Carbon capture and storage

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Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a process in which carbon dioxide (CO2) from industrial sources is separated before it mixes with the atmosphere, treated and transported to a long-term storage location.[1]: 2221  In CCS, the CO2 is captured from a large point source, such as a natural gas processing plant or coal power plant, and typically is stored in a deep geological formation. As of 2024, around 80% of the CO2 captured annually is used for enhanced oil recovery (EOR), a process in which CO2 is injected into partially-depleted oil reservoirs in order to extract more oil and then is left underground.[2] Since EOR utilizes the CO2 in addition to storing it, CCS is also known as carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS).[3]

In CCS, carbon dioxide is captured from point sources such as ethanol plants. It is usually transported via pipelines and then either used to extract oil or stored in dedicated geologic formations.

American oil and gas companies developed the processes involved in CCS in the mid 20th century. Early versions of CCS technologies served to purify natural gas and to facilitate oil production. Subsequently, CCS was discussed as a strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.[4][5] Around 70% of announced CCS projects have not materialized.[2] As of 2023, 40 commercial CCS facilities are operational and collectively capture about one thousandth of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. CCS facilities typically require capital investments of up to several billion dollars, and CCS also increases operating costs.[6] Power plants with CCS are expected to require around 15-25% more energy to operate,[7] thus they typically burn additional fossil fuel and increase the pollution from extracting and transporting fuel. Almost all CCS projects operating today have benefited from government financial support, usually in the form of grants.[8]: 156–160 

In strategies to mitigate climate change, CCS plays a small but critical role. CCS is expensive compared to other methods of reducing emissions such as renewable energy, electrification, and public transit and is much less effective at reducing air pollution. Given its limitations, CCS is most useful in specific niches, particularly heavy industry, plant retrofits, natural gas processing, and electrofuel production.[9]: 21–24  In electricity generation and blue hydrogen production, CCS is envisioned to play a role that complements a broader shift to renewable energy.[9]: 21–24  CCS is a component of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage, which can under some conditions remove carbon from the atmosphere.

The effectiveness of CCS projects in reducing carbon emissions depends on the capture efficiency, the additional energy used for CCS itself, leakage, and business and technical issues that can keep facilities from operating as designed. Many large CCS implementations have failed to meet their emission-reduction goals.[10] Additionally, there is controversy over whether CCS is beneficial for the climate if the CO2 is used to extract more oil.[11] Fossil fuel companies have heavily promoted CCS, framing it as an area of innovation and cost-effectiveness.[12] Some environmental activists and politicians have criticized CCS as a false solution to the climate crisis. Critics also argue that CCS is only a justification for indefinite fossil fuel usage and equate to further investments into the environmental and social harms related to the fossil fuel industry.[13][14]

Globally, a number of laws and rules have been issued that either support or mandate the implementation of CCS. In the US, the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act provides support for a variety of CCS projects, and the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 updates tax credit law to encourage the use of CCS.[15][16] Other countries are also developing programs to support CCS technologies, including Canada, Denmark, China, and the UK.[17][18]

Terminology

The IPCC defines CCS as:

"A process in which a relatively pure stream of carbon dioxide (CO2) from industrial and energy-related sources is separated (captured), conditioned, compressed and transported to a storage location for long-term isolation from the atmosphere."[19]: 2221 

The terms carbon capture and storage (CCS) and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) are closely related and used interchangeably.[20] Both terms are used predominantly to refer to a process in which captured CO2 is injected into partially-depleted oil reservoirs in order to extract more oil.[20] This is both "utilization" and "storage", as the CO2 left underground is intended to be trapped indefinitely. Prior to 2013, the process was primarily called CCS; since then the more valuable-sounding CCUS has gained popularity.[20]

Around 1% of captured CO2 is used as a feedstock for making products such fertilizer, synthetic fuels, and plastics.[21] These uses are forms of carbon capture and utilization.[22] In some cases, the product durably stores the carbon from the CO2 and thus is also considered to be a form of CCS. To qualify as CCS, carbon storage must be long-term, therefore utilization of CO2 to produce fertilizer, fuel, or chemicals is not CCS because these substances release CO2 when burned or consumed.[22]

Some sources use the term CCS, CCU, or CCUS more broadly, encompassing methods such as direct air capture or tree-planting which remove CO2 from the air.[23][24][25] In this article, the terms are used according to the IPCC's definition, which requires CO2 to be captured from point-sources such as the flue gas of power plants.  

