Academia.eduAcademia.edu

Ocean Justice: SDG 14 and Beyond

2020, Journal of Global Ethics

The ocean is central to our lives, but many of our impacts on the ocean are highly unsustainable, and patterns of resource exploitation at sea are deeply inequitable. This article assesses whether the objectives encapsulated in the UN's Sustainable Development Goal for the ocean are well equipped to respond to these challenges. It will argue that the approach underpinned by the SDG 14 is largely compatible, unfortunately, with 'business as usual.' SDG 14 is undoubtedly intended as a starting point rather than a final destination; but it is nevertheless important to be clear about how far we still need to travel on the road to oceanic justice. Most significantly, SDG 14 leaves several key challenges inadequately addressed or simply unaddressed. It fails to specify adequate principles for the fair sharing of benefits and burdens flowing from the ocean, including the burdens of tackling pressing environmental problems. Neither does it address the underlying causes of inequality in the ocean economy. It neglects to properly address, furthermore, the fragmented institutional context which significantly impedes effective action to advance the goals of justice and sustainability at sea. Finally, whereas SDG 14 correctly identifies a series of necessary reforms to the ocean economy, it fails to engage with important issues of transitional justice which will arise if these policies are implemented. Vital first step though it is, promoting a just and sustainable ocean will require us to set our sights considerably higher than the targets endorsed as part of SDG 14.

Introduction: The Challenge of Ocean Justice In virtue of the vital ecosystem functions it performs, the ocean is hugely important to the future Ocean Justice: SDG 14 and Beyond of our planet. It is also a major source of wealth and well-being, and will only grow in significance as pressure on land-based natural resources intensifies. But the ocean faces major challenges, which threaten to degrade its health and its ability to continue to support the lives and livelihoods of people and other species. Among the most prominent threats are ocean Chris Armstrong, University of Southampton warming – which leads to rises in sea level and ocean acidification, as well as the growth of Forthcoming in Journal of Global Ethics (2020) ‘hypoxic’ or dead zones at sea; pollution from plastic, agricultural run-off and fuel leakage; overfishing and other destructive fishing practices; mineral and petrochemical exploitation on the seabed, the environmental consequences of which are not well understood; and the introduction of invasive species into new areas, chiefly through the ballast water released by ships across our globe. At the same time, as new and highly capital-intensive forms of resource Abstract: The ocean is central to our lives, but many of our impacts on the ocean are highly unsustainable, and patterns of resource exploitation at sea are deeply inequitable. This article assesses whether the objectives encapsulated in the UN’s Sustainable Development Goal for the ocean are well exploitation gather pace, the ocean threatens to become a driver of still greater global inequality, in which less technologically-advanced countries are left behind in the race to consume finite oceanic resources. equipped to respond to these challenges. It will argue that the approach underpinned by the These overlapping problems combine to generate two major social and political challenges. SDG 14 is largely compatible, unfortunately, with ‘business as usual.’ SDG 14 is undoubtedly First, how can environmental problems at sea be adequately responded to, in order to ensure a intended as a starting point rather than a final destination; but it is nevertheless important to be sustainable future for the 71% of our planet covered by water? Second, how can growing clear about how far we still need to travel on the road to oceanic justice. Most significantly, inequalities in the ocean economy be arrested and even reversed, so that a sustainable ‘blue’ SDG 14 leaves several key challenges inadequately addressed or simply unaddressed. It fails economy comes to be a driver of greater equality rather than inequality? These twin challenges to specify adequate principles for the fair sharing of benefits and burdens flowing from the are key to achieving justice in the ocean – an arena which has, unfortunately, been largely ocean, including the burdens of tackling pressing environmental problems. Neither does it neglected by philosophers and political theorists since the famous debates on the open and address the underlying causes of inequality in the ocean economy. It neglects to properly closed seas which took place during the seventeenth century (see e.g. Grotius, 1609).1 This address, furthermore, the fragmented institutional context which significantly impedes article will examine how effective some recent moves on the part of the international effective action to advance the goals of justice and sustainability at sea. Finally, whereas SDG community – and especially the promulgation of a dedicated Sustainable Development Goal 14 correctly identifies a series of necessary reforms to the ocean economy, it fails to engage for the ocean – are likely to be in responding to these twin challenges of ocean justice. Its with important issues of transitional justice which will arise if these policies are implemented. conclusion will be that, though the greater attention paid at the international level to the future Vital first step though it is, promoting a just and sustainable ocean will require us to set our of the ocean is welcome, the approach underpinned by the Sustainable Development Goal for sights considerably higher than the targets endorsed as part of SDG 14. the ocean is largely compatible with ‘business as usual,’ that it will not bring about a sustainable ocean economy, and that it leaves unaddressed some of the foremost obstacles to achieving ocean justice. An adequate approach will require us to set our sights much higher. Keywords: Ocean; Sustainable Development Goals; global justice; sustainability Ocean Justice on the Agenda 1 2 The second decade of our century brought increasing acceptance of the urgency of promoting just and sustainable ocean governance. In 2012 the United Nations Conference on Sustainable 14.5 Development (known as ‘Rio + 20’) identified the ocean as one of seven global priority areas for sustainable development, and called for immediate action to tackle climate change and 14.6 2 acidification, declining fish stocks, and habitat and biodiversity loss. The same decade saw the inauguration of the annual UN Ocean Conferences, and of a regular series of UN reports on the state of oceanic health: the World Ocean Assessments. These are supported by a Group of Experts, with input from hundreds of scientists, and in their commitment to regularly assessing human impacts on the ocean they will in some respects parallel the climate reports released periodically by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.3 UNESCO, for its part, announced plans in 2017 for a dedicated Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development,4 heralded by a mission statement called The Science We Need for the Ocean We Want.5 14.7 order to restore fish stocks in the shortest time feasible By 2020, conserve at least 10 per cent of coastal and marine areas By 2020, prohibit certain forms of fisheries subsidies which contribute to overcapacity and overfishing, eliminate subsidies that contribute to illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing and refrain from introducing new such subsidies, recognizing that appropriate and effective special and differential treatment for developing and least developed countries should be an integral part of the World Trade Organization fisheries