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2024 Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) presidential election

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2024 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election

← 2021 27 September 2024[1]
 
Candidate Shigeru Ishiba Sanae Takaichi Shinjirō Koizumi
Leader's seat Tottori-1st Nara-2nd Kanagawa-11th
First round 154 (20.95%) 181 (24.63%) 136 (18.50%)
Runoff 215 (52.57%) 194 (47.43%) Eliminated


President before election

Fumio Kishida

Elected President

Shigeru Ishiba

The 2024 Liberal Democratic Party presidential election was held on 27 September 2024 to elect the next president of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan for a 3-year term. The winner of the election, Shigeru Ishiba, became the next Prime Minister of Japan because of the LDP's majority in the National Diet and is expected to lead the party in the 2024 general election and the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election.

Shigeru Ishiba defeated Sanae Takaichi in a runoff election.[2]

Candidates

[change | change source]

Declared

[change | change source]

The following candidates have officially declared their intention to run for the leadership:

Candidate(s) Date of birth Current position Party faction Electoral district Reference(s)
Yoshimasa Hayashi
(1961-01-19)19 January 1961
(age 63)
Chief Cabinet Secretary
(since 2023)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2021)
Previous offices held
None
Yamaguchi 3rd district
[3]
Shigeru Ishiba
(1957-02-04)4 February 1957
(age 67)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1986)
Previous offices held
Suigetsukai
(Ishiba)
Tottori 1st district
[4][5]
Yōko Kamikawa
(1953-03-01)1 March 1953
(age 71)
Minister for Foreign Affairs
(since 2023)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2000)
Previous offices held
None
Shizuoka 1st district
[6]
Katsunobu Katō
(1955-11-22)22 November 1955
(age 68)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2003)
Previous offices held
Heisei Kenkyūkai
(Motegi)
Okayama 5th district[a]
[7]
Takayuki Kobayashi
(1974-11-29)29 November 1974
(age 49)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2012)
Previous offices held
  • Minister of State for Economic Security (2021–2022)
None
Chiba 2nd district
[8][9]
Shinjirō Koizumi
(1981-04-14)14 April 1981
(age 43)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2009)
Previous offices held
None
Kanagawa 11th district
[10]
Taro Kono
(1963-01-10)10 January 1963
(age 61)
Minister for Digital Transformation
(since 2022)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1996)
Previous offices held
Shikōkai
(Asō)
Kanagawa 15th district
[11][12]
Toshimitsu Motegi
(1955-07-10)10 July 1955
(age 68)
Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party
(since 2021)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1993)
Previous offices held
Heisei Kenkyūkai
(Motegi)
Tochigi 1st district
[13]
Sanae Takaichi
(1961-03-07)7 March 1961
(age 63)
Minister of State for Economic Security
(since 2022)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1993)
Previous offices held
None
Nara 2nd district
[14]

Declined

[change | change source]

Opinion polls

[change | change source]
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 LDP leadership election with a 7-day average since the election was called.
Full result[23]
Candidate First Round Second Round
Diet members Party members Total points Diet members Prefectural chapters Total points
Votes % Popular votes % Allocated votes % Total votes % Votes % Votes % Total votes %
Shigeru Ishiba 46 12.53% 202,558 29.12% 108 29.35% 154
20.95% 189 52.21% 26 55.32% 215
52.57%
Sanae Takaichi 72 19.62% 203,802 29.30% 109 29.62% 181
24.63% 173 47.79% 21 44.68% 194
47.43%
Shinjirō Koizumi 75 20.44% 115,633 16.63% 61 16.58% 136
18.50% Eliminated
Yoshimasa Hayashi 38 10.35% 52,149 7.50% 27 7.34% 65
8.84%
Takayuki Kobayashi 41 11.17% 35,501 5.10% 19 5.16% 60
8.16%
Toshimitsu Motegi 34 9.26% 26,081 3.75% 13 3.53% 47
6.39%
Yōko Kamikawa 23 6.27% 32,899 4.73% 17 4.62% 40
5.44%
Taro Kono 22 5.99% 14,971 2.15% 8 2.17% 30
4.08%
Katsunobu Katō 16 4.36% 11,942 1.72% 6 1.63% 22
2.99%
Total 367 100.00% 695,536 100.00% 368 100.00% 735 100.00% 362 100.00% 47 100.00% 409 100.00%
  1. Seat to be eliminated at the next general election.