History and current status

 
Global proposed (grey bars) vs. implemented (blue bars) annual CO2 captured. Both are in million tons of CO2 per annum (Mtpa). More than 75% of proposed CCS installations for natural-gas processing have been implemented.
 
Plans to add CCS to Bełchatów Power Station were cancelled in 2013.[26] In the power sector, close to 90% of proposed CCS capacity was never built.[27]

In the natural gas industry, technology to remove CO2 from raw natural gas has been used since 1930.[28] This processing is essential to make natural gas ready for commercial sale and distribution.[29]: 25  Usually after CO2 is removed it is vented to the atmosphere.[29]: 25  In 1972, American oil companies discovered that large quantities of CO2 could be profitably be used for enhanced oil recovery (EOR).[30] Subsequently, natural gas companies in Texas began capturing the CO2 that was produced by their processing plants, and selling it to local oil producers for EOR.[29]: 25 

The use of CCS as a means of reducing anthropogenic CO2 emissions is more recent. In 1977, the Italian physicist Cesare Marchetti proposed that CCS technology could be used to reduce emissions from coal power plants and fuel refineries.[31][32] The first large-scale CO2 capture and injection project with dedicated CO2 storage and monitoring was commissioned at the Sleipner offshore gas field in Norway in 1996.[29]: 25 

In 2005, the IPCC released a report highlighting CCS, leading to increased government support for CCS in several countries.[33] Governments spent an estimated USD $30 billion on subsidies for CCS and for fossil-fuel based hydrogen. [34] Globally, 149 projects were proposed to be operational by 2020, aiming to store 130 million tonnes of CO2 annually. Of these, around 70% were not implemented.[2] In 2020, the International Energy Agency stated, “The story of CCUS has largely been one of unmet expectations: its potential to mitigate climate change has been recognised for decades, but deployment has been slow and so has had only a limited impact on global CO2 emissions.”[29]: 18 

As of 2023, 40 commercial CCS facilities are operational.[35] Fifteen of these projects in operation are devoted to separating naturally-occurring CO2 from raw natural gas. Seven projects are for hydrogen, ammonia, or fertilizer production, six for chemical production, three for electricity and heat, and two for oil refining. CCS is also used in one iron and steel plant.[35] Fourteen projects are in the United States, eleven in China, seven in Canada, and two in Norway. Australia, Brazil, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates have one project each.[35] North America has more than 8000 km of CO2 pipelines, and there are two CO2 pipeline systems in Europe and two in the Middle East.[9]: 103–104 

Process overview

CCS facilities capture carbon dioxide before it enters the atmosphere. Generally, a chemical solvent or a porous solid material is used to separate the CO2 from other components of a plant’s exhaust stream.[36] Most commonly, flue gas passes through an amine solvent, which binds the CO2 molecule. This CO2-rich solvent is heated in a regeneration unit to release the CO2 from the solvent. The purified CO2 stream is compressed and transported for storage or end-use and the released solvents are recycled to again capture CO2 from flue gas.[37]

After the CO2 has been captured, it is usually compressed into a supercritical fluid. Pipelines are the cheapest way of transporting CO2 in large quantities onshore and, depending on the distance and volumes, offshore.[9]: 103–104  Transport via ship has been researched. CO2 can also be transported by truck or rail, albeit at higher cost per tonne of CO2.[9]: 103–104 

Technical components

A wide variety of separation techniques are being pursued, including gas phase separation, absorption into a liquid, and adsorption on a solid, as well as hybrid processes, such as adsorption/membrane systems.[38] There are three ways that this capturing can be carried out: post-combustion capture, pre-combustion capture, and oxy-combustion:[39]

  • In post combustion capture, the CO2 is removed after combustion of the fossil fuel. The technology is well understood and is currently used in other industrial applications, although at much smaller scale than required for a commercial operation.
  • The technology for pre-combustion is widely applied in fertilizer, chemical, gaseous fuel (H2, CH4), and power production.[40] In these cases, the fossil fuel is partially oxidized, for instance in a gasifier. The CO from the resulting syngas (CO and H2) reacts with added steam (H2O) and is shifted into CO2 and H2. The resulting CO2 can be captured from a relatively pure exhaust stream. The H2 can be used as fuel; the CO2 is removed before combustion. Several advantages and disadvantages apply versus post combustion capture.[41][42] The CO2 is removed after combustion, but before the flue gas expands to atmospheric pressure. The capture before expansion, i.e. from pressurized gas, is standard in almost all industrial CO2 capture processes, at the same scale as required for power plants.[43][44]
  • In oxy-fuel combustion[45] the fuel is burned in pure oxygen instead of air. To limit the resulting flame temperatures to levels common during conventional combustion, cooled flue gas is recirculated and injected into the combustion chamber. The flue gas consists of mainly CO2 and water vapor, the latter of which is condensed through cooling. The result is an almost pure CO2 stream.