subsidies negotiation By 2030, increase the economic benefits to small island developing States and least developed countries from the sustainable use of marine resources, including through sustainable management of fisheries, aquaculture and tourism Geographical coverage of Marine Protected Areas Progress by countries in implementing international instruments aiming to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing Sustainable fisheries as a percentage of GDP in small island developing states and least developed countries But perhaps the most important development of all occurred in 2015, when the United Nations General Assembly adopted a set of 17 ‘Sustainable Development Goals’ (SDGs) to be met by Source: United Nations (2016) Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (New York: United Nations). the year 2030. Among them are the goals of ending severe poverty and hunger, building strong and peaceful institutions, and reducing national and global inequalities. Each of these SDGs has a number of targets, along with dedicated performance indicators according to which success or failure can be measured, and many of which are intended to be satisfied before 2030. Crucially, one of the 17 major goals refers exclusively to the ocean – the first time the international community has formally adopted a set of objectives for the future of the blue part of our planet. SDG 14 is labelled ‘Life Below Water,’ and aims to ‘Conserve and sustainably use the oceans.’ It includes numerous targets, as follows: 6 The establishment of SDG 14 is a hugely valuable step forward, prompting much-needed discussion of the future of the ocean, and signalling its importance to the future of our world more generally. The various targets recognise some of the major challenges faced in the contemporary ocean, including climate change, overfishing, and pollution. They also suggest a concern for the socio-economic dimensions of ocean politics, with an explicit focus upon the distinctive positions of the least developed countries, and small island states. The SDGs have since won further institutional support. In June 2017, the United Nations held its first Ocean Conference in New York. This led, the following month, to the adoption of General Assembly Target Description 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.4 By 2025, prevent and significantly reduce marine pollution of all kinds By 2020, sustainably manage and protect marine and coastal ecosystems …including by strengthening their resilience, and take action for their restoration in order to achieve healthy and productive oceans Minimize and address the impacts of ocean acidification By 2020, effectively regulate harvesting and end overfishing, illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing and destructive fishing practices and implement science-based management plans, in Resolution 71/312, entitled Our Ocean, Our Future. This Resolution is ‘mobilized by a strong To be measured by Index of coastal eutrophication and floating plastic debris density The proportion of countries’ Exclusive Economic Zones managed using ecosystem-based approaches conviction that our ocean is critical to our shared future and common humanity in all its diversity.’ It declares, further, that the international community is ‘committed to halting and reversing the decline in the health and productivity of our ocean and its ecosystems and to protecting and restoring its resilience and ecological integrity. We recognize that the well-being of present and future generations is inextricably linked to the health and productivity of our Average marine acidity measured at representative sampling stations Proportion of fish stocks held within biologically sustainable levels ocean.’7 As the United Nations has emphasised, there are crucial interdependencies between SDG 14 and other Goals relating to, for instance, the eradication of poverty, an end to hunger, the promotion of sustainable development, and the reduction of inequality (see Griggs et al, 2017).8 3 4 Meeting those other goals will both depend upon, and in turn facilitate, progress towards ocean costs. But in a world in which the advantaged could easily absorb these costs without incurring justice. The Resolution Our Ocean, Our Future also emphasises both the interlinked nature of excessive setbacks to their well-being, whereas the least advantaged face other pressing the targets of SDG 14, and the links between SDG 14 and other SDGs. This recognition speaks problems (including, not least, escaping from poverty), to load burdens onto the shoulders of in favour of what has been called the ‘integration’ of concerns about ocean justice into broader the latter should be seen as impermissible (Shue, 2014; Moellendorf, 2014). Our preferred debates about global justice. Integrationist theories suggest that fair access to benefits and method of sharing burdens – in the case of climate change and in the case of ocean conservation burdens in one domain – such as the ocean economy, or international trade, or natural resource problems too – should foreground, therefore, a concern with broader global inequalities. One governance – should not be determined in isolation, but rather must be determined with an eye critical challenge here is to ensure that the transition to a sustainable ocean does not come at to how people are faring in general. As a result decisions will often be made with an eye to the expense of the legitimate development aspirations of the least advantaged. correcting for wider background injustices (Caney, 2012). A good example would be climate justice: fair mitigation policies should not push poor communities further into poverty, and to the contrary should open up new opportunities for pro-poor development. This integrationist insight is important in the context of ocean justice too, because against a background of massive inequality even ensuring strictly equal access to the ocean’s resources is not sufficient for achieving justice. To the contrary, justice requires that we take the opportunities offered by the ocean economy to narrow global inequalities, even if this means giving the least advantaged preferential access to its resources (Armstrong, 2017). It can also demand that we take positive steps to increase the participation of those who have been relatively marginalised and disempowered. For the United Nations to explicitly raise the question of how SDG 14 can support other global Goals, such as SDG 10 (which aims to ‘reduce national and global inequality’), and vice versa, is therefore a promising step. Highlighting the important connections between ocean justice and goals of global justice more broadly is, then, one of the most important contributions of the SDG approach. But for all that it marks a significant advance, the principal question this article will raise is whether SDG 14, including its various targets, makes sufficient progress in moving us closer to a just and sustainable ocean economy. The SDGs are not, to be sure, intended to eradicate all forms of global injustice at one fell swoop, and they should not be treated as if they were, or were even intended to be, comprehensive accounts of the demands of justice. They represent starting points, upon which further progress might be incrementally built. The SDGs were also the result of international negotiation, and this process no doubt often leads to some watering-down of aspiration. We might nevertheless say - with some justification – that having global goals for the future of the ocean is an enormously worthwhile step, not least since it recognises that there should be collective social, economic and environmental aspirations for the ocean The same arguments should be applied to burden-sharing problems in the contemporary ocean. economy, and that sustained international cooperation will be required in order to deliver on Vital conservation projects – whether this means the designation and enforcement of Marine them. Protected Areas, the protection and restoration of coral reefs, or the clean-up of pollution or spillages – will involve significant costs. These will certainly include the direct costs incurred in activities like clean-up, monitoring and enforcement; but they may well include significant opportunity costs too. For instance, the establishment of Marine Protected Areas, as well as efforts to reduce subsidies and overcapacity in the global fishing industry, will mean that some people will no longer be able to fish in the same places, or with the same intensity, and may therefore lead to significant losses of income. Just as benefits should be shared with an eye to background levels of advantage and disadvantage, the allocation of burdens should also avoid exacerbating global inequalities, and if possible help to ameliorate them. In this respect our situation when it comes to ocean conservation challenges parallels (and of course partly overlaps with) the multifaceted problem of fairly responding to climate change. Dealing Nevertheless, we face profound and urgent challenges in the ocean economy, and it is important to be clearsighted about how far we are away from ocean justice, and how much closer the targets adopted alongside SDG14 would really take us. Notwithstanding the fact that the promulgation of a dedicated global goal on the ocean economy is a very worthwhile step, my claim will be that the targets collected under SDG 14, considered along with the specific performance indicators attached to them, are in many respects insufficiently ambitious, not least in the face of looming social and environmental crises at sea.9 Moreover, they fail to recognise, never mind present solutions to, some of the most formidable obstacles to justice. When these global goals are revisited for the period 2030-2045, there is an opportunity to be more ambitious. But a first step is to recognise how far the targets associated with SDG14 fall short of delivering on ocean justice. effectively with climate change is also going to mean that many actors will incur significant 5 6 I will outline four major shortcomings of the approach taken by SDG 14, and the accompanying The first is that this normative standard is much too easy to satisfy. Depending on the direction Resolution Our Ocean, Our Future, which suggest that the Goal must be seen as a modest of travel of a developing country’s GDP, this target could be satisfied in a country where gains beginning rather than an end on the voyage to ocean justice. The first shortcoming involves a from fishing in particular were barely rising, if at all. In fact the standard could be satisfied in failure to specify adequate principles for the fair sharing of benefits and burdens flowing from a situation where the absolute gains from fishing were declining: this could happen in a the ocean, including the burdens flowing from the need to respond to pressing environmental recession, for instance, so long as overall GDP declined faster than the contribution from the challenges. The second, related, shortcoming involves a failure to address the underlying fishing sector.12 This is inadequate: at the very least, satisfying SDG 14 should demand that causes of inequality in the ocean economy, and suggests that SDG 14 will do little to bring the absolute gains flowing to the least advantaged increase over time. about substantial long-term change within the ocean economy. The third shortcoming arises from a failure to properly address the fragmented institutional context which characterises contemporary ocean governance, and which significantly impedes effective action to advance the goals of justice and sustainability. Fourth and finally, whereas SDG 14 correctly identifies a series of necessary reforms to the ocean economy – including the reduction of subsidies and overall fishing effort, and the designation of larger and more effective Marine Protected Areas – it fails to address important issues of transitional justice which will arise if these vital policies are actually implemented. Relatedly, SDG 14 does not seriously engage with the many adaptation issues which will arise in the context of a rapidly warming, acidifying, and rising ocean.10 Promoting a just and sustainable ocean will therefore require that we set our sights considerably higher than the goals endorsed under SDG 14. A vital first step on the way to ocean justice, though, is to be clear about the justice gaps left by the SDG approach. Second, the indicator says nothing about a country’s gains relative to the rest of the world, or relative to developed countries in particular. Meeting SDG 14.7 is, in fact, compatible with the gains to LDCs and SISs deteriorating in proportion to the gains flowing to developed countries, so long as the gains to the LDCs and SISs nevertheless grow as a proportion of their respective GDPs. SDG 14 could be met, that is, in the presence of widening inequalities in the ocean economy. By failing to link progress to the comparative allocation of benefits, SDG 14 avoids the question of whether achieving greater gains to the disadvantaged might require developed country industries to reduce or constrain the income they gain from fishing. This avoidance might be justifiable if we can safely assume that the overall gains from fishing will continue to grow over time. But that assumption should not be taken for granted. If the potential or actual gains from fishing are limited, questions about their relative distribution become much more pressing. SDG 14.7 sidesteps those questions. A further significant problem with target 14.7 is that it is too narrow in scope. Indeed the specific indicator associated with target 14.7 is particularly narrow, since it refers to financial Fairly Sharing Benefits and Burdens If the various SDGs are mutually connected and interdependent, then one of the criteria we should bear in mind when assessing SDG 14 is whether acting on it actually promises to narrow global inequalities as a whole. Narrowing both national and global inequalities, after all, is the objective of SDG 10.11 Here there are early signs of promise, since SDG 14.7 aims precisely to increase the economic benefits flowing from the ocean economy to small island states (SISs) and the least developed countries (LDCs). The description of target 14.7 does not clarify, however, whether progress is to be identified by measuring absolute levels of benefits, or comparative levels. To answer this question we need to turn to the specific performance indicator associated with it. Progress, the indicator makes clear, is to be measured by the proportion of GDP which emanates from the fishing industry in all states, including the least developed countries and small island states. As a measure of fair benefit-sharing, however, this possesses two significant drawbacks. gains from fishing alone. Even assuming for the sake of argument that an exclusive focus on the fishing industry were justifiable, this indicator would be too narrow. By focusing on financial gains from fishing, 14.7 does not require progress, for example, in safeguarding the interests of people in countries highly dependent upon seafood for their basic nutrition. In this respect targets 14.4 and 14.6 will surely help considerably, by promoting the sustainability of fish stocks and reducing illegal fishing. Nevertheless, it is regrettable that SDG 14 does not engage with questions about the ultimate destination of harvested fish. Given that neglect, it appears that SDG 14 could be satisfied in a context where fishing in developing countries remained highly export-oriented, even if this caused setbacks to the basic food security of local people. Once more, this lacuna suggests a failure to take the mutual interdependence of the SDGs sufficiently seriously. SDG 2 aims to end world hunger, by ensuring that