Papers by Eleonora Aiello
Value in Health, Nov 1, 2011
Estimate the effects on glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA 1c) and the accumulated cost of treatment of... more Estimate the effects on glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA 1c) and the accumulated cost of treatment of the use and provision of various self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) regimes plus conventional pharmacologic treatment on type-2 diabetic (T2D) patients from the Mexican public health system perspective. METHODS: The individual experience of a T2D patient was simulated using a discrete event simulation (Arena™). Patients were created with unique, randomly assigned baseline characteristics, cloned three times and sent to each of the considered SMBG regimes (0, 1, 2 and 3 times daily). T2D-and complication-related pharmacologic treatment & resource utilization, and treatment algorithms and goals were based on published clinical guidelines. Treatment therapies included lifestyle modifications alone, oral antidiabetics (OADs) and insulin use. HbA1c was the main driver of disease progression, determining initial state, clinical evolution and drug/insulin dosages. Complication and acute event development for each SMBG regime was assessed through published local relative risk studies. Considered OADs and insulin types were assumed equally effective. Clinical and cost data were obtained from published literature. Mortality was assessed by disease duration. Simulation was run with 250,000 patients for 10 years using a 4.5% annual discount rate. Average per-patient costs are shown in inflation-adjusted 2011 MXP. RESULTS: More intensive SMBG regimes resulted in lower final average HbA1c levels; 1, 2 and 3 times daily SMBG regimes resulted in lesser costs than no SMBG after years 3, 3 and 4, respectively.
Value in Health, May 1, 2014
were driven by drug and treatment costs associated with myocardial infarction. The total cost of ... more were driven by drug and treatment costs associated with myocardial infarction. The total cost of saxagliptin/metformin XR group over 20 years was lower than SU plus MET treated group (US$ 14,454,257 vs. US$ 14,735,176). Treatment with saxagliptin/ metformin XR resulted in a greater number of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and life-years gained (LYG) than the SU combination (10,203 vs. 9,955 and 12,207 vs. 12,190 respectively). Cost-effectiveness results were robust according to sensitivity analysis. ConClusions: according to the model cost-effectiveness results in Colombia, saxagliptin/metformin XR FDC would be the dominant treatment option compared to SU as add-on to MET, for people with T2DM after failure of treatment only with MET. PDB62 Cost-effeCtiveness analysis of Canagliflozin (Cana) versus DaPagliflozin (DaPa) as an aDD-on to metformin (met) in Patients with tyPe 2 DiaBetes mellitus (t2Dm) in the uniteD states
Value in Health, Nov 1, 2011
Value in Health, Jun 1, 2012
Health Economics Review, Apr 27, 2013
Background: The increasing prevalence of diabetes and its inadequate management results in a heav... more Background: The increasing prevalence of diabetes and its inadequate management results in a heavy burden of the disease for the patients, the health and the productive system and the overall community. Consequently, it is necessary to have new effective drugs to treat people with diabetes to decrease such burden. DPP-4 inhibitors can help to cope with this demand, but its usage is challenged by its apparent high cost. The aim of the current study was to compare a simulated cost-effectiveness ratio of metformin (MET) plus one drug of the DPP-4 inhibitors family, saxagliptin (SAXA) or sulfonylurea (SU) treatment during a 20-year period, from the perspective of the social security system, in a cohort of people with Type 2 diabetes (T2DM) who did not attain glycosylated hemoglobin treatment target values only with MET. Methods: A discrete event simulation model (Cardiff diabetes model) based on UKPDS 68 was used to simulate disease progression and to estimate the economic and health treatment consequences in people with T2DM. The clinical efficacy parameters for SAXA administration were obtained from the literature; local standard costs were considered for drug acquisition, adverse events (AEs), and micro/macrovascular complications. Costs were expressed in US dollars (2009) with an annual 3.5% discount and a 20-year time horizon. Results: The SAXA + MET treated group had a lower number of non-fatal events than the SU + MET treated group. The model also predicted a lower number of fatal macrovascular events for the SAXA + MET group (149.6 vs. 152.8). The total cost of the SAXA + MET cohort was 15% higher than that of the SU + MET cohort. Treatment with SAXA + MET resulted in a higher number of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) (9.54 vs. 9.32) and life-years gained (LYGs) (20.84 vs. 20.76
Value in Health, Nov 1, 2013
Value in Health, May 1, 2014
Value in Health, May 1, 2014
