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Explainable AI: Making Machine Learning Decisions Transparent

Explainable AI (XAI) has emerged as a critical field in artificial intelligence, addressing the "black box" nature of complex machine learning models. This article explores the importance of transparency in AI decision-making, the techniques used to achieve explainability, and the implications for various sectors. We examine the current state of XAI, its applications in healthcare, finance, and other critical areas, and discuss the ethical and regulatory considerations surrounding transparent AI. The paper concludes with an analysis of XAI's contribution to the broader field of AI and its potential future developments.

Explainable AI: Making Machine Learning Decisions Transparent 1 1 Nathan Adelola Ikumapayi 2Bashiru Muhammed Department of Computer Science El-slyva global institute 2 Department of Computer Science Kogi State Polytechnic Abstract: Explainable AI (XAI) has emerged as a critical field in artificial intelligence, addressing the "black box" nature of complex machine learning models. This article explores the importance of transparency in AI decision-making, the techniques used to achieve explainability, and the implications for various sectors. We examine the current state of XAI, its applications in healthcare, finance, and other critical areas, and discuss the ethical and regulatory considerations surrounding transparent AI. The paper concludes with an analysis of XAI's contribution to the broader field of AI and its potential future developments. Keywords: Explainable AI (XAI), Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Transparency in AI, Interpretable Models, Model-agnostic Methods, Model-specific Methods, Visualization Techniques, Natural Language Explanations, Decision Support Systems, AI Ethics, Fairness in AI, Accountability, Regulatory Compliance, Healthcare AI, Financial AI, Legal AI, Autonomous Systems, Human-AI Interaction, Trust in AI, AI Bias Mitigation, Feature Importance, LIME, SHAP, Deep Learning Interpretability, Saliency Maps, Attention Mechanisms, Causal AI, AI Governance, Responsible AI, AI Transparency, User-centric XAI, AI Decision-making, AI Accountability, Cognitive Load in XAI, XAI Evaluation Metrics, AI Explainability Techniques, Ethical AI, AI Regulation, Transparent Machine Learning, Introduction: In recent years, artificial intelligence and machine learning have made remarkable strides, revolutionising industries and enhancing decision-making processes across various domains. However, as these systems become more complex and deeply integrated into critical aspects of our lives, a significant challenge has emerged: the lack of transparency in AI decision-making processes. Many advanced AI models, particularly deep learning neural networks, operate as "black boxes", making decisions based on intricate patterns and relationships that are not easily interpretable by humans. This opacity raises concerns about accountability, fairness, and trust in AI systems, especially when they are deployed in sensitive areas such as healthcare diagnostics, financial lending, or criminal justice. Explainable AI (XAI) has emerged as a response to this challenge, aiming to develop methods and techniques that make AI decision-making processes more transparent and interpretable. XAI seeks to bridge the gap between the complexity of advanced AI models and the need for human understanding and oversight. This article delves into the world of Explainable AI, exploring its fundamental concepts, techniques, applications, and implications. We will examine the motivations behind XAI, the various approaches to achieving explainability, and the impact of transparent AI across different sectors. Additionally, we will discuss the ethical considerations and regulatory landscape surrounding XAI, and conclude with an analysis of its contributions to the field of AI and potential future developments. 1. Understanding Explainable AI 1.1 Definition and core concepts Explainable AI refers to methods and techniques in artificial intelligence that produce more interpretable models whilst maintaining high-performance levels. The core concept of XAI is to create AI systems that can provide clear, understandable explanations for their decisions or predictions. This transparency is crucial for building trust, enabling effective human-AI collaboration, and ensuring accountability in AI-driven decision-making processes. XAI encompasses a range of approaches, from developing inherently interpretable models to creating post-hoc explanation methods for complex black-box models. The field draws on various disciplines, including machine learning, human-computer interaction, cognitive science, and ethics. Key concepts in XAI include: - Interpretability: The degree to which a human can understand the cause of a decision. - Transparency: The ability to see how an AI system works and makes decisions. - Explainability: The capacity to provide human-understandable explanations for AI decisions. - Accountability: The ability to assign responsibility for the outcomes of AI decisions. 