valoración de agua para riego - valoración contingente

Simulación de una encuesta para 400 personas en las que se les pregunta su disposición
a pagar para una mejora en la calidad del agua. Para ello, se va a distribuir los pagos
entre cuatro submuestras a continuación se presentan los pagos. Donde 0 presenta la
respuesta negativa al pago y 1 representa una respuesta afirmativa al pago

Submuestra 1
Pago $ 12 Pago $
N° entrevistado Disposición a pagar A N° entrevistado Disposición a pagar
1 0 12 101 0
2 1 12 102 1
3 0 12 103 1
4 1 12 104 1
5 1 12 105 0
6 1 12 106 1
7 0 12 107 1
8 0 12 108 0
9 0 12 109 1
10 1 12 110 1
11 0 12 111 1
12 0 12 112 1
13 1 12 113 1
14 1 12 114 0
15 0 12 115 1
16 1 12 116 0
17 1 12 117 1
18 0 12 118 0
19 1 12 119 1
20 0 12 120 0
21 0 12 121 1
22 0 12 122 1
23 0 12 123 1
24 0 12 124 0
25 1 12 125 0
26 0 12 126 1
27 1 12 127 1
28 0 12 128 0
29 0 12 129 1
30 0 12 130 1
31 0 12 131 0
32 0 12 132 0
33 1 12 133 1
34 1 12 134 1
35 0 12 135 1
36 0 12 136 1
37 1 12 137 1
38 0 12 138 0
39 1 12 139 0
40 1 12 140 1
41 1 12 141 0
42 0 12 142 0
43 1 12 143 0
44 0 12 144 0
45 0 12 145 1
46 0 12 146 0
47 0 12 147 0
48 1 12 148 1
49 0 12 149 0
50 0 12 150 1
51 1 12 151 0
52 1 12 152 1
53 1 12 153 1
54 1 12 154 1
55 1 12 155 0
56 0 12 156 0
57 1 12 157 1
58 0 12 158 1
59 0 12 159 1
60 0 12 160 0
61 1 12 161 0
62 1 12 162 1
63 1 12 163 1
64 0 12 164 0
65 1 12 165 1
66 0 12 166 0
67 1 12 167 1
68 0 12 168 1
69 0 12 169 0
70 1 12 170 0
71 1 12 171 0
72 0 12 172 1
73 0 12 173 1
74 1 12 174 0
75 1 12 175 1
76 1 12 176 0
77 0 12 177 1
78 0 12 178 1
79 0 12 179 0
80 0 12 180 1
81 1 12 181 1
82 1 12 182 0
83 1 12 183 0
84 1 12 184 1
 85 1 12 185 1
86 1 12 186 0
87 0 12 187 0
88 0 12 188 0
89 0 12 189 1
90 1 12 190 1
91 1 12 191 0
92 0 12 192 0
93 1 12 193 0
94 1 12 194 1
95 0 12 195 0
96 1 12 196 1
97 0 12 197 1
98 0 12 198 0
99 1 12 199 0
100 0 12 200 0
24 Pago $ 36 Pago
A N° entrevistado Disposición a pagar A N° entrevistado
24 201 0 36 301
24 202 1 36 302
24 203 1 36 303
24 204 0 36 304
24 205 1 36 305
24 206 1 36 306
24 207 0 36 307
24 208 0 36 308
24 209 1 36 309
24 210 1 36 310
24 211 0 36 311
24 212 1 36 312
24 213 1 36 313
24 214 0 36 314
24 215 0 36 315
24 216 1 36 316
24 217 1 36 317
24 218 0 36 318
24 219 0 36 319
24 220 0 36 320
24 221 0 36 321
24 222 0 36 322
24 223 0 36 323
24 224 1 36 324
24 225 1 36 325
24 226 0 36 326
24 227 1 36 327
24 228 1 36 328
24 229 1 36 329
24 230 1 36 330
24 231 0 36 331
24 232 0 36 332
24 233 0 36 333
24 234 0 36 334
24 235 1 36 335
24 236 0 36 336
24 237 1 36 337
24 238 0 36 338
24 239 1 36 339
24 240 0 36 340
24 241 0 36 341
24 242 0 36 342
24 243 1 36 343
24 244 0 36 344
24 245 0 36 345
24 246 1 36 346
24 247 1 36 347
24 248 0 36 348
24 249 1 36 349
24 250 1 36 350
24 251 1 36 351
24 252 1 36 352
24 253 1 36 353
24 254 0 36 354
24 255 1 36 355
24 256 0 36 356
24 257 1 36 357
24 258 1 36 358
24 259 1 36 359
24 260 0 36 360
24 261 1 36 361
24 262 1 36 362
24 263 1 36 363
24 264 0 36 364
24 265 0 36 365
24 266 1 36 366
24 267 1 36 367
24 268 1 36 368
24 269 0 36 369
24 270 1 36 370
24 271 1 36 371
24 272 1 36 372
24 273 0 36 373
24 274 0 36 374
24 275 1 36 375
24 276 1 36 376
24 277 0 36 377
24 278 0 36 378
24 279 0 36 379
24 280 0 36 380
24 281 1 36 381
24 282 0 36 382
24 283 1 36 383
24 284 0 36 384
24 285 1 36 385
24 286 0 36 386
24 287 1 36 387
24 288 0 36 388
24 289 0 36 389
24 290 1 36 390
24 291 0 36 391
24 292 0 36 392
24 293 0 36 393
24 294 1 36 394
24 295 1 36 395
24 296 1 36 396
24 297 0 36 397
24 298 1 36 398
24 299 1 36 399
24 300 1 36 400
 $ 52
Disposición a pagar A