A247 Objectives: Dapagliflozin is a sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor approved fo... more A247 Objectives: Dapagliflozin is a sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor approved for the treatment of adults with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). This study compared the cost-effectiveness of dapagliflozin versus a sulfonylurea (SU) added to metformin in persons with T2DM inadequately controlled on metformin alone in Colombia. MethOds: A discrete event simulation model (Cardiff diabetes model) based on UKPDS 68 was used to simulate disease progression and to estimate the economic and health treatment consequences in people with T2DM. Epidemiologic and clinical efficacy parameters were obtained from the literature. The cost of medication was obtained from country level price data, SISMED and Farmaprecios; the cost of macro-and microvascular events was based on POS tariffs, SOAT Manual and consultation with a local expert. Costs were expressed in US dollars [Exchange rate: 1,790.6 Colombian pesos = 1$]. A 20-year time horizon was assumed. Costs and health outcomes were discounted at 3% annually. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PAS) were performed. Results: The total direct cost of the dapagliflozin + MET group over 20 years was higher than that of the SU added to metformin group ($11,482,424 vs. $8,942,315). Treatment with dapagliflozin resulted in a greater number of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) compared to SU combination (10,861 vs. 10,439).The calculated Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) for dapagliflozin compared to SU was $ 6,023 per QALY gained. Using WHO's criteria, dapagliflozin compared to SU treatment strategy has a 85% probability of being highly cost-effective (ICER< 1 GDP per capita) and 100% probability of being cost-effective (ICER ≤ 3 GDP per capita).The results were robust to sensitivity analysis. cOnclusiOns: This study demonstrated that dapagliflozin in combination with metformin would be a cost-effective treatment option for patients who are inadequately controlled with metformin monotherapy in Colombia. PDB57 Cost-effeCtiveness analysis of BiPhasiC insulin asPart versus insulin glargine in PeoPle with tyPe 2 DiaBetes in China
European Heart Journal, 2013
Value in Health, 2014
were driven by drug and treatment costs associated with myocardial infarction. The total cost of ... more were driven by drug and treatment costs associated with myocardial infarction. The total cost of saxagliptin/metformin XR group over 20 years was lower than SU plus MET treated group (US$ 14,454,257 vs. US$ 14,735,176). Treatment with saxagliptin/ metformin XR resulted in a greater number of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and life-years gained (LYG) than the SU combination (10,203 vs. 9,955 and 12,207 vs. 12,190 respectively). Cost-effectiveness results were robust according to sensitivity analysis. ConClusions: according to the model cost-effectiveness results in Colombia, saxagliptin/metformin XR FDC would be the dominant treatment option compared to SU as add-on to MET, for people with T2DM after failure of treatment only with MET. PDB62 Cost-effeCtiveness analysis of Canagliflozin (Cana) versus DaPagliflozin (DaPa) as an aDD-on to metformin (met) in Patients with tyPe 2 DiaBetes mellitus (t2Dm) in the uniteD states
Value in Health, 2013
Cost-effectiveness of denosumab versus oral bisphosphonates in MOP was evaluated from a third-par... more Cost-effectiveness of denosumab versus oral bisphosphonates in MOP was evaluated from a third-party payer perspective in Sweden. METHODS: A lifetime cohort Markov model was developed to reflect osteoporotic health states. During each cycle, patients could have a fracture, remain healthy, remain in a post fracture state or die. Background fracture risks, mortality rates, persistence rates, utilities, medical and drug costs were derived using published sources. Bone mineral density (BMD) improvements have been shown to be similar between MOP and post-menopausal osteoporotic (PMO) populations, and a recent fracture trial showed zoledronate to have effects in men similar to those reported previously in women; therefore efficacy data from PMO women were used. Lifetime expected costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were estimated for denosumab, generic alendronate, generic risedronate, and ibandronate. Patients in the model were 65-year-old men, with BMD T-score≤-1.90 and prevalent vertebral fracture of 22.7%. In the base-case, the model assumed patients could receive treatment effects up to 2 years after discontinuation (offset time). Costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% annually. Extensive sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Total lifetime costs for alendronate, denosumab, risedronate, and ibandronate were €45,118, €45,396, €45,526, and €46,523, respectively. Total QALYs were 9.86, 9.91, 9.85, and 9.83, respectively. Denosumab had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €5,283 compared to alendronate and dominated risedronate and ibandronate. Results were most sensitive to changes in relative risk (RR) of hip fracture with denosumab, cost of denosumab and RR of vertebral fracture with denosumab. The probability of denosumab being cost-effective compared to oral bisphosphonates at a threshold of €66,000/QALY was 85.5%. In a sensitivity analysis of offset time of 5 years for oral bisphosphonates, denosumab had an ICER of €10,382 compared to alendronate. CONCLUSIONS: Denosumab is costeffective compared to branded and generic oral bisphosphonates in the Swedish MOP population.
