Previous studies have shown that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal ... more Previous studies have shown that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have combined effects on the precipitation (PRP) variability over South America. The combined impacts have been assessed considering four mean states as the averages of the variable anomalies during sub-periods overlapping time intervals of the PDO and AMO phases. Since these sub-periods include years under El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) extremes, the extent to which these years’ occurrence affects the averaged anomaly patterns during different mean states is investigated. The analyses are done for the PRP and surface air temperature (SAT) during the austral winter (June to August) and summer (December to February) of the 1901–2014 period using a composite technique. The nonlinear ENSO response in each mean state for a variable corresponds to the sum of the anomaly composites of the El Niño and La Niña events. In each mean state, the nonlinear PRP and SAT anomalies...
Using the information of the Earth Observation System/AQUA (EOS/AQUA) satellite during the 2003-2... more Using the information of the Earth Observation System/AQUA (EOS/AQUA) satellite during the 2003-2012 period, the present work investigates the tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO) behavior over the central South American region, and its spatiotemporal variability. The results show a well-defined seasonal behavior of the CO concentration, with decrease during the wet season and increase during dry season, due to the biomass burning increase during this period. Since the biomass burning is directly associated with the climate variability, through the rainfall decrease/increase in the central and eastern South American sector, the CO possesses high variability in central Brazil, the region with the largest number of burning focus. The results also show that the CO variability in the interanual time scale is related to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, such that rainfall reduction (increase) in the central and eastern part of South America during the La Niña (El Niño) ons...
The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of radar-detected radial velocity and reflectivi... more The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of radar-detected radial velocity and reflectivity data assimilation (DA) on precipitation forecasts using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numerical model and its three-dimensional variational DA system (WRFDA-3DVAR). For this purpose, one heavy rain event in the city of Manaus in the Central Amazon on 25 December 2017 was analyzed. Numerical experiments were conducted using different initial conditions and both cyclical and non-cyclical assimilation processes. The evaluation of these experiments, conducted with and without radar DA, was based on comparisons between estimated radar precipitation and simulated precipitation. The results show that radial velocity plays a fundamental role in improving the representation of the convective system. Additionally, the best results were obtained when reflectivity was included alongside radial velocity in non-cyclical assimilation processes. Therefore, it can be concluded that the assimilation of radar data positively impacted the short-term forecast of precipitation associated with the studied convective system.
The effect of river breezes on pollutant plume dispersion or canalization in the central Amazon w... more The effect of river breezes on pollutant plume dispersion or canalization in the central Amazon was evaluated. A pollution plume changes atmospheric composition downwind of Manaus, a city of 2 million people positioned at the confluence between two wide rivers. Herein, to evaluate the effects of river breezes, two cases were modeled at the mesoscale for March 2014. The first case, "with rivers" (wR), simulated the transport and chemistry of the Manaus pollution plume as the rivers were in reality. The second case, "without rivers" (woR), carried out simulations for which all rivers and floodable areas were replaced by forest. The three main conclusions are as follows: (1) Between the two cases, alterations in wind speeds were maximum at local noon, and river breezes influenced horizontal wind fields from surface up to 150 m in altitude, suggesting a capping height of 150 m on most days for the influence of river breezes on pollutant concentrations. In agreement with this modeling result, data sets collected at 500 m by aircraft flights showed no apparent influence of the underlying rivers on plume dispersion. The flights traversed the plume downwind of Manaus during the Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon2014/5) Experiment. (2) Between the wR and wOR cases, changes to downwind concentrations of O 3 , NO x , and CO pollutants were < 6% as a monthly average at the supersite "T3" of GoAmazon2014/5, which was 70 km downwind of Manaus and located between the two main rivers. As single events at T3, maximum one-hour concentration differences were 39 ppb for O 3 , 5 ppb for NO x , and 26 ppb for CO. (3) For a focus on the surface layer of the rivers (0 to 150 m in height), river breezes increased the monthly average O 3 , NO x , and CO surface concentrations by 25%, 25%, and <5%, respectively. In addition, strong canalization occurred 5% of the time based on a difference of 10 ppb in the surface concentrations of at least two of O 3 , NO x , and CO between the wR and wOR cases. In conclusion, although pollutants dispersed by river breezes could at times be a strong effect on observed pollutant concentrations in the surface river boundary layer, overall most pollution was transported at heights well above the effects of the river breezes and moved downwind along the trajectories of the dominant trade winds.