1.2 The need for transparency in AI The demand for transparency in AI systems has grown alongside their increasing complexity and widespread deployment. Several factors contribute to this need: Trust and adoption: For AI systems to be widely accepted and trusted, users need to understand how these systems arrive at their decisions. This is particularly crucial in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, finance, and criminal justice. Regulatory compliance: Many industries are subject to regulations that require explanations for automated decisions affecting individuals. For instance, the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) includes a "right to explanation" for decisions made by automated systems. Debugging and improvement: Transparency allows developers to identify and correct errors or biases in AI models, leading to more robust and fair systems. Ethical considerations: Explainable AI helps in identifying and mitigating potential biases or discriminatory practices that may be inadvertently encoded in AI systems. Scientific understanding: XAI can provide insights into complex phenomena that AI models learn to recognise, potentially advancing our understanding in various scientific fields. 1.3 Historical context and evolution of XAI The roots of Explainable AI can be traced back to the early days of artificial intelligence. In the 1970s and 1980s, expert systems—AI programs that emulated the decision-making ability of human experts—were designed to be interpretable, often providing explanations for their reasoning. However, as machine learning techniques, particularly deep learning, gained prominence in the 2000s and 2010s, the focus shifted towards achieving higher performance, often at the cost of interpretability. The success of these "black box" models in various applications led to their widespread adoption. The resurgence of interest in explainability came in the mid-2010s, driven by several factors: - Increased use of AI in critical decision-making processes - Growing awareness of potential biases and fairness issues in AI systems - Regulatory pressures, such as the implementation of GDPR in 2018 - High-profile cases of AI systems making unexplainable or biased decisions In response, research into XAI techniques accelerated, with significant contributions from both academia and industry. Major tech companies and research institutions launched initiatives focused on developing explainable AI methods. For instance, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) in the United States initiated an XAI programme in 2016 to fund research in this area. Today, Explainable AI is a rapidly evolving field, with ongoing research addressing challenges in creating more transparent and interpretable AI systems across various domains and applications. 2.0 Literature Review Description: This paper provides a thorough survey of the existing literature on explainableartificial intelligence (XAI) techniques and methodologies. It discusses the evolution ofXAI, highlights the key challenges, and presents an overview of various approaches forachieving transparency in decision-making processes.[1] This paper focuses oninterpretable machine learning models and their role in developing explainable decisionsupport systems. It reviews different model interpretation techniques, such as rule-basedmodels, decision trees, and linear models, highlighting their strengths and limitations infacilitating transparent decision-making.[2] [20], This study investigates how to make AI systems more transparent by using visualexplanations. It explores several visualization strategies, such as saliency maps, heatmaps, and attention processes, and assesses how well they work to explain AI-based judgments ina comprehensible way.[3] In this essay, the ethical ramifications of XAI are examined. Byexamining the ethical issues around openness, responsibility, fairness, and bias, it offersinsights into the status of the research and suggests moral standards for the creation and useof explainable AI systems.[4] This study emphasizes the value of incorporating userpreferences and viewpoints as it focuses on humancentric approaches to XAI. It surveysresearch on user-centred explanation interfaces, interactive explanations, and participatorydesign methods, shedding light on the potential of these approaches for transparentdecision-making.[5] [21] This paper examines the application of XAI techniques in healthcare decision supportsystems. It reviews various approaches, such as model-agnostic explanations, clinicalreasoning, and causal inference, highlighting their impact on enhancing transparency andtrust in medical decisionmaking processes.[6] This paper explores the challenges andadvancements in achieving interpretability in deep learning models. It surveys techniquessuch as feature visualization, attention mechanisms, and layer-wise relevance propagation,providing an overview of their capabilities and limitations in enabling transparent decision-making with deep neural networks.[7] This paper investigates the use of XAI techniques infinancial decision-making processes. It surveys methods such as rule extraction, ensemblemodels, and explainable recommender systems, examining their effectiveness in providingtransparent and trustworthy explanations for financial predictions and investmentstrategies.[8] [22] This essay focuses on the function of XAI in autonomous systems, including drones andselfdriving automobiles. [23] It discusses difficulties with safety, interpretability, and useracceptance in the context of transparent decision-making as it evaluates strategies forexplaining the actions and choices of autonomous agents. [9] This study investigates theperformance and efficacy of XAI approaches through benchmarking and assessment. Itexamines current evaluation metrics, datasets, and benchmark frameworks to give insighton evaluation processes as they are now and to suggest potential approaches forstandardized evaluation of explainable AI systems in the future.