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2000, Teaching Statistics
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5 pages
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sk schoolchildren what a census is and your reward is a sea of blank faces, with maybe a tentative half hand or two up. Ask them about data handling and statistics and the result may be a little better, but meagre excitement is shown. Many lessons in schools generating and using statistics, be it in geography, mathematics or science, tend to use standard data, and are often delivered using unimaginative methods of teaching and learning.
Resumen En el trabajo que se presenta a continuación, se pretende realizar un análisis de la serie de tiempo correspondiente al índice de ventas en valores reales de comercio en establecimientos especializados en la venta de alimentos y en establecimientos no especializado con surtido compuesto principalmente por alimentos, teniendo como base la información mensual disponible a partir de Enero del 2003 hasta marzo 2016realizada por el departamento administrativo nacional de estadística (DANE); gracias a la metodología y los métodos por este ente gubernamentalutilizados para su cálculo. Lo anterior con el fin de postular modelos globales y localesque analicen las componentes de tendencia y estacionalidadconsiderando posibles ciclos y la componente de error que debe contener un modelo estadístico. Luego se elegirán los dos mejores modelos por medio del análisis de ajuste y pronósticos, de dichos modelos buscando aquel que pronostique con calidad el comportamiento de la serie en un tiempo futuro, bajo supuestos estadísticos, incluyendo pruebas de significancia y análisis de criterios de información AIC, BIC, MAPE, MRSE entre otros; dichos cálculos fueron realizados con el paquete estadístico R.
High agility occurs at the boundaries of the performance where high vibratory loads are developed on the vehicle structure. This article presents a design optimization of short range rotorcraft while facing the tough weather conditions. Rotorcraft optimization has not yet reached the same maturity as aerodynamic optimization, and some potential reasons are well known. The use of design optimization for rotorcraft applications increases with the availability of improved analysis and more efficient algorithms. Especially for sensitivity calculations and further experimental verifications aerodynamic force optimization is a pre-requisite. The aerodynamic forces and structural loads acting on the rotor blades under extreme operating conditions are investigated by numerical methods. The rotor blade is designed using NACA 23012 airfoil and the aerodynamic force coefficients during the hovering and vertical climb are computed with significant accuracy. The objective of this analysis is to design a two/three seated rotorcraft by using single rotor (NOTOR) at low cost. It should possess the all weather operation capability for the emergency rescue purpose, condition like forest fire, floods, and other natural calamities.
Gestiunea mediului
The political landscape was also different than two hundred years earlier, although two schools of thought still remained prominent, The Fedcralists and Democratic-Republicans of the early days of the nation had morphed into the conservative Republicans and the liberal Democrats of the bicentennial year. However, neither Gerald Ford-the "accidental" president who succeeded Richard M. Nixon after Nixon resigned in disgrace over the Watergate scandal prior to his anticipated impeachment-nor Jimmy Carter-Ford's little-known centrist Democratic challenger-were the equivalent of Washington, Jefferson, Madison, Hamilton, or the other founders of the republic, but that was the choice offered to voters, Indeed, the closeness of the November presidential election (Carter, 50 percent; Ford, 48 percent) suggested the deep divisions in the nation. In many ways, the same ideological choice on the ballot was proffered to audiences of American films. The ideological themes (and styles) of the most popular films, as well as those most acclaimed by the critical establishment and the Motion Picture Academy, likewise reflected a growing national instability, a vestige of the Vietnam War and Watergate periods. Three of the top seven best-selling nonfiction books were about the Watergate scandal: Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein's The Final Days, a sequel or sorts to their All the President's Men; convicted Watergate conspirator Charles Colson's Born Again; and John Dean's Blind Ambition: The White House Years. The success of Alex Haley's Roots suggested that racial tensions were casing despite events that indicated the nation was still racially divided. Finally, although not a commercial bestseller , another highly influential book appeared this year: Daniel Bell's The Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism, whose thesis was that U.S, society was splintering. In fact, Bell's hook contains twenty-two references to America as "unstable," as epitomized by the '''American climacteric,' a critical change of life" in the nation (213). On the international scene, Vietnam became unified, with its capital established in Hanoi and Saigon renamed Ho Chi Minh City. Both Mao Tse-tung and Chou En-lai died, leading to a power snuggle for control of the People's Republic of China, The incoming pragmatists purged hardline Maoists, and many Mao loyalists, such as the Gang of Four (including Mao's widow, Ch'ing Ch'ing (a former film star), were imprisoned, Perhaps because of the uncertain times and the excitement surrounding the bicentennial, the arts returned to traditional and familiar modes of expression, thus eclipsing the long run of the more experimental, political, arid modernist aesthetic in painting, sculpture, architecture, photography,
