in shareholder wealth”. They also established that CEOs
of larger firms have fewer stock options and enjoy less
monetary incentives than CEOs from smaller firms,
which is consistent with Demsetz et al. ([4], pp. 11551177) study.
Jensen et al. ([14], pp. 255-268) stress, that their findings are incoherent with optimal contracting models.
They also argue that the change in shareholder wealth
may not be the best indicator of CEO performance.
They agree with Holmström ([11], pp. 74-91) hypotheses that optimal contracts and performance objectives
for managing directors should not be only liked to main
shareholder objective – increase in shareholder wealth,
but also should reflect the range of consecutive
measures, which will help to assess how close, is executives’ choice of actions to principal’s goals. It can be
different accounting indicators, comparison with other
CEOs from the same industry and etc.
Edmans et al. [5] proposed a multiplicative model,
which incorporates the integrated theory of sensitivity
and level of executives’ pay in market equilibrium.
The innovation in comparison to the current approach
is “Firstly, motivated by first principles, consumer
theory, and macroeconomic models and multiplicative
preferences in the principal – agent problem” and secondly “endogenize total pay in a market equilibrium by
embedding the principal–agent problem into a competitive assignment model of CEO talent” (Edmans et al.
[5], p. 2).
Demsetz et al. ([4], pp. 1155-1177) as well as Jensen
et al. ([14], pp. 255-268) stress that incentives schemes
are very weak in big corporations probably because
of weakness of corporate governance in such firms.
This means linear models predict that dollar – dollar
incentives should be constant across CEOs, and thus
independent of size does not work in practice.
This means that millions and billions of dollars
(pounds, euros) might be lost every single period,
which actually demands for very strong governing
policies.
Hansell et al. ([10], p. 28) found that for 158 large US
companies the CEO remuneration and companies’
performance were moving in different directions for
2007 till - 2008 which is in line with a press rumours
about excessive executive pay during the economic
downturn.
The important factor influencing directors’ remuneration as well as company performance is company size.
A study by Rosen (1982:311-323) indicates that small
difference in the quality of CEO can make a big difference in larger firms, so, larger firms try to attract the
best directors for their firms. This results in higher
remuneration packages in larger companies as to acquire the best CEO for the firm and to keep him or her
interested in the firm.
Studies of many scholars reflect the influence of performance on director’s remuneration. When the firm
perform well in the market, CEOs are rewarded with
compensation package. Lewellen et al. ([19], pp. 710720) have shown that CEO remuneration is strongly
influence by generating profit. Gregg et al. ([8],
pp. 1-9) examined UK listed 288 large firms over
the period 1983-1991. They found the evidence that
directors pay is related strongly with firm size. They
confirmed that 50% increase in a firms revenue resulted
in 10% increase in directors remuneration. Baker et al.
([1], pp. 593-616) studied the relation between managing directors’ payment scheme and revenue. They
found positive relation between CEO compensation
and firm size. Firm that grow 10 % in size usually pay
3 %more to its CEOs.
Kostiuk ([18], pp. 90-105) has determined approximately the same result when he examined 73 large firm
of U.S over the time 1968 to 1981. Zhou ([27], pp. 213251) examined on 755 firms which are all Canadian
firms and his works also found that CEO pay is positively correlated with firm size. The same tendency has
been confirmed within Japanese companies by studies
of Zhou et al. ([28], pp. 665-696) and Kato ([16],
pp. 93-510).
Baker et al. ([1], pp. 593-616) establish smaller pay
performance sensitivity on CEO compensation in large
firms. Their work also show that insignificant CEO
owns amount of firm’s stock’s of larger firms, which
Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
are usually more than CEO’s of small firms. This is
why pay performance sensitivity is less significant
in small firms but more significant in larger firms. They
also highlight, that motivation strength of CEO’s can
be linked with the number of stock owned by CEO’s.
This has been established based on minor efficiency
of CEO’s effort rising in accordance with firm size.
The recent study of Kato et al. ([15], pp. 1-19)
on Japanese firms’ performance shows the influence
of firm performance to CEO remuneration scheme.
Their works show especially strong impact of accounting measures on directors pay but less impact of stock
market performance.
Lewellen et al. ([19], pp. 710-720) examined whether
any positive relation can be found between CEO compensation and firm performance. Their research on 50
US firms over the period from 1942 to 1963 shows that
generating profit is strongly depends on CEO compensation.
Rosen ([22], pp. 311-323) established that the influence
of ROE on CEO compensation in 0,1 – 0,15 range
and the elasticity of CEO pay and firm size are not
significantly different from beta of 0,3.
Gregg et al. ([8], pp. 1-9) in their study of large UK
firms found that, in terms of share returns over
the whole fiscal year, the influence of CEO pay
on firm performance is very weak. When they examined the relation between CEO pay and firm performance again after slitting the data into 2 time period
which were 1983 – 1988 and 1989 – 1991, they found
that CEO pay is positively related to firm performance
for the first period of time.
Finkelstein at al. ([6], pp. 179-199) looked at 1000
Fortune firms and found that CEO compensation is
positively related with ROE (Return On Equity), firm
size and managerial discretion such as R & D intensity,
market growth.
of the research follows the approach of Oetomo
et al. [20], who examined directors’ remuneration
in relation to companies’ size. They used book value of total assets as a proxy for firm size. Rosser et
al. ([23], pp. 115-126) also used book value of total
assets as firm size when they investigated
the impact of firm size on CEO compensation. Following regression model is used to determine the relationship between CEO compensation on firm size:
CEO remuneration =
a + b { firm size ( total assets ) } + e
Research methodology
(2)
• Does company performance impact directors remuneration - to answer this question Shim et al. ([25],
pp. 93-116) path will be followed. They used return
on equity (ROE) as a proxy for accounting performance indicator and Tobin’s Q as a performance
measurement for market factor to determine the impact of company performance on directors pay.
To determine the relationship between CEO compensation on accounting factor: following regression model is used:
CEO compensation =
a + b {accounting factor ( ROE )} + e
(3)
-
ROE is calculated by dividing Net income after
tax with total equity,
-
net income is selected after tax and preferred
stock dividends but before common stock dividends,
-
preferred shares are excluded from total equity.
To determine the relationship between CEO compensation on market factor following regression model is
used:
CEO compensation =
a + b{ market factor (Tobin’s Q)} +e
(4)
Here market value equals to:
Tobin’s Q = [MVE + DEBT + PS] / TA
4
45
(5)
where:
MVE - is the market value of shareholders equity,
This research concentrates on investigating whether
CEO remuneration is positively related to companies’
size, accounting performance and to market performance. The investigation try to addresser the following
questions:
DEBT - is the value of the firm’s short – term liabilities
net its short term assets plus the book value
of the firms long term debt,
• Does relation between firm size and directors’ remuneration exist in selected sample – this part
TA - is the book value of the total assets of the firm.
PS - is the liquidating value of the firm’s outstanding
preferred stock,
46
Agnieszka Herdan, Katarzyna Szczepańska
Figure 1. FTSE 100 sample
(source: own work)
Figure 2. WSE sample structure
(source: own work)
Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
In all three models compensation (remuneration) is
consider as dependant variable. Compensation is the
total of cash pay and share own by CEO (director).
5
Data collection and findings
At first 130 from companies has been considered
for this study, but the final sample contains only 110
listed companies as some of the companies have not
disclosed necessary information over investigated period. 80 companies have been randomly chosen from
FTSE 100. The companies have been investigated
for the period two periods: 2007-2008 and 2009-2010.
The structure of the sample is presented in Fig. 1.
50 companies have been randomly selected from firms
listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange. Only 30 were considered for the analysis as only those companies provide information about directors’ remuneration.
The structure of the sample is presented in Fig. 2. Descriptive statistics for each variable has been calculated
for the purpose of data analysis. To point out the inter
correlation among various measures Pearson’s Correlation has been used. To verify the significance
of the relation between CEO compensation and various
measures, linear regression has been used. Regression
47
models have been applied to identify relations between
CEO compensation and selected factors.
Within investigated UK listed companies, the minimum
full compensation was £900,000 as the highest £8,9m.
At the same, the same time the average basic salary
of CEO reached £981,000. Within Polish listed companies the minimum full compensation was PLN 2,8m
as the highest PLN 9,88m. At the same time the average basic salary of CEO reached PLN 865,000.
The data has been obtained through content analysis
of annual reports of selected companies.
Table 1, Table 2, Table 3 and Table 4 present correlation matrix between director’s compensation, firm size
(total assets), accounting factor (ROE) and market
factor (Tobin’s Q).
The research shows (see Table 1) that CEO compensation of UK based companies between 2007 and 2008 is
positively related with accounting factor (0,020) and
market factor (0,035), but negatively related with
and firm size (-0,15). Similar results have been obtained for 2009-2010. It shows that CEO remuneration
is positively related with accounting factor (0,022)
and market factor (0,035) though the relation with market factor is slightly lower than in previous years.
Table 1. Correlation matrix British companies for 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Factor
Remuneration
(total pay)
Firm size
(total assets)
Accounting Factor
(ROE)
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
Statistic
Remuneration
(total pay)
Firm size
(total assets)
Accounting
Factor (ROE)
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
Pearson Correlation
1
-0,015
0,020
0,035
Sig. (2-tailed)
-
0,823
0,783
0,628
N
80
80
80
80
Pearson Correlation
-0,015
1
-0,024
-0,215*
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,823
-
0,793
0,003
N
80
80
80
80
Pearson Correlation
0,020
-0,024
1
-0,038
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,783
0,793
-
0,598
N
80
80
80
80
Pearson Correlation
0,035
-0,215*
-0,038
1
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,628
0,003
0,598
-
N
80
80
80
80
*correlation is significant at the 0,01 level (2-tailed)
48
Agnieszka Herdan, Katarzyna Szczepańska
Table 2. Correlation matrix British companies for 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Factor
Remuneration
(total pay)
Firm size
(total assets)
Accounting Factor
(ROE)
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
Statistic
Remuneration
(total pay)
Firm size
(total assets)
Pearson Correlation
1
-0,023
Sig. (2-tailed)
-
0,892
N
80
80
Accounting
Factor
(ROE)
0,022
0,754
80
Pearson Correlation
-0,023
1
-0,032
-0,240*
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,892
-
0,777
0,003
N
80
80
80
80
Pearson Correlation
0,022
-0,032
1
-0,040
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,754
0,777
-
0,578
N
80
80
80
80
Pearson Correlation
0,045
-0,240*
-0,040
1
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,666
0,003
0,578
-
N
80
80
80
80
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
0,045
0,666
80
*correlation is significant at the 0,01 level (2-tailed)
Table 3 and 4 presents regression of CEO compensation on firm size. The results indicate that there
is positive correlation between directors’ compensation
and company size. The increase of total assets by 1 %
over the period of 2007-2008 results in 8% increase
of directors’ remuneration and by 11% over 2009-2010.
It is rather surprising that in the second period the correlation is so strong over the economy downturn (20092010). T–test value of the regression coefficient
of the constant is 2,213 in the first period and 3,333
in the second period. This is significant and the t–test
value of the regression coefficient of the independent
variable, which is firm size (total assets), in this case,
is 0,212 and 0,343 respectively.
In 2009-2010 negative relation between CEO compensation and firm size (-0,23) has been observe, which
is in line with previous year’s results. The impact
is stronger in comparison to the first set of research
and it is mainly due to the recession over the investigated period. Over the period of 2007-2008 the negative relation has been establish between company size
and accounting factor (-0,024) and company size versus
market factor (-0,215). Similar relation has been notice
over the 2009-2010 period although the relation
is slightly stronger (company size vs. accounting factor
(-0,032), company size vs. market factor (-0,240).
In both periods accounting factor (ROE) is negatively
related with market factor (Tobin’s Q) (2007-2008:
-0,038; 2009-2010: -0,040).
Table 3. Regression on directors’ compensation and firm size UK listed companies for 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Model
1 constant
Firm Size (total assets)
Unstandardised Coefficient
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
294,933
133,267
-
2,213
,028
,000
,001
,080
,212
,823
Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
49
Table 4. Regression on directors’ compensation and firm size UK listed companies for 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Model
Standardised
Coefficient
Unstandardised Coefficient
1 constant
B
Std. Error
256,988
122,277
,000
,01
Firm Size (total assets)
t
Sig.
-
3,333
,023
,11
,343
,799
Beta
Table 5. Correlation matrix Polish companies for 2007-2008
(source: own work)
N
Remuneration
(total pay)
1
30
Firm size
(total assets)
-0,022
0,833
30
Accounting
Factor (ROE)
0,027
0,773
30
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
0,028
0,688
30
Pearson Correlation
-0,022
1
-0,028
-0,225*
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,833
-
0,693
0,007
N
30
30
30
30
Accounting
Factor
Pearson Correlation
0,027
-0,028
1
-0,033
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,773
0,693
-
0,558
(ROE)
N
30
30
30
30
Pearson Correlation
0,028
-0,225*
-0,033
1
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,688
0,007
0,558
-
N
30
30
30
30
Factor
Remuneration
(total pay)
Firm size
(total assets)
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
Statistic
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
*correlation is significant at the 0,01 level (2-tailed)
Table 6. Correlation matrix Polish companies for 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Factor
Remuneration
(total pay)
Firm size
(total assets)
Accounting Factor
(ROE)
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
N
Remuneration
(total pay)
1
30
Firm size
(total assets)
-0,020
0,822
30
Accounting
Factor (ROE)
0,022
0,783
30
Market factor
(Tobin’s Q)
0,025
0,718
30
Pearson Correlation
-0,020
1
-0,022
-0,220*
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,822
-
0,683
0,004
N
30
30
30
30
Pearson Correlation
0,022
-0,022
1
-0,031
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,783
0,683
-
0,598
N
30
30
30
30
Pearson Correlation
0,025
-0,220*
-0,031
1
Sig. (2-tailed)
0,718
0,004
0,588
-
N
30
30
30
30
Statistic
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
*correlation is significant at the 0,01 level (2-tailed)
50
Agnieszka Herdan, Katarzyna Szczepańska
When examining the relation between CEO compensation between 2007 and 2008 of Polish listed companies
(see Table 5) a positive relation with accounting factor
(0,027) and market factor (0,028) can be seen but negative relation with firm size (-0,22). Similar results have
been obtained for 2009-2010. It shows that Polish CEO
remuneration is positively related with accounting factor (0,022) and market factor (0,025) though both relations are lower than in previous years.
In 2009-2010 negative relation between CEO compensation and firm size (-0,20) has been observe, which is
in line with previous years. Over the period of 20072008 the negative relation has been establish between
company size and accounting factor (-0,028) and company size versus market factor (-0,225).
Similar relation has been notice over the 2009-2010
period although the relation is slightly stronger (company size vs. accounting factor (-0,022), company size
vs. market factor (-0,220). In both periods, accounting
factor (ROE) is negatively related with market factor
(Tobin’s Q) (2007-2008: -0,033; 2009-2010: -0,031).
The regression of CEO compensation on firm size (see
Table 7 and Table 8) shows positive correlation
of 1,5% between directors’ compensation and company
size over the period of 2007-2008 and 4% positive
correlation over 2009-2010.
T-test value of the regression coefficient of the constant
is 2,111 in the first period and 2,233 in the second period. This is significant and the t–test value of the regression coefficient of the independent variable, which is
firm size (total assets), in this case, is 0,213 and 0,233
respectively.
The results obtain within Polish companies are very
similar to those noted when investigating British firms
and are in line with outcomes of studies
of Jansen et al. ([14], pp. 255-268), Baker et al. ([1],
pp. 593-616) or Rosen ([22], pp. 311-323). In earlier
studies, many scholars proved that CEO compensation
is positively related with firm size. However, there is
no clear indication about why firm size is correlated
positively with CEO compensation. Jensen et al. ([14],
pp. 593-616) assumed that maybe larger firms tend to
give higher remuneration regardless of CEO abilities.
Rosen ([22], pp. 311-323) has brought up similar conclusion. Baker et al. ([1], pp. 593-616) stress that usually there is greater pay performance sensitivity in larger
firms and lesser significance of pay performance sensitivity in smaller firms. This allows to conclude there is
that directors’ compensation is positively related with
firm size. Although it should be noted that further studies should be conducted to look for more factors underpinning this trend.
Table 7. Regression on directors’ compensation and firm size Polish listed companies for 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Model
1 constant
Firm Size (total assets)
Unstandardised Coefficient
B
Std. Error
222,113
122,227
,000
,001
Standardised
Coefficient
Beta
t
Sig.
-
2,113
,030
,015
,250
,823
Table 8. Regression on directors’ compensation and firm size Polish listed companies for 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Model
1 constant
Firm Size (total assets)
B
Std. Error
Standardised
Coefficient
Beta
236,111
111,707
-
2,233
,023
,000
,01
,040
,233
,722
Unstandardised Coefficient
t
Sig.
Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
There is positive a correlation between directors pay
and accounting factor within British companies (Table
9 and Table 10). The research indicate that 1% increase
in return on equity (accounting factor) over the period
of 2007-2008 increase directors compensation
by 2%.and by 3% over the period of 2009-2010. T-test
51
value of the regression coefficient of the constant is
2,254 and 2,355 respectively, which is significant.
The t–test value of the regression coefficient of the
independent variable (accounting factor/return on equity) is 0,275 and 0,255 respectively.
Table 9. Regression on director’s compensation and accounting factor within UK listed companies for 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Model
Unstandardised Coefficient
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1 constant
284,916
126,431
-
2,254
,025
Accounting Factor (ROE)
34,447
125,193
,020
,275
,783
Table 10. Regression on director’s compensation and accounting factor within UK listed companies for 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Model
Unstandardised Coefficient
B
Std. Error
1 constant
277,116
132,331
Accounting Factor (ROE)
24,117
121,281
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
2,355
,022
,255
,753
Beta
,03
Table 11. Regression on director’s compensation and accounting factor within Polish listed companies 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Model
Unstandardised Coefficient
B
Std. Error
1 constant
254,916
133,431
Accounting Factor (ROE)
14,447
123,182
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
2,154
,029
,225
,755
Beta
,010
Table 12. Regression on director’s compensation and accounting factor within Polish listed companies 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Model
Unstandardised Coefficient
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1 constant
263,618
123,233
-
2,554
,026
Accounting Factor (ROE)
15,336
133,812
,015
,233
,761
52
Agnieszka Herdan, Katarzyna Szczepańska
The results of Polish firms show similar results (see
Table 11 and Table 12). Positive relation has been established between directors pay and accounting factor.
Each increase in accounting factor by 1% impacted
directors’ compensation with the increase of 1% over
the 2007-2008 and 1,5% over 2009-2010. T-test value
of the regression coefficient of the constant is 2,154
and 2,554, which is significant and the t-test value
of the regression coefficient is 0,225 and 0,233 respectively.
The results within both countries are in line with outcomes obtained by Shim et al. ([25], pp. 93-116) within
high–tech and low–tech firm over the period of 19992001.
When looking at the links between directors’ compensation and market factor it can be noted that a positive
correlation exists between Tobin’s Q and directors’
remuneration within UK companies (Table 13 and
Table 14).
Table 13. Regression on director’s compensation and market factor within UK listed companies 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Model
Unstandardised Coefficient
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
B
Std. Error
Beta
1 constant
157,484
292,984
-
,538
,592
Market Factor (Tobin`s Q)
223,626
460,142
0,040
,468
,628
Table 14. Regression on director’s compensation and market factor within UK listed companies 2009-2010
(source: own work)
B
Std. Error
Standardised
Coefficient
Beta
1 constant
155,484
272,777
-
,558
,583
Market Factor (Tobin`s Q)
244,262
433,111
0,040
,466
,658
Model
Unstandardised Coefficient
t
Sig.
Table 15. Regression on director’s compensation and market factor within Polish listed companies 2007-2008
(source: own work)
Unstandardised
Coefficient
Model
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
-
,511
,555
0,020
,488
,633
B
Std. Error
Beta
1 constant
144,444
272,977
Makter Factor (Tobin`s Q)
209,222
401,421
Table 16. Regression on director’s compensation and market factor within Polish listed companies 2009-2010
(source: own work)
Unstandardised
Coefficient
Model
Standardised
Coefficient
t
Sig.
-
,577
,572
0,025
,488
,599
B
Std. Error
Beta
1 constant
1614,321
267,121
Makter Factor (Tobin`s Q)
222,343
422,333
Directors Remuneration and Companies’ Performance the Comparison …
The increase of Tobin’s Q by 1% increased director
pay by 4% in 2007-2008 and stay at the same level for
2009-2010. T-test value of the regression coefficient of
the constant is 0,538 and 0,558 respectively and is significant. The t-test of the regression coefficient of the
independent variable which is market factor (Tobin’s
Q) in this case, is 0,48 and 0,466 respectively.
For Polish companies the situation demonstrates
the same trend. The increase of Tobin’s Q by 1% boost
director pay by 2% in 2007-2008 and 2,5% 2009-2010.
T-test value of the regression coefficient of the constant
is 0,511 and 0,577 respectively, which is significant.
The t-test value of the regression coefficient of the
independent variable, which is market factor (Tobin’s
Q), in this case, is 0,488 and 0,511(see Table 15 and
Table 16).
