for data support and comments on earlier drafts. We are especially indebted to two anonymous refe... more for data support and comments on earlier drafts. We are especially indebted to two anonymous referees of their valuable comments that improved the paper immensely. All remaining errors are ours.
In this paper we apply the gravity model to international trade transactions between India and th... more In this paper we apply the gravity model to international trade transactions between India and the ASEAN countries. The model is applied to all HS 6-digit codes for which trade between India and ASEAN takes place. The estimated equation is then used to simulate the trade impact under the alternative scenario of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the two countries. The results of these simulations are then presented to find out the possible impact of the India ASEAN FTA on individual industries. Initially the analysis was done at the 2 digit HS level. However we found that the same set of industries at the two digit level will be both favourably and adversely affected due to the FTA. This necessitated disaggregation at the 6 digit, where individual industries in ASEAN that will be able to increase their export to India and the ones for which export by India will increase could be separated. The main conclusion is that intermediate goods will be more affected (both adversely and favourably for India) than final goods. Other conclusions include the fact that about fifty percent of the 6 digit products have insignificant tariff elasticity or the elasticity coefficient (even simple correlation between the rate of tariff and import) is of the wrong sign. The implication is obvious: tariffs do not matter at all for a major part of the industries and for them the agreement has no significance. In fact some of the most debated commodities fall in this category. For many of them though tariff rates have steadily increased overtime so has imports imparting a wrong sign to the tariff elasticity which means that reasons other than tariffs determine their imports and there is no point in putting them in the sensitive or exclusion list.
One of the most common and leading cause of cancer death in human beings is lung cancer. The adva... more One of the most common and leading cause of cancer death in human beings is lung cancer. The advanced observation of cancer takes the main role to inflate a patient's probability for survival of the disease. This paper inspects the accomplishment of support vector machine (SVM) and logistic regression (LR) algorithms in predicting the survival rate of lung cancer patients and compares the effectiveness of these two algorithms through accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score and confusion matrix. These techniques have been applied to detect the survival possibilities of lung cancer victims and help the physicians to take decisions on the forecast of the disease.
Kemp and Wan (1976, Journal of International Economics, 6(1), 95–97) show that customs unions can... more Kemp and Wan (1976, Journal of International Economics, 6(1), 95–97) show that customs unions can be welfare enhancing if the imports from the rest of the world (ROW) by the union members are fixed both before and after the formation of the union. This note extends their argument to the case of (a) two small open economies (SOEs) joining a free trade agreement (FTA) and (b) a single SOE joining a pre-existing FTA among similar economies. The particular compensation principle considered is the one suggested by Grinols (1981, Journal of International Economics, 11(2), 259–266). According to this argument, welfare gain is ensured if tariff revenue rises in the post-FTA situation. For our case, this compensation principle translates to the following: welfare gain can be ensured only when import from ROW (with whom the FTA was not signed) rises. Since this will amount to a (meaningless) negative trade diversion effect in the context of the FTA, the source of any such revenue rise has to ...
This study shows that intermediate goods will be more affected (both adversely and favourably) th... more This study shows that intermediate goods will be more affected (both adversely and favourably) than final goods due to ASEAN–India FTA. Other interesting conclusions include tariffs do not matter at all for a major part of the industries and for them the agreement has no significance. In fact, some of the most debated commodities fall in this category. For them though tariff rates have steadily increased over time, so has imports imparting a wrong sign to the tariff elasticity which means that reasons other than tariffs determine their imports and there is no point in putting them in the sensitive or exclusion list.
for data support and comments on earlier drafts. We are especially indebted to two anonymous refe... more for data support and comments on earlier drafts. We are especially indebted to two anonymous referees of their valuable comments that improved the paper immensely. All remaining errors are ours.
In this paper we apply the gravity model to international trade transactions between India and th... more In this paper we apply the gravity model to international trade transactions between India and the ASEAN countries. The model is applied to all HS 6-digit codes for which trade between India and ASEAN takes place. The estimated equation is then used to simulate the trade impact under the alternative scenario of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the two countries. The results of these simulations are then presented to find out the possible impact of the India ASEAN FTA on individual industries. Initially the analysis was done at the 2 digit HS level. However we found that the same set of industries at the two digit level will be both favourably and adversely affected due to the FTA. This necessitated disaggregation at the 6 digit, where individual industries in ASEAN that will be able to increase their export to India and the ones for which export by India will increase could be separated. The main conclusion is that intermediate goods will be more affected (both adversely and favourably for India) than final goods. Other conclusions include the fact that about fifty percent of the 6 digit products have insignificant tariff elasticity or the elasticity coefficient (even simple correlation between the rate of tariff and import) is of the wrong sign. The implication is obvious: tariffs do not matter at all for a major part of the industries and for them the agreement has no significance. In fact some of the most debated commodities fall in this category. For many of them though tariff rates have steadily increased overtime so has imports imparting a wrong sign to the tariff elasticity which means that reasons other than tariffs determine their imports and there is no point in putting them in the sensitive or exclusion list.
One of the most common and leading cause of cancer death in human beings is lung cancer. The adva... more One of the most common and leading cause of cancer death in human beings is lung cancer. The advanced observation of cancer takes the main role to inflate a patient's probability for survival of the disease. This paper inspects the accomplishment of support vector machine (SVM) and logistic regression (LR) algorithms in predicting the survival rate of lung cancer patients and compares the effectiveness of these two algorithms through accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score and confusion matrix. These techniques have been applied to detect the survival possibilities of lung cancer victims and help the physicians to take decisions on the forecast of the disease.
Kemp and Wan (1976, Journal of International Economics, 6(1), 95–97) show that customs unions can... more Kemp and Wan (1976, Journal of International Economics, 6(1), 95–97) show that customs unions can be welfare enhancing if the imports from the rest of the world (ROW) by the union members are fixed both before and after the formation of the union. This note extends their argument to the case of (a) two small open economies (SOEs) joining a free trade agreement (FTA) and (b) a single SOE joining a pre-existing FTA among similar economies. The particular compensation principle considered is the one suggested by Grinols (1981, Journal of International Economics, 11(2), 259–266). According to this argument, welfare gain is ensured if tariff revenue rises in the post-FTA situation. For our case, this compensation principle translates to the following: welfare gain can be ensured only when import from ROW (with whom the FTA was not signed) rises. Since this will amount to a (meaningless) negative trade diversion effect in the context of the FTA, the source of any such revenue rise has to ...
This study shows that intermediate goods will be more affected (both adversely and favourably) th... more This study shows that intermediate goods will be more affected (both adversely and favourably) than final goods due to ASEAN–India FTA. Other interesting conclusions include tariffs do not matter at all for a major part of the industries and for them the agreement has no significance. In fact, some of the most debated commodities fall in this category. For them though tariff rates have steadily increased over time, so has imports imparting a wrong sign to the tariff elasticity which means that reasons other than tariffs determine their imports and there is no point in putting them in the sensitive or exclusion list.
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