Absorption, or carbon scrubbing with amines is the dominant capture technology. It is the only carbon capture technology so far that has been used industrially.[46] Other technologies proposed for carbon capture are membrane gas separation, chemical looping combustion, calcium looping, and use of metal-organic frameworks:[47][48][49]

Impurities in CO2 streams, like sulfurs and water, can have a significant effect on their phase behavior and could cause increased pipeline and well corrosion. In instances where CO2 impurities exist, a scrubbing separation process is needed to initially clean the flue gas.[50]

 
A warning sign for an underground CO2 pipeline

Storage

Storing CO2 involves the injection of captured CO2 into a deep underground geological reservoir of porous rock overlaid by an impermeable layer of rocks, which seals the reservoir and prevents the upward migration of CO2 and escape into the atmosphere.[51]: 112  The gas is usually compressed first into a supercritical fluid. When the compressed CO2 is injected into a reservoir, it flows through it, filling the pore space. The reservoir must be at depths greater than 800 metres to retain the CO2 in a dense liquid state.[51]: 112 

As of 2024, around 80% of the CO2 captured annually is used for enhanced oil recovery (EOR).[2] In EOR, CO2 is injected into partially depleted oil fields to enhance production. This increases the overall reservoir pressure and improves the mobility of the oil, resulting in a higher flow of oil towards the production wells.[52]: 117 

Around 20% of captured CO2 is injected into dedicated geological storage,[2] usually deep saline aquifiers. These are layers of porous and permeable rocks saturated with salty water.[53]: 112  Worldwide, saline formations have higher potential storage capacity than depleted oil wells.[54] Dedicated geologic storage is generally less expensive than EOR because it does not require a high level of CO2 purity and because suitable sites are more numerous, which means pipelines can be shorter.[55]

Various other types of reservoirs for storing captured CO2 are being researched or piloted as of 2021: CO2 could be injected into coal beds for enhanced coal bed methane recovery.[56] Ex-situ mineral carbonation involves reacting CO2 with mine tailings or alkaline industrial waste to form stable minerals such as calcium carbonate.[57] In-situ mineral carbonation involves injecting CO2 and water into underground formations that are rich in highly-reactive rocks such as basalt. There, the CO2 may react with the rock to form stable carbonate minerals relatively quickly.[57][58] Once the mineral carbonation process is complete, there is no risk of CO2 leakage.[59]

The global capacity for underground CO2 storage is potentially very large and is unlikely to be a constraint on the development of CCS.[8]: 112–115  Total storage capacity has been estimated at between 8,000 and 55,000 gigatonnes.[8]: 112–115  However, a smaller fraction will most likely prove to be technically or commercially feasible.[8]: 112–115  Global capacity estimates are uncertain, particularly for saline aquifers where more site characterization and exploration is still needed.[8]: 112–115 

Long-term leakage rates

In geologic storage, the CO2 is held within the reservoir through several trapping mechanisms: structural trapping by the caprock seal, solubility trapping in pore space water, residual trapping in individual or groups of pores, and mineral trapping by reacting with the reservoir rocks to form carbonate minerals.[51]: 112  Mineral trapping progresses over time but is extremely slow.[60]: 26 

Once injected, the CO2 plume tends to rise since it is less dense than its surroundings. Once it encounters a caprock, it will spread laterally until it encounters a gap. If there are fault planes near the injection zone, CO2 could migrate along the fault to the surface, leaking into the atmosphere, which would be potentially dangerous to life in the surrounding area. If the injection of CO2 creates pressures underground that are too high, the formation will fracture, potentially causing an earthquake.[61] While research suggests that earthquakes from injected CO2 would be too small to endanger property, they could be large enough to cause a leak.[62]

The IPCC estimates that at appropriately-selected and well-managed storage sites, it is likely that over 99% of CO2 will remain in place for more than 1000 years, with "likely" meaning a probability of 66% to 90%.[4]: 14,12  Estimates of long-term leakage rates rely on complex simulations since field data is limited.[63] If very large amounts of CO2 are sequestered, even a 1% leakage rate over 1000 years could cause significant impact on the climate for future generations.[64]