[10] The many explainableartificial intelligence (XAI) strategies that allow for openness in the decision-makingprocess are thoroughly reviewed in this study. It discusses the strengths, limitations, andapplicability of different methods in different domains.[11] This paper investigates theethical dimensions of using explainable AI in decision-making systems. It explores thechallenges and opportunities in ensuring transparency and fairness, while also addressingissues such as bias, privacy, and accountability.[12] [24] This study looks at how human-AI collaboration can lead to more transparent decision-making. It talks about the advantages and difficulties of combining human judgment andinteraction with explainable AI systems.[13] The emphasis of this study is on interpretablemachine learning models and their use in situations of open decision-making. It discussesseveral model-specific and modelagnostic interpretability strategies, their benefits, andhow they affect the transparency of decisionmaking.[14] This article examines explainableAI model visualization approaches, emphasizing how they may make decision-makingprocesses more transparent and understandable. It investigates several AI modelvisualization techniques and how they affect the results of decisionmaking. [15] This study examines explainable AI's potential uses in the healthcare industry with anemphasis on open decision-making. It looks at how explainable AI may help medicalpractitioners make judgments that are trustworthy and clear.[16] In order to facilitatetransparent decision-making, this study examines the legal and regulatory frameworksaround explainable AI. It talks about how the laws are now, how hard it is to put them intopractice, and what could happen in the future.[17] The application of explainable AI infinancial decision-making processes is looked into in this research, along with a review ofcurrent methods and their effects on openness, risk assessment, fraud detection, and regulatory compliance.[18] The societal acceptance of explainable AI systems in decision-making situations is examined in this article. It investigates how the general public feelsabout accountability, openness, and trust in AI-driven decision-making processes. [19] Thispaper presents a survey of real-world applications where explainable AI has beensuccessfully utilized to achieve transparent decision-making outcomes. It examines casestudies across various domains, highlighting the practical benefits and challengesencountered.[20] 3. Techniques in Explainable AI 3.1 Model-agnostic methods Model-agnostic methods are explanation techniques that can be applied to any machine learning model, regardless of its internal structure or complexity. These methods treat the model as a "black box" and focus on explaining its behaviour based on inputs and outputs. Some prominent modelagnostic techniques include: LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations): LIME explains individual predictions by approximating the model locally with an interpretable model. It perturbs the input and observes changes in the output to create a local linear approximation. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations): Based on game theory, SHAP assigns each feature an importance value for a particular prediction. It provides a unified measure of feature importance that integrates several existing methods. Partial Dependence Plots (PDP): PDPs show the marginal effect of one or two features on the predicted outcome of a machine learning model. They help visualise how changes in a feature affect predictions on average. Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots: Similar to PDPs, ICE plots show how the model's predictions change as a feature varies for individual instances, providing a more granular view than PDPs. Permutation Feature Importance: This technique measures the importance of a feature by calculating the increase in the model's prediction error after permuting the feature's values. 3.2 Model-specific methods Model-specific explanation techniques are tailored to particular types of machine learning models, leveraging their unique architectures or properties. These methods often provide more detailed and accurate explanations but are limited to specific model types. Examples include: Decision Trees and Random Forests: - Feature importance measures based on information gain or Gini impurity - Rule extraction to represent decision paths Linear and Logistic Regression: - Coefficient values and their statistical significance - Odds ratios for logistic regression Neural Networks: - Activation maximization to visualise what input patterns maximally activate specific neurons - Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) to decompose the prediction into contributions of individual input features - Integrated Gradients to attribute the prediction to input features Support Vector Machines: - Visualisation of support vectors and decision boundaries - Explanation based on the weights of the support vectors 3.3 Visualization techniques Visualisation plays a crucial role in making AI explanations more intuitive and accessible. Various visualisation techniques have been developed to represent complex AI decisions graphically: Saliency maps: These highlight regions of an input image that are most influential for the model's decision. Techniques like Grad-CAM (Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping) are commonly used for this purpose. Feature visualisation: This technique generates images that maximally activate specific neurons or layers in a neural network, providing insight into what the model has learned to recognise. t-SNE (t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding): This dimensionality reduction technique is used to visualise high-dimensional data in 2D or 3D space, helping to understand how the model clusters or separates different classes. Decision boundary plots: For classification problems, these plots show how the model separates different classes in feature space, which is particularly useful for understanding binary classifiers. Confusion matrices: These visualisations help in understanding the performance of classification models by showing the counts of true positives, false positives, true negatives, and false negatives. 