HAL is a multidisciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of scientific re... more HAL is a multidisciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of scientific research documents, whether they are published or not. The documents may come from teaching and research institutions in France or abroad, or from public or private research centers. L'archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, émanant des établissements d'enseignement et de recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires publics ou privés. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, b... more Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, but they are not a panacea for fisheries management problems. For fisheries that
The discipline of ecosystem oceanography provides a framework for assessing the role of mesoscale... more The discipline of ecosystem oceanography provides a framework for assessing the role of mesoscale physical processes on the formation and occurrence of biological hotspots. We used shipboard surveys over nine years to investigate environmental determinants of seabird hotspots near the Antarctic Peninsula, a region experiencing rapid climate change and an expanding krill fishery. We hypothesize that seabird hotspots are structured by mesoscale ocean conditions that reflect differences in prey distribution within oceanic and coastal waters. We used generalized additive models to quantify functional relationships of seabird hotspots with krill biomass, and a suite of remotely sensed environmental variables, such as
biogeographic regions. R.N. Mack discusses alien plant invasions into the inter-mountain west. J.... more biogeographic regions. R.N. Mack discusses alien plant invasions into the inter-mountain west. J.J. Ewel draws lessons from biological invasions of south Florida. M.P. Moulton and S.L. Pimm examine species introductions to Hawaii. And H.A. Mooney, S.P. Hamburg and J.A. Drake examine invasions of plants and animals into California. The single paper in Section 6 by D.L. Dahlsten examines the control of invading species. He observes that two general approaches, biological control and chemical eradication, which are ecologically and philosophically completely different, have been designed by pest control specialists for dealing with introduced organisms. The papers are well organized and well written. Introduction and conclusion sections of papers, with only a few exceptions, are excellent. Reference sections of papers provide excellent entries into the relevant literature, and a species index and a topical index are provided at the end of the book. Although only one paper deals directly with modelling, this book provides a wealth of information and ideas for those interested in modelling virtually any ecological aspect of biological invasions.
Principles for the Conservation of Wild Living Resources Source: Ecological Applications, Vol. 6,... more Principles for the Conservation of Wild Living Resources Source: Ecological Applications, Vol. 6, No. 2, (May, 1996), pp. 338-362 Published by: Ecological Society of America Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2269369 Accessed: 16/07/2008 03:24 Your use of the ...
This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the a... more This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the author for internal non-commercial research and education use, including for instruction at the authors institution and sharing with colleagues. Other uses, including reproduction and distribution, or selling or licensing copies, or posting to personal, institutional or third party websites are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier's archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit:
The hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) system is a demand control system, with the demand coming from ... more The hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) system is a demand control system, with the demand coming from the organism, since the products of the common myeloid and lymphoid progenitor (CMP, CLP respectively) cells are essential for activity and defense against disease. We show how ideas from population biology (combining population dynamics and evolutionary considerations) can illuminate the feedback control of the HSC system by the fully differentiated products, which has recently been verified experimentally. We develop models for the penultimate differentiation of HSC Multipotent Progenitors (MPPs) into CLP and CMP and introduce two concepts from population biology into stem cell biology. The first concept is the Multipotent Progenitor Commitment Response (MPCR) which is the probability that a multipotent progenitor cell follows a CLP route rather than a CMP route. The second concept is the link between the MPCR and a measure of Darwinian fitness associated with organismal performance and the levels of differentiated lymphoid and myeloid cells. We show that many MPCRs are consistent with homeostasis, but that they will lead to different dynamics of cells and signals following a wound or injury and thus have different consequences for Darwinian fitness. We show how coupling considerations of life history to dynamics of the HSC system and its products allows one to compute the selective pressures on cellular processes. We discuss ways that this framework can be used and extended.