Social and environmental impacts

 
The construction of pipelines adversely affects wildlife.[65]

Energy and water requirements

In general, facilities with CCS require 15-25% more energy.[7] The energy consumed by CCS is called an "energy penalty". It has been estimated that about 60% of the penalty originates from the capture process, 30% comes from compression of the extracted CO2, while the remaining 10% comes from pumps and fans.[66] CCS technology is expected to use between 10 and 40 percent of the energy produced by a power station.[67][68] CCS would increase the fuel requirement of a gas plant with CCS by about 15%.[69]

For super-critical pulverized coal (PC) plants, CCS' energy requirements range from 24 to 40%, while for coal-based gasification combined cycle (IGCC) systems it is 14–25%.[70] Using CCS for natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plants can decrease operating efficiency from 11 to 22%.[70]

Depending on the technology used, CCS can require large amounts of water. For instance, coal- fired power plants with CCS may need to use 50% more water.[71]: 668 

Pollution

Since plants with CCS require more fuel to produce the same amount of electricity or heat, the use of CCS increases the "upstream" environmental problems of fossil fuels. Upstream impacts include pollution caused by coal mining, emissions from the fuel used to transport coal and gas, emissions from gas flaring, and fugitive methane emissions.

Since CCS facilities require more fossil fuel to be burned, this could cause a net increase of non-GHG pollutants from those facilities. Some of these pollutants are controlled by pollution control equipment,[72] however no equipment can eliminate all pollutants.[73] Since liquid amine solutions are used to capture CO2 in many CCS systems, these types of chemicals can also be released as air pollutants if not adequately controlled. Among the chemicals of concern are volatile nitrosamines which are carcinogenic when inhaled or drunk in water.[74][75]

Studies that consider both upstream and downstream impacts indicate that adding CCS to power plants increases overall negative impacts on human health.[76] The health impacts of adding CCS in the industrial sector are less well-understood.[76] Health impacts vary significantly depending on the fuel used and the capture technology.[76]

CO2 leakage

 
Main symptoms of carbon dioxide toxicity

CO2 is a colorless and odorless gas that accumulates near the ground because it is heavier than air. In humans, exposure to CO2 at concentrations greater than 5% causes the development of hypercapnia and respiratory acidosis. Concentrations of more than 10% may cause convulsions, coma, and death. CO2 levels of more than 30% act rapidly leading to loss of consciousness in seconds.[77]

Pipelines and storage sites can be sources of large accidental releases of CO2 that can endanger local communities. A 2005 IPCC report stated that "existing CO2 pipelines, mostly in areas of low population density, accident numbers reported per kilometre of pipeline are very low and are comparable to those for hydrocarbon pipelines."[4]: 12  The report also stated that the local health and safety risks of geologic CO2 storage were "comparable" to the risks of underground storage of natural gas if good site selection processes, regulatory oversight, monitoring, and incident remediation plans are in place.[4]: 12 

While infrequent, accidents can be serious. In 2020 a CO2 pipeline ruptured following a mudslide near Satartia, Mississippi, causing people nearby to lose consciousness.[78] 200 people were evacuated and 45 were hospitalized, and some experienced longer term effects on their health.[79][80] High concentrations CO2 in the air also caused vehicle engines to stop running, hampering the rescue effort.[81]

A severed 19" pipeline section 8 km long could release its 1,300 tonnes in about 3–4 min.[82] At the storage site, the injection pipe can be fitted with non-return valves to prevent an uncontrolled release from the reservoir in case of upstream pipeline damage. Pipelines can be fitted with remotely controlled valves that can limit the release quantity to one pipe section, however, operators in the United States have not been required to retrofit older pipes because of the nonapplication clause found at 49 U.S.C. § 60104(b), which prohibits the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) from promulgating regulations to existing facilities.[83] The US Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration, the agency in charge of pipeline safety, has been criticized as being underfunded and understaffed.[83]

Equity concerns

In the United States, the types of facilities that could be retrofitted with CCS are often located in communities that have already borne the negative environmental and health impacts of living near power or industrial facilities.[73] These facilities are disproportionately located in poor and and/or minority communities.[84] While there is evidence that CCS can help reduce non-CO2 pollutants along with capturing CO2, many environmental justice groups are concerned that CCS will be used as a way to prolong a facility’s lifetime and continue the local harms it causes.[73] In many cases, community-based organizations and other advocates would prefer a facility is shut down and investment is focused instead on cleaner production processes, such as renewables in the power sector.[73]