3.4 Natural language explanations Natural language explanations aim to provide human-readable justifications for AI decisions. These techniques bridge the gap between technical explanations and user understanding. Methods in this category include: Rationale generation: This involves training models to generate textual explanations alongside their predictions. For instance, in image captioning tasks, models can be trained to explain why they chose certain words or phrases. Concept activation vectors: This technique identifies human-interpretable concepts that a neural network has learned and uses them to generate explanations. Counterfactual explanations: These explanations describe how the input would need to change for the model to produce a different output. For example, "If your income was £5,000 higher, your loan application would have been approved." Rule extraction: This involves deriving a set of if-then rules from complex models that approximate their decision-making process in a human-readable format. Natural language processing techniques: Advanced NLP models can be used to generate more sophisticated and context-aware explanations of AI decisions. 3.5 Applications of Explainable AI 3.5.1 Healthcare and medical diagnostics Explainable AI has found significant applications in healthcare, particularly in medical diagnostics and treatment planning. The need for transparency is crucial in this field, where decisions can have life-altering consequences. Some key applications include: Disease diagnosis: XAI techniques are used to explain how AI models interpret medical imaging (e.g., X-rays, MRIs, CT scans) to detect diseases such as cancer or cardiovascular conditions. For instance, saliency maps can highlight areas of an image that influenced the model's diagnosis. Treatment recommendation: AI systems that suggest treatment plans can provide explanations for their recommendations, helping doctors understand the reasoning behind the suggestions and make more informed decisions. Drug discovery: In pharmaceutical research, XAI can help scientists understand how AI models predict drug efficacy or potential side effects, accelerating the drug development process. Patient risk assessment: Explainable models can identify and explain risk factors for various health conditions, aiding in preventive care and personalised medicine. Clinical decision support: XAI techniques can make AI-powered clinical decision support systems more transparent, helping healthcare providers understand and trust the system's recommendations. 3.5.2 Finance and risk assessment The financial sector has been an early adopter of AI technologies, and with increased regulatory scrutiny, explainability has become crucial. Applications of XAI in finance include: Credit scoring: Explainable models can provide reasons for credit approvals or denials, helping both financial institutions and customers understand the decision-making process. Fraud detection: XAI techniques can explain why certain transactions are flagged as potentially fraudulent, improving the accuracy of fraud detection systems and reducing false positives. Investment strategies: In algorithmic trading and portfolio management, XAI can provide insights into the factors driving investment decisions, helping investors understand and trust AI-driven strategies. Insurance underwriting: Explainable AI models can clarify how different factors contribute to insurance premium calculations, ensuring fair and transparent pricing. Regulatory compliance: XAI helps financial institutions meet regulatory requirements for transparency in automated decision-making processes, such as those mandated by GDPR or the Fair Credit Reporting Act. 3.5.3 Legal and criminal justice systems The application of AI in legal and criminal justice systems has raised significant ethical concerns, making explainability particularly important in this domain: Predictive policing: XAI can provide transparency in AI systems used to predict crime hotspots or recidivism rates, helping to identify and mitigate potential biases. Judicial decision support: In cases where AI assists in sentencing or bail decisions, explainable models can provide clear rationales for their recommendations, ensuring accountability and fairness. Legal research and case prediction: XAI techniques can explain how AI systems analyse legal precedents and predict case outcomes, assisting lawyers in building stronger arguments. Document analysis: In e-discovery processes, explainable AI can highlight relevant sections of documents and explain their significance to the case. Bias detection: XAI can help identify and explain potential biases in AI systems used in the criminal justice system, promoting fairness and equal treatment under the law. 3.5.4 Autonomous vehicles and transportation As autonomous vehicles become more prevalent, the need for explainable AI in