Value in Health, 2013
Cost-effectiveness of denosumab versus oral bisphosphonates in MOP was evaluated from a third-par... more Cost-effectiveness of denosumab versus oral bisphosphonates in MOP was evaluated from a third-party payer perspective in Sweden. METHODS: A lifetime cohort Markov model was developed to reflect osteoporotic health states. During each cycle, patients could have a fracture, remain healthy, remain in a post fracture state or die. Background fracture risks, mortality rates, persistence rates, utilities, medical and drug costs were derived using published sources. Bone mineral density (BMD) improvements have been shown to be similar between MOP and post-menopausal osteoporotic (PMO) populations, and a recent fracture trial showed zoledronate to have effects in men similar to those reported previously in women; therefore efficacy data from PMO women were used. Lifetime expected costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were estimated for denosumab, generic alendronate, generic risedronate, and ibandronate. Patients in the model were 65-year-old men, with BMD T-score≤-1.90 and prevalent vertebral fracture of 22.7%. In the base-case, the model assumed patients could receive treatment effects up to 2 years after discontinuation (offset time). Costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% annually. Extensive sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Total lifetime costs for alendronate, denosumab, risedronate, and ibandronate were €45,118, €45,396, €45,526, and €46,523, respectively. Total QALYs were 9.86, 9.91, 9.85, and 9.83, respectively. Denosumab had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €5,283 compared to alendronate and dominated risedronate and ibandronate. Results were most sensitive to changes in relative risk (RR) of hip fracture with denosumab, cost of denosumab and RR of vertebral fracture with denosumab. The probability of denosumab being cost-effective compared to oral bisphosphonates at a threshold of €66,000/QALY was 85.5%. In a sensitivity analysis of offset time of 5 years for oral bisphosphonates, denosumab had an ICER of €10,382 compared to alendronate. CONCLUSIONS: Denosumab is costeffective compared to branded and generic oral bisphosphonates in the Swedish MOP population.
Value in Health, 2011
OBJECTIVES: Fragility fractures (FF) are associated with increased mortality, deterioration in he... more OBJECTIVES: Fragility fractures (FF) are associated with increased mortality, deterioration in health-related quality of life and high costs. Teriparatide stimulates bone remodeling. The aim of this study was to assess the cost and health effects of teriparatide in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis (PMOP) and high risk of FF from the perspective of public healthcare system in Mexico. METHODS: Target population was women aged 70 years, with PMOP, T-score Ϫ4.0 and three clinical risk factors, with a recent vertebral fracture not candidates to receive bisphosphonates. Competing alternatives were: (1) daily subcutaneous injection of teriparatide 20mcg for 18 months and (2) no therapy. A Markov microsimulation model was developed with a 30 years time horizon divided into 6-month cycles and is composed by 5 health states: hip, vertebral, forearm and humerus fracture and death. The incidence of FF was obtained from the FRAX® algorithms for Mexican women. Efficacy data was gathered from placebo-controlled clinical trials of teriparatide. We analyzed acquisition costs of teriparatide and medical care costs due to FF. Frequency and location of fractures avoided and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) were estimated. All costs are expressed in 2010 USD (1USD:12.50MXN Pesos) RESULTS: Teriparatide avoided 324 FF per a thousand patients (hip: 43; vertebral: 164; humerus: 35; forearm: 82). The number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one FF was 3.09. Teriparatide was slightly more expensive ($20,052 vs. $22,209 USD) but more effective, with net gains of 87 QALYs per a thousand patients. The cost per additional QALY gained with teriparatide was $24,925 (below the upper limit of 3 times the gross domestic product per capita in Mexico). Teriparatide was found to be cost-effective therapy in 80% of the simulations performed in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Teriparatide is a cost-effective intervention in women with PMOP and high risk of FF.
