Abstract Because of limited wood resources the Scandinavian forest sector will soon have to make the transition from rapid to slow industrial growth. This will mean increased wood prices, excessive removals, increased centralisation, and reduced employment. The authors discuss the strategies available to cushion the effects of the transition, and the factors that should be taken into account when choosing a strategy. Their conclusions are based on a computer model which enables possible developments in the forest sector over the next 30–50 years to be simulated quickly.
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