The achieved results from Polish and British sample are
consistent with findings of Kato et al. ([15], pp. 1-19)
research on Japanese firms or Randøy et al. ([21], pp.
57-81) on Norwegian and Swedish firms. All this studies conclude positive that CEO compensation is positively related with market performance.
6
governance. It was disappointing that many Polish
listed companies do not publish information about directors’ remuneration. This force researcher to limit
the study to thirty companies only. It is hoped that
in the future Polish companies disclose more information about directors’ remuneration and it would be
possible to conduct wider analysis in this field.
7
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Looking at the area of directors’ compensation the
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53
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The Development of Production Management Concepts
55
THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS
Anna KOSIERADZKA*, Urszula KĄKOL**, Anna KRUPA***
Faculty of Management,
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
e-mail: *
[email protected]; **
[email protected]; ***
[email protected]
Abstract: The aim of this paper is the analysis of contemporary concepts used in production management
in relation to the paradigms which accompanied their appearance and development. The first chapter contains a definition of the term ‘paradigm’, discusses the importance of the paradigms for the development
of a scientific approach to management and lists examples of paradigms relevant to production management.
In the second chapter such management concepts as LM, Kaizen, TOC, TQM, TPM, Six Sigma and BPR are
presented, along with their respective old and new paradigms, main goals, fundamental rules and tools
(methods and techniques). Some less popular concepts are also dealt with. The last chapter is devoted
to an analysis of interactions between the analyzed concepts, with an emphasis on their mutual compatibility
and complementarity, which can be of benefit in the process of their implementation.
Key Words: Lean Management, Theory of Constraints, Kaizen, Total Quality Management, Six Sigma,
Business Process Re-engineering, Agile Manufacturing, Mass Customization, management paradigms,
production knowledge, management by projects.
1
Introduction
Each field of science develops through both revolutionary and evolutionary processes. Groundbreaking discoveries alternate with periods of gradual improvement
and consolidation of methods, techniques, research
and implementation tools. This is also the case in the
field of management. From time to time concepts
emerge which break with the old paradigms or modify
them substantially.
S. Nowosielski describes management concepts as
“(…) recipes for, or ideas of, management, which are
the result of interpretation and generalization of practical experience, coming from a certain area of an organization’s activity. They encompass a “soft” aspect,
related to the general idea (philosophy) and a “hard”
aspect, describing specific tools for realizing the company’s vision” ([36], p. 10).
The aim of this paper is to describe the key concepts
used nowadays in production management:
LM – Lean Manufacturing,
TOC – Theory of Constraints,
TQM – Total Quality Management,
Six Sigma,
TPM – Total Productive Maintenance,
Kaizen – continuous improvement,
BPR – Business Process Reengineering.
Other concepts dealt with here include: agile manufacturing, mass customization, management through projects and production knowledge management. These
concepts are still being developed in terms of the techniques and methods they employ.
Some authors point out that the increasing commercialization of management has created the necessity
for a critical perspective on the methods and concepts
popular these days: “management concepts marketed
by business consultants and gurus have a lot of weaknesses. Accepting them uncritically is, therefore, not
recommended.” ([53], p. 170).
The concepts selected for analysis in this paper have
proved to be successful in many countries, have been
described well in the literature and are generally recognized and applied in everyday management practices.
Emphasis has been placed on the use of these concepts
in production management, highlighting at the same
time their universal applicability and potential for use
in organization management in general, not only
for manufacturing.
New management concepts appear when in a given
economy new problems arise. In order to find the solution for them one has to be capable of looking at the
issue at hand from a different perspective, going beyond the entrenched conventions, which results
in stepping outside the current paradigm and creating
a new one.
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
56
This paper defines the concept of a paradigm
and presents examples of paradigms relevant in production management. Fundamental models applied in production management are described. The breakthrough
which accompanied their development is illustrated
by contrasting the new and the old paradigm. Each
model is characterized in terms of its fundamentals
and methods and techniques used.
Interrelationships between different models are shown,
which result from shared methods among other things.
In the conclusion, the case for simultaneous implementation of contemporary production management models
is made, as the compatibility of the models creates
potential for synergy.
2
Production management paradigms
The word ‘paradigm’ comes from Greek and means
“pattern, example” ([28], p. 457). It is a “a thought,
pattern, model, or approach generally accepted in a
given field” ([28], p. 457). The notion of paradigm in
the historical development of science was introduced
by TS. Kuhn, who defined it as “generally recognized
scientific achievements which at a given time provide
the scientific community with model problems and
solutions” ([27], p. 12). Kowalczewski defines paradigm as “a model generally accepted by the scientific
community of a given time and widely used” ([26], p.
24).
Many authors discuss the issue of paradigm changes
in management science, particularly in relation to
the novel view of organization as networked and virtual, the novel roles of directors (as leaders, coaches)
([35], p. 11), or the development of a knowledge and
e-commerce based economy ([12], p. 13-14).
There are many management paradigms, which have
been modified over the course of time. As a result
of the world economy evolving towards globalization,
it seems necessary to embrace the need for speed, agility and continuous changes. It is brought about not only
by focusing on customer needs, but also by growing
competition from fast developing Asian countries. Table 1 illustrates traditional paradigms and examples
of new ones, with particular emphasis on production
management.
The most important changes in production management
paradigms will be discussed in the remainder of this
paper.
Table 1. Examples of traditional and new production management paradigms
(source: self study on the basis of [18, p. 193])
Aspects
Traditional paradigms
New paradigms
Strategic management
5 years
1-2 years
Tactic management
2-3 years
6-18 months
Operational management
3 months
1 week
Freezed master schedule
3 months
1week
Freezed operational schedule
1 month
1 day
Machine inspection
Once a week
Continuous monitoring
Equipment modernization
Once worn out
Once outdated
Training
On the job, irregular
Off-the-job, professional, regular
Roles and positions
Narrow specialization
Wide-range of employees’ qualifications
Production flow
Continuous, sequential
Discrete, parallel
Planning
Adjustive planning
Reacting to market needs, adaptive,
forecasting
The Development of Production Management Concepts
3
57
Lean Manufacturing is based on five lean approach
rules ([51], p. 16-26):
Paradigm change as the basis of concepts
used in production management
assessing the product’s value from the client’s
needs perspective;
2) identifying value stream for each product;
3) ensuring smooth value flow in production process;
1)
3.1
Lean Manufacturing
old paradigm
production effectiveness
achieved through
mass production (specialization, economies
of scale, taylorism)
new paradigm
production effectiveness
achieved through lean
manufacturing based
on waste elimination
ensuring a pull production system;
5) striving for perfection through continuous improvement.
4)
Their brief description as well as supportive methods
and techniques are shown in Table 2.
One of the main principles of Lean Manufacturing is
elimination of waste. It is possible thanks to the identification of activities ([51], p. 20):
Lean Manufacturing is a conception which views use
of resources for anything other than creating value
for the customer as a waste. It allows the production
of a greater amount of products while using fewer resources, hence “lean” ([44], p. 19). In contrast
to the traditional approach, based on extensive use
of production capacity, LM assumes that only what
is needed is produced. This way system productivity,
as well as product quality, and customer service improve. The main differences between the traditional and
the lean approach are illustrated in Fig. 1.
value adding,
non-value adding, but necessary - indispensible
to the process (muda of the Type One),
waste - non-value adding and dispensable (muda
of the Type Two).
In the literature 7 main types of waste (Jap. muda) are
mentioned whose elimination results in the increase
of enterprise productivity ([20], p. 75): overproduction,
inventory, defects (repair/rejects), motion, processing,
waiting, transportation.
Traditional approach
Lean approach
Extensive use of
production capacity
Manufacture only
what is needed
(needed amount and products)
Maximizing
production at each
step of the process
Increase in the
number of
stoppages due to
different problems
Low use of
production
capacity but…
High inventory
levels obscure faults
and problems
Production surplus
guarantees process
continuity
No production
surplus providing
inventory for
ongoing production
Figure 1. Traditional vs. lean approach to manufacturing
(source: self study)
The number of
stoppages due to
different problems
decreases
Low inventory levels
reveal problems,
which are then
solved
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
58
Table 2. Lean principles and techniques supporting them
(source: self study on the basis of ([25], pp. 67-7; [32], p. 108 and [52], p. 39)
Principle
Description
Techniques
1)
Value
Can be only defined by the customer. Only has a meaning when
it is being considered in terms of a specific product, which
fulfils customer's needs at a specific price and at a specific time.
Voice of the customer, value
engineering (VE), value analysis,
2)
The value
stream
The set of actions required to bring a product through
the critical management processes of the business.
Value Stream Mapping (VSM)
3)
Flow
Requires a fundamental change in thinking for everyone
involved, as functions and departments that once served
as the categories for organizing work must give way to specific
products.
One Piece Flow, SMED, Heijunka,
TPM- Total Productive Mainenace
4)
Pull
No upstream function or department should produce a good or
service until the customer downstream asks for it.
Supermarket, kanban, JIT delivery
5)
Perfection
Processes in the company and its organization must be
improved all the time. There is always something more to do
to achieve perfection which is actually unreachable.
Muda elimination, Visual Control,
5S, Poka–Yoke, self-control, SPC,
standardization, problem solving,
PDCA cycle
3.2
Kaizen
old paradigm
enterprise competitiveness growth mainly
through innovation
taking decisions and
knowledge are the director’s domain – hierarchical management
3)
new paradigm
enterprise competitiveness
growth mainly through
continuous improvement
of processes by small steps
using expert employees’
knowledge, teamwork in
solving problems, delegating authority
The Kaizen approach comes from Japan and reflects
Oriental culture and way of thinking. Kaizen became
widely popular in the West after the publication
of Masaaki Imai’s book “Kaizen: The Key to Japan’s
Competitve Success” in 1986.
Kaizen in Japanese means improvement (Jap. “kai” –
change, “zen” – good). It denotes an approach focused
on continuous improvement of the current conditions.
It is done through small, gradual changes in processes,
which accumulated over time make a substantive difference ([48], p. 2). Kaizen is underpinned by three
main goals ([19], p. 128):
1)
2)
employees are the most important resource
of the enterprise;
processes should evolve through gradual improvements rather than radical change;
improvements to be made are decided on the basis
of a quantitative assessment of the results of particular processes.
The key principles of Kaizen are as follows ([20],
pp. 2-7):
maintaining and improving standards – maintaining
relies on Kaizen activities, improving can be analyzed as either Kaizen or innovation,
orientation towards processes – improving a process
is fundamental to improving results,
applying PDCA (plan, do, check, act) and SDCA
cycles (standardize, do, check, act) – PDCA serves
to establish new, better standards, SDCA is used
to consolidate them and stabilize the level of results
achieved,
quality is number one priority – the main goals
of the enterprise are related to quality,
using data – referring to current data when solving
a problem,
the next process is the client – differentiation between the external client (in the market) and internal
client (in the enterprise),
engagement of all employees, management and
rank-and-file employees alike.
Fig. 2 shows Kaizen and innovation concepts as well as
how to achieve a radical improvement in a short time
thanks to alternating between innovating and enhancing
achieved standards using PDCA and SDCA cycles.
The Development of Production Management Concepts
59
Results
A
P
C
D
KAIZEN
A
P
C
D
A
S
C
D
S
C
D
Symbols:
Desired state
Innovation
KAIZEN
+
+
A
Innovation
A
P
C
D
Actual state
State as the result
of KAIZEN
A
P
C
D
State as the result
of innovation
Time
Figure 2. Innovations and Kaizen
(source: self study on the basis of [21], p. 29 and p. 64)
The basic idea of Kaizen is to introduce small, gradual
changes. The opposite is sudden radical changes called
innovations (including product, process, marketing,
or organizational innovations). Daily practices are
aimed at maintaining the achieved level. However,
in reality the level decreases due to failing to observe
standards.
Kaizen allows for improvement of the achieved level
through small, gradual enhancements as in the SDCA
cycle. This approach complements the one based
on innovations and vice versa. Thanks to using Kaizen
it is possible to enhance the processes usually up
to a certain level. The next improvement requires introducing completely new solutions and that is when innovation is needed. Hence, both approaches, although
based on different assumptions, are mutually complementary.
The Kaizen philosophy assumes that all employees are
involved in the improvement process ([21], p. 12).
Rank-and-file employees are seen as the main source
of knowledge about how to carry out the work in the
right way, the problem and the solutions to it.
They have the greatest detailed knowledge about the
problem – the higher up in the management the better is
the employee’s general knowledge of the situation and
the less extensive their detailed knowledge. Hence
the importance of increasing employee’s authority,
which is linked to the increase of responsibility
and ability to take decisions in case of disturbances
and clashes in the process.
Kaizen is supported by a range of methods and tools
which make up the so called “Kaizen umbrella”
([21], p. 9). It includes such approaches as: Total Quality Control (TQC), suggestion system, Total Productive
Maintenance (TPM), Kanban, Just-in-Time (JIT),
as well as Zero Defects (poka-yoke). This shows the
interdependence between Kaizen and other concepts
used in production management, such as TQM
(an extension of TQC), TPM and Lean Manufacturing
(based on JIT).
3.3
Theory of Constraints
old paradigm
every resource not used is
a waste; one should strive
to maximize the use of all
resources
new paradigm
only the resource which is
the constraint cannot be
left unused; use of resources which are not
critical does not affect
throughput of the production system
Theory of Constraints (TOC) is a concept created
by E. Goldratt, which is based on the premise that
the organization, like a chain, is as good as its weakest
(not strongest) link. The fundamental notion in TOC
is a constraint, defined as “anything which constrains
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
60
the system in achieving better results regarding its
goal” ([45], p. 385).
There are three main constraints categories ([45],
pp. 388-389):
physical constraints (bottlenecks) – resource or resources, which physically constrain the achievement
of the goals of the system,
policy – rules and measurements used to manage
the enterprise,
paradigms, basic assumptions, beliefs, values
and principles underpinning the conception and development of the enterprises’ policy.
The following principles of the Theory of Constraints
can be formulated:
1) every organization has only a few constraints,
elimination of which leads to radical improvement
of results;
2) continuous system improvement is based on the
POOGI (Process of Ongoing Improvement) - consisting of the following steps: what should be
changed? what should be the result of the change?
how should the change be made?
3) searching for improvements is a 5-step process:
(a) identifying the constraint,
(b) exploiting the constraint,
(c) subordinating all other resources and activities
to the constraint,
(d) elevating the constraint,
(e) returning to step (a) to complete the cycle
of continuous development.
Now the Theory of Constraints is a complex approach
to organization management, covering [8]:
1) tools for identifying constraints and solving problems, so called logical thinking tools;
2) a range of area-specific applications, often comput-
er-aided, enabling effective constraints management
in such areas as:
(a) production management – DBR (Drum-Buffer
-Rope) model,
(b) distribution management,
(c) project management – Critical Chain model,
(d) sales management,
(e) marketing;
3) human Resources management;
4) global and local measurements system, enabling
financial decisions to be taken;
5) systematic method of creating the company’s strategy and tactics, directed at a radical improvement
of results.
TOC application for production management is called
Drum-Buffer-Rope. Its consecutive steps use both tools
(methods and techniques) specific to TOC and tools
belonging to other concepts.
Identifying the constraint is the starting point, because
the constraint affects the size of the production output.
The decision about the way of constraint exploitation is
aimed at increasing its production capacity. At this
stage all methods of enabling the increase of production
flow at the bottleneck are used, e.g.: eliminating all
operations involving the bottleneck which can be done
using different resources, minimizing the bottleneck
changeover times (e.g. by using the SMED method),
prioritizing the bottleneck regarding all maintenance
support, making sure that no low quality materials get
to the bottleneck and so on. The result of all these activities is “the drum”, i.e. the schedule maximizing
the use of the bottleneck capacity.
The buffer and the rope allow for subordinating to the
constraint almost every process in the enterprise related
to production planning, materials purchase, or shipment
of finished products. The buffer serves to guarantee
the realization of the bottleneck work schedule even
when there are disturbances resulting from random
fluctuations in the process, e.g. delay in the completion
of the previous operation. The rope in turn is a mechanism for identifying the moment of moving the material
to the first operation of the production process so that
the right amount of intermediate products reaches
the bottleneck in time. The concept of Drum-BufferRope method is shown in Fig. 3.
Elevating the constraint should be considered only after
exploiting all the potential of the constraint. When
there are still possibilities of increasing sales (market
is not a constraint) elevating constraint can be done
through increasing its throughput, e.g. by buying a new
machine. Returning to step one completes a cycle
of continuous development – the same procedure
is repeated for a new constraint.
The Development of Production Management Concepts
61
Material M3
Product P
Material M1
Shipping
Schedule
(drum)
CCR
Material M2
Production
schedule for
CCR (drum)
Rope
Operation
Shipping buffer (time)
Assembly
Material
stock
Operation made on CCR (Capacity
Constraint Resource)
Constraint buffer (time)
Figure 3. Drum-Buffer-Rope
(source: self study)
3.4
TQM is based on 5 principles ([9], p. 30):
TQM
1) focusing on clients – there are external clients
old paradigm
product-orientated
new paradigm
client-orientated,
identifying internal
and external customers
the responsibility for
quality is with the quality
control department
the responsibility for
quality is with every
employee
TQM (Total Quality Management) comes directly
from the Japanese concepts of TQC (Total Quality
Control) and CWQC (Company Wide Quality Control).
They were adapted for the USA and then spread in the
West. One of the main authors of TQM is William
Edwards Deming, who created 14 principles of quality
management.
TQM is an approach to enterprise management which
views enterprise operations as a process in need
of improvements in order to satisfy client’s needs.
It is possible through engaging all employees in matters
of quality. In other words, TQM is an approach to the
management of the enterprise as a whole in order
to achieve its excellence [1].
(the recipients of the final product) and internal clients (the organization’s employees who receive the
intermediate product);
2) continuous improvement (Kaizen) – continuous
improvement of the processes to satisfy clients;
3) focusing on facts – decisions should be taken based
on facts, which is possible thanks to the use
of a constant measurement, observation, and datacollection system;
4) common involvement – the requirement of all
the employees being involved in quality matters;
5) management involvement – informs and shows the
employees that quality matters are of utmost importance.
Some mention as many as 8 principles relating
to TQM, introduced by ISO 9000:2000 as principles
of quality management. These principles are as follows
([41], p. 17):
client orientation;
2) leadership;
3) employees’ involvement;
1)
4)
process approach;
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
62
5)
system approach to management;
6)
continuous improvement;
7)
factual approach to decision making;
8)
mutually beneficial supplier relationships.
Principles (4), (5) and (8) are those added to the traditionally recognized ones. These principles negate the so
called traditional approach to quality, realized first
as quality inspection, then quality control and finally
quality assurance. The old and new attitudes to quality
are contrasted in Table 3.
TQM is a concept relevant to both production management and quality management. It is supported
by a range of methods and tools applicable to both
these areas ([6], pp. 116-120):
traditional TQM tools: 7 old quality tools, 7 new
quality tools, 7 supporting quality tools,
methods of quality planning: DOE (Design of Experiments), FMEA (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis), Taguchi method and QFD (Quality Function
Deployment),
methods of quality improvement: FMEA (Failure
Mode and Effects), SPC (Statistical Process Control).
3.5
TPM
old paradigm
responsibility for the
technical condition of
machines is with the
maintenance department
new paradigm
responsibility for the technical condition of machines
is with everyone
TPM (Total Productive Maintenance) is a strategy
of maximization of total effectiveness of machines
and equipment. It prescribes continuous improvement
of equipment with active involvement of employees
responsible for the workplace and maintenance
([11], p. 158). In contrast to the traditional approach,
in which it is the maintenance department who are
responsible for the condition of the machines, TPM
proposes that it is the machine operator who knows
best how the machine works and how to keep it in the
best condition.
The five pillars of TPM are ([46], p.11-12):
1)
planned maintenance system, introducing three
types of maintenance: preventive, modernizing and
diagnostic;
2)
autonomous maintenance done by the machine
operators;
improvement activities aiming at improving
the efficiency of machines;
4) preventing repairs through a system of designing
and selecting machines;
3)
5)
training system for employees involved in TPM.
Progress in TPM is measured mainly by calculating
OEE (Overall Equipment Effectiveness), which is
a measurement linking machines availability, their
performance and the quality of the manufacturing process. It is calculated by multiplying these three. OEE is
improved mainly by eliminating Six Big Losses, presented in Table 4.
Table 3. The old and new approach to quality
(source: [1], p. 25)
Factors
Old approach
New approach – TQM
Orientation
Towards the product
Towards the customer
Decisions
Short-term
Based on intuition and beliefs
Long-term
Based on facts and data
Focus on
Identifying mistakes
Preventing mistakes
Responsibility for quality
Quality control department
All employees
Problem solving
Managers individually
All employees as a team
The role of the manager
Planning, controlling, executing
Delegating authority, coaching
The Development of Production Management Concepts
63
Table 4. Six Big Losses in TPM
(source: self study on the basis of [50], p. 5 and [52])
Six big losses
Category
Examples
Down time loss
Unplanned maintenance
Machine breakdowns
Setups and adjustments
Down time loss
Adjustments
Setup/Changeover
Material shortages
Awaiting work and small stops
Speed loss
Obstructed component flow
Delivery blocked
Control
Reduced speed
Speed loss
Rough Running
Equipment Wear
Operator Inefficiency
Startup rejects
Quality loss
Production rejects
Quality loss
Breakdowns
Repairing defects
Rework
In-process damage
Incorrect assembly
In order to support the implementation of TPM
the following tools are used ([47], pp. 111-132):
graphs showing machines performance metrics,
including OEE metric, radar graphs,
tools for identifying and solving problems: ParetoLorenz’s diagram, Ishikawa diagram etc.,
statistical tools, including histograms, SPC control
charts,
5S practices,
waste elimination,
PDCA cycle and standardization of best practices
visual control,
quick changeovers: SMED,
FMEA templates – Failure Mode and Effects
Analysis.