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
0 52
1 52
1 52
n A DAP
1 12 0 Y = alfa + beta*X
2 12 1 y=DAP
3 12 0 beta = A
4 12 1
5 12 0
6 12 1
7 12 1
8 12 0
9 12 1
10 12 1
11 12 1
12 12 0
13 12 0
14 12 1
15 12 0
16 12 1
17 12 1
18 12 0
19 12 0
20 12 1
21 12 0
22 12 1
23 12 1
24 12 0
25 12 0
26 12 1
27 12 1
28 12 0
29 12 1
30 12 1
31 12 1
32 12 0
33 12 0
34 12 1
35 12 1
36 12 1
37 12 1
38 12 0
39 12 1
40 12 1
41 12 1
42 12 1
43 12 1
44 12 1
45 12 0
46 12 0
47 12 0
48 12 1
49 12 0
50 12 1
51 12 0
52 12 1
53 12 1
54 12 1
55 12 1
56 12 1
57 12 1
58 12 1
59 12 1
60 12 1
61 12 0
62 12 1
63 12 0
64 12 1
65 12 0
66 12 1
67 12 0
68 12 1
69 12 0
70 12 0
71 12 1
72 12 0
73 12 1
74 12 0
75 12 0
76 12 0
77 12 0
78 12 0
79 12 1
80 12 0
81 12 0
82 12 0
83 12 1
84 12 1
85 12 1
86 12 1
87 12 1
88 12 1
89 12 0
90 12 1
91 12 0
92 12 1
93 12 0
 94 12 1
95 12 1
96 12 1
97 12 1
98 12 0
99 12 0
100 12 0
101 24 0
102 24 1
103 24 1
104 24 1
105 24 0
106 24 1
107 24 1
108 24 0
109 24 1
110 24 1
111 24 1
112 24 1
113 24 1
114 24 0
115 24 1
116 24 0
117 24 1
118 24 0
119 24 1
120 24 0
121 24 1
122 24 1
123 24 1
124 24 0
125 24 0
126 24 1
127 24 1
128 24 0
129 24 1
130 24 1
131 24 0
132 24 0
133 24 1
134 24 1
135 24 1
136 24 1
137 24 1
138 24 0
139 24 0
140 24 1
141 24 0
142 24 0
143 24 0
144 24 0
145 24 1
146 24 0
147 24 0
148 24 1
149 24 0
150 24 1
151 24 0
152 24 1
153 24 1
154 24 1
155 24 0
156 24 0
157 24 1
158 24 1
159 24 1
160 24 0
161 24 0
162 24 1
163 24 1
164 24 0
165 24 1
166 24 0
167 24 1
168 24 1
169 24 0
170 24 0
171 24 0
172 24 1
173 24 1
174 24 0
175 24 1
176 24 0
177 24 1
178 24 1
179 24 0
180 24 1
181 24 1
182 24 0
183 24 0
184 24 1
185 24 1
186 24 0
187 24 0
188 24 0
189 24 1
190 24 1
191 24 0
192 24 0
193 24 0
194 24 1
195 24 0
196 24 1
197 24 1
198 24 0
199 24 0
200 24 0
201 36 0
202 36 1
203 36 1
204 36 0
205 36 1
206 36 1
207 36 0
208 36 0
209 36 1
210 36 1
211 36 0
212 36 1
213 36 1
214 36 0
215 36 0
216 36 1
217 36 1
218 36 0
219 36 0
220 36 0
221 36 0
222 36 0
223 36 0
224 36 1
225 36 1
226 36 0
227 36 1
228 36 1
229 36 1
230 36 1
231 36 0
232 36 0
233 36 0
234 36 0
235 36 1
236 36 0
237 36 1
238 36 0
239 36 1
240 36 0
241 36 0
242 36 0
243 36 1
244 36 0
245 36 0
246 36 1
247 36 1
248 36 0
249 36 1
250 36 1
251 36 1
252 36 1
253 36 1
254 36 0
255 36 1
256 36 0
257 36 1
258 36 1
259 36 1
260 36 0
261 36 1
262 36 1
263 36 1
264 36 0
265 36 0
266 36 1
267 36 1
268 36 1
269 36 0
270 36 1
271 36 1
272 36 1
273 36 0
274 36 0
275 36 1
276 36 1
277 36 0
278 36 0
279 36 0
280 36 0
281 36 1
282 36 0
283 36 1
284 36 0
285 36 1
286 36 0
287 36 1
288 36 0
289 36 0
290 36 1
291 36 0
292 36 0
293 36 0
294 36 1
295 36 1
296 36 1
297 36 0
298 36 1
299 36 1
300 36 1
301 52 0
302 52 0
303 52 1
304 52 1
305 52 0
306 52 1
307 52 0
308 52 0
309 52 0
310 52 1
311 52 1
312 52 1
313 52 1
314 52 0
315 52 0
316 52 1
317 52 0
318 52 0
319 52 1
320 52 1
321 52 0
322 52 0
323 52 0
324 52 0
325 52 1
326 52 1
327 52 0
328 52 0
329 52 0
330 52 1
331 52 1
332 52 0
333 52 1
334 52 1
335 52 1
336 52 1
337 52 1
338 52 0
339 52 1
340 52 1
341 52 0
342 52 1
343 52 1
344 52 1
345 52 1
346 52 1
347 52 0
348 52 0
349 52 0
350 52 1
351 52 0
352 52 0
353 52 0
354 52 0
355 52 0
356 52 0
357 52 0
358 52 1
359 52 0
360 52 0
361 52 0
362 52 1
363 52 1
364 52 1
365 52 1
366 52 1
367 52 1
368 52 1
369 52 0
370 52 1
371 52 0
372 52 0
373 52 1
374 52 1
375 52 0
376 52 1
377 52 0
378 52 1
379 52 0
380 52 0
381 52 1
382 52 1
383 52 0
384 52 1
385 52 1
386 52 0
387 52 0
388 52 0
389 52 0
390 52 0
391 52 1
392 52 1
393 52 0
394 52 1
395 52 1
396 52 0
397 52 1
398 52 0
399 52 1
400 52 1
Logistic Regression