Cost

Project cost, low technology readiness levels in capture technologies, and a lack of revenue streams are among the main reasons for CCS projects to stop.[2] A commercial-scale project typically requires an upfront capital investment of up to several billion dollars.[6] The energy needed for CCS, as well as storage and other system costs, are estimated to increase the costs of energy from a power plant equipped with CCS by 30–60%.[citation needed] Costs can vary greatly by CO2 source, from a range of USD 15-25/tonne of CO2 for industrial processes producing highly concentrated CO2 streams (such as ethanol production or natural gas processing) to USD 40-120/tonne CO2 for processes with dilute gas streams, such as cement production and power generation. [85] In the United States,the cost of onshore pipeline transport is in the range of USD 2-14/t CO2, and more than half of onshore storage capacity is estimated to be available below USD 10/t CO2.[85]

Almost all CCS projects operating today have benefited from government financial support, largely in the form of capital grants and – to a lesser extent – operational subsidies. Grant funding has played a particularly important role in projects coming online since 2010, with 8 out of 15 projects receiving grants ranging from around USD 55 million (AUD 60 million) in the case of Gorgon in Australia to USD 840 million (CAD 865 million) for Quest in Canada.[8]: 156–160  An explicit carbon price or tax has supported CCS investment in only two cases to date: the Sleipner and Snøhvit projects in Norway, which were subject to a CO2 tax on offshore oil and gas production introduced in 1991.[8]: 156–160 

CCS trials for coal-fired plants in the early 21st century were economically unviable in most countries,[86][87] in part because revenue from enhanced oil recovery collapsed with the 2020 oil price collapse,[88] and the falling cost of alternative electricity generation, such as solar and wind.[89]

Role in climate change mitigation

Comparison with other mitigation options

Compared to other options for reducing emissions, CCS is very expensive. For instance, removing CO2 from the flue gas of fossil fuel power plants increases costs by USD $50 - $200 per tonne of CO2 removed.[90]: 38  There are many ways to reduce emissions that cost less than USD $20 per tonne of avoided CO2 emissions.[91] Options to reduce emissions that have far more potential to reduce emissions at lower cost include public transit, electric vehicles, and various other energy efficiency measures.[90]: 38  Wind and solar power are often the lowest-cost ways to produce electricity, even when compared to power plants that do not use CCS.[90]: 38  Since CCS always adds costs, it is difficult for fossil fuel plants with CCS to compete with renewable energy combined with energy storage, especially as the cost of renewable energy and batteries continues to decline.

Limitations

The IPCC stated in 2022 that “implementation of CCS currently faces technological, economic, institutional, ecological-environmental and socio-cultural barriers.”[71]: 28  Since CCS can only be used with large, stationary emission sources, it cannot reduce the emissions from burning fossil fuels in vehicles and homes. The IEA describes "excessive expectations and reliance" on CCS and direct air capture as a common misconception.[92] It estimates that if oil and natural gas consumption were to evolve as projected under today’s policies limiting global warming to 1.5 °C would 32 billion tonnes of carbon to be captured by 2050, costing over USD $3.5 trillion annually.[92] To reach targets set in the Paris Agreement, CCS must be accompanied by a steep decline in the production and use of fossil fuels.[73][71]: 672 

Priority uses

 
Retrofitting cement plants with CCS is one of the few options to reduce their emissions. However, carbon capture technology for cement is still at the demonstration stage.

In the literature on climate change mitigation, CCS is described as having a small but critical role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.[73][71]: 28  Emissions are relatively difficult or expensive to abate without CCS in the following niches:[9]: 13–14 

