pep-net.org), which is financed by the Australian Aid Agency (AusAID) (http://www.ausaid.gov.au),... more pep-net.org), which is financed by the Australian Aid Agency (AusAID) (http://www.ausaid.gov.au), the Canadian International Development Agency (www.acdi-cida.gc.ca), and the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) (www.idrc.ca). We gratefully acknowledge comments from Araar Abdelkrim,
This paper measures rural poverty in Hubei Province and Inner Mongolia in China. The poverty line... more This paper measures rural poverty in Hubei Province and Inner Mongolia in China. The poverty lines we derived by Ravallion's method differ from the Chinese official poverty lines. The official pan-country poverty line underestimates rural poverty in Hubei Province and overestimates rural poverty in Inner Mongolia. Poverty determinants are estimated by Logit model. Locating at a mountainous area, lack of better irrigation conditions, with big family size, few fixed assets, low per capita land, or make a living only on agriculture would make a rural household easy to fall into poverty. A rural household having students in senior high school or above would uneasy to fall into poverty. It is also found that the alms received by a household show no significant impact on poverty. This implies that the current poverty program does not target well on the poor. The growth-redistribution decomposition reveals that for all the three FGT indexes in Hubei province, income growth devoted much to the alleviation of poverty, while the redistribution or inequality effects counteracted the growth effects and aid on the poverty formation. The poverty incidence decomposition results reveal that about one third of the growth effects had been counteracted by the redistribution effects. This implies that future anti-poverty program should pay much attention on how to solve the inequality problem in China. Poverty dominance analysis also helps us better understand the poverty situation. It reveals that rural poverty in Inner Mongolia is more severe than that in Hubei, and the poverty in Hubei has been lessened in the period of 1997 to 2003, the same findings as those drawn from deriving poverty lines.
PurposeChina's agricultural sector has developed very rapidly in the past 30 years and agricu... more PurposeChina's agricultural sector has developed very rapidly in the past 30 years and agricultural technological progress is deemed one of the most substantial factors leading to its rapid agricultural GDP growth. The purpose of this paper is to assess the impacts of China's agricultural technological changes on its regional disparity.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of multiple regions and multiple sectors to investigate the impacts of agricultural technological changes on regional disparity. The CGE model structure includes production side, demand side, and market clearing conditions.FindingsThe results suggest that agricultural technological changes significantly reduced China's agricultural regional disparity and accounted for 40 percent reduction in agricultural regional disparity in terms of agricultural GDP per capita. Agricultural technological changes, however, led to an increase in China's overall regio...
This research intends to use rural household survey data from three different provinces in China,... more This research intends to use rural household survey data from three different provinces in China, Inner Mongolia, Gansu and Hubei. Data will be collected from the rural survey teams of the provincial statistical bureaux for the latest 7 years. The purpose is to calculate provincial poverty lines and their changes over time, to measure poverty, to derive and decompose the inequality index, to explain the characteristics of poverty between different types of regions, and to identify the key determinants of poverty both the regional and individual household levels. In addition, we also aim to conduct poverty dominance analysis so that poverty can be compared between regions, over time and among different groups of population. Poverty will also be decomposed into its growth and distribution components in order to study the effects of income growth and rising inequality on poverty variations over time. Special attention will be paid to the poverty situation of women and children and policy design that may benefit most the reduction of poverty in rural China. It is expected that the proposed project will greatly improve the team working ability, and hence the research capacity of the research institution and individual researchers, especially the young and female researchers.
A stochastic frontier production function (SFPF) is specified to examine productivity growth, tec... more A stochastic frontier production function (SFPF) is specified to examine productivity growth, technical efficiency, and technical change in China's soybean sector. A panel data set of 12 major soybeanproducing provinces across the nation during the period of 1983 to 2007 was used. Results indicate that total factor productivity for China's soybean production increased by 1.5% annually, with productivity growth, mainly, from technological progress. However, both technical efficiency and technical progress showed a decreasing trend through time. Clearly, market liberalization has produced negative impact on China's soybean productivity.
SummaryDecreasing population levels due to declining birth rates are becoming a potentially serio... more SummaryDecreasing population levels due to declining birth rates are becoming a potentially serious social problem in developed and rapidly developing countries. China urgently needed to reduce birth rates so that its population would decline to a sustainable level, and the family planning policy designed to achieve this goal has largely succeeded. However, continuing to pursue this policy is leading to serious, unanticipated problems such as a shift in the…
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to yield more plausible rural poverty lines for China and the... more PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to yield more plausible rural poverty lines for China and then assess the determinants of rural poverty using these newly revised rural poverty lines.Design/methodology/approachIn this paper it is argued that the Chinese official poverty line substantially misestimates the actual rural poverty situations. The poverty lines are derived with Ravallion's method with a rural household survey data of China's two provinces, Hubei, and Inner Mongolia. Poverty determinants using the derived as well as the other rural poverty lines are compared.FindingsThe results indicate that the poverty lines derived from a pan‐country level food bundle cannot fully reflect the regional poverty situation. Merely adjusting rural poverty lines at the country‐level consumer price index without fully considering changes in the structure of food consumption and food prices with respect to different regions may also lead to wrong poverty estimates. The comparisons bet...