Revista Estudos Políticos, 2019
Resumo Com a publicação, em 2005, de A razão populista, Ernesto Laclau trouxe o tema do populismo de volta para a agenda da teoria política. Mas o tema não ficou circunscrito somente aos debates teóricos. Nesse início de século assistimos ao crescimento de uma miríade de forças eleitorais que articulam a política sob o método do populismo. Essa forma de articulação de demandas e reivindicações ocorre tanto à direita quanto à esquerda do espectro ideológico. Tendo como suporte analítico o conceito de populismo de Laclau, o presente artigo investiga as recentes investidas eleitorais que atuam sob essa forma em quatro países: Estados Unidos, Inglaterra, França e Alemanha. A primeira seção é dedicada ao conceito de populismo em Laclau. A segunda seção observa o processo eleitoral estadunidense de 2016 com a pré-candidatura de Bernie Sanders e a vitória de Donald Trump. Na terceira parte é analisada a ascensão de Jeremy Corbyn no Partido Trabalhista britânico e de seu oposto, Nigel Farage, do UKIP. Na quarta, foram comparados os extremos que se apresentaram para a eleição presidencial francesa de 2017: Marine Le Pen, da Frente Nacional; e Jean-Luc Mélenchon, da antiga Front de Gauche, atual France Insoumise. Por fim, observa-se o crescimento do Die Linke e da AfD na Alemanha. A hipótese apresentada é a de que o conceito de populismo formulado por Ernesto Laclau e reafirmado por Chantal Mouffe possui validade explicativa não apenas para países da América Latina, como já vem ressaltando uma parcela da literatura, mas também para os países do "norte". Palavras-chave Populismo. Ernesto Laclau. Teoria política. Abstract With the publication in 2005 of On Populist Reason, Ernesto Laclau brought the populist subject back to the agenda of political theory. Yet the topic was not restricted to theoretical debates. In the beginning of this century, we have witnessed the growth of a myriad of electoral forces which articulate politics under the populist method. This kind of demands´articulation occurs on both the right and the left sides of the ideological spectrum. Based on the Laclau's concept of populism, the current article investigates the recent electoral campaigns in four countries: the United States, England, France and Germany. The first section is focused on the Laclau´s concept of populism. The second section looks at the 2016 US election process with Bernie Sanders' pre-nomination and Donald Trump's victory. In the third part, the rise of Jeremy Corbyn in the British Labor Party and his oppositor, Nigel Farage, UKIP, is analyzed. In the fourth, the extremes that appeared in the 2017 French presidential election: Marine Le Pen, of the National Front; and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, from the former Front de Gauche, now France Insoumise, were compared. Finally, the growth of Die Linke and the AfD in Germany is observed. The hypothesis presented is that the concept of populism formulated by Ernesto Laclau and reaffirmed by Chantal Mouffe, has validity not only for Latin American countries, as the literature has already emphasized, but also for Northern countries.
Belgian Journal of Linguistics, Volume 35 (2021), 2021
The diminutive construction is formed and used differently in Spanish and English, which leads us to the question how this construction with different morphosyntactic and semantic-pragmatic characteristics in the input languages is governed in Spanish-English bilingual and codeswitching speech. Through the analysis of a dataset of diminutive constructions extracted from the Bangor Miami corpus, this paper contributes to a better understanding of how one and the same construction differently represented in the input languages is administered in bilingual contexts. As this is a first approach to studying diminutives in codeswitching, three well known structural codeswitching models serve as a primary theoretical tool against which the diminutive is tested. These are Poplack’s (1980) Universal Constraints, Myers-Scotton’s (2002) Matrix Language Frame Model, and Blom and Gumperz’ (1972) Metaphorical Codeswitching Framework. The results show that Miami bilinguals prefer the prototypical ...
This Court’s Rule 44.2 authorizes a petition for rehearing based on “intervening circumstances of a substantial or controlling effect or to other substantial grounds not previously presented.” DeBotton petitions for rehearing based on other substantial sources of law, including international law and longstanding religious norms, which were not previously argued to this Court.
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