everyone has access to safe and nutritious food all year round.13 If so, then addressing the continual flow of fish from some of the world’s poorest countries to markets in the developing world14 ought to 7 8 be a priority. Doing so would require serious attention to the capacity of developing-world the problem, and to patterns of benefits flowing from conservation. Without a fuller account of fishing industries, as well as their states’ capacities to enforce sustainable limits on fishing (see how these principles can be integrated, SDG 14 does not offer a complete guide to action.17 below). Aside from fishing, there are many other sectors of the marine economy where promoting the The Drivers of Oceanic Inequality (comparative as well as absolute) benefits flowing to people in the developing world ought to be a priority. By focussing on income from fishing, aquaculture, and tourism, by contrast, target There are three major drivers of inequality in the ocean economy. These relate to geography 14.7 excludes many important sectors of the ocean economy, including minerals, shipping, (mediated by political choices), access to capital (including extractive technology), and energy, and marine genetic resources. Consider the last of those examples. The exploitation of administrative capacity. If the ocean economy is to be a just one, in which the least advantaged genetic resources within the High Seas is as yet largely unregulated. One of the key decisions are given genuine opportunities to catch up with people living in more advantaged countries, which will have to be made in the coming years is what form, if any, benefit-sharing it is vital that each of these drivers of oceanic inequality receives sustained attention. SDG 14, mechanisms attached to the exploitation of marine genetic resources will take. Whilst a new however, fails to give these drivers the required attention, and does not advance measures regime for ‘biodiversity beyond national jurisdiction’ is being debated within the United which would substantially ameliorate them. As such, delivering on SDG 14 would not shift the Nations, an important moral compass would be a commitment to turning all forms of resource fundamental inequities in the ocean economy. exploitation within the ocean to the task of narrowing global inequalities. If we take the Consider first geographical differences. The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea interconnectedness of the SDGs seriously, then we need to be much more serious about finding (UNCLOS) of 1982 ushered in a period of extensive enclosure of the oceans, the effects of ways for the ocean economy to spur catch-up development. which were deeply unequal. For the first time, states were able to claim Exclusive Economic Thus far in this section I have focused on the benefits flowing from the ocean economy. But Zones (EEZs) extending for two hundred nautical miles out to sea, and continental shelves there are also crucial questions to be asked about the proper distribution of burdens, not least extending for two hundred miles or in many cases further along the seabed. Within these zones, in the context of pressing environmental challenges. Recalibrating our demands upon the states now possess exclusive rights over natural resources. The reason this process has been ocean, whether as a source of resources or as a sink for waste, will involve the incurring of inegalitarian is that some states do not possess coastlines, and now find themselves effectively many kinds of costs. These will include the costs of protecting precious resources from various shut out of access to many resources, including the vast majority of the world’s fish. Moreover, threats. They will also include, in many cases, the costs of restoring ecosystems in light of prior in many cases overseas protectorates emanating from the colonial era have significantly degradation, as target 14.2 appears to demand. Finally, these will include opportunity costs, as bolstered overall entitlements. The ‘big six’ countries (Britain, the United States, France, New actors are asked to refrain from exploiting resources from which they have benefited in the Zealand, Australia and Russia) possess 54 million square kilometres of EEZs, of which 39 past. Examples would include the losses incurred by fishers who are asked not to fish in Marine million square kilometres are derived from overseas possessions or protectorates. To give but 15 Protected Areas, or who are required to abandon the most destructive forms of harvesting. one example, the Pitcairn Island group (a British Overseas Protectorate) has a population of But who should pick up these conservation costs? On this question, SDG 14 is silent. The around 40 people, but commands an EEZ of 836,000 km.² This is similar in size to China’s Resolution Our Ocean, Our Future does perhaps offer one clue, by suggesting that when total EEZ (Nolan, 2013, 82), which must serve a population of well over a billion. In Pitcairn, implementing the goal we should take ‘into account different national realities, capacities and however, only the approximately 40 islanders are permitted to fish.18 levels of development.’16 That claim suggests a key role should be played by considerations of Given that both SDG 14 and the Resolution Our Ocean, Our Future remain committed to the capacity or ability to pay. A defensible account of fair burden-sharing will indeed give weight UNCLOS framework, and declare an intention to avoid pursuing policies which would to those considerations. But as an approach to fair burden-sharing, this is incomplete. A undermine that legal settlement (see below), it is clear that the reality of substantial oceanic plausible account of burden-sharing will also make space for considerations of contribution to enclosure is taken as the status quo rather than being problematized as a potential impediment to progress.19 This is regrettable. But even if the fundamental division of oceanic territory is to 9 10 be treated as the default, the formulation of SDG 14 represented an opportunity to mitigate objective of SDG 14. Indeed the sharing of technology is not mentioned in anywhere of the some of its effects on the prospects of people living in various parts of the world. This chance performance indicators associated with SDG 14, although it appears to be instrumentally too was unfortunately missed. UNCLOS contains several references to the distinctive position important to achieving a number of its targets. The targets do not discuss how technology could of ‘geographically disadvantaged countries’ (GDCs) which must rely on other countries for be diffused, and who if anyone might be obliged to bear the costs of that diffusion (Morgera access to the sea. Those references have not, however, translated into meaningful progress to and Ntona, 2018). In this context, it has been argued that building up local and sustainable date for GDCs seeking to engage more fully in the oceanic economy. Aside from a few marine industries could be an important goal for overseas development aid. In practice, countries in Europe – where any potential disadvantages emanating from landlocked status are however, aid dedicated specifically to enhancing developing countries’ ability to benefit from mitigated by good transport links, the presence of several large, wide waterways, cordial the ocean economy appears to be declining in many parts of the world, rather than growing, political relations, and a common market – landlocked countries have struggled to escape from even as a proportion of development aid (Blasiak and Wabnitz, 2018). This trend will diminish ‘underdeveloped’ status. As Paula Casal and Nicole Selamé have argued, SDG 14 represents a the potential for the ocean economy to contribute to the goal of reducing global inequalities. missed opportunity for these countries. SDG 14 could have sought to promote ways to improve physical access