TPM is the leading approach used in production management in enterprises in continuous operation such
as energy and metallurgical plants, as well as food
business operators, pharmaceutical and chemical companies, and paper manufacturers, because their productivity depends first of all on the efficiency of their
machines, equipment and complex manufacturing installations.
3.6
Calculating OEE
Availability
Actual efficiency
Product quality metric
Six Sigma
old paradigm
quality assurance programs are focused
on detecting
and correcting defects
new paradigm
there are methods
of carrying out processes
which prevent defects
from coming about
It is very difficult to capture the essence of Six Sigma
so that it can be characterized by means of one paradigm, because it is actually an extension of TQM.
There are many definitions of Six Sigma, among them
the following one: “Six Sigma is a complex and flexible system of achieving, maintaining and increasing
success in business. It is characterized by understanding customer needs and using facts, data and statistical
analysis results. It is aimed at managing, streamlining
and improving solutions related to processes of the
organization.” ([24], p.193).
The essence of Six Sigma is quality management based
on the measurement of results ([16], p. 193). Six Sigma
is focused on defining the metrics of customer satisfaction at every stage of the process. These metrics are
the reference in streamlining the process. The synthetic
metric of the process level is the so-called sigma value,
which is related to the DPMO metric (defects per million opportunities). The process is at level 4 if the
number of defects per million opportunities is not
greater than 6210 (see Table 4).
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
64
The basis for improving processes in Six Sigma is the
understanding of variation and the ability to identify
general and specific causes of variation. There are three
main sources of variation, which are interdependent
([17], p.142):
incorrect margin of error assumed at the stage
of product and process planning (setting tolerance
limits),
variation related to intermediate products and materials provided by external suppliers,
limited ability of own production processes to satisfy customer demands regarding critical quality parameters.
deviations from target values to be detected (see
Fig. 4).
A commonly used and effective method of carrying out
Six Sigma projects is the improvement process based
on DMAIC cycle. The cycle is supported by different
tools used in specific phases (see Table 6).
Recently, the Six Sigma concept has been associated
with Lean Management philosophy. They have come
together as the Lean Six Sigma approach focused
on creating a “lean” process, free from variation, as
well as customer-oriented products. Six Sigma consists
of the following elements ([31], p. 7):
Product development – covering product and process planning,
An integral element of Six Sigma is carrying out detailed measurements (by SPC, Statistical Process Control, among other methods), which allow general
and specific causes of variations to be identified,
and improvement projects aimed at the reduction
and/or elimination of variations to be carried out.
Lean Management – focused on waste reduction
and process cost cuts,
TQM – process management and optimization,
ISO – aimed at standardization and optimization
of processes.
The basis of all Six Sigma projects is data allowing
changes in customer needs and demands as well as all
Table 5. The sigma quality level versus DPMO number
(source: self study on the basis of [37], p. 28)
Sigma quality level
The maximum number of DPMO
(defects per million opportunities)
The percentage of quality criteria-compatible
products in the overall number of manufactured
products
PROCESS
VOICE
1
2
3
4
5
6
697 700
308 537
66 807
6 210
233
3,4
30,9
69,2
93,3
99,4
99,98
99,9997
Statistical methods
CUSTOMER
PROCESS
IMPROVEMENTS
INPUT
People
Equipment
Materials
Methods
Evironment
OUTPUT
Products
Services
Change in customer needs
Figure 4. Six Sigma improvements process model
(source: self study)
The Development of Production Management Concepts
65
Table 6. DMAIC cycle and its tools
(source: self study on the basis of [31])
Cycle phase
Description
Tools used
Defining projects, problems, measurements, reference levels, aspects critical
to quality.
Customer Voice Chart, Kano Model, CTQ Matrix/CTB
Matrix, Cause-and-Effects (Ishikawa) Diagram, QFD,
Pareto Chart.
M – measure
Measuring the current state of the key
process, establishing and verifying
the process measurement system.
Measurement Matrix, Data Source Analysis, Gage
R&R, Graphs and Charts, Process Capability Calculations, Data Collection Forms, Measurement System
Analysis, Statistic Plot and Parameters, Histogram,
Control Chart, Scatter Plot.
A – analyze
Statistical data analysis allowing
the most important factors affecting
the defined critical aspect to be identified.
Cause-and-Effects (Ishikawa) Diagram, Process
Mapping, Value-Stream Map, Spaghetti Diagram,
Value Analysis, Time Analysis, DoE – Design of Experiments, Histogram, Correlation, ANOVA.
I – improve
Improvement in order to reduce the level
of defects and deviations.
TOC, 5S, SMED, Pull System, Poka Yoke, TPM,
Creativity Techniques, Tools for Selecting Solutions,
Implementations Planning.
C – control
Controlling aimed at maintaining the
achieved quality level.
Process Documentation, Monitoring/Control Charts
(SPC), Reaction Plan, Checklist for the Control Phase,
Project Closure
D – define
3.7
Process approach and Business Process Reengineering
old paradigm
division of labor
according to functions –
optimization of results
within functions
and specializations
functional specialization
leads to efficiency and
quality growth
new paradigm
local optimization (within
functions) does not lead to
whole system optimization,
because key results are
related to interdependence
among different functions
the process approach integrates product and process
planning, manufacturing
and after-purchase service
Business Process Re-engineering (BPR) was created
as a response to the changes in industry in the 90s:
fierce competition, growing customer expectations, and
technology development, especially in the IT field.
M. Hammer and J. Champy, the authors of BPR, say
this methodology means “The fundamental rethinking
and radical redesign of business processes to bring
about dramatic improvements in performance.”
([15], p. 3).
BPR assumes a transformation of functional, hierarchical structures into horizontal process structures.
The changes happening within the organization are
revolutionary and radical in character. This has been
the reason why many attempts at BPR-based organizational transformation have actually failed. Still, BPR
foregrounded the importance of the process, which led
to the conception of the process approach.
The process approach, known also as horizontal
or systemic, means the organization is focused on the
processes within it. This approach is the opposite of the
traditional approach to organization management,
called vertical or functional. Rummler G. and
Brache A. described a phenomenon, characteristic
of the functional management approach, known as the
silos effect ([43], p. 32-33). Silos – tall buildings with
thick walls and no windows - appear around functional
departments and make it difficult - or at lower organizational levels even impossible - to solve problems
shared by more than one department.
66
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
As Rummler G. and Brache A. write ([4]3, p. 32-33):
“The silo effect means that managers of a higher rank
are forced to deal with problems of lower ranks and are
thus driven away from tackling more serious issues
connected to customers and competitors. Rank and file
employees who could deal with these problems themselves do not take full responsibility for results and see
their own role as merely carrying our instruction and
providing information. “(…) However, optimization
at the department level only leads to worsening (suboptimization) of the results of the organization as
a whole.” The silo effect does not appear in organizations managed in accordance with the process approach.
Efforts made to improve quality and customer satisfaction led to a change in the approach from vertical
to horizontal. It was recognized that fundamental problems appear on the border between functional departments: procurement, production, sales, quality control,
and maintenance departments. This was pointed out by
Rummler [43, p. 35]: “(…) the greatest opportunities
to increase productivity often lie at the border between
different departments – at the points where the buck
(e.g. production specifications) is passed from one
department to another. Problems of this kind can only
be solved when process-oriented thinking is applied”.
Changes which resulted in production process-oriented
thinking started at Toyota plants: the famous one-piece
flow. The concept of Lean Manufacturing is in its essence a methodology of process-oriented management.
The characteristics of process-oriented management
can be summarized as follows ([7], p. 285-286):
focus on process results and process management,
restructuring (improvement) of processes regarding
QCDF (quality, costs, deadlines, flexibility),
focus on value stream, identifying operations adding
value (for the customer), reduction of non-value
adding but indispensible operations, elimination
of waste,
the owner of the process, processes simplified,
but the tasks of individual employees more complex, enforcing human resources development,
regulation of process operation through the introduction of the customer (external/internal) – supplier relation,
horizontal communication, reduction of hierarchical
levels, one coordinator (process owner).
Changes to process-oriented thinking should take place
in the following areas ([49], p. 225):
manufacturing processes – combining functions
such as: research, development, distribution into one
process,
product development – cooperation of experts from
different departments of the enterprise,
internal and external relations – including suppliers
and customers in the product development process,
creating teams – creating interdepartmental teams
to work on streamlining processes.
There is a range of methods and techniques supporting
the above activities in restructuring production processes:
Tools for process mapping, value-stream mapping
“from door to door” in the factory,
Kanban pull system,
SPC statistical process control,
Poka-yoka - mistake proofing,
Deming cycle (PDCA and SDCA).
The process approach is used not only for restructuring
production processes, but for changing all business
processes and for all organizations, not only production
enterprises.
3.8
Other concepts applied in production
management
Some other concepts should be mentioned here which
are less often used due to their limited applicability,
or the generality of their character and lack
of developed methods and specific techniques facilitating their implementation.
3.8.1 Agile manufacturing (AM)
Agile manufacturing is characterized as a strategy directed at the development of organization capacities
so that the organization can function better ([42], p. 8).
It is described as the next stage of development
in production management methodology after LM.
The biggest difference between these concepts is that
while LM assumes that changes can take some years
to happen and cooperation with suppliers requires time,
AM authors say that changes result from strong competition on the market and should be made as soon as the
need arises ([42], p. 5).
The Development of Production Management Concepts
AM is based on two key principles:
innovative alliances with suppliers, customers and
other producers in order to add value for
the customer,
investing in flexible and modern production technologies.
The aim of agile manufacturing is an almost immediate
delivery of small batches satisfying customer needs
[14]. Hence it is applied in mass, repetitive, and serial
production.
AM can use methods and techniques of other production management concepts, such as LM or TOC. However, it has its own tools as well ([42], p. 10-11):
transactional analysis: based on research into the
organization’s functioning; allows gaps to be detected in the development of the enterprise and
points out the direction of development,
activity/cost chain: allows activities carried out
in the enterprise to be linked with specific costs;
knowing the cost allows the improvements introduced to be assessed,
organization maps: serve to picture cooperation with
suppliers; can be particularly useful when planning
new products,
key characteristics: created for high profile products; serve to specify customer demands and cater
for them at the construction and production stage,
contact chains: link key characteristics with product
structure.
Agile manufacturing is very closely linked to
CE (Concurrent Engineering) or SE (Simultaneous
Engineering), which are methods of simultaneous development of the concept of the product, its construction, manufacturing processes, starting and adjusting
production. It reduces the length of the product manufacturing process and minimizes costs. Organizationwise it means creating interdisciplinary expert teams
who are responsible for quickly introducing the product
to the market. These techniques cover ([10], p. 184):
creating an innovative product concept and construction planning,
quick prototyping and testing prototypes,
production processes planning,
quick manufacturing of special tools and equipment,
quick single product manufacturing.
67
3.8.2 Mass customization (MC)
Mass customization is a new management concept
based on the integration of mass production with production fulfilling an individual customer’s expectations. It entails translating customer needs into
a finished product, which is produced and delivered
in a short time with production efficiency being high
([2], p. 7). It requires craft production to be combined
with modern manufacturing technologies ([5], p. 2).
This is achieved thanks to modular product construction and using a flexible production system. Table 7
contrasts MC with mass production.
The methods and techniques of this approach include
[2] and ([3], pp. 228-229):
voice of the customer,
product portfolios,
SMED – quick changeovers,
value analysis,
concurrent manufacturing.
It should be noted that the methods used within this
approach are not fully formalized and characterized.
This is a result of both the short history of AM application and attempts at adjusting known methods
and techniques to use within it.
3.8.3 Management by projects
The concepts used in production management which
were outlined above are relevant mainly for mass and
serial production, that is production which is repetitive
in a more or less regular way. There are however many
enterprises which offer unique products, e.g. construction companies, shipyards, enterprises providing complex production installations, as well as IT companies
providing dedicated IT systems or adjusting standard
systems for the customer. Such enterprises should be
managed through projects, because they simultaneously
carry out a range of projects, which appear unrelated
but use the same resources.
A project is characterized by carrying out a sequence
of activities in order to achieve unique results
in a specific timeframe ([33], p. 20-21). Projects have
specific deadlines and are usually unique. “Project
management” could be defined as ([23], p. 18-19):
planning (what should be done), organizing (how this
should be done), implementation (realization of
planned activities), and control (maintaining the direc-
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
68
tion which was set out). “Management by projects”
covers managing multiple projects at the same time
and includes ([7], p. 333): defining values, specifying
priorities, solving conflicts between projects, as well as
defining organizational structure and the rules of its
functioning.
The concepts of project management and management
by projects evolve in time. The key change tendencies
are illustrated in Table 8.
The concept of management by projects also constantly
evolves. In the literature one can find characteristics
of concepts linking project management with many
modern management methods. In “Lean Projects Leadership” [29] the authors suggest combining the principles popularized by PMI (Project Management InstiInstitute) in PMBOKTM Guide with LM, TOC (Critical
Chain application), and Six Sigma.
Table 7. Mass production versus mass customization
(source: self study on the basis of [40], pp. 47)
Aspects
Mass production
Mass customization
Focus
Efficiency through stability and production
control
Customization through flexibility and capacity for quick
reaction
Aim
Development, production, marketing, and
shipping done so that costs and prices are
kept low
Development, production, marketing, and shipping done
so that variety satisfying customer needs is maintained
Main
principles
- Stable demand
- Vast, homogenous market
- Low costs, satisfactory quality,
standardization of products and services
- Long product development cycles
- Long product cycles
- Fragmented demand
- Heterogeneous market
- Low costs, high quality, products and services
adjusted to customer needs
- Short product development cycles
- Short product cycles
Table 8. Changes in project management in the direction of management by projects
(source: self study on the basis of [7], p. 318-319 and [29], p. 1.2-1)
Aspects
From
To
Project size
Small
Big, complex
Project length
Short (a few days)
Long (a few years)
Production type
One-off production clearly separated
from repetitive, serial production
Blurring of differences, a growth in the number of projects realized by the enterprise
Organizational
structure
Functional, matrix
Horizontal, task-based
Hierarchical structure destabilized
Management type
Classic
Management by projects
Project definition
Project as the source of over employment
and fluctuation of managers
Multiple projects = complexity of management + necessity for flexibility
and reactiveness + autonomy
Project manager role
Little knowledge of project manager’s
function
The role of project manager is appreciated
Methods
and techniques
Gantt and PERT graphs, CPM method,
computer programs for project management
(e.g. MSProject, P2Ware Planner)
Using modern techniques with emphasis
on human factors. Additionally, modern tools
such as Intranet and Extranet are used
Knowledge
accumulation
Knowledge accumulates in the project
manager’s head
Unique experiences
The necessity for capitalizing knowledge
and experience through the use of IT networks
and databases
Workplace
Chaotic
Focused on projects and their flow
The Development of Production Management Concepts
3.8.4 Production knowledge management
The classic strand of management was underpinned
by the assumption that an enterprise can be managed
as an object, a collection of human and material resources. Knowledge management is focused on the
immaterial resource of knowledge and is a response
to changing business conditions such as virtualization
of business activities and increasing importance
of information processes.
Knowledge management ([22], p. 20) is understood as
a process of acquiring, developing, codifying, distributing and using information, knowledge, and experience, allowing for future growth of the enterprise
drawing
on its technological and human resources. It is widely
applied in production enterprises thanks to the potential
of project, process, and organizational innovation that
it offers.
69
For the sake of this paper the focus is on a specific type
of knowledge identified by production enterprises –
production knowledge. This knowledge is used mainly
at the operational and tactical level, and to a lesser
extent at the strategic level. Production knowledge is
knowledge about products, production systems and
processes, as well as ways of manufacturing. These
elements of production knowledge are stored either
in a structured form as, among other things, plans, instructions, procedures, and standards, or in an unstructured form. Production knowledge includes knowledge
about the best practices in production preparation
and planning, in particular in the areas of planning,
organizing, leading, and controlling production.
The production management process, including production knowledge resources, can be presented as in
Figure 5.
Acquiring and developing production
knowledge
Using production knowledge
PRODUCTION KNOWLEDGE
MANAGEMENT CYCLE
Codifying production knowledge
Distributing production knowledge
PRODUCTION KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
Production processes
knowledge
- principles of process
design
- elements of process
struktures
Production systems
knowledge
- information on system
production capacities
- workstations
characteristics
- standards of technical
parameters
Product knowledge
- product construction
characteristics
- production plan (number
of items and finishing
deadlines)
Figure 5. Production knowledge management cycle
(source: self study on the basis of [22], p. 20 and [39], p. 372)
Manufacturing ways
knowledge
- collections of best
practices
- technological
documentation
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
70
The importance of knowledge management is recognized by the managers of production enterprises. This
is linked to the appreciation of such characteristics
of knowledge as the fact that it ages, quickly becomes
outdated and is at risk of being losing. At the same time
knowledge is a resource which increases with time.
In production organizations two fundamental types
of knowledge are identified:
Production knowledge management is a concept which
supports other concepts of production management
and is based on them. The experience acquired while
streamlining production processes and the documents
created when applying particular methods enrich production knowledge. Table 9 shows tools used
at particular stages of knowledge management.
explicit knowledge – clearly defined, systematized,
coherent, objective, rational and presented formally,
4
tacit knowledge – intuitive, subjective, experiential, not formalized ([38], p. 45-46).
Many authors [34, 36, 4 and 11] point out the dynamic
development of management tools, their interchangeability, complementarity, and the need for systematization.
Tacit knowledge is difficult to manage, because it is the
individual knowledge of each employee. It is possible
to transform knowledge from tacit to explicit
([13], p. 79-80), which facilitates management processes.
Interactions between modern management
concepts
Table 9. Tools for production knowledge management
(source: self study)
Stages of production
knowledge management
Tools for production knowledge management
-
Acquiring
and developing
production knowledge
-
Tools for examining process sequence: Process Chart, Material Flow Chart, Process
Flow Chart, Team Activities Chart, Two-Handed Process Chart, Working Day Photography Sheet, Snaphot Observations Sheet, Standardized Work Sheet, Standardized
Work Combination Table, Production Capacity Chart,
Tools for examining flow: Spaghetti Diagram, Value-Stream Map,
Tools for process analysis: Cause-and-Effects (Ishikawa) Diagram, Pareto Chart
-
Standardized Work Documentation (Standardized Work Sheet, Standardized Work
Combination Table, Production Capacity Chart, Operator Balance Chart, Failure
Mode and Effects Analysis),
Value-Stream Map,
Instructions (workstation, cleaning, Total Productive Maintenance)
Check Lists
Operation sheets
Construction documentation
Distributing production
knowledge
-
Internal training based on instructions
Work based on Standardized Work Sheets
Process visualization
Team work
Using production
knowledge
-
Learning by doing
Solving problems based on production documentation
Codifying production
knowledge
The Development of Production Management Concepts
This problem is noted also by J. Lichtarski ([30],
p. 167), who talks about “the jungle of management
theories” and the need for systematizing it. He introduces the notion of “orientation”, defining it as “[…]
theoretical-methodological direction of thinking and its
results in management science, as well as consulting
activities and practical applications which accompany it
and are based on a particular idea expressed in values,
leading paradigm, principles of this/these direction(s).
[…] Implementation of these orientations is done by
applying methods, tools, and concepts specific for
them, and is gradual and evolutionary in character.”
Lichtarski distinguishes the following modern orientations in management: market orientation, quality orientation, results orientation, human orientation, strategic
orientation, process orientation, change orientation, and
knowledge orientation. The values, principles and
guidelines specific for each orientation can be introduced to the enterprise through different concepts,
methods and tools, which is illustrated in Table 10.
Most often these philosophies are implemented independently, or in a way only incidentally linked, which
is pointed out by, among others, S. Nowosielski ([36],
p. 10). The interaction between them as well as their
shared methods and techniques are not taken advantage
of as they should be. These concepts are so closely
71
related that it is sometimes hard to tell whether a given
solution is implemented as part of TQM or LM. Recently one can hear more and more often about Lean
Six Sigma [31], a system combining LM and Six Sigma, or even about TLS – a combination of TOC, LM
and Six Sigma. Many methods and techniques are used
in different approaches. For example, 5S practices and
continuous improvement philosophy are present
in all systems, SMED is considered a tool of LM and
TPM, and statistical process control is seen as
an element of TQM, Six Sigma, and Lean Manufacturing as well. Table 11 illustrates the chosen methods,
approaches and tools present in different concepts, and
their interdependence and complementarity.