Oceanic-atmospheric phenomena of different time scales concurrently might affect the streamflow i... more Oceanic-atmospheric phenomena of different time scales concurrently might affect the streamflow in several basins around the world. The Atrato River Basin (ARB) and Patía River Basin (PRB) of the Colombian Pacific region are examples of such basins. Nevertheless, the relations between the streamflows in the ARB and PRB and the oceanic-atmospheric factors have not been examined considering different temporal scales. Hence, this article studies the relations of the climate indices and the variability of the streamflows in the ARB and PRB at interannual and decadal timescales. To this, the streamflow variability modes were obtained from the principal component analysis (PCA); furthermore, their linear dependence with indices of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), precipitation (PRP), the Choco low-level jet (CJ), and other indices were quantified through (a) Pearson and Kendall’s tau correlations, and (b) wavelet transform. The PCA presented a single significant mode for each basi...
Recent studies to quantify the health risks that fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic less... more Recent studies to quantify the health risks that fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) pose use in vitro approaches. One of these approaches is to incubate PM2.5 in artificial lysosomal fluid for a given period at body temperature. These body fluids used have a high ionic strength and as such can be challenging samples to analyze with atomic spectroscopy techniques. As PM2.5 is a primary health hazard because it is tiny enough to penetrate deep into the lungs and could, in addition, dissolve in the lung fluid it is important to quantify elements of toxic and/or carcinogenic concerns, reliably and accurately. Sophisticated instrumentation and expensive pre-treatment of challenging samples are not always available, especially in developing countries. To evaluate the applicability of graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometry (GFAAS) without Zeeman correction capability to detect trace quantities of heavy metals leached from PM2.5 on to artificial lu...
The impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) on the variations in the streamflow in ... more The impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) on the variations in the streamflow in the Atrato River Basin (ARB) during the 1965–2016 period was analyzed here by considering the cold (1965–1994) and warm (1995–2015) phases of this oscillation. The mean streamflow increased after 1994 (AMO phase change). This increase is related to the strengthening of the zonal gradients of the sea surface temperature (SST) and sea level pressure (SLP) between the tropical central Pacific and the tropical Atlantic after 1994 (warm AMO phase). These gradients contributed to strengthen the Walker cell related upward movement over northern and northwestern South America, in particular during November-December (ND). Consistently, the frequency (R20 mm) and intensity (SDII) of extreme daily rainfall events increased during the 1995–2015 period. Our results show a connection between the AMO and the increase in the streamflow in the ARB during the last five decades. These results contribute to...
Resumo Estudos recentes têm apontado para a existência de dois tipos de eventos de El Niño (EN): ... more Resumo Estudos recentes têm apontado para a existência de dois tipos de eventos de El Niño (EN): EN do Pacífico oriental ou Canônico (EP, sigla em inglês) e EN do Pacífico Central ou Modoki (CP, sigla em inglês). Neste estudo, foram utilizados dados observados e de três modelos do Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) para avaliar o impacto dos dois tipos de EN na precipitação da América do Sul desde o trimestre de Junho-Agosto do ano inicial do evento até Março-Maio do ano seguinte. O modelo do Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM-CM5) apresentou o melhor desempenho para reproduzir os padrões anômalos observados de TSM para os tipos de EN CP e EP. O padrão anômalo da precipitação observada associado a eventos EN foi mais marcante durante o verão austral. No caso do EN EP, tal padrão caracterizou-se por precipitação acima (abaixo) da normal no sudeste (norte/noroeste) da América do Sul. Este padrão foi reproduzido pelos modelos CNRM-CM5 e Hadley Centre...
The relations of the low-level extratropical cyclones in the southeastern Pacific and South Atlan... more The relations of the low-level extratropical cyclones in the southeastern Pacific and South Atlantic with the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) during the summer and winter of the 1979–93 cold AMO (CAMO) and 2003–17 warm AMO (WAMO) are analyzed. During both seasons and in both AMO phases, the cyclone trajectories defined by cyclone local counts exceeding 10 events per grid box occur approximately in the areas with the AMO-related positive SST anomalies. The cyclone densities in most latitudes during both seasons are higher in the CAMO than in the WAMO. Thus, the cyclone density in the study domain presents a reduction trend during the 1979–2017 period. The large-scale northward SST anomalous gradients between the bands north and south of 40°S increase the long-wave baroclinicity in the midlatitudes in the WAMO, and the southward SST anomalous gradients decrease it in the CAMO. Consequently, the short-wave baroclinicit...
The Science of the total environment, Jan 15, 2018
The present study examines the spatiotemporal variability and interrelations of the atmospheric m... more The present study examines the spatiotemporal variability and interrelations of the atmospheric methane (CH), carbon monoxide (CO) and biomass burning (BB) outbreaks retrieved from satellite data over the Amazon region during the 2003-2012 period. In the climatological context, we found consistent seasonal cycles of BB outbreaks and CO in the Amazon, both variables showing a peak during the dry season. The dominant CO variability mode features the largest positive loadings in the southern Amazon, and describes the interannual CO variations related to BB outbreaks along the deforestation arc during the dry season. In line with CO variability and BB outbreaks, the results show strong correspondence with the spatiotemporal variability of CHin the southern Amazon during years of intense drought. Indeed, the areas with the largest positive CHanomalies in southern Amazon overlap the areas with high BB outbreaks and positive CO anomalies. The analyses also showed that high (low) BB outbrea...