to the sea for landlocked countries, for example by exploring projects for land bridges, tunnels, land-swaps or other innovative methods of facilitating direct access (Casal and Selamé, 2015). It could also have explored ways of promoting the participation of GDCs in the fishing industry, or the ocean minerals sector. But aside from its references to small island states, the goal of tackling specifically geographical disadvantage is not taken up by SDG 14. Finally, let us consider the issue of administrative capacity. Target 14.4 aims for states to recover fish stocks by ending unsustainable harvesting practices. Targets 14.2 and 14.5, meanwhile, enjoin states to take an ecosystem-based approach to conservation within their EEZs, and to extend and enforce a network of Marine Protected Areas. Finally, meeting target 14.6 requires states to tackle illegal, underreported and unregulated fishing, which at present seriously undermines many developing countries’ ability to maintain sustainable fisheries (Okafor-Yarwood, 2019). The problem is that all of these activities will require a degree of I have also suggested that access to capital is a key issue for many developing countries seeking administrative capacity which is absent in many parts of the developing world. To make to engage with the ocean economy. Reducing subsidies (as demanded by target 14.6) will do genuine progress, SDG 14 should focus upon methods of enhancing enforcement capacity, much to give coastal developing countries space to develop their own fisheries sectors (Okafor- rather than simply encouraging enforcement. One challenge here is the need to improve the Yarwood, 2019). So too will reducing illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing (target 14.4), general administrative and fiscal capacities of some developing states (see Armstrong, 2019a, which also threatens the livelihoods and basic nutritional interests of many people in the chapter 3). Another is the need to enable states to benefit from the revolution in remote developing world. But clearing space for indigenous marine activity is not the same as monitoring which is currently taking place in the world’s oceans. The expansion and enhancing the capacity to take advantage of it. In many cases local industries will continue to improvement of vessel tracking technology, including remote sensing and satellite technology, struggle to reap the potential benefits of the ocean economy, and a prominent reason is that the emergence of drones, and the enhancement of our ability to harness ‘big data’ have all many ocean industries are so highly capital-intensive. That is evident in the case of mineral or contributed to much improved prospects for monitoring and controlling the activities of the petrochemical extraction from the seabed under states’ EEZs, which the least developed fishing industry (Miller, 2010). But the required technology may still be out of the reach of the countries are poorly placed to benefit from; instead they are likely to reap the relatively meagre least developed countries. SDG 14 does not address this important question of access to remote benefits to be gained by outsourcing exploitation to multinational corporations. Engaging in monitoring technology, but it is picked up in accompanying documents. The Resolution Our the exploitation of marine genetic technology is also associated with enormous start-up costs Ocean, Our Future emphasizes ‘the need to enhance scientific knowledge and research, and is likely to bring far greater benefits to countries with better scientific and technical enhance capacity-building at all levels [and] mobilize financial resources from all sources.’20 infrastructure (Broggiato et al, 2014. See also Le Blanc et al, 2017: 21). Narrowing these gulfs The document Transforming Our World, which accompanies and introduces all 15 SDGs, in access to productive capital should be an important goal of ocean justice. Enhancing the meanwhile, addresses the need to support sustainable fisheries in developing countries (United technological capacity of developing-country marine industries is not, however, a specific Nations 2016, paragraphs 24 and 27). SDG 17 also discusses the financing and capacity 11 12 building necessary in order to deliver on the other SDGs. But SDG does not adopt any specific unaddressed. The Resolution Our Ocean, Our Future emphasises ‘the need for an integrated, targets for the sharing of monitoring technology, and so as it stands considerably more detail interdisciplinary and cross-sectoral approach, as well as enhanced cooperation, coordination is required both in terms of the mechanisms for building capacity, and in terms of how the and policy coherence at all levels’22 when addressing conservation challenges. But this is a call relevant burdens are going to be shared. for greater cooperation between existing institutions: SDG 14 does not seek to remedy the fragmented structure of contemporary oceanic governance, only to improve communication and coordination within that structure. SDG 14.4, for instance, aims to increase the proportion Institutional Fragmentation of fish stocks which are harvested within sustainable levels. But whilst it covers stocks within Contemporary ocean governance is a patchwork. The ocean is legally divided into territorial EEZs, the indicator exempts stocks under RFMO management on the High Seas. The desire to seas, Exclusive Economic Zones, continental shelves, the High Seas, and the deep seabed, each avoid constraining the decisions of RFMOs is also evident in the Resolution Our Ocean, Our of which is governed by its own principles and actors. Within the High Seas, a number of Future. This Resolution insists upon the need to ensure that actions taken to implement SDG different actors have relevant legal competence, including Regional Fisheries Management 14 do not ‘duplicate or undermine existing legal instruments, arrangements, processes, Organizations (RFMOs), the International Maritime Organization, and, at the Southern reaches mechanisms or entities.’23 This might be a valuable principle if existing instruments and entities 21 of the ocean, the Antarctic Treaty System. In the years since UNCLOS, a number of resource were broadly effective. But if just and sustainable ocean governance requires institutional governance principles have emerged and, to varying degrees, been recognised within innovation, the injunction against undermining the existing structure becomes an impediment international law - including the ecosystem management approach and the precautionary to progress. principle. The ecosystem management approach recognises the marine environment as a It is likely that achieving just and sustainable ocean governance will mean displacing the complex, interlocking system of organisms and processes. In response, it recommends exclusive role of states as the primary – or even sole - enforcers of the Law of the Sea on the integrated forms of governance which are capable of maintaining the ‘health,’ and building the High Seas. Two examples can help to illustrate this need. First, effective governance of the long-term resilience, of overall ocean ecosystems (Long et al, 2015). The precautionary High Seas will require reforms to the RFMO system in which states can pick and choose which approach recognises the many uncertainties involved in the marine ecosystem, as well as the conservation measures will apply to their fishing activities. One central question which is possibility of unexpected tipping points and cascade effects. It therefore recommends that currently being discussed in the context of the negotiations for a new legal instrument for planned human activities err on the side of caution, and that those who propose potentially Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction relates to agency and authority: who should be damaging activities should bear the burden of