Approaching existing management models separately
from each other results in creating separate organizational structures, documentation systems, training programs etc. The lack of coordination makes organization
management system very complicated and means that
the potential for synergy, coming from the fact that
a lot of methods and specific techniques are common
for different models, is squandered. Additionally, uncoordinated implementation of different concepts often
fails if implementing more advanced tools is not preceded by using less advanced methods.
Table 10. Relations between orientations in enterprise activity and management concepts
(source: self study)
Management concepts
Orientation
LM
market
quality
results
human
strategic
process
change
knowledge
TOC
kaizen
TQM
Six Sigma
TPM
BPR
Anna Kosieradzka, Urszula Kąkol, Anna Krupa
72
Table 11. Chosen methods and tools used in key methodologies of production management
(source: self study)
Management concept
Methods and tools
LM
Kaizen
TOC
TQM
TPM
Six
Sigma
BPR
Process approach
Continuous improvement
Value engineering
Process mapping
One piece flow
Waste elimination
Pull system
Supplier collaboration
5S
Poka-Yoke
Visual control
SPC
Standardization
PDCA/SDCA cycle
SMED
Heijunka
Kanban
FMEA
The symbols mean that the given concept uses methods/techniques:
partly,
5
fully
Conclusion
In this paper the key modern concepts used in production management were characterized along with
the paradigms which accompanied their development.
It is worth noting that concepts and methods used
in management have a life cycle of their own, similarly
to a product on the market, from its inception
to growing popularity to maturity and finally decline
when the managers turn to new tools.
New management concepts are usually accompanied
by groundbreaking publications or articles characterizing the principles of new concepts, which was highlighted in the paper. At the development stage
the concept is gradually acquiring a range of methods
and techniques, which allows its leading principles
to be implemented. That has also been pointed out
in this paper. Consulting companies offer trainings
and implementation support services related to the new
methods. These new methods also make their way into
university curricula.
At the maturity stage using a given concept becomes
a must for the successful enterprises. Companies share
their experience and achievements, the scientists do
research into the concept, its applications and methods
related to it and numerous academic and popular publications devoted to it appear. Z. Martyniak ([32],
p. 341) calls this phase a “great diffusion”. At the decline stage the popularity of the concept decreases and
the attention shifts onto new ideas, which often take
over some of the methods and techniques used in older
management methodologies.
The Development of Production Management Concepts
Regarding the lifecycles of particular concepts it could
be argued that TQM is currently in the maturity phase,
while Six Sigma is at the stage of dynamic development, and that Six Sigma uses to a great extent tools
developed within the TQM framework. The situation is
similar with Lean Manufacturing and Constraints Theory, which uses LM techniques. That is why Agile
Manufacturing was not classified as a key concept used
in production management – it appears to be still in the
initial phase. It has not yet developed its own tools
(methods and techniques) and it is difficult to foresee
whether it will become a more permanent element
of management practice.
A new paradigm accompanying the new concept
is fully evident only at the stage of concept maturity,
when the synthesis at a higher level of generality
is possible. It is often very difficult to formulate
the paradigm so that the essence of the new concept
and the change in the way of thinking it represents
is captured.
Changes in the production management paradigms
play a key role in the development of modern management frameworks. They result from the changes
in the external environment. New production management paradigms are compatible with the present economic conditions, in which the key success factors are
thought to be customer satisfaction, flexibility in reacting to the change in customer needs and market situation, high product and customer service quality, as well
as productivity of the owned resources.
6
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School Press, New York 1999.
[41] PN-EN ISO 9000:2006 Systemy zarządzania jakością - Podstawy i terminologia.
[42] ReVelle J.B. (ed.) - Manufacturing Handbook
of Best Practices. An Innovation, Productivity
and Quality Focus. St. Lucie Press, Boca Raton
2002.
[43] Rummler G., Brache A. - Podnoszenie efektywności
organizacji. PWE, Warszawa 2000.
[44] Santarek K., Kosieradzka A., Rafalski R. - Struktury
sieciowe przedsiębiorstw. Zeszyt 18, OWPW, Warszawa 2005.
[45] Scheinkopf L. - The Theory of Constraints [in]
Manufacturing Handbook of Best Practices (ed. J.B.
ReVelle), St. Lucie Press, New York 2002.
[46] Shirose K. - TPM for supervisors. Productivity
Press, Portland, Oregon 1992.
[47] Shirose K. - TPM Team Guide. Productivity Press,
New York 1995.
[48] The Productivity Press Development Team - Kaizen
for the Shop Floor. Productivity Press, Portland, Oregon 2002.
[49] Weiss E. (ed.) - Podstawy i metody zarządzania:
wybrane zagadnienia. Vizja Press & IT, Warszawa
2008.
[50] Willmott P., McCarthy D. - TPM: a route to worldclass performance. Butterworth-Heinemann, Oxford
2001.
[51] Womack J.P., Jones D.T. - Lean Thinking. Simon &
Schuster, New York 1996.
[52] Vorne Industries Incorporated - Fast Guide to OEE,
http://oee.com/pdf/fast-guide-to-oee.pdf
(accessed: 18/10/2010).
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zarządzania. PWE, Warszawa 2009.
Principals of Financial Modelling
75
PRINCIPALS OF FINANCIAL MODELLING
Sławomir JANISZEWSKI
Faculty of Management
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
email:
[email protected]
Abstract: The financial statements submitted by each company annually reflect their financial performance
in the past but are also utilized to forecast the future results in quantitative and realistic frames. The aim
of the following elaboration is to thoroughly research all the issues related to financial modelling. The author
step by step introduces the reader with theoretical and practical assumptions related to forecasting of respectively, the profit & loss account, balance sheet account and cash flow statement. All of the issues are illustrated with excel spreadsheets that were prepared exclusively for this article purposes.
Key words: financial model, input module, output module, calculation module, profit & loss account, balance sheet, cash flow statement.
1
Introduction
The main objective of preparing a financial model is
to reflect the forecasted financial performance of the
company. The main areas of utilisation the financial
model are as follows:
compilation of financial projections for the company being valued using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
approach,
compilation of financial projections for the company (no valuation involved).
The above mentioned are just the two general (indirect)
areas of model utilisation. The direct objectives might
vary depending on the company needs and might include e.g. profitability analysis, cost analysis, sensitivity analysis and impairment tests [13].
It is however important to analyse the objective of preparing the financial model before the analytical work
begins. The financial model of a company prepared
for valuation purposes shall differ from the one prepared for cost analysis purposes as an example.
The types of the financial models might be split with
respect to two main criteria: consolidated/standalone
basis or valuation approach being used (see Table 1).
Other approaches include primarily usage of the financial models for e.g. leverage buy-out analysis, synergy
effect analysis and other specific analysis.
Before the assumptions concerning key inputs are
plugged into the financial model the thorough analysis
and reconciliation of historical performance of the valued entity must be performed. The history reconciliation is performed for both balance sheet and profit
and loss account, but excluding cash – flow statement.
Table 1. Possible applications of different types of valuation models based on types of financial statements
(source: self study)
Free Cash Flow
to Equity
Free Cash Flow
to Firm
Dividend
Discount Valuation
Other
approaches
Standalone basis
√
√
√
√
Consolidated
basis
√
√
√
√
76
Sławomir Janiszewski
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 De ce mbe r 2003
Macroe conomic assumptions
Unit
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Poland
Inflation rate (December to December)
Average inflation
[%]
[%]
1.10%
2.30%
2.00%
1.55%
2.00%
2.00%
19.00%
10.50%
19.00%
19.00%
19.00%
19.00%
19.00%
19.00%
Nominal corporate income tax rate
[%]
27.0%
19.0%
19.0%
19.0%
19.0%
19.0%
19.0%
PLN/EUR
PLN/EUR
4.00
4.00
4.00
4.00
4.01
4.01
4.69
4.35
5.49
5.09
6.43
5.96
7.52
6.97
[%]
[%]
[%]
9.1%
6.9%
8.4%
6.3%
4.8%
5.9%
5.7%
4.2%
5.2%
4.7%
3.2%
4.3%
4.6%
3.1%
4.1%
4.6%
3.1%
4.1%
4.6%
3.5%
4.1%
F/X
F/X rate PLN/EUR at the end of the period
Average F/X rate PLN/EUR in the period
Interest rate
3 month WIBOR
Bank rate for deposits
52-week Treasury Bills
Figure 1. Macroeconomic assumptions
(source: self study)
It is crucial that the breakdown of all profit and loss
(revenues, costs) and balance sheet captions for
the historical period is identical to the one of forecasted period. Therefore before the history reconciliation
is performed the general structure of the financial
model, the key-drivers and information-flow shall be
identified. Items that affect the company’s performance and which may be the subject of sensitivity
analysis should be broken out, while other items
might be presented on aggregated basis [6, 3].
While performing the historical data reconciliation
it is always recommended to compare the company’s
past performance with forecasted by the management
future results of the company. Generally past performance can be a good indicator of future performance.
Therefore, any significant changes in financial performance (e. g, EBIT margins increases, sales volume
or price increases) shall be verified on case-by-case
basis. This is often called the ‘hockey stick’ effect,
and can undermine the credibility of the projections
[8]. A very effective means of checking the model can
be to study the year-to-year performance
of the company and look for dramatic or unexplained
shifts in performance
The general principles how to structure financial
model are presented below:
the financial model should have a modular structure and should be consist of thee main modules:
- input module,
-
calculation module,
-
output module,
the financial model should be flexible, permitting
to extend financial projections period; Moreover
financial model should be structured to allow testing of a variety of assumptions,
the model should adhere as rigorously as possible
to accounting fundamentals; on the other hand
some reclassifications and aggregative approaches
that do not have material impact on the valuation
results are possible e.g. division of fixed assets into 4 main categories and estimating average depreciation rate for each of the category,
the financial model should not be more complex
than the requirements of the analytical problem
it is designed for.
2
Input module
Input module consists usually of three different
spreadsheets:
Macroeconomic assumptions
The data plugged on this spreadsheet include all
the factors that refer to the forecasted performance
of the economy that might affect either the performance of the valued company or the valuation specific parameters e.g. discount rates. Therefore
macroeconomic assumptions might be usually split
into three categories: market specific factors (market
growth, saturation); GDP and inflation; Interest rates
(T-Bills, WIBOR, LIBOR, deposit rates).
Principals of Financial Modelling
77
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of December 31 2003
Operating assumptions
Increase of total number of cards embossed
Company
Bank A
Bank B
Structure of the cards embossed
Debit cards
Credit cards
Total transactions per card
Company
Bank A
Bank B
MARK-UP ASSUMPTIONS
Cardholder management
Bank A debit cards
Bank B debit cards
Bank A credit cards
Bank B credit cards
Cards transactions
Bank A catrd transations
Bank B catrd transations
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
Intangibles
Land
Buildings and constructions
Other fixed assets
WORKING CAPITAL TURNOVER
Trade receivables - dometic
Trade receivables - export
Trade payables - domestic
Trade payables - export
Inventory
Unit
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
[%]
[%]
[%]
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
1.0%
2.0%
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
[%]
[%]
40.0%
60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
[number]
[number]
[number]
100
110
120
100
110
120
100
110
120
100
110
120
100
110
120
100
110
120
[%]
[%]
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
[%]
[%]
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
[%]
[%]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
20%
20%
810
400
200
200
10
20%
20%
1210
600
200
400
10
20%
20%
1210
600
200
400
10
20%
20%
1210
600
200
400
10
20%
20%
1210
600
200
400
10
20%
20%
1210
600
200
400
10
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
30
45
30
45
10
30
45
30
45
10
30
45
30
45
10
30
45
30
45
10
30
45
30
45
10
30
45
30
45
10
Figure 2. Operating assumptions
(source: self study)
In case of the financial projections in current prices,
all the profit and loss captions shall be adjusted
for the year-average inflation and balance sheet captions shall be adjusted for December – December
inflation, it is recommended to presented the both
inflation ratio on the spreadsheet with macroeconomic
assumptions [1].
The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet with macroeconomic assumptions is presented in Fig. 1.
Operating assumptions
The data plugged on this spreadsheet include all
the factors that refer to the forecasted performance
of the company. The structure and complexity of the
operating assumptions shall be considered on case-bycase and might vary significantly with respect to different projects. In general operating assumptions
might be split into five vogue categories: sales as-
sumptions (volume increases, real price increases);
operating costs assumptions (margins, unit costs
of materials); capital expenditures, working capital
(turnover of receivables, payables, inventory and
operating cash); other assumptions (dividend payout
ratio, provision for receivables) [11].
The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet with operating assumptions is presented in Fig. 2.
KVD spreadsheet
The data presented on this spreadsheet include primarily the results and the key drivers of the sensitivity
analysis. The structure and complexity of KVD shall
be considered on case-by-case and might vary significantly with respect to different projects.
The exemplary screenshot of KVD spreadsheet is
presented in Fig. 3.
78
Sławomir Janiszewski
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 December 2002
KVD - Sensitivity Analysis
Change in contract revenues
[%]
2004
0.0%
2005
0.0%
2006
0.0%
2007
0.0%
2008
0.0%
Change in non-contract revenues
[%]
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Change in costs of external services
[%]
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Change in Other costs - other
[%]
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Change in cost of equity
0.0%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Valuation as of 31 December 2003
Implied multiples - residual value
Sales revenues
['000 PLN}
68 260
64 625
56 536
53 619
56 212
58 956
Value 2003-2008
5 100
P/S
EBIT
['000 PLN}
-1 491
3 518
5 276
3 616
3 978
4 299
Residual Value
16 359
P/EBITDA
5.35
Net profit (loss)
['000 PLN}
-1 438
3 317
4 246
2 606
2 870
3 105
TOTAL
21 459
P/EBITDA
6.40
P/E
8.86
Average emplyment
[osoby]
696
560
490
465
465
465
5 240
5 222
4 486
4 025
3 985
4 178
['000 PLN}
3 077
3 208
5 022
6 631
8 678
10 807
['000 PLN}
-1 628
-895
2 707
6 133
8 871
11 858
Average working capital
['000 PLN}
Average excess cash
Average equity
Average overdraft
['000 PLN}
0
0
0
0
0
0
Free cas flow to equityholders
['000 PLN}
-2 262
2 523
1 105
2 114
1 980
2 278
Payroll and related charges
['000 PLN}
51 786
41 962
30 557
29 337
29 938
30 540
6.0%
2.3%
1.7%
0.5%
0.5%
Incerase of payments per employee (real terms)
[%]
Excess cash
EQUITY VALUE
4 208
0.47
28 667
Figure 3. Exemplary screenshot of KVD
(source: self study)
Input/assumptions
Revenue
analytics
Revenue
synthetics
Materials
&
Energy
Payroll
External
services
Other
costs
Other
operating
revenue
/costs
Other
financial
revenue
/cost
Working
capital
Tangible
fixed
assets
Operating cost synthetics
Output/Profit & Loss account
Intangible fixed
assets
Indebtedness
Fixed assets
Output/Balance sheet
Figure 4. The exemplary structure of the calculation module included in the financial model
(source: self study)
3
Calculation module
The number of the spreadsheets in the calculation
module depends on the business specific factors
and shall be considered on project-by-projects basis.
The exemplary structure of the calculation module
included in the financial model of a commercial company is presented in Fig. 4.
In case particular areas are subject to simplified approach these might be calculated on one spreadsheet
e.g. fixed assets. On the other hand, if particular areas
require thorough analysis, these might be modelled
using several spreadsheets e.g. cost of materials
and energy or production process flow. The general
rule governing all financial models shall be the hierarchical data flow: input – calculation – output.
Analytics vs. synthetics
The most common approach is to present the aggregated data on the top of the spreadsheet (see Fig. 5)
if only possible. The detailed calculation presented
in the bottom of the spreadsheet shall be followed
by the aggregated data.
Principals of Financial Modelling
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 De ce mbe r 2003
Sale s of products and se rvice s
Unit
2003
2004
79
2005
2006
2007
2008
Sale s re ve nue
Product 1
Product 2
Product 3
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
40 914
19 258
12 582
9 074
44 062
20 740
13 549
9 772
47 474
22 346
14 599
10 529
51 101
24 053
15 714
11 334
54 819
25 803
16 857
12 158
56 381
26 539
17 338
12 505
Product 1
Retail
Wholesale
Distribution network
B2B
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
19 258
4 622
11 555
1 926
1 156
20 740
4 355
12 444
2 489
1 452
22 346
4 469
12 961
3 128
1 788
24 053
4 570
13 229
4 089
2 165
25 803
5 419
13 160
4 903
2 322
26 539
5 573
13 004
5 308
2 654
Product 2
Retail
Wholesale
Distribution network
B2B
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
12 582
2 642
6 920
629
2 391
13 549
2 710
7 452
813
2 574
14 599
2 920
7 883
1 022
2 774
15 714
3 143
8 328
1 257
2 986
16 857
3 709
8 429
1 686
3 034
17 338
3 814
8 669
1 907
2 947
Product 3
Retail
Wholesale
Distribution network
B2B
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
9 074
1 815
4 537
635
2 087
9 772
2 052
5 766
1 759
195
10 529
1 369
7 370
1 579
211
11 334
1 700
7 027
2 380
227
12 158
1 945
6 809
3 161
243
12 505
2 001
6 502
3 751
250
Figure 5. Aggregated data
(source: self study)
Sales revenue
Sales revenue shall be categorized in order to distinguish between the groups of products/services with
different profitability. Profitability is usually determined as contribution, margin or mark-up realised
on the product/service group. While working over
the analytics of the sales revenue the two objectives
shall be followed:
-
the number of different groups of products/services shall be minimised,
-
the total sum of the variances of groups of products/services shall be minimised [10].
The criteria used in revenue categorisation shall be
assessed on project-by-project basis. In valuation practise the two dimensions of revenue seem to be very
useful:
-
product/service group,
-
distribution channel.
Depreciation and amortisation
Depreciation and amortization shall be calculated
on pre-formatted Microsoft Excel spreadsheet with
respect to different groups of fixed assets. Valuation
practice proves that fixed assets are usually split into
four groups: intangibles; building and construction,
machinery and equipment and other fixed assets (all
remaining tangible fixed assets) [3].
For the purposes of compilation of financial projections
the weight average economic depreciation rates estimated for different groups of assets shall always
be applied. The estimate of depreciation rate might
be performed based on historical financial statements
(unless there is no evidence that accounting depreciation rates differ significantly from economic depreciation rates) or using the management assumption
concerning the asset utilisation [12, 4].
In case there is a significant difference between
the accounting and economic depreciation rates the
adjustment to the historical depreciation rate is necessary.
4
Output module
The output module consists usually of several spreadsheets that present the data on the aggregated level.
These are the spreadsheets that include the results and
the summary of the analyses performed in the financial
model.
80
Sławomir Janiszewski
Table 2. The basic drivers to profit & loss captions
(source: self study)
Driver I
Driver I
derivatives
Driver II
Driver II
derivatives
inflation
growth
sales revenue
Sales
revenue
output growth
volume output
market share
assumed %
Materials
& Energy
External
services
Payroll
Depreciation
Amortisation
Other
operating
revenue
calculated
real growth
unit material/
energy usage
price of product/
services
sales revenue
constant
(history)
unit price of material/
energy
inflation
real growth
calculated
inflation
real growth
assumed %
sales revenue
calculated
assumed %
operating costs
calculated
assumed %
production output/
material volume e.g.
transport
calculated
assumed %
other parameters e.g.
employment e.g.
subcontractors
calculated
assumed %
sales revenue
calculated
number
of employees
depreciation
rate - %
amortisation
rate - %
increases/decreases
inflation
average salary
constant
constant
constant
real growth
gross fixed tangible
assets
gross fixed intangible
assets
calculated
calculated
nil
constant
constant
nil
Other
operating
cost
constant
constant
assumed %
provision
for receivables
sales revenue
calculated
Financial
revenue
interest rates
on deposits
average operating
cash (valuation)
calculated
Financial
expense
interest rates
on loans
average indebtedness
calculated
Principals of Financial Modelling
81
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 December 2003
Profit and loss accounts
Unit
2003
Sales
['000 PLN]
43 568
Sales of goods bought for resale
['000 PLN]
40 914
Sales of services
['000 PLN]
2 654
2004
47 532
44 062
3 470
2005
51 207
47 474
3 733
2006
55 213
51 101
4 113
2007
59 217
54 819
4 398
2008
60 901
56 381
4 520
2009
62 118
57 508
4 610
Operating expenses
['000 PLN]
39 409
44 003
47 875
51 981
55 089
56 542
57 673
['000
['000
['000
['000
['000
['000
PLN]
PLN]
PLN]
PLN]
PLN]
PLN]
26 795
659
4 042
5 251
1 145
1 518
29 821
682
5 647
5 336
981
1 537
32 528
707
6 012
5 478
845
2 305
35 796
731
6 496
5 630
853
2 475
38 249
754
6 884
6 163
431
2 608
39 148
776
7 077
6 484
409
2 649
39 931
791
7 218
6 613
417
2 702
Gross profit / (loss) on sales
as percentage of sales
Other operating revenues
Other operating expenses
['000 PLN]
[%]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
4 159
9.5%
1 033
973
3 529
7.4%
829
799
3 332
6.5%
2 744
816
3 232
5.9%
606
835
4 127
7.0%
606
853
4 359
7.2%
606
861
4 446
7.2%
619
878
EBIT
as percentage of sales
Financial revenues
Financial expenses
['000 PLN]
[%]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
4 220
9.7%
787
1 412
3 558
7.5%
63
2 081
5 260
10.3%
60
647
3 004
5.4%
58
567
3 881
6.6%
53
348
4 104
6.7%
48
226
4 186
6.7%
49
231
Profit / (loss) on ordinary activities
as percentage of sales
Extraordinary gains
Extraordinary losses
['000 PLN]
[%]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
3 595
8.3%
98
94
1 540
3.2%
0
0
4 673
9.1%
0
0
2 495
4.5%
0
0
3 586
6.1%
0
0
3 926
6.4%
0
0
4 005
6.4%
0
0
Profit / (loss) before taxation
['000 PLN]
3 598
1 540
4 673
2 495
3 586
3 926
4 005
as percentage of sales
[%]
8.3%
3.2%
9.1%
4.5%
6.1%
6.4%
6.4%
Taxes
Corporate income tax
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
1 713
1 713
886
886
1 427
1 427
856
856
1 116
1 116
1 194
1 194
1 218
1 218
Profit / (loss) after taxation
as percentage of sales
['000 PLN]
[%]
1 885
4.3%
654
1.4%
3 246
6.3%
1 639
3.0%
2 470
4.2%
2 732
4.5%
2 786
4.5%
Cost of goods and materials sold
Energy and other materials
External services
Payroll and related charges
Depreciation & amortisation
Other costs
Figure 6. The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting profit & loss accounts
(source: self study)
The two main groups of spreadsheets categorised upon
its objective might be distinguished for the concern
of this document:
Spreadsheets that present the final results on the
aggregated level in the form of financial statements.