this domain has grown: Decision explanation: XAI techniques can provide insights into why an autonomous vehicle made specific decisions, such as changing lanes or applying brakes, which is crucial for safety and user trust. Accident investigation: In the event of accidents involving autonomous vehicles, explainable AI can help investigators understand the factors that led to the incident. Traffic management: AI systems used in smart city traffic management can explain their decisions to optimise traffic flow, helping city planners and citizens understand and trust these systems. Predictive maintenance: Explainable AI models can identify potential issues in vehicles or transportation infrastructure, providing clear explanations for maintenance recommendations. Route planning: XAI can explain the factors considered in route optimisation, such as traffic conditions, fuel efficiency, or user preferences. 3.5.5 Other industry applications Explainable AI has found applications across various other industries: Manufacturing: XAI can explain quality control decisions, optimise production processes, and provide insights for predictive maintenance. Retail: In recommendation systems, XAI can explain why certain products are recommended to customers, improving user experience and trust. Human resources: Explainable AI can provide transparency in recruitment processes, explaining why certain candidates are shortlisted or selected. Education: AI-powered educational tools can use XAI to explain their assessment of student performance and provide personalised learning recommendations. Energy: In smart grid management, XAI can explain decisions related to energy distribution and consumption optimisation. Environmental monitoring: Explainable AI models can provide insights into climate predictions, pollution detection, and ecosystem management decisions. 4. Challenges and Limitations of XAI 4.1 Technical challenges Despite significant progress, several technical challenges persist in the field of Explainable AI: Complexity-interpretability trade-off: Many high-performing AI models, particularly deep neural networks, are inherently complex. Simplifying these models for better interpretability often comes at the cost of reduced performance. Scalability: As AI models grow in size and complexity, generating meaningful explanations becomes increasingly challenging. This is particularly evident in large language models with billions of parameters. Stability of explanations: Some explanation methods can be sensitive to small changes in the input, leading to inconsistent or unreliable explanations. Multi-modal explanations: Developing explanation techniques that can handle multiple types of data (e.g., text, images, numerical data) simultaneously remains a challenge. Temporal and sequential data: Explaining decisions in models that process temporal or sequential data, such as recurrent neural networks, poses unique challenges. Causal reasoning: Many current XAI techniques focus on correlations rather than causal relationships, limiting their ability to provide truly insightful explanations. 4.2 Trade-offs between performance and explainability The tension between model performance and explainability is a central challenge in XAI: Model complexity: Simpler, more interpretable models (e.g., linear regression, decision trees) often underperform complex black-box models in tasks involving high-dimensional or non-linear data. Feature engineering: While using hand-crafted features can improve interpretability, it may limit the model's ability to discover complex patterns autonomously. Explanation fidelity: Simplified explanations may not capture the full complexity of the model's decision-making process, potentially leading to misunderstandings. Computational overhead: Generating explanations, especially for complex models, can be computationally expensive, potentially slowing down the decision-making process. Model-specific vs. model-agnostic methods: While model-specific explanation techniques can provide more accurate insights, they limit the flexibility to use different types of models. 4.3 Human factors in interpreting explanations The effectiveness of XAI also depends on human factors: Cognitive load: Complex or lengthy explanations may overwhelm users, reducing their ability to understand and act on the information. Domain expertise: The level of domain knowledge required to understand explanations can vary, potentially limiting their usefulness for non-expert users. Trust calibration: Users may over-rely on AI explanations or, conversely, dismiss them entirely, leading to improper use of AI systems. Explanation preferences: Different users may prefer different types of explanations (e.g., visual vs. textual), making it challenging to design universally effective explanation interfaces. Contextual relevance: Explanations need to be tailored to the specific context and user needs, which can be difficult to achieve in general-purpose AI systems. Cognitive biases: Human cognitive biases can influence how explanations are interpreted, potentially leading to misunderstandings or reinforcing existing prejudices. Contribution to Knowledge: This comprehensive review of Explainable AI (XAI) contributes to the existing body of knowledge in several ways: 1. Synthesis of current XAI techniques: The article provides a thorough overview of various XAI methods, from model-agnostic to model-specific approaches, offering researchers and practitioners a consolidated resource for understanding the state-of-the-art in the field [1, 2, 7]. 