proof in identifying and if necessary mitigating entitled to propose, designate, monitor and enforce Marine Protected Areas on the High Seas? potential risks (Constanza et al, 1998). It is not obvious, however, that the existing institutional At present, MPAs are largely notable by their absence in the Area Beyond National architecture under the UNCLOS regime is capable of doing justice to such principles. The Jurisdiction, because they require coordination between states with different and often opposed division between different actors, each with their own priorities and sectoral (and sometimes interests. At the time of writing, only a little over one percent of the High Seas is incorporated species-specific) missions, makes effective governance of complex and interdependent into protected areas.24 A prime counterexample is the enormous Ross Sea Marine Protected ecosystems tremendously difficult. Most strikingly, according to one prominent scholar of the Area in the Southern Ocean. The Ross Sea MPA was established by the parties to the Antarctic Law of the Sea, there is ‘virtually no coordination’ between existing institutions with Treaty System, and now protects the least disturbed area anywhere in the world’s ocean. But competence on the High Seas. To the contrary, ‘The culture, processes and epistemic other proposals for MPAs in the Southern Ocean have been vetoed under the Treaty System’s communities of each of these institutions are entirely different. Conservation arguments raised consensus-based decision procedure, and as a result of objections from some member countries in one institution carry little, if any, weight in the others’ (Freestone, 2012, 1). even the Ross Sea MPA covers barely a third of the area originally proposed. It has not, It would be unrealistic to expect SDG 14 itself to resolve these problems. But it is important furthermore, led to a significant decline in fish catch in the area.25 Meanwhile - as is the case nevertheless to be clear about what SDG 14 is able to achieve, and what problems it leaves 13 14 elsewhere on the High Seas - Antarctic MPAs will of course only be binding on states which burdens,’ since here we are picking out the costs which any un-avoided environmental damage are parties to them. or change will impose upon us.27 A central problem which plagues efforts to designate MPAs outside of individual states’ An adequate account of ocean justice will help us to think about the proper allocation of both territorial seas is the practice of ‘exclusive flag state jurisdiction,’ under which vessels’ types of sacrifices. Although the Sustainable Development Goals do not, of course, attempt to activities are only to be constrained by the state under which they are ‘flagged’ (Blanchard, provide a full account of oceanic justice, they nevertheless ought to recognise the existence of 2017, 328).26 In the case of fishing this is a major impediment to progress, since a vessel whose these burdens, and to provide at least some guidance as to how they can be either mitigated, or state joins an RFMO, or which supports an MPA, can simply ‘flag out’ by registering with a fairly shared. Fair sharing matters in itself. But a perception that costs are not being fairly state which recognises neither. But the practice of exclusive flag state jurisdiction is also an allocated is also likely to hinder progress in meeting shared objectives. obstacle to justice in a second area: the protection of workers’ rights at sea. The rights of fishers and seafarers are enshrined in a number of international legal instruments, and flag states have a duty to ensure that they are adequately protected in practice. But many states are unwilling or unable to apply these rules to seafarers working on the vessels which sail under their flags. To the contrary, so-called ‘Flag of Convenience’ states facilitate a race to the bottom in labour rights, functioning, effectively, as mobile exploitation havens for unscrupulous employers. In this case too a fully adequate response may require the emergence of a form of pooled international authority on the High Seas. In both cases, justice likely requires that we transcend, rather than treating as inviolate, the fragmented nature of governance on the ocean. SDG 14, however, does not appear to provide any guidance on the proper allocation of burdens. This is unfortunate, since at least some of the actions suggested by SDG 14 will themselves generate significant prevention burdens. A prime example is the transition within the fishing industry. SDG 14.4 and 14.6 rightly emphasise the goals of cutting back fishing effort, and reducing subsidies. Global fish catch has already declined since the mid-1990s, despite technological advances allowing vessels to capture fish more efficiently (Golden et al, 2016; Pauly and Zeller, 2016). The reason is no secret: an increasing proportion of stocks are now being fished beyond sustainable levels, meaning that catches exceed the reproductive ability of many individual species. Ecologists estimate that achieving sustainability in fish stocks would require an overall reduction in global fishing effort in the order of 40%, which would suffice to take total effort back roughly to the levels of the 1990s (Ye, 2013, 179). Plausibly, rendering Challenges of Transitional Justice fishing effort sustainable would also require the phasing out of many of the most damaging The need to protect the ocean environment will require many people to alter – and often fishing practices, including certain forms of bottom trawling, the use of longlines associated significantly reduce – the demands they place upon its ecosystems. Moreover, in a time of with the death of seabirds, and the use of poisons and explosives in fishing. The transition to accelerating climate change, processes of acidification, ocean warming, and sea level rise will less damaging methods would in itself be costly. But more significantly, the reduction in have major impacts upon the lives and livelihoods of millions of people across the world. In overall fishing effort could mean, it has been estimated, the loss of between twelve and fifteen the first case, the need to prevent excessive environmental damage will require many people to million jobs (Ye, 2013, 180). In many parts of the developing world, coastal communities make sacrifices. These might include actions to reduce carbon emissions, measures to reduce possess little in the way of social safety nets which might help cushion the blow to the fishing effort or to avoid some of the most destructive fishing practices, or measures to reduce livelihoods of those affected. or eliminate environmental damage arising from seabed mining, to give but a few examples. In the second case, the ocean itself will impose costs upon many of us, as people are forced to relocate, or to find alternative sources of nutrition or income. In the most serious instances, basic rights to life and to subsistence will be seriously threatened. Many people will also be forced to adjust to life in new places many miles from home. We can call the first set of sacrifices ‘prevention burdens,’ since they involve efforts to avoid environmental damage, or to reduce its likely consequences. The second set of burdens can usefully be called ‘impact A similar point could be made about target 14.5, which aims to increase the coverage of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs). In the long term, the establishment of effective MPAs can help fishers, rather than hindering them. When protected from fishing, more individual fish are able to reach full maturity and hence spawn many more eggs, which typically disperse over long distances. MPAs acts as ‘centres of production that radiate outward to surrounding fishing grounds’ (Roberts, 2007, 365). As a consequence, the numbers of fish within an area can double or even quadruple after just a few years of protection, bringing