  • Heavy Industry: CCS is one of the few few available technologies that can significantly reduce emissions associated with the production of steel, cement, and various chemicals.[9]: 21–24  The CO2 emissions from these processes come from chemical reactions, in addition to emissions from burning fuels for heat. Cleaner industrial processes are in development but are far from being widely-deployed.[71]: 29 
  • Retrofits: CCS can be retrofitted to existing coal and natural gas power plants and industrial facilities to enable the continued operation of existing plants while reducing their emissions.[9]: 21–24 
  • Natural gas processing: CCUS is the only solution to reduce the CO2 emissions from natural gas processing.[9]: 21–24  This does not reduce the emissions released when the gas is burned.[73]
  • Hydrogen:  Nearly all hydrogen today is produced from natural gas or coal. Facilities can incorporate CCS to capture the CO2 released in these processes.[9]: 21–24   
  • Complement to renewable electricity: In the IEA's scenario for net zero emissions, 251 GW of electricity worldwide are produced by coal and gas plants equipped with CCS by 2050, while 54,679 GW of electricity are produced by solar PV and wind.[93]: 91–92  Although solar and wind energy are typically cheaper, power plants that burn natural gas, biomass, or coal have the advantage of being able to produce electricity in any season and any time of day, and can be dispatched at times of high demand.[9]: 51–52  A small amount of power plant capacity can help to meet the growing need for system flexibility as the share of wind and solar increases.[9]: 51–52  The potential for a robust power grid using 100% renewable energy has been modelled as a feasible option for many regions, which would make fossil CCS in the electricity sector unnecessary.[94] However, this approach may be more expensive.[71]: 676 
  • Electrofuel production: According to the IEA, a supply of CO2 is needed to produce synthetic hydrocarbon fuels, which alongside biofuels are the only practical alternative to fossil fuels for long-haul flights. Limitations on the availability of sustainable biomass mean that these synthetic fuels will be needed for net-zero emissions; the CO2 would need to come from bioenergy production or direct air capture to be carbon-neutral.[9]: 21–24 
  • Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage: Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is the process of extracting bioenergy from biomass and capturing and storing the CO2 that is produced. Under some conditions, BECCS can remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.[95]

Effectiveness in reducing emissions

When CCS is used for electricity generation, most studies assume that 85-90% of the CO2 in the flue gas is captured.[96] However, industry representatives say actual capture rates are closer to 75%, and have lobbied for government programs to accept this lower target.[97] Besides the capture rate, the potential for a CCS project to reduce emissions depends on the amount of additional energy needed to power CCS processes, the source of the additional energy used, and leakage rates. The energy needed for CCS usually comes from fossil fuels whose mining, processing, and transport produce emissions. Some studies indicate that under certain circumstances the overall emissions reduction from CCS can be very low, or that adding CCS can even increase emissions relative to no capture.[98][99] For instance, one study found that in the Petra Nova CCS retrofit of a coal power plant, the actual rate of emissions reduction was so low that it would average only 10.8% over a 20-year time frame.[100]

Many CCS implementations have not sequestered carbon at their designed capacity, either for business or technical reasons. For instance, in the Shute Creek Gas Processing Facility, around half of the CO2 that has been captured has been sold for EOR, and the other half vented to the atmosphere because it could not be profitably sold.[101]: 19  In the Boundary Dam Power Station in Canada, the capture rate was 90% when the capture system was operating, but due to technical problems it operated only 40% of the time in its first year.[102] A 2022 analysis of 13 major CCS projects found that most had sequestered far less CO2 than originally expected.[10][101]

Additionally, there is controversy over whether carbon capture followed by EOR is beneficial for the climate. When the oil that is extracted using EOR is subsequently burned, CO2 is released. If these emissions are included in calculations, carbon capture with EOR is usually found to increase overall emissions compared to not using carbon capture at all.[103] If the emissions from burning extracted oil are excluded from calculations, carbon capture with EOR is found to decrease emissions. In arguments for excluding these emissions, it is assumed that oil produced by EOR displaces conventionally-produced oil instead of adding to the global consumption of oil.[103] A 2020 review found that scientific papers were roughly evenly split on the question of whether carbon capture with EOR increased or decreased emissions.[103]

Pace of implementation

As of 2023 CCS captures around 0.1% of global emissions — around 45 million tonnes of CO2.[73] Climate models from the IPCC and the IEA show it capturing around 1 billion tonnes of CO2 by 2030 and several billions of tons by 2050.[73] Technologies for CCS in high-priority niches, such as cement production, are still immature. The IEA notes "a disconnect between the level of maturity of individual CO2 capture technologies and the areas in which they are most needed."[9]: 92 

CCS implementations involve long approval and construction times and the overall pace of implementation has historically been slow.[104] Some observers such as the IEA call for increased commitment to CCS in order to meet targets.[104]: 16  Other observers see the slow pace of implementation as an indication that the technology is fundamentally unlikely to succeed, and call for efforts to be redirected to other mitigation tools such as renewable energy.[105]

Society and culture

Political debate

CCS has been discussed by political actors at least since the start of the UNFCCC[106] negotiations in the beginning of the 1990s, and remains a very divisive issue.[107]

Fossil fuel companies have heavily promoted CCS, framing it as an area of innovation and cost-effectiveness.[12] Public statements from fossil fuel companies and fossil-based electric utilities ask for “recognition” that fossil fuel usage will increase in the future and suggest that CCS will allow the fossil fuel era to be extended.[12]  Their statements typically position CCS as a necessary way to tackle climate change, while not mentioning options for reducing fossil fuel use.[12]

