#Nomura says,India will be fastest growing Asian economy in FY22,with GDP growth of 9.9;GDP growth to be 32.4% in 1QFY22&10.2% in 2QFY22

Fee weeks back #GoldmanSachs had upgraded India's GDP growth forecast from 10% to 13% for FY22

#IMF is at 8.8%& #Moody's at 8.6%

#Modinomics
Few
@narendramodi govt's decision to sell 20% in IRCTC at base price of Rs 1367,via #OFS tomr,is a great move

1367 is,15.5% discount to Wednesday's closing of Rs1618;52 week high&low is Rs 1995 &775

#IRCTC got listed last yr&was subscribed a whopping 112x

GoI owns 87.4% stake
Modi Govt will sell up to 2.4 crore equity shares of #IRCTC,akin to 15% of paid-up equity share capital of company

For Sep 2020 qtr,IRCTC saw revenue of 88.56 Cr with net profit of 32.64 Cr

#OFS open only to non-retail investors today

Bodes well for GoI's #Disinvestment
target
Nov'20 Car sales were steady after a phenomenal October;Maruti sold 1.36 lakh units Vs 1.39 lakh in Nov'19,dip of 2%

But Hyundai,Tata Motors,Kia, Mahindra&Mahindra&Honda recorded healthy numbers

Mahindra’s UV sales saw 27% growth&broader passenger vehicle segment,growth of 24%
Honda Cars had rewarding festive season&clocked domestic sales of 9990 units in Nov’20 Vs 6459 units sold in Nov'19,growth of 55%

#HeroMoto,world’s largest 2-wheeler Co,sold 5.91 lakh units in Nov'20,a 14% jump over last yr

Hero's great numbers were aided by record retail sales
Hero sold 14 lakh units in just 32 day period between Navratra&Bhai-Dooj

Chennai-based TVS Motor also saw great numbers,with 21% higher sales at 3.23 lakh units in Nov,backed by 2-wheelers that grew a solid 30%

Honda motorcycles saw 11% growth

Economic Recovery,powering ahead
Passenger vehicle sales in Nov rose 12.73% to 2.85 lakh units& 2-wheeler sales up 13.43% to 16 lakh units

Motorcycle sales were at 10.27 lakh units,up 14.9%;Scooter sales up 9.29% at 5.03 lakh units

Moot point is,despite festive season being over,auto sales were robust in Nov
On 9th Dec @narendramodi govt gave Rs 6195.08 Cr towards Post Devolution #RevenueDeficit Grant,to States;Centre will give Rs 74341Cr overall,to States,annually

Kerala received largest share at 1277 Cr,followed by Himachal Pradesh at 953Cr,Punjab at 638Cr &Assam,632Cr

#Economy
Reams of paper were written on how @narendramodi gov is unfair to States like Kerala,but data suggests, Kerala has in fact,been getting highest share of #Grant, given to States

Not a word from Kerala's Finance Minister either,who otherwise,takes to Twitter,to target Central govt

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More from @Sanju_Verma_

7 Dec
RBI credit policy on 4thDec raised GDP forecast for FY21,from minus 9.5% to minus 7.5%;GDP growth will turn +ve in Q3 at 0.1%&0.7% in Q4

Remarkable speed of the turnaround amidst worst pandemic in 102yrs has lots to do with @narendramodi govt's blistering pace of Agri #Reforms💪
CPI in Sep&Oct'20 came in at 7.3%&7.6% and that is precisely why RBI did not lower rates&rightfully so

WPI came at 1.32%&1.48% in Sep&Oct 2020

Supply disruptions&labour shortages,key reasons for high CPI

CPI will fall to 6.8% in Dec&5.8% in Jan2021

Accommodative stance by RBI
Inflation target for 1HFY22 by RBI has been [email protected]% range

Core inflation is sticky,feeding into high inflationary expectations but resumption of normality will ease supply bottlenecks&ease #Core

#Accommodative stance leaves window open for rate cuts,albeit not immediately
Read 5 tweets
25 Nov
Sensex at 44000+,Nifty at 13000+ & #BankNifty at 9 month high of 30000+💪

Amongst top gainers in rally are SBI,ICICI Bank&Axis Bank;549% rise in Profit in #ICICIBank,reinforces, rally is not just liquidity driven,but excellent Sep qtr results have played big role

#EconomyRising
SBI reported PAT of 4574.16Cr in Sep'20 qtr,up 52% YoY&9% QoQ

Note,most analysts were not expecting SBI to clock profit of more than 2100 or 2200Cr