References

[change | change source]
  1. "Japan's ruling party sets leadership race for Sept. 27". Kyodo News. Archived from the original on 2024-08-20. Retrieved 2024-08-20.
  2. "【速報中】自民党新総裁に石破氏 決選投票で高市氏破る". 日本経済新聞 (in Japanese). 2024-09-27. Retrieved 2024-09-27.
  3. "Japan gov't spokesman Yoshimasa Hayashi joins ruling party leadership election". Mainichi Shimbun. 2024-09-03. Archived from the original on 2024-10-05. Retrieved 2024-09-03.
  4. "林官房長官27日にも総裁選出馬表明で調整" (in Japanese). 沖縄タイムス. 2024-08-20. Archived from the original on 2024-08-20. Retrieved 2024-08-20.
  5. "石破茂氏、自民党総裁選へ立候補の意向示す 推薦人20人そろえば" (in Japanese). 朝日新聞デジタル. 2024-08-14. Archived from the original on 2024-08-14. Retrieved 2024-08-26.
  6. "Foreign Minister Kamikawa announces bid for LDP leadership". NHK World. 2024-09-11. Retrieved 2024-09-11.
  7. "Japanese LDP leader candidate Kato calls for stimulus plan". Nikkei Asia. 10 September 2024. Retrieved 10 September 2024.
  8. "自民の小林鷹之氏、総裁選に向け推薦人20人確保 ポスト岸田、混戦模様". 産経新聞. 産経デジタル. 2024-08-15. Archived from the original on 2024-08-15. Retrieved 2024-08-15.
  9. "小林鷹之氏、推薦20人確保 茂木、河野氏が出馬意欲". Nordot. ノアドット株式会社. 2024-08-15. Archived from the original on 2024-08-15. Retrieved 2024-08-15.
  10. "Japan LDP's rising star Shinjiro Koizumi announces bid for leadership". Mainichi Shimbun. 2024-09-06. Archived from the original on 2024-09-06. Retrieved 2024-09-06.
  11. "Digital Minister Kono joins ruling LDP party presidential election". Mainichi Daily News. 2024-08-26. Archived from the original on 2024-08-26. Retrieved 2024-08-26.
  12. Johnston, Eric (2024-08-26). "Taro Kono joins contest for LDP presidency". The Japan Times. Retrieved 2024-08-26.
  13. "Motegi follows his open ambition to seek top LDP post". Asahi Shimbun. 2024-09-04. Retrieved 2024-09-05.
  14. "Conservative Sanae Takaichi makes 2nd bid in Japan ruling party chief race". Kyodo News. 2024-09-09. Retrieved 2024-09-09.
  15. "自民・青山繁晴参院議員、総裁選立候補を届け出ず 出馬意欲も推薦人確保できずか". 産経新聞:産経ニュース (in Japanese). 産経新聞. 2024-07-23. Archived from the original on 2024-09-12. Retrieved 2024-09-13.
  16. "岸田首相「自分がやめて問題解決するならいつでもやめる」発言に「何なの?この開き直り」SNSに集まる批判 (SmartFLASH)". Yahoo!ニュース (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 2024-01-03. Retrieved 2024-01-03.
  17. "岸田首相2024年の"納豆級"粘りどこまで 9月総裁選までに待ち受ける3つの関門 解散の行方は". FNN News Prime (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 2024-01-03. Retrieved 2024-01-03.
  18. "Japan's Leader, Fumio Kishida, Will Step Down". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 2024-08-14. Retrieved 2024-08-15.
  19. "【独自】野田聖子氏が小泉元環境相の選対本部長就任で最終調整…自民党総裁選への出馬は推薦人集まらず断念" (in Japanese). Fuji News Network. 2024-09-10. Archived from the original on 2024-09-10. Retrieved 2024-09-10.
  20. "茂木氏出馬へ「近く決断」 斎藤経産相「立候補決心」(共同通信)". Yahoo!ニュース (in Japanese). Retrieved 2024-08-25.
  21. "斎藤健経産相、総裁選への出馬の意向固める 「私の憧れた自民党を取り戻す」」" (in Japanese). Sankei Shimbun. 2024-08-23. Archived from the original on 2024-08-23. Retrieved 2024-08-23.
  22. 22.0 22.1 "自民・茂木幹事長と菅前首相が会食 総裁選めぐり意見交換か" (in Japanese). 朝日新聞デジタル. 2024-08-20. Retrieved 2024-08-20.
  23. "総裁選 第28代総裁に石破茂氏を選出" (in Japanese). Liberal Democratic Party of Japan. 27 September 2024. Retrieved 27 September 2024.