A Success Failure Total p-Obs p-Pred Suc-Pred Fail-Pred

12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 1 0 1 1 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
12 0 1 1 0 0.57115048 0.57115048 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 1 0 1 1 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
24 0 1 1 0 0.55158443 0.55158443 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 0 1 1 0 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
36 1 0 1 1 0.53185737 0.53185737 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
 52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 0 1 1 0 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
52 1 0 1 1 0.50540967 0.50540967 0
216 184 400 216.000194 183.999806

coeff b s.e. Wald p-value exp(b) lower upper

Intercept 0.36601875 #NAME? 2.44957771 0.11755649 1.44198228
A -0.00662268 #NAME? 0.95172298 0.32928112 0.9933992 0.98026922 1.00670506
 LL % Correct Coeff LL0 -275.977503
-0.84664919 0 LL1 -275.500912
-0.56010257 100 0.36601875
-0.84664919 0 -0.00662268 Chi-Sq 0.95318185
-0.56010257 100 df 1
-0.84664919 0 p-value 0.3289107
-0.56010257 100 alpha 0.05
-0.56010257 100 ROC Curve sig no
-0.84664919 0
1
-0.56010257 0.9 100 R-Sq (L) 0.00172692
-0.56010257 0.8 100 R-Sq (CS) 0.00238012
-0.56010257 100 R-Sq (N) 0.0031803
True Positive Rate