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 2017
How a changing energy matrix for power production affects air quality is considered for an urban ... more How a changing energy matrix for power production affects air quality is considered for an urban region in a tropical, forested environment. Manaus, the largest city in the central Amazon basin of Brazil, is in the process of changing its fossil fuel power energy matrix from entirely fuel oil and diesel to nearly entirely natural gas across an approximately ten-year period. Three scenarios of urban air quality, specifically afternoon ozone concentrations, were simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-Chem) model. The first scenario used fuel oil and diesel for power production, which was the reality in 2008. The second scenario was based on the fuel mix from 2014, the most current year for which data were available. The third scenario considered nearly complete use of natural gas for power production, which is the anticipated future, possibly for 2018. For each case, inventories of anthropogenic emissions were based on power generation, refining operations, and tran...
The climatology of the moisture and heat budget equation terms for subareas within the South Amer... more The climatology of the moisture and heat budget equation terms for subareas within the South American Monsoon System (SAMS) region is investigated for the 1958-2014 period considering the distinct phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). These budget equations are applied to the data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Reanalysis project. Sources or sinks of moisture and heat are equation residues, referred to as residue and diabatic terms, respectively. Analyses are done for the Central Amazon Basin (CAM) and Western-Central Brazil (WCB) for three distinct periods, 1958-1976, 1977-1995, and 1996-2014, that correspond to the cold, warm, and undefined PDO phases. The differences among the PDO phases for each term are discussed. The CAM region acts dominantly as a moisture sink and heat source in all months during the three phases. On the other hand, in the WCB region, the monsoon characteristics are better defined, with a moisture sink (source) and a heat source (sink) during the wet (dry) season. The main result of the present analysis is the persistence of SAMS intensification signs in both CAM and WCB areas up to the last analyzed period
The spatiotemporal variability of the greenhouse gas methane (CH 4) in the atmosphere over the Am... more The spatiotemporal variability of the greenhouse gas methane (CH 4) in the atmosphere over the Amazon is studied using data from the space-borne measurements of the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder on board NASA's AQUA satellite for the period 2003-12. The results show a pronounced variability of this gas over the Amazon Basin lowlands region, where wetland areas occur. CH 4 has a well-defined seasonal behavior, with a progressive increase of its concentration during the dry season, followed by a decrease during the wet season. Concerning this variability, the present study indicates the important role of ENSO in modulating the variability of CH 4 emissions over the northern Amazon, where this association seems to be mostly linked to changes in flooded areas in response to ENSO-related precipitation changes. In this region, a CH 4 decrease (increase) is due to the El Niño-related (La Niña-related) dryness (wetness). On the other hand, an increase (decrease) in the biomass burning over the southeastern Amazon during very dry (wet) years explains the increase (decrease) in CH 4 emissions in this region. The present analysis identifies the two main areas of the Amazon, its northern and southeastern sectors, with remarkable interannual variations of CH 4. This result might be useful for future monitoring of the variations in the concentration of CH 4 , the second-most important greenhouse gas, in this area.
This paper examines the climate variability modes in the South American/Atlantic sector accompany... more This paper examines the climate variability modes in the South American/Atlantic sector accompanying dry and wet years over northeastern Brazil (NEB) in which the tropical Pacific and Atlantic oceanic-atmospheric conditions usually associated, respectively, with dryness and wetness are absent. The analyses are for several variables and take into account the warm and cold Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) phases (WAMO and CAMO). Four cases are analysed: DRY-WAMO, DRY-CAMO, WET-WAMO and WET-CAMO. The main difference in the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly patterns in the tropics between the AMO phases responsible for the differences in the precipitation anomaly patterns is the differential longitude positioning of the warming or cooling of the surface waters in the equatorial Atlantic. In consequence, the anomalous Atlantic Hadley and Walker circulations also show differences between the AMO phases, which justify the observed precipitation anomalies over tropical South America for the analysed cases. The strong anomalous Atlantic Hadley cell determines the dipolar structure of the precipitation anomalies between NEB and northern South America for the DRY-WAMO and WET-WAMO cases. The strong anomalous Atlantic Walker cell defines the dryness over NEB for the DRY-CAMO, and both the strong anomalous Atlantic Hadley and Walker cells act together to yield an anomalous dry condition over NEB and wet condition over northern South America. Therefore, the results here provided clear indications that for climate monitoring and forecasting tasks, the AMO phases should be considered. These are new aspects of the tropical Atlantic variability that might be useful for climate monitoring purposes.