Erratum and comment: Rate constant and transmission coefficient in the diffusion theory of reacti... more Erratum and comment: Rate constant and transmission coefficient in the diffusion theory of reaction rates [J. Chem. Phys. 72, 6606 (1980)]
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 1994
Marine and terrestrial ecosystems share the feature that resources are often patchily distributed... more Marine and terrestrial ecosystems share the feature that resources are often patchily distributed over space or time. Thus, we must develop methods to predict how organisms will respond to pattern. One method is described and illustrated with examples of the harvesting of krill in the southern oceans and predicting the spread and intensity of pest infestations.
Priority effects, i.e., effects of an early cohort on the performance of a later cohort, are gene... more Priority effects, i.e., effects of an early cohort on the performance of a later cohort, are generally studied between, and not within, species. The paucity of intraspecific assessments does not reflect a lack of ecological importance, but the technical problem associated with differentiating between conspecific cohorts. Here, we examine priority and density-dependent effects on larval Salamandra salamandra infraimmaculata. Larvae deposited by their mother early in the season have increased risk of desiccation, as rains at the beginning of the season are less frequent and unpredictable. However, breeding later may incur a high cost through conspecific priority effects, including cannibalism and competition. In an outdoor artificial pool experiment, we established densities of 0, 1, 2, 4 or 6 newly born larvae per pool ($30 l), and 40 days later, added a second cohort of three newly born larvae to each pool. We differentiated between cohorts using natural individual-specific markings. For the early cohort, increasing density decreased survival and size at metamorphosis, and increased time to metamorphosis. For the late cohort, survival was 100% in pools without early-cohort larvae, but ranged between 13 and 33% in the presence of early-cohort larvae. Time to metamorphosis was significantly longer in the presence of low vs high densities of early-cohort larvae. Results suggest that early-cohort larvae are mainly subjected to exploitative competition and cannibalism mediated by food limitation, and that latecohort larvae are subjected to cannibalism and interference due to size asymmetry between cohorts. The strong priority effects suggest that Salamandra females could increase their fitness by adjusting the number of larvae they deposit in specific pools to avoid cannibalism and intraspecific competition.
Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, b... more Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, but they are not a panacea for fisheries management problems. For fisheries that
This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the a... more This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the author for internal non-commercial research and education use, including for instruction at the authors institution and sharing with colleagues. Other uses, including reproduction and distribution, or selling or licensing copies, or posting to personal, institutional or third party websites are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier's archiving and manuscript policies are
In the Southern Ocean, Antarctic krill Euphausia superba are the dominant prey item for many pred... more In the Southern Ocean, Antarctic krill Euphausia superba are the dominant prey item for many predators, and a changing climate may affect the biomass of krill available to both predators and the krill fishery. We projected growth trajectories for individual krill within cohorts and estimated how total biomass in an area available to both predators and the fishery may vary from year to year simply due to fluctuations in temperature. We used an existing temperature-dependent growth model and a time series of temperature data (1970 to 2004) for 2 regions in the Southern Ocean: (1) around the Antarctic Peninsula, and (2) around the island of South Georgia. The growth model predicted increasing individual size within a cohort (in terms of length and weight) with increasing temperature in the cooler Antarctic Peninsula region and decreasing individual size with increasing temperature in the warmer South Georgia region. Years with many cohorts of small individuals in the population resulted in biomass well below average, whereas years with many cohorts of large individuals resulted in biomass well above the average, suggesting that temporal changes in Southern Ocean temperatures may have profound effects on the total biomass in an area that is available to both predators and the fishery. Moreover, the effects of a potentially warming Southern Ocean on krill biomass will likely be more pronounced in the warmer regions occupied by krill.
We develop an age-structured model for two krill populations near the Antarctic Peninsula and est... more We develop an age-structured model for two krill populations near the Antarctic Peninsula and estimate the relative recruitment events that reproduce observed trends in krill abundance and age structure. Estimates of recruitment in both regions show a nonlinear relationship between recruitment and sea ice area in the combined Bellingshausen and Amundsen Seas from the previous winter and spring, with large recruitment events occurring over a narrow range of ice area, and minimal recruitment otherwise. This finding may allow for an adaptive approach in which future catch limits are adjusted based on predictions of biomass. This result also suggests that the ecosystem may change dramatically once average ice area drops below the recruitment threshold.