These comprise of the spreadsheets such as profit
and loss account, balance sheet and cash flow
statement.
Spreadsheets that present the additional measures
of financial performance.
These comprise of all the spreadsheets that present
the additional results of the analysis performed
by the financial model e.g. sales and operating costs
analysis or ratio analysis.
Profit and loss account is the financial statements that
shall be established at the beginning of the process
to construct financial model (the exception to this rule
refer to the models of financial institutions e.g. banks,
insurance companies).
Profit and loss account seems to be a backbone
of the financial model as it determines the company
future profitability. The forecasted results of the company performance presented in profit and loss statements (EBIT, EBITDA, net profit) derive the value
of the company in greatest part. Many of the balance
sheet and cash flow items vary as a function of income
statement items such as revenue or costs. The basic
drivers to profit & loss captions are presented
in Table 2.
It is important to remember that all the profit and loss
captions shall be calculated based on year-average
balances e.g. operating cash balance or indebtedness
balance and year-average inflation rates [13].
In the majority of financial models, it is the cost drivers’ identification that seems to be the most challenging
task. The first step in analysing costs shall be categorising them into: fixed costs, semi-variable and variable
costs. The further steps shall usually be considered
on case-by-case basis.
It is worth noticing that relating all the costs to revenue
captions is oversimplification that often causes a significant bias on the valuation results.
82
Sławomir Janiszewski
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 December 2003
Balance sheets
Unit
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Fixed assets
Intangibles
Tangible assets
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
6 291
256
6 035
5 762
240
5 521
5 633
411
5 222
5 080
317
4 764
4 979
214
4 765
4 910
166
4 744
4 959
168
4 791
Current assets
Inventory
Trade receivables
Other receivables
Operating cash
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
17 248
5 957
10 362
441
488
13 773
4 902
7 992
363
516
14 909
5 347
8 629
363
569
16 182
5 884
9 312
363
623
17 332
6 288
10 017
363
664
17 799
6 435
10 320
363
680
17 977
6 500
10 423
367
687
Excess cash
['000 PLN]
0
0
0
0
139
2 704
0
Total Assets
['000 PLN]
23 538
19 535
20 542
21 263
22 450
25 413
22 936
Equity
Subscribed share capital
Capital reserve
Accumulated profit / (loss) form previous year
Profit / (loss) after taxation for the current financial year
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
3 826
3 098
2 237
-1 803
294
4 480
3 098
2 237
-1 509
654
7 725
3 098
2 237
-855
3 246
9 365
3 098
2 237
2 390
1 639
11 834
3 098
2 237
4 030
2 470
14 566
3 098
2 237
6 499
2 732
17 352
3 098
2 237
9 231
2 786
Indebtedness
Overdraft
Other debt
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
4 475
2 960
1 515
2 642
2 242
400
3 639
3 639
0
1 906
1 906
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Short term liabilities
Trande accounts payable
Other short0term liabilities
ZFRON
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
10 626
9 422
1 204
4 611
8 151
7 353
798
4 262
8 811
8 021
790
368
9 625
8 826
799
368
10 248
9 431
817
368
10 479
9 653
826
368
5 126
5 126
0
368
Total liabilities
['000 PLN]
23 538
19 535
20 542
21 263
22 450
25 413
22 936
Figure 7. The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting balance sheet
(source: self study)
Cost accounting is a complex discipline on its own,
and in most cases it is unrealistic to expect to model all
costs (and their relationship to inventory). It is important to understand the cost structure of the business
and make sure that it is appropriately reflected
in the base model and in all alternative scenarios.
total liability. In other words the balance sheet must
always balance.
The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting
profit and loss accounts is presented in Fig. 6.
The overdraft and excess cash balances with the inflow
and outflow of cash during each year of the financial
projections period making the balance sheet balance.
Changes in overdraft and excess cash make the net
interest to fluctuate as the interest expense and interest
revenues are affected by the changes of overdraft
and excess cash, respectively. The fluctuations in net
interest affect the company’s net income on annual
basis. Net income of the year, stripped of dividends is
recorded as retain earnings on the liability side
of the balance sheet. Change on the liability side
of the balance sheet requires rebalancing the balance
sheet again using overdraft and excess cash balances.
As profit and loss and balance sheet captions are each
other logically dependent the circular links are necessary.
Balance sheet account is the financial statements
that shall be established mainly based on information
derived from profit and loss accounts (the exception
refers to the models of financial institutions e.g. banks,
insurance companies where the balance sheet shall be
constructed as the first financial statement).
The basic drivers to the balance sheet captions are presented in the Table 3.
The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting
balance sheets is presented in Fig. 7.
Every year of the financial projections’ period implemented in the financial models period must satisfy
the general accounting condition that total assets equal
From financial modelling perspective balancing
the balance sheet requires implementing a circular into
the financial model. The explanation of this issue is
presented in Fig. 8.
Principals of Financial Modelling
83
Table 3. The basic drivers to the balance sheet captions
(source: self study)
Intangible fixed assets
Tangible fixed assets
Inventory
Trade
receivables
Trade
payables
Operating cash
Driver I
Driver I
derivatives
Driver II
Driver II
derivatives
capital
expenditures
assumptions
amortisation
assumptions/
constant
assumptions
depreciation
assumptions/
constant
assumptions
selected operating
costs
calculated
assumptions
sales revenue
calculated
assumptions
selected operating
costs
calculated
assumptions
sales revenue
calculated
repayments
assumptions
issuing
assumptions
issues
assumptions
buy-backs
assumptions
dividend
payout ratio
assumptions
net profit
calculated
capital
expenditures
inventory
turnover ratio
receivables
turnover ratio
payables
turnover ratio
operating
cash turnover ratio
Excess cash
balancing figure
Overdraft
balancing figure
Debt
Issued capital
Retained earnings
Balancing the balance sheet
Assets
Profit and loss
account
Excess cash
Interest revenue
Liabilities
Net profit
Retained earnings
Interest expense
Overdraft
Figure 8. Balancing the balance sheet
(source: self study)
84
Sławomir Janiszewski
Table 4. The basic drivers to cash flow captions
(source: self study)
Status
Source/spreadsheet
Impact
on cash-flow*
Adjusted EBIT
calculated
profit & loss
positive
Corporate Income Tax paid
calculated
profit & loss/balance sheet
negative
Depreciation & amortisation
calculated
profit & loss or fixed assets
(separate)
positive
Working capital changes
calculated
balance sheet
negative
Changes in other assets
calculated
balance sheet
negative
Changes in other liabilities
calculated
balance sheet
positive
Capital expenditures
assumption
input or fixed assets (separate)
negative
Proceeds
from sale of fixed assets
assumption
input or fixed assets (separate)
positive
Change in indebtedness
calculated
balance sheet or indebtedness
positive
Net interest
calculated
profit & loss
negative
Issued capital
calculated
balance sheet
positive
Cash from operating activities
Cash from investing activities
Cash from financing activities
* direct impact of the increase of the item on cash-flow statement
The supporting assumptions used while balancing
the balance sheet are as follows:
in case company needs more cash as of the balancing date, it is incurring overdraft – additional short
term financing., the company repays as soon as excess cash appears on its balance sheet,
in case company has excess cash of the balancing
date it retains it in the balance sheet (retained earnings); for the valuation purposes the changes in excess cash, adjusted for increases in shareholders
capital and dividend payouts are treated as free cash
flow to equity/firm.
It is assumed that balancing procedure is recorded
in visual basis language using goal seek function implemented. These are implemented for each of the
years of the financial projections period [7, 14].
In extraordinary circumstances, when implementing
circular links in the financial model seem inappropriate,
there is a possibility to balance the balance sheet on one
of the following simplified assumption:
no interest rate expense/revenue are calculated
based on overdraft and excess cash,
the interest rate expense/revenue are calculated
based on the prior year’s balances.
In both of these cases circular links are avoided. However, removing circular links increases the risks
of calculating inaccurate interest expense/revenue figures if there are wide fluctuations in debt and cash
balances.
The more sophisticated approach to balance the balance
sheet is applicable while preparing the financial model
of a bank.
Principals of Financial Modelling
85
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 December 2003
Cash flow statements
Unit
EBIT
['000 PLN]
Corporate income tax
['000 PLN]
Depreciation & amortisation
['000 PLN]
2004
0
0
8 405
2005
10 689
-2 893
6 479
2006
28 006
-7 569
6 479
2007
33 510
-9 056
4 319
2008
36 009
-9 732
0
2009
35 824
-9 684
0
Gross cash flow
['000 PLN]
8 405
14 274
26 916
28 773
26 277
26 140
Change in working capital
Operating cash
Trade receivables
Other receivables
Other receivables
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
-4 634
-593
-5 926
0
1 884
1 897
-88
-884
0
2 869
-1 703
-279
-2 794
0
1 371
-430
-155
-1 550
0
1 275
88
-62
-620
0
770
6
-10
-95
0
111
Change in other assets and liabilities
['000 PLN]
332
127
317
61
-33
-3
Operating cash flow
Capital expenditures
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
4 102
0
16 298
0
25 531
0
28 404
0
26 331
0
26 143
0
Cash flow bwfore financing
['000 PLN]
4 102
16 298
25 531
28 404
26 331
26 143
Financing
Change in indebtedness
Net interest
Free cash flow to equityholders
Changes in subscribed share capital
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
0
0
0
4 102
0
27
0
27
16 325
0
26
0
26
25 557
0
32
0
32
28 436
0
36
0
36
26 367
0
41
0
41
26 184
0
Changes in excess cash
['000 PLN]
4 102
16 325
25 557
28 436
26 367
26 184
Figure 9. The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting cash flow statements
(source: self study)
Because the dividend discount model is recommended
for bank valuation purposes both capital adequacy ratios and the dividend payout shall be additionally considered in balancing procedure.
Cash from investing activities
This reflects all of the capitalised investments of the
business, in fixed assets or in intangibles. It also includes the proceeds from any sale of assets.
Cash flow statement is critical for making each
of the financial models. The cash flow statement records all cash inflows and outflows affecting balance
sheet accounts, and determines the company's year-end
cash and debt balances. Each line item on the cash flow
statement should correspond to a year-to-year change
in a line item on the balance sheet. The fact that every
account which changes on the balance sheet is reflected
on the cash flow statement is the necessary condition
of the logical correctness of the financial model. Meeting this condition allows the balance sheet to balance.
This reflects the business's decisions concerning external financing: repayment/issuing of debt. It also includes the effect of the financial revenues and financial
expenses paid. The distinction and level of complexity
of each of the sections shall be considered on projectby-project basis e.g. if the objective of the financial
model is to assess the optimal future investment schedule than investing and financing sections of cash flow
statements shall be cover in details.
The basis cash flow statement implemented in the financial model shall include three sections:
The basic drivers to cash flow captions are presented
in Table 4.
Cash from operating activities
As presented above the majority of the cash flow captions shall derive direct from balance sheet captions.
In modelling practise it is recommended to link cash
flow captions direct to the balance sheet captions e.g.
change in indebtedness shall be linked to changes
in debt on ‘Balance Sheet’ spreadsheet, rather that
on changes in debt balances calculated on ‘Indebtedness’ spreadsheet.
This is the fundamental cash flow of the business, derived from its net income corrected for non-cash income or expense items and for changes in working
capital. It defines the cash available to make necessary
investments and to satisfy the interest and dividend
obligations of the business.
Cash from financing activities
86
Sławomir Janiszewski
llustrative Valuation of ABC Company as of 31 March 2003 / Discounted Cash Flow Approach - Free Cash Flow to Equity
Unit
Estimation of Beta for rhe equity of the company
Tax rate
Unlevered beta
D/E ratio for the Company
[%]
[number]
[%]
Beta levered
[ Beta levered = Unlevered Beta x (1 + (1 - T) x (D/E))]
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
8.7%
1.15
159.0%
7.6%
1.15
180.2%
7.6%
1.15
171.9%
7.6%
1.15
135.4%
7.6%
1.15
97.3%
7.6%
1.15
61.9%
7.6%
1.15
30.8%
15.2%
1.15
8.1%
15.2%
1.15
0.0%
2.82
3.07
2.98
2.59
2.18
1.81
1.48
1.23
1.15
6.1%
3.07
5.90%
5.1%
2.98
5.90%
4.7%
2.59
5.90%
4.6%
2.18
5.90%
4.6%
1.81
5.90%
4.6%
1.48
5.90%
4.6%
1.23
5.90%
4.6%
1.15
5.90%
Estimation of cost of equity for the Company
Average risk free rate [ Rf ]
Beta (levered)
Long-term risk premium [ Rp ]
[%]
[%]
5.9%
2.82
5.90%
Cost of equity [Ce]
[ Ce = Rf + Beta x Rp +Sp ]
[%]
22.5%
24.2%
22.6%
20.0%
17.4%
15.2%
13.3%
11.8%
11.3%
134
-47
0
87
210
0
0
210
340
0
0
340
560
0
0
560
780
0
0
780
840
0
0
840
1 023
0
0
1023
1 109
0
0
1109
1 340
0
0
1340
22.5%
10.7%
10.7%
0.903
0.903
24.2%
11.4%
23.4%
0.811
0.732
22.6%
10.7%
23.4%
0.810
0.593
20.0%
9.5%
21.3%
0.824
0.489
17.4%
8.4%
18.7%
0.842
0.412
15.2%
7.3%
16.3%
0.860
0.354
13.3%
6.4%
14.2%
0.875
0.310
11.8%
5.7%
12.5%
0.889
0.276
11.3%
5.5%
11.6%
0.896
0.247
79
154
202
274
321
298
317
306
331
Free cash flow to equity valuation
Change in excess cash
Shange in subscribed share capital
Dividends
Free cash flow to equityholders [FCFtE)
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
Cost of equity [Ce]
Nominal semi-year rate of return
Discount rate
Discount factor
Cumulative discount factor
[%]
[%]
[%]
[number]
[number]
Present value of FCFtE in period 2004 - 2012 as of 31.12.2003
['000 PLN]
Assumed long-term growth rate after projeciton period
Resudual value as of 31 December 2012
Cumulative discount rate for residual rate
[%]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
Net present value of FCFtE in period 2004 - 2012 as of 31.12.2003
Discounted residual rate
Excess assets (cash) as of 31 December 2003
Value of equity as of 31 December 2003
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
['000 PLN]
0.0%
12 228
0.247
2 281
3 020
5 302
Figure 10. The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting valuation results performed using FCFE approach
(source: self study)
Identification on key parameters
Preparation of input module
Profit and loss account
Balance Sheet
Sales revenues analytics
Operating costs analytics
Materials
and Energy
External
services
Payroll
Other
costs
Working
capital
Fixed Assets
Depreciation
CAPEX
Indebtedness
Principles
Compilation of cash flow statements
Performing valuation using DCF approach based on financial projections
Figure 11. The major steps in building a financial model for the purpose of valuing the company
(source: self study)
Interests
Principals of Financial Modelling
87
This approach simplifies the control procedure, increases the transparency of the financial model
and reduces the possibility of committing an error [8].
The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting
valuation results performed using FCFE approach
is presented in Fig. 10.
The only problem that might arise while preparing
cash-flow statement is the appropriate sign of the differences between the closing and opening balances
of particular assets and liabilities.
Important considerations that might be useful while
preparing valuation result’s spreadsheet is listed below:
The general rules must always be applied:
Increase in asset balances reflects cash outflow
The increase in asset balances might be perceived
as a use of cash e.g. purchasing new inventory (increase in inventory balances) or allowing the clients
to extend the payment period (increase in trade receivables balances). On the contrary decrease in asset balances is recorded as a source of cash e.g. selling
the inventory for cash (decrease in inventory balances).
the effective tax rates and debt/equity ratios calculated on annual basis shall be applied while relevering betas,
free cash to flow to equity shall always be adjusted
for the dividends paid and increases in subscribed
shareholders capital,
the discount rate shall always be calculated on semiannual basis. Moreover, the discount factor within
the first interval of financial projections shall always be calculated assuming that the cash flow occur in the middle of the interval [11, 7, 5, 10 and 9].
Increase in liability balances reflects cash inflow
The increase in liability balances might be perceived
as a source of cash e.g. extending the payment periods
to suppliers (increase in trade payables balances).
On the contrary decrease in liability balances is recorded as a use of cash e.g. repayment of debt (decrease
in debt balances).The exemplary screenshot of spreadsheet presenting cash-flow statements is presented
in Fig. 9.
5
Valuation spreadsheet
The valuation spreadsheet shall be prepared at the final
stage of preparing the financial model. The major issues connected with valuation spreadsheet are presented below:
estimation of the cost of equity/capital for the company,
calculation of free cash flows to equity holders/firm,
calculating the present value of free cash flow
to equity holders/firm within the financial projections period and present value of residual value,
addition and presentation of summary results [4, 2].
In practise, spreadsheets presenting valuation results
are enclosed to the financial model at the final stage,
depending on the valuation approach being used.
Therefore it is possible that all three valuation results
(FCFF, FCFE, DDM) are included in one financial
model.
6
Summary
The major steps that shall be taken while building
a financial model for the purposes of valuing
the company using discounted cash flows approach are
presented in Fig. 11.
The Fig. 11 presented steps are just an exemplary approach. The sequence of the steps in preparing
a financial model depends in greatest part on the project specific issues and availability of input data.
Generally constructing down to the operating income
line is usually the first and most important step
in the construction of the model.
Most of the items in the cash flow and balance sheet
are derived from the income statement. The main exceptions are depreciation, an element of cost and cash
flow that is generally calculated separately on a fixed
asset schedule, and net interest, derived from balance
sheet information.
In summary the process of constructing financial models is long and requires to respect procedures
that helps to build it in the most efficient and reliable
way.
Additionally the purpose of the financial projections
clearly indicates the way how the model should
be constructed.
88
10
Sławomir Janiszewski
References
[1] Choudhry M. - Capital market instruments: analysis
and valuation. Pearson Education, Financial Times
Prentice Hall, London 2002.
[2] Copeland T., Koller T., Murrin J. - Valuation. Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies. John
Wiley & Sons, New York 2000.
[9]
McCahery J.A., Renneboog L. - Venture Capital
Contracting and the Valuation of High-technology
Firms. Oxford University Press, New York 2003.
[10] Mercer C.Z., Harms T.W. - Business valuation:
an integrated theory. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken
2008.
[11] McCahery J.A., Renneboog L. - Venture Capital
Contracting and the Valuation of High-technology
Firms. Oxford University Press, New York 2003.
[3] Damodaran A. - Damodaran on Valuation: Security
Analysis for Investment and Corporate Finance.
Wiley Finance, 2006.
[12] Olsson P.D. - Studies in company valuation. Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm 1998.
[4] Damodaran A. - Investment valuation. Tools and
Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset.
Sec. Ed., John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York 2002.
[13] Palepu K., Healy P., Peek E. - Business analysis
and valuation: text and cases. IFRS edition, SouthWestern, Australia 2010.
[5] Fabozzi F.J. - Valuation, financial modeling, and
quantitative tools. Handbook of finance, Vol. 3. John
Wiley & Sons, Hoboken 2008.
[14] Sardar M.N. Islam, Sethapong Watanapalachaikul Empirical finance: modelling and analysis
of emerging financial and stock markets. PhysicaVerlag, Heidelberg New York 2005.
[6] Fletcher S., Gardner C. - Financial modelling
in Python. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester 2009.