The impacts of El Niño (EN) on the rainfall over South America are investigated considering three... more The impacts of El Niño (EN) on the rainfall over South America are investigated considering three EN types differing in the locations of the maximum sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the equatorial Pacific: the Central-Pacific (CP), Eastern-Pacific (EP) and the Mixed (MIX) types. The largest positive (SST) anomalies for the EP and CP types occur, respectively, in the eastern and central sectors of the tropical Pacific during all seasons. The SST anomaly pattern for the MIX-EN resembles that of the EP-EN during its onset stage, and of the CP-EN during its mature and demise stages. The different SST anomaly patterns affect the large-scale (Walker circulation and the tropospheric Rossby-wave trains) and local (South American low-level jet-SALLJ) atmospheric circulation patterns in different ways and lead to distinct precipitation anomaly patterns over South America. Variations in the position and longitudinal extension of the downward motions of the EN-related eastward-displaced Walker circulation explain the differences in the dryness over equatorial South America. For the CP-EN, a double Walker cell defines a more zonal configuration of the equatorial dryness over South America during the first three analysed seasons. This feature is not noted for the other two EN types. The Rossby-wave train pattern path depends on the EN types and seasons. In consequence, the associated local atmospheric circulation patterns depend also on the season and EN types. In all seasons, an intense SALLJ for the EP EN contrasts with weak or inexistence SALLJ for the other two EN types. Thus, a wetter condition over southeastern South America, southern and eastern Brazil occurs for the EP EN in relation to the other EN types. The results shown here, in particular considering the MIX EN type, have not been discussed before and might be useful mainly for climate monitoring purposes.
The relationship of the hydrological variability of the Rio Negro in Manaus and the dominant larg... more The relationship of the hydrological variability of the Rio Negro in Manaus and the dominant large-scale climate variability patterns for the 1902-2007 period is investigated using the quantile method and composite analyses. Variations of the Rio Negro Level (RNL) during its 3-month high (May to July-MJJ) and low (October to December-OND) phases are examined separately. The El Niño (La Niña) related maximum warming (cooling) in the central tropical Pacific during its mature and decaying stages modulates the atmospheric circulation in the tropics and displaces the Walker circulation cell eastward (westward), so that its sinking (rising) branch occurs over western Amazon and causes negative (positive) precipitation anomalies in this region. These anomalous climate conditions occur before the Rio Negro high phase (MJJ) and contribute to reduce (increase) the RNL and lead to a very low (very high) event in the river. On the other hand, the SST variability modes in the tropical Atlantic mainly during the transition from wet to dry season modulate the precipitation variations over western Amazon in OND. The very high events are more frequent after the 1960's decade and the very low events, before the 1930's decade. Therefore, the occurrence of these events contains a multidecadal scale variability. The results also indicate that the variations in the rainfall in western Amazon occur up to 9 months in advance and modulate the RNL in Manaus. The results presented here might be useful for monitoring purposes of the RNL.
A temporal series of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and other environmental pa... more A temporal series of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and other environmental parameters covering the years 2002- 2009 was used for the study of the potential association between the climate and the number of cases of American cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) in Manaus Metropolitan Region (MMR), State of Amazonas, Brazil. The results show that CL has a marked seasonality and a strong linkage with local climate conditions. Dry and warm conditions favor the vector, while the maximum number of CL cases occurs during the following wet season. This has a clear relation to the El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the results presented here show that uncharacteristic dry conditions in the MMR follow El Niño after a lag period of 3 months, while wet conditions follow La Niña, again after a lag period of 3 months. El Niño brings dry conditions with warming of the land surface leading to increased growth of trees and bushes as indicated by rising NDVI values, eventuall...
Experimentos utilizando sistemas de observação global, foram realizados excluindo um ou mais tipo... more Experimentos utilizando sistemas de observação global, foram realizados excluindo um ou mais tipos de observação do esquema global de assimilação de dados/previsão de tempo do Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais - CPTEC/INPE (Global Physical-space Statistical Analysis System - GPSAS). Estes experimentos indicam como efetivamente as observações são usadas no GPSAS. Os sistemas de observação testados foram o conjunto de dados convencionais, que incluem informações de superfície (estações em superfície, bóias, navios e plataformas oceânicas) e de ar superior (radiossondagem, aeronaves e balões piloto), os sistemas de sondagem Advanced TIROS-N/NOAA Operational Vertical Sounder (ATOVS) e AQUA, composto pelos sensores Atmospheric Infrared Sounder e Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AIRS/AMSU), dados de vento de satélite, estimados a partir do deslocamento de nuvens (Cloud Track Wind), dados de vento em superfície sobre o oceano (Qu...