PBT for #SBI came at 6341.45Cr,up 25.33%,YoY&14.3%,QoQ

Operating profit was up 12% at 16460Cr in Q2FY21

#EconomyRising #Banks
#SBI is not any other Bank;It is biggest Bank in India,accounting for one fourth of India's lending activity, so great results by SBI,signify, #EconomyRising

NII at 28182Cr,up 5.7%,QoQ

NIMs up 12bps YoY at 3.34%

GNPA in Sep Qtr fell to 5.28% Vs 5.44% in June qtr,with NPAs down
Read 7 tweets
25 Oct
My Oped of 4300 words in @eOrganiser analyses post-2005, high growth era,with GSDP@ 11.3%, with the Jungle Raaj in Bihar,in the pre-2005 era,when GSDP was just 3.19%--I dissect Bihar's economic rise from a #Bimaru State,to being an over 7 lakh Cr economy

organiser.org/Encyc/2020/10/…
Length of intermediate lanes in Bihar was 1705 km till 2005;it rose to 5654km under NDA,with rapid progress in last few yrs,thx to @narendramodi 💪

Similarly 15 years ago,length of seven metre wide,double-lane State highway was 107km,which rose to 4429 km under #NDA
#BiharPolls
Both Central&State govts allotted Rs 2672Cr in past 3yrs for constructing road network of 1636 km&75 bridges in 5 extremist-hit districts of Bihar

Under #RJD,#Bihar was a den of Maoist led #Naxalism,but under #NDA,it has become an aspirational, growth centric State

#BiharPolls
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
One-time disbursement of Special #FestivalAdvance,to amount to Rs4000Cr

If given by all state govts,another 8000Cr is expected to be disbursed& employees can spend on any festival

Interest free advance of Rs 10000 under #SpecialFestivalAdvance,to be paid back in 10 instalments
Govt employees will get pre loaded #Rupay card of advance value&scheme will be available till March 31st 2021,for #FestivalAdvance scheme

For #LTCCashVoucher scheme,cost will be Rs 5675Cr for central govt employees who opt for it,leading to demand infusion of 19000Cr
#DemandPush
For PSUs&PSB employees who opt for #LTCCashVoucher,cost will be Rs1900Cr&demand infusion will be for 9000Cr

To avail of #LTCCashVoucher,you have to buy goods with #GST of 12% or more,via digital modes

With #COVID19 derailing travel plans,cash voucher in lieu of LTC,a good move
Read 5 tweets
12 Oct
#RetailInflation in [email protected]%,Vs 6.69% in Aug,is due to rise in food price index which rose from 9.05% to 10.68%,MoM

Uptick in #foodinflation is temporary &driven by #COVID related supply disruptions--We had bumper crop last year&FY21,should see bumper agri production,yet again!
By Dec,#CPI should ease& inflationary pressure will abate,due to #BaseEffect& #Kharif arrivals

Note:Kharif sowing was up between 50-88%,for most crops,despite #lockdown

With [email protected]/$ level,threat of imported inflation is minimal

#CoreInflation at sub 6%,bodes well
#economy
#IIP contraction in Aug at 8% Vs 10.8% in July,is driven by relatively better numbers from #Mining& #ConsumerNonDurables

After record #ManufacturingPMI of 56.8 in Sep,#ServicesPMI at 49.8 Vs 41.8 in Aug,is a good sign💪

#TradeDeficit in Sep@ $2.9 Vs $10.9,in Sep2019,bodes well
Read 5 tweets
10 Oct
Banks have sanctioned Rs 1.87 lakh Cr,to 50.7 lakh units under the Rs 3-lakh crore Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme,#ECLGS,of @narendramodi govt💪

Rs 1.36 lakh Cr has been disbursed to over 27 lakh units in #MSME sector,impacted by slowdown caused by #coronavirus pandemic
Ambit of scheme,expanded to include #MSMEs with turnover of up to Rs 250Cr&individuals for business purposes

As of 5thOct2020,Rs 17460Cr of loans to individuals have been sanctioned,of which 5939Cr has been disbursed

#ECLGS scheme is a big success
#EconomicRecovery #GreenShoots
As many as 33 stranded housing projects with investment of 4197Cr accorded final approval under #SWAMIH scheme

Special window for Affordable&Mid Income Housing Fund #SWAMIH,is working at fast pace to provide relief to 25048 homeowners
#EconomicRecoveryOnTrack #ECLGS #GreenShoots
Read 4 tweets

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