Many environmental NGOs such as Greenpeace hold strongly negative views on CCS, whereas others such as the Bellona Foundation consider it to be a useful tool.[108] In surveys, environmental NGOs' importance ratings for fossil energy with CCS have been around as low as their ratings for nuclear energy.[109] Critics see CCS as an unproven, expensive technology that will perpetuate dependence on fossil fuels.[110] They would rather see government funds go to initiatives that are not connected to the fossil fuel industry.[110] Environmental NGOs that do support CCS often do so conditionally, depending on factors such as effects on local ecosystems and whether CCS competes for funding with other climate initiatives.[111]

Social acceptance

 
Protest against CCS in 2021 in Torquay, England
 
Protest against CCS at the same event as above

In a 2011 publication it was suggested that people who were already affected by climate change, such as drought, tended to be more supportive of CCS.[112] As of 2014, multiple studies indicated that risk-benefit perception were the most essential components of social acceptance.[113]

The communities targeted for hosting CCS projects may meet the geologic and technical siting criteria; however, non-technical social characterizations are equally important factors in the success of an individual project and the global deployment of this technology. Failing to provide meaningful engagement with local communities can drive resistance to CCS projects and enable feelings of mistrust and injustice from project developers and supporting government entities.[114]

In 2021, it was suggested that risk perception was mostly related to concerns on safety issues in terms of hazards from its operations and the possibility of CO2 leakage, which may endanger communities, commodities, and the environment in the vicinity of the infrastructure.[115] Other perceived risks relate to tourism and property values.[113] as of 2011, CCS public perceptions appeared among other controversial technologies to tackle climate change such as nuclear power, wind, and geoengineering[116]

Locally, communities are sensitive to economic factors, including job creation, tourism or related investment.[113] Experience is another relevant feature: people already involved or used to industry are likely to accept the technology. In the same way, communities who have been negatively affected by any industrial activity are also less supportive of CCS.[113] Perception of CCS has a strong geographic component. Public perception can depend on the available information about pilot projects, trust in government entities and developers involved, and awareness of successes and failures of CCS projects both locally and globally. These considerations vary by country and by community.[117]

If only considering technical feasibility, countries with no known viable storage sites may dismiss CCS as an option in national emissions reduction strategies. In contrast, countries with several, or an abundance of viable storage sites may consider CCS as essential to reducing emissions.[118]

Few members of the public know about CCS. This can allow misconceptions that lead to less approval. No strong evidence links knowledge of CCS and public acceptance, but one experimental study amongst Swiss people from 2011 found that communicating information about monitoring tended to have a negative impact on attitudes.[119] Conversely, approval seems to be reinforced when CCS was compared to natural phenomena.[113]

Connected to how public perception influences the success or failure of a CCS project is consideration for how decision-making processes are implemented equitably and meaningfully for "impacted communities" at all stages of the project. Public participation alone does not encompass all aspects of procedural justice needed for CCS projects to receive the "social license" to operate.[120]

Due to the lack of knowledge, people rely on organizations that they trust.[citation needed] In general, non-governmental organizations and researchers experience higher trust than stakeholders and governments. As of 2009 opinions amongst NGOs were mixed.[111][121] Moreover, the link between trust and acceptance was at best indirect. Instead, trust had an influence on the perception of risks and benefits.[113]

Government programs

In the US, a number of laws and rules have been issued to either support or require the use of CCS technologies. The 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act designates over $3 billion for a variety of CCS demonstration projects. A similar amount is provided for regional CCS hubs that focus on the broader capture, transport, and either storage or use of captured CO2. Hundreds of millions more are dedicated annually to loan guarantees supporting CO2 transport infrastructure.[15] The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) updates tax credit law to encourage the use of carbon capture and storage. Tax incentives under the law are $85/tonne for CO2 capture and storage in saline geologic formations from industrial and power plants. Incentives for CO2 capture and utilization from these plants are $60/tonne. Thresholds for the total amount of CO2 needing to be captured are also lower, and so more facilities will be able to make use of the credits.[16] Within the US, although the federal government may fully or partially fund CCS pilot projects, local or community jurisdictions would likely administer CCS project siting and construction.[122]

In September 2020, the US Department of Energy awarded $72 million in federal funding to support the development and advancement of carbon capture technologies.[123]