Previous studies have shown that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal ... more Previous studies have shown that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have combined effects on the precipitation (PRP) variability over South America. The combined impacts have been assessed considering four mean states as the averages of the variable anomalies during sub-periods overlapping time intervals of the PDO and AMO phases. Since these sub-periods include years under El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) extremes, the extent to which these years’ occurrence affects the averaged anomaly patterns during different mean states is investigated. The analyses are done for the PRP and surface air temperature (SAT) during the austral winter (June to August) and summer (December to February) of the 1901–2014 period using a composite technique. The nonlinear ENSO response in each mean state for a variable corresponds to the sum of the anomaly composites of the El Niño and La Niña events. In each mean state, the nonlinear PRP and SAT anomalies...
Using the information of the Earth Observation System/AQUA (EOS/AQUA) satellite during the 2003-2... more Using the information of the Earth Observation System/AQUA (EOS/AQUA) satellite during the 2003-2012 period, the present work investigates the tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO) behavior over the central South American region, and its spatiotemporal variability. The results show a well-defined seasonal behavior of the CO concentration, with decrease during the wet season and increase during dry season, due to the biomass burning increase during this period. Since the biomass burning is directly associated with the climate variability, through the rainfall decrease/increase in the central and eastern South American sector, the CO possesses high variability in central Brazil, the region with the largest number of burning focus. The results also show that the CO variability in the interanual time scale is related to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, such that rainfall reduction (increase) in the central and eastern part of South America during the La Niña (El Niño) ons...
The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of radar-detected radial velocity and reflectivi... more The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of radar-detected radial velocity and reflectivity data assimilation (DA) on precipitation forecasts using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) numerical model and its three-dimensional variational DA system (WRFDA-3DVAR). For this purpose, one heavy rain event in the city of Manaus in the Central Amazon on 25 December 2017 was analyzed. Numerical experiments were conducted using different initial conditions and both cyclical and non-cyclical assimilation processes. The evaluation of these experiments, conducted with and without radar DA, was based on comparisons between estimated radar precipitation and simulated precipitation. The results show that radial velocity plays a fundamental role in improving the representation of the convective system. Additionally, the best results were obtained when reflectivity was included alongside radial velocity in non-cyclical assimilation processes. Therefore, it can be concluded that the assimilation of radar data positively impacted the short-term forecast of precipitation associated with the studied convective system.
The effect of river breezes on pollutant plume dispersion or canalization in the central Amazon w... more The effect of river breezes on pollutant plume dispersion or canalization in the central Amazon was evaluated. A pollution plume changes atmospheric composition downwind of Manaus, a city of 2 million people positioned at the confluence between two wide rivers. Herein, to evaluate the effects of river breezes, two cases were modeled at the mesoscale for March 2014. The first case, "with rivers" (wR), simulated the transport and chemistry of the Manaus pollution plume as the rivers were in reality. The second case, "without rivers" (woR), carried out simulations for which all rivers and floodable areas were replaced by forest. The three main conclusions are as follows: (1) Between the two cases, alterations in wind speeds were maximum at local noon, and river breezes influenced horizontal wind fields from surface up to 150 m in altitude, suggesting a capping height of 150 m on most days for the influence of river breezes on pollutant concentrations. In agreement with this modeling result, data sets collected at 500 m by aircraft flights showed no apparent influence of the underlying rivers on plume dispersion. The flights traversed the plume downwind of Manaus during the Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon2014/5) Experiment. (2) Between the wR and wOR cases, changes to downwind concentrations of O 3 , NO x , and CO pollutants were < 6% as a monthly average at the supersite "T3" of GoAmazon2014/5, which was 70 km downwind of Manaus and located between the two main rivers. As single events at T3, maximum one-hour concentration differences were 39 ppb for O 3 , 5 ppb for NO x , and 26 ppb for CO. (3) For a focus on the surface layer of the rivers (0 to 150 m in height), river breezes increased the monthly average O 3 , NO x , and CO surface concentrations by 25%, 25%, and <5%, respectively. In addition, strong canalization occurred 5% of the time based on a difference of 10 ppb in the surface concentrations of at least two of O 3 , NO x , and CO between the wR and wOR cases. In conclusion, although pollutants dispersed by river breezes could at times be a strong effect on observed pollutant concentrations in the surface river boundary layer, overall most pollution was transported at heights well above the effects of the river breezes and moved downwind along the trajectories of the dominant trade winds.
