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4 votes
2 answers
263 views

What is the interleaved probability like when two Gamma distribution processes fired together?

As opposed to the similar question here: Is there a probabilistic (not analytical) argument for why the sum of independent Poissons is Poisson? The difference is to consider the interval between two ...
wanyancan's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
73 views

Questions around modelling arrival process of randomly sized groups

I have the following situation: I'm trying to model groups arriving to some location by some process. I assume the distribution on some interval $T$ is a Gamma-Poisson mixture where $\Lambda \sim ...
BeechAndBirch's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
29 views

Difference in Gamma Distributions have Poisson? [duplicate]

Today I learned about a Double Stochastic Process for the first time. Apparently a Cox Process is a Double Stochastic Process. Here is my attempt to summarise this: Cox Process: A point process (I ...
Uk rain troll's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
95 views

Tweedie distribution with zeros being the second most common value

I want to perform a multilevel glm model. I have a continuous non-negative outcome variable (not count data), with many 1 values, second most common value at zero, and then a right tail of positive ...
Lior's user avatar
  • 41
1 vote
1 answer
28 views

Probability distribution of actual time spent if randomly sampled at a known mean rate

I was experimenting with tagtime, which randomly asks the user what they're doing at a known mean rate $\lambda$. Let's say that every time I am sampled, I give a yes/no answer. If I answer yes $k$ ...
ttttcrngyblflpp's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
99 views

Statistics Interview Question

Imagine you are solving difficult Math problems and you expect to solve one every 1/2 hour. Compute the probability that you will have to wait between 2 to 4 hours before you solve four of them. I ...
Adnan Tamimi's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
61 views

Appropriateness of Tweedie GLM for modeling average daily driving distance with unknown numerator and denominator

I have a dataset of cars and want to model a variable called average daily driving distance. The variable was calculated before I received the dataset as: average daily driving distance = total ...
Chebyshev's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
262 views

Deriving a gamma distribution from a Poisson distribution

At the instant $t = 0$ a certain radioactive focus starts emitting particles. The infinitesimal probability that the focus emits a particle in the differential interval is $\lambda dt$. Let $N_t$ also ...
user9867's user avatar
  • 131
0 votes
1 answer
91 views

Should the updated posterior for a Poisson distribution be discretized if based on the Gamma distribution as the prior?

I know that the Gamma distribution is the conjugate prior of the Poisson distribution, such that given $\alpha$ and $\beta$ that describe the prior distribution, the posterior distribution is $Gamma(\...
nbogs's user avatar
  • 101
0 votes
1 answer
237 views

Proportional to Gamma means the posterior is gamma

I'm reading through these lecture notes on posteriors and conjugate priors. https://web.stanford.edu/class/stats200/Lecture20.pdf In particular, it asserts that: "This is proportional to the PDF ...
MoneyPrinting's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
56 views

Calculating the Gamma Posterior distribution Scikit Stats

Say I have lots of data that I am using to model the weekly rate of some event, with 0 being the minimum frequency and 7 being the maximum frequency. I am looking to perform bayesian analysis on this ...
Brett Young's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
89 views

Identifying the value of parameters of the prior distribution. Arbitrarily?

Referring to this Question, let's not use Jeffrey's prior for $\theta$ but use $Gamma(\alpha,\beta)$ as the conjugate prior for $\theta$. Under quadratic loss function, the bayes estimator for $\theta$...
RRMT's user avatar
  • 362
0 votes
0 answers
44 views

Intersection of multiple gamma distributions

Let's say I own a few hundred McDonalds locations. In a subset of those (say 100) I observe vegans eating there and I estimate the arrival time of vegans at these 100 restaurants using a Poisson ...
user2313135's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
435 views

Law of Total Variance

I trying to experiment with law of total variance in order to empirically recreate theoretical results. In particular I am interested in verifying that: $$ Var(Y) = E[Var(Y|X)] + Var(E[Y|X]) $$ Let's ...
Marco De Virgilis's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
2k views

Using GLM: Gaussian, Poisson vs Gamma

I am trying to perform a GLM analaysis using R for an outcome that is: Bounded by 0 - 10 In steps of 1 (Numerical Rating Scale for Pain: 0 - 10) I have a set of demographic factors, age, sex etc, ...
ssciberras's user avatar
6 votes
3 answers
4k views

Predicting with a GLM

I wanted to check my understanding of predicting with a GLM: A binomial/logistic regression model predicts the binomial parameter = p = P(success). To convert the probability into classes, we have to ...
mapleleaf's user avatar
  • 275
1 vote
1 answer
4k views

Relationship between Poisson and Gamma Distribution

There are several solutions to this problem but I am interested in the solution in Casella & Burger Pg. 100. The problem shows that if $X$ follows gamma($\alpha$, $\beta$), a random variable and $...
user1916067's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
280 views

gamma prior and Poisson for data $X_i$, why we only $\sum_i X_i$ for posterior

I'm looking at problem 7.24 in Casella and Berger (see below) to calculate the posterior of $\lambda$, I think we need to calculate $\pi(\lambda|X_1=x_1,...,X_n=x_n)$. However, the solution (see ...
ExcitedSnail's user avatar
  • 3,050
1 vote
1 answer
143 views

Modelling catch rates: difference between Gamma and poisson distribution

I am confused about the difference between modelling counts (i.e. catch) using a poisson distribution with an offset (i.e. effort) and modelling catch per unit effort using a gamma(link=log) ...
Alessandra Bielli's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
61 views

When and why to use specific probability distributions?