Mortality and reproduction are intimately entwined in the study of aging and longevity. I apply t... more Mortality and reproduction are intimately entwined in the study of aging and longevity. I apply the modern theory of complex adaptive systems (nonlinear, stochastic, dynamic methods) to questions of aging and longevity. I begin by highlighting major questions that must be answered in order to obtain a deeper understanding of aging. These are: (i) What should (in an evolutionary sense) mortality trajectories look like? (ii) Why does caloric restriction slow aging? (iii) Why does reproduction cause delayed mortality? (iv) Why does compensatory growth cause delayed mortality? I show how dynamic state variable models based on stochastic dynamic programming (Clark & Mangel, 2000) can be used to embed genetic theories of senescence (either mutation accumulation or antagonistic pleiotropy) in the somatic environment, as George Williams called for in 1957, and how they make the disposable soma theory of aging operational. Such models will allow uni"cation of genetic and phenotypic theories of aging.
Generalized linear mixed-effects models can be used to combine bottom trawl data from multiple ve... more Generalized linear mixed-effects models can be used to combine bottom trawl data from multiple vessels, each with a different fishing power, into a single time series of relative abundance. However, how important might it be to have a consistent set of vessels and vessel characteristics from year to year given we can model differences in fishing power among vessels? We demonstrate how changes in the suite of fishing vessels performing the survey can affect the results of the data analysis using sablefish catches in the U.S. west coast groundfish bottom trawl survey from 1998 to 2000. The results do not indicate that one must have a consistent set of vessels over time to provide useful data, but rather that there is benefit to consistency even when the survey data are analyzed using advanced statistical models. Further research should be undertaken to quantify these benefits specifically to aid in contracting and bidding of survey vessels.
HAL is a multidisciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of scientific re... more HAL is a multidisciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of scientific research documents, whether they are published or not. The documents may come from teaching and research institutions in France or abroad, or from public or private research centers. L'archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, émanant des établissements d'enseignement et de recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires publics ou privés. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, b... more Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, but they are not a panacea for fisheries management problems. For fisheries that
The discipline of ecosystem oceanography provides a framework for assessing the role of mesoscale... more The discipline of ecosystem oceanography provides a framework for assessing the role of mesoscale physical processes on the formation and occurrence of biological hotspots. We used shipboard surveys over nine years to investigate environmental determinants of seabird hotspots near the Antarctic Peninsula, a region experiencing rapid climate change and an expanding krill fishery. We hypothesize that seabird hotspots are structured by mesoscale ocean conditions that reflect differences in prey distribution within oceanic and coastal waters. We used generalized additive models to quantify functional relationships of seabird hotspots with krill biomass, and a suite of remotely sensed environmental variables, such as
biogeographic regions. R.N. Mack discusses alien plant invasions into the inter-mountain west. J.... more biogeographic regions. R.N. Mack discusses alien plant invasions into the inter-mountain west. J.J. Ewel draws lessons from biological invasions of south Florida. M.P. Moulton and S.L. Pimm examine species introductions to Hawaii. And H.A. Mooney, S.P. Hamburg and J.A. Drake examine invasions of plants and animals into California. The single paper in Section 6 by D.L. Dahlsten examines the control of invading species. He observes that two general approaches, biological control and chemical eradication, which are ecologically and philosophically completely different, have been designed by pest control specialists for dealing with introduced organisms. The papers are well organized and well written. Introduction and conclusion sections of papers, with only a few exceptions, are excellent. Reference sections of papers provide excellent entries into the relevant literature, and a species index and a topical index are provided at the end of the book. Although only one paper deals directly with modelling, this book provides a wealth of information and ideas for those interested in modelling virtually any ecological aspect of biological invasions.