2. Cross-domain application analysis: By examining XAI applications across multiple sectors such as healthcare, finance, and autonomous systems, the article highlights the versatility and importance of explainable AI in diverse contexts [6, 8, 9, 15, 17]. 3. Ethical and regulatory insights: The exploration of ethical considerations and regulatory landscapes provides valuable insights into the societal implications of XAI, contributing to ongoing discussions about responsible AI development [4, 11, 16]. 4. Identification of challenges and limitations: By critically examining the technical challenges and limitations of XAI, the article contributes to identifying areas for future research and development [10]. 5. Human-centric perspective: The inclusion of human factors in interpreting explanations adds a crucial dimension to XAI research, emphasising the importance of user-centred design in explainable systems [5]. Summary: This article provides a comprehensive exploration of Explainable AI (XAI), covering its definition, techniques, applications, challenges, and ethical considerations. It begins by establishing the need for transparency in AI systems and traces the historical context and evolution of XAI. The article then delves into various XAI techniques, including model-agnostic and model-specific methods, as well as visualisation and natural language explanation approaches. The applications of XAI are examined across multiple domains, including healthcare, finance, legal systems, and autonomous vehicles, highlighting its broad relevance and impact. The article also addresses the challenges and limitations of XAI, discussing technical hurdles, trade-offs between performance and explainability, and human factors in interpretation. Ethical considerations and the regulatory landscape surrounding XAI are explored, emphasising the importance of fairness, accountability, and transparency. The article concludes by discussing future directions in XAI research and development. Conclusion: Explainable AI has emerged as a critical field in the broader landscape of artificial intelligence, addressing the crucial need for transparency and interpretability in AI systems. As AI continues to permeate various aspects of society, the ability to understand and trust these systems becomes increasingly important. The development of diverse XAI techniques has made significant strides in making complex AI models more interpretable, from simple visualisation methods to sophisticated model-specific approaches. These advancements have enabled the application of XAI across numerous domains, enhancing decision-making processes in healthcare, finance, legal systems, and beyond. However, challenges remain, particularly in balancing the trade-off between model performance and explainability, and in addressing the human factors involved in interpreting AI explanations. The ethical implications of XAI, including issues of fairness, accountability, and potential biases, continue to be areas of active research and debate. As the field progresses, it is clear that XAI will play a crucial role in shaping the future of AI development and deployment. The ongoing research and practical applications of XAI are paving the way for more trustworthy, transparent, and ethically aligned AI systems that can be effectively integrated into critical decision-making processes across various sectors of society. Recommendations: Based on the findings of this review, the following recommendations are proposed for future research and development in XAI: 1. Interdisciplinary collaboration: Encourage collaboration between AI researchers, domain experts, ethicists, and policymakers to develop XAI solutions that are both technically robust and socially responsible [4, 11]. 2. Standardisation efforts: Work towards establishing standardised evaluation metrics and benchmarks for XAI techniques to facilitate comparison and improvement of different approaches [10]. 3. User-centric design: Prioritise the development of XAI interfaces and explanations that are tailored to the needs and cognitive capacities of end-users, enhancing the practical utility of these systems [5]. 4. Regulatory alignment: Continue research on aligning XAI development with evolving regulatory requirements, ensuring that AI systems can meet legal and ethical standards for transparency and accountability [16]. 5. Domain-specific XAI: Invest in developing and refining XAI techniques for specific domains, recognising that different fields may require unique approaches to explanation and interpretation [6, 8, 15]. 6. Causal reasoning: Advance research in causal AI and its integration with XAI to move beyond correlation-based explanations towards more insightful causal explanations [7]. 7. Scalability and efficiency: Focus on developing XAI techniques that can scale to large, complex models without significant computational overhead, making them more practical for real-world applications [1, 2]. 8. Ethical AI training: Incorporate XAI principles and techniques into AI education and training programmes to ensure that future AI developers are well-versed in creating transparent and explainable systems [4, 11]. 9. Long-term impact studies: Conduct longitudinal studies on the impact of XAI on user trust, decision-making processes, and overall system effectiveness in various domains [19]. 10. Privacy-preserving XAI: Investigate methods for providing meaningful explanations while protecting sensitive information and individual privacy, especially in domains like healthcare and finance [8, 15, 17]. 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