THREAD: Three areas of South Bristol have the highest coronavirus case rates in the Bristol area
Hengrove 950 (cases per 100,000 pop.)
Knowle West 942
Bishopsworth 859
according to today's latest case number figures.
Hengrove 950 (cases per 100,000 pop.)
Knowle West 942
Bishopsworth 859
according to today's latest case number figures.
Number of actual people who tested positive for covid between Mon Dec 28 & Sun Jan 3:
Hengrove 86 (it was 23 the week before)
Knowle West 71 (12)
Bishopsworth 51 (14)
Total from just those 3 areas: 208.
Hengrove 86 (it was 23 the week before)
Knowle West 71 (12)
Bishopsworth 51 (14)
Total from just those 3 areas: 208.
Some of those 208 people will be fine
Many will be ill ('a week-long worst flu of my life' a friend of mine described it as)
Maybe 10 or 20 will need a hospital
But statistically, maybe 2 or 3 will die
Could be more? 3, 4, 5? Could be 1 or we'll be lucky & say none.
But avg is 2
Many will be ill ('a week-long worst flu of my life' a friend of mine described it as)
Maybe 10 or 20 will need a hospital
But statistically, maybe 2 or 3 will die
Could be more? 3, 4, 5? Could be 1 or we'll be lucky & say none.
But avg is 2
Many of those who tested +ve for covid in this period would've caught it on Christmas Day.
There's no adequate, functioning £12bn track & trace system, so we'll never know, but looking at the massive increase in South Bristol from Christmas week to New Year week...
There's no adequate, functioning £12bn track & trace system, so we'll never know, but looking at the massive increase in South Bristol from Christmas week to New Year week...
...you'd have to say it's a pretty plausible explanation?
So if that is two people who are going to die - remember that's just in three small areas of South Bristol.
The number of people whose covid deaths were recorded today in the city was 10. That's a record high.
bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-n…
The number of people whose covid deaths were recorded today in the city was 10. That's a record high.
bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-n…
And another 430 new cases were added to the record today in Bristol too. These people would've taken their tests in the past 2 or 3 days.
The point is that just from those 208 cases last week in Bishopsworth, KWest & Hengrove, it'll be an extra - who knows - 10? 15? people going into hospital maybe next weekend
Every bed taken is a bed a patient needing a scheduled operation can't have.
Every intensive care bed taken is taking a bed a person in a car crash might need.
Denying covid is real or opposing lockdown doesn't change that.
Every intensive care bed taken is taking a bed a person in a car crash might need.
Denying covid is real or opposing lockdown doesn't change that.
Lockdown is really hard, isn't it?
I absolutely effin hate it.
I want to go the pub, to the football, hug my mum, see my friends, go to a gig, plan to DO stuff! Look forward to things.
But the reasons we do this is to stop this getting any worse. Stop filling up the hospital beds
I absolutely effin hate it.
I want to go the pub, to the football, hug my mum, see my friends, go to a gig, plan to DO stuff! Look forward to things.
But the reasons we do this is to stop this getting any worse. Stop filling up the hospital beds
Wear a mask
Stop meeting people
Stay indoors
wash your hands
Don't be an idiot
Stop meeting people
Stay indoors
wash your hands
Don't be an idiot
A good point here too. That death rate is the death rate right now when hospitals were able to make almost everyone not die.
When they have too many people to look after, it will increase... there'll be a point when it starts to rise as treatment rationed.
When they have too many people to look after, it will increase... there'll be a point when it starts to rise as treatment rationed.
https://twitter.com/ScruffsMD/status/1347611682173034502?s=20
For the national pictures (which is even more grim), this is the one to read. Please QT this at people who are STILL covid deniers.
https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1347597981843943425?s=20
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