Oceanic-atmospheric phenomena of different time scales concurrently might affect the streamflow i... more Oceanic-atmospheric phenomena of different time scales concurrently might affect the streamflow in several basins around the world. The Atrato River Basin (ARB) and Patía River Basin (PRB) of the Colombian Pacific region are examples of such basins. Nevertheless, the relations between the streamflows in the ARB and PRB and the oceanic-atmospheric factors have not been examined considering different temporal scales. Hence, this article studies the relations of the climate indices and the variability of the streamflows in the ARB and PRB at interannual and decadal timescales. To this, the streamflow variability modes were obtained from the principal component analysis (PCA); furthermore, their linear dependence with indices of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), precipitation (PRP), the Choco low-level jet (CJ), and other indices were quantified through (a) Pearson and Kendall’s tau correlations, and (b) wavelet transform. The PCA presented a single significant mode for each basi...
Recent studies to quantify the health risks that fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic less... more Recent studies to quantify the health risks that fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) pose use in vitro approaches. One of these approaches is to incubate PM2.5 in artificial lysosomal fluid for a given period at body temperature. These body fluids used have a high ionic strength and as such can be challenging samples to analyze with atomic spectroscopy techniques. As PM2.5 is a primary health hazard because it is tiny enough to penetrate deep into the lungs and could, in addition, dissolve in the lung fluid it is important to quantify elements of toxic and/or carcinogenic concerns, reliably and accurately. Sophisticated instrumentation and expensive pre-treatment of challenging samples are not always available, especially in developing countries. To evaluate the applicability of graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometry (GFAAS) without Zeeman correction capability to detect trace quantities of heavy metals leached from PM2.5 on to artificial lu...
The impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) on the variations in the streamflow in ... more The impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) on the variations in the streamflow in the Atrato River Basin (ARB) during the 1965–2016 period was analyzed here by considering the cold (1965–1994) and warm (1995–2015) phases of this oscillation. The mean streamflow increased after 1994 (AMO phase change). This increase is related to the strengthening of the zonal gradients of the sea surface temperature (SST) and sea level pressure (SLP) between the tropical central Pacific and the tropical Atlantic after 1994 (warm AMO phase). These gradients contributed to strengthen the Walker cell related upward movement over northern and northwestern South America, in particular during November-December (ND). Consistently, the frequency (R20 mm) and intensity (SDII) of extreme daily rainfall events increased during the 1995–2015 period. Our results show a connection between the AMO and the increase in the streamflow in the ARB during the last five decades. These results contribute to...
Resumo Estudos recentes têm apontado para a existência de dois tipos de eventos de El Niño (EN): ... more Resumo Estudos recentes têm apontado para a existência de dois tipos de eventos de El Niño (EN): EN do Pacífico oriental ou Canônico (EP, sigla em inglês) e EN do Pacífico Central ou Modoki (CP, sigla em inglês). Neste estudo, foram utilizados dados observados e de três modelos do Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) para avaliar o impacto dos dois tipos de EN na precipitação da América do Sul desde o trimestre de Junho-Agosto do ano inicial do evento até Março-Maio do ano seguinte. O modelo do Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM-CM5) apresentou o melhor desempenho para reproduzir os padrões anômalos observados de TSM para os tipos de EN CP e EP. O padrão anômalo da precipitação observada associado a eventos EN foi mais marcante durante o verão austral. No caso do EN EP, tal padrão caracterizou-se por precipitação acima (abaixo) da normal no sudeste (norte/noroeste) da América do Sul. Este padrão foi reproduzido pelos modelos CNRM-CM5 e Hadley Centre...
The relations of the low-level extratropical cyclones in the southeastern Pacific and South Atlan... more The relations of the low-level extratropical cyclones in the southeastern Pacific and South Atlantic with the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) during the summer and winter of the 1979–93 cold AMO (CAMO) and 2003–17 warm AMO (WAMO) are analyzed. During both seasons and in both AMO phases, the cyclone trajectories defined by cyclone local counts exceeding 10 events per grid box occur approximately in the areas with the AMO-related positive SST anomalies. The cyclone densities in most latitudes during both seasons are higher in the CAMO than in the WAMO. Thus, the cyclone density in the study domain presents a reduction trend during the 1979–2017 period. The large-scale northward SST anomalous gradients between the bands north and south of 40°S increase the long-wave baroclinicity in the midlatitudes in the WAMO, and the southward SST anomalous gradients decrease it in the CAMO. Consequently, the short-wave baroclinicit...
The Science of the total environment, Jan 15, 2018
The present study examines the spatiotemporal variability and interrelations of the atmospheric m... more The present study examines the spatiotemporal variability and interrelations of the atmospheric methane (CH), carbon monoxide (CO) and biomass burning (BB) outbreaks retrieved from satellite data over the Amazon region during the 2003-2012 period. In the climatological context, we found consistent seasonal cycles of BB outbreaks and CO in the Amazon, both variables showing a peak during the dry season. The dominant CO variability mode features the largest positive loadings in the southern Amazon, and describes the interannual CO variations related to BB outbreaks along the deforestation arc during the dry season. In line with CO variability and BB outbreaks, the results show strong correspondence with the spatiotemporal variability of CHin the southern Amazon during years of intense drought. Indeed, the areas with the largest positive CHanomalies in southern Amazon overlap the areas with high BB outbreaks and positive CO anomalies. The analyses also showed that high (low) BB outbrea...