[7] Gioulekas S.I. - Examining corporate financing:
an analysis of aggregate private equity activity, LBO
valuation dynamics, and the banklending channel
of monetary policy transmission. University of St.
Gallen, Bamberg 2010.
[8] Ho Thomas S.Y., Sang Bin Lee - The Oxford guide
to financial modeling: applications for capital markets, corporate finance, risk management, and financial institutions. Oxford Univ. Press, Oxford 2004.
[15] Stimes P.C. - Equity valuation, risk, and investment:
a practitioner's roadmap. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken 2008.
[16] Stowe J.D. - Equity asset valuation. John Wiley
& Sons, Hoboken 2007.
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
89
LOYALTY PROGRAMS EFFECTIVENESS
Katarzyna SZCZEPAŃSKA*, Patryk GAWRON
*Faculty of Management
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
e-mail:
[email protected]
Abstract: An increasing number of loyalty programs is one of the most common phenomena observed
in the practice of marketing companies on the market today. Objectives and tasks of loyalty programs determine the type of use of marketing instruments affecting the attitudes and behaviours of customers, which
is aimed at the program. The diversity of factors influencing the effectiveness of loyalty programs should set
the scope and object of empirical research. As the results of studies to evaluate the effectiveness of loyalty
programs mainly on the B2C market is diverse in terms of the criteria. This article presents the essence
of loyalty programs and the factors influencing their effectiveness.
Keywords: loyalty program, customer loyalty, factors for the effectiveness of loyalty program.
1
Development of loyalty programs
Visible and dynamic development of loyalty programs
reflects the increasing prevalence of relationship marketing philosophy in current business practice. Moreover, discussed phenomenon also reflects a host
of vibrant changes that take place in global business
arena and can be exemplified by the following trends
discussed in numerous research studies:
observed increasing competitiveness of various
markets,
increasing market awareness demonstrated by customers and escalating customers’ expectations,
decreasing homogeneity of existing customer
groups.
Dynamic increase in the numbers of customers
that willingly participate in various loyalty programs
clearly suggests that such programs in the recent years
have been steadily developing and have been widely
accepted in the global marketplace. “Between 2000
and 2006 the number of North American customers
that participated in various loyalty programs increased
by 35,5% and reached unprecedented 1,5 billion” (Ferguson et al. [9], p. 1).
Moreover, increasing popularity of loyalty programs
resulted in common acceptance of a thesis, which states
that “the implementation of loyalty program by a modern business enterprise is not motivated by the enterprise’s drive to strengthen and develop relationships
with its key customers. The implementation of discussed marketing tool is inevitable in a market, where
all direct competitors invite customers to participate in
their own loyalty programs and where inability and
unwillingness to introduce similar tools might lead to
significant defections in existing customer base.” (Ferguson et al. [9], p. 2; Meyer-Waarden et al. [24], pp.
72).
Current loyalty programs are largely based on Advantage Programme, the first fully functional loyalty
scheme implemented by American Airlines in 1981. In
this initiative, American Airlines customers were invited to collect virtual air miles, which later could be redeemed for free flights. Historical development
of loyalty schemes in different sectors of global economy is illustrated in Fig.1.
Currently loyalty programs are mostly implemented
by companies from global economy sectors. It is estimated that in the world’s most developed markets,
more than half adult population is enrolled in at least
one loyalty program (Kivetz [11], p. 726).
The development of loyalty programs they apply to the
following types (Rudawska [25], pp. 100-103):
marketing clubs,
loyalty cards,
reward loyalty programs,
participation programs (programs continued).
90
Katarzyna Szczepańska, Patryk Gawron
Sector
Financial services
Hotels
Retail
Airlines
1970’s
1980’s
1990’s
Figure 1. Historical development of loyalty schemes
(source: own work)
According to the criterion of the form of a loyalty program is distinguished by the following types (Kwiatek
et al. [16], pp. 323-324):
1) programs based on the idea of participation (clubs):
a) pure clubs:
based on a loyalty card (card recognition)
that provides a discount when purchasing
products or services provided by the company organizing the club,
based on the added value of the brand,
operating on the basis of membership fee,
b) mixed clubs:
focus on ideas, not on the particular brand,
focus on brand and partners of the club;
2) programs based on the idea of collecting:
c) based on the traditional technique,
d) based on electronic technology.
Increasing popularity of loyalty programs can be explained by observed changes in today’s marketplace,
where the customer enjoys unprecedented freedom
to choose from a wide variety of suppliers of seemingly
homogenous goods. Such market is characterised
by a large number of competitors offering marginally
different goods and fighting for the attention of similar
customers. Described market circumstances place previously underappreciated consumer in a new, privileged position and create a set of previously
unidentified challenges for any business striving to develop and strengthen relationships with its most valued
buyers.
Based on presented arguments it can be concluded,
that today’s customers relatively seldom declare their
willingness to form lasting relationships with any
goods and services provider who fails to present them
with a host of attractive incentives. Such conclusion
may explain why loyalty programs, have currently been
viewed as a key marketing tool, which promotes
and drives customer relationship building. Moreover,
while implementation of loyalty programs inevitably
generates certain amount of costs, ultimately it should
lead to increased turnover and strengthened profitability of a business enterprise. Well - devised and properly
operated loyalty program is one of the main competitor’s factors that may differentiate a company from
its direct competitors.
Developments in information technology facilitates
the management of loyalty programs, implementation
of which leads to the maintenance of existing customers and acquire new, changing their purchasing preferences and to increase sales. The software makes it easy
to carry out marketing activities in the following areas:
definition of loyalty programs - setting the rules
for their activities, methods to reach customers
and to participate in the program,
transactions loyalty - the award credits calculation
or rebates based on purchases made or enforcement
actions by the customer bonus,
to collect marketing information about customers'
habits - the ability to track customer response
to the action undertaken,
marketing and management actions to carry out
their analysis - the possibility of defining marketing
campaigns and run them directly through the results,
creation of a sustainable relationship with customers
- using the contact center and customer portal as
a form of maintaining communication with the customer,
marketing strategy - including a loyalty program
to the overall strategy for the company.
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
EXTERNAL FACTORS:
Marketing
actions
- economic
- demographic
- social
- cultural
CUSTOMER
LOYALTY
91
INTERNAL FACTORS:
Psychological – e.g. motivation:
- subjective freedom
of choice,
- drive to stand out,
- expectation to purchase products/services
- at best possible price,
- compulsory purchase.
Economic – e.g. disposable income
Figure 2: Factors of customer loyalty
(source: own work)
Moreover, a robust loyalty programs usually weakens
customers’ drive to switch goods and services provider,
and therefore increases company’s competitive advantage over its closest market rivals. In conclusion,
to presented deliberations on the nature of current, dynamic development of loyalty programs, it must be
stressed that any implemented, they should lead to increased volume of business as well as other, unquantifiable benefits, which viewed and analysed together
will form the very basis for the assessment of loyalty
program efficiency.
2
Customer loyalty
From viewpoint of praxeology, customer loyalty can be
defined as a constant and positive attitude towards
an object (i.e. brand or business enterprise). Marketing
definition of loyalty traditionally covered two aspects
of the phenomenon: behavioural aspect and attitudinal
aspect. Behavioural loyalty explained customers’ actions, which included repeat purchases, their proneness
to be attracted by competitors’ marketing efforts
as well as their willingness to engage in word – ofmouth marketing.
Without a doubt, the classic approach to customer loyalty ignored factors affecting the attitudes and behaviour and does not include themes of loyalty. Taking
into account categories such as income or lack of alternatives to choose from, we can say that the nature
of economic factors determine the customer loyalty.
If, however, will be included in the analysis of the determinants of market, demographic, or cultural, it reveals a broad context for consideration of the factors
influencing and shaping the loyalty of company’s customers.
Based on presented discussion, one must question
the validity of loyalty whenever displayed loyal behaviour (i.e. repeat purchase) stems from barriers imposed
by the goods provider, such as any limitations included
in business contract. Customers’ passive attitude
caused by objective (e.g. transaction characteristics)
as well as subjective (e.g. customer’s indifference) factors teamed up with their repeat purchases inevitably
leads to a conclusion that such scenario may not be
perceived as one exemplifying loyalty. So, it seems
clear that in order to discuss loyalty we must take into
account a certain degree of emotional engagement displayed by a customer.
On the one hand, such statement highlights the need
to examine the levels of emotional engagement displayed by customers. On the other hand, voiced need
to examine customers’ emotional engagement widens
the scope of any discussion on loyalty as well as any
marketing activity designed and implemented by
a business enterprise. Any discussion on loyalty cannot
fail to include careful examination of customer satisfaction levels, which are shaped by customer’s subjective
evaluation of purchased product/service, received value, and overall interaction with a company.
The structure of the generic factors that shape customer
loyalty presented in Fig. 2.
Wide variety of factors affecting customer loyalty
makes it nearly impossible to present a straightforward
and complete definition of the discussed term. Any inconsistencies, in the meaning of loyalty should be clarified by the overview of accepted definitions of the term
presented in the following table (see Table 1).
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Katarzyna Szczepańska, Patryk Gawron
Table 1. Overview of customer loyalty definitions
(source: own study based on Urban et al. [30], pp. 11-14; [33];
Bloemer et al. [3], pp. 499-513)
Author
Definition
The Global Loyalty Agency
Newnan J.W., Werbel R.A.
Jacoby J., Chestnut R.W.,
Day G.S.
Storbacka K., Lehtinen J.R.
Bloemer J., de Ruyter K.
Olivier R.L.
Reichheld F.F.
Dick A.S., Basu K.
Zawadzka A.M.
all the feelings or experiences that would incline a customer
to consider the re-purchase of a particular product, service or brand
or re-visit particular company, shop or website
repeat purchase of a particular brand, without considering purchase
of any other available brand
customer’s predisposition towards the brand as a function
of psychological processes
intention to act and willingness to interact with others
customers’ non-incidental and intentional actions displayed over
a long period of time towards a particular service/product supplier
which operates among numerous and similar service/product
suppliers
deeply-term engagement and product/service/brand re-purchase
intention displayed toward a particular product, service or brand
willingness to invest in further product/service/brand relationship
development
Function of attitude manifested in behaviour
the result of rational-functional motivation teamed up
with emotional-symbolic motivation
As shown in the loyalty definitions overview, most academic discussions on the topic take into account behavioural and psychological loyalty drivers.
As a result, for a considerable period of time loyalty
was predominately perceived as a regular re-patronage
or re-purchase driven by intentional, premeditated customer’s actions and accompanied by positive attitude.
Consequently, most presented loyalty definitions were
drawn on the assumption that two main sets of loyalty
drivers (i.e. behavioural and psychological drivers)
should be analysed separately and independently, without the need to examine any correlations existing be-
tween discussed drivers. Nevertheless, it is evident that
such correlations should be taken into account
and closely examined, which may help with critical
classification of existing loyalty definitions (see
Table 2). The examination of those correlations allows
for identification of new loyalty drivers (i.e.: action based, follow - up) which always remain closely linked
and intertwined. It should be noted that the classifications omit reference to specific markets (B2B, B2G).
Moreover, in varying degrees, refer to the types of objects that are the subject of loyalty (product category,
personnel, place of purchase, brand and organization).
Table 2. Loyalty drivers and definitions
(source: own study based on Garbarski et al. [10], pp. 347-348; Urban et al. [30], p. 12;
Rudawska [25] p. 27; Dębski [5], p. 40)
Driver
Psychological
Action - based
Follow - up
Definition
high level of emotional attachment to company’s employees, products or services
combined role of psychological processes
intention to act and willingness to engage with others
strong drive to re-purchase specific brand or specific set of brands despite unfavourable circumstances
systematic, intentional repurchase of a specific product/service/brand accompanied
by strong conviction that selected product/service/brand is superior to other available options
the result of customers’ learning process, which confirms that selected product/service/brand fulfils their needs and meets their expectations to a far greater
extent than any other available product/service/brand (brings a unique and desired
benefits)
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
Most available literature on the discussed subject matter tends to focus on brand loyalty in B2C markets.
As demonstrated in extensive research studies (Falkowski, et al. [8], p. 307):
there is correlation between the levels of perceived
satisfaction and brand loyalty (only satisfied customers declared brand loyalty),
brand loyal customers do not always declare complete contentment with their purchase,
satisfied customers generally declare a certain level
of brand loyalty.
Those findings seem to justify why customer loyalty is
often categorized based on customers’ brand awareness, where brand awareness is perceived as one of key
loyalty drivers. The concept of customer loyalty, particularly in marketing value, is important because
to the fact that it favours formation of a combination
of (Dobiegała-Korona et al. [6], pp. 225-226):
quality (close to 0% defects),
compliance with the expectations (close to 0% deviation),
reliability (close to 0% failure),
sustainability (close lifetime warranty),
easy to maintain (cheap, fast repair),
diagnostics (the easy identification of the customer),
accessibility (close to 100%),
technical features (latest technology),
functional characteristics (colour, style, product
environmentally friendly),
a value - added properties (full safety of the product),
future needs (the need to participate in improving
the product),
operational effectiveness,
pre - sales services (communication, cooperation),
after - sales services (maintenance of client contact
and interest),
delivery (in the short term, the installation
of the product),
price (less than the price competition),
resale value (a large percentage of the purchase
price),
reputation (perceived value),
cooperation (accountability, flexibility, sensitivity
to the needs of customers, kindness),
93
communication (listening skills, ease of contact, can
leave feedback).
Presented discussion confirms high levels of complexity and ambiguity of customer loyalty. It seems that
this very complexity makes it extremely difficult
to draw a straightforward and comprehensive definition
of the discussed term. The multitude of existing definitions of customer loyalty can be explained by growing
heterogeneity of various markets as well as increasing
range of internal and external factors affecting both,
buyers and suppliers. Market characteristics (subjective, objective) and its broad determinants justify both
the multiplicity and extent of use of the concept of customer loyalty.
3
The essence of loyalty program
A loyalty program should be viewed as a marketing
tool, which helps to achieve general aims of accepted
marketing strategy and leads to strengthened relationships with customers, as a part of customer relationship
managements plan developed by an enterprise. Therefore, a loyalty scheme can be defined as a “long-term
marketing initiative which allows all regular customers
to collect virtual points awarded after each repeat purchase, which later can be redeemed for free products,
gifts, discounts and other forms of material rewards”
(Liu [21], p. 21). Described loyalty scheme is commonly applied across B2C markets but as demonstrated
by extensive research studies can be utilized equally
successfully across large-scale B2B markets (one
of numerous examples of loyalty initiatives observed
in B2B markets are customised web-based platforms
which help companies to serve their most valued
and profitable buyers). Therefore, it can be concluded,
that any activity undertaken by an enterprise (regardless of its market size and characteristics) which aims
at rewarding its customers for repeat patronage may be
perceived as a loyalty program.
The main behavioural purpose of any loyalty initiative
is to maximize the level of customer’s relative attachment toward their favourite products or services. Such
purpose is realized, through implementation of well devised set of marketing tools, which collectively form
a company’s loyalty scheme. Apart from their behavioural aspects, all loyalty programs are implemented
in order to achieve a set of financial and economic
aims, i.e.: reduce operational costs of dealing with cus-
94
Katarzyna Szczepańska, Patryk Gawron
tomers, increase overall sales volume and profitability,
and maximize the value of customer portfolio.
Regardless of the market category (B2C, B2B), implementation and utilization of a well - devised loyalty
program ultimately leads to strengthened relationships
with existing customers, which in turn allows a company to collect a host of previously unavailable data that
can be used to improve or redesign existing loyalty
tools and other marketing initiatives (e.g. re - segmentation). Therefore, it can be concluded, that operating
a loyalty scheme not only improves customer relationship building capabilities of an enterprise, but also improves customer intelligence and allows for better
customer information management.
Customer intelligence obtained in the process of loyalty
scheme operation is also useful in “improving the perceived value of goods and services offered by an enterprise” (Bolton et al. [4], p. 98; Yi et al. [34], p. 233).
Overall improvement in the appeal of goods and services offered by a company inevitably leads to improved perception of the value of such goods
and services. Discussed maximization of value is one
of the core conditions that allow for “initiation of a relation with a customer and form the basis for further,
mutually beneficial relationship between a company
and its consumers” (Sirdeshmukh et al. [28], p. 18;
Woodruff [32], p. 142). The main aims and purposes
of any loyalty program are as follows:
effective ecouragmenet of repeat patronage (repurchase behaviour),
increased customer’s relative attachement to company’s offer, company’s values and company’s image,
increased interactions and improved dialogue with
exisiting customers,
improved customer intelligence,
improved long - term cooperation capabilities
of an enterprise.
Considering the outlined purposes of any loyalty
scheme, such initiatives should always aim to develop
and strenghten both: attitudinal and behavioural
customer loyalty. Loyalty program increases overall
value perception of doing business with the firm in two
complementary stages. The first stage of value
enhancements is based on awarding customers with
a specific number of virtual points in exchange for their
repeat purchase. Over time, customers develop internal
drive to collect more virtual points and develop “positive attitude towards preferred goods or services provider. In turn, positive attitude toward preferred goods
or services provider strengthens the relationship between a firm and its customers, and consequently increases the levels of customers’ behavioural
and attitudinal loyalty” (Lemon et al. [19], p. 4).
The number of points collected over a period of time
acts as a psychological incentive, which drives the customers to repeat their purchases with preferred company. Subjectively perceived degrees of motivation
to repurchase a set of goods or services, are usually
defined, by the relative value of collected points (i.e.
the number of points needed to claim a reward). Therefore it can be concluded, that in the case of point-based
loyalty schemes, the relative value of awarded points
has a direct effect on the levels of loyalty declared
by a customer.
The second stage of value enhancement process begins
whenever a customer decides to redeem collected virtual points for material rewards. “The free reward functions as a positive reinforcement of consumers’
purchase behaviour and conditions them to continue
doing business with the firm” (Sheth et al. [26],
p. 263). Psychologically, giving free rewards to customers shows the firm’s appreciation and personal
recognition of its customers. Current loyalty programs
are therefore aimed, at deepening consumer’s relationship with a firm over a long period, which should result
in decreased customer churn, decreased costs of customer service, decreased advertising expenditure.
This set of results expected from any loyalty programs
are what differentiates a loyalty scheme from marketing tools associated with broadly perceived sales promotion (i.e. rewarding customers for incidental
purchase of a specific product or service).
Extensive research into loyalty programs in B2C markets confirms that company’s operate two main types
of discussed initiatives: program - centric loyalty
schemes and customer - centric loyalty schemes. Based
on that research we can clearly identify the main
changes in loyalty programs that have been observed
over time.
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
95
Table 3. Types of loyalty programs
(based on: Kumar [14], p. 326)
Types of loyalty programs
Program - centric
Customer - centric
Operational level - aggregate
Operational level - customer
Standardized program, based on usage
or spending
Standard and uniform reward scheme,
aimed at repeat purchase
Customized program, based on types of usage or type
of spending
Personalized reward scheme, aimed at influencing
specific behavioural change or attitudinal gratification
Minimal reward options
Multiple reward options
Reactive reward mechanism
Reactive and proactive reward mechanism
Tangible rewards
Tangible and experiential rewards
Program objective: increase market share
and revenues, build behavioural loyalty
through repeat purchase or usage
Program objective: link loyalty to profitability, influence
behavioural loyalty, cultivate attitudinal loyalty
Metrics used: RFM, PCV, SOW
Metrics used: CLV
Technology and analytics usage: minimal
Technology and analytics usage: extensive
The historical changes in loyalty initiatives can be followed within the set of dimensions, outlined below:
enhancement of relationships that bond a customers
with a firm,
operational level,
fulfilling loyalty program’s commitments and promises.
program objective,
program type,
rewarding scheme and reward options,
reward mechanism,
reward type,
metrics used,
technology and analytics usage.
Changes in loyalty programs by criteria: operational
level, the program rewards scheme, options and
a mechanism for rewarding, rewards, objective indicators, the use of information technology are presented
in Table 3. Introduction of loyalty programs is generally aimed, at achieving several key objectives, which
fall into three main categories:
maximization of value for customers, offering value
that matches customers’ expectations,
Based on the main objectives of any loyalty program
outlined above it can be concluded, that the firm’s ability to maximise the value for customers with the information obtained via loyalty scheme introduction is one
of the key elements that define the efficiency of loyalty
initiatives from both: a customer’s as well as a firm’s
perspectives.
4
Loyalty program tools
Depending on the degree of customer loyalty is generally applicable to change forms of their reward.
An example of the relationship between forms of reward and the level of customer loyalty is shown
in Fig. 3.
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Katarzyna Szczepańska, Patryk Gawron
Relative loyalty
Club membership
Special offers
Promotions
Services
Products
Types of rewards
Figure 3. Observed relationship between types of rewards and levels of relative loyalty
(source: own work)
As can be seen from studies on the Polish market, B2C
loyalty programs used only 51% of the surveyed companies. The most common used instruments are
(www.rolandberger.com):
bonus programs (53%) - the program offers a collection of points in exchange for using or acquiring
company's products and their subsequent conversion
to the prize,
customer card (21%) - discount card loyalty
that allows access to additional services,
customer clubs (18%) - regular customers, which
offers additional services (for membership of the
club determines the size of their purchases and customer seniority),
couponing (8% of respondents) - the transfer
of vouchers enabling customers to purchase goods
at a reduced price or free of charge under certain
conditions of purchase.
