Environmental Studies

DDTs were sprayed extensively in Belize to combat malaria but widespread use ceased after 1997. To determine if DDTs still persist in Belize's soils, 23 composite soil samples were collected from each of the two towns of Dangriga and Punta Gorda. Dichlorodiphenyltricholoroethane (DDT) and its breakdown products dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene (DDE) and dichlorodiphenyldichloroethane (DDD) were the only organochlorine compounds detected in the soils. Results show that DDTs are transferred to the soil environment as a result of spraying houses and that the pesticides still persist in soils in southern Belize after more than 10 years of non-use. Sprayed lots had DDT concentrations up to 240 µg/kg in Dangriga and up to 410 µg/kg in Punta Gorda. All unsprayed lots had below detection limit concentrations, with the exception of two sites in Punta Gorda. Hot spot analysis in GIS indicates that significant spatial variability exists in detected concentrations of DDTs, which has implications for extrapolation of local data. Belize currently has no guidelines for determining risk of DDTs to human health and soil cleanup, but soil cleanup guidelines employed by foreign governmental entities such as the Netherlands and California show that all detected pesticide concentrations in this study are below mandated concentrations of concern for the residential areas of these regions. However, since exposure scenarios may be different in Belize, it is recommended that the Belize Ministry of Health conducts a risk analysis to ascertain if the concentrations of DDTs in sprayed areas pose a risk to the inhabitants of the two towns.

Previous studies have shown that natural disasters, and hurricanes in particular, have led to more deaths than those usually documented in short post-storm surveys. Such indirect deaths, thought to be related to dietary, stress or pre-existing medical conditions, can exceed the number of direct deaths and may persist for weeks or even months beyond the event itself. In the present study, cumulative sum of deviations plots are used to quantify the number of direct and indirect deaths resulting from Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne that made landfall in Florida in 2004. Results suggest that there was an elevated mortality for up to 2 months following each storm, resulting in a total of 624 direct and indirect deaths attributable to the storm. Trauma-related deaths that can be associated directly with the storm account for only ∼4% of the total storm-related mortality, while indirect mortality accounts for most storm-related deaths. Specifically, a large percentage of the elevated mortality was associated with heart (34%) and cancer-related deaths (19%), while diabetes (5%) and accident-related deaths (9%) account for a smaller but still significant percentage of the elevated mortality. The results further suggest that the elevated mortality was the result of additional deaths that would not have otherwise occurred within that 5 month period, and not simply a clustering of deaths that were inevitable between 1 August and 31 December 2004. The elevated mortality identified in this study is significantly greater than the official count of 31 direct and 113 indirect deaths resulting from the four hurricanes combined. This suggests a need for improved mortality counts and surveillance in order to better evaluate and identify effective prevention policies, and to identify preventable deaths.

Quasi-permanent rip current hot spots at Pensacola Beach, Florida, pose a significant hazard to beach users, largely because the hot spots are located at or close to the primary access points. While an increase in the number of lifeguards has led to a decrease in the number of drownings since 2004, the number of rescues and contacts has increased to over a 30,000 year. Despite warning signs at access points along the beach, it is not clear whether beach users are able to identify a rip channel or an active rip current. To assess beach users' knowledge of rip currents and their ability to identify rip channels and currents, 97 surveys were conducted between June and September of 2010 at Pensacola Beach. Beach users were asked to identify rip channels in oblique photographs taken on green, yellow and red flag days when the potential for rip currents is low, medium and high, respectively. A majority of participants suggested that they could identify a rip channel or current (if present), but less than 20 % of beach users were able to identify the rip channels and currents. The majority of participants identified heavy surf areas as the location of the rips versus the relatively flat water of the current or the darker color water of the channel. Results further suggest that most beach users, and particularly local participants, are overconfident in their ability to identify rip channels and currents. The focus of beach users on heavy surf as an indication of the rip current potential and the overconfidence in identifying a rip channel or current affects the spatial distribution of beach users and to some degree the location of rescues and drownings. While it can be quite difficult for the average beach user to identify rip channels and active rip currents, the results of the study suggest a need for further education efforts to reduce the rip hazard, particularly in areas where lifeguards are not permanently stationed.

Previous studies have shown that natural disasters , and hurricanes in particular, have led to more deaths than those usually documented in short post-storm surveys. Such indirect deaths, thought to be related to dietary, stress or pre-existing medical conditions, can exceed the number of direct deaths and may persist for weeks or even months beyond the event itself. In the present study, cumulative sum of deviations plots are used to quantify the number of direct and indirect deaths resulting from Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne that made landfall in Florida in 2004. Results suggest that there was an elevated mortality for up to 2 months following each storm, resulting in a total of 624 direct and indirect deaths attributable to the storm. Trauma-related deaths that can be associated directly with the storm account for only ∼4% of the total storm-related mortality, while indirect mortality accounts for most storm-related deaths. Specifically, a large percentage of the elevated mortality was associated with heart (34%) and cancer-related deaths (19%), while diabetes (5%) and accident-related deaths (9%) account for a smaller but still significant percentage of the elevated mortality. The results further suggest that the elevated mortality was the result of additional deaths that would not have otherwise occurred within that 5 month period, and not simply a clustering of deaths that were inevitable between 1 August and 31 December 2004. The elevated mortality identified in this study is significantly greater than the official count of 31 direct and 113 indirect deaths resulting from the four hurricanes combined. This suggests a need for improved mortality counts and surveillance in order to better evaluate and identify effective prevention policies, and to identify preventable deaths.

The north coast of the Mexican state of Yucatán, centered on the port of Progreso, has been substantially altered by humans over the past century or so. The barrier-lagoon complex, naturally fronted by long straight beaches, has been significantly altered by port and harbor improvements and also summer-home construction along the beachfront. As the shoreline has retreated because of both natural and human causes, structures such as groins and seawalls were built to combat this transgression of the sea. Hurricanes and winter storms have accelerated and geographically extended the volume and range of human modification of the shoreline. Today, a 20-km-long coastal reach can no longer be considered " natural. "

The north coast of Yucatán has been a destination for domestic tourists for over a century. Since 1945, recreational development has created a 20-km summer-home strip centred upon the port of Progreso. In response to port and harbour improvements and corollary down-drift erosion, second-home owners have armoured the shoreline with groynes and caused a severe physical and aesthetic degradation of the coastal landscape. Since 1990, even the up-drift coast has become armoured and aesthetically degraded. Here, the impetus to modify the shoreline has been in response to poor construction practices and an inability by vacation-home owners to adjust to the natural processes of accretion and erosion that characterize this physical environment. As groyne construction diffuses eastward into pristine beach environments, efforts to expand international tourism may be hindered by environmental degradation caused by shoreline modication.