Principles for the Conservation of Wild Living Resources Source: Ecological Applications, Vol. 6,... more Principles for the Conservation of Wild Living Resources Source: Ecological Applications, Vol. 6, No. 2, (May, 1996), pp. 338-362 Published by: Ecological Society of America Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2269369 Accessed: 16/07/2008 03:24 Your use of the ...
This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the a... more This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the author for internal non-commercial research and education use, including for instruction at the authors institution and sharing with colleagues. Other uses, including reproduction and distribution, or selling or licensing copies, or posting to personal, institutional or third party websites are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier's archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit:
The hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) system is a demand control system, with the demand coming from ... more The hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) system is a demand control system, with the demand coming from the organism, since the products of the common myeloid and lymphoid progenitor (CMP, CLP respectively) cells are essential for activity and defense against disease. We show how ideas from population biology (combining population dynamics and evolutionary considerations) can illuminate the feedback control of the HSC system by the fully differentiated products, which has recently been verified experimentally. We develop models for the penultimate differentiation of HSC Multipotent Progenitors (MPPs) into CLP and CMP and introduce two concepts from population biology into stem cell biology. The first concept is the Multipotent Progenitor Commitment Response (MPCR) which is the probability that a multipotent progenitor cell follows a CLP route rather than a CMP route. The second concept is the link between the MPCR and a measure of Darwinian fitness associated with organismal performance and the levels of differentiated lymphoid and myeloid cells. We show that many MPCRs are consistent with homeostasis, but that they will lead to different dynamics of cells and signals following a wound or injury and thus have different consequences for Darwinian fitness. We show how coupling considerations of life history to dynamics of the HSC system and its products allows one to compute the selective pressures on cellular processes. We discuss ways that this framework can be used and extended.
Erratum and comment: Rate constant and transmission coefficient in the diffusion theory of reacti... more Erratum and comment: Rate constant and transmission coefficient in the diffusion theory of reaction rates [J. Chem. Phys. 72, 6606 (1980)]
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 1994
Marine and terrestrial ecosystems share the feature that resources are often patchily distributed... more Marine and terrestrial ecosystems share the feature that resources are often patchily distributed over space or time. Thus, we must develop methods to predict how organisms will respond to pattern. One method is described and illustrated with examples of the harvesting of krill in the southern oceans and predicting the spread and intensity of pest infestations.
Priority effects, i.e., effects of an early cohort on the performance of a later cohort, are gene... more Priority effects, i.e., effects of an early cohort on the performance of a later cohort, are generally studied between, and not within, species. The paucity of intraspecific assessments does not reflect a lack of ecological importance, but the technical problem associated with differentiating between conspecific cohorts. Here, we examine priority and density-dependent effects on larval Salamandra salamandra infraimmaculata. Larvae deposited by their mother early in the season have increased risk of desiccation, as rains at the beginning of the season are less frequent and unpredictable. However, breeding later may incur a high cost through conspecific priority effects, including cannibalism and competition. In an outdoor artificial pool experiment, we established densities of 0, 1, 2, 4 or 6 newly born larvae per pool ($30 l), and 40 days later, added a second cohort of three newly born larvae to each pool. We differentiated between cohorts using natural individual-specific markings. For the early cohort, increasing density decreased survival and size at metamorphosis, and increased time to metamorphosis. For the late cohort, survival was 100% in pools without early-cohort larvae, but ranged between 13 and 33% in the presence of early-cohort larvae. Time to metamorphosis was significantly longer in the presence of low vs high densities of early-cohort larvae. Results suggest that early-cohort larvae are mainly subjected to exploitative competition and cannibalism mediated by food limitation, and that latecohort larvae are subjected to cannibalism and interference due to size asymmetry between cohorts. The strong priority effects suggest that Salamandra females could increase their fitness by adjusting the number of larvae they deposit in specific pools to avoid cannibalism and intraspecific competition.
Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, b... more Marine reserves are a promising tool for fisheries management and conservation of biodiversity, but they are not a panacea for fisheries management problems. For fisheries that
This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the a... more This article appeared in a journal published by Elsevier. The attached copy is furnished to the author for internal non-commercial research and education use, including for instruction at the authors institution and sharing with colleagues. Other uses, including reproduction and distribution, or selling or licensing copies, or posting to personal, institutional or third party websites are prohibited. In most cases authors are permitted to post their version of the article (e.g. in Word or Tex form) to their personal website or institutional repository. Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier's archiving and manuscript policies are
In the Southern Ocean, Antarctic krill Euphausia superba are the dominant prey item for many pred... more In the Southern Ocean, Antarctic krill Euphausia superba are the dominant prey item for many predators, and a changing climate may affect the biomass of krill available to both predators and the krill fishery. We projected growth trajectories for individual krill within cohorts and estimated how total biomass in an area available to both predators and the fishery may vary from year to year simply due to fluctuations in temperature. We used an existing temperature-dependent growth model and a time series of temperature data (1970 to 2004) for 2 regions in the Southern Ocean: (1) around the Antarctic Peninsula, and (2) around the island of South Georgia. The growth model predicted increasing individual size within a cohort (in terms of length and weight) with increasing temperature in the cooler Antarctic Peninsula region and decreasing individual size with increasing temperature in the warmer South Georgia region. Years with many cohorts of small individuals in the population resulted in biomass well below average, whereas years with many cohorts of large individuals resulted in biomass well above the average, suggesting that temporal changes in Southern Ocean temperatures may have profound effects on the total biomass in an area that is available to both predators and the fishery. Moreover, the effects of a potentially warming Southern Ocean on krill biomass will likely be more pronounced in the warmer regions occupied by krill.
We develop an age-structured model for two krill populations near the Antarctic Peninsula and est... more We develop an age-structured model for two krill populations near the Antarctic Peninsula and estimate the relative recruitment events that reproduce observed trends in krill abundance and age structure. Estimates of recruitment in both regions show a nonlinear relationship between recruitment and sea ice area in the combined Bellingshausen and Amundsen Seas from the previous winter and spring, with large recruitment events occurring over a narrow range of ice area, and minimal recruitment otherwise. This finding may allow for an adaptive approach in which future catch limits are adjusted based on predictions of biomass. This result also suggests that the ecosystem may change dramatically once average ice area drops below the recruitment threshold.
Mortality and reproduction are intimately entwined in the study of aging and longevity. I apply t... more Mortality and reproduction are intimately entwined in the study of aging and longevity. I apply the modern theory of complex adaptive systems (nonlinear, stochastic, dynamic methods) to questions of aging and longevity. I begin by highlighting major questions that must be answered in order to obtain a deeper understanding of aging. These are: (i) What should (in an evolutionary sense) mortality trajectories look like? (ii) Why does caloric restriction slow aging? (iii) Why does reproduction cause delayed mortality? (iv) Why does compensatory growth cause delayed mortality? I show how dynamic state variable models based on stochastic dynamic programming (Clark & Mangel, 2000) can be used to embed genetic theories of senescence (either mutation accumulation or antagonistic pleiotropy) in the somatic environment, as George Williams called for in 1957, and how they make the disposable soma theory of aging operational. Such models will allow uni"cation of genetic and phenotypic theories of aging.
Generalized linear mixed-effects models can be used to combine bottom trawl data from multiple ve... more Generalized linear mixed-effects models can be used to combine bottom trawl data from multiple vessels, each with a different fishing power, into a single time series of relative abundance. However, how important might it be to have a consistent set of vessels and vessel characteristics from year to year given we can model differences in fishing power among vessels? We demonstrate how changes in the suite of fishing vessels performing the survey can affect the results of the data analysis using sablefish catches in the U.S. west coast groundfish bottom trawl survey from 1998 to 2000. The results do not indicate that one must have a consistent set of vessels over time to provide useful data, but rather that there is benefit to consistency even when the survey data are analyzed using advanced statistical models. Further research should be undertaken to quantify these benefits specifically to aid in contracting and bidding of survey vessels.
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Papers by M. Mangel