The necessity to award loyal behaviour with tangible
rewards is clearly justified by research, which shows,
that levels of loyalty declared by customers tend
to fluctuate over time. “Customers’ buying behaviour
is shaped by (...) a set of behavioural drivers, which
affect the customers with various intensity. Customer’s
will to develop loyalty toward a brand is directly linked
to the intensity of behavioural drivers, which the customer is exposed to” (Urban et al. [30], p. 70). Based
on those findings we can outline the following key loyalty drivers:
relationship drivers (e.g.: customer – company relationship, customer’s emotional involvement with
a company, etc.),
social drivers (e.g.: customers’ need to stand out
from the crowd, etc.),
value - based drivers (e.g.: most favourable value price ratio, etc),
external drivers (lack of alternative suppliers due
to significant market barriers, etc.).
Therefore, the dynamic nature of customer loyalty justifies the need to shape the tools utilized by a loyalty
scheme in accordance with the behaviour and attitudes
exhibited by a targeted customer group. From a psychological viewpoint, providing the customers with
free rewards for their repeat patronage validates a company’s goodwill and emphasizes a company’s positive
attitude towards its customers. Upon receipt of a free
reward, a customer feels important and valued
by a firm and is therefore more likely to continue his
relationship with a favourite goods or services provider.
As shown by extensive research, rewarding customers
for repeat patronage serves two important purposes:
provides customers with free-of-charge access
to sought-after goods and services, which are often
perceived as luxurious (Kivetz [11], p. 728),
enhances customer engagement in a firm’s everyday
operations (Dowling et al. [7], p. 73), and therefore
improves the relationships between customers and
goods or services provider.
Results of research carried out in Europe and the U.S.
support use, according to the criterion of time, two
types of reward: immediate and deferred. The types
of awards are presented in Table 4.
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
97
Table 4: Types of rewards
(source: Kwiatek [15],p. 90)
Specification
Immediate reduction
of prices ( %)
Awards postponed
(%)
The electronic wallets
(%)
63
56
58
72
17
41
7
3
5
Retail Trade
Services
Total
Those findings further justify the need to shape loyalty
- building tools in accordance with targeted customer
group expectations, which in turn will result in enhanced levels of customer loyalty. Moreover, both tangible and intangible rewards claimed by the customers
enrolled in a loyalty scheme create a feeling of excitement among consumers, which should improve firm’s
overall image and enhance the perceived value
of a company’s offer. It is also worth noting, that discussed loyalty program tools may fulfil various objectives, which are outlined below:
tive markets. Many of today’s customers take advantage of numerous loyalty programs, often provided
by company, which are in direct competition. Therefore,
it can be assumed, that loyalty scheme success depends
not only on the program itself but also on other facilitating and inhibiting factors present in a company’s
internal and external environment. Program - related
factors, which explain a company’s internal strategies
that can contribute to the success of loyalty scheme,
include the following:
sales improvement objective – increased sales volume, increased sales value,
program participation requirements (convenience
of participation, cost of participation),
data collection objective – estimation of repeat purchase probability,
program point structure (point issuance and point
collection convenience),
psychological objective – enhancement of a firm’s
image, relationship building,
program reward structure (points value, variety
of reward options, choice and availability of rewards, brand - reward congruence, reward form:
cash versus free products),
market objective – competitive advantage improvement,
economic objective – efficiency valuation, sales
profitability estimation.
Moreover, careful analysis of the relationship between
individual loyalty scheme tools and the way they affect
customer behaviour, seem to be at the very core estimation of the overall loyalty program effectiveness. Such
exercise may involve path analysis studies, a statistical
method of finding cause and effect relationships, which
allow a description of the dependencies among a set
of variables.
5
Factors affecting loyalty program
effectiveness
Loyalty program effectiveness is defined by the degree
with which a scheme fulfils a set of clearly outlined
objectives. Each program may have its own unique set
of success measures depending on its intended objectives, which complicates an unbiased assessment
of scheme effectiveness, especially in highly competi-
program management (capturing and analysing consumer intelligence, organizational support, position
of loyalty program in a firm’s overall marketing
strategy).
Success factors that are present in a firm’s external environment, and therefore cannot be fully controlled
include the following:
consumers’ needs and expectations (consumer’s
usage levels, consumer’s need to stand out, etc.),
consumers’ generic traits and characteristics (demographics, current and expected shopping orientation, variety seeking, price sensitivity),
competitive environment characteristics (firm’s
market position, product sustainability and expandability, market segmentation),
competitive loyalty programs characteristics (loyalty program saturation, loyalty program differentiation, loyalty program awareness).
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Katarzyna Szczepańska, Patryk Gawron
-
Loyalty program
participation requirements
point structure
reward structure
program management
Loyalty
program
effectiveness
-
Customers
customers’ needs and expectations
customer traits
Competition
- general competition characteristics
- competitive loyalty programs characterisi
Figure 4. Factors affecting loyalty program effectiveness
(source: own work based on: Liu et al. [22], p. 95)
Results of research on the Polish market B2C show that
the main causes of failure in loyalty programs include
(www.rolandberger.com):
lack of involvement in the program of all departments,
too few rewards for program participants,
slow implementation of promised benefits (awards,
services, privileges),
too complicated way of communicating about
the program,
expectation of immediate benefits from the program.
Key factors affecting loyalty program effectiveness are
illustrated in Fig. 4.
As shown in Fig. 4, a loyalty program should be devised based on all, available information on a firm’s
external environment. Each element of such program
must account for the dynamic nature of the environment and make best possible use of all the available
data on existing loyalty programs (especially programs
offered by a firm’s direct competition). Process
of preparation loyalty program must also make use
of detailed consumer data, which can be obtained
from existing, consumer database.
6
Research on loyalty program effectiveness
Loyalty program effectiveness defined by the degree
with which a scheme fulfils a set of clearly outlined
objectives depends largely on proper customization
of all program’s elements. Effectiveness of customer centric schemes as well as program - oriented schemes
can be considered from two independent perspectives:
short - term effects of the scheme on consumers’
repurchase behaviour and their attitudes towards
firm’s products,
long - term effects of the scheme on consumers’
buying behaviour and their attitudes towards firm’s
products.
Moreover, for each group of factors identified as affecting customer loyalty, a firm should devise an appropriate set of measures, which will enable correct
assessment of loyalty - related marketing activity effectiveness. A set of properly devised analytical measures
of loyalty program effectiveness allows identification
of all scheme’s attributes, which are likely to be strongly affected by any changes that take place
in a firm’s external environment.
Moreover, regular use of such measures enables collection of most suitable consumer data, which in turn can
be used for ongoing loyalty scheme improvement.
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
To improve existing loyalty programs, company should
also conduct ongoing studies into customer responsiveness to current marketing activities, which will allow
for better customization of all marketing tools devised
for future implementation. Loyalty program effectiveness can also be assessed based on changes in existing
customers’ lifetime value (CLV). In the financial terms,
customer lifetime value means “the difference between
discounted future profit margin from a customer
and total costs of generating the revenue, which can be
calculated using the following formula” (Kołczyński
[12], p. 369):
CLV = [ ∑ (Ma – Ka) r(a-1) / (1 + i)a ] – KP
(1)
where:
CLV- Customer Lifetime Value,
a
- number of the successive customer activity
period,
M
- gross profit contribution per customer per
period a,
K
- customer service cost per customer per period a,
R
- retention rate,
i
- average forecasted interest rate,
KP - customer acquisition cost.
Customer lifetime value can also be calculated using
net cash flow parameter (the difference between total
revenue generated by a customer and total costs of customer acquisition, retention and relationship development) and discount rate parameter (e.g.: total cost of all
activities aimed at a customer).
Financial efficiency of existing loyalty program can be
measured with customer equity model, which fundamentally equals returns on acquisition plus returns
on retention plus returns on add-on selling across
a firm’s entire customer portfolio over time (Blattberg
[2], p. 201). Despite relatively common use of loyalty
programs, there is limited evidence on the long-term
financial and marketing effects of such programs
and their effectiveness is not well established. Available research data, mainly from B2C markets, focuses
on three key areas:
comparison of loyalty programs across competitors
(multiple company’s),
comparison of the behaviour of loyalty program
members with that of non-members,
studies of the loyalty program members’ behaviour
across time.
99
Research into loyalty programs run by major airlines
showed significant short-term increase in the interest
in airline offer across majority of program members
(Kopalle et al. [13], p. 23). Comparison studies of loyalty program members and non - members behaviour
among customers of North American and European
financial institutions conducted in 2000 and 2003 (Bolton et al. [4], p. 95; Verhoef [31], p. 32) suggest that
participation in a firm’s loyalty program makes consumers likely to stay with the firm and encourages
them to expand their business with the company.
The same studies also find that program members
weigh negative experience less in their re - patronage
decisions than non - members, which is consistent with
the proposition that loyalty programs allow company
to enjoy their customers more exclusively and are less
likely to experience significant customer churn due
to customer’s negative experiences. On the other hand,
discussed studies do not find significant main effect
of loyalty program membership on long-term customer
retention.
It is also worth noting that a large number of studies
suggest that loyalty programs have minimal or no impact on consumer’s loyalty behaviour. Those studies
are based on assumption that the increase of re- patronage rate does not stem from consumer loyalty
and loyalty development techniques implemented by
company but rather from consumers’ generic traits.
Furthermore, discussed studies divide all consumers
into two major groups (Lewis [20], p. 283; Verhoef
[31], p. 32):
consumers reluctant or unwilling to switch suppliers,
consumers who actively search for most favourable
offer and are indifferent to loyalty - building tools
implemented by suppliers.
Studies of the loyalty program members’ behaviour
across time conducted in the retail sector support the
positive impact of loyalty building tools on consumer’s
increased spending their re - patronage rates (Lal et al.
[17], p. 180; Taylor et al. [29], p. 294). They do not
support the hypothesis that such techniques help to develop significant bonds between consumers and brands
(i.e. loyalty).
Discussed studies suggest that loyalty program members exhibit loyalty toward the program itself, mainly
due to potential rewards offered by the scheme and do
not declare significant loyalty toward a firm or a brand.
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Katarzyna Szczepańska, Patryk Gawron
Table 5. Results of loyalty programs
(source: own work based on: Kwiatek [15], pp. 95-99)
Company
Lisner
Amica
Results
-
exceeded the expected value quantitative objectives,
there has been the effect of so - called full shelves before beginning
of television campaign.
enhancing the image,
establishing relationships with key market participants,
increased sales by 15% per annum,
increase in market share does not cause decrease in the value
of profitability ratios.
Researchers also identified temporary shock in spending as consumers increased their purchase levels
to qualify for a reward; however, they also found that
after the reward, was obtained the positive change
in behaviour tended to dissipate.
Similar insignificant impact of loyalty programs,
on true loyalty among consumers, was shown, in research studies conducted in 2005 among over 57 thousand US loyalties - card program members (Allaway
et al. [1], p. 317). Extensive research also supports
the hypothesis, that limited impact of loyalty programs
on true loyalty among consumers results from overcrowding the market with homogenous (or nearly homogenous) loyalty-building schemes, which most
frequently have been devised based on wrong assumptions regarding consumers’ needs and expectations.
On the other hand, a number of published studies confirm the positive effect of discussed initiatives on loyal
attitudes among consumers, which are exhibited in their
everyday spending patterns (e.g.: Lewis [20], p. 282;
Verhoef [31], p. 32). Therefore, it can be concluded,
that available empirical studies provide mixed support
for loyalty programs, and there is still much controversy over whether the loyalty program is an appealing
marketing tool. Results of loyalty programs, made by
companies on the Polish market illustrated in Table 5.
One of the main variables that describe the capacity
of existing loyalty programs to produce a set of desired
effects is the loyalty program effectiveness rating.
The focal variable of such rating used in studies that
compare loyalty programs across competitors (multiple
company) is share of wallet (SOW), which describes:
amount of the customer’s total spending that a firm
captures in the products or services that it offers,
increase or decrease in market share that is being
recorded by a firm over a set period of time.
Studies conducted in 2003 (Magi [23], p. 98) using
consumer panel data of grocery purchases find mixed
support for the positive effect of loyalty programs
on share of wallet. Discussed studies reveal increased
share of wallet for four of seven analysed programs
and offers support for the use of accumulated rewards
in loyalty programs. Moreover, recorded increase
in share of wallet was supported only on chain level,
not at the individual store level. Similarly, the studies
conducted in 2006 among French grocery retailers
seem to confirm ambiguous effect of loyalty programs
on retailers’ profitability and their popularity among
consumers (Meyer-Waarden et al. [24], p. 86).
Reviewed results of numerous studies clearly signify
that loyal behaviour among consumers is triggered
by a host of internal and external factors. Based on discussed studies it may also be concluded that failure
to identify major loyalty drivers usually results in less
than satisfactory effects of implemented loyalty scheme
on a firm’s key customers. For this, very reason implementation of a loyalty program, should be proceeded
by extensive research into customers’ needs and expectations as well as careful analysis of existing loyalty
schemes and other elements of a firm’s external environment. It is important to note, that available research
data tends to focus on short-term effectiveness of loyalty programs, and their long-term effects on consumers
as well as competitors remain largely unstudied. This
clearly signifies an existing knowledge gap
in the field of loyalty building activities and justifies
the need to conduct further research into:
detailed characteristics of customer segments enrolled in loyalty programs,
key factors that affect loyalty program effectiveness,
Loyalty Programs Effectiveness
types and levels of costs associated with loyalty
program preparation, implementations and maintenance,
general effectiveness of existing loyalty programs.
Due to prevalent use of loyalty programs in recent
years and the role they play in everyday practice
of marketing management, such studies should be conducted in both, B2C and B2B markets.
7
Conclusions
Loyalty programs are viewed as one of the key elements and one of the key tools of a firm’s customer
relationship management system. Preparation, implementation and maintenance of a loyalty program generate significant costs, and therefore should be
approached as long - term commitment and an integral
part of a long - term marketing strategy. Numerous
companies, especially in the markets, which are saturated with similar loyalty schemes, perceive the implementation of such programs as part of their defensive
strategy, which helps to retain most valued customers
and creates considerable barriers against customers’
switching suppliers. Viewing loyalty program as
an instrument of defensive marketing strategy usually
results in a costly investment, which fails to fulfil its
potential and impact the profitability of a business.
The empirical studies reviewed in the article seem
to confirm, that most loyalty programs are devised
as reactive measures and their authors fail to consider
a host of factors that may affect the effectiveness
of the scheme in its operative stages.
Failure to analyse the entire market (i.e. consumers
and competition) in the development stages of loyalty
program preparation results in a scheme that lacks expected effectiveness and adds to general disappointment with commonly used relationship marketing techniques. Therefore, it can be concluded that a newly devised loyalty program should provide any business with
two key benefits:
competitive benefit – a loyalty program should be
viewed as an element of firm’s most valuable assets,
which plays a major part in building long-term
competitive advantage,
value benefit – a loyalty program aids a firm’s data
mining capabilities and therefore should help with
providing customers with desired value.
101
From the customer’s viewpoint, a loyalty program provides a host of unique, tangible and intangible benefits
(e.g.: discounts, rewards, gifts) and so can be wrongly
perceived as a self - sufficient entity, which in the case
of improperly devised schemes results in fostering loyalty toward the program rather than a particular brand
or firm. Furthermore, in markets saturated with similar
loyalty programs such scenario may lead to fostering
loyalty toward rewards offered by the scheme and erosion of existing, true loyalty toward any particular
brand or firm. In order to prevent further disappointment with the effectiveness of loyalty programs, marketers should adopt a new approach to loyalty scheme
development. It is important to recognize that loyalty
programs do not operate as separate entities in an isolated environment, and so their development, should be
preceded, by careful examination of existing loyalty
schemes run, by direct competitors as well as customers’ needs and expectations.
8
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Multicriteria Decision Making Model for the New Team Member Selection . . .
103
MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING MODEL FOR THE NEW TEAM MEMBER SELECTION
BASED ON INDIVIDUAL AND GROUP-RELATED FACTORS
Jakub WOJNAR
Faculty of Management
Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland
email:
[email protected]
Abstract: This paper presents a novel approach to the team building emphasizing group-related attributes
of potential candidates instead of focusing on their individual characteristics during the recruitment process.
The main assumption is that the teamwork capabilities are equally if not more important than individual
skills or competences when selecting new team member. Myers-Briggs Type Indicator is used for analyzing
teamwork capabilities and multicriteria decision making model will be developed as a final solution.
Key words: team, teamwork, personality types, MBTI, cognitive proximity, recruitment process.
1
Introduction
There is no doubt that nowadays teamwork is a key
factor of the successful company. Teamwork can be
defined as a collaboration of two or more people
on a common task [13] and it improves innovativeness
of the company [20]. According to Hayes teamwork
encourages people to be more professional and responsible [12]. It also helps to empower employees
and gives the opportunity of making decision to the
people who perform the tasks [17]. Very often teams
are used for in order to manage change, reduce costs,
increase effectiveness and productivity [2]. Unfortunately gathering a group of people and just calling them
a team is not a solution. It is important to note that
there is a significant difference between group
and team and is related to the way that group and team
achieve their goals as well as to the evaluation of their
performance. Members of the group are responsible
and accountable for individual work products and in the
same way is measured their performance whereas
team’s performance is measured as a function of individual and collective efforts and results as all members
share individual and mutual accountability [16].
The main differences between the group and the team
are described in Table 1. and it is a base for defining
the main problem described in Section II.
There are two important differences in the table above
that have solid consequences for the work results.
Team members’ mutual accountability and collective
work products lead to the fact that team’s performance
is directly impacted by cooperation capabilities
and relationships between team members. This does not
exist in a group as group’s members are treated individually.
Table 1. Group vs. Team
(source: [16])
104
Jakub Wojnar
But in case of a team if team members are not able
to cooperate and their professional relations are below
the sufficient level such team will not be successful
even though all individuals are very competent [8].
Sometimes very competent experts are selected based
solely on their professional skills which do not include
social and communication attributes and that may not
have suitable personalities for team work [17]. Team
composition is an important issue for a team success
and includes such factors as composition of member’s
personality, team leadership or communication and
coordination within a team [10]. It was noted already
in the beginning of 19th century by the Polish economist, engineer and management science researcher
Karol Adamiecki that besides two types of harmony
that are crucial for effectiveness of collective work –
harmony of choice and harmony of doing – there is also
a third one, the harmony of spirit which deals only with
human factors and should connect all people working
together [1].
This paper focuses on a team as defined by Katzenbach
and Smith [16]: “A team is a small number of people
with complementary skills who are committed to
a common purpose, set of performance goals, and approach for which they hold themselves accountable”
and elaborates on a team building method using individual (technical) and group (human) related factors
with a main assumption taken from a software project
teams that when talking about better team performance
human attributes of team members are more important
than their technological skills [10]. There are different
types of teams: sales team, project teams, sport teams,
R&D teams, service teams, management teams, etc.
In this paper IT Service Team is discussed. The role
of such team within IT organization is to deliver
and maintain IT services according to the Standard
Level Agreement between the service provider (IT Service Team) and the customer (i.e. Global F&C Team).
Despite service delivery tasks discussed team also
transforms into project team where all resources are
used in the project mode, meaning the team provides
unique end result in a limited time with limited cost.
In the next sections when the problem is stated
or the solution proposed described above IT Service
Delivery team is meant.
This paper is organized as follows. In Section II a practical problem of recruiting a new member to the already
existing and well performing team is described. Different aspects of selecting the optimal candidate from
group-related and individual perspective are listed.
Then a novel approach to the team building process
with a focus on social and team working capabilities
of potential candidates is proposed in Section III.
The model as such is not created yet but its components
are described. Section IV provides and illustrative example of the problem and its solution. Last two sections
provide information on possible further research
and conclude the paper with a short summary.
2
The problem
Having well organized team with competent members
is a goal that many managers want to achieve. Such
team when well managed will perform excellent using
the synergy effect coming from complementary characteristics of its members. However in today’s dynamic
and turbulent environment in the most of the companies
the only thing that is constant is a change. Enterprises
change their strategies, goals and of course organizational structures. These changes lead many high performing teams to lose their members and the question
arises of who should be hired in order to keep
the team’s performance on a sufficient level. Building
a successful team of experts who will creatively
and willingly cooperate with each other is a big challenge. Admittedly, a company success depends on its
employees, their experiences, codified and tacit
knowledge, competences and - above all – mutual cooperation, sharing information, trust, sympathy, understanding, etc. When observing sport teams (i.e. football)
it can be easily seen that many times team consisting of
players with “average” skills but cooperating and “feeling” each other on the field can outperform the team
of “stars”. The same applies to the business teams.
When building a high performing team the cooperation
ability of team members is more important than their
individual attributes. But analyzing Human Resources
Management literature it can be found that the most
popular recruitment techniques and tools are based only
on individual characteristics of candidates. Some of the
most popular selection’s techniques are references, interview, professional tests, intelligence tests, Assessment Center [15], applications analysis, bio-data
analysis, 360-evaluation, executive search [18], education, academic results [3].