Artículo original Costo efectividad de Abatacept en comparación con otras terapias biológicas par... more Artículo original Costo efectividad de Abatacept en comparación con otras terapias biológicas para el tratamiento de la artritis reumatoide moderada a severamente activa en pacientes que han fallado al tratamiento con metotrexato en EsSalud para el año 2010 Cost-effectiveness of abatacept compared to other biological agents for the treatment of moderately to severely active rheumatoid arthritis in patients who failed with methotrexate in Peruvian Social Security during 2010
PubMed, Sep 1, 2012
Objective: In order to compare the cost and to find the cost-effectiveness ratio of 0.5 mg/day en... more Objective: In order to compare the cost and to find the cost-effectiveness ratio of 0.5 mg/day entecavir versus pegylated interferon in the suppression of the viral replication and the quality of life of chronic hepatitis B patients based on a previously developed economic evaluation by Spackman y Veenstra, we performed, previous data transferability analysis, an adaptation of the model to the Venezuelan reality. Methods: To adapt the economic evaluation, we assumed the probabilities of transition between states, in accordance with the effectiveness reported in the original evaluation. The hypothetical cohort was based on the characteristics of patients in recent clinical trials. The model results included the cost of each treatment alternative, entecavir and pegylated interferon, as well as quality adjusted life years (QALYs) gained. Results: Entecavir 0.5 mgprovides 18,25 QALYs compared with 18,12 QALYs provided by pegylated interferon. The cost per QALY was 5.257 BsF for entecavir compared with pegylated interferon whose cost ranges 6.716 y 7.358 BsF per QALY CONCLUSIONS: Entecavir 0.5 mg provides a greater amount of QALYs and a better cost-effectiveness ratio than pegylated interferon showing extended dominancy over this.
Value in Health, May 1, 2011
Artículo original Costo efectividad de Abatacept en comparación con otras terapias biológicas par... more Artículo original Costo efectividad de Abatacept en comparación con otras terapias biológicas para el tratamiento de la artritis reumatoide moderada a severamente activa en pacientes que han fallado al tratamiento con metotrexato en EsSalud para el año 2010 Cost-effectiveness of abatacept compared to other biological agents for the treatment of moderately to severely active rheumatoid arthritis in patients who failed with methotrexate in Peruvian Social Security during 2010
Value in Health, 2013
mmHg increase: 1.0676, p< .001) as a significant risk factor for stroke in addition to age and di... more mmHg increase: 1.0676, p< .001) as a significant risk factor for stroke in addition to age and diabetes, among others. ConClusions: This stroke risk equation shows that greater PP is a significant predictive factor for increased stroke risk, even in the presence of known risk factors, including SBP. PP should be considered by practitioners along with traditional risk factors in treatment strategies to prevent stroke.
Medwave, 2011
Objective. Within the framework of Chronic Myelogenous Leukaemia (CML) treatment in Chile, and ba... more Objective. Within the framework of Chronic Myelogenous Leukaemia (CML) treatment in Chile, and based on a previously performed economic evaluation, we compared the costs and cost-effectiveness ratio of using 100 mg/day and 140 mg/day doses of dasatinib with the use of 800 mg/day doses of nilotinib or an increased dose of imatinib (800mg/day), for each phase of the disease, in patients who developed resistance or intolerance to habitual doses of imatinib. Methods. A Markov model was used for this economic evaluation, which considered a cohort of 10.000 CML patients in its three phases (chronic, accelerated or blast phase), a lifetime horizon and a 3.5 % discount rate for costs and benefits. Model results included the costs of each treatment alternative with dasatinib, nilotinib or imatinib, and Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) gained. Costs were measured in Chilean Pesos of year 2010. Results. In the chronic phase of the disease, dasatinib 100 mg/day yielded the higher amount of QALYs with 6,65 and the lower cost-effectiveness ratio. In the accelerated phase, dasatinib 140 mg/day also showed the lowest cost-effectiveness compared to nilotinib and imatinib. In the blast phase, dasatinib showed lower cost-effectiveness ratio than imatinib. Conclusions. Dasatinib 100 mg/day showed lowest cost-effectiveness ratios than doses of 800 mg/day of nilotinib and doses of 800 mg/day of imatinib for the treatment of patients with CML resistant or intolerant to the usual imatinib doses of 400 mg/day in the chronic phase. Dasatinib 140 mg/day showed lowest cost-effectiveness ratios than doses of 800 mg/day of nilotinib and 800 mg/day of imatinib for the treatment of patients with CML in the accelerated phase, and than doses of 800 mg/day of imatinib in blast phase. Although there was an overall cost increase, especially due to the cost of dasatinib in 140 mg/day doses, this fact was explained by the increase in life years gained and, consequently, the use of medical resources and drugs.
Costo efectividad de Abatacept en comparación con otras terapias biológicas para el tratamiento d... more Costo efectividad de Abatacept en comparación con otras terapias biológicas para el tratamiento de la artritis reumatoide moderada a severamente activa en pacientes que han fallado al tratamiento con metotrexato en EsSalud para el año 2010 Cost-effectiveness of abatacept compared to other biological agents for the treatment of moderately to severely active rheumatoid arthritis in patients who failed with methotrexate in Peruvian Social Security during 2010
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Papers by Eleonora Aiello