significant gains to local fishers 15 16 (ibid, 70). But in the short term, prohibitions on fishing can be very costly for individual fishers, weather events (Zacharias and Ardron, 2020, 171). Strikingly, however, SDG 14 does not especially in communities where alternative sources of employment, and meaningful engage with any of the impacts of climate change other than ocean acidification. government support, are thin on the ground. SDG 14.5 does not, however, address the question of how the necessary transitions can be managed without setbacks to the most basic interests of people currently engaged in, or dependent upon, fishing. This is in stark contrast to the first World Ocean Assessment, which explicitly recognises the need to address the transitional costs associated with rebuilding depleted fish stocks (United Nations, 2017, 18). SDG 14 focuses on the (important) environmental goal of protecting the ocean, but neglects the socio-economic dimensions of the necessary transitions. Might outsiders owe assistance to the affected communities? If so, of what type, and on what basis? These are important questions of justice, but they are not recognised, never mind resolved, by SDG 14.28 These probable impact burdens trigger a series of urgent normative questions. Do people whose livelihoods have been affected by ocean warming have claims to assistance or compensation from the international community? If so, precisely who are the relevant duty-bearers, and on what basis should costs be allocated between them? What rights do people who will lose their land because of sea level rises have? Who, if anyone, has a duty to bear the costs associated with granting them new forms of political membership? Should fishing (and general resource extraction) rights endure, or lapse, once a state has disappeared below water?29 These vital normative questions are not recognised by SDG 14, despite representing some of the most formidable challenges of ocean justice that we face today. There are also major impact burdens that we ought to seek to share fairly, or where possible to mitigate. Many of these are associated with climate change. For instance, increases in local oceanic temperatures are already leading to major shifts of many marine species away from the Conclusions equator and towards the Poles, with major consequences for people who rely on them for their The proclamation of a global priority of ensuring the conservation and sustainable use of the sustenance (United Nations, 2017, 20). Species with strong temperature preferences – ocean’s resources is a tremendously valuable step, as is the attention which SDG 14 gives to including tuna – are expected to alter their range most radically (ibid, 22). At present many increasing the benefits flowing from the ocean economy to the least advantaged countries. But Pacific island states rely heavily on income from selling access rights to tuna stocks. The loss whilst SDG 14 is a useful spur to reflection on the kind of oceanic future we want to achieve, of that income could have dramatic consequences for the provision of public services. Many the specific targets associated with the Sustainable Development Goal remain very minimalist other significant impacts of ocean warming will fall upon people and ecosystems located close in character. Recognising this is important if more substantial progress towards ocean justice to the shore. People living in coastal areas will be more vulnerable to extreme weather events is to be made over time. SDG 14 does not require us to ask fundamental questions about the as climate change accelerates the degradation of organic coastal defences such as coral reefs or distribution of benefits and burdens flowing from the ocean, or to engage with the disparities mangrove swamps. Their livelihoods will be affected as carbon absorption spurs the growth of that generate inequality within the oceanic economy. Nor does it tackle the institutional hypoxic or ‘dead’ zones within the ocean. Their lives will also be radically altered by the fragmentation that in many cases stands as an obstacle to fairness and sustainability at sea, or encroaching sea itself. By 2100, the World Ocean Assessment reports, we may have witnessed the transitional challenges associated with a fair and sustainable future at sea. As such, the SDG median sea level rises in the order of one metre above 1980-1999 levels (ibid, 21). Over 150 14 approach appears broadly compatible with ‘business as usual’ in the world’s ocean. million people are estimated to live on land that is currently no more than one metre above sea Clarifying these deficiencies has, however, been useful in identifying the challenges which an level (ibid, 24). Sea level rises are therefore expected to have a serious impact upon the lives adequate account of ocean justice must face. It is to be hoped that political theorists and and livelihoods of many millions of people. In extreme cases – including low-lying atoll states philosophers will fully engage with those challenges in the years to come. such as Kiribati or Tuvalu – entire countries appear likely to disappear. Such communities may also lose their entitlements to EEZs, if international law continues to measure entitlements from the pre-climate change baseline. In other cases, vital farm land will be rendered infertile by the salinization of the water table, and rendered dangerous by increasingly common extreme 1 Rare exceptions which do discuss the ocean from a philosophical point of view include Armstrong 2018b and Nine 2019. 17 18 2 https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/index.php?menu=1298. For discussion, see Campbell et al 2013. 3 https://www.worldoceanassessment.org/ 4 https://en.unesco.org/ocean-decade 5 https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000265198 6 SDG 14 also describes three ‘means of implementation,’ as follows: 14.A. “Increase scientific knowledge, develop research capacity and transfer marine technology…in order to improve ocean health and to enhance the contribution of marine biodiversity to the development of developing countries, in particular small island developing States and least developed countries.” To be measured by: Proportion of total research budget allocated to research in the field of marine technology. 14.B. “Provide access for small-scale artisanal fishers to marine resources and markets.” To be measured by: Progress by countries in the degree of application of a framework which recognizes and protects access rights for small-scale fisheries. 14.C. “Enhance the conservation and sustainable use of oceans and their resources by implementing international law as reflected in UNCLOS, which provides the legal framework for the conservation and sustainable use of oceans and their resources.” To be measured by: Number of countries making progress in ratifying, accepting and implementing through legal, policy and institutional frameworks, ocean-related instruments that implement international law. 7 Our Ocean, Our Future, Article 2, Article 5. See https://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/RES/71/312&Lang=E 8 For more systematic analysis of the interconnections between SDG 14 and the other SDGs, see Schmidt et al 2017, and Le Blanc et al 2017. 9 A distinct, but in many ways justified, objection to many of the targets is that they are insufficiently clear and measurable. For this objection, see Cormier and Elliott 2017. 10 Target 14.3 aims to reduce the extent of acidification, and its impacts. But the accompanying measure focuses on the reduction of acidification, and does not demand any specific measures to allow communities to adapt to it. Such measures will be vital even if rapid mitigation measures are put in place. 11 https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdg10 12 This is not an implausible counterfactual by any means, since scholars have often noted that fishing acts as an economic ‘buffer,’ providing employment in times of economic hardship. See e.g. Jul Larsen 2003. 