0.7
-0.84664919 0.6 0 AIC 555.001825
0.5
-0.84664919 0 BIC 562.984754
0.4
-0.56010257 0.3 100
-0.84664919 0.2 0
-0.56010257 0.1 100
-0.56010257 0 100
0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0 False Positive Rate
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.56010257 100
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.84664919 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.59496037 100
-0.59496037 100
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.80203485 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.75898227 0
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.63137992 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.70402547 0
-0.68238596 100
-0.68238596 100
-275.500912 54
 Classification Table

Covariance Matrix Converge Suc-Obs

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Suc-Pred 216
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Fail-Pred 0
216

Accuracy 1

Cutoff 0.5
 ROC Table

Fail-Obs p-Pred Failure Success Fail-Cum Suc-Cum

184 400 0 0
0 0 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? 0 1
184 400 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
0 0.54 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
FPR TPR AUC
1 1 0
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
0.52294686
 variables
b -0.00662268 DAP = m = A = -a/b S/ 55.27
a 0.36601875
 A
DAP S/ 12.00 S/ 24.00 S/ 36.00 S/ 52.00 TOTAL
0 42 46 47 49 184
1 58 54 53 51 216
100 100 100 100 400

PAGO FRECUENCIA PROPORCIÓN

ACUMULADA Char
0 400 100.00% 120.00%
S/ 12.00 358 89.50% 100.00%
S/ 24.00 312 78.00% 100.00% 89.50%
S/ 36.00 265 66.25% 78.00%
S/ 52.00 216 54.00% 80.00% 66.25%
S/ 100.00 0 0
5
60.00%

AREAS TOTAL
40.00%
1 0.63 0.63
2 1.38 0.69 2.07 20.00%
3 2.82 0.705 3.525
4 4.41 0.98 5.39 0.00%
0 20 40
5 28.08 12.96 41.04
S/ 52.66

ESTO ES LA DAP DE LOS 400 ENCUESTADOS BAJO UN METODO NO PARAMETRIC

Chart Title
120.00%

100.00%

80.00%

60.00%

40.00%

20.00%

0.00%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
 Chart Title
120.00%
100.00%
100.00% 89.50%
78.00%
80.00% 66.25%

54.00%
60.00%

40.00%

20.00%
0
0.00%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120

BAJO UN METODO NO PARAMETRICO

Producción de algodón en funicón de la densidad de plantación y de la dósis de agua de riego

Densidad
Producción (t/ha) Agua (m3/ha)
(planta/m2)
1,03 300 6
1,48 663 6
1,86 1111 6
2,13 1610 6
1,78 1304 6
2,15 2252 6
0,94 300 9
1,50 663 9
1,79 1111 9
2,38 1610 9
2,05 1304 9
,48 2252 9
1,10 300 12
1,71 663 12
1,77 1111 12
2,17 1610 12
2,25 1304 12
3,09 2252 12
1,28 300 15
1,33 663 15
2,28 1111 15
2,43 1610 15
2,55 1304 15
3,07 2252 15
q producción de algodón, toneladas por hectarea
A Dosis de agua de riego, en metros cúbicos por hectárea
D Densidad de plantación, en plantas por metro cúbico

Para calcular el valor del agua para ese año, se deriva la función respecto a la dosis de agua, lo
que equivale a igualar el costo marginal al ingreso marginal. Es decir, partiendo de

El beneficio máximo se obtiene cuando se cumple la condición de que el beneficio marginal es igual al
costo marginal, por lo tanto, el ingreso marginal con respecto al agua será dI/dA

La siguiente tabla muestra los costos marginales de agua para distintas dosis de riego y precios del
algodón

Valor de agua en función de sus dósis y precio del algodón

Agua (m3/ha)
Precio del algódon 300 663 1111 1610 2252
por tonelada (S/)
130000 156.44 137.78 114.75 89.10 56.10
135000 178.47 178.47 178.47 178.47 178.47
140000 176.42 177.45 178.73 180.15 181.97
 145000 181.46 181.46 181.46 181.46 181.46
150000 187.84 187.78 187.70 187.62 187.51

