Papers by Edwin Jairus Simiyu
This research article included quantitative estimations of the likely outcomes of the welfare eff... more This research article included quantitative estimations of the likely outcomes of the welfare effects, trade diversion effects, changes in export and import quantities, revenue effects, and trade creation effects resulting from the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa Customs Unions Commitments (COMESA CU). Kenya was used as the case study in this research project, which utilized the Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART) and Pan-Euro-Mediterranean tools (PEM). The World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS)/SMART software has access to the most recent data on Kenya and uses databases and records of trade-related information, including those maintained by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), the World Trade Organization (WTO), the Common Format for Transient Data Exchange for Power Systems (COMTRADE), and the Transportation Reporting and Accounting Information System (TRAINS). The results of the analyses show that COMESA CU has no indication of trade diversion and had a trade-creation impact of US$310.50 million. Further analysis revealed that the COMESA CU procedure is expected to record losses in the amount of US$327 million. Additionally, a US$56.27 million consumer welfare effect was projected for COMESA CU. Imports increased by 2.8% at COMESA CU, but exports fell. The research recommends that export-boosting actions be taken, including bolstering export processing zones, offering export subsidies, developing supply-side infrastructure, offering trade financing, and enhancing export-supporting institutions. Kenya and other developing countries now have the ability to implement policies that will make sure they benefit the most from the various regional trade agreements, thanks to the findings of this study.
International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science
This research thesis establishes the risk identification practices adopted by the county governme... more This research thesis establishes the risk identification practices adopted by the county government of Bungoma in improving Revenue collection. The main objective of the study was to ascertain risk identification practices on revenue collection. This study was anchored on Risk management theory. Information and data collection adopted descriptive research design, county government of Bungoma employees from revenue department and county government division heads under the ministry of finance and economic planning, was the targeted population Therefore Census Methodology was ideal for because of the population interest, Simply random sampling was utilized to gather the needed samples, self-administered questionnaires was used to collect the much-needed data, a survey physically dropped at random to the respondent’s work place and was picked later by the researcher for data analysis and processing. The study findings were presented using tables showing frequencies, percentages and mean...
African Journal of Empirical Research
Over time, wages in the Kenyan banking sector have increased, but not at a rate that has kept up ... more Over time, wages in the Kenyan banking sector have increased, but not at a rate that has kept up with inflation. This has had a negative effect in that the employees in the banking sector were unable to maintain the standards they were used to. In the banking industry, the average yearly wage per employee climbed from Kes 10,424 in 1968 to Kes 2,082,067 in 2021. The period from 1972 to 1994 saw the greatest loss in the buying power of earnings for banking personnel. From highs of Kes 2,629,534 in 1972 to lows of Kes 726,178 in 1994, the real average wage per employee per year fell. Between 1994 and 2008, there was a recovery in the real annual average wage per employee. Over this time, the real average wage rose from Kes 726,178 to Kes 2,330,778. By 2021, the real average annual wage per employee had decreased to Kes 1,861,550. The purpose of this study was to identify the factors that influence union wages. With time series data for the years 1968 to 2021, a wage model was fitted, ...
International journal of economics, business and management research, 2023
Manufacturing industries have played a significant role in boosting economic wellbeing in the wor... more Manufacturing industries have played a significant role in boosting economic wellbeing in the world through accelerating and maintaining greater productivity growth, boosting employment options for semiskilled workers, and increasing country competitiveness through exports. Kenya, like many other developing nations, is working to build a strong manufacturing industry. Agriculture and services have been the primary drivers of growth in the country. Historically, the manufacturing sector's contribution to Kenya's economy has remained constant at 10% of GDP, and in 2021, it was around 8.4 percent. As a result, the country has seen an early deindustrialization, as evidenced by the manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP, which was just 8.4% in 2021 and 9.2% in 2016. Boosting manufacturing sector results remains a key priority for Kenya, as evidenced by the slew of planned interventions for the industry that have been created over the years. The government has established Vision 2030, the Kenya Industrial Transformation Programme (KITP), and, most recently, the Big 4 Agenda to modernize the industrial sector. The major goal of this research was to see how human capital development (HCD) affected Kenya's manufactured exports to the East African Community (EAC). The specific goals was to examine the impact of human capital development on Kenya's manufacturing exports to the EAC region. The Gravity model was used as the theoretical framework for the study, which is based on the theory of international trade and employs a correlation research design that is ideal for dynamic panel data models. Each country's data for
International Journal of Economics, Business and Management Research
This article investigates the effect of foreign aid on poverty in Kenya. Poverty has emerged as o... more This article investigates the effect of foreign aid on poverty in Kenya. Poverty has emerged as one of the main public concerns across the globe. Every year, the gap between rich and poor grows wider, and many countries' circumstances have deteriorated. In Kenya, the wealth disparity has reached extreme proportions, with less than 10% of the population owning more wealth than the bottom 90%. Kenya is a developing country that aims to be industrialized by 2030.Economic growth is expected to increase in order to achieve the vision 2030, so the government must also understand the trends, causes, and effects of poverty in order to formulate relevant policies to ensure equitable income distribution and high living standards by 2030.In order to establish the existing relationship, the study investigated the effect of foreign aid on poverty in Kenya. This study made use of time series data spanning from years 2010 to 2020. The study employed causal-effect research design to establish t...