pep-net.org), which is financed by the Australian Aid Agency (AusAID) (http://www.ausaid.gov.au),... more pep-net.org), which is financed by the Australian Aid Agency (AusAID) (http://www.ausaid.gov.au), the Canadian International Development Agency (www.acdi-cida.gc.ca), and the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) (www.idrc.ca). We gratefully acknowledge comments from Araar Abdelkrim,
This paper measures rural poverty in Hubei Province and Inner Mongolia in China. The poverty line... more This paper measures rural poverty in Hubei Province and Inner Mongolia in China. The poverty lines we derived by Ravallion's method differ from the Chinese official poverty lines. The official pan-country poverty line underestimates rural poverty in Hubei Province and overestimates rural poverty in Inner Mongolia. Poverty determinants are estimated by Logit model. Locating at a mountainous area, lack of better irrigation conditions, with big family size, few fixed assets, low per capita land, or make a living only on agriculture would make a rural household easy to fall into poverty. A rural household having students in senior high school or above would uneasy to fall into poverty. It is also found that the alms received by a household show no significant impact on poverty. This implies that the current poverty program does not target well on the poor. The growth-redistribution decomposition reveals that for all the three FGT indexes in Hubei province, income growth devoted much to the alleviation of poverty, while the redistribution or inequality effects counteracted the growth effects and aid on the poverty formation. The poverty incidence decomposition results reveal that about one third of the growth effects had been counteracted by the redistribution effects. This implies that future anti-poverty program should pay much attention on how to solve the inequality problem in China. Poverty dominance analysis also helps us better understand the poverty situation. It reveals that rural poverty in Inner Mongolia is more severe than that in Hubei, and the poverty in Hubei has been lessened in the period of 1997 to 2003, the same findings as those drawn from deriving poverty lines.
PurposeChina's agricultural sector has developed very rapidly in the past 30 years and agricu... more PurposeChina's agricultural sector has developed very rapidly in the past 30 years and agricultural technological progress is deemed one of the most substantial factors leading to its rapid agricultural GDP growth. The purpose of this paper is to assess the impacts of China's agricultural technological changes on its regional disparity.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of multiple regions and multiple sectors to investigate the impacts of agricultural technological changes on regional disparity. The CGE model structure includes production side, demand side, and market clearing conditions.FindingsThe results suggest that agricultural technological changes significantly reduced China's agricultural regional disparity and accounted for 40 percent reduction in agricultural regional disparity in terms of agricultural GDP per capita. Agricultural technological changes, however, led to an increase in China's overall regio...
This research intends to use rural household survey data from three different provinces in China,... more This research intends to use rural household survey data from three different provinces in China, Inner Mongolia, Gansu and Hubei. Data will be collected from the rural survey teams of the provincial statistical bureaux for the latest 7 years. The purpose is to calculate provincial poverty lines and their changes over time, to measure poverty, to derive and decompose the inequality index, to explain the characteristics of poverty between different types of regions, and to identify the key determinants of poverty both the regional and individual household levels. In addition, we also aim to conduct poverty dominance analysis so that poverty can be compared between regions, over time and among different groups of population. Poverty will also be decomposed into its growth and distribution components in order to study the effects of income growth and rising inequality on poverty variations over time. Special attention will be paid to the poverty situation of women and children and policy design that may benefit most the reduction of poverty in rural China. It is expected that the proposed project will greatly improve the team working ability, and hence the research capacity of the research institution and individual researchers, especially the young and female researchers.
A stochastic frontier production function (SFPF) is specified to examine productivity growth, tec... more A stochastic frontier production function (SFPF) is specified to examine productivity growth, technical efficiency, and technical change in China's soybean sector. A panel data set of 12 major soybeanproducing provinces across the nation during the period of 1983 to 2007 was used. Results indicate that total factor productivity for China's soybean production increased by 1.5% annually, with productivity growth, mainly, from technological progress. However, both technical efficiency and technical progress showed a decreasing trend through time. Clearly, market liberalization has produced negative impact on China's soybean productivity.
SummaryDecreasing population levels due to declining birth rates are becoming a potentially serio... more SummaryDecreasing population levels due to declining birth rates are becoming a potentially serious social problem in developed and rapidly developing countries. China urgently needed to reduce birth rates so that its population would decline to a sustainable level, and the family planning policy designed to achieve this goal has largely succeeded. However, continuing to pursue this policy is leading to serious, unanticipated problems such as a shift in the…
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to yield more plausible rural poverty lines for China and the... more PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to yield more plausible rural poverty lines for China and then assess the determinants of rural poverty using these newly revised rural poverty lines.Design/methodology/approachIn this paper it is argued that the Chinese official poverty line substantially misestimates the actual rural poverty situations. The poverty lines are derived with Ravallion's method with a rural household survey data of China's two provinces, Hubei, and Inner Mongolia. Poverty determinants using the derived as well as the other rural poverty lines are compared.FindingsThe results indicate that the poverty lines derived from a pan‐country level food bundle cannot fully reflect the regional poverty situation. Merely adjusting rural poverty lines at the country‐level consumer price index without fully considering changes in the structure of food consumption and food prices with respect to different regions may also lead to wrong poverty estimates. The comparisons bet...
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