Como se observa, el valor del agua (DAP) para el agricultor disminuye a medida que
aumenta el volumen de agua empleada, ya que disminuye la productividad marginal.
Asimismo, aumenta con el precio, debido a que éste incide directamente en el ingreso
marginal.
Aplicación del método de los precios hedónicos para valorar el daño causado por las
inundaciones

Precio de las Superficio de Edad (E) Garaje (G) Jardín (J) m2 Área inundada
viviendas US$ construcción (S) m2 años m2 (Z) m2
112000 36 14 0 45 55
142000 40 9 13 0 50
116000 41 11 0 30 50
114000 41 13 0 0 30
112000 48 14 0 60 95
152000 48 10 23 0 75
112000 49 10 0 0 90
90000 50 25 0 0 85
122000 50 13 0 0 45
132000 53 14 0 0 35
155000 53 24 22 40 75
120000 53 12 0 0 35
184000 59 13 15 50 75
107000 60 20 0 0 70
148000 63 11 0 0 55
164000 64 12 0 40 40
165000 67 24 13 50 75
144000 68 22 13 0 80
185000 68 11 0 30 40
198000 74 21 18 35 35
196000 76 10 19 30 100
145000 81 24 0 30 40
183000 87 20 15 0 30
171000 87 24 15 0 85
200000 88 25 20 0 45
Pv se refiere al precio de la vivienda. Este se observa que se incrementa con la superficie de construcción, el tamaño del
garaje y el jardín y disminuye con respecto a la edad de la vivienda y el área inundada. Si se asume que todas las
características de la vivienda a excepción del área inundada se mantiene constante, se puede calcular como varía el precio de
la vivienda en función del área inundada de la misma.

PV (US$) Área inundada

(m2)
8,962.18 0
-9758 10
-28478 20
-47197 30
-65917 40
-84638 50
-103358 60
-122078 70
-140798 80
-159517 90
-178238 100

En este sentido, se observa que si se hace una obra de control de inundaciones que reduce el área inundada de 100 a 50 m2,
entonces se obtendrá un cambio de precio desde US$ -178,238 a US$ -84,638; siendo un beneficio de US$ 93,600
 ón, el tamaño del
e todas las
como varía el precio de

ndada de 100 a 50 m2,

US$ 93,600
El valor del agua representada por los beneficios de reducción de los riesgos de enfermedades transmitidas por el agua.

El método de costos de enfermedades calcula el valor del riesgo de las enfermedades transmitidas
por agua a través del costo del tratamiento de las enfermedades y de la pérdida de salario por no
asistir al trabajo.

Unidades de contaminantes en Número de casos / 1000

el agua niños / año
20 0
50 1
125 2
150 3
170 4
185 4
130 3
200 5
225 6
250 7
195 5
230 6
197 5
148 3
40 1

Los casos de amibiasis no son mortales. La población menor de 5 años para la época del estudio es de 350,000 infantes

Los costos de amibiasis por caso son:

Costo de hospitalización 100 S/

Costo de medicinas 50 S/
Costos de honorarios médicos 70 S/
Costos por no asistir al trabajo 80 S/
Total 300

En orden de evitar el problema, el municipio planea reducir la cantidad de contaminantes en el agua de 200 unidades a 50 uni
mediante un sistema de tratamiento. Estimar el beneficio de dicha planta.

Cuando hay 200 unidades de contaminantes

número de niños 4.4349
número de niños corregido 5

Cuando hay 50 unidades de contaminantes

número de niños 0.5649
número de niños corregido 1
El beneficio del sistema de tratamiento de agua contamante genera beneficio por:
número de niños beneficiarios 4

Número de casos totales reducidos al año

350,000 4
número de niños con una
1000 población de 350,000

Beneficio en terminos monetarios

1400 300 420,000.00 S/

mitidas por el agua.

Chart Title
8

6 f(x) = 0.0284561346806468 x − 0.725063452379821

R² = 0.957117294005799
5

0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300

e 350,000 infantes

a de 200 unidades a 50 unidades

1400
En primer lugar supóngase que la relación entre el número de casos de enfermedades y las
unidades de contaminantes es lineal (deben realizarse distintas relaciones para ver las que
mejor se ajustan). Para tal fin resulta una ecuación