International journal of economics, business and management research, 2022
Manufacturing industries have played a significant role in boosting economic wellbeing in the wor... more Manufacturing industries have played a significant role in boosting economic wellbeing in the world through accelerating and maintaining greater productivity growth, boosting employment options for semiskilled workers, and increasing country competitiveness through exports. Kenya, like many other developing nations, is working to build a strong manufacturing industry. Agriculture and services have been the primary drivers of growth in the country. Historically, the manufacturing sector's contribution to Kenya's economy has remained constant at 10% of GDP, and in 2021 it was around 8.4 percent. As a result, the country has seen an early deindustrialization, as evidenced by the manufacturing sector's contribution to GDP, which was just 8.4% in 2021 and 9.2% in 2016. Boosting manufacturing sector results remains a key priority for Kenya, as evidenced by the slew of planned interventions for the industry that have been created over the years. The government has established Vision 2030, the Kenya Industrial Transformation Programme (KITP), and, most recently, the Big 4 Agenda to modernize the industrial sector. The major goal of this research was to see how infrastructure development (ID) affected Kenya's manufactured exports to the East African Community (EAC). The specific goals were to determine the impact of infrastructure development on Kenya's manufacturing exports to the EAC region. Gravity model was used as the theoretical framework for the study, which is based on the theory of international trade and employs a correlation research design that is ideal for dynamic panel data models. Each country's data for the study variables was obtained from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), Kenya Nation Bureau of Statistics, World Bank development and African Development Bank for six EAC members for the period 2007-2021. Unit root test, Im-Pesaran and Shin, Levin-Li-Chu tests were used in the study. The Im-Pesaran unit root test results at Levels indicated that all the variables except inflation had unit root at levels as indicated by the p-values>0.05, except inflation which had a p-value of 0.0006<0.05. However, all the variables achieved at first difference with (p-value<0.05). Hausman Test Results of fixed effect model indicated that manufacturing exports were positively and significantly determined by infrastructure development with a (P-value of 0.0000<0.05) and (β3=4.392823). The government of Kenya and other stakeholders should invest more in infrastructure and improve capital through education, training, health, and housing, according to this report, in order to increase labor productivity and boost manufacturing exports. Government supply-side policies, such as government subsidies and tax rebates, are recommended to lower production costs and attract and channel foreign direct investment (FDI) to more productive and comparative advantaged manufactured exports, thereby improving domestic producers' productive and export supply capacity, lowering inflation rates, and increasing efficiency.
Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University; Faculty of Business and Economic Sciences, 2017
The study investigated the relationship between remittance and Social Development in Mogadishu-So... more The study investigated the relationship between remittance and Social Development in Mogadishu-Somalia. Social development was measured through development indicators on health and education paying key attention on the intervening variables such as Political instability, insecurity, inflation rate, the exchange rate and changing policies on remittance. This study adopted a none-experimental case study design using quantitative and qualitative approaches on a sample population of 399 respondents who receive and do not receive remittance in Mogadishu capital city of Somalia. Data was collected using a questionnaire and analyzed using SPSS computer software. This study noted that remittance had a significant positive relationship with social development and it predicted 31.7% of the variance in social development. There was a significant difference between those who received remittance and those who do not receive remittance in relation to social development. This study recommended tha...
This study offers a quantitative valuation of the possible effects on trade creation, trade diver... more This study offers a quantitative valuation of the possible effects on trade creation, trade diversion, exports, imports, revenue, and welfare effects of the European Partnership (EPA) on Kenya. The study applied the Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART) partial equilibrium model for its analysis. The findings of this study shows that the EPA’s will be favourable for Kenya as a country owing to benefits in terms of trade expansion prized at US$ 129.45 million and benefits in consumer welfare effects to the tune of US$ 17.56 8 million. Nevertheless, the country Kenya will incur losses in revenue amounting to US$142.36 million. The export grew by similar quantities of US$ 218.73 million whereas import grew by 129.45 million. The operationalisation of the EPA’s should go along with steps to develop revenue collection from other sources like income tax and Value Added Tax
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Papers by Edwin Jairus Simiyu