In 2023 the US EPA issued a rule proposing that CCS be required in order to achieve a 90% emission reduction for existing coal-fired and natural gas power plants. That rule would become effective in the 2035-2040 time period.[124] For natural gas power plants, the rule would require 90 percent capture of CO2 using CCS by 2035, or co-firing of 30% low-GHG hydrogen beginning in 2032 and co-firing 96% low-GHG hydrogen beginning in 2038. In that rule EPA identified CCS as a viable technology for controlling CO2 emissions.[124] The impact on the cost of electricity generation from coal plants was estimated as $12/ MWh.[125]

In Norway, CCS gained traction because it allowed the country to pursue its interests regarding the petroleum industry. Norway was a pioneer in emission mitigation, and established a CO2 tax in 1991.[126]

Other countries are also developing programs to support CCS technologies. Canada has established a C$2.6 billion tax credit for CCS projects and Saskatchewan extended its 20 per cent tax credit under the province’s Oil Infrastructure Investment Program to pipelines carrying CO2. In Europe, Denmark has recently announced €5 billion in subsidies for CCS. The Chinese State Council has now issued more than 10 national policies and guidelines promoting CCS, including the Outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021–2025) for National Economic and Social Development and Vision 2035 of China.[17] In the UK the CCUS roadmap outlines joint government and industry commitments to the deployment of CCUS and sets out an approach to delivering four CCUS low carbon industrial clusters, capturing 20-30 MtCO2 per year by 2030.[18]

CO2 utilization in products

 
Carbon dioxide is mostly used for enhanced oil recovery. It can also be used as a feedstock for products.

While nearly all utilization of CO2 is for enhanced oil recovery, CO2 can be used as a feedstock for making various types of products. As of 2022, usage in products consumes around 1% of the CO2 captured each year.[127] As of 2023, it is commercially feasible to produce the following products from captured CO2: methanol, urea, polycarbonates, polyols, polyurethane, and salicylic acids.[128] Methanol is currently primarily used to produce other chemicals, with potential for more widespread future use as a fuel.[129] Urea is used in the production of fertilizers.[130]: 55 

Technologies for sequestering CO2 in mineral carbonate products have been demonstrated, but are not ready for commercial deployment as of 2023.[128] Research is ongoing into processes to incorporate CO2 into concrete or building aggregate. The utilization of CO2 in construction materials holds promise for deployment at large scale,[131] and is the only foreseeable CO2 use that is permanent enough to qualify as storage.[132] Other potential uses for captured CO2 that are being researched include the creation of synthetic fuels, various chemicals and plastics, and the cultivation of algae.[128] The production of fuels and chemicals from CO2 is highly energy-intensive.[132]

Capturing CO2 for use in products does not necessarily reduce emissions.[130]: 111  The climate benefits associated with CO2 use primarily arise from displacing products that have higher life-cycle emissions.: 111  The amount of climate benefit varies depending on how long the product lasts before it re-releases the CO2, the amount and source of energy used in production, whether the product would otherwise be produced using fossil fuels, and the source of the captured CO2.[130]: 111  Higher emissions reductions are achieved if CO2 is captured from bioenergy as opposed to fossil fuels.[130]: 111 

The potential for CO2 utilization in products is small compared to the total volume of CO2 that could foreseeably be captured. For instance, in the International Energy Agency (IEA) scenario for achieving net zero emissions by 2050, over 95% of captured CO2 is geologically sequestered and less than 5% is used in products.[132] According to the IEA, products created from captured CO2 are likely to cost a lot more than conventional and alternative low-carbon products.[130]: 110 

Direct air carbon capture and sequestration (DACCS)

Direct air capture (DAC) is the use of chemical or physical processes to extract carbon dioxide directly from the ambient air.[133] If the extracted CO2 is then sequestered in safe long-term storage (called direct air carbon capture and sequestration (DACCS), the overall process will achieve carbon dioxide removal and be a "negative emissions technology" (NET).

The carbon dioxide (CO2) is captured directly from the ambient air; this is contrast to carbon capture and storage (CCS) which captures CO2 from point sources, such as a cement factory or a bioenergy plant.[134] After the capture, DAC generates a concentrated stream of CO2 for sequestration or utilization. Carbon dioxide removal is achieved when ambient air makes contact with chemical media, typically an aqueous alkaline solvent[135] or sorbents.[136] These chemical media are subsequently stripped of CO2 through the application of energy (namely heat), resulting in a CO2 stream that can undergo dehydration and compression, while simultaneously regenerating the chemical media for reuse.

See also

References

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