I'm a graduate mathematics student and I've taken several courses on statistics, probability theory, stochastic processes and machine learning. In all the textbooks I consulted and all the classes I'...
lpnorm's user avatar
  • 212
11 votes
7 answers
2k views

What distributions have an undefined mean but are not symmetric?

What distributions have an undefined mean but are not symmetric? I'm looking for a probability distribution function (and CDF) for which the mean is undefined, but not symmetric like Cauchy, but a ...
sea-rob's user avatar
  • 213
4 votes
1 answer
494 views

Showing $X\sim \operatorname{Poi}(\lambda)$ is minimax

Assume that $X$ has $\operatorname{Poisson} (\lambda)$ distribution and the loss function is $\ell(\lambda,a)=\frac{(\lambda-a)^2}{\lambda}$. Now, I want to show that $X$ is minimax. A hint that is ...
statwoman's user avatar
  • 703
3 votes
1 answer
109 views

How to calculate the posterior distribution from the density

I'm stuck on a answer from an old exam. The task is to use a Poisson distribution and a Gamma distribution as prior to calculate the posterior density: $$ p(\lambda|x) \propto L(\lambda)p(\lambda)\...
david576's user avatar
  • 113
4 votes
2 answers
1k views

MLE of Poisson-Gamma distribution?

I am trying to create an example that applies fully parametric estimation. I am using a Gamma-Poisson distribution where the random variable is a Poisson random variable with mean $\lambda$ which has ...
ct957's user avatar
  • 41
1 vote
2 answers
3k views

Why are Poisson distribution and Exponential distribution special case of Gamma distribution?

I am aware that Gamma distribution is used as a conjugate prior distribution for various types of rate parameters such as in Poisson distribution and Exponential distribution. People say that ...
unicorn's user avatar
  • 919
-1 votes
1 answer
109 views

Is the question requiring the use of a gamma or exponential distribution? [closed]

Incoming telephone calls to an operator are assumed to be a Poisson process with parameter $\lambda$. Find the density function of the length of time for $n$ calls to be received, and find the mean ...
Prince Raj's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
933 views

Gamma-Poisson conjugate prior, posterior exploding?

I've been looking for simple code that can model ad clicks per day. Notionally, gamma-poisson would be a good conjugate prior. However, I'm finding that for slightly large daily click rate values, the ...
jbuddy_13's user avatar
  • 3,520
1 vote
0 answers
1k views

How to use scipy stats gamma pdf to update the posterior distribution?

I'm trying to "get my bearings" performing bayesian analysis, specifically I'm exploring the Gamma-Poisson conjugate prior. The definition of the PDF is below If the prior takes the form of ...
jbuddy_13's user avatar
  • 3,520
0 votes
0 answers
930 views

Box-Cox vs GLM for skewed non homoskedastic data

I need to do a regression on a variable Y that is skewed right (non normal) and heteroskedastic and therefore violates two assumptions of the normal linear model. The data is non negative (some 0 ...
Jodie's user avatar
  • 21
0 votes
0 answers
220 views

Density Function for Time until Second Arrival with Poisson Process [Solved]

Problem Statement: The number of arrivals $N$ at a supermarket checkout counter in the time interval from $0$ to $t$ follows a Poisson distribution with mean $\lambda t.$ Let $U$ denote the time until ...
Adrian Keister's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
2k views

Should I use Binomial, Poisson or Gamma distributions? With or without a log link?