13 https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdg2 14 Developed countries are the destination for 85% of global fish exports. Swartz et al 2010: 1367. 15 For a fuller account of conservation as protection, restoration and non-exploitation, and an exploration of how the costs of each ought to be shared, see Armstrong 2017, chapter 10. 16 Our Ocean, Our Future, Article 7. 17 For such an integrated account, see Armstrong 2018a. 18 In 2010, the Pitcairn EEZ was designated a Marine Protected Area. All fishing is now prohibited, with the exception of subsistence fishing by Pitcairn Islanders. https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/researchand-analysis/fact-sheets/2015/03/the-pitcairn-islands 19 Unfortunately, it is now clear that a new legally binding instrument for Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction will incorporate the same prohibition on undermining existing institutions. Blanchard 2017: 328. 20 Our Ocean, Our Future, Article 12. 21 Blanchard 2017: 327 defines institutional fragmentation in ocean governance is having two distinct dimensions: a lack of coordination between instruments and institutions, and the presence of gaps in coherent governance. 22 Our Ocean, Our Future, Article 8. 23 Our Ocean, Our Future, Article 11. 24 https://www.protectedplanet.net/marine. Accessed 11th July 2019. 25 https://thediplomat.com/2016/11/a-pyrrhic-victory-in-antarctica/ 26 Territorial seas stretch for twelve nautical miles from a state’s coast. Within those waters, vessels can be subjected to the legal powers of the coastal state, if the latter so chooses. Within Exclusive Economic Zones, coastal states can enforce their resource rights over fishing activities. But they cannot enforce the protection of labour rights or general (non-fishing-related) environmental protections; that is a matter for flag states. On the High Seas, enforcement of any relevant laws or regulations is a matter for the flag state alone. 19 27 For the distinction between prevention and impact burdens, see Alex McLaughlin, Climate Change Burden Sharing, PhD thesis, University of Reading. 28 For an account of when and why outsiders might have a duty to assist in easing transitions away from environmentally destructive practices, see Armstrong 2019b. 29 For an argument that they should endure, see Armstrong and Corbett 2020. References Armstrong, Chris (2017) Justice and Natural Resources: An Egalitarian Theory (Oxford: Oxford University Press). Armstrong, Chris (2018a) “Sharing Conservation Burdens Fairly,” Conservation Biology 33.3: 554-560. Armstrong, Chris (2018b) “Resources Outside of the State: Governing the Ocean and Beyond,” Philosophy Compass 13.11: e12545. Armstrong, Chris (2019a) Why Global Justice Matters: Moral Progress in a Divided World (Cambridge: Polity). Armstrong, Chris (2019b) “Decarbonisation and World Poverty: A Just Transition for Fossil Fuel Exporting Countries?” Political Studies: 0032321719868214. Armstrong, Chris and Jack Corbett (2020) “Climate Change, Sea Level Rise and Maritime Baselines: Responding to the Plight of Low-Lying Atoll States,” Global Environmental Politics, forthcoming. Le Blanc, David et al (2017) Mapping the Linkages Between Oceans and Other Sustainable Development Goals: A Preliminary Exploration (New York: United Nations Division for Sustainable Development Working Paper 149). Blanchard, Catherine (2017) “Fragmentation in High Seas Fisheries: Preliminary Reflections on a Global Oceans Governance Approach,” Marine Policy 84: 327-32. Blasiak, Robert, and Colette Wabnitz (2018) “Aligning Fisheries Aid with International Development Targets and Goals,” Marine Policy 88: 86-92. Broggiato, Arianna et al (2014) “Fair and Equitable Sharing of Benefits from the Utilization of Marine Genetic Resources in Areas Beyond National Jurisdiction: Bridging the Gaps between Science and Policy,” Marine Policy 49: 176-85. Campbell, Lisa et al (2013) ‘Oceans at Rio+ 20,’ Conservation Letters 6.6: 439-47. Caney, Simon (2012) “Just Emissions,” Philosophy & Public Affairs 40.4: 255-300. Casal, Paula, and Nicole Selamé (2015) “Sea for the Landlocked: A Sustainable Development Goal?” Journal of Global Ethics 11.3: 270-79. 20 Cormier, Roland and Michael Elliott (2017) “SMART Marine Goals, Targets and Management – Is SDG 14 Operational or Aspirational, Is ‘Life Below Water’ Sinking or Swimming?” Marine Pollution Bulletin 123.1-2: 28-33. Costanza, Robert, et al (1998) “Principles for Sustainable Governance of the Oceans,” Science 281.5374: 198-99. Roberts, Callum (2007) The Unnatural History of the Sea: The Past and Future of Humanity and Fishing (London: Gaia), p.365. Schmidt, Stefanie et al (2017) ‘SDG 14 - Conserve and Sustainable Use the Oceans, Seas and Marine Resources for Sustainable Development,’ in Griggs, David (et al eds) A Guide to SDG Interactions: from Science to Implementation (Paris: International Council for Science): 174218. Freestone, David (2012) “The Final Frontier: The Law of the Sea Convention and Areas beyond National Jurisdiction,” Proceedings of the 2012 Law of the Sea Institute Conference on Securing the Ocean for the Next Generation (Berkeley: Law of the Sea Institute), 1-15. Shue, Henry (2014) Climate Justice: Vulnerability and Protection (Oxford: Oxford University Press). Golden, Christopher et al (2016) “Fall in Fish Catch Threatens Human Health,” Nature News 534-7607. Swartz, Wilf et al (2010) “Sourcing Seafood for the Three Major Markets: The EU, Japan and the USA,” Marine Policy 34: 1366-73. Griggs, David et al (2017) A Guide to SDG Interactions: From Science to Implementation (Paris: International Council for Science). United Nations (2016) Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (New York: United Nations). Grotius, Hugo (1609 / 2004) “The Free Sea,” in The Free Sea, translated by Richard Hakluyt (Indianapolis: Liberty Fund). United Nations (2017) First Integrated Global Ocean Assessment: The World Ocean Assessment (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). Jul Larsen, Eyolf (2003) “Analysis of Effort Dynamics in the Zambian Inshore Fisheries of Lake Kariba,”, in Jul Larsen et al, Management, Co-management or No Management? Major Dilemmas in Southern African Freshwater Fisheries. Fisheries Technical Paper 426/1 & 2 (Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization). Ye, Yimin (2013) ‘Rebuilding Global Fisheries: The World Summit Goals, Costs and Benefits,” Fish and Fisheries 14.2: 174-85. Zacharias, Mark and Jeff Ardron (2020) Marine Policy: An Introduction to Governance and International Law of the Oceans (Abingdon: Routledge). Long, Rachel et al (2013) “Key Principles of Marine Ecosystem-Based Management,” Marine Policy 57: 53-60. Miller, Denzil (2010) “Occupying The High Ground: Technology And The War On IUU Fishing,” in Davor Vidas (ed) Law, Technology and Science for Oceans in Globalisation (Leiden: Brill Nijhoff): 75-99. Moellendorf, Darrel (2014) The Moral Challenge of Dangerous Climate Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). Morgera, Elisa and Mara Ntona (2018) “Linking Small-scale Fisheries to International Obligations on Marine Technology Transfer,” Marine Policy 93: 295-306. Nine, Cara (2019) “Rights to the Oceans: Foundational Arguments Reconsidered,” Journal of Applied Philosophy 36.4: 626-642. Nolan, Peter (2013) “Imperial Archipelagos,” New Left Review 80: 77-95. Okafor-Yarwood, Ifesinachi (2019) “Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing, and the Complexities of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for Countries in the Gulf of Guinea,” Marine Policy 99: 414-22. Pauly, Daniel and Dirk Zeller (2016) “Catch reconstructions reveal that global marine fisheries catches are higher than reported and declining,” Nature Communications 7.10244: 1-9. 21 22