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 2017
How a changing energy matrix for power production affects air quality is considered for an urban ... more How a changing energy matrix for power production affects air quality is considered for an urban region in a tropical, forested environment. Manaus, the largest city in the central Amazon basin of Brazil, is in the process of changing its fossil fuel power energy matrix from entirely fuel oil and diesel to nearly entirely natural gas across an approximately ten-year period. Three scenarios of urban air quality, specifically afternoon ozone concentrations, were simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-Chem) model. The first scenario used fuel oil and diesel for power production, which was the reality in 2008. The second scenario was based on the fuel mix from 2014, the most current year for which data were available. The third scenario considered nearly complete use of natural gas for power production, which is the anticipated future, possibly for 2018. For each case, inventories of anthropogenic emissions were based on power generation, refining operations, and tran...
The climatology of the moisture and heat budget equation terms for subareas within the South Amer... more The climatology of the moisture and heat budget equation terms for subareas within the South American Monsoon System (SAMS) region is investigated for the 1958-2014 period considering the distinct phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). These budget equations are applied to the data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Reanalysis project. Sources or sinks of moisture and heat are equation residues, referred to as residue and diabatic terms, respectively. Analyses are done for the Central Amazon Basin (CAM) and Western-Central Brazil (WCB) for three distinct periods, 1958-1976, 1977-1995, and 1996-2014, that correspond to the cold, warm, and undefined PDO phases. The differences among the PDO phases for each term are discussed. The CAM region acts dominantly as a moisture sink and heat source in all months during the three phases. On the other hand, in the WCB region, the monsoon characteristics are better defined, with a moisture sink (source) and a heat source (sink) during the wet (dry) season. The main result of the present analysis is the persistence of SAMS intensification signs in both CAM and WCB areas up to the last analyzed period
The spatiotemporal variability of the greenhouse gas methane (CH 4) in the atmosphere over the Am... more The spatiotemporal variability of the greenhouse gas methane (CH 4) in the atmosphere over the Amazon is studied using data from the space-borne measurements of the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder on board NASA's AQUA satellite for the period 2003-12. The results show a pronounced variability of this gas over the Amazon Basin lowlands region, where wetland areas occur. CH 4 has a well-defined seasonal behavior, with a progressive increase of its concentration during the dry season, followed by a decrease during the wet season. Concerning this variability, the present study indicates the important role of ENSO in modulating the variability of CH 4 emissions over the northern Amazon, where this association seems to be mostly linked to changes in flooded areas in response to ENSO-related precipitation changes. In this region, a CH 4 decrease (increase) is due to the El Niño-related (La Niña-related) dryness (wetness). On the other hand, an increase (decrease) in the biomass burning over the southeastern Amazon during very dry (wet) years explains the increase (decrease) in CH 4 emissions in this region. The present analysis identifies the two main areas of the Amazon, its northern and southeastern sectors, with remarkable interannual variations of CH 4. This result might be useful for future monitoring of the variations in the concentration of CH 4 , the second-most important greenhouse gas, in this area.
This paper examines the climate variability modes in the South American/Atlantic sector accompany... more This paper examines the climate variability modes in the South American/Atlantic sector accompanying dry and wet years over northeastern Brazil (NEB) in which the tropical Pacific and Atlantic oceanic-atmospheric conditions usually associated, respectively, with dryness and wetness are absent. The analyses are for several variables and take into account the warm and cold Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) phases (WAMO and CAMO). Four cases are analysed: DRY-WAMO, DRY-CAMO, WET-WAMO and WET-CAMO. The main difference in the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly patterns in the tropics between the AMO phases responsible for the differences in the precipitation anomaly patterns is the differential longitude positioning of the warming or cooling of the surface waters in the equatorial Atlantic. In consequence, the anomalous Atlantic Hadley and Walker circulations also show differences between the AMO phases, which justify the observed precipitation anomalies over tropical South America for the analysed cases. The strong anomalous Atlantic Hadley cell determines the dipolar structure of the precipitation anomalies between NEB and northern South America for the DRY-WAMO and WET-WAMO cases. The strong anomalous Atlantic Walker cell defines the dryness over NEB for the DRY-CAMO, and both the strong anomalous Atlantic Hadley and Walker cells act together to yield an anomalous dry condition over NEB and wet condition over northern South America. Therefore, the results here provided clear indications that for climate monitoring and forecasting tasks, the AMO phases should be considered. These are new aspects of the tropical Atlantic variability that might be useful for climate monitoring purposes.