Multicriteria Decision Making Model for the New Team Member Selection . . .
105
Figure 1. Recruitment Problem
(source: self study)
This is confirmed by a small survey performed on 31
international companies – mainly from IT and ICT sector but not limited to – that were asked whether during
the recruitment process they check the candidate’s fitness into the team he or she will work in. Only five
companies answered positively, meaning that prior
to the recruitment process they evaluate and analyze
existing team and based on that try to find a proper new
team member. The rest of the companies recruit new
employees using one or many from the methods listed
above. Such techniques can answer a question whether
a candidate is a leader type of person or prefers to be
led however regardless of their sophistication; they are
mostly focused only on the candidate’s individual attributes without any reference to the team. Some authors mention about techniques that evaluate
candidate’s fitness into overall company’s strategy
or even the capability of creating human relations [3]
however there is no mention about fitness into particular team. One of the main factors influencing team effectiveness is communication. It plays significant role
in every type of teams and becomes crucial with
a growing number of team members. The problem is
how to choose the candidate for the existing team
in order to maximize its performance based on candidate’s skills and competences, teamwork capabilities
and fitness to the team and last but not least geographical location. Fig. 1. illustrates the recruitment problem.
There is a IT Service Team (small circles) that possesses well established communication and knowledgeflow channels (arrows between the circles) and has its
solid structure with formal leader (crossed circle), subject matters experts, support personnel. This team due
to the organizational changes is forced to increase the
number of its members by selecting one from the pool
of candidates (triangles) that are dispersed geographically and poses different levels of competence, skills,
experience and interpersonal capabilities.
In the next chapter a solution based on multicriteria
decision model for the recruitment problem is proposed.
3
Proposed solution
The proposed solution is based on the assumption that
team-working skills and cooperation capabilities
of candidate are equally if not more important factors
than his individual characteristics. It is based on a multicriteria decision model using two sets of criteria: individual and group related with emphasis on MyersBriggs Type Indicator and Cognitive Proximity. In order to make a team more effective such diversities
as cognitive style, team role preferences or values must
be smartly organized and managed [14]. One of the
factors for a successful team is communication.
106
Jakub Wojnar
1
5
4
2
3
6
Figure 2. Knowledge flow between team members
(source: self study)
In Opt and Loffredo’s work can be found that introverts
tend to be socially disadvantaged because of their
communication preference and they see themselves
as poor communicators [19]. That may have negative
impact on the team’s communication. However knowing the communication’s preference of team members
can increase tolerance and acceptance of those who are
not feeling well with expressing externally [19]
and thus improve the overall quality of team communication. In James Stapelton’s research it can be found
that there is a significant difference in the decision performance of teams if MBTI functions of team members
taken into consideration [22]. Cognitively heterogeneous pairs of members in Sensing-Intuition MBTI function are outperforming only sensing pairs in decision
performing but not homogenous intuitive pairs
of members [9].
In a first stage the existing team is analyzed in order
to determine communication channels and knowledge
flows. This can be done by performing simple survey
asking team members i.e. ‘whom do they communicate
with most often’ or ‘whom do they ask for an advice’.
Results of the survey are represented by a digraph or by
its matrix. An illustration of the example answer
for the question of ‘whom do you ask for an advice
when performing daily work tasks’ is presented on
Fig. 2. Such question identifies the subject matter experts and the knowledge transfer within the team.
In above graph vertices represent team members
and arcs the knowledge flow between the members.
Subject matter experts and their level of importance
in the knowledge transfer within a team is defined
by the node’s outdegree value (deg–(v)) ordered from
highest to lowest. In our example:
deg -(3) = 4
deg -(1) = 2
deg -(4) = 2
deg -(6) = 1
deg -(2) = 0
deg -(5) = 0
That means that member (3) serves as a knowledge
source for most of the team members and should be
considered as main contact point for a new member
in a process of induction into new tasks and responsibilities. The following team members with lower outdegree values should be treated accordingly.
Second stage of the team analysis will be based on the
Myers-Briggs Type Indicator concept. It is based
on Carl Jung's theory of psychological type. It assumes
that every person has natural preference in perceiving
the world and making decisions in the same way like
with preference of using right hand over the left –
or vice versa [6]. This preference is defined by four
pairs of dichotomous attributes: Extroversion/Introversion, Sensing/iNtuition, Thinking/Feeling and Perceiving/Judging [5]. Combination of one attribute from
each pair creates sixteen psychological types that a person can be described by and they are listed in Table 2.
Table 2. Psychological types
(source: [5])
Multicriteria Decision Making Model for the New Team Member Selection . . .
107
Table 3. Attribute relations
(source: [24])
Each type shows such preference. For example a person
characterized by type ISTJ is rather introvert that collects data by sensing makes decision by logical analysis
and prefers systematic and planned way of acting.
Then each of the MBTI types is decomposed in single
attributes and those attributes are valued from the perspective of cooperation capabilities [24]. The pair
of introvert vs. extrovert is quite easy to define as extroverts are outer world oriented and teamwork stimulates them. Such relation will be positive for
cooperation. On the other hand it will be very difficult
for two introverts to cooperate as they draw their energy from the focus on concepts and ideas and they need
quiet time alone. And thus such relation will be negative. Relation between introvert and extrovert will be
neutral from the teamwork perspective. People characterized by iNtuition attribute are able to create a vision
from the scratch and set a future goal whereas Sensing
team members will put this vision into realistic frame
and make it happen [5]. Such relation is complementary and positive. Relations S-S and N-N are neutral
as such people see the world in the same way and often
such relation does not bring any creative impulse.
The same rule applies to Thinking-Feeling relation.
In case of Judging and Perceiving pairs the situation is
different. J-J and P-P people share the same vision
of the world and agree on the same values and norms.
This is why such relations will be positive. On the other
and J-P people will not be able to understand each other
and foresee what the other is going to do [7, 8].
This relation will be negative from the cooperation perspective. Above relations are summarized in Table 3.
by assigning “+” for positive relation, “n” for neutral
and “-” for negative relation. Relations between single
attributes of different dichotomies, i.e. Extrovert vs.
Intuitive are not valued as they operate on different
domains and are incomparable.
In Table 4. Saaty’s fundamental scale for pairwise
comparison is presented. It is used in order to quantify
described attributes’ relations. Explanation of the intensity of importance from the scale ideally fits to the purpose of valuing different types of relations between
MBTI attributes.
Table 4. Fundamental scale
(source: [21])
108
Jakub Wojnar
Table 5. Values of attribute relations
(source: [24])
Table 6. MBTI types relations matrix
(source: [24])
Table 7. Normalized matrix
(source: [24])
Multicriteria Decision Making Model for the New Team Member Selection . . .
Based on the above scale following values were applied
to the MBTI relations:
er proximities as well) that is expressed by a binary
function below
for negative relation – value 0 – in order to avoid
negative numbers,
for neutral relation – value 1,
for positive relation – value 5.
It must be stated here that the above values are chosen
in a subjective way in order to emphasize the difference
between the relations and to simplify further calculations.
Quantified attributes’ relations are presented in Table 5.
Individual attributes’ relations are extrapolated to the
whole types and MBTI types’ relations matrix is created. This matrix is presented in Table 6. In order
to simplify further calculations above matrix is normalized by dividing it by maximum value. Normalized
matrix is presented in Table 7.
Above matrix can be read in following way: the best
combination of types for cooperation is a pair with the
highest value in the matrix. In our case the highest value equals 1 for pairs (ENFJ, ESTJ), (ENTJ, ESFJ), etc.
On the other hand the worst combination of types
for cooperation are pairs with lowest value in the matrix. In our example these are (INFP, INFJ), (INTP,
INTJ), etc with value 0, 1. This table is used as follows.
All members of existing team are MBTI analyzed
and each member has one out of sixteen MBTI types
assigned. The same applies to all candidates. Now candidates will be compared pairwise with previously subject matter experts of the team in order to find
the highest values for such comparison. This will be
the first group-related criterion for the final model.
Second group-related criterion is a competence level
of candidate in relation to other team members. For that
purpose Walukiewicz’s concept of Cognitive Proximity
will be used. Cognitive proximity called also technological proximity defines the cognitive distance between actors working on a particular problem [23]. It
consists of codified and tacit knowledge related to the
problem being solved as well as problem-related experience, differences and similarities of the actors. Cognitive proximity facilitates their creative cooperation and
stimulates innovative processes involved in the act.
It makes their communication easier and simplifies the
learning process as well. In order to quantify our research and analysis, we introduce the utility measure u
of cognitive proximity (similar measure is used for oth-
109
1 if expert E is cognitively able
to co-operate with expert H
during time t
u(CP, E, H, t) =
0 otherwise
where u means utility function, CP – cognitive proximity, E and H are actors working on a specific Virtual
Production Line and t is a time period during which E
and H cooperate. This function should be understood as
follows: if two experts E and H are cognitively able
to cooperate, that is to say, their codified and tacit
knowledge levels allow them to cooperate on a specified problem during time t, our utility function yields
the result of 1. Cognitive proximity is direct in a sense
that we are interested both in actors and direct cognitive
relations between them and that they have influence
on that proximity. One could think that two actors
working together should be as cognitively close to each
other as possible, however too much cognitive proximity may be detrimental to learning and innovation [4].
Therefore another measure d for expressing cognitive
distance between actors that could be understood
as difference in knowledge – tacit and codified, relevant to the problem – is introduced. The utility function
curve in relation the distance has a shape similar to the
bell curve, as shown in the Fig. 3. To achieve optimal
productivity of two actors working on a problem, their
cognitive proximity should look as shown. As cognitive
proximity is very dependent on the problem being
solved, the shape of the curves will vary accordingly,
nevertheless the idea is that optimal utility will always
be achieved at a similar point. Cognitive proximity is
asymmetric which means that the knowledge absorption capacity of actor E is not the same as that of actor
H, i.e. actor E may understand or even anticipate
the ideas of actor H faster than actor H ideas of actor E
[11].
Properties of utility and distance of proximity:
d(CP, E, H, t) [0, 1]
(1)
d(CP, E, H, t) = 1 u(CP, E, H, t) = 0
(2)
d(CP, E, H, t) = 0 E = H u(CP, E, H, t) =
u(CP, H, E, t) = 0
(3)
u(CP, E, H, t) ≠ u(CP, H, E, t)
(4)
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Jakub Wojnar
Figure 3. Utility measure of cognitive proximity in a given time t
(source: [23])
And they mean that distance between actors E and H is
expressed as a value between 0 and 1. If distance d
equals 1, then our previously defined utility measure
equals 0, meaning that those actors are not able to cognitively cooperate. If distance equals 0, then actors E
and H are “cognitively the same” for a particular problem and their cooperation will not bring any synergy,
so the utility function value will be 0. Asymmetry is
represented on Fig. 3. by two curves: solid one describing the distance between actor E and H and dotted describing cognitive distance between H and E.
The goal of cognitive proximity is to define and select
an optimal group of actors working together from
the perspective of creative problem being solved or,
in other words, from the perspective of knowledge absorption and productivity, and innovation creation.
These are the two main group-related criteria that are
used in the team member selection model. They are
complemented by the analysis of individual criteria like
education, experience, academic results, age, language
skills, interpersonal capabilities, etc. Individual attributes of the existing team member have a minor influence on the model as they are already incorporated
in the current performance of the team.
Next stage in the selection model deals with an analysis
of potential candidates and it starts with the MBTI
analysis. Then it is followed by the analysis of individual attributes of candidates including geographical location. It is not a surprise that currently many
organizations consider outsourcing as a cost cutting
strategy thus they are more willing to hire new employ-
ee in such countries like China, India or Brazil than
in Germany, Finland or US where labor costs are much
more higher. For the decision making process this criterion will be combined with the competence factor
in order to provide the correct answer for the choice
to be made. We can assume situation that there is two
candidates from which one is located close to the base
team with a higher level of competency but with also
with a higher costs and the second located in a different
time zone with a lower level of competency but also
with a much lower costs. At this point it should be decided whether it is more profitable to hire more competency for the higher long term costs but with quicker
ROI as collocated team member with higher initial
skills will be able to perform his daily job quite fast.
On the other hand hiring someone in the different time
zone with lower level of competency might seem to be
unreasonable decision however long term costs of outsourced employee are so much lower that it might be
profitable to higher such person and for the initial
months collocate such member within the team for the
faster knowledge transfer and afterwards sending back.
Crucial issue here that will determine the choice is
the knowledge transfer pace for temporary collocated
new team member and thus such collocation time
that influence the total cost of employee.
Above five stages of analysis form a base for new team
member selection model using group-related and individual characteristics of existing team members
and potential candidates. The whole model is presented
in Fig. 4.
Multicriteria Decision Making Model for the New Team Member Selection . . .
111
Figure 4. New team member selection mode
(source: self study)
First stage of the model identifies existing team structure, communication channels and knowledge flows.
It is followed by the typological analysis of team members using Myers-Briggs Type Indicator modified
in order to quantify cooperation relations between different types. Last stage of the team analysis is related
to the individual attributes of its members. Then potential new team members are analyzed starting with
MBTI type identification and followed by individual
attributes analysis including geographical location, experience and competence. In the final stage multicriteria decision is made based on the group-related
and individual attributes emphasizing cooperation
and social characteristics of both team members
and candidates.
Such model for a new team member selection based
on group-related and individual attributes can be used
for example in global telecommunication companies
which have plans to outsource some of their operational
tasks, i.e. IT support, marketing, etc. After outsourcing
these tasks will be performed jointly by internal resources and external consultants depending on the criticality of the tasks. The company that wants to
outsource is sending out requests for proposals for outsourcing services and providers are proposing delivery
of the services including human resources allocated
for the tasks being performed. Then requesting company can use such model for the selection of optimal external candidates to be working with an internal team
in order to achieve the highest possible quality of the
service to be provided. In the next chapter an illustrative example of the problem and solution proposed is
presented.
4
Illustrative example
Let us consider a team consisting of 8 members. Due
to the new responsibilities acquired the team must hire
one additional person. Five candidates answered
for the recruitment request. The first step of the method
is Team SNA. Let’s define M as a set of existing team
members.
M = (M1, M2, M3, M4, M5, M6, M7, M8)
Matrix representing knowledge flow between team
members is showed in Table 8.
Table 8. Knowledge flow in Team M
(source: self study)
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
X
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
X
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
X
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
X
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
X
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
X
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
X
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
X
This gives following outdegree values for each of the
team members:
deg -(M1) = 7
deg -(M2) = 6
deg -(M3) = 5
deg -(M4) = 5
deg -(M5) = 3
deg -(M6) = 3
deg -(M7) = 3
deg -(M8) = 2
From above it can be seen that member M1 possesses
the most knowledge in the team and is a source
of knowledge for all of the team members. In the opposite the member M8 is least skilled from the knowledge
transfer point of view.
Next step in the method is Team MBTI. Each member
of the team solves the MBTI auto-questionnaire
that defines his or her psychological type. The example
results of this step are following:
M1 = ISTP
M2 = INTJ
M3 = ESTJ
M4 = ENTJ
M5 = ISTJ
M6 = ESTJ
M7 = ISTJ
M8 = INFP
112
Jakub Wojnar
Next step in the method is Team Individual where individual attributes of the team members are identified.
In our example we use only two attributes such us
country of residence and job role and omit others as
these are enough for understanding the method. These
attributes are important for the knowledge transfer
point of view. Country of residence plays significant
role in the cost of employee. It is not a surprise that the
cost of hiring a person in Western countries is higher
than in off-shored countries. Job role defines tasks and
responsibilities of a team member and his or her potential in the knowledge transfer towards new team member. The hierarchy of the job roles in our example is
that Ds is a most advance role requiring the most
knowledge and experience called in general the competence, Dr is a medium role requiring lower but sufficient level of competence, and Sp is introductory role
requiring basic level of competence. That also shows
the possibility of knowledge transfer between team
members and potential new member. Let’s use the example countries F, P, S, U and example job roles Ds,
Dr, Sp and identify each member by these two attributes:
M1 =
M2 =
M3 =
M4 =
M5 =
M6 =
M7 =
M8 =
(P,Ds)
(F, Ds)
(P, Dr)
(P, Dr)
(S, Sp)
(S, Sp)
(U, Sp)
(P, Sp)
Now it is time for candidate’s analysis. Let’s define C
as a set of candidates that answered for the recruitment
request for the Sp role.
C = (C1, C2, C3, C4)
Their example MBTI types are:
C1 = ENTJ
C2 = ISTJ
C3 = ESTJ
C4 = ENTJ
Last step in the method is Candidate Individual where
country of residence is identified as well as required
competence level. Examples countries for candidates
are P, F, C, B with following allocation:
C1 =
C2 =
C3 =
C4 =
F
P
B
C
Let’s define cost of hiring and keeping employee
in each country and assign to it 10 points in case of the
most expensive country and then a fraction of it
for cheaper countries. In our example it is as follows:
F = 10
P=5
C = 2,5
B=3
Then let’s define the required competence level as RC
and its scale from 0 to 1 where 0 means minimum required competence that the candidate can be hired and
1 as maximum required competence of candidate.
The results are following:
C1 = 0,8RC
C2 = 0,5RC
C3 = 0,3RC
C4 = 0,3RC
Now it is time in the method for comparison of all
identified and defined values of candidates against existing team members. Firstly we compare MBTI types
using values from Table 9.
Table 9. Candidates vs. Team members MBTI comparison
(source: self study)
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
C1
0,35
0,4
0,8
0,6
0,6
0,8
0,6
0,35
C2
0,1
0,55
0,4
0,6
0,35
0,4
0,35
0,5
C3
0,15
0,6
0,6
0,8
0,4
0,6
0,4
0,55
C4
0,35
0,4
0,8
0,6
0,6
0,8
0,6
0,35
Above matrix acts as a base for a decision making process regarding the best candidate. First, all columns
will be multiplied by the weights according to the results from Team SNA – each column will be weighted
by its outdegree value divided by the number of team
members. The results are presented in Table 10.
Table 10. Team SNA weighted matrix
(source: self study)
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
C1
0,31 0,30
0,5
0,38 0,23
0,3
0,23 0,09
C2
0,09 0,41 0,25 0,38 0,13 0,15 0,13 0,13
C3
0,13 0,45 0,38
0,5
C4
0,31
0,38 0,23
0,3
0,5
M8
0,15 0,23 0,15 0,14
0,3
0,23 0,09
Multicriteria Decision Making Model for the New Team Member Selection . . .
Then each row is multiplied by the required competence factor. The results are shown in Table 11.
113
from the team members’ personality matching perspective
2) Research and development of the team members’
Table 11. Competency weighted matrix
(source: self study)
M2
M3
M4
M5
C1
0,25 0,24
0,4
0,3
0,18 0,24 0,18 0,07
C2
0,04 0,21 0,13 0,19 0,07 0,08 0,07 0,06
competence match method based on the Cognitive
Proximity concept. Initial analysis of the concept
suggests the usage of fuzzy sets methods in order
to get optimal competence compatibilities and complementarities that generate synergy effect.
C3
0,04 0,14 0,11 0,15 0,05 0,07 0,05 0,04
3) Development of sufficient number of individual
C4
0,09 0,09 0,15 0,11 0,07 0,09 0,07 0,03
M1
M6
M7
M8
attributes used in the general selection method.
4) Development of the general selection method based
on the multicriteria decision making process.
Last step in our example is multiplying each row of the
above matrix by the reciprocal of the Country of Residence factor and normalizing the whole matrix.
The results are shown in Table 12.
Table 12. Decision matrix
(source: self study)
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
M6
M7
M8
C1
0,41
0,4
0,67
0.5
0,3
0,4
0,3
0,12
C2
0,15 0,69 0,42 0,63 0,22 0,25 0,22 0,21
C3
0,22 0,75 0,63 0,83 0,25 0,38 0,25 0,23
C4
0,61
0,6
1
0,75 0,45
0,6
0,45 0,18
Now if we summarize the values in rows we get:
C1 = 3,09
C2 = 2,77
C3 = 3,53
C4 = 4,64
That means that in our example the best candidate
for the team is C4 which is the final decision point
in the presented example.
5
Further Research
It must be stated that described example was very simple and limited only to one group related and two individual attributes. The method used simple operations
as its main role was only to present the possible new
method of choosing the right candidate for the existing
team using jointly individual and group related attributes of both existing team members and potential new
members. There are several next steps in the research
that will focus on:
1) Further research and analysis of the MBTI instru-
ment and its usage in the team building activities
6
Conclusion
The common problem of today’s corporations is to acquire competent and experience staff that is capable
of performing well in a fast and changing environment.
Typically the recruitment process takes care of individual characteristics of potential new employees without
relation to existing team that new employee will work
in. This can cause a situation when well skilled new
team member will not fit into existing team and instead
of improving its performance will negatively affect it.
As a solution for this problem a novel approach to the
selection process is proposed. The solution is based
on multicriteria decision model taking into consideration group-related and individual characteristics of both,
existing team members and candidates. The selection
model consists of five analysis stages that are concluded with sixth stage of decision point. Two main criteria
for group-related attributes are Myers-Briggs Type Indicator and Cognitive Proximity concept.
7
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