I want to run a GLM to answer a few questions about differences in diet between sex and calendar year. Questions: Does frequency of occurrence (FO) of pieces eaten differ between sex or year? Does ...
cgxytf's user avatar
  • 145
1 vote
1 answer
500 views

Deriving Marginal Distribution of Poisson [duplicate]

How do you find the marginal distribution of a Poisson distribution given a gamma(a,b) prior?
new2stats's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
2k views

Poisson-Gamma conjunction - calculating posterior [duplicate]

How to calculate posterior distribution step-by-step while given: some observed numbers of customers from the last days that number of clients is distributed by Poisson($\lambda$) ($\lambda$ is not ...
lemonade's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
1k views

getting negative binomial from poisson and gamma

This equation is from a statistical genetics research paper. I'm struggling to understand how they get negative binomial from the integral. x_cn is poisson and q is gamma. Is there such a rule? Or is ...
Ani Khachatryan's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
74 views

Poisson and Gamma distribution for testing randomness

In genetics I want to test whether InDel (insertion and deletion in DNA) sizes occurs with the same probability. I heard that I should gamma distribution to model it. I found ...
bwczech's user avatar
  • 11
5 votes
1 answer
602 views

Truncated Gamma Distribution

The Gamma distribution is the conjugate prior of Poisson distribution. What about the Truncated Gamma distribution? Is it still the conjugate prior of Poisson distribution?
Suki Hao's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
195 views

two independent Poisson Arrivals

I have two types of customers (type 1 and type 2) enter a shop. Their arrival processes are independent and follow Poisson process with the arrival rates of $\lambda_1$ and $\lambda_2.$ Consider two ...
Ebi1990's user avatar
  • 41
4 votes
2 answers
1k views

sum of $N$ gamma distributions with $N$ being a poisson distribution

I have an event having poisson distribution with time intervals of one minute. Every event has accomplishment time with gamma distribution. I $N$ number of events start in $t$ minutes, the what will ...
Javeria Habib's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
1k views

Exact Confidence Interval for Poisson using Gamma-Poisson Relationship

I'm reading Casella-Berger's Statistical Inference and trying to follow along in example 9.2.15, which constructs an exact confidence interval for a Poisson rate. In this example, the authors solve ...
statian's user avatar
  • 439
2 votes
0 answers
2k views

Why do Chi-Square distribution and Poisson look similar

I am new to statistics and I am looking at Chi-Squared distribution, and I found that it looks similar to Poisson distribution. Is there any theoretical relation between them, or its just coincidental?...
VivekDev's user avatar
  • 121
0 votes
1 answer
625 views

Gamma/Poisson Posterior Distrib Given Prior:

I need to find the model over a period of length t. This is what I've done: Based on the Bayes' theorem, the relationship between the prior, the posterior, and the likelihood function is $p(\theta|x) ...
conums's user avatar
  • 121
2 votes
0 answers
86 views

Analyzing standardized / fractional count data

In my experiment I want to figure out how the size of different planting containers, i.e. their volume, affects the number of regenerated plant shoots from root fragments (terminology here is root ...
Stefan's user avatar
  • 6,551
0 votes
1 answer
231 views

Mean of nearest neighbour distance in a clustered distribution

What would be the expected value of distances to the nearest neighbor in a set of points in 2-dim space that have a clustered (not random) spatial distribution? If the distribution is random the ...
Francisco de Castro's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
490 views

Story Proof relating Poisson and Gamma

I'm having issues proving the following identity: $P(X ≥ j)$ = $P(Y ≤ t)$, where $X$~ Pois($\lambda$$t$) and $Y$ ~ Gamma($j$, $\lambda$) More specifically, I can prove it algebraically but not ...
Joseph R's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
2k views

Null & Residual Deviance in GLM in R

For a GLM in R, is it correct to interpret that Higher the difference between NULL & RESIDUAL deviance, better is your model? If not, then how do i know if my model is good or bad (for GLM - ...
user178012's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
113 views

Can I still update my prior if I have been waiting a long time without observing any successes of a Poisson process?

This is related to my previous question: How to update Poisson conjugate prior with observations of arrival time instead of counts? Using the same notation, suppose $N \sim \operatorname{Pois}(\mu)$ ...
Alex's user avatar
  • 4,552
3 votes
1 answer
1k views

How to update Poisson conjugate prior with observations of arrival time instead of counts?

Suppose a random variable $N \sim \operatorname{Pois}(\mu)$, with Gamma conjugate prior such that $\mu \sim \operatorname{Gamma}(\alpha, \beta)$. Then given a sequence of $n$ observations of counts $\...
Alex's user avatar
  • 4,552
3 votes
3 answers
5k views

Use of Gamma Distribution for count data

I am working on my data including the insect abundance in dependence of landscape variables with a nested random effect. Since i collected the individuals in the field i have count data and thought a ...
svenja's user avatar
  • 31
3 votes
1 answer
82 views

Poisson distribution and minimum parameters

I am trying to work out a research problem I recently faced. I have a group of Poisson random variables and I want to find the distribution of the first sample that is equal to a specific number. In ...
Wis's user avatar
  • 2,214
7 votes
1 answer
467 views

Using empirical Bayesian estimation (Gamma-Poisson) to analyze high arrival counts (n ~= 5000)

Here's a problem I'm currently working on, as well as the empirical Bayesian approach I'm using. I'd like to make sure my approach is grounded in solid statistical theory. I have a set of entities $e=...
achompas's user avatar
  • 301