The impacts of El Niño (EN) on the rainfall over South America are investigated considering three... more The impacts of El Niño (EN) on the rainfall over South America are investigated considering three EN types differing in the locations of the maximum sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the equatorial Pacific: the Central-Pacific (CP), Eastern-Pacific (EP) and the Mixed (MIX) types. The largest positive (SST) anomalies for the EP and CP types occur, respectively, in the eastern and central sectors of the tropical Pacific during all seasons. The SST anomaly pattern for the MIX-EN resembles that of the EP-EN during its onset stage, and of the CP-EN during its mature and demise stages. The different SST anomaly patterns affect the large-scale (Walker circulation and the tropospheric Rossby-wave trains) and local (South American low-level jet-SALLJ) atmospheric circulation patterns in different ways and lead to distinct precipitation anomaly patterns over South America. Variations in the position and longitudinal extension of the downward motions of the EN-related eastward-displaced Walker circulation explain the differences in the dryness over equatorial South America. For the CP-EN, a double Walker cell defines a more zonal configuration of the equatorial dryness over South America during the first three analysed seasons. This feature is not noted for the other two EN types. The Rossby-wave train pattern path depends on the EN types and seasons. In consequence, the associated local atmospheric circulation patterns depend also on the season and EN types. In all seasons, an intense SALLJ for the EP EN contrasts with weak or inexistence SALLJ for the other two EN types. Thus, a wetter condition over southeastern South America, southern and eastern Brazil occurs for the EP EN in relation to the other EN types. The results shown here, in particular considering the MIX EN type, have not been discussed before and might be useful mainly for climate monitoring purposes.
The relationship of the hydrological variability of the Rio Negro in Manaus and the dominant larg... more The relationship of the hydrological variability of the Rio Negro in Manaus and the dominant large-scale climate variability patterns for the 1902-2007 period is investigated using the quantile method and composite analyses. Variations of the Rio Negro Level (RNL) during its 3-month high (May to July-MJJ) and low (October to December-OND) phases are examined separately. The El Niño (La Niña) related maximum warming (cooling) in the central tropical Pacific during its mature and decaying stages modulates the atmospheric circulation in the tropics and displaces the Walker circulation cell eastward (westward), so that its sinking (rising) branch occurs over western Amazon and causes negative (positive) precipitation anomalies in this region. These anomalous climate conditions occur before the Rio Negro high phase (MJJ) and contribute to reduce (increase) the RNL and lead to a very low (very high) event in the river. On the other hand, the SST variability modes in the tropical Atlantic mainly during the transition from wet to dry season modulate the precipitation variations over western Amazon in OND. The very high events are more frequent after the 1960's decade and the very low events, before the 1930's decade. Therefore, the occurrence of these events contains a multidecadal scale variability. The results also indicate that the variations in the rainfall in western Amazon occur up to 9 months in advance and modulate the RNL in Manaus. The results presented here might be useful for monitoring purposes of the RNL.
A temporal series of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and other environmental pa... more A temporal series of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and other environmental parameters covering the years 2002- 2009 was used for the study of the potential association between the climate and the number of cases of American cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) in Manaus Metropolitan Region (MMR), State of Amazonas, Brazil. The results show that CL has a marked seasonality and a strong linkage with local climate conditions. Dry and warm conditions favor the vector, while the maximum number of CL cases occurs during the following wet season. This has a clear relation to the El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the results presented here show that uncharacteristic dry conditions in the MMR follow El Niño after a lag period of 3 months, while wet conditions follow La Niña, again after a lag period of 3 months. El Niño brings dry conditions with warming of the land surface leading to increased growth of trees and bushes as indicated by rising NDVI values, eventuall...
Experimentos utilizando sistemas de observação global, foram realizados excluindo um ou mais tipo... more Experimentos utilizando sistemas de observação global, foram realizados excluindo um ou mais tipos de observação do esquema global de assimilação de dados/previsão de tempo do Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais - CPTEC/INPE (Global Physical-space Statistical Analysis System - GPSAS). Estes experimentos indicam como efetivamente as observações são usadas no GPSAS. Os sistemas de observação testados foram o conjunto de dados convencionais, que incluem informações de superfície (estações em superfície, bóias, navios e plataformas oceânicas) e de ar superior (radiossondagem, aeronaves e balões piloto), os sistemas de sondagem Advanced TIROS-N/NOAA Operational Vertical Sounder (ATOVS) e AQUA, composto pelos sensores Atmospheric Infrared Sounder e Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AIRS/AMSU), dados de vento de satélite, estimados a partir do deslocamento de nuvens (Cloud Track Wind), dados de vento em superfície sobre o oceano (Qu...
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